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Chapter 05


Agriculture: Critical Issues




           Syed Karim Bux Shah   1
APP  refers to pricing of inputs i.e. seeds, water,
 fertilizers, technologies, and credit etc- and outputs i.e.
                     agricultural produce.

  
      APP has important impacts on:
1. Income distribution (specially small farmers)
2. Industrial productivity.
3. Urban sector wages.
4. Exports.
5. Cost of living.
6. Linkage between agriculture and non-agriculture
sectors.
   A good pricing policy works as an incentive to produce
    certain goods (crops) at required quantities during a certain
    period.

   Main objectives of APP:
    1. Balanced growth of agriculture sector.
    2. Meeting domestic consumption requirements.
    3. Forex earning sources (exports).
    4. Forex saving sources (avoid food items import).
    5. Equitable income distribution.
    6 Stability in food prices for consumers.
    7. Maintain industrial competitiveness.
    8. Encourage investment in agriculture sector.
    9. Reduce production costs by switching over to cost
    effective technologies.
                         Syed Karim Bux Shah                  3
   Managerial and governance issues are
    also important in uplifting agriculture
    sector. For example:
    1. Timely equitable/fair availability of seeds,
    fertilizers, pesticides etc.

    2. Lesser reliance on subsidies.

    3. Enhancing managerial efficiency of agriculture of
       agriculture sector to minimize costs.

    4. Accessible institutional/formal/bank credit.
                         Syed Karim Bux Shah               4
   TWO METHODS ARE COMMON:

      1.   COST OF PRODUCTION METHOD.

      2.   PARITY APPROACH/METHOD.




                 Syed Karim Bux Shah    5
1.COST OF PRODUCTION METHOD:

This approach guarantees fair return of certain crops to
  farmers /producers , with maintaining balance b/w
  competing crops.

   This method serves as a better option when the
    objective is to provide productive incentives for particular
    crops and crop combination.




                          Syed Karim Bux Shah                  6
   Disadvantages of cost of production
    approach:

    1. Problem of valuation of certain inputs whose market
       is not well developed –such as labor ,management,
       and land rent.

    2. Problem of using different technologies by farmers.
       Farmers using older (expensive) technologies loses,
       whereas those using new (cheaper) technologies
       are benefited.

    3. large/big landlords are more benefited , due to
    economies of scale.
                         Syed Karim Bux Shah                 7
2.Parity pricing approach:
    “focuses on correcting imbalance in terms of trade
    b/w agriculture and non agriculture sectors”

   Attempt is made to bring balance b/w the pricing
    of commodities sold by farmers and the
    commodities which they purchase.

    Calculated through comparative index of
    agriculture and non agriculture products for a
    selected year and a base year . Inflation is taken
    into account.

   Works to serve objective of long run equity b/w
    urban (industrial) and rural (agriculture) sectors.
                        Syed Karim Bux Shah               8
1.Open market prices: demand–supply
  forces

2.World prices/international prices.




                  Syed Karim Bux Shah   9
(D) ISSUESS IN PRICING POLICY(50’s & 60’s)
SOURCE: National Commission A 1988 REPORT

   THE NCA IDENTIFIES THE MAIN CONCERN IN APP
    OF 50’s & 60’s:

       To Keep cost of food low

       TO KEEP INDUSTRIAL RAW MATERIAL CHEAPER,

       To KEEP URBAN WAGES LOW IN INDUSTRIAL SECTOR.




                            Syed Karim Bux Shah         10
   MAIN FEATURES OF APP IN 50’S AND
    60’S:

      1.   Fixing of low retail prices of food grains even
           below international parity prices.

      2.   Heavy export duties on cotton in favor of local
           textile industry.

      3.   Ban on inter-district and inter-province
           movement which resulted in depressed prices in
           areas of surplus production.

      4.   Over-valued exchange rate (rupee) caused
           losses to agriculture sector and agri exports
           proceed were converted at over-valued
           rupee which reduced agriculture sector
           earnings. Syed Karim Bux Shah                     11
MAIN FEATURES OF APP IN 50’S AND
60’S:
   5.   Over valued exchange rate benefited
        industrial sector in terms of cheaper imports
        of industrial machinery.

   6.   Losses from industrial exports due to over
        valued rupee, were offset by bonuses and
        subsidies given to industrial sector.

