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Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12




Earnings
Presentation


            September 30, 2012
        BRSA Unconsolidated Financials
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



3Q 2012 Macro Highlights

                        • Stimulative policies reigned:
                                 • The Fed’s open-ended QE3,
Quantitative easening            • Prospect of additional QE by the BoE and BoJ
                                 • Additional ECB LTROs and bond purchases via the ECB’s OMT (Outright Monetary Transactions)
 took over the scene                program
 towards the end of     • In the Euro area, economic weakness - especially in periphery countries - and intense financial market stress
        3Q12              persist.
                        • In China, the cyclical environment remains disappointing towards economic adjustment from ‘quantity’ to
                          ‘quality’ of growth - large package of infrastructure investment and fiscal stimulus announced.
                        • Oil and gold were both on the rise gaining value above 10%




                        • The economy slowed down to 2.9% during 2Q12-- rebalancing continued with higher contribution of foreign
                          demand and sustained weakness in domestic demand, while private investments contracted sharply.
                        • Current account deficit fell below US$ 60 billion as of Aug’12 with poor domestic demand and export
                          diversification.
Rebalancing deepens
                        • Although annual inflation reached 9.2% in September and the latest tax hikes pressure prices, CBRT guides for a
         &                more visible fall during 4Q12.
 CBRT gets ready for    • CBRT is looking to ease monetary policy in the wake of recent developments in the economy and in policies
  global monetary         abroad - prioritizing growth with an eye on inflation and financial stability.
       easing           • CBRT continued to utilize reserve requirement (RR) tool and Reserve Option Coefficients (ROCs) to manage
                          liquidity -- gradually increased ROCs and introduced new coefficients for each assigned and additional tranches.
                        • After having appreciated by 4% and 1% against the currency basket in two consecutive quarters, TL appreciated
                          again by 2% in 3Q12.
                        • Benchmark bond yield, on a monthly average basis, was down to 7.6% in 3Q12 from 9.1% in 2Q12.



                                                                                                                                          2
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



  9M 2012 Highlights

                                                               Increasingly customer-driven, liquid, low-risk and well-capitalized balance sheet
                                                               Customer-driven asset composition: Loans/Assets: 57%; Securities/Assets: 22%
                                                               Increasing share of higher yielding loans sustained, despite a slower growth pace in lending: 2% vs. 5% in 2Q 12
                                                                    TL lending growth: 2% vs. 8% in 2Q 12 & 2% in 1Q12
                                                                    • Lucrative retail loans continued to drive the growth
                                                                       Mortgage: 10.4% ytd vs. sector’s 7.5%; GPL: 13.1% ytd vs. sector’s 11.7%; Auto: 7.2% ytd vs. sector’s 2.5%)
   Balance sheet                                                    • Intentional market share loss in TL commercial loans dragged down TL lending growth
                                                                    FX lending growth: 2% vs. -1% in 2Q 12 & 2% in 1Q12
      strength:                                                     • Slight pick-up in 3Q, driven by working capital & investment loans
   distinguishing                                              Actively managed risk adjusted return of securities portfolio: Realized profits from FC fixed rate bonds
                                                               Sound asset quality with widening gap vs. sector; while, prudent provisioning shoring up the strong coverage level
feature of Garanti...                                               • NPL ratio: 2.0% vs. sector’s 2.9%
                                                                    • Coverage level: 81% vs. sector’s 75% ; CoR <100 bps as guided
                                                               Sustainably strong and well-managed funding structure
                                                                    • Customer-driven and expanding deposit base -- Consumer+SME deposits share up to 65% from 63% at YE 11
                                                                    • Proven success in attracting demand deposits-- Demand deposits/total deposits: >19% vs. sector’s 17%
                                                                    • FX funding supported by Eurobond issuance and long-term bank deposits at attractive rates
                                                               Further strenghtened capital base due to capital generative growth strategy: Basel II CAR: 17.8%, Leverage:7x


                                                                Healthy profit generation -- fuelled by strong core banking income & focus on efficient cost management
                                                               Comparable1 net profits up by 28% y-o-y-- ROAE: 16%; ROAA: 2.0%,
     ...leads to                                               Well managed margin on the back of improving core banking spread -- +33bps q-o-q, excl. quarterly volatility from CPI linkers
                                                               Continued focus on sustainable revenues
consistent delivery                                                 • Net fees & comm. -- Double digit growth momentum maintained on a comp. basis1 via highly diversified fee sources
 of strong results                                             Commitment to strict cost discipline
                                                                    • Opex/ Avg. Assets: 2.3%,, flattish y-o-y , despite the low OPEX base in 1H 11 due to larger implementation of the
                                                                       efficiency improvement project hitting the period
                                                                    • Sustained high level of Fees/OPEX: 59%
                                                                    • Investment in distribution network continued (avg branch additions: >20 y-o-y)


  1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012                              3
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Healthy profit generation fuelled by strong core banking income
-- comparable net profits up by 28% yoy
 Net Income               (TL million)

9M12
                             26
                                                                                                                                                                                             ROAE
    2,313                                                                                                                                                                                     16%
                                                                                               Net Income
                                               2,287
                                                                                               up by 28%                                                                                  Leverage
                                                                                             on a comparable basis

9M12 Reported            NPL Sale        9M12 Adjusted                                                                                                                                          7x
9M11
                            43                  216
                                                                     85
    2,280                                                                              152


                                                                                                                                                                                             ROAA
                                                                                                            1,784                                                                            2.0%

9M11 Reported           NPL Sale Mastercard & Visa stake sale Regulatory effect on9M11 Adjusted
                         Eureko,               Subsidiary valuation              1 fees




 1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Core banking income alone was up by 17% yoy on a comparable basis…


             Sustained
            double digit
                                                                               +
          Net F&C Growth
                                                                                                        Well-managed
       Net Fees & Comm.                                                                                   margins
          Up by +13%
            on a comparable basis1
            (-1% on reported basis)                                                             Net Interest Income
      Robust & well-diversified
                                                                                                    Up by +21%
                                                                                                         excluding CPI linkers
              fee base

                                                                                                        Sustained focus on
                                                                                                        lucrative products                                                               Strong Core
                                                                                             Well-diversified and actively
                                                                                                                                                                                       Banking Income
                                                                                              managed funding base to                                                                     +17% yoy
                                                                                                    manage costs


                                                                                                                                                                                                                      5
1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



…and on a quarterly basis as well, registered a double digit core banking
revenue growth
Quarterly net income   (TL million)                                                                     D        Strong margin performance:
                                      (TL Million)                                2Q 12    3Q 12
                                                                                                      QoQ        Sustained focus on lucrative
                                                                                                                 products coupled with
                                       (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers        943      1,086     15%        declining funding costs

   1Q12:               862             (+) Net fees and comm.                      475        530     11%       Higher fee base due to timing
                                                                                                                of account maintenance fees
                                            Specific & General Prov.
                                        (-) - exc. one-offs on specific prov.      -230      -245       7%      Normalizing net NPL formations,
                                                                                                                as expected
   2Q12:               719
                                         = CORE BANKING REVENUES                  1,188     1,371     15% SUSTAINED SOLID
                                                                                                             CORE BANKING INCOME
                                       (+) Income on CPI linkers                   451         30     -93%      Quarterly income volatility of
   3Q12:               733                                                                                      CPI linkers -- to be reversed in 4Q
                                        (-) One-off effects on provisions           -52         0      n.m
                                       (+) Collections                              40         52     32%

   9M12:           2,313               (+) Trading & FX gains                       67        452     n.m.      Profit realizations from
                                                                                                                FC fixed rate bonds
                                       (+) Other income -before one-offs            24         16     -33%
                                        (-) OPEX                                                                Strict cost mngt – Maintained
                                                                                   -836      -880       5%      Opex/Avg. Assets @2.3%
                                                                                                                in 9M12 -- flattish q-o-q &y-o-y
                                        (-) Taxation and other provisions          -190      -308     62%
                                                (-) Free Provision                   0         -82    n.m.      Prudently set aside for
                                                                                                                possible losses in
                                         =   NET INCOME-- on a comparable basis    692        733      6%       shipping industry

                                       (+) One-offs (post -tax)                     26          0     n.m.
                                                (+) NPL sale
                                                                                    26          0     n.m.
                                         =   NET INCOME                            719        733       2%

