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CSA options in mixed crop-livestock
systems in sub-Saharan Africa
Philip Thornton, Todd Rosenstock, Christine
Lamanna, Pat Bell, Wiebke Förch, Ben
Henderson, Mario Herrero
CCAFS-ILRI, ICRAF, Ohio State University, GIZ SADC, OECD,
CSIRO
Outline
• Importance of the mixed systems in SSA
• CSA interventions in the mixed systems
• Adoption constraints and potential uptake
• Towards prioritising investments in CSA
• Conclusion
Mixed crop-livestock
systems
The backbone of
African agriculture,
providing the great
majority of staples
for the resource-
poor
• 41-86 % of the
maize, rice,
sorghum, millet
• 90 % of the milk
• 80 % of the meat
Mixed crop-livestock systems: Potential
Two types of mixed
systems:
“extensive,” with
lower agroecological
potential (LGP fewer
than 180 days per
year)
“intensifying,” with
higher agroecological
potential (having an
LGP of 180 or more
days per year, less
than 8 hours’ travel
from markets)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Population(index1991=100)
Year
WORLD
Northern Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
Latin America and the
Caribbean
Eastern Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia
Western Asia
UN Population Division. 2006 Revision. World Population Prospects.
Sub Saharan
Africa
Africa’s mixed crop-livestock systems
Critical for food security now, even more so in the future
UNPD (2017)
Agricultural interventions that address
• Adaptation, mitigation and food security (and nutrition?)
• Intended to guide changes in agricultural systems to achieve
the “triple win” where this is feasible
What are CSA practices?
• Potentially many, but evidence limited
• “Operationalization” of CSA key
A framework for addressing the food security
challenge: Climate Smart Agriculture
Domain Size
Adoption
Potential
Production
Impact
Mitigation
Potential
Feasibility
Domain Size
Adoption
Potential
Production
Impact
Mitigation
Potential
Feasibility
1 Diet intensification: stover
digestibility improvement
2 Diet intensification: grain
supplementation
0
1
2
3
Thornton & Herrero (2014)
CSA interventions will often involve trade-offs
Two ways of intensifying ruminant diets in the mixed
systems of SSA
A qualitative analysis of different options
• We used data from the soon-to-published Compendium
of CSA, a global survey of CSA practices and best
estimates of their effects on productivity, resilience and
mitigation (Rosenstock et al., ICRAF)
• Where data were missing, a survey of topic experts to
estimate impacts and evaluate the adoption constraints
associated with each option
• A continental-scale semi-quantitative estimation of the
suitability of each option geographically (the domain)
and the rural population in each domain
List of climate-smart options considered
Asterisks show the strength of evidence relating to potential impacts on productivity, resilience,
mitigation (weak *, moderate **, strong ***)
Thornton et al. 2017
Some of the climate-smart options available to
smallholders in mixed crop-livestock systems in SSA
Potential impacts: + positive, -negative, +/- = uncertain
Strength of evidence: *** confident, ** likely, * poor
Constraints to the widespread adoption of some climate-
smart options
Importance of constraint: ** major, * moderate
Thornton et al. 2017
Agricultural system domains for some climate-
smart options in SSA
Thornton et al. 2017
Relative suitability: 0, not suitable; 1 (low), 5% potential adoption; 2 (medium), 15%
potential adoption; 3 (high), 30% potential adoption
EM, extensive mixed systems; IM, intensifying mixed systems
Main conclusions of the analysis
• There are no silver bullets: climate smartness in the
mixed systems depends on local context
• One key message from this analysis is that broad-
brush targeting of CSA interventions is not
appropriate, from a technical standpoint, given that
the impacts are often not clear or are highly context
specific.
