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Dr. Dominic Orr
Affiliated researcher at DZHW Hannover (http://www.dzhw.eu/en)
Affiliated researcher at FiBS Research Berlin (http://fibs.eu/en/)
dominicjorr@gmail.com and @DominicOrr
Findings of the SEISMIC II
study – student and staff
Erasmus mobility in times of
financial crisis
DAAD Erasmus + Annual Conference
Berlin, 28-29 September 2015
The Meccano Bridge built by Queen's
University civil engineering students at
Clarendon Dock, Belfast. Pic: Stephen
Davison/Pacemaker.
2DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
Contents
1. A few words on the Erasmus programme and its context
2. Introducing the study
3. Mobility trends
4. Possible dimensions affecting mobility
5. Putting Erasmus in context – reasons for going abroad
6. Key policy lever (?): grants supporting periods abroad
7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad
8. How dimensions work together
9. What changes to Erasmus policy and practice do we need?
3DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
1. Setting the scene: What we know about Erasmus
1. Important programme for the internationalisation /
Europeanisation of European higher education; also for
broadening cultural, but also academic horizons and future
job prospects (especially with countries of such different
sizes)
2. Continues to grow fast (200 K studies abroad, 50 K
internships and c. 40 K mobile academics)
3. Remains socially selective
4. Of varying relevance to mobility efforts in different countries
5. Flexible implementation at national and institutional level
4DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
2. Setting the scene – Erasmus student mobility in context
Organisation of most recent enrolment abroad, 2014
Source: Hauschildt et al. (2015)
Only for some countries major
form of temporary mobility
5DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
2. Introducing SEISMIC
Purpose of the study
 Monitoring report for Erasmus mobility commissioned by DAAD
 Focus on 7 crisis countries, but also general trends
 Slowly building a new information set, combining quantitative (admin) data with
qualitative context information
Make-up of the study
 General analysis of main trends in student and staff mobility
 10 country reports which: put individual country into the context of European trends
and enrich official data through semi-structured interviews
10 case study countries
 Cyprus, *France, Greece, *Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, *Poland, Portugal, Spain
(*ref. countries)
 Criteria for selection: quantitative importance of Erasmus for the national system;
quantitative importance of the participants from a country for the Erasmus programme
as a whole; geographic parity; the development of a country’s budget deficit
6DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
2. Introducing SEISMIC
Assumptions of the study as reflected in method and focus
 Since the crisis was financial, assumption is that economic factors, directly and indirectly
related to educational mobility, influence educational mobility behaviours.
 Since international mobility has been growing strongly ever since it became a European
action line, assumption is that growth will continue and changes can be seen in speed of
growth year-on-year rather than absolute proportions.
 Study remains exploratory in its attempt to find policy-related factors driving mobility
 In this, it uses expertise from the national level to help interpret trends
 It wants to encourage policy discussions between countries on how to improve mobility
 It’s a small scale study in terms of budget and scope
What’s new in 2014 edition (compared to 2013)?
 More context information on countries
 First attempt to identify factors, directly and indirectly related to educational mobility
behaviours, using simple statistical correlations
7DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
3. Mobility trends – student mobility continues to grow
Year on year growth in all countries
8DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
3. Mobility trends – pace of growth different by activity
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
08/09 > 09/10 09/10 > 10/11 10/11 > 11/12 11/12 > 12/13
SMS SMP STA STT
Teacher training &
Student internships fastest growth
9DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
4. Possible dimensions affecting mobility
Few strong links – except health of economy (GDP)
and incoming study mobility
10DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
4. Possible dimensions affecting mobility – GDP vs. incoming SMS growth
Y: GDP per capita growth
X: Study mobility growth
11DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
5. Putting Erasmus in context – reasons for going abroad
Study on migration of young people (15-34 yrs.) (Kahanec et al. 2013):
 Better chances of finding employment abroad
 To discover something new and meet new people
Erasmus Student Network (2010):
 Meeting new people
 (…)
 Improving employment prospects
Mobility not alone influenced by
economic motives (not even for
migration)
12DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
CY DE ES FR GR IE IS IT PL PT
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
6. Key policy lever (?): grants supporting periods abroad
Grants for studies abroad by country
Mixed trend – convergence to a
common level?
13DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
CY DE ES FR GR IE IS IT PL PT
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
6. Key policy lever (?): grants supporting periods abroad
Grants for internships abroad
Mixed trend – convergence to a
common level?
14DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad
5.7 5.7 5.7
5.7 5.6
6.3 6.3
6.4 6.3 6.3
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Av all Erasmus countries Av case study crisis countries
Q1 all Erasmus countries Q3 all Erasmus countries
Duration of studies abroad
Slight shortening of duration of
study period abroad
15DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
CY DE ES FR GR IE IS IT PL PT
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Mixed trend – convergence to a
common level?
16DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad
4.2
3.9
4.1 4.1
4.2
4.1
4.0
4.3 4.2
4.4
3.0
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4.0
4.2
4.4
4.6
4.8
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Av all Erasmus countries Av case study crisis countries
Q1 all Erasmus countries Q3 all Erasmus countries
Duration of internship abroad
Slight lengthening of duration
of internship period abroad
17DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
CY DE ES FR GR IE IS IT PL PT
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Mixed trend – convergence to
a common level?
18DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
8. How dimensions work together
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
08/09 > 09/10 09/10 > 10/11 10/11 > 11/12 11/12 > 12/13
Average growth per study year for outgoing study mobility
DE 1 quartile median 3 quartile GR IE IT
Mixed trends – are there
clear determinants?
19DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
8. How dimensions work together
Germany Greece Ireland Italy
% of mobile
students
 1.3%  0.7%  1.5%  1.4%
Growth
trend
 since
12/13
 since
12/13
 since
11/12
 since
12/13
Study
duration
 5.7 mth  5.2 mth  7.1 mth  6.6 mth
Study grant €223  €455 €240  €215
GDP per
capita (pps)
€32,600  €19,300  €34,500  €26,500
Mixed trends – are there
clear determinants?
20DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
9. What changes to Erasmus policy and practice do we need?
Some insights from the Seismic study:
 The “crisis countries” have not been affected in the same way by the crisis
 It is difficult to generalise on what is driving mobility of students and staff
 This is most likely due to two main factors:
 Factors affecting the motivation of students and staff to go abroad (e.g. economic
health of country), but also chance to learn / experience something new
 Policy levers related to ease of mobile period abroad: between-country differences
in duration of period abroad and differences in grants provided to students and staff
for period abroad
With these insights, the study leads to these considerations:
 Discussions between policy-makers on trends and successes in promoting mobility are
needed to improve the knowledge base and mobility practices (what is good policy? /
what is good practice?)
 Monitoring schemes such as Seismic can provide input into differences and similarities
 Are the differences seen in the durations of periods abroad and for grant amounts
necessary / sensible / helpful or should there be some harmonisation?
21DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility
Appendices: Further reading
ESN (2011): ESNSurvey 2010: E-Value-ate Your Exchange.
http://issuu.com/esnint/docs/esnsurvey2010_final
Haaristo, H.-S., Orr, D. (2014): Student and staff mobility in times of crisis. Bonn: DAAD.
https://eu.daad.de/medien/eu/publikationen/studien/2014-mobility_in_times_of_crisis.pdf
Hauschildt, K., Gwosć, C., Netz, N., & Mishra, S. (2015). Social and economic conditions of student life
in Europe (EUROSTUDENT V 2012-2015). W. Bertelsmann. http://doi.org/10.3278/6001920bw
Kahanec, M., & Fabo, B. (2013). Migration strategies of crisis-stricken youth in an enlarged European
Union. Transfer: European Review of Labour and Research, 19(3), 365–380.
http://doi.org/10.1177/1024258913493701
Orr, D (2013).: Where do internationally mobile students come from and where do they go? An
overview of the flows of internationally mobile students. EAIE-Handbook - Internationalisation of
European Higher Education (A 2.1-7). Berlin: Raabe.