                                                                                                                                                   6
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Increasingly customer-driven asset composition

Total Assets (TL/USD billion)                                              Composition of Assets1
                                                                             3Q12
                                                                                                                                          Growth:
                                                                                                       Other
                                  5%
                                                                                                        IEAs                              Loans3 in 3Q: +2%
                                                    1%                                                 5.2%               Reserve req.    vs. 2Q: +5%, 1Q:-1%
                                                                               Loans
                                                                                                                                          Securities in 3Q: -5%
                                                                                                                             7.7%
                                                                               56.5%                       Non-IEAs
                                 152.4                       154.6
      146.6                                                                                                 16.3%          Others
                                                                                                                            8.6%          vs. 2Q: +1%, 1Q:+12%


                                98.6                         98.3                                           Securities
                                                                                                              21.9%
     87.2
                                                                                       IEA / Assets: 84%                                          Loans/Assets
                                                                             2011
                                                                                                      Other
                                                                                                                                                     57%
                                                                                                       IEAs
                                                                                                      9.8%                Reserve req.
                                                                                                        Non-IEAs             4.9%
                                                                               Loans                      12.3%            Others
                                                                               56.1%
            31.9                        30.2                        31.8                                                    7.4%
                                                                                                                                                Maintained
                                                                                                             Securities
                                                                                                                                            comfortable liquidity
       2011
       2011                       2Q12
                                  2Q12                        3Q12
                                                             3Q12                                              21.8%                              Liquidity Ratio2:
       TL              FC (USD)                     Total Assets (TL)                  IEA / Assets: 88%
                                                                                                                                                     30%
1 Accrued interest on B/S items are shown in non-IEAs
2 (Cash and banks + Trading securities + AFS)/Total Assets                                                                                                               7
3 Performing cash loans
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Actively managed risk adjusted return of securities portfolio – Securities
in assets down to 22% due to profit realizations from FC fixed rate bonds
Total Securities (TL billion)                                                              TL Securities (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                                                 Securities2/Assets
                                         8%                                                                         16%

                       38.8                39.1                   37.2
                                                                                                                                                                        22%
 34.6                                          9%                                                                          35.6             35.5
  11%
                        10%                                         5%
                                                                                           30.7
                                                                                                          34.7                                                  down from    24% at 1H12
                                        1%                     (5%)                                 13%            3%                (0%)
                12%
                                                                    95%                                                                      CPI:
                         90%                  91%                                                          CPI:             CPI:
                                                                                            CPI:                                             31%
  89%                                                                                       32%
                                                                                                           29%              28%

                                                                                            FRNs:         FRNs:            FRNs:             FRNs:                FRN mix1 in total
                                                                                             29%           30%              30%               30%


 2011                 1Q12
                                TL
                                            2Q12
                                            FC
                                                                  3Q12                     2011           1Q12             2Q12             3Q12                        61%
Total Securities Composition                                                               FC Securities (USD billion)                                            up from   56% at 1H12
                                                                                                                        (55%)
                                                                                                           2.3
                                                                                            2.1
                                                                                                                            1.9                                RoT Eurobond disposals
Trading 3.2%                                                        AFS 93.2%
                                                                                                                                                                eliminated the capital
   HTM 3.7%
                                                                                                     9%            (15%)                                       burden that would result
                                                                                                                                            1.0
                                                                                                                                    (51%)
                                                                                                                                                                     per Basel II
                                                                                            FRNs:          FRNs:            FRNs:
                                                                                                                                            FRNs:                  implementation
       Unrealized gain                                                                       31%            30%              33%
                                                                                                                                             53%
       as of September-end ~TL 950 mn1
                                                                                            2011          1Q12             2Q12             3Q12

 1 Based on bank-only MIS data
 2 Excluding accruals                                                                                                                                                                        8
 Note: Fixed / Floating breakdown of securities portfolio is based on bank-only MIS data
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



 Increasing share of higher yielding loans sustained, despite a slower
 growth pace in lending
  Total Loan1 Growth & Loans by LOB2 (TL million)
                                                                                                TL Loan Growth:
                                                                                                Q-o-Q
                                                     6%


                                      (1%)           5%
                                                                  2%
                                                                                                2%        vs. Sector’s 3%
                                                                                                  • Lucrative retail products
                                                          87.1         88.6                         continue to drive the TL lending
                              83.5           83.0
          Total                                                                                     growth
                                                          16.0%        15.9%                      • Intentional market share loss in
                              18.2%          16.3%
  Corporate                                                                                         TL comm. lending -- dragged
                                                                                                    down total TL loan growth
                                                                                                 Market share:   11.0%  at 3Q 12
                                                          39.0%        38.3%                   vs. 11.2% in 1H 12 & 11.3% at YE 11
                                         39.4%
Commercial                   39.5%


                                         12.8%            13.4%        12.8%
                             11.8%
           SME                                                                                   FC Loan Growth:
                                                          12.4%        13.0%                     Q-o-Q and US$
Credit Cards                 11.9%       12.2%


  Consumer                   18.5%       19.3%            19.2%        20.1%                     2%        vs. Sector’s 1%
                                                                                                  • Slight pick-up towards the end
                             2011            1Q12         2Q12         3Q12                         of 3Q driven by “working
                                                                                                    capital” and “investment loans”
TL (% in total)                59%            60%          62%         62%

FC (% in total)                41%            40%          38%         38%                        Market share: 18.5% in 3Q12
                                                                                                vs. 18.4% in 1H 12 & 18.5% at YE 11
US$/TL                        1.865          1.760        1.780        1.772

   1 Performing cash loans
   2 Based on bank-only MIS data                                                                                                        9
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12


As easing in interest rates slowly kick in, loan yields started to flatten

TL Loans1 (TL billion)                                                                       Interest Income on loans (quarterly – TL billion)
                                             12%
                                                          54.3            55.3
       49.3                      50.2
                                                                     2%                                                                            2,157
                                               8%                                                                               2,092
                    2%                                                                                          1,998
                                                                                                 1,885
                               16.05%                    16.11%           15.87% Quarterly
     15.17%                                                                      TL Yield2



                                                                                                               11.63%          11.79%            11.81%    Quarterly
      2011                     1Q12                      2Q12             3Q12                10.72%                                                       Total Yield2


FC Loans1 (US$ billion)

                                                3%

     18.3                      18.7                      18.4             18.8


                                              (1%)                   2%
                    2%                                                                          4Q 11           1Q12            2Q12               3Q12
                                                          5.77%            5.83% Quarterly
                               5.55%                                             FC Yield2
   5.12%



    2011                      1Q12                      2Q12              3Q12

 1 Performing cash loans
 2 Based on bank-only MIS data and calculated using daily averages                                                                                                10
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Retail loans continue to drive the growth -- sustained focus on key
profitable products : Mortgages and GPLs
 Retail Loans1 (TL billion)                                                                          Mortgage (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                                                                Above sector growth in
                                       13%                                                                                            10%                                         lucrative products
                            38.6                  40.6                 42.3                                                                                   10.7
     37.5                                                                                                                                       10.2
                            10.2
                                                  10.7                 10.6                            9.7                   9.9
                                                                                                                             0.6                 0.6          0.6                Market share gains ytd
       9.8                                                                                             0.6

                                      5%
                                                              4%                                                 2%
                                                                                                                                      4%                4%
                                                                                                                                                                                 +13 bps in GPL
                  3%

      27.7                  28.4                  29.9                 31.6                            9.1                   9.3                 9.6          10.1
                                                                                                                                                                               +36 bps in Mortgage

     2011                  1Q12                 2Q12                  3Q12                           2011                  1Q12                 2Q12          3Q12
                                          Consumer Loans                                                                    Commercial Installment Loans


 Auto Loan (TL billion)                                                                               General Purpose Loan5 (TL billion)                                                   Market Shares2,3

                                        7%                                                                                                 13%
                                                                                                                                                                                             YTD   Sept’ 12   Rank4
                                                                                2.8                                                              16.6           17.1
                                                                                                        15.2                   15.9                                             Mortgage             13.7%     #1

                                                                                                                                                  7.7           7.7
                                 2.8                  3.0                    3.0                          7.1                   7.4                                             Auto                 15.6%     #3
          2.8
                                                                                                                    5%                     5%            3%                     General
          1.7                   1.7                    1.8                    1.8                                                                                                                    10.8%     #2
                                                                                                                                                                                Purpose5
                    1%                     6%                     1%                                                                              8.9           9.5
                                                                                                         8.0                    8.4
          1.1                   1.1                    1.2                    1.2                                                                                               Retail1              12.9%     #2

