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Addressing the Tax Challenges of the Digitalisation of
the Economy
OECD Berlin Centre and DIW Webinar
Discussion by
Dominika Langenmayr
KU Eichstätt-Ingolstadt, CESifo &
KU Research Institute for Taxation
Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 1@D_Langenmayr
How did we get here?
 First proposals of a destination-based corporate tax around
2000
- Combined with cash flow as tax base
- Destination basis (taxation at the location of the consumer)
because this location cannot be influenced by the firm
 no profit shifting
 Picked up by policymakers in the United States in 2016, but not
part of US tax reform
 Now: Pillar 1 introduces destination basis for e.g. 20% of residual
profit
Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 2
Who gains, who loses?
 Everybody gains?
Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 3
 Taxation at location of
consumer is beneficial for
countries with current
account deficit (who import
more than they export)
 Countries with high exports
more likely to lose
 Would be interesting to see
revenue effects split according
to current account position
Where is the additional tax revenue coming
from?
 Tax havens? But firms aren’t paying (much) tax there…
 Obviously, for positive revenue effects, firms will have to pay more
tax.
Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 4
 What does “a firm” paying tax actually mean?
 In the end, some humans have to bear the burden of taxation.
 Firm owners?
 Workers? Consumers? Others who sell stuff on Amazon?
What do we know about tax incidence?
 Workers bear about 50% of
the tax burden of local
business taxes in Germany
(Fuest, Peichl, Siegloch, AER
2018)
 In the U.S., firm owners bear
roughly 40% of the incidence,
workers 30-35% and
landowners 25-30% (Suárez
Serrato and Zidar, AER 2016)
 No free lunch for Europe by
taxing US multinationals more
Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 5
Source: Fuest, Peichl, Siegloch (2018)
Pillar 2: Minimum Tax
 Directly increases revenue because of additional tax on profits taxed
in low-tax jurisdictions
 Second aim: Induce low-tax jurisdictions to increase their tax rates
 Limits international tax competition
Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 6
 What could go wrong?
 What are the incentives for countries that currently have a tax rate
above the threshold?
- If they lower tax rate to the minimum rate, they cannot be undercut
anymore
- Potentially stronger incentives for these countries to lower their tax
rates if there is a minimum tax (Konrad, 2009)
Final thoughts
 After decades of discussion, we’re seeing some fundamental
changes in corporate taxation!
 Pillar 1 introduces residual profit allocation to market country
 Advantages for economic efficiency and robustness to avoidance
 Pillar 2 introduces minimum tax
 Effective limit to tax competition from tax havens
 Very important and interesting work estimating revenue and
investment effects
Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 7

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Addressing the Tax Challenges of the Digitalisation of the Economy

  • 1. Addressing the Tax Challenges of the Digitalisation of the Economy OECD Berlin Centre and DIW Webinar Discussion by Dominika Langenmayr KU Eichstätt-Ingolstadt, CESifo & KU Research Institute for Taxation Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 1@D_Langenmayr
  • 2. How did we get here?  First proposals of a destination-based corporate tax around 2000 - Combined with cash flow as tax base - Destination basis (taxation at the location of the consumer) because this location cannot be influenced by the firm  no profit shifting  Picked up by policymakers in the United States in 2016, but not part of US tax reform  Now: Pillar 1 introduces destination basis for e.g. 20% of residual profit Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 2
  • 3. Who gains, who loses?  Everybody gains? Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 3  Taxation at location of consumer is beneficial for countries with current account deficit (who import more than they export)  Countries with high exports more likely to lose  Would be interesting to see revenue effects split according to current account position
  • 4. Where is the additional tax revenue coming from?  Tax havens? But firms aren’t paying (much) tax there…  Obviously, for positive revenue effects, firms will have to pay more tax. Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 4  What does “a firm” paying tax actually mean?  In the end, some humans have to bear the burden of taxation.  Firm owners?  Workers? Consumers? Others who sell stuff on Amazon?
  • 5. What do we know about tax incidence?  Workers bear about 50% of the tax burden of local business taxes in Germany (Fuest, Peichl, Siegloch, AER 2018)  In the U.S., firm owners bear roughly 40% of the incidence, workers 30-35% and landowners 25-30% (Suárez Serrato and Zidar, AER 2016)  No free lunch for Europe by taxing US multinationals more Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 5 Source: Fuest, Peichl, Siegloch (2018)
  • 6. Pillar 2: Minimum Tax  Directly increases revenue because of additional tax on profits taxed in low-tax jurisdictions  Second aim: Induce low-tax jurisdictions to increase their tax rates  Limits international tax competition Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 6  What could go wrong?  What are the incentives for countries that currently have a tax rate above the threshold? - If they lower tax rate to the minimum rate, they cannot be undercut anymore - Potentially stronger incentives for these countries to lower their tax rates if there is a minimum tax (Konrad, 2009)
  • 7. Final thoughts  After decades of discussion, we’re seeing some fundamental changes in corporate taxation!  Pillar 1 introduces residual profit allocation to market country  Advantages for economic efficiency and robustness to avoidance  Pillar 2 introduces minimum tax  Effective limit to tax competition from tax havens  Very important and interesting work estimating revenue and investment effects Prof. Dr. Dominika Langenmayr 7