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Research Journal of Finance and Accounting
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online)
Vol.4, No.13, 2013

www.iiste.org

Risk Adjusted Performance Analysis of NBFIs in Dhaka Stock
Exchange
Md. Zakir Hosen1*, Md. Takibur Rahman 1, Kumar Debasis Dutta2
1. Department of Accounting & Information Systems, Patuakhali Science and Technology University,
Bangladesh
2. Department of Finance and Banking, Patuakhali Science and Technology University, Bangladesh
* E-mail of the corresponding author: zakir@pstu.ac.bd
Abstract
Non-Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs) are emerging day by day as an integral part of the Bangladesh
economy. For establishing a vibrant capital market along with the BFIs, existence and involvement of NBFIs
have immense importance in a growing economy like Bangladesh. So the performance of NBFI is becoming a
focal point for this developing economy. This paper aimed at measuring risk-adjusted performance of 19 NBFIs
listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) based on their month-end closing price. For this purpose various risk
measuring tools have been used. Return of about 53% selected NBFIs found superior as compared to benchmark,
DSI (DSE all Share Index). It is found that despite some constraints, the industry as a whole is performing
reasonably better. NBFIs can be the key player of financial intermediation if they are provided with adequate
assistance.
Keyword: NBFIs, Performance, Risk Adjusted, Stock Exchange
1. Introduction
NBFIs represent one of the most important parts of a financial system. In Bangladesh, NBFIs are new in the
financial system as compared to banking financial institutions (BFIs). Starting from the IPDC in 1981, a total of
22 NBFIs are listed in DSE. The NBFIs industry in Bangladesh consists of primarily the development financial
institutions, leasing companies, investment companies and merchant banks. At this backdrop, in order to ensure
flow of term loans and to meet the credit gap, NBFIs can play an important role. This paper attempts to depict a
present scenario of NBFIs in Bangladesh, its market performance, and assessment of risk and return elements.
To analyze the industry scenario some traditional techniques are used here to measure the performance in terms
of risk and return where these are calculated separately. But to measure risk adjusted performance of the share of
NBFIs, the risk-return relation models given by Sharpe (1966), Treynor (1965) and Jensen (1968) have been
applied in which return is measured in terms of risk taken or absorbed. Therefore in this paper we have used
traditional and risk adjusted performance measuring tools to measure the performance of selected NBFIs by
decomposing systematic and unsystematic risks.
2. Literature Review
Though Extensive research has been conducted on NBFIs in Bangladesh, but most of them are focused on the
role of NBFIs in Bangladesh economy. For instance Ahmed, N. Chowdhury, M. I. (2007) did an analytical
review of NBFIs and Hossain, M., Shahiduzzaman (2003) conducted a study on “Development of Non Bank
Financial Institution to strengthen the financial system of Bangladesh”. However, very limited studies have been
conducted to evaluate the performance which reflects the risk return characteristics of NBSIs of Bangladesh and
compare them to the market benchmark.
3. Methodology of the study
3.1. Sample selection:
This study is mainly consisted of secondary data such as websites of DSE, SEC and respective NBFIs. We used
convenient sampling technique and analyzed the selected NBFIs over the closest period of time. The sample is
collected from population having at least three years of operation starting from 2009 to 2011. Thereby, 19
companies were selected out of 22 listed NBFIs, whereas there 31 NBFIs are in operation. On the basis of
regular data availability for past 36 months NBFIs were selected for the study (appendix 1).
3.2. Selection of Index
DSE has three indices namely DSI (DSE all Share Index), DSE 20 (include top 20 share or blue chips), DSE
general (except Z category) index. As the DSI is served as a benchmark and barometer for all shares category, it
is being used in this study.
3.3. Analysis of data
The following tools and techniques used to measure the Risk, Return and performance of NBFIs:

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Research Journal of Finance and Accounting
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online)
Vol.4, No.13, 2013

www.iiste.org

Table 1: Tools used in the paper
Performance Measure
Tools

Equation
CL.Pt − CL.Pt −1 + D
R st =
CL.Pt −1

Return
Return (Ignoring Dividend Yield)
Mean Return

Rs =

CL.Pt − CL.Pt −1
CL.Pt −1

R st =

n

Traditional
Measure

∑
t =1

Return
Market Return

R mt =

Mean Return of market portfolio

Rm =

R St
n

I t − I t −1
I t −1
n

∑
t −1

R mt
n

Annualized rate of return

(1 + Average Monthly Return) 12 − 1

Expected return

Ki = Krf +ÎČ (Km- Krf)

Standard deviation

σ=

Systematic risk

(σj)(ρjM)

Unsystematic risk

σj(1-ρjM)

Variance

σ2 =

Σ(R st − R s ) 2
N -1

Σ(R st − R s ) 2
N -1

CV =

Traditional Risk Measure Coefficient of variation
Covariance

σ
Rs

COVij =

Σ(R i − R i )(R j − R j )
N −1

COVij

Coefficient of correlation

rij =

Beta Coefficient

ÎČ im =

σi × σ j

COVim
σ2
m
AR P − AR F
σP

Sharpe Ratio

AR P − AR F
ÎČP

Risk
Adjusted
Treynor Ratio
Performance Measure
Jensen Alpha
Fama’s net selectivity

αp = Rp – E(Rp)
Rp – [Rf + (σi/σm)(Rm - Rf)]

4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Return earned by the NBFIs in Bangladesh
In table 2, we have calculated the return earned by the NBFIs as against the return on the stock market index for
the period from January 2009 to December 2011. Using traditional return measurement tools, return for the
individual NBFI and the market has been calculated based on monthly average and monthly index value (DSI),
respectively (Table 1).

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Research Journal of Finance and Accounting
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online)
Vol.4, No.13, 2013

www.iiste.org

Table 2: Annualized return of the NBFIs
NBFIs
Annualized Return Return below market Return above market
DSI
29.80%
IDLC
12.62%
√
ULC
29.79%
√
MIDASFIN
35.30%
√
FLEASEINT 92.40%
√
PRFIN
41.26%
√
PRMLEA
63.19%
√
ISLFIN
15.82%
√
ILFSL
34.55%
√
ICB
27.92%
√
BDFIN
-9.39%
√
UTTFIN
41.40%
√
LBFIN
16.45%
√
BIFC
31.17%
√
IPDC
0.39%
√
UNICAP
5.95%
√
PHNXFIN
50.73%
√
FASFIN
41.29%
√
DBH
38.34%
√
NHFIL
16.88%
√
Percentage
9/19= 47.36%
10/19= 52.64%
It is observed that FLEASEINT has the highest return followed by PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, PRFIN, UTTFIN, and
FASFIN. The top four returns are ranging from 92.4% to 41.4%. Out of 19 companies 10 companies (52.64%)
have mean return above their corresponding market return which is fairly a good indicator. However, returns of 9
shares are below the market. Among which, IPDC has very low return in comparison with others. The worst
performer is BDFIN which has negative return. Except IPDC, UNICAP and BDFIN have usual and moderate
return. The comparative scenario of return among the selected NBFIs and DSI give an idea that the industry is
performing well on an average.
4.2. Risk associated with the NBFIs
Absolute measure of risk:
Standard deviation measures the total risk of a security in absolute term. The higher the standard deviation is, the
higher the risk inherent in the security. In Figure 2 the corresponding standard deviation of the NBFIs are plotted.
The market has the standard deviation of 7.65% (Appendix 2). All the selected NBFIs are bearing higher risk
than the market. BDFIN represents the highest variability. PRFIN has the standard deviation of 17.77% followed
by ULC which has 15.73% and other shares are either equal or below 15%.
Relative measure of risk:
Co-efficient of variation is a relative measure of risk which is depicted in Figure 1. In our study, the IPDC shows
the maximum risk per unit of return of 26.39% (Appendix 2). Among others UNICAP (1.90) and IDLC (1.04)
have CVs greater than 1 and ISLFIN (0.83), NHFIL (0.79) and LBFIN (0.68) also exhibit higher CV.