        2011                  1Q12                   2Q12                   3Q12                        2011                  1Q12               2Q12          3Q12

1 Including consumer, commercial installment, overdraft accounts, credit cards and other   4 As of 1H12 among private banks
2 Including consumer and commercial installment loans                                                                                                                                                            11
                                                                                           5 Including other loans and overdrafts
3 Sector figures are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Solid market presence in credit cards
-- good contibutor to sustainable revenues
Issuing Volume (TL billion)                                   Acquiring Volume (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                       #1 in card business
                                      19%                                           18%
                                               47.7                                                                                    Per Debit Card Spending
                                                                                                51.1
                        40.2
                                                                           43.1
                                                                                                                                  ~2.5x the sector
                                                                                                                              ... with the ultimate aim of creating
                                                                                                                                         cashless society
                                                                                                                                 Per Card Spending (TL, Sept’122)
                                                                                                                                                                          7,125
                                                                                                                                                                  6,691
                                                                                                                                        Garanti       Sector


                      9M11                     9M12                       9M11                  9M12


No. of Credit Cards (thousand)                                Credit Card Balances (TL billion)                                             Market Shares
                               755                                                16%
                                                                                                       11.4                                   YTD ∆            Sept’ 12      Rank
                                               558                                      10.7
                                                              9.9         10.0
                                                                                                                        Acquiring           -87 bps             19.1%         #1
                                                      9,102                                                             (Cumulative)

                                 8,544
                                                                                                                        Issuing             -88 bps             18.0%         #1
      8,347                                                                                                             (Cumulative)
                                                                                                 7%
                                                                                   7%
                                                                     2%
                                                                                                                        # of CCs            +35 bps             17.0%         #1

                                                                                                                        POS1               +123 bps             18.8%         #1

                                                              2011        1Q 12         2Q 12          3Q 12            ATM                 -25 bps              9.8%         #3*
      3Q11                       2011                 3Q12

1 Excluding shared POS
2 Annualized
*Among private banks                                                                                                                                                         12
Note: Rankings are per September-end figures
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



 NPL ratio remains strong with widening gap vs. sector

 NPL Ratio1                                                                                                                                                                 Net Quarterly NPLs1 (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                                                                                               192
                                                                                                                                                                                                  132
                                                                                                                                                                             352
                                                                                                                           4.0%                                                       67          602                  Including TL 33mn of
                      3.7%                               3.8%                           3.7%                                                                                                                           NPLs related to
                                                                                                                                                                            1002                                       cheques
                                                                                                                         2.9%                                                                                  263
                     2.6%                                2.7%                           2.6%                                                                                           172        165
                     2.4%                                2.5%                           2.6%                            2.7%                                                 101                                      New NPL
                                                       1.9%                            1.8%                             2.0%
                     1.8%                                                                                                                                                                         -42          -71    Collections
                                                                                                                                                                                       -105
                                                                                                                                                                             -166
                                                                                                                                                                                                 1703 NPL sale
                        2011                             1Q12                            2Q12                             3Q12

        Garanti              Sector             Garanti excld.NPL sales & write-offs*                     Sector w/ no NPL sales & write-offs*                              4Q11      1Q12       2Q12          3Q12

 * Adjusted with write-offs in 2008,2009,2010,2011 & 9M12


 NPL Categorisation1
Retail Banking                                             Credit Cards                                           Business Banking                                                     NPL formations
(Consumer & SME Personal)
23% of total loans                                         13% of total loans
                                                                                                                  (Including SME Business)
                                                                                                                   64% of total loans
                                                                                                                                                                                       • As expected, in-line with
                                                                                                                                                                                         sector trends
                                                                                                                                                                                       • Mainly stemming from
                                                                                                                                                                                         unsecured consumer loans:
                                                           5.7%       5.8%
 1.9%        2.0%        2.0% 2.2%                                    5.8%
                                                                                 5.2% 5.4%                          2.5%       2.5%       2.4% 2.8%                                      GPLs & Credit Cards
                                                         5.7%
            1.6%                                                                4.8%      5.0%                                                                                             -- low ticket
 1.6%                   1.6% 1.7%
                                                                                                                  1.2%         1.3%       1.4%      1.5%                                   --recoveries are strong
 2011       1Q12         2Q12         3Q12               2011       1Q12        2Q12        3Q12                  2011       1Q12        2Q12        3Q12
                                                     Garanti                                         Sector


  1 NPL ratio and NPL categorisation for Garanti and sector figures are per BRSA bank-only data for fair comparison
  2 Including NPL inflows in 4Q11 and 2Q12, amounting to ~TL100 mn and ~60mn, respectively, which are related to a few commercial files with strong collateralization                                                               13
  3 Garanti NPL sale amounts TL201 mn, of which TL170 mn relates to NPL portfolio with 100% coverage and the remaining TL31 mn being from the previously written-off NPLs
  Source: BRSA, TBA & CBT
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12


  Prudent provisioning shoring up the strong coverage level

  Quarterly Loan-Loss Provisions (TL million)
Coverage Ratio
         Dec 11                               Mar 12                        June 12                     Sept 12
Sector1         82%                             82%                           81%                          75%

Garanti         82%                             81%                           81%                          81%
                                                                                                                                                                                        Strong coverage
                                                                                                                                                                                       ratio sustained at
                                                                             282                                                                                                                         81%
                                              Includes                        523                          245                                                                                            vs.
              225                            additional
                                                                                                                                                                                                     sector’s 75%
                                          provisions of TL
                                           32mn to keep
                                           coverage ratio
                913                            at 81%

                                               98                            164                            180

                                                                                                                                                                                       Cumulative Gross CoR
                56

                172

                60
                                               98

                                                                              362
                                                                                         2
                                                                                                             472
                                                                                                                                                                                                      96 bps
                                              33 2                            30                             18
                                               0
                                              -33              Lower Gen. Prov. due
                                                                to change in B/S mix

              4Q11                         1Q12                             2Q12                           3Q12

                                               General                         Specific




  1 Sector figures are per BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
  2 The effect of BRSA’s recent regulations on general reserve rates for extended loans and GPLs. Regulatory effect on General Provisions in Cost of Risk was 21bps in 9M11, 17bps in 2011, 16bps in 3M12 and 16bps in 1H12 and 17 bps in 9M12   14
  3 TL91mn of provisions resulting from NPL inflows in 4Q 11 and the TL52mn of provisions resulting from NPL inflows in 2Q 12 are related to a few commercial files with strong collateralization
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



 Sustainably strong and well-managed funding structure

  Composition of Liabilities                                                                                                                      Total Deposits (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                                                                            6%
Bonds Issued               2.5%                         2.6%                          3.9%
Funds Borrowed            14.5%                        14.0%                         14.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                           3%
                                                                                                                                                                     84.5                         87.4            89.8
                                                                                                                                                                                    83.3
Repos                      7.5%                         7.6%                          4.9%

                                                                                                                                                                                                   43%            41%
                                                                                                                                                                     43%            43%                                   FC
                                                                                                    IBL:                                                                                                  (2%)2
                                         IBL:                          IBL:                                                                                                  3%2            4%2
                          45.5%                        46.0%                         46.6%          69%
                                         70%                           70%
Time Deposits

                                                                                                                                                                             (0%)                         6%              TL
                                                                                                                                                                                            5%
                                                                                                                                                                     57%            57%                            59%
Demand Deposits           11.9%                        11.1%                         11.3%                                                                                                         57%

