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TV-Hackday     Chances&

             Opportunities
A PRESENTATION BY BERTRAM GUGEL




                                  2
ONCE UPON A TIME ...




                       August 1998, 15.000 Views/Day




                                                       3
... FAST FORWARD TO TODAY.




                             32 Million Views since November 2009




                                                                    4
>90% OF CONSUMER TRAFFIC IS
                                                          VIDEO IN 2013




http://www.cisco.com/en/US/netsol/ns827/networking_solutions_sub_solution.html#%7Eforecast   5
Cisco‘s CRS-3 streams every movie ever
made in less than four minutes.




http://www.cisco.com/en/US/netsol/ns827/networking_solutions_sub_solution.html#%7Eforecast   6
VIDEO drives mobile network growth!




                                                               39x                                                           Video
                                                             Increase                                                        69%

                     0,1 EB
                                                                                                                              3,2EB
                    2010                                                                                                             2014
Internet Trends - April 12, 2010 Mary Meeker http://www.scribd.com/Internet-Trends-Mary-Meeker-04-12-2010/d/29850507
                                                                                                              TB = Terabyte (1000 GB) PB = Petabyte (1000 TB) EB = Exabyte (1000 PB)   7
What is TV?




              A medium


              A piece of hardware


              A special form of content




                                          8
CHANCE 1                 Enhance TV.
Broadcast as a Service



CHANCE 2                 Conquer the living room.
   TV as a Screen



CHANCE 3                 The tube is ours.
       Next TV


                                                    9
CHANCE 1
Broadcast as a Service


                         10
BROADCAST




INTERNET

            11
BROADCAST




INTERNET

            12
BROADCAST




INTERNET

            13
Making Broadcast a
1st class citizen of the web by
seamlessly integrating it into
the web.

                                  14
It‘s just 140 characters, right?


       I‘m @TV Hackday.
       http://bit.ly/a6x42S




                                   15
Dead wrong!




              16
There‘s more: Twitter Annotations




                                    17
What about broadcast content?




                                18
LESSONS learned:


                  Make it prammable                    Allow 3rd party access



                  Make it accessible                   Put an URL on any content section



                  Syndicate it                         Let anyone take it and run with it. 




http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2005/11/the_future_of_m.html                                          19
20
3x more videos watched than
                                                     web users



                                                 =   250.000 installs
                                                     and
                                                     650.000 TV episodes
                                                     watched within 14 days




http://blog.mefeedia.com/ipad-video-users
http://mashable.com/2010/04/14/abc-ipad-stats/
http://abc.go.com/site/abc-player-for-ipad                                         21
„We’re moving to a ,best screen
               available‘ model, where
               consumers are going to want
               to watch what they want,
               when they want, on whatever
               screen is around right NOW.“ 

http://www.businessinsider.com/jim-louderback-future-of-cable-tv-2010-4#ixzz0mmo7WfvC   22
BROADCAST as a Service




                         23
E N G A G E M E N T on a new level.
     Entertainment moves closer to the consumer.



                                    3m




                     50 cm




                 10 cm




                                                   24
CHANCE 2
 TV as a Screen


                  25
Internet enabled   TV-Sets!




In   2010 most sold TVs will be internet enabled!
                                                26
... the fight for the        living room!


      Internet Links             Portables                 TV
      Roku, TV, Vudu, ...      iPod, Zune HD, A   Sony, LG, Panasonic

        PC Player             Hardware Corps.          Startups
    Apple, Microsoft, Asus        WD, LaCie, ...   Boxee, Plex, XMBC, ...

           DVRs               3rd Gen Consoles     Blu-Ray Player
     TiVo, CE-Manufaturer        144m Units sold   Sony, LG, Panasonic
From Device to Service
App stores take off ...

              189.851 applications in the Apple App Store (50.000
              new applications added each month)

              4bn app downloads in total from 85m user
              38.000 applications are in the Android Market (20.000
              new applications added last quarter)

              400m Android app downloads in total
http://www.distimo.com/report/download-latest
Internet Trends - April 12, 2010 Mary Meeker http://www.scribd.com/Internet-Trends-Mary-Meeker-04-12-2010/d/29850507
http://www.pitchengine.com/research2guidance/app-store-monitoring-q1-2010-competitors-are-growing-faster-than-apple/61239/
App stores hit the TV Set ...