Figure 1: Co-efficient of variation of the NBFIs
The negative CV -2.37% is attributed to BDFIN. FLEASEINT (0.17) has the lowest positive Co-efficient of
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Research Journal of Finance and Accounting
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online)
Vol.4, No.13, 2013

www.iiste.org

variation. Except these other NBFIs have the Co-efficient of variation in the range of 0.19 to 0.53. The Coefficient of variation exhibits that the selected NBFIs have moderate risk per unit of return. Figure 1 excludes the
CV of IPDC (26.39%) for illustrating the disparity among CVs of other NBFIs and the market distinctly.
Interactive Risk Measure
Covariance is the statistical measure that indicates the interactive risk of a security relative to others in a
portfolio of securities. The Coefficient of correlation, measures the strength and the direction of a linear
relationship between two variables. The Coefficient of determination is a measure used in statistical model
analysis to assess how well a model explains and predicts future outcomes. Appendix 2 summarizes the
Coefficient of correlation, Coefficient of determination and Covariance respectively which are the interactive
risk measures of the selected NBFIs for this study.
None of the selected NBFIs have resulted any negative covariance and correlation coefficient, which indicates
that all these shares moves in same direction consistently with market portfolio. Among the entire sample,
FLEASEINT results the highest covariance which express the co-movement corresponding to market. ICB
yields the lowest covariance that means its poor performance relative to the market index. All the rests are
moderately correlated with the market.
The standardized measure i.e. correlation coefficient represent a bit different idea than the covariance. In this
case, UTTFIN shows the highest (0.7355) positive correlation, followed by ILFSL (0.7123). ICB and BDFIN
have the lowest correlation with the market.
High value of the R2 shows higher diversification of the portfolio that can easily contain the market variability. It
is found from in Appendix 2 that the ILFSL has the highest R2 value, followed by UTTFIN and IPDC which
indicates that these shares have reasonably exploited the diversification strategy for forming their portfolio.
Lower values of R2 as found for ICB and BDFIN suggest that they are inadequately diversified.
Measuring systematic risk
Standard deviation and variance both measure the risk of a security in absolute term. Again, the coefficient of
variation expresses the riskiness in terms of per unit of return. Furthermore, Beta signifies the sensitivity of the
return on the shares of NBFIs in comparison to the movement of the market index.
Figure 3 exhibits that out of the 19 NBFIs the FLEASEINT shows the highest ÎČ, which is 1.41 i.e.
FLEASEINT’s volatility is almost one and half times than the market. Subsequent higher ÎČ is found in case of
PHNXFIN followed by UTTFIN. The ÎČ of IDLC, ULC, MIDASFIN, PRFIN, ISLFIN, and BIFC are almost
equally risky to market. ICB has lowest ÎČ that indicates its lower volatility. It is notable that all other securities
of NBFIs are below 1.00 but not less than 0.5. Therefore, we can conclude that, the shares of NBFIs in
Bangladesh are moderately responsive to the volatility of the market.
Decomposing systematic and unsystematic risk
Standard deviation is the measure of total risk of a particular security which need to be decomposed into
systematic and unsystematic by the following equation.
Total Risk (σj) = Systematic risk [(σj) (ρjM)] + Unsystematic risk [σj(1-ρjM)]
In the equations ρjM is the correlation coefficient between the returns of a given stock and the return on market
portfolio.

Figure 2: Systematic, Unsystematic and Total risk of the NBFIs
In Appendix 2, the sums of the systematic and unsystematic agree with the standard deviation of respective
NBFI derived earlier, and verify the precision of the analysis. it is apparent that, UTTFIN has the highest

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ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online)
Vol.4, No.13, 2013

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systematic risk (0.09627) followed by ULC (0.09097), FLEASEINT (0.08903), PRFIN (0.08839) and
PHNXFIN (0.08463) also shows higher systematic risk as found in the graph of systematic risk (ÎČ). Likewise,
ICB and BDFIN exhibit lowest systematic risk. All other securities’ systematic risk also agrees with the prior
risk measured by beta.
The highest unsystematic risk attributed to BDFIN is 0.16241 and followed by ICB is 0.10541. So the company
should focus more on the managerial efficiency and different strategic level to reduce the unsystematic risk and
diversify it away. The lower unsystematic risk observed in case of ILFSL is 0.03100, IPDC is 0.03442, UTTFIN
is 0.03462, and LBFIN is 0.0405. To perpetuate the risk level, company must strive to retain the current
performance. The rest of the securities have shown a moderate level of risk ranging from 0.08933(PRFIN) to
0.04273 (BIFC).

Figure 3: Beta coefficient and Systematic risk of the NBFIs
4.3. Determining Undervalued and Overvalued securities
From Table 3 of expected return versus actual or estimated return (which is annualized return that derived at
Table 2). It is found that 8 out of 19 shares are overvalued i.e. about 42% selected NBFIs are overvalued. One
share (BIFC) is almost equally priced at its expectation. All other shares i.e. 10 out of 19 are undervalued and
approximately 58% of the selected NBFIs are attractive to invest. Hence it can conclude that, the market for
NBFIs in DSE, Bangladesh is moderately efficient. This comparative study can also guide us about the investing
decision regarding selected NBFIs of the Dhaka stock exchange. Among the undervalued NBFIs FLEASEINT,
PRMLEA, PHNXFIN are more attractive to invest, as these companies are significantly undervalued. On the
other hand BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP are significantly overvalued. However, we know that the expected
return vary with the level of systematic risk (ÎČ). Hence, the FLEASEINT, PHNXFIN, UTTFIN, and ULC offer
higher rate of expected return.