Orr, D.; Haaristo, H.-S. (2013): Student and staff mobility in times of crisis. Bonn: DAAD.
https://eu.daad.de/medien/eu/veranstaltungen/bologna/student_and_staff_mobility_in_times_of_
crisis_study.pdf

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Findings of the SEISMIC II study – student and staff Erasmus mobility in times of financial crisis

  • 1. Dr. Dominic Orr Affiliated researcher at DZHW Hannover (http://www.dzhw.eu/en) Affiliated researcher at FiBS Research Berlin (http://fibs.eu/en/) dominicjorr@gmail.com and @DominicOrr Findings of the SEISMIC II study – student and staff Erasmus mobility in times of financial crisis DAAD Erasmus + Annual Conference Berlin, 28-29 September 2015 The Meccano Bridge built by Queen's University civil engineering students at Clarendon Dock, Belfast. Pic: Stephen Davison/Pacemaker.
  • 2. 2DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility Contents 1. A few words on the Erasmus programme and its context 2. Introducing the study 3. Mobility trends 4. Possible dimensions affecting mobility 5. Putting Erasmus in context – reasons for going abroad 6. Key policy lever (?): grants supporting periods abroad 7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad 8. How dimensions work together 9. What changes to Erasmus policy and practice do we need?
  • 3. 3DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 1. Setting the scene: What we know about Erasmus 1. Important programme for the internationalisation / Europeanisation of European higher education; also for broadening cultural, but also academic horizons and future job prospects (especially with countries of such different sizes) 2. Continues to grow fast (200 K studies abroad, 50 K internships and c. 40 K mobile academics) 3. Remains socially selective 4. Of varying relevance to mobility efforts in different countries 5. Flexible implementation at national and institutional level
  • 4. 4DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 2. Setting the scene – Erasmus student mobility in context Organisation of most recent enrolment abroad, 2014 Source: Hauschildt et al. (2015) Only for some countries major form of temporary mobility
  • 5. 5DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 2. Introducing SEISMIC Purpose of the study  Monitoring report for Erasmus mobility commissioned by DAAD  Focus on 7 crisis countries, but also general trends  Slowly building a new information set, combining quantitative (admin) data with qualitative context information Make-up of the study  General analysis of main trends in student and staff mobility  10 country reports which: put individual country into the context of European trends and enrich official data through semi-structured interviews 10 case study countries  Cyprus, *France, Greece, *Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, *Poland, Portugal, Spain (*ref. countries)  Criteria for selection: quantitative importance of Erasmus for the national system; quantitative importance of the participants from a country for the Erasmus programme as a whole; geographic parity; the development of a country’s budget deficit
  • 6. 6DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 2. Introducing SEISMIC Assumptions of the study as reflected in method and focus  Since the crisis was financial, assumption is that economic factors, directly and indirectly related to educational mobility, influence educational mobility behaviours.  Since international mobility has been growing strongly ever since it became a European action line, assumption is that growth will continue and changes can be seen in speed of growth year-on-year rather than absolute proportions.  Study remains exploratory in its attempt to find policy-related factors driving mobility  In this, it uses expertise from the national level to help interpret trends  It wants to encourage policy discussions between countries on how to improve mobility  It’s a small scale study in terms of budget and scope What’s new in 2014 edition (compared to 2013)?  More context information on countries  First attempt to identify factors, directly and indirectly related to educational mobility behaviours, using simple statistical correlations
  • 7. 7DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 3. Mobility trends – student mobility continues to grow Year on year growth in all countries
  • 8. 8DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 3. Mobility trends – pace of growth different by activity 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 08/09 > 09/10 09/10 > 10/11 10/11 > 11/12 11/12 > 12/13 SMS SMP STA STT Teacher training & Student internships fastest growth
  • 9. 9DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 4. Possible dimensions affecting mobility Few strong links – except health of economy (GDP) and incoming study mobility
  • 10. 10DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 4. Possible dimensions affecting mobility – GDP vs. incoming SMS growth Y: GDP per capita growth X: Study mobility growth
  • 11. 11DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 5. Putting Erasmus in context – reasons for going abroad Study on migration of young people (15-34 yrs.) (Kahanec et al. 2013):  Better chances of finding employment abroad  To discover something new and meet new people Erasmus Student Network (2010):  Meeting new people  (…)  Improving employment prospects Mobility not alone influenced by economic motives (not even for migration)
  • 12. 12DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 CY DE ES FR GR IE IS IT PL PT 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 6. Key policy lever (?): grants supporting periods abroad Grants for studies abroad by country Mixed trend – convergence to a common level?