                                30
They will change                                    user behaviour ...


   Daily usage                                                    40min                                                60min



       Voice Calls                                                  70%                                                45%



                         Video                                        3%                                               23%



Internet Trends - April 12, 2010 Mary Meeker http://www.scribd.com/Internet-Trends-Mary-Meeker-04-12-2010/d/29850507
Shift happens



                TV   ♜
CHANCE 3
  Next TV


            33
Who‘s the TV Station?

    2 *                    4,3                               = 8,6
    Billion Views/Day      minutes per view                   Billion min
                                                              watched per
                                                              Day




    72 * 200 * 43% = 6,2
    million German      minutes a day         market share    Billion min
    TV Viewer                                                 watched per
                                                              Day
=   TV 2.0
Brought to you in

             4K
             +
        personalized
Who‘s the TV Provider?

                             23.212
  Subscribers in Thousands




                                         18.760

                                                       15.000     14.318
                                                                            12.706



                                                                                          5.038




                                 c ast         c tTV    et flix    D ish           rne
                                                                                      r
                                                                                           Cox
                             Co
                                m
                                         D ire         N                      e Wa
                                                                           Tim
Netflix‘s four steps to world domination



      Wi-fi is a < $10 component.


      Wi-fi will be in any consumer electronic device shortly


      Netflix is the killer app for broadband.


      Netflix will be on any wi-fi device.
Who does TV programming?
ALGORITHMS CREATE RADIO STATIONS


                Experts analyze each song and
                identify on average 400 attributes


                Pandora generates a radio station
                based on a song the user likes
                and adjusts the program to user
                feedback




                                                     40
DATAMINING DEFINES TOPICS

        DEMAND MEDIA
                      Algorithms define what videos to produce & their estimated value


                      Editors refine the suggested video titles


                      Produces log in online and sign up to produce the video.


                      Finally the video‘s checked, put online and monetized through ads.




 http://www.wired.com/magazine/2009/10/ff_demandmedia/all/1
DISRUPT TV PACKAGING




                       42
... time‘s ticking!

 User penetration




                      43
KICK OFF QUESTIONS


     How can we enhance TV? What is missing?


     What‘s the Killer app for the big screen besides TV?


