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International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)
Volume 5 Issue 1, November-December 2020 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1264
Comparative Analysis of Regional
Economic Processes in Central Asia
Khamdamov Mirzoumid
PhD, Associate Professor, University of World Economy and Diplomacy, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
ABSTRACT
This article examines regional economiccooperationprocesseswithinCentral
Asia and current trends of regional cooperation among Central Asian
countries. Besides, Author analyzed that role of regional and international
organization as well as some countries role in developing regional economic
cooperation by comparison.
KEYWORD: Regional cooperation, Central Asia, bilateral economic cooperation,
investment, regional cooperation perspectives
How to cite this paper: Khamdamov
Mirzoumid "Comparative Analysis of
Regional Economic Processes in Central
Asia" Published in
International Journal
of Trend in Scientific
Research and
Development(ijtsrd),
ISSN: 2456-6470,
Volume-5 | Issue-1,
December 2020,
pp.1264-1269, URL:
www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd38181.pdf
Copyright © 2020 by author (s) and
International Journal ofTrendinScientific
Research and Development Journal. This
is an Open Access article distributed
under the terms of
the Creative
CommonsAttribution
License (CC BY 4.0)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
In modern conditions, the increasing internationalization
and openness of national economies contribute to the
development of regional cooperation processes and their
transition to a qualitatively new level. The economic role of
regional cooperation is great; it expands the economicspace
and unites the efforts of countries in solving socio-economic
problems and determining foreign economic policytowards
third countries.
In Uzbekistan’s foreign policy, the Central Asian region is a
top priority. Recently, there have been positive
developments in the region in building dialogue and
relations between the countries of the region, undoubtedly
the catalyst for which, according to most experts, was the
efforts of the Presidentofthe RepublicofUzbekistanShavkat
Mirziyoyev.
There is an unrealized potential for regional economic
cooperation in Central Asia. According to experts the
expansion of cooperationbetweentheCentral Asianstatesin
various sectors of the economy would contribute to the
growth of the regional gross domestic product inthe next 10
years at least twice1
1 Мирзиёев Ш. М. Критический анализ, жесткая дисциплина и
персональная ответственность должны стать повседневной
нормой в деятельности каждого руководителя. Доклад
Президента Республики Узбекистан Шавката Мирзиёева на
расширенном заседании Кабинета Министров, посвященном
итогам социально-экономического развития страны в 2016
году и важнейшим приоритетным направлениям
To study the state of regional cooperation, it is necessary to
reveal the concept of economic cooperation – a type of
international relations that can take the form of trade, joint
entrepreneurship, provision of services, cooperation and
assistance, scientific and technological progress,
international tourism, etc.
CentralAsia is a region that is home to 72.7 million people
with a combined GDP of about 271bn USD. Five countries
collectively export 81.2billion USD worth of goods outside
the region. Total imports amount to 56.6 billion US dollars.
Expert of the Center for Economic Development Y.Yusupov
notes: “the size of the population andthesizeoftheeconomy
are key factors that investors and trading partners pay
attention to when making decisions about long-term
cooperation plans. After all, the larger the size of the market,
where investors and trading partners are going to inter, the
more opportunities for sales growth and business
development”.
It will probably take several years to achieve full results of
the region-wide processes, but bilateral processes are also
taking place in parallel, and so far they are proving to be
more effective for developing cooperation. Now both
countries are determined to develop economic and trade
relations. In October 2017, their governments announced
that they planned to work to reduce administrative barriers
to cross-border trade. In 2018, an intergovernmental
экономической программы на 2017 год// «Народное слово»,
17.01.2017 год.
IJTSRD38181
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1265
agreement on trade development was signed, which provides for an increase in trade turnover from 2 billion USD in 2017, up
to 3 billion USDin 2018 and 5 billion USD in 2020. Also in 2017 Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan have signed commercial
agreements totaling over 1 billion USD and established joint ventures in the petrochemical, chemical and food industries. The
possibility of building a transport and logistics center (dry port) on the border, which would provide a further increase in the
volume of bilateral trade, is being discussed. TheresumptionofrelationsbetweenUzbekistanandTajikistaninMarch2018can
serve as evidence of the improvement of relations between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan. Train traffic on the railway connecting
the two countries, which was last used in 2011. Around the same time, bilateral agreementswereconcludedontheimportand
export of goods, including the export of electricity from Tajikistan and the import of gas from Uzbekistan. Kyrgyzstan and
Tajikistan also intend to intensify economic cooperation and increase the volume of bilateral trade, which was announced in
January 2018. The possibility of establishing a Business council between the two countries will be considered, and the
organization of a business forum for Tajik entrepreneurs in Bishkek will be discussed2.