  • 13. 13DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 CY DE ES FR GR IE IS IT PL PT 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 6. Key policy lever (?): grants supporting periods abroad Grants for internships abroad Mixed trend – convergence to a common level?
  • 14. 14DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.6 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.3 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Av all Erasmus countries Av case study crisis countries Q1 all Erasmus countries Q3 all Erasmus countries Duration of studies abroad Slight shortening of duration of study period abroad
  • 15. 15DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 CY DE ES FR GR IE IS IT PL PT 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Mixed trend – convergence to a common level?
  • 16. 16DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad 4.2 3.9 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.3 4.2 4.4 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Av all Erasmus countries Av case study crisis countries Q1 all Erasmus countries Q3 all Erasmus countries Duration of internship abroad Slight lengthening of duration of internship period abroad
  • 17. 17DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 7. Key policy lever (?): duration of period abroad 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 CY DE ES FR GR IE IS IT PL PT 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Mixed trend – convergence to a common level?
  • 18. 18DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 8. How dimensions work together -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 08/09 > 09/10 09/10 > 10/11 10/11 > 11/12 11/12 > 12/13 Average growth per study year for outgoing study mobility DE 1 quartile median 3 quartile GR IE IT Mixed trends – are there clear determinants?
  • 19. 19DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 8. How dimensions work together Germany Greece Ireland Italy % of mobile students  1.3%  0.7%  1.5%  1.4% Growth trend  since 12/13  since 12/13  since 11/12  since 12/13 Study duration  5.7 mth  5.2 mth  7.1 mth  6.6 mth Study grant €223  €455 €240  €215 GDP per capita (pps) €32,600  €19,300  €34,500  €26,500 Mixed trends – are there clear determinants?
  • 20. 20DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility 9. What changes to Erasmus policy and practice do we need? Some insights from the Seismic study:  The “crisis countries” have not been affected in the same way by the crisis  It is difficult to generalise on what is driving mobility of students and staff  This is most likely due to two main factors:  Factors affecting the motivation of students and staff to go abroad (e.g. economic health of country), but also chance to learn / experience something new  Policy levers related to ease of mobile period abroad: between-country differences in duration of period abroad and differences in grants provided to students and staff for period abroad With these insights, the study leads to these considerations:  Discussions between policy-makers on trends and successes in promoting mobility are needed to improve the knowledge base and mobility practices (what is good policy? / what is good practice?)  Monitoring schemes such as Seismic can provide input into differences and similarities  Are the differences seen in the durations of periods abroad and for grant amounts necessary / sensible / helpful or should there be some harmonisation?
  • 21. 21DAAD, 28/09/2015@DominicOrr#Erasmus_mobility Appendices: Further reading ESN (2011): ESNSurvey 2010: E-Value-ate Your Exchange. http://issuu.com/esnint/docs/esnsurvey2010_final Haaristo, H.-S., Orr, D. (2014): Student and staff mobility in times of crisis. Bonn: DAAD. https://eu.daad.de/medien/eu/publikationen/studien/2014-mobility_in_times_of_crisis.pdf Hauschildt, K., Gwosć, C., Netz, N., & Mishra, S. (2015). Social and economic conditions of student life in Europe (EUROSTUDENT V 2012-2015). W. Bertelsmann. http://doi.org/10.3278/6001920bw Kahanec, M., & Fabo, B. (2013). Migration strategies of crisis-stricken youth in an enlarged European Union. Transfer: European Review of Labour and Research, 19(3), 365–380. http://doi.org/10.1177/1024258913493701 Orr, D (2013).: Where do internationally mobile students come from and where do they go? An overview of the flows of internationally mobile students. EAIE-Handbook - Internationalisation of European Higher Education (A 2.1-7). Berlin: Raabe. Orr, D.; Haaristo, H.-S. (2013): Student and staff mobility in times of crisis. Bonn: DAAD. https://eu.daad.de/medien/eu/veranstaltungen/bologna/student_and_staff_mobility_in_times_of_ crisis_study.pdf