SHE                       12.0%                        12.4%                         13.0%
Other                     6.1%                          6.3%                          6.3%
                                                                                                                                                                     2011           1Q 12         2Q 12           3Q 12
                           2011                         2Q12                          3Q12
                                                                                                                                                  Loans / Deposits   98.8%          99.7%         99.7%           98.7%
  Cost of Deposits1 (Quarterly Averages)                                                                                                          Loans / Deposits   95.0%          95.9%         95.5%           94.6%
                                                                                                                                     adj. w/ merchant payables3
                                                       10.5%                    10.4%
                              9.1%                                                                     9.8%
      8.8%
                                                       9.0%                    8.9%                                                                                                          • Focus on sustainable
                           7.7%                                                                        8.4%
      7.4%
                                                                                                                                                      Loans/Deposits                           and lower cost deposits
                                                      3.5%
      3.1%                    3.1%                                               3.2%                      3.0%
                                                                                                                                                           ~60%                              • FX funding supported
      2.4%                   2.4%                     2.6%                        2.5%                    2.3%                                          when loans* with                       by US$ 1.35bn
                                                                                                                                                        maturity of >3yrs                      Eurobond issuance
       3Q 11                 2011                      1Q 12                  2Q 12                      3Q 12                                           are excluded
                          TL Time                                         TL Blended
                          FC Time                                         FC Blended
  1 Based on bank-only MIS data
  2 Growth in USD terms
  3 Payables from credit card transactions. Please refer to footnote 5.2.4.3 miscellaneous payables as per BRSA Unconsolidated financial report                                                                                15
  *Defined as mortgages, project finance loans, investment loans and no export obligation loans
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



   Customer-driven and expanding deposit base bolstered by the success in
   attracting demand deposits & relationship banking
     Deposits by LOB1                    (Excluding bank deposits)                 Demand Deposits (TL billion)
                                                                                                                       (0%)
                                                                                                                                        3%
                                                                                               17.5
                                                                                                                                             17.4
 Corporate                                      12.8%                                           0.7                           16.9            0.7
                      16.3%                                                14.2%
                                                                                                                               0.7
                                                                                                              15.5
                                                                                                                                              16.7
                                                                                                16.7            0.4           16.2
                                                20.9%                      21.3%
Commercial            20.9%                                                                                    15.1



                                                17.2%                      16.4%                2011          1Q 12           2Q 12          3Q 12
       SME            16.0%                                                                            Bank Deposits           Customer Deposits


                                                                                      Demand Deposits/                         Share of mass deposits
                                                                                        Total Deposits                                 in total
                                                                                                                                «Consumer+SME»
 Consumer             46.8%                      49.1%                     48.1%
                                                                                    19%           vs. Sector’s 17%
                                                                                                                                      up to    65%
                                                                                    Sizeable demand deposit level
                                                                                              maintained                             from 63% at YE11

                                                                                             >14%
                      2011                       2Q12                       3Q12      Customer demand deposits
                                                                                            market share2

    1 Based on bank-only MIS data
    2 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only                                                                                16
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



High internal capital generation capability along with active
management of B/S further strenghtened capital base
               CAR & Tier I ratio

                                                                                                                                        Strategic capital allocation for
                                                                                                                                          • healthy,
                                                                                                                                          • profitable &
                                                                                                                                          • long-term sustainable growth
                                                                    17.8%
                            16.6%
                                                                      TIER I
                            TIER I                                   16.2%
                                                                                                                                        Comfortable level of
                            15.3%                                                                                                       free funds:
                                                                                                                                        Free funds/IEA: 17%
                                                                                              Recommended
                                                                                                     12%


                                                                                                                                                                   Leverage
                                                                                                 Required
                                                                                                      8%
                                                                                                                                                                        7x


                           Basel I…                                Basel II…


Note: CAR and Tier I ratios are per Basel I for 2Q 12, and per Basel II for 3Q 12
Free Equity = SHE - ( Net NPL+ Investment in Associates and Subsidiaries + Tangible and Intangible Assets+ AHR+ Reserve Requirements)                                                            17
Free Funds = Free Equity + Deman d Deposits
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Margins are on the rise, up by +33bps q-o-q, excluding the quarterly
volatility from CPI linkers
Quarterly NIM (Net Interest Income / Average IEAs)
                                                                                                                                                                                Margin expansion: 33bps qoq
   NIM                                                                                         Adjusted NIM
                                                                                                                                                                                    when volatility from CPI linkers are
     4.7%                                                                                          4.3%
                       4.1%              4.2%                                                                                                                                                  excluded
                                                                                                                      4.1%
                                                           3.3%                                                                                       3.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                        On the back of;
                                                                                                                                        3.6%
                                                  (92 bps)                                                                                                                      Continuous improvement in LtD
                                                                                                                                                 35 bps                         spread ~30bps
                                                                                                                                                                                   • Lower deposit cost is the main
                                                                                                                                                                                     driver
    4Q 11             1Q 12             2Q 12             3Q 12                                   4Q 11             1Q 12             2Q 12          3Q 12
                                                                                                                                                                                       • Deposit pricing dropped
                                                                                                                                                                                           by >200bps vs. June-end
                                            Q-o-Q Evolution of Margin Components (in bps)                                                                                               • Impact of the drop in
                                                                                                                                                                                          deposit pricing will be
                                                                                                                                                                                          more apparent in 4Q12
                     +6              -125                                                                                                                                          • Loan yields has started to flatten
                    Loans                                                                                                                         +134        393
      423                        Securities
                                                                             +41      331    -72
                                    CPI              -17       -2     +6                                                                                                        Declining other funding costs
                                                    Sec.     Other Deposits Other                                                                                                  • Avg. cost of repo funding
                                                           Inc. Items      Exp. Items     Provisions                                               FX&
                                                  exc. CPI                                                                                                                           reduced by ~300bps qoq
                                                                                                                                                 Trading


                                                                                                                                                                                   Adj. NIM boosted by strong
                                                                                                                                                                                          trading gains
     2Q 12                                                                                                         3Q 12                                      3Q 12
      NIM                                                                                                           NIM                                      Adj NIM


Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     18
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



  Highest ordinary banking income generation capacity feeds sustainably
  growing revenues
  Net Fees & Commissions1 (TL million)

                                                                                 (1%)
                                                                 1,527                     1,512                                                         • Leader in Ordinary Banking Income generation
                                                                                                                                                          with the highest Net F&C market share4
   Assuming that consumer loan
                                                                 1,337
   origination fees for 2011 are
   accounted for on an accrual basis
                                                                                                                                                         • Double digit momentum in Net Fees & Comm.
   and the avg. cap applied on fund                                                                                                                        sustained on a comparable basis via
   management fees for 2011 is at
   the same level as 2012                                                                                                                                  highly diversified fee sources
                                                                                                                                                             • Leader in interbank money transfer
                                                                                                                                                                18% market share vs. the peer average of 10%
                                                                 9M11                       9M12                                                             • Highest payment systems commissions per
  Net Fees & Commissions                            Breakdown 2,3                                                                                              volume
                                                                                                                                                                1.5% vs. the peer average of 1.2%5
 9M11                                                                                           9M12
                                                                                                                                                             • #1 in bancassurrance6
                                            Cash Loans                                                                       Cash Loans
Payment                                       19.3%                            Payment                                         20.3%                         • Strong presence in brokerage
Systems                                                                        Systems
 32.7%                                                                          40.5%                                                                           6.6% market share
                                                   Non Cash                                                                         Non Cash
                                                     Loans                                                                            Loans
                                                     8.6%                                                                             7.4%
                                                   Money                                                                            Money
                                                  Transfer                                                                         Transfer
                                                    8.8%                                                                             9.0%
  Other                                                                                                                        Insurance
                                            Insurance
  12.5%                                                                                         Other                            5.2%
                                               6.8%                                                          Asset Mgt        Brokerage
                   Asset Mgt         Brokerage                                                  12.2%
                     7.0%              4.2%                                                                    1.8%             3.6%

  1 9M12 cash loan origination fees are accounted for on an accrual basis per methodology change
  2 Breakdown is on a comparable basis to same period last year 3 Bank-only MIS data                                                                                                                              19
  4 Defined as; net interest income adjusted with provisions for loans and securities, net FX and trading gains + net fees and commissions; as of 1H12
  5 Peer average as of 1H12 6 Among private banks as of August 2012
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Differentiated business model -- reflected, once again, in strong results

(TL Million)                                                                                9M11             9M12              D YoY
                                                                                                                                                     Double-digit growth in
     (+)        NII- excl .income on CPI linkers                                            2,393             2,884               21%
                                                                                                                                                     Net Fees & Commissions                  OPEX/Avg. Assets
     (+)        Net fees and commissions 1                                                  1,337             1,512               13%                sustained on a

