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63rd WORLD NEWSPAPER CONGRESS
   Session: Technology
   Titel: The new digital paradigm
   Speaker: Adam Bird



  Mark your calendar
64th WORLD NEWSPAPER CONGRESS
19th WORLD EDITORS FORUM




                                     Vienna, Reed Messe Wien
  www.wan-ifra.org/kiev2012
The new digital paradigm
Perspective on the digital future




World Newspaper Congress
Vienna, October 14, 2011


CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY
Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
The only certainty is …the pace of technological change will be relentless

         Number of e-mails sent      Data processed per     Total minutes spent on
         every second?               day by Google?         Facebook each month?


                   2.9
                   million
                                            24
                                           petabytes
                                                                  700
                                                                    billion

         Content uploaded to         Data consumed by       Tweets per day?
         YouTube per minute?         households each day?


                   20
                    hours
                                           375
                                           megabytes
                                                                    50
                                                                    million

         Data sent and received      Products ordered on
         by mobile Internet users?   Amazon per second?      Connectivity
                                                            creates data to
                   1.3
                   exabytes
                                          72.9
                                             items
                                                            be leveraged …

SOURCE: McKinsey                                                        McKinsey & Company | 1
The digital world is changing fundamentally across multiple dimensions




                        Technology is driving digital content
                        to mobile and multi-device use

                        Delivery of content is changing –
                        (social, mobile, location), users are
                        becoming more diverse

                        New ecosystems and platforms are
                        emerging – no clarity on the end
                        game yet

                        Younger readers are less interested
                        in news than older readers, but all
                        consider newspapers a good and
                        trustworthy source




SOURCE: McKinsey analysis                                       McKinsey & Company | 2
TECHNOLOGY
Smartphones are increasingly becoming the digital all-purpose tool

                         Smartphone owners using phone                      Change
                         as primary device for activity, 2010               2009 - 10
                         Percentage                                         PPT1
Non-voice
communication
                                                                       81      +2
                                                                                        30%
Location-based                                                                          of iPhone users
                                                                  74           +3
services                                                                                even prefer their
                                                                                        phones over
Audio/video                                              48                    +2       PCs for e-mail
                                                                                        and Internet
Browsing/
                                                      43                       +7
reading

Entertainment                                         43                       +6

Commerce                                        34                             +8

                         Growth in US mobile marketing spend
                         +74% per year in 2007 -12
1 Percentage points

SOURCE: iConsumer US 2009 - 10, 13 - 64 year-old Internet users                         McKinsey & Company | 3
TECHNOLOGY
Consumers with multiple devices spend more time overall and on each
device individually
Time spent on owned devices                                                                     PC
Indexed, PC only = 100                                                                          Mobile (includes talk)
                                                                                                Tablet/iPad


                                                                             340         Tablet usage to
                                                                                         evolve further
                                                               282
                                                                             119         ▪ Home entertain-
                                                               100                           ment hub
                                    176                                                  ▪   Home automation
                                     65                                      147         ▪   Personal assistant
          100                                                  123
          18                                                                             ▪   Productivity device
           82                       111                                                  ▪   Focused experi-
                                                                59           74
                                                                                             ences



 PC (and mobile PC and Smart-                         PC and Smart-     PC and Smart-
 phone)         phone                                 phone and         phone and iPad
                                                      non-iPad tablet

SOURCE: iConsumer Survey US 2010; 13 - 64 year-old Internet users                            McKinsey & Company | 4
CONTENT AND USERS
Social networks becoming focal points for finding and sharing content

Daily time spent on social networks,
2008 - 10                                                           Importance of social network activities
Indexed, 2008 = 100                PC                               Percent of responses, top 2 boxes
                                                         Mobile
                                                                    Keeping up
                                                                                                               27
                                                       257          to date

                                                                    Searching for
                                                                                                          22
                                                                    content
                                  166
                                              153                   Researching
                                                                                                          22
                         126                                        products/services
   100 100                                                          Doing research
                                                                                                13
                                                                    for work/school

                                                                    Making/receiving
                                                                                                13
                                                                    recommendations