For comparison, here are the countries that could become competitorsoftheCentral Asiancountriesforattractinginvestment.
The following chart compares the size of the economies and the population of the region’s neighboring countries. China and
India are not included in the list due to the scale of the economies of Central Asian countries with these giants.
Table #1
Table #2
By comparing the statistics of net attracted investments in the Central Asian region, share of FDI in the economies of Central
Asian countries is 6% of GDP 3, with a global average of 7-10%4. The following diagram confirms the thesis of unrealized
2Boston Consulting Group official site accesses on https://www.bcg.com/Images/BCG-Investing-In-Central-Asia-report-RUS_tcm27-
212858.pdf
3Calculated by the author on the basis of World Bank Statistics.
4World Bank Report
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1266
potential. Over the past 10 years, about 159 billion USD has been attracted to five countries in the region, while Turkey’s net
investment statistics for the same period amount to 139 billion USD. Weak interaction and barriers to trade in the region
discourage foreign investors. Statistics on net FDI to Central Asian countries in general and Turkey show approximatelyequal
figures. Over the ten-year period, 5 Central Asian countries attracted a little more than 19 billion USD more than Turkey.
However, in 2017, FDI flows in Turkey exceeded 11.5 billion US dollars, which is more than 2.6 billion in Central Asian
countries.
Table #3.The volume of net FDI in the countries of Central Asia, 2008-2017, million USD
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
KAZ 16819 14276 7456 13760 13648 10011 7308 6578 17221 4713
KGZ 377 189 473 686 26 612 343 1144 619 -107
TJK 487 149 94 146 242 283 327 454 242 186
TKM 1277 4553 3632 3391 3130 2861 3830 3043 2243 2314
UZB 711 842 1636 1635 563 635 757 66 1663 1797
Table#4
Table #5.Comparison of net FDI into the Central Asian region and Turkey, million USD
Source: www.worldbank.org
As we can see, only by uniting, the countries of Central Asia can compete with the neighboring countries of the region. The
merger is understood as a reduction in trade barriers, which will affect the investment attractiveness of the region. Investors
around the world are looking for markets in which to sell the released investment product. The size of the market plays an
important role in this Situation. Since the size of the economies of the countries individually islessattractive,thedevelopment
of economic cooperation is attractive.
Another obstacle to economic cooperation among the Central Asian countries is the underdeveloped transport and logistics
infrastructure. According to World Bank, in the doing business ratingoftheinternational tradecomponent,thecountriesofthe
region occupy places at the end of the first and beginning of thesecondhundred.Inthe logisticsperformanceindex, whichaims
to identify the challenges and opportunities that countries face in trade logistics, Central Asian countries have some of the
weakest indicators in the world, which indicates the underdevelopment of this industry.
Prime Minister Abdulla Aripov announced the proposals of the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyevtothecountriesof
Central Asia on the development of transport systems in the region, speaking at the opening of the international conference
“Central Asia in the system of international transport corridors: strategic prospects and unrealized opportunities” which was
held in Tashkent. First, the development of a strategy for the development of regional transport corridors in Central Asia with
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1267
the assistance of experts from the World Bank, Asian Bank and Islamic DevelopmentBank andotherinternational institutions,
and the adoption of a regional program for the sustainable development of the Central Asian transport system on its basis.
Secondly, the creation of an integrated transports management system within the framework of the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization, in which the countries of the region participate. Third, the creation of the regional Council for Transport
communications of the Central Asian countries, which will become a coordinating structure for solving problems in the
transport and logistics sector. Fourth, concept for the development of tourist hubs in Central Asia in cooperation with the
World Tourism Organization should be adopted. Besides, He stated that important geostrategicpositionofCentral Asia,which
connects major international markets, it is of particular importance to unite the efforts of our countries in order to accelerate
the integration of our region into the system of transport corridors5.
We can see that more and more countries are paying attention to theLPIrating.Forexample,inIndonesia,theindex isofficially
used to evaluate the performance of the ministry of commerce.TheorganizationforAsia-PacificEconomicCooperation(APEC)
uses the LPI index to measure the impact of the supply chain connectivity initiative. The European CommissionuseStheindex
in the formation of the European System for assessing the efficiency of transport, as well as for the assessment of the EU
customs union in 20136.
Table #6Comparative analysis of the international logistics competence index of central asian countries and
germany (2018).)