     (-)
                Specific & General Prov.
                - exc. regulatory effects & one-offs                                          -470              -573              22%
                                                                                                                                                     comparable basis*
                                                                                                                                                                                                  2.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Flattish Y-o-Y
       =        CORE BANKING REVENUES                                                       3,260             3,823              17%
     (+)        Income on CPI linkers                                                           739              969              31%
     (-)        One-off effects on specific prov.                                                   0             -52            n.m.                                                  Sustained high level of
     (+)        Collections                                                                     330              142            -57%                                                          Fees/OPEX
     (+)        Trading & FX gains                                                              259              608            135%

                                                                                                                                                                                                   59%
                                                                                                                                                      Low OPEX base in the
     (+)        Other income -before one-offs                                                     63               65               3%                first half of 2011, due to
     (-)        OPEX                                                                       -2,189            -2,541               16%                 larger implementation of
                                                                                                                                                      the efficiency
     (-)        Taxation and other provisions                                                 -677              -726                7%                improvement project
                    (-) Free Provision                                                          -90               -82            n.m.                 hitting the period
       =        NET INCOME-- on a comparable basis                                          1,784             2,287              28%                                                            Cost/Income
     (+)        One-offs (post -tax)
                                                                                                                                                                                                   46%
                                                                                                496                26            n.m.
                                                                        1
                    (+) Regulatory effect on net F&C                                            152                  0           n.m.
                    (+) NPL sale                                                                  43               26            n.m.
                    (+) Eureko, Mastercard & Visa stake sale                                    216                  0           n.m.
                    (+) Subsidiary Valuation                                                      85                 0           n.m.
       =        NET INCOME                                                                  2,280             2,313                 1%



1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      20
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Appendix




                                                                    21
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Balance Sheet - Summary

                      (TL million)                           Dec-11    Mar-12     Jun-12         Sep-12           YTD Change


                      Cash &Banks1                           15,420    11,791    10,344        10,691                    -31%
                      Reserve Requirements                    7,185     9,101     9,854        11,868                     65%
                      Securities                             34,592    38,770    39,078        37,223                      8%
   Assets




                      Performing Loans                       83,533    83,034    87,140        88,614                      6%
                      Fixed Assets & Subsidiaries             3,488     3,459     3,467         3,556                      2%
                      Other                                   2,425     2,446     2,519         2,599                      7%
                      TOTAL ASSETS                          146,642   148,601   152,402       154,550                      5%

                      Deposits                               84,543    83,253    87,421        89,800                      6%
    Liabilities&SHE




                      Repos & Interbank                      10,955    12,894    11,619         7,632                    -30%
                      Bonds Issued                            3,704     3,801     3,982         5,996                     62%
                      Funds Borrowed2                        21,605    21,221    21,561        21,872                      1%
                      Other                                   8,259     8,729     8,986         9,135                     11%
                      SHE                                    17,577    18,703    18,832        20,116                     14%
                      TOTAL LIABILITIES & SHE               146,642   148,601   152,402       154,550                      5%



1 Includes banks, interbank, other financial institutions
2 Includes funds borrowed and sub-debt                                                                                                   22
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



Long-term strategy of investing in CPI linkers as a hedge for expected
reversal in market indicators
 Drivers of the Yields on CPI Linkers1 (% average per annum)                                                   Interest Income & Yields on TL Securities (TL billion)



                                                                                        28.4%

                                                      21.8%                                                                                 15.4%
                                                                                            21.1% 19.7%
                                                                                                               TL Sec. Yield1                       13.3%
                                                             14.5% 13.1%                                           incl. CPIs                                   12.8%
                                                                                    9.7%
  6.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%
                                                                                                                                   9.8%
                                               3.0%                                                            TL Sec. Yield1
                                                                                                        1.3%                                          10.0%
                                                                                                                   excl. CPIs       9.7%    9.7%                10.0%        9.8%

                                                                                                                                                                                  7.2%
                                                                            -5.2%                                                                                   (44%)
                                                                                                                                           1,169
                                                                                                                                                    1,051     1,025
             Real Rate                               Inflation Impact                       Yield
                                                                                                                                            502
              3Q 11                     4Q 11                       1Q 12           2Q 12           3Q 12                         685                563      573
                                                                                                                     Income                                                 573
                                                                                                                   excl. CPIs
                                                                                                                                   463
                                                                                                                                            666                             543
                                                                                                                                                     487      451
                                                                                                                  CPI   effect2
                                                                                                                                   222
                                                                                                                                                                            30
                                                                                                                                  3Q 11    4Q 11    1Q12      2Q12      3Q12




1 Based on bank-only MIS data
2 Per valuation method based on actual monthly inflation readings
                                                                                                                                                                                         23
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12



    Quarterly Margin Analysis

         Total Interest Income                                                      Int. Income on loans                                             Int. Income on securities                         Int. Income - Other
          (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)                                       (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)                              (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)               (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)

                        9.66% 9.74% 9.86%                                                                           6.35% 6.41%                               3.68% 3.34% 3.24%
                                                                                                         6.10%                                                                                                             0.30%
                                                                                                                                                      2.40%                                                0.28% 0.28%             0.27%
                                                                                    5.61% 5.70%                                                                                       1.81%
             8.30%                                       8.47%                                                                            +                                                        +                                          0.25%



             Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12                                      Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12                               Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12                   Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12



-          Total Interest Expense                                                    Int. expense on deposits                                        Int. expense on borrowings*                       Int. Expense - Other
             (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)                                     (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)                              (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)               (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)


                                  5.64% 5.63%                                                                                                           1.57% 1.59% 1.66% 1.72%                            0.03%
                                                                                                          3.96% 3.90% 3.84%                                                                1.32%                           0.02%
                                                        5.16%                                                                             +                                                        +
            4.96% 4.94%                                                              3.36% 3.36%                                                                                                                                   0.01% 0.00%


                                                                                                                                                                                                           Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12
            Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12                                        Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12                                Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12                        -0.01%


=
         Net Interet Margin                                                                                                                                                                            Net Int. Margin - Adjusted
         (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)                                          Prov. for Loans & Securities                                    Net FX & Trading gains                           (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)
                                                                                       (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)                            (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets)
                     4.71% 4.10% 4.23%                                                                                0.85%                                                                                         4.26% 4.06%
          3.34%                                       3.31%                                      0.68%                           0.73%                                                                                               3.58% 3.93%
                                                                         -             0.54%                                               +                                               1.34%   =       2.59%
                                                                                                            0.30%
                                                                                                                                                               0.22% 0.27% 0.20%

           Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12                                          Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12                                                                                   Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12
                                                                                                                                                       Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12
                                                                                                                                                       -0.21%
    Note: Quarterly NIM analysis
    Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss                                                                                                24
    * Funds borrowed and repos
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials  September 30, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials  September 30, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials  September 30, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials  September 30, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials  September 30, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials  September 30, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials  September 30, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials  September 30, 2012

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Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials September 30, 2012