       2008                   09                  2010
                                                                    Importance increasing with tenure
                                                                    of membership


SOURCE: iConsumer Survey US 2010; 13 - 64 year-old Internet users                          McKinsey & Company | 5
CONTENT AND USERS
As content is getting personalized and turned into experiences,
the user base is becoming diverse and more willing to pay for content


               Content is increasingly mobile,   social,
               and user-generated


                                     Increasing share of localization, personal-
                                     ization and gamification of content



               Apps dominate mobile digital content
               and users are willing to pay




                                The user base for digital content is diversifying, with
                                more older users and rapid growth in emerging markets


SOURCE: McKinsey analysis                                                     McKinsey & Company | 6
CONTENT AND USERS
Content is increasingly experienced using apps –                                                                          IPAD EXAMPLE

consumers are learning to pay for content
91% of owners have
already downloaded                    … the majority have already paid to                              … and 60% of them paid
apps …                                download a wide variety of apps …                                for more than 10 apps
100% = all iPad owners                Top paid app downloads
Percent of users                      Percent of users                                                 Percent of users having down-
                                                                                                       loaded paid applications
                                       Games                                                  62
  Did not down-
  load an app                          Books                                              54                     100% =   100

          9                            Music                                             50            1 to 5              21
                                       Shopping                                       45
                                                                                                       6 to 10             19
                                       News and headlines                             45
                                       Celebrity and enter-
                                       tainment news                                 44                11 to 20            25
                                       Location and direction                        42
               91                      Movie schedules,
                                                                                     41                More than 20        35
                Downloaded             buying tickets
                an app                 Magazines                                     41
                                       Banking                                      39
                                                                                                       Early adopters spend
                                       Financial updates                            39                 on average
                                       Social networking                           37                  EUR 27/month
SOURCE: The Nielsen Company, "The increasingly connected consumer – connected devices", readwrite online poll,
                                                                                                                  McKinsey & Company | 7
        Dec 20 2010, OTO research/FullFX conducted in October 2010 with 270 iPad owners in France
Another legacy of Steve Jobs: paying for digital content

                 Subscription                                        Purchasing
                 Penetration by product                              Penetration by product

                                       20              28                                 28              33
Video1
                        7                                                 10

                                                                                                                             iPhone and iPad
                                       22              30                                 44              43
Audio2                                                                    20                                                 users are
                        8
                                                                                                                             2 - 4 times
                                                                                                                             more likely to
Gaming3                                25              32                                 23              31                 pay for digital
                       10                                                  9                                                 content


Reading4                               21              29                                                 23
                                                                                          14
                        7                                                  4

                   Overall         iPhone            iPad             Overall         iPhone            iPad

1 Subscription for premium video content, downloading movies/TV shows over the Internet
2 Streaming music subscription (e.g., Rhapsody), downloading music over the Internet (e.g., iTunes, MP3s)
3 Game subscriptions (e.g., World of Warcraft, multi-player games), purchasing virtual goods associated with online games
4 Online newspaper subscription (e.g., Wall Street Journal Online), digital books (e.g., books read on an eReader)

SOURCE: 2011 McKinsey iConsumer survey                                                                                      McKinsey & Company | 8
CONTENT AND USERS                                                                                 Different consumers
Consumers have distinct digital usage patterns                                                        Cross-experience
                                                                                                      Deep in a single
                                                                                                      experience
Online consumer segments and attributes relative to average respondent
Size of segment, percent                                                                              Non-digital

                                                                                           "Digital media
            "Traditionalists"                                                              junkies"


    79%                                                                                 3x
                       less time on                                      16                   more likely to be
                       social                                                                 early adopters of
                       networks                      30                                       new technologies

                                                                                   14      "Digital communi-
         "On-the-go workers"                                                               cators"
                                                                                                    more time spent
 3x         more mobile phone
            talk time vs. average
                                                      11
                                                              6
                                                                              13        3.2x        on social
                                                                                                    networking
                                                                    10

        "Professionals"                                                                  "Video Digerati"


       44%
                                                                                                more online

                                                                                        2.6x
                           more
                           e-mail vs.                      "Gamers"                             videos than
                                                                  more time