Table #7
Rank
Overall
Lpi Score
Cust
oms
Infrastr
ucture
International
Shipments
Logistics Quality
And Competence
Tracking
And Tracing
Timeliness
KAZ 71 2,81 2,66 2,55 2,73 2,58 2,78 3,53
UZB 99 2,58 2,10 2,57 2,42 2,59 2,71 3,09
KGZ 108 2,55 2,75 2,38 2,22 2,36 2,64 2,94
TKM 126 2,41 2,35 2,23 2,29 2,31 2,56 2,72
TJK 134 2,34 1,92 2,17 2,31 2,33 2,33 2,95
DEU 1 4,20 4,09 4,37 3,86 4,31 4,24 4,39
Source: lpi.Worldbank.org7
The analysis of these indicators in the table allows us to identify the weaknesses of the logistics system of the Central Asian
countries. The indices of all 5 Central Asian countries are in the range of 2.34 (Tajikistan) and 2.81 (Kazakhstan).Theleaderof
the region in the LPI index is Kazakhstan (2.81-71 places). Next are Uzbekistan(2.58-99thplace)andKyrgyzstan(2.55– 108th
place). The results for the region are lower for Turkmenistan (2.41-126th place) and Tajikistan (2.34 – 134th place). Today,
Uzbekistan is much inferior to developed countries in terms of LPI.
Germany’s performance is an order of magnitude higher than that of the region’s countries in each component. The gap in
infrastructure and logistics competence is noteworthy. All countries in the region have rather low indicators for all 6 criteria,
which mean that the transport and logistics complex is poorly developed. This requires comprehensive improvements for all
countries in the field of transport logistics.
5 Узбекистан предложил создать транспортную стратегию ЦентральнойАзииaccessedon
https://www.gazeta.uz/ru/2018/09/20/transport/
6World Bank Grouphttp://www.vsemirnyjbank.org
7World Bank Group accessed on URL:
https://lpi.worldbank.org/international/scorecard/radar/254/C/UZB/2018/C/TJK/2018/C/KGZ/2018/C/KAZ/2018/C/TKM/2018#charta
rea
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1268
To increase this indicator in the World Bank ranking,
countries need to implement a number of measures. First of
all, it should be taken into account that when calculating the
logistics index, the World Bank paysthegreatestattentionto
the conditions for creating end-to-end material flow
management in the country, as well as the simplicity and
efficiency of customs procedures. Thus, overall 55questions
that allow us to assess the state of the logistics system, of
them 20 relate to the efficiency of customs authorities, of
them 10 – to the level of logistics development,ofthem8– to
the general conditions of trade, of them 5 – to the efficiency
of control bodies and of them only 4 questions – directly to
the work of transport.
Uzbekistan needs further improvement in raising the
efficiency of customs procedures.Accordingtothisindicator,
the country is 140thin the LPI rating. This requires the
introduction of modern technologies, such as electronic
document management, which makes it possibletofacilitate
customs processes, both for customs officials and customs
brokers or logistics operators. According to the criterion of
international transportation, Uzbekistan ranks 120th in the
LPI rating with an index of 2.42. To increase this indicator,
the necessary modernization and reconstruction of the
infrastructure should be carried out. The indicator of
competence and quality of the logisticsenvironmentdirectly
depends on the transport service. The small number of
transport and logistics companies serving Uzbekistan
negatively affects this indicator in the LPI rating (2.59-88th
place). However, it should be recognized that a system of
roadside service is being establishedinUzbekistan,thanksto
the program of tourism development in the country.
In Kyrgyzstan, there is a great need for a transport logistics
service that meets international standards, on which the
value of the basic indicator of the quality and competence of
the logistics environment directlydepends.Accordingtothis
indicator, Kyrgyzstan ranks 114th (LPI index-2.36).
Therefore, it is necessary to create certain structures in the
Republic that allow providing high-quality comprehensive
service for the delivery of goods from the manufacturer or
seller to the final recipient. These are mainly highly
functional logistics intermediaries.Complexoftransport and
logistic services on delivery of cargoes in the international
message, offer their clientele, still not wide enough and is
limited, in addition to transportation, services of cargo in
transit, organization of transportation process, customs
clearance, shipping and other transport documents, as well
as the intermediary services in search of goods to the
carriers or search the carriers for cargo (according to
various estimates, they account for 85 to 95 %).
The problem in Tajikistan within the LPI index is customs
procedures. The country ranks 150th out of 163 with an
index of 1.92. In addition to the standard bottlenecks, in the
form of complexity and cost ofexport-importoperations and
weak implementation of IT technologies in the work of
customs services are present. All this reduces the basic
indicator of the effectiveness of customs procedures.
In countries with high LPI, logistics companies are more
satisfied with private customs agents than with public ones.