  • 1. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Earnings Presentation September 30, 2012 BRSA Unconsolidated Financials
  • 2. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 3Q 2012 Macro Highlights • Stimulative policies reigned: • The Fed’s open-ended QE3, Quantitative easening • Prospect of additional QE by the BoE and BoJ • Additional ECB LTROs and bond purchases via the ECB’s OMT (Outright Monetary Transactions) took over the scene program towards the end of • In the Euro area, economic weakness - especially in periphery countries - and intense financial market stress 3Q12 persist. • In China, the cyclical environment remains disappointing towards economic adjustment from ‘quantity’ to ‘quality’ of growth - large package of infrastructure investment and fiscal stimulus announced. • Oil and gold were both on the rise gaining value above 10% • The economy slowed down to 2.9% during 2Q12-- rebalancing continued with higher contribution of foreign demand and sustained weakness in domestic demand, while private investments contracted sharply. • Current account deficit fell below US$ 60 billion as of Aug’12 with poor domestic demand and export diversification. Rebalancing deepens • Although annual inflation reached 9.2% in September and the latest tax hikes pressure prices, CBRT guides for a & more visible fall during 4Q12. CBRT gets ready for • CBRT is looking to ease monetary policy in the wake of recent developments in the economy and in policies global monetary abroad - prioritizing growth with an eye on inflation and financial stability. easing • CBRT continued to utilize reserve requirement (RR) tool and Reserve Option Coefficients (ROCs) to manage liquidity -- gradually increased ROCs and introduced new coefficients for each assigned and additional tranches. • After having appreciated by 4% and 1% against the currency basket in two consecutive quarters, TL appreciated again by 2% in 3Q12. • Benchmark bond yield, on a monthly average basis, was down to 7.6% in 3Q12 from 9.1% in 2Q12. 2
  • 3. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 9M 2012 Highlights Increasingly customer-driven, liquid, low-risk and well-capitalized balance sheet Customer-driven asset composition: Loans/Assets: 57%; Securities/Assets: 22% Increasing share of higher yielding loans sustained, despite a slower growth pace in lending: 2% vs. 5% in 2Q 12 TL lending growth: 2% vs. 8% in 2Q 12 & 2% in 1Q12 • Lucrative retail loans continued to drive the growth Mortgage: 10.4% ytd vs. sector’s 7.5%; GPL: 13.1% ytd vs. sector’s 11.7%; Auto: 7.2% ytd vs. sector’s 2.5%) Balance sheet • Intentional market share loss in TL commercial loans dragged down TL lending growth FX lending growth: 2% vs. -1% in 2Q 12 & 2% in 1Q12 strength: • Slight pick-up in 3Q, driven by working capital & investment loans distinguishing Actively managed risk adjusted return of securities portfolio: Realized profits from FC fixed rate bonds Sound asset quality with widening gap vs. sector; while, prudent provisioning shoring up the strong coverage level feature of Garanti... • NPL ratio: 2.0% vs. sector’s 2.9% • Coverage level: 81% vs. sector’s 75% ; CoR <100 bps as guided Sustainably strong and well-managed funding structure • Customer-driven and expanding deposit base -- Consumer+SME deposits share up to 65% from 63% at YE 11 • Proven success in attracting demand deposits-- Demand deposits/total deposits: >19% vs. sector’s 17% • FX funding supported by Eurobond issuance and long-term bank deposits at attractive rates Further strenghtened capital base due to capital generative growth strategy: Basel II CAR: 17.8%, Leverage:7x Healthy profit generation -- fuelled by strong core banking income & focus on efficient cost management Comparable1 net profits up by 28% y-o-y-- ROAE: 16%; ROAA: 2.0%, ...leads to Well managed margin on the back of improving core banking spread -- +33bps q-o-q, excl. quarterly volatility from CPI linkers Continued focus on sustainable revenues consistent delivery • Net fees & comm. -- Double digit growth momentum maintained on a comp. basis1 via highly diversified fee sources of strong results Commitment to strict cost discipline • Opex/ Avg. Assets: 2.3%,, flattish y-o-y , despite the low OPEX base in 1H 11 due to larger implementation of the efficiency improvement project hitting the period • Sustained high level of Fees/OPEX: 59% • Investment in distribution network continued (avg branch additions: >20 y-o-y) 1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 3
  • 4. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Healthy profit generation fuelled by strong core banking income -- comparable net profits up by 28% yoy Net Income (TL million) 9M12 26 ROAE 2,313 16% Net Income 2,287 up by 28% Leverage on a comparable basis 9M12 Reported NPL Sale 9M12 Adjusted 7x 9M11 43 216 85 2,280 152 ROAA 1,784 2.0% 9M11 Reported NPL Sale Mastercard & Visa stake sale Regulatory effect on9M11 Adjusted Eureko, Subsidiary valuation 1 fees 1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 4
  • 5. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Core banking income alone was up by 17% yoy on a comparable basis… Sustained double digit + Net F&C Growth Well-managed Net Fees & Comm. margins Up by +13% on a comparable basis1 (-1% on reported basis) Net Interest Income Robust & well-diversified Up by +21% excluding CPI linkers fee base Sustained focus on lucrative products Strong Core Well-diversified and actively Banking Income managed funding base to +17% yoy manage costs 5 1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
  • 6. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 …and on a quarterly basis as well, registered a double digit core banking revenue growth Quarterly net income (TL million) D Strong margin performance: (TL Million) 2Q 12 3Q 12 QoQ Sustained focus on lucrative products coupled with (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers 943 1,086 15% declining funding costs 1Q12: 862 (+) Net fees and comm. 475 530 11% Higher fee base due to timing of account maintenance fees Specific & General Prov. (-) - exc. one-offs on specific prov. -230 -245 7% Normalizing net NPL formations, as expected 2Q12: 719 = CORE BANKING REVENUES 1,188 1,371 15% SUSTAINED SOLID CORE BANKING INCOME (+) Income on CPI linkers 451 30 -93% Quarterly income volatility of 3Q12: 733 CPI linkers -- to be reversed in 4Q (-) One-off effects on provisions -52 0 n.m (+) Collections 40 52 32% 9M12: 2,313 (+) Trading & FX gains 67 452 n.m. Profit realizations from FC fixed rate bonds (+) Other income -before one-offs 24 16 -33% (-) OPEX Strict cost mngt – Maintained -836 -880 5% Opex/Avg. Assets @2.3% in 9M12 -- flattish q-o-q &y-o-y (-) Taxation and other provisions -190 -308 62% (-) Free Provision 0 -82 n.m. Prudently set aside for possible losses in = NET INCOME-- on a comparable basis 692 733 6% shipping industry (+) One-offs (post -tax) 26 0 n.m. (+) NPL sale 26 0 n.m. = NET INCOME 719 733 2% 6
  • 7. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Increasingly customer-driven asset composition Total Assets (TL/USD billion) Composition of Assets1 3Q12 Growth: Other 5% IEAs Loans3 in 3Q: +2% 1% 5.2% Reserve req. vs. 2Q: +5%, 1Q:-1% Loans Securities in 3Q: -5% 7.7% 56.5% Non-IEAs 152.4 154.6 146.6 16.3% Others 8.6% vs. 2Q: +1%, 1Q:+12% 98.6 98.3 Securities 21.9% 87.2 IEA / Assets: 84% Loans/Assets 2011 Other 57% IEAs 9.8% Reserve req. Non-IEAs 4.9% Loans 12.3% Others 56.1% 31.9 30.2 31.8 7.4% Maintained Securities comfortable liquidity 2011 2011 2Q12 2Q12 3Q12 3Q12 21.8% Liquidity Ratio2: TL FC (USD) Total Assets (TL) IEA / Assets: 88% 30% 1 Accrued interest on B/S items are shown in non-IEAs 2 (Cash and banks + Trading securities + AFS)/Total Assets 7 3 Performing cash loans
  • 8. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Actively managed risk adjusted return of securities portfolio – Securities in assets down to 22% due to profit realizations from FC fixed rate bonds Total Securities (TL billion) TL Securities (TL billion) Securities2/Assets 8% 16% 38.8 39.1 37.2 22% 34.6 9% 35.6 35.5 11% 10% 5% 30.7 34.7 down from 24% at 1H12 1% (5%) 13% 3% (0%) 12% 95% CPI: 90% 91% CPI: CPI: CPI: 31% 89% 32% 29% 28% FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRN mix1 in total 29% 30% 30% 30% 2011 1Q12 TL 2Q12 FC 3Q12 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 61% Total Securities Composition FC Securities (USD billion) up from 56% at 1H12 (55%) 2.3 2.1 1.9 RoT Eurobond disposals Trading 3.2% AFS 93.2% eliminated the capital HTM 3.7% 9% (15%) burden that would result 1.0 (51%) per Basel II FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: implementation Unrealized gain 31% 30% 33% 53% as of September-end ~TL 950 mn1 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Excluding accruals 8 Note: Fixed / Floating breakdown of securities portfolio is based on bank-only MIS data