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ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online)
Vol.4, No.13, 2013

Table 3: Comparison of actual and expected return
NBFIs
Annualized Average
R(IDLC)
12.62
R(ULC)
29.79
R(MIDASFIN)
35.30
R(FLEASEINT) 92.40
R(PRFIN)
41.26
R(PRMLEA)
63.19
R(ISLFIN)
15.82
R(ILFSL)
34.55
R(ICB)
27.92
R(BDFIN)
-9.39
R(UTTFIN)
41.40
R(LBFIN)
16.45
R(BIFC)
31.17
R(IPDC)
0.39
R(UNICAP)
5.95
R(PHNXFIN)
50.73
R(FASFIN)
41.29
R(DBH)
38.34
R(NHFIL)
16.88

Percentage

-

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Expected return
30.98
32.58
30.04
37.11
31.99
28.29
31.11
29.36
20.91
29.76
33.77
28.07
31.09
27.58
27.51
36.30
28.03
26.82
26.00
-

Overvalued
√
√

Undervalued
√
√
√
√

√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√

8
≈ 42%
19

11
≈ 58%
19

4.4. Risk Adjusted Performance Measure:
Sharpe Ratio – Reward to Variability
Sharpe ratio is excess returns earned over risk-free return (Rf) per unit of risk i.e., per unit of standard deviation
(Appendix 2). Positive value of Sharpe ratio indicates better performance. In case of the selected 19 NBFIs,
FLEASEINT and PRMLEA have higher value of Sharpe Ratio (Appendix 2). PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, FASFIN,
and DBH have shown their existence of adequate return as against the level of risk involved. Thus, the investors
of these shares have been rewarded well on their invested money. Three companies explicitly, BDFIN, IPDC,
and UNICAP have failed to beat the market and possess the negative Sharpe ratio. Again, 5 out of 19 NBFIs
contain positive Sharpe ratio greater than the market.
Treynor Ratio – Reward to Volatility
Treynor ratio measures the excess return earned over risk-free return per unit of systematic risk i.e., beta. Figure
4 depicts the value of Treynor ratio for the individual NBFIs and the market portfolio. And the values of the
Treynor ratio are given in column 15 Appendix 2. Figure 4 is exhibiting that the major observations reflect the
similar findings regarding Sharpe and Treynor ratio. FLEASEINT, PRMLEA, FASFIN, ICB, DBH and others
are showing the value of superior performance and BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP are the worst performers
according to this measure. 11 out of 19 NBFIs have higher Treynor Ratio than the market benchmark, DSI.
Jensen Alpha (α): Differential Return
In this study, 11 out of 19 NBFIs i.e. almost 58% NBFIs have positive α presumably indicates the superior
management skill of the selected NBFIs. Among them FASFIN, FLEASEINT, PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, are
representing superior performance (Table 4 & Appendix 2). These NBFIs are able to ‘beat the market’ and are
able to generate abnormal return over their theoretical return. On the other hand 8 out of 19 NBFIs i.e. almost
42% NBFIs have negative alpha. The expected returns of these NBFIs are higher than actual return. The negative
value of these NBFIs indicates that their management is failed to increase actual returns above those that are
purely a reward for bearing market risk. Securities of these NBFIs are overpriced and not preferable to invest.
However, Jensen measure also supports the conclusion drawn in previous performance parameter. The values of
the Jensen Alpha are found in column 16 Appendix 2.
Fama’s net selectivity
Selectivity is the skill of the fund manager to select undervalued securities. Except FLEASEINT, PRMLEA,
PHNXFIN, FASFIN, and DBH all other selectivity measures are negative (Table 4& Appendix 2). So, investors
are benefited out of the selectivity of these securities.

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ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online)
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Figure 4: Sharpe and Treynor Ratio
4.5. Synopsis of Risk adjusted performance measures
According to Table 4& Appendix 2, 16 NBFIs have positive Sharpe ratio, and 3 out of 19 NBFIs has negative
Sharpe ratio. BDFIN, IPDC and UNICAP have negative Sharpe ratio. Treynor ratio has also produced identical
results to Sharpe ratio. Both Sharpe and Treynor ratio have 3 NBFIs resulting negative ratio and 16 NBFIs have
positive ratio i.e. 16 percent and 84 percent of selected NBFIs has negative and positive ratio respectively
regarding these ratios (Table 4& Appendix 2). According to Jensen alpha, 8 NBFIs have negative alpha and 11
out of 19 have positive alpha (Table 4). Jensen alpha tells that around 58 percent of the selected NBFIs is able to
‘beat the market’ i.e. producing positive abnormal return over the theoretical return. Out of the 19 NBFIs 14
have negative net selectivity. Results produced by Fama’s net selectivity model support the results produced
under Jensen model. Summary of Risk Adjusted performance measuring tools present in the Table 4.
Table 4: Synopsis of Risk adjusted performance measures
Fama’s
Net
NBFIs
Sharpe Ratio
Treynor Ratio
Jensen α
Selectivity
IDLC
+ve; under performer
+ve; under performer
Negative
Negative
ULC
+ve; under performer
+ve; under performer
Negative
Negative
Positive
MIDASFIN
+ve; under performer
+ve; over performer
Negative
Positive
FLEASEINT
+ve; over performer
+ve; over performer
Positive
Positive
PRFIN
+ve; under performer
+ve; over performer
Negative
Positive
PRMLEA
+ve; over performer
+ve; over performer
Positive
ISLFIN
ILFSL
ICB
BDFIN

+ve; under performer
+ve; under performer
+ve; under performer
-ve; under performer

+ve; under performer
+ve; over performer
+ve; over performer
-ve; under performer

Negative
Positive
Positive
Negative

Negative
Negative
Negative
Negative

UTTFIN
LBFIN
BIFC
IPDC
UNICAP
PHNXFIN

+ve; under performer
+ve; under performer
+ve; under performer
-ve; under performer
-ve; under performer
+ve; over performer

+ve; over performer
+ve; under performer
+ve; under performer
-ve; under performer
-ve; under performer
+ve; over performer

FASFIN
DBH
NHFIL
Positive% and
(Negative)%

+ve; over performer
+ve; over performer
+ve; under performer
84.2%,
(15.8%)

+ve; over performer
+ve; over performer
+ve; under performer
84.2%,
(15.8%)

Positive
Negative
Positive
Negative
Negative
Positive
Positive

Negative
Negative
Negative
Negative
Negative
Positive
Positive

Positive
Negative
57.8%,
(42.2%)

Positive
Negative
26.3%,
(73.7%)

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[Note: Under-performer denotes situation where the Specific Share Performance is BELOW than the Market;
Over-Performer situation where the Specific Share Performance is ABOVE than the Market.]
4.6. Overall Performance of the NBFIs
Actually the study covers a limited time horizon, so the findings are not so consistent to reflect the genuine trend
of the NBFIs. However results as obtained by using different statistical tools presented in earlier paragraph can
be summarized below:
Out of 19 companies 10 companies (52.64%) have mean return above corresponding market return.
However, returns of 9 shares are below the market.
The standard deviation of the market during the studied period is 7.65%. All 19 NBFIs have higher
standard deviation than the market.
The shares of NBFIs are moderately responsive to the volatility of the market.
8 out of 19 shares are overvalued i.e. about 42% selected NBFIs are overvalued and 10 out of 19 are
undervalued and approximately 58% of the selected NBFIs are attractive to invest.
8 out of 19 NBFIs i.e. almost 42% NBFIs have negative alpha. 11 out of 19 NBFIs i.e. almost 58% NBFIs
have positive α presumably indicates the superior management skill of the selected NBFIs.
On the basis of realized rate of return FLEASEINT, PRFIN, PRMLEA, UTTFIN, PHNXFIN, FASFIN and
DBH perform excellently. The BDFIN showed the negative return as well as negative co-efficient of
variation. Again, it has the highest variability in case of absolute measure of risk.
In our study, the IPDC has highest Co-efficient of variation i.e. the maximum risk per unit of return
(317.20). FLEASEINT and ICB have the highest and lowest covariance respectively. Observing the result
of co-efficient of correlation, we can say that ILFSL, UTTFIN, and IPDC have reasonably exploited the
diversification strategy and opposite state is prevailing in case of ICB and BDFIN.
The volatility measure tells that FLEASEINT, PHNXFIN, UTTFIN, and ULC are highly volatile to the
market. All other are less volatile but none of the shares’ beta is less than 0.5.
FLEASEINT and PRMLEA have higher value of Sharpe Ratio. PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, FASFIN, and DBH
have shown their existence of adequate return as against the level of risk involved. Three companies
explicitly, BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP have failed to beat the market and possess the negative Sharpe
ratio.
Observing the result of different ratio (SR, TR, DR), we can say that BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP results
negative performance. In all most everywhere, FLEASEINT, PRMLEA UTTFIN, ILFSL, PHNXFIN,
FASFIN, and DBH produce higher ratio. The results of Fama’s Net Selectivity highlight the grandeur of
these institutions.
The overall analysis suggests that, FLEASEINT, PRMLEA are the best performer. After that UTTFIN,
ILFSL, PHNXFIN, FASFIN and DBH can be placed respectively. The poorest performers are the BDFIN
and IPDC. Furthermore, the performance of ICB, ISLFIN, LBFIN, and NHFIL is not satisfactory.