                                                   2.2x
                           average                                                              average viewer
                                                                  spent on video
                                                                  games/day

SOURCE: iConsumer Survey US 2010; 13 - 64 year-old Internet users                               McKinsey & Company | 9
ECOSYSTEMS
The ecosystem battle will heat up

From a
"PC world" ... ... to an ecosystem battle
                       Shipments by OS vendor                What's next?
                       Percent (100% in million shipments)
                                                             ▪ Will ecosystems converge to
                          100% =        55         100         an open standard or diverge?
                       Others                4        3        How will they differ?
                                    7             3
                       Microsoft                   15        ▪ What kind of content will be
                       RIM              20                     consumed on which devices?
                                                   16
                                                             ▪ Which players will shape
                       Apple




                       Nokia
                                        16




                                        44
                                                   30
                                                               the way forward?
                                                               – Ecosystem developers?
                                                                  (Apple, Google)
                                                               – Content providers?
                                                                  (Apple, Amazon)
                                                                                                       ?
                                                   33          – Hardware providers?
                                                                  (Apple, Samsung)
                       Google           9
                                                               – Social networks?
                                   Q4 2010       Q4 2011          (Facebook, Google)


SOURCE: CEA; Gartner                                                                  McKinsey & Company | 10
READERS
Tablets are beginning to influence print formats

Daily time spent reading, indexed to non-tablet/non-eReader owner


Newspaper home delivery                                 Magazine home delivery
subscribers                                             subscribers
                112                                                         107
    100          17                                                 100
                                                                            15      Tablets/eReaders
     14                                                             18
                 18                                                         19      Magazines
         38
                               39                                   45
                                                                             43     Books

         48                    38                                   37       30     Newspapers

   Without               Tablet/                           Without        Tablet/
   tablet/               eReader                           tablet/        eReader
   eReader               owners                            eReader        owners

                                                           How can newspaper and magazine publishers
                                                           adopt to the changes while capitalizing
                                                           on their existing strengths?

SOURCE: iConsumer Survey US 2010; 13 - 64 year-old Internet users                           McKinsey & Company | 11
READERS
Newspapers can still capitalize on their reputation                                       UK EXAMPLE

of providing trustworthy content

"Do you believe that news sections of general
Web sites are as trustworthy as newspapers?"
By age group, percent

                               No                            Yes
                                                                   Newspapers should leverage
16 - 24                        68                             32   their reputation of providing
                                                                   trustworthy information
25 - 34                      62                              38    to monetize consumer demand
                                                                   for serious news in the
35 - 44                       65                             35    digital world

45 - 54                         70                            30

55 - 64                         72                            28

65+                            68                             32



SOURCE: McKinsey Media and Entertainment News Survey, 2011                       McKinsey & Company | 12
Newspaper publishers can tackle the digital shift by building on their
brand, delivering high-quality news, and structuring their offers


                                Deliver the integrated news experience
                                across platforms and media to reach different
                                consumer segments – pricing is key

                                Get to scale in mobile to reach consumers on
                                high-growth platforms with an increasing willingness to
                                pay for content

                                Push multimedia storytelling leverage videos
                                and images and provide an interactive news experience
                                going beyond reading

                                Be more social and connect with consumers when
                                they share or search for content


                                Leverage “big data” develop data capabilities to
                                enhance insights and innovation


SOURCE: McKinsey                                                     McKinsey & Company | 13
McKinsey & Company | 14

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World Newspaper Congress 11: Technology Session, Adam Bird