• Triple wins may exist in some situations, but there
may often be trade-offs
• E.g. temporal trade-offs between meeting shorter-
term food production / income objectives and
longer-term resilience objectives
Main conclusions of the analysis
• Constraints to adoption of interventions in SSA
still need to be addressed
• Some promising options are heavily under-
researched: food storage, food processing
• Evidence base needs to be improved for
several other options, including climate
services and insurance
Thank you
For more information:
p.thornton@cgiar.org

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CSA options in mixed crop-livestock systems in sub-Saharan Africa

  • 1. CSA options in mixed crop-livestock systems in sub-Saharan Africa Philip Thornton, Todd Rosenstock, Christine Lamanna, Pat Bell, Wiebke Förch, Ben Henderson, Mario Herrero CCAFS-ILRI, ICRAF, Ohio State University, GIZ SADC, OECD, CSIRO
  • 2. Outline • Importance of the mixed systems in SSA • CSA interventions in the mixed systems • Adoption constraints and potential uptake • Towards prioritising investments in CSA • Conclusion
  • 3. Mixed crop-livestock systems The backbone of African agriculture, providing the great majority of staples for the resource- poor • 41-86 % of the maize, rice, sorghum, millet • 90 % of the milk • 80 % of the meat
  • 4. Mixed crop-livestock systems: Potential Two types of mixed systems: “extensive,” with lower agroecological potential (LGP fewer than 180 days per year) “intensifying,” with higher agroecological potential (having an LGP of 180 or more days per year, less than 8 hours’ travel from markets)
  • 5. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Population(index1991=100) Year WORLD Northern Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America and the Caribbean Eastern Asia Southern Asia South-Eastern Asia Western Asia UN Population Division. 2006 Revision. World Population Prospects. Sub Saharan Africa Africa’s mixed crop-livestock systems Critical for food security now, even more so in the future UNPD (2017)
  • 6. Agricultural interventions that address • Adaptation, mitigation and food security (and nutrition?) • Intended to guide changes in agricultural systems to achieve the “triple win” where this is feasible What are CSA practices? • Potentially many, but evidence limited • “Operationalization” of CSA key A framework for addressing the food security challenge: Climate Smart Agriculture
  • 7. Domain Size Adoption Potential Production Impact Mitigation Potential Feasibility Domain Size Adoption Potential Production Impact Mitigation Potential Feasibility 1 Diet intensification: stover digestibility improvement 2 Diet intensification: grain supplementation 0 1 2 3 Thornton & Herrero (2014) CSA interventions will often involve trade-offs Two ways of intensifying ruminant diets in the mixed systems of SSA
  • 8. A qualitative analysis of different options • We used data from the soon-to-published Compendium of CSA, a global survey of CSA practices and best estimates of their effects on productivity, resilience and mitigation (Rosenstock et al., ICRAF) • Where data were missing, a survey of topic experts to estimate impacts and evaluate the adoption constraints associated with each option • A continental-scale semi-quantitative estimation of the suitability of each option geographically (the domain) and the rural population in each domain
  • 9. List of climate-smart options considered Asterisks show the strength of evidence relating to potential impacts on productivity, resilience, mitigation (weak *, moderate **, strong ***)
  • 10. Thornton et al. 2017 Some of the climate-smart options available to smallholders in mixed crop-livestock systems in SSA Potential impacts: + positive, -negative, +/- = uncertain Strength of evidence: *** confident, ** likely, * poor
  • 11. Constraints to the widespread adoption of some climate- smart options Importance of constraint: ** major, * moderate Thornton et al. 2017
  • 12. Agricultural system domains for some climate- smart options in SSA Thornton et al. 2017 Relative suitability: 0, not suitable; 1 (low), 5% potential adoption; 2 (medium), 15% potential adoption; 3 (high), 30% potential adoption EM, extensive mixed systems; IM, intensifying mixed systems
  • 13. Main conclusions of the analysis • There are no silver bullets: climate smartness in the mixed systems depends on local context • One key message from this analysis is that broad- brush targeting of CSA interventions is not appropriate, from a technical standpoint, given that the impacts are often not clear or are highly context specific. • Triple wins may exist in some situations, but there may often be trade-offs • E.g. temporal trade-offs between meeting shorter- term food production / income objectives and longer-term resilience objectives
  • 14. Main conclusions of the analysis • Constraints to adoption of interventions in SSA still need to be addressed • Some promising options are heavily under- researched: food storage, food processing • Evidence base needs to be improved for several other options, including climate services and insurance
  • 15. Thank you For more information: p.thornton@cgiar.org