5. Conclusion
The main objective of this paper was to measure the risk adjusted performance of NBFIs based on monthly
average price. The existing 31 NBFIs attained a great collective growth over the past years, but individually
some of them are struggling yet to improve. Bangladesh is in stiff short-term liquidity crunch due to
unavailability of funds from the banking system which has its pervasive impact on the performance of the
selected NBFIs. From the result of analysis it is evident that overall performance of the NBFIs are moderately
superior to benchmark market index return. But, interference of banking institutions in non-bank activities is not
desirable. Basically, banks are doing some business that they are not supposed to do. Borrowing short and
lending long creates a mismatch in financial system and hampers the growth of NBFIs. Moreover, recent
instability in stock market, lack of confidence of investor, volatile margin rule and regulatory indecision are
causing a very tough time for this industry. Government along with all related parties should come forward to
direct this sector to right way.
References
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Besley Scott, Brigham F. Eugene.(2013). “Essentials of Managerial Finance”. 14th edition Thomson southwestern.
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Jaydev, M. (1996). “Mutual Fund Performance: An analysis of Monthly Returns.” Finance India, X (1), 73-84.
Paudel, N. P (2002). “Investing in Shares of Commercial Banks in Nepal: An Assessment of Return and Risk
Elements”, Nepal: Economic Review: Occasional Paper

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Hossain, M., shahiduzzaman (2003). “Development of Non Bank Financial Institutions to Strengthen the
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Appendix1: Name of the selected sample and their trading code to the Dhaka Stock Exchange
Name of the NBFI
Trading Code
i.
Bangladesh Industrial Finance Company Limited
BIFC
ii.
Bangladesh Finance and Investment Co. Ltd.
BDFIN
iii.
Delta BRAC Housing Finance Corporation Limited
DBH
iv.
FAS Finance and Investment Limited
FASFIN
v.
First Lease Finance and Investment Limited
FLEASEINT
vi.
Industrial Development Leasing Company
IDLC
vii.
International Leasing and Financial Services Limited
ILFSL
viii.
Islamic Finance and Investment Limited
ISLFIN
ix.
Lanka Bangla Finance Limited
LBFIN
x.
MIDAS Financing Limited
MIDASFIN
xi.
National Housing Finance And Investments Limited
NHFIL
xii.
Phoenix Finance and Investments Limited
PHNXFIN
xiii.
Premier Leasing and Finance Limited
PRMLEA
xiv.
Prime Finance and Investment Ltd
PRFIN
xv.
Union Capital Limited
UNICAP
xvi.
United Leasing Company Limited
ULC
xvii.
Uttara Finance and Investments Limited
UTTFIN
xviii.
Investment Corporation of Bangladesh
ICB
xix.
Industrial Promotion and Development Company of IPDC
Bangladesh Limited
Appendix 2: Statistical results at a glance
NBFIs

r

R2

CovarianceÎČ

7

8

9

0.64
0.58
0.52
0.58
0.50
0.61
0.61
0.71
0.27

40.66
33.45
26.67
33.45
24.74
36.83
36.83
50.74
7.40

0.00624
0.00677
0.00593
0.00826
0.00658
0.00536
0.00628
0.00571
0.00293

10
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.0
1.4
1.1
0.9
1.1
1.0
0.5

0.05

-27.25 0.27 7.40 0.00584

1.0

0.02
0.01
0.01

4.47
8.73
5.15

0.74 54.09 0.00716
0.64 40.58 0.00529
0.64 40.58 0.00628

1.2
0.9
1.1

10.33

0.01

317.200.67 44.47 0.00512

0.9

5.95

11.33

0.01

23.45 0.61 36.65 0.00510

0.9

50.73
41.29
38.34
16.88

13.98
12.15
11.15
13.31

0.02
0.01
0.01
0.02

4.02
4.16
4.07
10.18

1.4
0.9
0.8
0.8

Average Return Annualized AverageStandard DeviationVaria-nceCV

1
2
DSI
2.20
IDLC
1.00
ULC
2.20
MIDASFIN 2.55
FLEASEINT5.60
PRFIN
2.92
PRMLEA 4.17
ISLFIN
1.23
ILFSL
2.50
ICB
2.07

3
29.80
12.62
29.79
35.30
92.40
41.26
63.19
15.82
34.55
27.92

4
7.65
13.16
15.73
15.44
15.39
17.77
11.87
13.13
10.77
14.48

5
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02

6
3.48
13.22
7.16
6.05
2.75
6.09
2.85
10.66
4.30
6.98

BDFIN

-0.82

-9.39

22.31

UTTFIN
LBFIN
BIFC

2.93
1.28
2.29

41.40
16.45
31.17

13.09
11.16
11.77

IPDC

0.03

0.39

UNICAP

0.48

PHNXFIN
FASFIN
DBH
NHFIL

3.48
2.92
2.74
1.31

0.61
0.58
0.59
0.59

129

36.65
34.02
34.50
34.50

0.00799
0.00527
0.00487
0.00460

Systema- Unsystem- Expected
S.R T.R α
tic Risk atic Risk Return
11
12
13
14 15 16
2.330.18
0.08
0.05
30.98
0.050.01-0.18
0.09
0.07
32.58
1.130.15-0.03
0.08
0.07
30.04
1.510.230.05
0.09
0.06
37.11
5.220.570.55
0.09
0.09
31.99
1.650.260.09
0.07
0.05
28.29
4.310.560.35
0.08
0.05
31.11
0.290.04-0.15
0.08
0.03
29.36
2.090.230.05
0.04
0.11
20.91
1.100.320.07
0.06
0.16
29.76
-0.39
0.96 0.21
0.10
0.03
33.77
2.250.240.08
0.07
0.04
28.07
0.400.05-0.12
0.07
0.04
31.09
1.630.180.00
0.07
0.03
27.58
-0.27
1.12 0.13
0.07
0.04
27.51
-0.22
0.53 0.07
0.08
0.06
36.30
2.770.280.14
0.07
0.05
28.03
2.410.330.13
0.07
0.05
26.82
2.360.320.12
0.06
0.07
26.00
0.370.06-0.09