     How do we consume TV Content?
Thank you!
Contact
Bertram Gugel

M: +49 179 22 1 77 63

info@gugelproductions.de
www.gugelproductions.de

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TV Hackday - Opportunities

  • 1. TV-Hackday Chances& Opportunities
  • 2. A PRESENTATION BY BERTRAM GUGEL 2
  • 3. ONCE UPON A TIME ... August 1998, 15.000 Views/Day 3
  • 4. ... FAST FORWARD TO TODAY. 32 Million Views since November 2009 4
  • 5. >90% OF CONSUMER TRAFFIC IS VIDEO IN 2013 http://www.cisco.com/en/US/netsol/ns827/networking_solutions_sub_solution.html#%7Eforecast 5
  • 6. Cisco‘s CRS-3 streams every movie ever made in less than four minutes. http://www.cisco.com/en/US/netsol/ns827/networking_solutions_sub_solution.html#%7Eforecast 6
  • 7. VIDEO drives mobile network growth! 39x Video Increase 69% 0,1 EB 3,2EB 2010 2014 Internet Trends - April 12, 2010 Mary Meeker http://www.scribd.com/Internet-Trends-Mary-Meeker-04-12-2010/d/29850507 TB = Terabyte (1000 GB) PB = Petabyte (1000 TB) EB = Exabyte (1000 PB) 7
  • 8. What is TV? A medium A piece of hardware A special form of content 8
  • 9. CHANCE 1 Enhance TV. Broadcast as a Service CHANCE 2 Conquer the living room. TV as a Screen CHANCE 3 The tube is ours. Next TV 9
  • 10. CHANCE 1 Broadcast as a Service 10
  • 14. Making Broadcast a 1st class citizen of the web by seamlessly integrating it into the web. 14
  • 15. It‘s just 140 characters, right? I‘m @TV Hackday. http://bit.ly/a6x42S 15
  • 17. There‘s more: Twitter Annotations 17
  • 18. What about broadcast content? 18
  • 19. LESSONS learned: Make it prammable Allow 3rd party access Make it accessible Put an URL on any content section Syndicate it Let anyone take it and run with it.  http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2005/11/the_future_of_m.html 19
  • 20. 20
  • 21. 3x more videos watched than web users = 250.000 installs and 650.000 TV episodes watched within 14 days http://blog.mefeedia.com/ipad-video-users http://mashable.com/2010/04/14/abc-ipad-stats/ http://abc.go.com/site/abc-player-for-ipad 21
  • 22. „We’re moving to a ,best screen available‘ model, where consumers are going to want to watch what they want, when they want, on whatever screen is around right NOW.“  http://www.businessinsider.com/jim-louderback-future-of-cable-tv-2010-4#ixzz0mmo7WfvC 22
  • 23. BROADCAST as a Service 23
  • 24. E N G A G E M E N T on a new level. Entertainment moves closer to the consumer. 3m 50 cm 10 cm 24
  • 25. CHANCE 2 TV as a Screen 25
  • 26. Internet enabled TV-Sets! In 2010 most sold TVs will be internet enabled! 26
  • 27. ... the fight for the living room! Internet Links Portables TV Roku, TV, Vudu, ... iPod, Zune HD, A Sony, LG, Panasonic PC Player Hardware Corps. Startups Apple, Microsoft, Asus WD, LaCie, ... Boxee, Plex, XMBC, ... DVRs 3rd Gen Consoles Blu-Ray Player TiVo, CE-Manufaturer 144m Units sold Sony, LG, Panasonic
  • 28. From Device to Service
  • 29. App stores take off ... 189.851 applications in the Apple App Store (50.000 new applications added each month) 4bn app downloads in total from 85m user 38.000 applications are in the Android Market (20.000 new applications added last quarter) 400m Android app downloads in total http://www.distimo.com/report/download-latest Internet Trends - April 12, 2010 Mary Meeker http://www.scribd.com/Internet-Trends-Mary-Meeker-04-12-2010/d/29850507 http://www.pitchengine.com/research2guidance/app-store-monitoring-q1-2010-competitors-are-growing-faster-than-apple/61239/
  • 30. App stores hit the TV Set ... 30
  • 31. They will change user behaviour ... Daily usage 40min 60min Voice Calls 70% 45% Video 3% 23% Internet Trends - April 12, 2010 Mary Meeker http://www.scribd.com/Internet-Trends-Mary-Meeker-04-12-2010/d/29850507
  • 32. Shift happens TV ♜
  • 33. CHANCE 3 Next TV 33
  • 34. Who‘s the TV Station? 2 * 4,3 = 8,6 Billion Views/Day minutes per view Billion min watched per Day 72 * 200 * 43% = 6,2 million German minutes a day market share Billion min TV Viewer watched per Day
  • 35. = TV 2.0
  • 36. Brought to you in 4K + personalized
  • 37. Who‘s the TV Provider? 23.212 Subscribers in Thousands 18.760 15.000 14.318 12.706 5.038 c ast c tTV et flix D ish rne r Cox Co m D ire N e Wa Tim
  • 38. Netflix‘s four steps to world domination Wi-fi is a < $10 component. Wi-fi will be in any consumer electronic device shortly Netflix is the killer app for broadband. Netflix will be on any wi-fi device.
  • 39. Who does TV programming?
  • 40. ALGORITHMS CREATE RADIO STATIONS Experts analyze each song and identify on average 400 attributes Pandora generates a radio station based on a song the user likes and adjusts the program to user feedback 40
  • 41. DATAMINING DEFINES TOPICS DEMAND MEDIA Algorithms define what videos to produce & their estimated value Editors refine the suggested video titles Produces log in online and sign up to produce the video. Finally the video‘s checked, put online and monetized through ads. http://www.wired.com/magazine/2009/10/ff_demandmedia/all/1
  • 43. ... time‘s ticking! User penetration 43
  • 44. KICK OFF QUESTIONS How can we enhance TV? What is missing? What‘s the Killer app for the big screen besides TV? How do we consume TV Content?
  • 45. Thank you! Contact Bertram Gugel M: +49 179 22 1 77 63 info@gugelproductions.de www.gugelproductions.de