Often in developing countries, inadequate government
regulation of logistics and lack of competition lead to
corruption and poor quality of logistics services on the part
of infrastructure enterprises. Sometimes the presence of
such operators disrupts the customs clearance process and
prevents the emergence of component local operators
capable of working with international operators.
Central Asian countries need to find ways to solve problems
together. At the meetings of the Heads of State of Central
Asia, the leaders have repeatedlyemphasizedthisstatement.
If the countries manage to jointly develop cooperationinthe
field of transport logistics, simplify customs clearance,
abandon the policy of import substitution and start
competing with each other, at least at the regional level, this
will undoubtedly advance regional trade to a new level and
the economy of the region as a whole.
Tourism is another promising area of regional economic
cooperation. Tourism is one of the largest sectors of the
global economy. The development of tourism for any state
means the creation of new jobs, the promotion of exports,
followed by the flourishing of the economy. Tourism
contains a number of industries thatareaimedatdeveloping
the service sector and supporting domestic business.
Tourism provides an opportunity for the development of
many companies involved from accommodation or booking
to transportation.
Public and private investments are needed to develop the
region’s tourism and transportinfrastructure.Someprojects
to improve regional infrastructure are already underway,
but much remains to be done. The standards of the sector,
especially in the field of customer service, remain low and
unstable, and service resources are not sufficiently
developed. Investmentopportunitiesopenupinall segments
of this sector of the economy: hotel, restaurant and tour
operator business, information centers, etc9.
The analysis of tourism cooperation revealed that tourism
accounts for only 1 to 3% of the country’s GDP. Despite this,
the countries of the region occupy a place in the top ten in
terms of the growth rate of the share of tourism in the
economy. A great opportunity for the development of this
industry is seen in the promotion of the “Great Silk Road”
project, but this requires a number of administrative
measures that would simplify the crossing of the borders of
the Central Asian Republics. Examples are the introduction
of a “Single Visa” for the entire Central Asian region or the
improvement of transport capacity between cities that are
attractive to tourists.
Central Asian countries can benefit greatly from tourism by
promoting the region as a macro destination of the “Great
Silk Road”, but this requires closer cooperation between the
states of the region. According to the UN World Tourism
Organization, “promoting multiple countries as one
destination can be an effective and profitable strategy to
attract tourists who would not otherwise consider visiting
this destination”. This is especially true for tourists from far
abroad, who seek to make the most of a long trip by visiting
several countries at once. However, in order to implement
this regional tourism project, Central Asiancountriesneed to
make common efforts to develop transport links, optimize
9 Инвестиционный потенциал Центральной Азии – как его
видят в Boston Consulting Group accessed at https://caa-
network.org/archives/15858
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1269
the conditions for obtaining a visa (up to the introduction of
a "single visa") and jointly promote this tourist destination
(marketing and advertising)10.
Further development of cooperation in the Central Asian
region is extremely important for all countries of the region.
All countries will benefit from cooperation. The need to
develop a strategy for effective cooperation is observed in
many areas, in particular, in the field of transport, energy,
information and communication technologies. All this will
certainly have a positive impact on trade policyandimprove
infrastructure, since a balanced andcoherent regional policy
can contribute to greater connectivity in transit transport
and ensure improved intraregional trade, common
regulatory measures, cooperation between border agencies
and coherence in customs procedures to expand regional
markets.
The advantages that countries could gain from deepening
regional cooperation, including increased competition,
benefits from participation in the international division of
labor, increasedcompetitivenessoflocal enterprisesthrough
expanding sales markets and economies of scale, increased
attractiveness for foreign investors, improved business
climate, and reduced negative consequences from
remoteness from seaports.
References:
[1] Мирзиёев Ш. М. Критический анализ, жесткая
дисциплина и персональная ответственность
должны стать повседневной нормой в
деятельности каждого руководителя. Доклад
Президента Республики Узбекистан
ШавкатаМирзиёева на расширенном заседании
Кабинета Министров, посвященном итогам
социально-экономического развития страны в
2016 году и важнейшим приоритетным
направлениямэкономическойпрограммына2017
год// «Народное слово», 17.01.2017 год.