  • 1. 63rd WORLD NEWSPAPER CONGRESS Session: Technology Titel: The new digital paradigm Speaker: Adam Bird Mark your calendar 64th WORLD NEWSPAPER CONGRESS 19th WORLD EDITORS FORUM Vienna, Reed Messe Wien www.wan-ifra.org/kiev2012
  • 2. The new digital paradigm Perspective on the digital future World Newspaper Congress Vienna, October 14, 2011 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
  • 3. The only certainty is …the pace of technological change will be relentless Number of e-mails sent Data processed per Total minutes spent on every second? day by Google? Facebook each month? 2.9 million 24 petabytes 700 billion Content uploaded to Data consumed by Tweets per day? YouTube per minute? households each day? 20 hours 375 megabytes 50 million Data sent and received Products ordered on by mobile Internet users? Amazon per second? Connectivity creates data to 1.3 exabytes 72.9 items be leveraged … SOURCE: McKinsey McKinsey & Company | 1
  • 4. The digital world is changing fundamentally across multiple dimensions Technology is driving digital content to mobile and multi-device use Delivery of content is changing – (social, mobile, location), users are becoming more diverse New ecosystems and platforms are emerging – no clarity on the end game yet Younger readers are less interested in news than older readers, but all consider newspapers a good and trustworthy source SOURCE: McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company | 2
  • 5. TECHNOLOGY Smartphones are increasingly becoming the digital all-purpose tool Smartphone owners using phone Change as primary device for activity, 2010 2009 - 10 Percentage PPT1 Non-voice communication 81 +2 30% Location-based of iPhone users 74 +3 services even prefer their phones over Audio/video 48 +2 PCs for e-mail and Internet Browsing/ 43 +7 reading Entertainment 43 +6 Commerce 34 +8 Growth in US mobile marketing spend +74% per year in 2007 -12 1 Percentage points SOURCE: iConsumer US 2009 - 10, 13 - 64 year-old Internet users McKinsey & Company | 3
  • 6. TECHNOLOGY Consumers with multiple devices spend more time overall and on each device individually Time spent on owned devices PC Indexed, PC only = 100 Mobile (includes talk) Tablet/iPad 340 Tablet usage to evolve further 282 119 ▪ Home entertain- 100 ment hub 176 ▪ Home automation 65 147 ▪ Personal assistant 100 123 18 ▪ Productivity device 82 111 ▪ Focused experi- 59 74 ences PC (and mobile PC and Smart- PC and Smart- PC and Smart- phone) phone phone and phone and iPad non-iPad tablet SOURCE: iConsumer Survey US 2010; 13 - 64 year-old Internet users McKinsey & Company | 4
  • 7. CONTENT AND USERS Social networks becoming focal points for finding and sharing content Daily time spent on social networks, 2008 - 10 Importance of social network activities Indexed, 2008 = 100 PC Percent of responses, top 2 boxes Mobile Keeping up 27 257 to date Searching for 22 content 166 153 Researching 22 126 products/services 100 100 Doing research 13 for work/school Making/receiving 13 recommendations 2008 09 2010 Importance increasing with tenure of membership SOURCE: iConsumer Survey US 2010; 13 - 64 year-old Internet users McKinsey & Company | 5
  • 8. CONTENT AND USERS As content is getting personalized and turned into experiences, the user base is becoming diverse and more willing to pay for content Content is increasingly mobile, social, and user-generated Increasing share of localization, personal- ization and gamification of content Apps dominate mobile digital content and users are willing to pay The user base for digital content is diversifying, with more older users and rapid growth in emerging markets SOURCE: McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company | 6
  • 9. CONTENT AND USERS Content is increasingly experienced using apps – IPAD EXAMPLE consumers are learning to pay for content 91% of owners have already downloaded … the majority have already paid to … and 60% of them paid apps … download a wide variety of apps … for more than 10 apps 100% = all iPad owners Top paid app downloads Percent of users Percent of users Percent of users having down- loaded paid applications Games 62 Did not down- load an app Books 54 100% = 100 9 Music 50 1 to 5 21 Shopping 45 6 to 10 19 News and headlines 45 Celebrity and enter- tainment news 44 11 to 20 25 Location and direction 42 91 Movie schedules, 41 More than 20 35 Downloaded buying tickets an app Magazines 41 Banking 39 Early adopters spend Financial updates 39 on average Social networking 37 EUR 27/month SOURCE: The Nielsen Company, "The increasingly connected consumer – connected devices", readwrite online poll, McKinsey & Company | 7 Dec 20 2010, OTO research/FullFX conducted in October 2010 with 270 iPad owners in France