Net
Selectivity
17
-0.30
-0.19
-0.13
0.45
-0.12
0.24
-0.27
-0.03
-0.18
-0.73
-0.01
-0.22
-0.08
-0.36
-0.32
0.06
0.01
0.00
-0.26
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Risk-adjusted performance analysis of NBFIs

  • 1. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 www.iiste.org Risk Adjusted Performance Analysis of NBFIs in Dhaka Stock Exchange Md. Zakir Hosen1*, Md. Takibur Rahman 1, Kumar Debasis Dutta2 1. Department of Accounting & Information Systems, Patuakhali Science and Technology University, Bangladesh 2. Department of Finance and Banking, Patuakhali Science and Technology University, Bangladesh * E-mail of the corresponding author: zakir@pstu.ac.bd Abstract Non-Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs) are emerging day by day as an integral part of the Bangladesh economy. For establishing a vibrant capital market along with the BFIs, existence and involvement of NBFIs have immense importance in a growing economy like Bangladesh. So the performance of NBFI is becoming a focal point for this developing economy. This paper aimed at measuring risk-adjusted performance of 19 NBFIs listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) based on their month-end closing price. For this purpose various risk measuring tools have been used. Return of about 53% selected NBFIs found superior as compared to benchmark, DSI (DSE all Share Index). It is found that despite some constraints, the industry as a whole is performing reasonably better. NBFIs can be the key player of financial intermediation if they are provided with adequate assistance. Keyword: NBFIs, Performance, Risk Adjusted, Stock Exchange 1. Introduction NBFIs represent one of the most important parts of a financial system. In Bangladesh, NBFIs are new in the financial system as compared to banking financial institutions (BFIs). Starting from the IPDC in 1981, a total of 22 NBFIs are listed in DSE. The NBFIs industry in Bangladesh consists of primarily the development financial institutions, leasing companies, investment companies and merchant banks. At this backdrop, in order to ensure flow of term loans and to meet the credit gap, NBFIs can play an important role. This paper attempts to depict a present scenario of NBFIs in Bangladesh, its market performance, and assessment of risk and return elements. To analyze the industry scenario some traditional techniques are used here to measure the performance in terms of risk and return where these are calculated separately. But to measure risk adjusted performance of the share of NBFIs, the risk-return relation models given by Sharpe (1966), Treynor (1965) and Jensen (1968) have been applied in which return is measured in terms of risk taken or absorbed. Therefore in this paper we have used traditional and risk adjusted performance measuring tools to measure the performance of selected NBFIs by decomposing systematic and unsystematic risks. 2. Literature Review Though Extensive research has been conducted on NBFIs in Bangladesh, but most of them are focused on the role of NBFIs in Bangladesh economy. For instance Ahmed, N. Chowdhury, M. I. (2007) did an analytical review of NBFIs and Hossain, M., Shahiduzzaman (2003) conducted a study on “Development of Non Bank Financial Institution to strengthen the financial system of Bangladesh”. However, very limited studies have been conducted to evaluate the performance which reflects the risk return characteristics of NBSIs of Bangladesh and compare them to the market benchmark. 3. Methodology of the study 3.1. Sample selection: This study is mainly consisted of secondary data such as websites of DSE, SEC and respective NBFIs. We used convenient sampling technique and analyzed the selected NBFIs over the closest period of time. The sample is collected from population having at least three years of operation starting from 2009 to 2011. Thereby, 19 companies were selected out of 22 listed NBFIs, whereas there 31 NBFIs are in operation. On the basis of regular data availability for past 36 months NBFIs were selected for the study (appendix 1). 3.2. Selection of Index DSE has three indices namely DSI (DSE all Share Index), DSE 20 (include top 20 share or blue chips), DSE general (except Z category) index. As the DSI is served as a benchmark and barometer for all shares category, it is being used in this study. 3.3. Analysis of data The following tools and techniques used to measure the Risk, Return and performance of NBFIs: 121
  • 2. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 www.iiste.org Table 1: Tools used in the paper Performance Measure Tools Equation CL.Pt − CL.Pt −1 + D R st = CL.Pt −1 Return Return (Ignoring Dividend Yield) Mean Return Rs = CL.Pt − CL.Pt −1 CL.Pt −1 R st = n Traditional Measure ∑ t =1 Return Market Return R mt = Mean Return of market portfolio Rm = R St n I t − I t −1 I t −1 n ∑ t −1 R mt n Annualized rate of return (1 + Average Monthly Return) 12 − 1 Expected return Ki = Krf +ÎČ (Km- Krf) Standard deviation σ= Systematic risk (σj)(ρjM) Unsystematic risk σj(1-ρjM) Variance σ2 = ÎŁ(R st − R s ) 2 N -1 ÎŁ(R st − R s ) 2 N -1 CV = Traditional Risk Measure Coefficient of variation Covariance σ Rs COVij = ÎŁ(R i − R i )(R j − R j ) N −1 COVij Coefficient of correlation rij = Beta Coefficient ÎČ im = σi × σ j COVim σ2 m AR P − AR F σP Sharpe Ratio AR P − AR F ÎČP Risk Adjusted Treynor Ratio Performance Measure Jensen Alpha Fama’s net selectivity αp = Rp – E(Rp) Rp – [Rf + (σi/σm)(Rm - Rf)] 4. Results and Discussion 4.1. Return earned by the NBFIs in Bangladesh In table 2, we have calculated the return earned by the NBFIs as against the return on the stock market index for the period from January 2009 to December 2011. Using traditional return measurement tools, return for the individual NBFI and the market has been calculated based on monthly average and monthly index value (DSI), respectively (Table 1). 122
  • 3. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 www.iiste.org Table 2: Annualized return of the NBFIs NBFIs Annualized Return Return below market Return above market DSI 29.80% IDLC 12.62% √ ULC 29.79% √ MIDASFIN 35.30% √ FLEASEINT 92.40% √ PRFIN 41.26% √ PRMLEA 63.19% √ ISLFIN 15.82% √ ILFSL 34.55% √ ICB 27.92% √ BDFIN -9.39% √ UTTFIN 41.40% √ LBFIN 16.45% √ BIFC 31.17% √ IPDC 0.39% √ UNICAP 5.95% √ PHNXFIN 50.73% √ FASFIN 41.29% √ DBH 38.34% √ NHFIL 16.88% √ Percentage 9/19= 47.36% 10/19= 52.64% It is observed that FLEASEINT has the highest return followed by PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, PRFIN, UTTFIN, and FASFIN. The top four returns are ranging from 92.4% to 41.4%. Out of 19 companies 10 companies (52.64%) have mean return above their corresponding market return which is fairly a good indicator. However, returns of 9 shares are below the market. Among which, IPDC has very low return in comparison with others. The worst performer is BDFIN which has negative return. Except IPDC, UNICAP and BDFIN have usual and moderate return. The comparative scenario of return among the selected NBFIs and DSI give an idea that the industry is performing well on an average. 4.2. Risk associated with the NBFIs Absolute measure of risk: Standard deviation measures the total risk of a security in absolute term. The higher the standard deviation is, the higher the risk inherent in the security. In Figure 2 the corresponding standard deviation of the NBFIs are plotted. The market has the standard deviation of 7.65% (Appendix 2). All the selected NBFIs are bearing higher risk than the market. BDFIN represents the highest variability. PRFIN has the standard deviation of 17.77% followed by ULC which has 15.73% and other shares are either equal or below 15%. Relative measure of risk: Co-efficient of variation is a relative measure of risk which is depicted in Figure 1. In our study, the IPDC shows the maximum risk per unit of return of 26.39% (Appendix 2). Among others UNICAP (1.90) and IDLC (1.04) have CVs greater than 1 and ISLFIN (0.83), NHFIL (0.79) and LBFIN (0.68) also exhibit higher CV. Figure 1: Co-efficient of variation of the NBFIs The negative CV -2.37% is attributed to BDFIN. FLEASEINT (0.17) has the lowest positive Co-efficient of 123