[2] Boston Consulting Group official site accesses on
https://www.bcg.com/Images/BCG-Investing-In-
Central-Asia-report-RUS_tcm27-212858.pdf
[3] World Bank Report
[4] Узбекистан предложил создать транспортную
стратегию Центральной Азии accessedon
https://www.gazeta.uz/ru/2018/09/20/transport/
[5] World Bank Group http://www.vsemirnyjbank.org
[6] World Bank Group accessed on URL:
https://lpi.worldbank.org/international/scorecard/r
adar/254/C/UZB/2018/C/TJK/2018/C/KGZ/2018/C
/KAZ/2018/C/TKM/2018#chartarea
[7] Инвестиционный потенциал ЦентральнойАзии–
как его видят в Boston Consulting Groupaccessedat
https://caa-network.org/archives/15858
10 Инвестиционный потенциал Центральной Азии – как его
видят в Boston Consulting Group accessed at https://caa-
network.org/archives/15858

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Comparative Analysis of Regional Economic Processes in Central Asia

  • 1. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) Volume 5 Issue 1, November-December 2020 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1264 Comparative Analysis of Regional Economic Processes in Central Asia Khamdamov Mirzoumid PhD, Associate Professor, University of World Economy and Diplomacy, Tashkent, Uzbekistan ABSTRACT This article examines regional economiccooperationprocesseswithinCentral Asia and current trends of regional cooperation among Central Asian countries. Besides, Author analyzed that role of regional and international organization as well as some countries role in developing regional economic cooperation by comparison. KEYWORD: Regional cooperation, Central Asia, bilateral economic cooperation, investment, regional cooperation perspectives How to cite this paper: Khamdamov Mirzoumid "Comparative Analysis of Regional Economic Processes in Central Asia" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development(ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-1, December 2020, pp.1264-1269, URL: www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd38181.pdf Copyright © 2020 by author (s) and International Journal ofTrendinScientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative CommonsAttribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0) In modern conditions, the increasing internationalization and openness of national economies contribute to the development of regional cooperation processes and their transition to a qualitatively new level. The economic role of regional cooperation is great; it expands the economicspace and unites the efforts of countries in solving socio-economic problems and determining foreign economic policytowards third countries. In Uzbekistan’s foreign policy, the Central Asian region is a top priority. Recently, there have been positive developments in the region in building dialogue and relations between the countries of the region, undoubtedly the catalyst for which, according to most experts, was the efforts of the Presidentofthe RepublicofUzbekistanShavkat Mirziyoyev. There is an unrealized potential for regional economic cooperation in Central Asia. According to experts the expansion of cooperationbetweentheCentral Asianstatesin various sectors of the economy would contribute to the growth of the regional gross domestic product inthe next 10 years at least twice1 1 Мирзиёев Ш. М. Критический анализ, жесткая дисциплина и персональная ответственность должны стать повседневной нормой в деятельности каждого руководителя. Доклад Президента Республики Узбекистан Шавката Мирзиёева на расширенном заседании Кабинета Министров, посвященном итогам социально-экономического развития страны в 2016 году и важнейшим приоритетным направлениям To study the state of regional cooperation, it is necessary to reveal the concept of economic cooperation – a type of international relations that can take the form of trade, joint entrepreneurship, provision of services, cooperation and assistance, scientific and technological progress, international tourism, etc. CentralAsia is a region that is home to 72.7 million people with a combined GDP of about 271bn USD. Five countries collectively export 81.2billion USD worth of goods outside the region. Total imports amount to 56.6 billion US dollars. Expert of the Center for Economic Development Y.Yusupov notes: “the size of the population andthesizeoftheeconomy are key factors that investors and trading partners pay attention to when making decisions about long-term cooperation plans. After all, the larger the size of the market, where investors and trading partners are going to inter, the more opportunities for sales growth and business development”. It will probably take several years to achieve full results of the region-wide processes, but bilateral processes are also taking place in parallel, and so far they are proving to be more effective for developing cooperation. Now both countries are determined to develop economic and trade relations. In October 2017, their governments announced that they planned to work to reduce administrative barriers to cross-border trade. In 2018, an intergovernmental экономической программы на 2017 год// «Народное слово», 17.01.2017 год. IJTSRD38181
