10 Risk Techniques to Use Before you Die IE Business School IE Law School Prof, Hernan Huwyler CPA MBA

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Learn about Monte Carlo Simulation, Decision Trees, Risk and Return Spectrum, Scenario Analysis and Lessons Learned, Business Impact Analysis, PERT, Sensitivity Analysis, Data Analysis. Horizon Scanning

Business

10 risk tools to use
before you die
Prof. Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

Simulations of 10,000 scenarios with
multiple random variables to see the
distribution of all possible outputs
1Monte Carlo Simulation
Calculate reserves for non-compliance
Estimate potential profits in a future contract
Estimate default provisions

Flowchart with expected chances and
financial outcomes of alternatives with
their expected monetary values
2 Decision Tree
Set the strategy in legal cases
Decide how much to invest in corporate defense
Select the best investment alternative

Comparison of expected profits
against costs and liabilities in
investment projects
3 Risk Return Spectrum
Determine bidding prices
Diversify investments
Support a go/no-go decision in due diligences

Assessment of future events by
considering alternative possible
outcomes
4 Scenario Analysis
Prepare business continuity plans
Analyze what-if scenarios in legal proposals
Forecast impacts of observable threats

Assessment on how the disruption of a
critical process affects the business
5Business Impact Analysis
Prepare protocols for disasters and crisis
Set when service disruptions are not tolerable
Determine response strategies
Negotiate liability clauses

Assessment of best, most probable
and worst outputs with the
(best+base*4+worst)/6 formula
6 PERT
Program Evaluation and Review Technique
Assess losses for claims and compensations
Estimate the duration of tasks
Evaluate reasonableness of contractual
requirements

Assessment of the relationship
between input and output variables
7 Sensitivity Analysis
Prepare a tornado chart to assess importance
of variables
Identify the sources of risks in the assumptions
Design controls for executing a business plan

Review of historical information on risk
events to prevent reoccurrence
8 Lessons Learned
Analyze compliance breaches databases
Reduce customer complaints and disputes
Review of non-conformances in inspections

Query of data bases to identify
trends and distributions
9 Data Analysis
Validate data used for planning assumptions
Calculate key risk indicators
Identify different types of distributions

Outlook of early signs of potential
threats and opportunities
10 Horizon Scanning
Set commercial, innovation, growth and legal
strategies
Prepare for disruptors for business plans

Impact estimation of drastic worst
scenarios, usually in the macro
economy
Stress Testing
Calculate capital holdings for a portfolio
Assess hedging coverage levels
Estimate probabilities of credit defaults

They only have risk matrices (also known as heat
maps) based on opinions and debunked by science
Choose your side
Charlatans
They have a complete data-driven tool box
for different decision-making situations
Risk managers

10 Risk Techniques to Use Before you Die IE Business School IE Law School Prof, Hernan Huwyler CPA MBA

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Compliance risk is the risk of failing to comply with laws, regulations, standards, and guidelines that organizations are subject to. Noncompliance risks can lead to legal, financial, and reputational consequences. Compliance officers play a critical role in identifying, assessing, and managing compliance risks. Compliance risks can also present opportunities for organizations to improve their practices, enhance their reputation, and gain a competitive advantage. ISO 37301 is a standard that provides guidance on compliance management systems. The standard defines compliance risk as the risk of noncompliance with laws, regulations, and other requirements that an organization is obligated to comply with. Compliance risks can arise from internal and external factors, such as changes in laws and regulations, new business operations, third-party relationships, and cultural differences. ISO 37301 emphasizes the importance of managing compliance risks through a systematic and proactive approach that includes risk assessment, risk treatment, monitoring, and review. Compliance officers serve as trusted advisors to senior management and provide guidance and support in compliance planning and decision-making. Compliance officers need to have a deep understanding of the organization's operations, risks, and culture to identify and manage compliance risks effectively. Compliance officers should also have strong communication and interpersonal skills to build relationships with stakeholders, including senior management, employees, regulators, and other external parties. The level of compliance risk varies depending on the nature, complexity, and scale of an organization's operations. Compliance risks can be classified into three levels: low, medium, and high. Low-risk compliance activities are routine and have little impact on the organization's operations or reputation. Medium-risk compliance activities are more complex and involve higher stakes, such as regulatory compliance, data privacy, and anti-corruption. High-risk compliance activities involve significant legal, financial, and reputational consequences, such as anti-money laundering, anti-bribery, and sanctions compliance. Compliance risks can also present opportunities for organizations to improve their practices, enhance their reputation, and gain a competitive advantage. For example, a company that implements strong data privacy practices can enhance customer trust and loyalty. A company that complies with anti-corruption laws can reduce legal and reputational risks and attract socially responsible investors. Compliance officers should work with senior management to identify and leverage compliance risks as opportunities to create value for the organization. Compliance risk, noncompliance, ISO 37301, compliance officer, trusted advisor, risk level, opportunities, regulatory risks, obligations, ethical risks, inherent risks, residual risks, risk-taking, tolerance, control level, sustainability