  • 4. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 www.iiste.org variation. Except these other NBFIs have the Co-efficient of variation in the range of 0.19 to 0.53. The Coefficient of variation exhibits that the selected NBFIs have moderate risk per unit of return. Figure 1 excludes the CV of IPDC (26.39%) for illustrating the disparity among CVs of other NBFIs and the market distinctly. Interactive Risk Measure Covariance is the statistical measure that indicates the interactive risk of a security relative to others in a portfolio of securities. The Coefficient of correlation, measures the strength and the direction of a linear relationship between two variables. The Coefficient of determination is a measure used in statistical model analysis to assess how well a model explains and predicts future outcomes. Appendix 2 summarizes the Coefficient of correlation, Coefficient of determination and Covariance respectively which are the interactive risk measures of the selected NBFIs for this study. None of the selected NBFIs have resulted any negative covariance and correlation coefficient, which indicates that all these shares moves in same direction consistently with market portfolio. Among the entire sample, FLEASEINT results the highest covariance which express the co-movement corresponding to market. ICB yields the lowest covariance that means its poor performance relative to the market index. All the rests are moderately correlated with the market. The standardized measure i.e. correlation coefficient represent a bit different idea than the covariance. In this case, UTTFIN shows the highest (0.7355) positive correlation, followed by ILFSL (0.7123). ICB and BDFIN have the lowest correlation with the market. High value of the R2 shows higher diversification of the portfolio that can easily contain the market variability. It is found from in Appendix 2 that the ILFSL has the highest R2 value, followed by UTTFIN and IPDC which indicates that these shares have reasonably exploited the diversification strategy for forming their portfolio. Lower values of R2 as found for ICB and BDFIN suggest that they are inadequately diversified. Measuring systematic risk Standard deviation and variance both measure the risk of a security in absolute term. Again, the coefficient of variation expresses the riskiness in terms of per unit of return. Furthermore, Beta signifies the sensitivity of the return on the shares of NBFIs in comparison to the movement of the market index. Figure 3 exhibits that out of the 19 NBFIs the FLEASEINT shows the highest ÎČ, which is 1.41 i.e. FLEASEINT’s volatility is almost one and half times than the market. Subsequent higher ÎČ is found in case of PHNXFIN followed by UTTFIN. The ÎČ of IDLC, ULC, MIDASFIN, PRFIN, ISLFIN, and BIFC are almost equally risky to market. ICB has lowest ÎČ that indicates its lower volatility. It is notable that all other securities of NBFIs are below 1.00 but not less than 0.5. Therefore, we can conclude that, the shares of NBFIs in Bangladesh are moderately responsive to the volatility of the market. Decomposing systematic and unsystematic risk Standard deviation is the measure of total risk of a particular security which need to be decomposed into systematic and unsystematic by the following equation. Total Risk (σj) = Systematic risk [(σj) (ρjM)] + Unsystematic risk [σj(1-ρjM)] In the equations ρjM is the correlation coefficient between the returns of a given stock and the return on market portfolio. Figure 2: Systematic, Unsystematic and Total risk of the NBFIs In Appendix 2, the sums of the systematic and unsystematic agree with the standard deviation of respective NBFI derived earlier, and verify the precision of the analysis. it is apparent that, UTTFIN has the highest 124
  • 5. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 www.iiste.org systematic risk (0.09627) followed by ULC (0.09097), FLEASEINT (0.08903), PRFIN (0.08839) and PHNXFIN (0.08463) also shows higher systematic risk as found in the graph of systematic risk (ÎČ). Likewise, ICB and BDFIN exhibit lowest systematic risk. All other securities’ systematic risk also agrees with the prior risk measured by beta. The highest unsystematic risk attributed to BDFIN is 0.16241 and followed by ICB is 0.10541. So the company should focus more on the managerial efficiency and different strategic level to reduce the unsystematic risk and diversify it away. The lower unsystematic risk observed in case of ILFSL is 0.03100, IPDC is 0.03442, UTTFIN is 0.03462, and LBFIN is 0.0405. To perpetuate the risk level, company must strive to retain the current performance. The rest of the securities have shown a moderate level of risk ranging from 0.08933(PRFIN) to 0.04273 (BIFC). Figure 3: Beta coefficient and Systematic risk of the NBFIs 4.3. Determining Undervalued and Overvalued securities From Table 3 of expected return versus actual or estimated return (which is annualized return that derived at Table 2). It is found that 8 out of 19 shares are overvalued i.e. about 42% selected NBFIs are overvalued. One share (BIFC) is almost equally priced at its expectation. All other shares i.e. 10 out of 19 are undervalued and approximately 58% of the selected NBFIs are attractive to invest. Hence it can conclude that, the market for NBFIs in DSE, Bangladesh is moderately efficient. This comparative study can also guide us about the investing decision regarding selected NBFIs of the Dhaka stock exchange. Among the undervalued NBFIs FLEASEINT, PRMLEA, PHNXFIN are more attractive to invest, as these companies are significantly undervalued. On the other hand BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP are significantly overvalued. However, we know that the expected return vary with the level of systematic risk (ÎČ). Hence, the FLEASEINT, PHNXFIN, UTTFIN, and ULC offer higher rate of expected return. 125