  • 9. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Increasing share of higher yielding loans sustained, despite a slower growth pace in lending Total Loan1 Growth & Loans by LOB2 (TL million) TL Loan Growth: Q-o-Q 6% (1%) 5% 2% 2% vs. Sector’s 3% • Lucrative retail products 87.1 88.6 continue to drive the TL lending 83.5 83.0 Total growth 16.0% 15.9% • Intentional market share loss in 18.2% 16.3% Corporate TL comm. lending -- dragged down total TL loan growth Market share: 11.0% at 3Q 12 39.0% 38.3% vs. 11.2% in 1H 12 & 11.3% at YE 11 39.4% Commercial 39.5% 12.8% 13.4% 12.8% 11.8% SME FC Loan Growth: 12.4% 13.0% Q-o-Q and US$ Credit Cards 11.9% 12.2% Consumer 18.5% 19.3% 19.2% 20.1% 2% vs. Sector’s 1% • Slight pick-up towards the end 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 of 3Q driven by “working capital” and “investment loans” TL (% in total) 59% 60% 62% 62% FC (% in total) 41% 40% 38% 38% Market share: 18.5% in 3Q12 vs. 18.4% in 1H 12 & 18.5% at YE 11 US$/TL 1.865 1.760 1.780 1.772 1 Performing cash loans 2 Based on bank-only MIS data 9
  • 10. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 As easing in interest rates slowly kick in, loan yields started to flatten TL Loans1 (TL billion) Interest Income on loans (quarterly – TL billion) 12% 54.3 55.3 49.3 50.2 2% 2,157 8% 2,092 2% 1,998 1,885 16.05% 16.11% 15.87% Quarterly 15.17% TL Yield2 11.63% 11.79% 11.81% Quarterly 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 10.72% Total Yield2 FC Loans1 (US$ billion) 3% 18.3 18.7 18.4 18.8 (1%) 2% 2% 4Q 11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 5.77% 5.83% Quarterly 5.55% FC Yield2 5.12% 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 1 Performing cash loans 2 Based on bank-only MIS data and calculated using daily averages 10
  • 11. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Retail loans continue to drive the growth -- sustained focus on key profitable products : Mortgages and GPLs Retail Loans1 (TL billion) Mortgage (TL billion) Above sector growth in 13% 10% lucrative products 38.6 40.6 42.3 10.7 37.5 10.2 10.2 10.7 10.6 9.7 9.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 Market share gains ytd 9.8 0.6 5% 4% 2% 4% 4% +13 bps in GPL 3% 27.7 28.4 29.9 31.6 9.1 9.3 9.6 10.1 +36 bps in Mortgage 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 Consumer Loans Commercial Installment Loans Auto Loan (TL billion) General Purpose Loan5 (TL billion) Market Shares2,3 7% 13% YTD Sept’ 12 Rank4 2.8 16.6 17.1 15.2 15.9 Mortgage 13.7% #1 7.7 7.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 7.1 7.4 Auto 15.6% #3 2.8 5% 5% 3% General 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 10.8% #2 Purpose5 1% 6% 1% 8.9 9.5 8.0 8.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 Retail1 12.9% #2 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 1 Including consumer, commercial installment, overdraft accounts, credit cards and other 4 As of 1H12 among private banks 2 Including consumer and commercial installment loans 11 5 Including other loans and overdrafts 3 Sector figures are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
  • 12. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Solid market presence in credit cards -- good contibutor to sustainable revenues Issuing Volume (TL billion) Acquiring Volume (TL billion) #1 in card business 19% 18% 47.7 Per Debit Card Spending 51.1 40.2 43.1 ~2.5x the sector ... with the ultimate aim of creating cashless society Per Card Spending (TL, Sept’122) 7,125 6,691 Garanti Sector 9M11 9M12 9M11 9M12 No. of Credit Cards (thousand) Credit Card Balances (TL billion) Market Shares 755 16% 11.4 YTD ∆ Sept’ 12 Rank 558 10.7 9.9 10.0 Acquiring -87 bps 19.1% #1 9,102 (Cumulative) 8,544 Issuing -88 bps 18.0% #1 8,347 (Cumulative) 7% 7% 2% # of CCs +35 bps 17.0% #1 POS1 +123 bps 18.8% #1 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 ATM -25 bps 9.8% #3* 3Q11 2011 3Q12 1 Excluding shared POS 2 Annualized *Among private banks 12 Note: Rankings are per September-end figures
  • 13. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 NPL ratio remains strong with widening gap vs. sector NPL Ratio1 Net Quarterly NPLs1 (TL billion) 192 132 352 4.0% 67 602 Including TL 33mn of 3.7% 3.8% 3.7% NPLs related to 1002 cheques 2.9% 263 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 172 165 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 101 New NPL 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% -42 -71 Collections -105 -166 1703 NPL sale 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 Garanti Sector Garanti excld.NPL sales & write-offs* Sector w/ no NPL sales & write-offs* 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 * Adjusted with write-offs in 2008,2009,2010,2011 & 9M12 NPL Categorisation1 Retail Banking Credit Cards Business Banking NPL formations (Consumer & SME Personal) 23% of total loans 13% of total loans (Including SME Business) 64% of total loans • As expected, in-line with sector trends • Mainly stemming from unsecured consumer loans: 5.7% 5.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 5.8% 5.2% 5.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.8% GPLs & Credit Cards 5.7% 1.6% 4.8% 5.0% -- low ticket 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% --recoveries are strong 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 Garanti Sector 1 NPL ratio and NPL categorisation for Garanti and sector figures are per BRSA bank-only data for fair comparison 2 Including NPL inflows in 4Q11 and 2Q12, amounting to ~TL100 mn and ~60mn, respectively, which are related to a few commercial files with strong collateralization 13 3 Garanti NPL sale amounts TL201 mn, of which TL170 mn relates to NPL portfolio with 100% coverage and the remaining TL31 mn being from the previously written-off NPLs Source: BRSA, TBA & CBT
  • 14. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Prudent provisioning shoring up the strong coverage level Quarterly Loan-Loss Provisions (TL million) Coverage Ratio Dec 11 Mar 12 June 12 Sept 12 Sector1 82% 82% 81% 75% Garanti 82% 81% 81% 81% Strong coverage ratio sustained at 282 81% Includes 523 245 vs. 225 additional sector’s 75% provisions of TL 32mn to keep coverage ratio 913 at 81% 98 164 180 Cumulative Gross CoR 56 172 60 98 362 2 472 96 bps 33 2 30 18 0 -33 Lower Gen. Prov. due to change in B/S mix 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 General Specific 1 Sector figures are per BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only 2 The effect of BRSA’s recent regulations on general reserve rates for extended loans and GPLs. Regulatory effect on General Provisions in Cost of Risk was 21bps in 9M11, 17bps in 2011, 16bps in 3M12 and 16bps in 1H12 and 17 bps in 9M12 14 3 TL91mn of provisions resulting from NPL inflows in 4Q 11 and the TL52mn of provisions resulting from NPL inflows in 2Q 12 are related to a few commercial files with strong collateralization
  • 15. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Sustainably strong and well-managed funding structure Composition of Liabilities Total Deposits (TL billion) 6% Bonds Issued 2.5% 2.6% 3.9% Funds Borrowed 14.5% 14.0% 14.0% 3% 84.5 87.4 89.8 83.3 Repos 7.5% 7.6% 4.9% 43% 41% 43% 43% FC IBL: (2%)2 IBL: IBL: 3%2 4%2 45.5% 46.0% 46.6% 69% 70% 70% Time Deposits (0%) 6% TL 5% 57% 57% 59% Demand Deposits 11.9% 11.1% 11.3% 57% SHE 12.0% 12.4% 13.0% Other 6.1% 6.3% 6.3% 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2011 2Q12 3Q12 Loans / Deposits 98.8% 99.7% 99.7% 98.7% Cost of Deposits1 (Quarterly Averages) Loans / Deposits 95.0% 95.9% 95.5% 94.6% adj. w/ merchant payables3 10.5% 10.4% 9.1% 9.8% 8.8% 9.0% 8.9% • Focus on sustainable 7.7% 8.4% 7.4% Loans/Deposits and lower cost deposits 3.5% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% ~60% • FX funding supported 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% when loans* with by US$ 1.35bn maturity of >3yrs Eurobond issuance 3Q 11 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 are excluded TL Time TL Blended FC Time FC Blended 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Growth in USD terms 3 Payables from credit card transactions. Please refer to footnote 5.2.4.3 miscellaneous payables as per BRSA Unconsolidated financial report 15 *Defined as mortgages, project finance loans, investment loans and no export obligation loans