Hernan Huwyler - IE Compliance Corporate Risk Management Full 2023

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

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Support Ukraine from compliance 🇺🇦 Join our free special webinar to get practical tips on how to - adjust due diligence to address new global sanctions, export controls, and trade restrictions - identify third parties, beneficial owners, shell companies, and assets related to Russia and Belarus - activate exit plans and force major clauses - address changes in the expectations of stakeholders to cancel operations, payments, financing, investing, and partnerships - apply measures to support affected employees and the Ukrainian people - prepare for possible Russian cyber and commercial attacks 👉 Enroll the webinar for free https://lnkd.in/gJR27Dci #compliance #export #russianthreat #ukraine #complianceofficer #riskmanagement #sanctions #UkrainiansWillResist #business #investment #corporateresponsibility #businessethics #HR #people #investing #payments #payments #cyber #webinar

Compliance and the russian invasion - Prof Hernan Huwyler

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

DPO Day Conference - Minimizing Privacy Risks

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

Course on sustainability risk management  for the Master in Sustainability and Corporate Social Responsibility Leadership at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid. I will provide the students with tips, tools, and models to assess and manage operational, compliance, integrity, governance, solvency, profitability environmental, climate change, and supply chain risks as part of a sustainability and social responsibility program.

Master in Sustainability Leadership Sustainability Risks Prof Hernan Huwyler

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

Respond to new ALM obligations Identify the key compliance changes for scope, subjects and operations Facilitate the design and execution of compliance checks on payment methods and the use of virtual currencies Evaluate gaps in processes to update controls and procedures Consider the impact on corporate criminal liability using the new ISOs 37301 and 37002 Register virtual asset service providers Assess new compliance and operational risks Identify scenarios of risks and vulnerabilities on new crime typologies Prevent risks of anonymous transfers and the use of prepaid cards Manage risks on high value operations and art trade Integrate risks to know your customer and money laundering Detect and report suspected operations Compare control practices regarding new requirements Update the decision matrices on alerts Adjust customer due diligence process Implement the use of the lists of politically exposed persons Report discrepancies with the public register of effective owners Implementation of new technologies Evaluate the prerequisites regarding quality of data and capabilities for compliance solutions Evaluate solutions to automate and digitize processes related to robotics Use machine learning applications for reporting suspicious transactions Recommend practices for implementing analytics solutions on text and data

Cyber Laundering and the AML Directives

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

I am invited to speak at the Iberoamerican Compliance Conference hosted by the Universidad Complutense de Madrid (Argentina + web, Jun 29/Jun 1, Spanish). I will deliver a master class on quantitative vs. qualitative assessments of compliance risks. It will be exciting to meet great compliance colleagues and friends as Zulma Escalante, Eduardo Navarro Villaverde, Javier Puyol Montero, Silvina Bacigalupo, Daiana C., Carlos J. Díaz Navarrete, Félix Pablo Crous, Lic. Graciela Garay, Macarena Retamosa, Miguel Soler Ruiz-Boada, Nieves Cifuentes Valero, Sebastian Daniel Barletta, virginia olivieri and other fellows.  https://lnkd.in/e_qfztj Register https://lnkd.in/e-iAMgM #compliance #riskmanagement #ECI2021 #ECIArgentina2021 #UCM

Hernan Huwyler - Iberoamerican Compliance Conference UCM Congreso Iberoameric...

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

I am excited to discuss how organizations need to be prepared before implementing machine learning with Jason Maude at the Machine Learning in Financial Services event hosted by Arena International Events Group (June 30, online). We will provide recommendations to develop the conditions to successfully implement artificial intelligence projects. Thanks to Rebecca Mayoh for the event coordination. Join here https://lnkd.in/ec6qP4A #machinelearning #compliance

ARENA - Prof Hernan Huwyler - Debate Is Machine Learning Mature Enough?