  • 6. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 Table 3: Comparison of actual and expected return NBFIs Annualized Average R(IDLC) 12.62 R(ULC) 29.79 R(MIDASFIN) 35.30 R(FLEASEINT) 92.40 R(PRFIN) 41.26 R(PRMLEA) 63.19 R(ISLFIN) 15.82 R(ILFSL) 34.55 R(ICB) 27.92 R(BDFIN) -9.39 R(UTTFIN) 41.40 R(LBFIN) 16.45 R(BIFC) 31.17 R(IPDC) 0.39 R(UNICAP) 5.95 R(PHNXFIN) 50.73 R(FASFIN) 41.29 R(DBH) 38.34 R(NHFIL) 16.88 Percentage - www.iiste.org Expected return 30.98 32.58 30.04 37.11 31.99 28.29 31.11 29.36 20.91 29.76 33.77 28.07 31.09 27.58 27.51 36.30 28.03 26.82 26.00 - Overvalued √ √ Undervalued √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ 8 ≈ 42% 19 11 ≈ 58% 19 4.4. Risk Adjusted Performance Measure: Sharpe Ratio – Reward to Variability Sharpe ratio is excess returns earned over risk-free return (Rf) per unit of risk i.e., per unit of standard deviation (Appendix 2). Positive value of Sharpe ratio indicates better performance. In case of the selected 19 NBFIs, FLEASEINT and PRMLEA have higher value of Sharpe Ratio (Appendix 2). PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, FASFIN, and DBH have shown their existence of adequate return as against the level of risk involved. Thus, the investors of these shares have been rewarded well on their invested money. Three companies explicitly, BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP have failed to beat the market and possess the negative Sharpe ratio. Again, 5 out of 19 NBFIs contain positive Sharpe ratio greater than the market. Treynor Ratio – Reward to Volatility Treynor ratio measures the excess return earned over risk-free return per unit of systematic risk i.e., beta. Figure 4 depicts the value of Treynor ratio for the individual NBFIs and the market portfolio. And the values of the Treynor ratio are given in column 15 Appendix 2. Figure 4 is exhibiting that the major observations reflect the similar findings regarding Sharpe and Treynor ratio. FLEASEINT, PRMLEA, FASFIN, ICB, DBH and others are showing the value of superior performance and BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP are the worst performers according to this measure. 11 out of 19 NBFIs have higher Treynor Ratio than the market benchmark, DSI. Jensen Alpha (α): Differential Return In this study, 11 out of 19 NBFIs i.e. almost 58% NBFIs have positive α presumably indicates the superior management skill of the selected NBFIs. Among them FASFIN, FLEASEINT, PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, are representing superior performance (Table 4 & Appendix 2). These NBFIs are able to ‘beat the market’ and are able to generate abnormal return over their theoretical return. On the other hand 8 out of 19 NBFIs i.e. almost 42% NBFIs have negative alpha. The expected returns of these NBFIs are higher than actual return. The negative value of these NBFIs indicates that their management is failed to increase actual returns above those that are purely a reward for bearing market risk. Securities of these NBFIs are overpriced and not preferable to invest. However, Jensen measure also supports the conclusion drawn in previous performance parameter. The values of the Jensen Alpha are found in column 16 Appendix 2. Fama’s net selectivity Selectivity is the skill of the fund manager to select undervalued securities. Except FLEASEINT, PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, FASFIN, and DBH all other selectivity measures are negative (Table 4& Appendix 2). So, investors are benefited out of the selectivity of these securities. 126
  • 7. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 www.iiste.org Figure 4: Sharpe and Treynor Ratio 4.5. Synopsis of Risk adjusted performance measures According to Table 4& Appendix 2, 16 NBFIs have positive Sharpe ratio, and 3 out of 19 NBFIs has negative Sharpe ratio. BDFIN, IPDC and UNICAP have negative Sharpe ratio. Treynor ratio has also produced identical results to Sharpe ratio. Both Sharpe and Treynor ratio have 3 NBFIs resulting negative ratio and 16 NBFIs have positive ratio i.e. 16 percent and 84 percent of selected NBFIs has negative and positive ratio respectively regarding these ratios (Table 4& Appendix 2). According to Jensen alpha, 8 NBFIs have negative alpha and 11 out of 19 have positive alpha (Table 4). Jensen alpha tells that around 58 percent of the selected NBFIs is able to ‘beat the market’ i.e. producing positive abnormal return over the theoretical return. Out of the 19 NBFIs 14 have negative net selectivity. Results produced by Fama’s net selectivity model support the results produced under Jensen model. Summary of Risk Adjusted performance measuring tools present in the Table 4. Table 4: Synopsis of Risk adjusted performance measures Fama’s Net NBFIs Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Jensen α Selectivity IDLC +ve; under performer +ve; under performer Negative Negative ULC +ve; under performer +ve; under performer Negative Negative Positive MIDASFIN +ve; under performer +ve; over performer Negative Positive FLEASEINT +ve; over performer +ve; over performer Positive Positive PRFIN +ve; under performer +ve; over performer Negative Positive PRMLEA +ve; over performer +ve; over performer Positive ISLFIN ILFSL ICB BDFIN +ve; under performer +ve; under performer +ve; under performer -ve; under performer +ve; under performer +ve; over performer +ve; over performer -ve; under performer Negative Positive Positive Negative Negative Negative Negative Negative UTTFIN LBFIN BIFC IPDC UNICAP PHNXFIN +ve; under performer +ve; under performer +ve; under performer -ve; under performer -ve; under performer +ve; over performer +ve; over performer +ve; under performer +ve; under performer -ve; under performer -ve; under performer +ve; over performer FASFIN DBH NHFIL Positive% and (Negative)% +ve; over performer +ve; over performer +ve; under performer 84.2%, (15.8%) +ve; over performer +ve; over performer +ve; under performer 84.2%, (15.8%) Positive Negative Positive Negative Negative Positive Positive Negative Negative Negative Negative Negative Positive Positive Positive Negative 57.8%, (42.2%) Positive Negative 26.3%, (73.7%) 127
  • 8. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 www.iiste.org [Note: Under-performer denotes situation where the Specific Share Performance is BELOW than the Market; Over-Performer situation where the Specific Share Performance is ABOVE than the Market.] 4.6. Overall Performance of the NBFIs Actually the study covers a limited time horizon, so the findings are not so consistent to reflect the genuine trend of the NBFIs. However results as obtained by using different statistical tools presented in earlier paragraph can be summarized below: Out of 19 companies 10 companies (52.64%) have mean return above corresponding market return. However, returns of 9 shares are below the market. The standard deviation of the market during the studied period is 7.65%. All 19 NBFIs have higher standard deviation than the market. The shares of NBFIs are moderately responsive to the volatility of the market. 8 out of 19 shares are overvalued i.e. about 42% selected NBFIs are overvalued and 10 out of 19 are undervalued and approximately 58% of the selected NBFIs are attractive to invest. 8 out of 19 NBFIs i.e. almost 42% NBFIs have negative alpha. 