  • 2. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1265 agreement on trade development was signed, which provides for an increase in trade turnover from 2 billion USD in 2017, up to 3 billion USDin 2018 and 5 billion USD in 2020. Also in 2017 Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan have signed commercial agreements totaling over 1 billion USD and established joint ventures in the petrochemical, chemical and food industries. The possibility of building a transport and logistics center (dry port) on the border, which would provide a further increase in the volume of bilateral trade, is being discussed. TheresumptionofrelationsbetweenUzbekistanandTajikistaninMarch2018can serve as evidence of the improvement of relations between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan. Train traffic on the railway connecting the two countries, which was last used in 2011. Around the same time, bilateral agreementswereconcludedontheimportand export of goods, including the export of electricity from Tajikistan and the import of gas from Uzbekistan. Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan also intend to intensify economic cooperation and increase the volume of bilateral trade, which was announced in January 2018. The possibility of establishing a Business council between the two countries will be considered, and the organization of a business forum for Tajik entrepreneurs in Bishkek will be discussed2. For comparison, here are the countries that could become competitorsoftheCentral Asiancountriesforattractinginvestment. The following chart compares the size of the economies and the population of the region’s neighboring countries. China and India are not included in the list due to the scale of the economies of Central Asian countries with these giants. Table #1 Table #2 By comparing the statistics of net attracted investments in the Central Asian region, share of FDI in the economies of Central Asian countries is 6% of GDP 3, with a global average of 7-10%4. The following diagram confirms the thesis of unrealized 2Boston Consulting Group official site accesses on https://www.bcg.com/Images/BCG-Investing-In-Central-Asia-report-RUS_tcm27- 212858.pdf 3Calculated by the author on the basis of World Bank Statistics. 4World Bank Report
  • 3. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1266 potential. Over the past 10 years, about 159 billion USD has been attracted to five countries in the region, while Turkey’s net investment statistics for the same period amount to 139 billion USD. Weak interaction and barriers to trade in the region discourage foreign investors. Statistics on net FDI to Central Asian countries in general and Turkey show approximatelyequal figures. Over the ten-year period, 5 Central Asian countries attracted a little more than 19 billion USD more than Turkey. However, in 2017, FDI flows in Turkey exceeded 11.5 billion US dollars, which is more than 2.6 billion in Central Asian countries. Table #3.The volume of net FDI in the countries of Central Asia, 2008-2017, million USD 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 KAZ 16819 14276 7456 13760 13648 10011 7308 6578 17221 4713 KGZ 377 189 473 686 26 612 343 1144 619 -107 TJK 487 149 94 146 242 283 327 454 242 186 TKM 1277 4553 3632 3391 3130 2861 3830 3043 2243 2314 UZB 711 842 1636 1635 563 635 757 66 1663 1797 Table#4 Table #5.Comparison of net FDI into the Central Asian region and Turkey, million USD Source: www.worldbank.org As we can see, only by uniting, the countries of Central Asia can compete with the neighboring countries of the region. The merger is understood as a reduction in trade barriers, which will affect the investment attractiveness of the region. Investors around the world are looking for markets in which to sell the released investment product. The size of the market plays an important role in this Situation. Since the size of the economies of the countries individually islessattractive,thedevelopment of economic cooperation is attractive. Another obstacle to economic cooperation among the Central Asian countries is the underdeveloped transport and logistics infrastructure. According to World Bank, in the doing business ratingoftheinternational tradecomponent,thecountriesofthe region occupy places at the end of the first and beginning of thesecondhundred.Inthe logisticsperformanceindex, whichaims to identify the challenges and opportunities that countries face in trade logistics, Central Asian countries have some of the weakest indicators in the world, which indicates the underdevelopment of this industry. Prime Minister Abdulla Aripov announced the proposals of the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyevtothecountriesof Central Asia on the development of transport systems in the region, speaking at the opening of the international conference “Central Asia in the system of international transport corridors: strategic prospects and unrealized opportunities” which was held in Tashkent. First, the development of a strategy for the development of regional transport corridors in Central Asia with
  • 4. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1267 the assistance of experts from the World Bank, Asian Bank and Islamic DevelopmentBank andotherinternational institutions, and the adoption of a regional program for the sustainable development of the Central Asian transport system on its basis. Secondly, the creation of an integrated transports management system within the framework of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, in which the countries of the region participate. Third, the creation of the regional Council for Transport communications of the Central Asian countries, which will become a coordinating structure for solving problems in the transport and logistics sector. Fourth, concept for the development of tourist hubs in Central Asia in cooperation with the World Tourism Organization should be adopted. Besides, He stated that important geostrategicpositionofCentral Asia,which connects major international markets, it is of particular importance to unite the efforts of our countries in order to accelerate the integration of our region into the system of transport corridors5. We can see that more and more countries are paying attention to theLPIrating.Forexample,inIndonesia,theindex isofficially used to evaluate the performance of the ministry of