  • 16. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Customer-driven and expanding deposit base bolstered by the success in attracting demand deposits & relationship banking Deposits by LOB1 (Excluding bank deposits) Demand Deposits (TL billion) (0%) 3% 17.5 17.4 Corporate 12.8% 0.7 16.9 0.7 16.3% 14.2% 0.7 15.5 16.7 16.7 0.4 16.2 20.9% 21.3% Commercial 20.9% 15.1 17.2% 16.4% 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 SME 16.0% Bank Deposits Customer Deposits Demand Deposits/ Share of mass deposits Total Deposits in total «Consumer+SME» Consumer 46.8% 49.1% 48.1% 19% vs. Sector’s 17% up to 65% Sizeable demand deposit level maintained from 63% at YE11 >14% 2011 2Q12 3Q12 Customer demand deposits market share2 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only 16
  • 17. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 High internal capital generation capability along with active management of B/S further strenghtened capital base CAR & Tier I ratio Strategic capital allocation for • healthy, • profitable & • long-term sustainable growth 17.8% 16.6% TIER I TIER I 16.2% Comfortable level of 15.3% free funds: Free funds/IEA: 17% Recommended 12% Leverage Required 8% 7x Basel I… Basel II… Note: CAR and Tier I ratios are per Basel I for 2Q 12, and per Basel II for 3Q 12 Free Equity = SHE - ( Net NPL+ Investment in Associates and Subsidiaries + Tangible and Intangible Assets+ AHR+ Reserve Requirements) 17 Free Funds = Free Equity + Deman d Deposits
  • 18. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Margins are on the rise, up by +33bps q-o-q, excluding the quarterly volatility from CPI linkers Quarterly NIM (Net Interest Income / Average IEAs) Margin expansion: 33bps qoq NIM Adjusted NIM when volatility from CPI linkers are 4.7% 4.3% 4.1% 4.2% excluded 4.1% 3.3% 3.9% On the back of; 3.6% (92 bps) Continuous improvement in LtD 35 bps spread ~30bps • Lower deposit cost is the main driver 4Q 11 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 4Q 11 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 • Deposit pricing dropped by >200bps vs. June-end Q-o-Q Evolution of Margin Components (in bps) • Impact of the drop in deposit pricing will be more apparent in 4Q12 +6 -125 • Loan yields has started to flatten Loans +134 393 423 Securities +41 331 -72 CPI -17 -2 +6 Declining other funding costs Sec. Other Deposits Other • Avg. cost of repo funding Inc. Items Exp. Items Provisions FX& exc. CPI reduced by ~300bps qoq Trading Adj. NIM boosted by strong trading gains 2Q 12 3Q 12 3Q 12 NIM NIM Adj NIM Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss 18
  • 19. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Highest ordinary banking income generation capacity feeds sustainably growing revenues Net Fees & Commissions1 (TL million) (1%) 1,527 1,512 • Leader in Ordinary Banking Income generation with the highest Net F&C market share4 Assuming that consumer loan 1,337 origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis • Double digit momentum in Net Fees & Comm. and the avg. cap applied on fund sustained on a comparable basis via management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 highly diversified fee sources • Leader in interbank money transfer 18% market share vs. the peer average of 10% 9M11 9M12 • Highest payment systems commissions per Net Fees & Commissions Breakdown 2,3 volume 1.5% vs. the peer average of 1.2%5 9M11 9M12 • #1 in bancassurrance6 Cash Loans Cash Loans Payment 19.3% Payment 20.3% • Strong presence in brokerage Systems Systems 32.7% 40.5% 6.6% market share Non Cash Non Cash Loans Loans 8.6% 7.4% Money Money Transfer Transfer 8.8% 9.0% Other Insurance Insurance 12.5% Other 5.2% 6.8% Asset Mgt Brokerage Asset Mgt Brokerage 12.2% 7.0% 4.2% 1.8% 3.6% 1 9M12 cash loan origination fees are accounted for on an accrual basis per methodology change 2 Breakdown is on a comparable basis to same period last year 3 Bank-only MIS data 19 4 Defined as; net interest income adjusted with provisions for loans and securities, net FX and trading gains + net fees and commissions; as of 1H12 5 Peer average as of 1H12 6 Among private banks as of August 2012
  • 20. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Differentiated business model -- reflected, once again, in strong results (TL Million) 9M11 9M12 D YoY Double-digit growth in (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers 2,393 2,884 21% Net Fees & Commissions OPEX/Avg. Assets (+) Net fees and commissions 1 1,337 1,512 13% sustained on a (-) Specific & General Prov. - exc. regulatory effects & one-offs -470 -573 22% comparable basis* 2.3% Flattish Y-o-Y = CORE BANKING REVENUES 3,260 3,823 17% (+) Income on CPI linkers 739 969 31% (-) One-off effects on specific prov. 0 -52 n.m. Sustained high level of (+) Collections 330 142 -57% Fees/OPEX (+) Trading & FX gains 259 608 135% 59% Low OPEX base in the (+) Other income -before one-offs 63 65 3% first half of 2011, due to (-) OPEX -2,189 -2,541 16% larger implementation of the efficiency (-) Taxation and other provisions -677 -726 7% improvement project (-) Free Provision -90 -82 n.m. hitting the period = NET INCOME-- on a comparable basis 1,784 2,287 28% Cost/Income (+) One-offs (post -tax) 46% 496 26 n.m. 1 (+) Regulatory effect on net F&C 152 0 n.m. (+) NPL sale 43 26 n.m. (+) Eureko, Mastercard & Visa stake sale 216 0 n.m. (+) Subsidiary Valuation 85 0 n.m. = NET INCOME 2,280 2,313 1% 1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 20
  • 21. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Appendix 21
  • 22. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Balance Sheet - Summary (TL million) Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 YTD Change Cash &Banks1 15,420 11,791 10,344 10,691 -31% Reserve Requirements 7,185 9,101 9,854 11,868 65% Securities 34,592 38,770 39,078 37,223 8% Assets Performing Loans 83,533 83,034 87,140 88,614 6% Fixed Assets & Subsidiaries 3,488 3,459 3,467 3,556 2% Other 2,425 2,446 2,519 2,599 7% TOTAL ASSETS 146,642 148,601 152,402 154,550 5% Deposits 84,543 83,253 87,421 89,800 6% Liabilities&SHE Repos & Interbank 10,955 12,894 11,619 7,632 -30% Bonds Issued 3,704 3,801 3,982 5,996 62% Funds Borrowed2 21,605 21,221 21,561 21,872 1% Other 8,259 8,729 8,986 9,135 11% SHE 17,577 18,703 18,832 20,116 14% TOTAL LIABILITIES & SHE 146,642 148,601 152,402 154,550 5% 1 Includes banks, interbank, other financial institutions 2 Includes funds borrowed and sub-debt 22
  • 23. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Long-term strategy of investing in CPI linkers as a hedge for expected reversal in market indicators Drivers of the Yields on CPI Linkers1 (% average per annum) Interest Income & Yields on TL Securities (TL billion) 28.4% 21.8% 15.4% 21.1% 19.7% TL Sec. Yield1 13.3% 14.5% 13.1% incl. CPIs 12.8% 9.7% 6.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 9.8% 3.0% TL Sec. Yield1 1.3% 10.0% excl. CPIs 9.7% 9.7% 10.0% 9.8% 7.2% -5.2% (44%) 1,169 1,051 1,025 Real Rate Inflation Impact Yield 502 3Q 11 4Q 11 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 685 563 573 Income 573 excl. CPIs 463 666 543 487 451 CPI effect2 222 30 3Q 11 4Q 11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Per valuation method based on actual monthly inflation readings 23
  • 24. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 9M12 Quarterly Margin Analysis Total Interest Income Int. Income on loans Int. Income on securities Int. Income - Other (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) 9.66% 9.74% 9.86% 6.35% 6.41% 3.68% 3.34% 3.24% 6.10% 0.30% 2.40% 0.28% 0.28% 0.27% 5.61% 5.70% 1.81% 8.30% 8.47% + + 0.25% Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 - Total Interest Expense Int. expense on deposits Int. expense on borrowings* Int. Expense - Other (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) 5.64% 5.63% 1.57% 1.59% 1.66% 1.72% 0.03% 3.96% 3.90% 3.84% 1.32% 0.02% 5.16% + + 4.96% 4.94% 3.36% 3.36% 0.01% 0.00% Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 -0.01% = Net Interet Margin Net Int. Margin - Adjusted (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) Prov. for Loans & Securities Net FX & Trading gains (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) (% of Avg. Interest Earning Assets) 4.71% 4.10% 4.23% 0.85% 4.26% 4.06% 3.34% 3.31% 0.68% 0.73% 3.58% 3.93% - 0.54% + 1.34% = 2.59% 0.30% 0.22% 0.27% 0.20% Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun-12 Sep 12 -0.21% Note: Quarterly NIM analysis Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss 24 * Funds borrowed and repos