11 out of 19 NBFIs i.e. almost 58% NBFIs have positive α presumably indicates the superior management skill of the selected NBFIs. On the basis of realized rate of return FLEASEINT, PRFIN, PRMLEA, UTTFIN, PHNXFIN, FASFIN and DBH perform excellently. The BDFIN showed the negative return as well as negative co-efficient of variation. Again, it has the highest variability in case of absolute measure of risk. In our study, the IPDC has highest Co-efficient of variation i.e. the maximum risk per unit of return (317.20). FLEASEINT and ICB have the highest and lowest covariance respectively. Observing the result of co-efficient of correlation, we can say that ILFSL, UTTFIN, and IPDC have reasonably exploited the diversification strategy and opposite state is prevailing in case of ICB and BDFIN. The volatility measure tells that FLEASEINT, PHNXFIN, UTTFIN, and ULC are highly volatile to the market. All other are less volatile but none of the shares’ beta is less than 0.5. FLEASEINT and PRMLEA have higher value of Sharpe Ratio. PRMLEA, PHNXFIN, FASFIN, and DBH have shown their existence of adequate return as against the level of risk involved. Three companies explicitly, BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP have failed to beat the market and possess the negative Sharpe ratio. Observing the result of different ratio (SR, TR, DR), we can say that BDFIN, IPDC, and UNICAP results negative performance. In all most everywhere, FLEASEINT, PRMLEA UTTFIN, ILFSL, PHNXFIN, FASFIN, and DBH produce higher ratio. The results of Fama’s Net Selectivity highlight the grandeur of these institutions. The overall analysis suggests that, FLEASEINT, PRMLEA are the best performer. After that UTTFIN, ILFSL, PHNXFIN, FASFIN and DBH can be placed respectively. The poorest performers are the BDFIN and IPDC. Furthermore, the performance of ICB, ISLFIN, LBFIN, and NHFIL is not satisfactory. 5. Conclusion The main objective of this paper was to measure the risk adjusted performance of NBFIs based on monthly average price. The existing 31 NBFIs attained a great collective growth over the past years, but individually some of them are struggling yet to improve. Bangladesh is in stiff short-term liquidity crunch due to unavailability of funds from the banking system which has its pervasive impact on the performance of the selected NBFIs. From the result of analysis it is evident that overall performance of the NBFIs are moderately superior to benchmark market index return. But, interference of banking institutions in non-bank activities is not desirable. Basically, banks are doing some business that they are not supposed to do. Borrowing short and lending long creates a mismatch in financial system and hampers the growth of NBFIs. Moreover, recent instability in stock market, lack of confidence of investor, volatile margin rule and regulatory indecision are causing a very tough time for this industry. Government along with all related parties should come forward to direct this sector to right way. References Van Horne C. James. Wachowicz M. John. (2000). “Fundamental of Financial Management”. 12th edition, Prentice Hall. Besley Scott, Brigham F. Eugene.(2013). “Essentials of Managerial Finance”. 14th edition Thomson southwestern. Reilly, F. k. Brown, K. C. (2008). “Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management.” Thomson South-western. Jaydev, M. (1996). “Mutual Fund Performance: An analysis of Monthly Returns.” Finance India, X (1), 73-84. Paudel, N. P (2002). “Investing in Shares of Commercial Banks in Nepal: An Assessment of Return and Risk Elements”, Nepal: Economic Review: Occasional Paper 128
  • 9. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online) Vol.4, No.13, 2013 www.iiste.org Hossain, M., shahiduzzaman (2003). “Development of Non Bank Financial Institutions to Strengthen the Financial System of Bangladesh.” Quarterly Journal of Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management, 28(1). Ahmed, N. Chowdhury, M. I. (2007). “Non-Bank Financial Institutions in Bangladesh: An Analytical Review.” Bangladesh Bank Working Paper Series: WP 0709 Hassan, H. Akhter, T. (2011). “Risk Adjusted Performance of Mutual Fund: Evidence from Dhaka Stock Exchange, Bangladesh”, Journal of Finance and Banking, 9(1). Debasis, S. S. (2009). “Investigating Performance of Equity-based Mutual Fund Schemes in Indian Scenario.” KCA Journal of Business Management,(2). Appendix1: Name of the selected sample and their trading code to the Dhaka Stock Exchange Name of the NBFI Trading Code i. Bangladesh Industrial Finance Company Limited BIFC ii. Bangladesh Finance and Investment Co. Ltd. BDFIN iii. Delta BRAC Housing Finance Corporation Limited DBH iv. FAS Finance and Investment Limited FASFIN v. First Lease Finance and Investment Limited FLEASEINT vi. Industrial Development Leasing Company IDLC vii. International Leasing and Financial Services Limited ILFSL viii. Islamic Finance and Investment Limited ISLFIN ix. Lanka Bangla Finance Limited LBFIN x. MIDAS Financing Limited MIDASFIN xi. National Housing Finance And Investments Limited NHFIL xii. Phoenix Finance and Investments Limited PHNXFIN xiii. Premier Leasing and Finance Limited PRMLEA xiv. Prime Finance and Investment Ltd PRFIN xv. Union Capital Limited UNICAP xvi. United Leasing Company Limited ULC xvii. Uttara Finance and Investments Limited UTTFIN xviii. Investment Corporation of Bangladesh ICB xix. Industrial Promotion and Development Company of IPDC Bangladesh Limited Appendix 2: Statistical results at a glance NBFIs r R2 CovarianceÎČ 7 8 9 0.64 0.58 0.52 0.58 0.50 0.61 0.61 0.71 0.27 40.66 33.45 26.67 33.45 24.74 36.83 36.83 50.74 7.40 0.00624 0.00677 0.00593 0.00826 0.00658 0.00536 0.00628 0.00571 0.00293 10 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.05 -27.25 0.27 7.40 0.00584 1.0 0.02 0.01 0.01 4.47 8.73 5.15 0.74 54.09 0.00716 0.64 40.58 0.00529 0.64 40.58 0.00628 1.2 0.9 1.1 10.33 0.01 317.200.67 44.47 0.00512 0.9 5.95 11.33 0.01 23.45 0.61 36.65 0.00510 0.9 50.73 41.29 38.34 16.88 13.98 12.15 11.15 13.31 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 4.02 4.16 4.07 10.18 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.8 Average Return Annualized AverageStandard DeviationVaria-nceCV 1 2 DSI 2.20 IDLC 1.00 ULC 2.20 MIDASFIN 2.55 FLEASEINT5.60 PRFIN 2.92 PRMLEA 4.17 ISLFIN 1.23 ILFSL 2.50 ICB 2.07 3 29.80 12.62 29.79 35.30 92.40 41.26 63.19 15.82 34.55 27.92 4 7.65 13.16 15.73 15.44 15.39 17.77 11.87 13.13 10.77 14.48 5 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 6 3.48 13.22 7.16 6.05 2.75 6.09 2.85 10.66 4.30 6.98 BDFIN -0.82 -9.39 22.31 UTTFIN LBFIN BIFC 2.93 1.28 2.29 41.40 16.45 31.17 13.09 11.16 11.77 IPDC 0.03 0.39 UNICAP 0.48 PHNXFIN FASFIN DBH NHFIL 3.48 2.92 2.74 1.31 0.61 0.58 0.59 0.59 129 36.65 34.02 34.50 34.50 0.00799 0.00527 0.00487 0.00460 Systema- Unsystem- Expected S.R T.R α tic Risk atic Risk Return 11 12 13 14 15 16 2.330.18 0.08 0.05 30.98 0.050.01-0.18 0.09 0.07 32.58 1.130.15-0.03 0.08 0.07 30.04 1.510.230.05 0.09 0.06 37.11 5.220.570.55 0.09 0.09 31.99 1.650.260.09 0.07 0.05 28.29 4.310.560.35 0.08 0.05 31.11 0.290.04-0.15 0.08 0.03 29.36 2.090.230.05 0.04 0.11 20.91 1.100.320.07 0.06 0.16 29.76 -0.39 0.96 0.21 0.10 0.03 33.77 2.250.240.08 0.07 0.04 28.07 0.400.05-0.12 0.07 0.04 31.09 1.630.180.00 0.07 0.03 27.58 -0.27 1.12 0.13 0.07 0.04 27.51 -0.22 0.53 0.07 0.08 0.06 36.30 2.770.280.14 0.07 0.05 28.03 2.410.330.13 0.07 0.05 26.82 2.360.320.12 0.06 0.07 26.00 0.370.06-0.09 Net Selectivity 17 -0.30 -0.19 -0.13 0.45 -0.12 0.24 -0.27 -0.03 -0.18 -0.73 -0.01 -0.22 -0.08 -0.36 -0.32 0.06 0.01 0.00 -0.26
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