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

10 Mistakes in Implementing the ISO 37301

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

I enjoyed presenting on effective controls for software development with Matthew Crabbe and QA Financial. I am pushing the concept of "cyber compliance" to define internal and external requirements for IT assets such as software, data, hardware, services, contracts, and licenses. Cyber compliance is rapidly expanding from licenses, privacy and contracts with IT vendors to outsourcing, software development and business continuity of essential services providers, cloud in particular. #riskmanagement #compliance #itcontrol #CISO #cybersecurity

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Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

Learn how to design, implement. operate and certify a compliance program under the new ISO 37301. Join the IE Law School professors, Alvaro Arjona l Ph.D, Jesica Hita Ruiz, Fabio G. Pérez-Bryan and me, to get a toolbox with facilitators, guidance, reference policies, checklist and other practical references. 8 modules - 12 hours - Sept 27th and 28th - Online - Requirements, terms scope, elements and certification and consultancy market - Practical impact. main changes, benchmark, and introduced components - Adequacy for criminal law compliance in Spain (UNE 19601) and in LatAm - Processes from risk analysis to reporting and evaluation - Implementation of requirements - Recommendations and facilitators for implementation. - Roadmap with evidence to certify - Documentation review program for implementation assurance - Methodology for testing compliance controls and documentation reviews Thanks to Sibel Abdulovska, Paula Abascal Gutierrez-Colomer and Maria Serrano for the flawless coordination of the course. Lean more: https://lnkd.in/gezyzmgn #ISO37301 #CCO #compliance #audit #certification #ISO37002

IE Curso ISO 37301 Aseguramiento de Controles de Cumplimiento

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

More than 121 governance specialists joined Copenhagen Compliance, GRC and GDPR Solutions to discuss how boards are addressing innovation and transformation challenges. I provided tips for board members to effectively deal with digital transformation. Thanks to Kersi Porbunderwala and Olga Maitland for the coordination of the event. Join the next event on corporate culture https://lnkd.in/eMg4anP3 #digitaltransformation #innovation #transformation #leadership #CorpGov #corporategovernance

Hernan Huwyler - Boards in a Digitalized World

Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

While everyone is quick to jump onto the Machine Learning trend, is it really safe to implement within the financial services sector with so many issues surrounding the regulatory and ethical side of utilizing machines to make human decisions? Overcoming the issues faced when explaining outcomes that may be discriminatory which can damage a company’s reputation Is Machine Learning really needed to automate financial processes or does the negativity around ethical considerations enough to reconsider? Can regulatory bodies ever be confident enough in the decisions made by the machines to allow ML to really progress in financial services? Looking towards ensuring transparency in the models decision making process to determine if it is suitable for deployment in financial decisions

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10 Risk Techniques to Use Before you Die IE Business School IE Law School Prof, Hernan Huwyler CPA MBA

1. 10 risk tools to use before you die Prof. Hernan Huwyler, MBA CPA

2. IE, top global MBA

3. Simulations of 10,000 scenarios with multiple random variables to see the distribution of all possible outputs 1Monte Carlo Simulation Calculate reserves for non-compliance Estimate potential profits in a future contract Estimate default provisions

4. Flowchart with expected chances and financial outcomes of alternatives with their expected monetary values 2 Decision Tree Set the strategy in legal cases Decide how much to invest in corporate defense Select the best investment alternative

5. Comparison of expected profits against costs and liabilities in investment projects 3 Risk Return Spectrum Determine bidding prices Diversify investments Support a go/no-go decision in due diligences

6. Assessment of future events by considering alternative possible outcomes 4 Scenario Analysis Prepare business continuity plans Analyze what-if scenarios in legal proposals Forecast impacts of observable threats

7. Assessment on how the disruption of a critical process affects the business 5Business Impact Analysis Prepare protocols for disasters and crisis Set when service disruptions are not tolerable Determine response strategies Negotiate liability clauses

8. Assessment of best, most probable and worst outputs with the (best+base*4+worst)/6 formula 6 PERT Program Evaluation and Review Technique Assess losses for claims and compensations Estimate the duration of tasks Evaluate reasonableness of contractual requirements

9. Assessment of the relationship between input and output variables 7 Sensitivity Analysis Prepare a tornado chart to assess importance of variables Identify the sources of risks in the assumptions Design controls for executing a business plan

10. Review of historical information on risk events to prevent reoccurrence 8 Lessons Learned Analyze compliance breaches databases Reduce customer complaints and disputes Review of non-conformances in inspections

11. Query of data bases to identify trends and distributions 9 Data Analysis Validate data used for planning assumptions Calculate key risk indicators Identify different types of distributions

12. Outlook of early signs of potential threats and opportunities 10 Horizon Scanning Set commercial, innovation, growth and legal strategies Prepare for disruptors for business plans

13. Impact estimation of drastic worst scenarios, usually in the macro economy Stress Testing Calculate capital holdings for a portfolio Assess hedging coverage levels Estimate probabilities of credit defaults

14. They only have risk matrices (also known as heat maps) based on opinions and debunked by science Choose your side Charlatans They have a complete data-driven tool box for different decision-making situations Risk managers

15. Our

16. Case method

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