  • 10. Another legacy of Steve Jobs: paying for digital content Subscription Purchasing Penetration by product Penetration by product 20 28 28 33 Video1 7 10 iPhone and iPad 22 30 44 43 Audio2 20 users are 8 2 - 4 times more likely to Gaming3 25 32 23 31 pay for digital 10 9 content Reading4 21 29 23 14 7 4 Overall iPhone iPad Overall iPhone iPad 1 Subscription for premium video content, downloading movies/TV shows over the Internet 2 Streaming music subscription (e.g., Rhapsody), downloading music over the Internet (e.g., iTunes, MP3s) 3 Game subscriptions (e.g., World of Warcraft, multi-player games), purchasing virtual goods associated with online games 4 Online newspaper subscription (e.g., Wall Street Journal Online), digital books (e.g., books read on an eReader) SOURCE: 2011 McKinsey iConsumer survey McKinsey & Company | 8
  • 11. CONTENT AND USERS Different consumers Consumers have distinct digital usage patterns Cross-experience Deep in a single experience Online consumer segments and attributes relative to average respondent Size of segment, percent Non-digital "Digital media "Traditionalists" junkies" 79% 3x less time on 16 more likely to be social early adopters of networks 30 new technologies 14 "Digital communi- "On-the-go workers" cators" more time spent 3x more mobile phone talk time vs. average 11 6 13 3.2x on social networking 10 "Professionals" "Video Digerati" 44% more online 2.6x more e-mail vs. "Gamers" videos than more time 2.2x average average viewer spent on video games/day SOURCE: iConsumer Survey US 2010; 13 - 64 year-old Internet users McKinsey & Company | 9
  • 12. ECOSYSTEMS The ecosystem battle will heat up From a "PC world" ... ... to an ecosystem battle Shipments by OS vendor What's next? Percent (100% in million shipments) ▪ Will ecosystems converge to 100% = 55 100 an open standard or diverge? Others 4 3 How will they differ? 7 3 Microsoft 15 ▪ What kind of content will be RIM 20 consumed on which devices? 16 ▪ Which players will shape Apple Nokia 16 44 30 the way forward? – Ecosystem developers? (Apple, Google) – Content providers? (Apple, Amazon) ? 33 – Hardware providers? (Apple, Samsung) Google 9 – Social networks? Q4 2010 Q4 2011 (Facebook, Google) SOURCE: CEA; Gartner McKinsey & Company | 10
  • 13. READERS Tablets are beginning to influence print formats Daily time spent reading, indexed to non-tablet/non-eReader owner Newspaper home delivery Magazine home delivery subscribers subscribers 112 107 100 17 100 15 Tablets/eReaders 14 18 18 19 Magazines 38 39 45 43 Books 48 38 37 30 Newspapers Without Tablet/ Without Tablet/ tablet/ eReader tablet/ eReader eReader owners eReader owners How can newspaper and magazine publishers adopt to the changes while capitalizing on their existing strengths? SOURCE: iConsumer Survey US 2010; 13 - 64 year-old Internet users McKinsey & Company | 11
  • 14. READERS Newspapers can still capitalize on their reputation UK EXAMPLE of providing trustworthy content "Do you believe that news sections of general Web sites are as trustworthy as newspapers?" By age group, percent No Yes Newspapers should leverage 16 - 24 68 32 their reputation of providing trustworthy information 25 - 34 62 38 to monetize consumer demand for serious news in the 35 - 44 65 35 digital world 45 - 54 70 30 55 - 64 72 28 65+ 68 32 SOURCE: McKinsey Media and Entertainment News Survey, 2011 McKinsey & Company | 12
  • 15. Newspaper publishers can tackle the digital shift by building on their brand, delivering high-quality news, and structuring their offers Deliver the integrated news experience across platforms and media to reach different consumer segments – pricing is key Get to scale in mobile to reach consumers on high-growth platforms with an increasing willingness to pay for content Push multimedia storytelling leverage videos and images and provide an interactive news experience going beyond reading Be more social and connect with consumers when they share or search for content Leverage “big data” develop data capabilities to enhance insights and innovation SOURCE: McKinsey McKinsey & Company | 13