commerce.TheorganizationforAsia-PacificEconomicCooperation(APEC) uses the LPI index to measure the impact of the supply chain connectivity initiative. The European CommissionuseStheindex in the formation of the European System for assessing the efficiency of transport, as well as for the assessment of the EU customs union in 20136. Table #6Comparative analysis of the international logistics competence index of central asian countries and germany (2018).) Table #7 Rank Overall Lpi Score Cust oms Infrastr ucture International Shipments Logistics Quality And Competence Tracking And Tracing Timeliness KAZ 71 2,81 2,66 2,55 2,73 2,58 2,78 3,53 UZB 99 2,58 2,10 2,57 2,42 2,59 2,71 3,09 KGZ 108 2,55 2,75 2,38 2,22 2,36 2,64 2,94 TKM 126 2,41 2,35 2,23 2,29 2,31 2,56 2,72 TJK 134 2,34 1,92 2,17 2,31 2,33 2,33 2,95 DEU 1 4,20 4,09 4,37 3,86 4,31 4,24 4,39 Source: lpi.Worldbank.org7 The analysis of these indicators in the table allows us to identify the weaknesses of the logistics system of the Central Asian countries. The indices of all 5 Central Asian countries are in the range of 2.34 (Tajikistan) and 2.81 (Kazakhstan).Theleaderof the region in the LPI index is Kazakhstan (2.81-71 places). Next are Uzbekistan(2.58-99thplace)andKyrgyzstan(2.55– 108th place). The results for the region are lower for Turkmenistan (2.41-126th place) and Tajikistan (2.34 – 134th place). Today, Uzbekistan is much inferior to developed countries in terms of LPI. Germany’s performance is an order of magnitude higher than that of the region’s countries in each component. The gap in infrastructure and logistics competence is noteworthy. All countries in the region have rather low indicators for all 6 criteria, which mean that the transport and logistics complex is poorly developed. This requires comprehensive improvements for all countries in the field of transport logistics. 5 Узбекистан предложил создать транспортную стратегию ЦентральнойАзииaccessedon https://www.gazeta.uz/ru/2018/09/20/transport/ 6World Bank Grouphttp://www.vsemirnyjbank.org 7World Bank Group accessed on URL: https://lpi.worldbank.org/international/scorecard/radar/254/C/UZB/2018/C/TJK/2018/C/KGZ/2018/C/KAZ/2018/C/TKM/2018#charta rea
  • 5. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1268 To increase this indicator in the World Bank ranking, countries need to implement a number of measures. First of all, it should be taken into account that when calculating the logistics index, the World Bank paysthegreatestattentionto the conditions for creating end-to-end material flow management in the country, as well as the simplicity and efficiency of customs procedures. Thus, overall 55questions that allow us to assess the state of the logistics system, of them 20 relate to the efficiency of customs authorities, of them 10 – to the level of logistics development,ofthem8– to the general conditions of trade, of them 5 – to the efficiency of control bodies and of them only 4 questions – directly to the work of transport. Uzbekistan needs further improvement in raising the efficiency of customs procedures.Accordingtothisindicator, the country is 140thin the LPI rating. This requires the introduction of modern technologies, such as electronic document management, which makes it possibletofacilitate customs processes, both for customs officials and customs brokers or logistics operators. According to the criterion of international transportation, Uzbekistan ranks 120th in the LPI rating with an index of 2.42. To increase this indicator, the necessary modernization and reconstruction of the infrastructure should be carried out. The indicator of competence and quality of the logisticsenvironmentdirectly depends on the transport service. The small number of transport and logistics companies serving Uzbekistan negatively affects this indicator in the LPI rating (2.59-88th place). However, it should be recognized that a system of roadside service is being establishedinUzbekistan,thanksto the program of tourism development in the country. In Kyrgyzstan, there is a great need for a transport logistics service that meets international standards, on which the value of the basic indicator of the quality and competence of the logistics environment directlydepends.Accordingtothis indicator, Kyrgyzstan ranks 114th (LPI index-2.36). Therefore, it is necessary to create certain structures in the Republic that allow providing high-quality comprehensive service for the delivery of goods from the manufacturer or seller to the final recipient. These are mainly highly functional logistics intermediaries.Complexoftransport and logistic services on delivery of cargoes in the international message, offer their clientele, still not wide enough and is limited, in addition to transportation, services of cargo in transit, organization of transportation process, customs clearance, shipping and other transport documents, as well as the intermediary services in search of goods to the carriers or search the carriers for cargo (according to various estimates, they account for 85 to 95 %). The problem in Tajikistan within the LPI index is customs procedures. The country ranks 150th out of 163 with an index of 1.92. In addition to the standard bottlenecks, in the form of complexity and cost ofexport-importoperations and weak implementation of IT technologies in the work of customs services are present. All this reduces the basic indicator of the effectiveness of customs procedures. In countries with high LPI, logistics companies are more satisfied with private customs agents than with public ones. Often in developing countries, inadequate government regulation of logistics and lack of competition lead to corruption and poor quality of logistics services on the part of infrastructure enterprises. Sometimes the presence of such operators disrupts the customs clearance process and prevents the emergence of component local operators capable of working with international operators. Central Asian countries need to find ways to solve problems together. At the meetings of the Heads of State of Central Asia, the leaders have repeatedlyemphasizedthisstatement. If the countries manage to jointly develop cooperationinthe field of transport logistics, simplify customs clearance, abandon the policy of import substitution and start competing with each other, at least at the regional level, this will undoubtedly advance regional trade to a new level and the economy of the region as a whole. Tourism is another promising area of regional economic cooperation. Tourism is one of the largest sectors of the global economy. The development of tourism for any state means the creation of new jobs, the promotion of exports, followed by the flourishing of the economy. Tourism contains a number of industries thatareaimedatdeveloping the service sector and supporting domestic business. Tourism provides an opportunity for the development of many companies involved from accommodation or booking to transportation. Public and private investments are needed to develop the region’s tourism and transportinfrastructure.Someprojects to improve regional infrastructure are already underway, but much remains to be done. The standards of the sector, especially in the field of customer service, remain low and unstable, and service resources are not sufficiently developed. Investmentopportunitiesopenupinall segments of this sector of the economy: hotel, restaurant and tour operator business, information centers, etc9. The analysis of tourism cooperation revealed that tourism accounts for only 1 to 3% of the country’s GDP. Despite this, the countries of the region occupy a place in the top ten in terms of the growth rate of the share of tourism in the economy. A great opportunity for the development of this industry is seen in the promotion of the “Great Silk Road” project, but this requires a number of administrative measures that would simplify the crossing of the borders of the Central Asian Republics. Examples are the introduction of a “Single Visa” for the entire Central Asian region or the improvement of transport capacity between cities that are attractive to tourists. Central Asian countries can benefit greatly from tourism by promoting the region as a macro destination of the “Great Silk Road”, but this requires closer cooperation between the states of the region. According to the UN World Tourism Organization, “promoting multiple countries as one destination can be an effective and profitable strategy to attract tourists who would not otherwise consider visiting this destination”. This is especially true for tourists from far abroad, who seek to make the most of a long trip by visiting several countries at once. However, in order to implement this regional tourism project, Central Asiancountriesneed to make common efforts to develop transport links, optimize 9 Инвестиционный потенциал Центральной Азии – как его видят в Boston Consulting Group accessed at https://caa- network.org/archives/15858
  • 6. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38181 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1269 the conditions for obtaining a visa (up to the introduction of a "single visa") and jointly promote this tourist destination (marketing and advertising)10. Further development of cooperation in the Central Asian region is extremely important for all countries of the region. All countries will benefit from cooperation. The need to develop a strategy for effective cooperation is observed in many areas, in particular, in the field of transport, energy, information and communication technologies. All this will certainly have a positive impact on trade policyandimprove infrastructure, since a balanced andcoherent regional policy can contribute to greater connectivity in transit transport and ensure improved intraregional trade, common regulatory measures, cooperation between border agencies and coherence in customs procedures to expand regional markets. The advantages that countries could gain from deepening regional cooperation, including increased competition, benefits from participation in the international division of labor, increasedcompetitivenessoflocal enterprisesthrough expanding sales markets and economies of scale, increased attractiveness for foreign investors, improved business climate, and reduced negative consequences from remoteness from seaports. References: [1] Мирзиёев Ш. М. Критический анализ, жесткая дисциплина и персональная ответственность должны стать повседневной нормой в деятельности каждого руководителя. Доклад Президента Республики Узбекистан ШавкатаМирзиёева на расширенном заседании Кабинета Министров, посвященном итогам социально-экономического развития страны в 2016 году и важнейшим приоритетным направлениямэкономическойпрограммына2017 год// «Народное слово», 17.01.2017 год. [2] Boston Consulting Group official site accesses on https://www.bcg.com/Images/BCG-Investing-In- Central-Asia-report-RUS_tcm27-212858.pdf [3] World Bank Report [4] Узбекистан предложил создать транспортную стратегию Центральной Азии accessedon https://www.gazeta.uz/ru/2018/09/20/transport/ [5] World Bank Group http://www.vsemirnyjbank.org [6] World Bank Group accessed on URL: https://lpi.worldbank.org/international/scorecard/r adar/254/C/UZB/2018/C/TJK/2018/C/KGZ/2018/C /KAZ/2018/C/TKM/2018#chartarea [7] Инвестиционный потенциал ЦентральнойАзии– как его видят в Boston Consulting Groupaccessedat https://caa-network.org/archives/15858 10 Инвестиционный потенциал Центральной Азии – как его видят в Boston Consulting Group accessed at https://caa- network.org/archives/15858