   7.   Barter deals in which agriculture products
        exchanged for industrial machinery and
        inputs to the advantages of industrial sector.

   8.   Overall, Agriculture remained a neglected
        sector. Syed Karim Bux Shah                      12
(E)MEASURES TO UPLIFT AGRICULTURE


    1.  SUBSIDIES GIVEN TO AGRICULTURE
             INPUTS- FERTILIZERS ,SEEDS,
 TUBEWELLS.

   2.    IN 1981, AGRICULTURE PRICES
 COMMISION           WAS ESTABLISHED.

    3.   MINIMIUM SUPPORT PRICE PROGRAM
              INITIATED TO SAVE FARMERS FROM
              MARKET STOCKS AND EXCHANGE
              INVESTMENT ,AND REDUCE RISK.

                 Syed Karim Bux Shah       13
(F) STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
            PRIGRAM(SAP)
        BY IMF AND WB IN1988
1. ELIMINATE FERTILIZER SUBSUIDIES.

2. REDUCE WHEAT SUBSIDIES.

3. ABANDON EDIBLE OIL SUBSIDIES.

4. MANY OTHER SUBSIDIES ELIMINTED
GRADUALLY.



                Syed Karim Bux Shah   14
   TYPED BY: RAJA (BBA HONS P 2 ROLL
    NO:120 2K9)




                 Syed Karim Bux Shah    15
Agriculture Credit
   Main Findings of some surveys:
         Year          % of Informal Credit to
                 Agri Sector
         1985          68%
         72-73         90%
         85            85%



                   Syed Karim Bux Shah           16
1995 WB Report Conclusions on
            Agri Credit:
   Key to Productivity
   Only 32% of rural take loans
   10% borrow from former sources
   ZTBL 76% Commercial Banks 17%, Cooperatives 6%
   90% of farmers rely on informal sources
   Informal sources dominate rural credit
   Both Sources are short run
   94% of formal credit is for production and investment
   Rich Get cheaper credit, poor get expensive credit
   Formal sources are complex and lengthy

                        Syed Karim Bux Shah                 17
Informal Credit Sources
        According to surveys in Punjab only 15% of small
         farmers and in Sindh only 8% have access to formal
         credit
        Problem of getting credit in time is also there
        Farmers prefer informal credit due to
    1.     Easy access
    2.     No red-tapism
    3.     Timely Availability
    4.     Consumptions & Emergency loans
    5.     Deferment of Payment Options
    6.     No or nominal Collateral
    7.     High transaction cost of formal credit


                              Syed Karim Bux Shah             18
Arguments
        Against                         For
Exploitative                 Suitable to Small
                             borrowers
High rates                   More Efficient
                             Accessibility
Perpetual In-debtness        Emergency Loans
Imperfect & Monopoly         Consumptions Loans
Markets



                   Syed Karim Bux Shah            19
Statistics of Formal & Informal
                 Sources
   Figure 5.5 (Disbursement of Agriculture
    Credit by formal Institutions 1955-2000)
   Table 5.8 (Sources of Loans by Asset
    quintile)
   Table 5.10 (Agriculture Credit disbursed in
    Pakistan by Agencies)
   Table 5.11 (Agriculture Credit Advanced
    by ZTBL

                   Syed Karim Bux Shah        20
Syed Karim Bux Shah   21
Syed Karim Bux Shah   22
Syed Karim Bux Shah   23
Syed Karim Bux Shah   24
Agriculture Taxation
   Arguments against                              Arguments in favor
       Collection Problems due to:                      Justice, Equity and
            Lack of standard                            Equitability
             accounting records                         Illogical
            Difficult to assess actual
             income
                                                        Exemption to small farmers
       Scattered and Large
                                                        Encourage ax evasion
        number of farmers.                              Income elasticity
       Costly to collect taxes
       Uncertainty in agri income
       Difficult for record keeping


                                   Syed Karim Bux Shah                         25
Others Issues: Is Agriculture sector
            over-taxed
   Lion’s share of indirect taxes in Govt’s tax revenue is
    paid by the
   Lower procurement prices for agri. Produce (Hidden
    Taxes)
   Export duties on agriculture commodities
   Increase in agricultural income offset by increase in
    population
   And higher expenditure on inputs and equipments
   Taxing agri-sector barrier to saving and investment in the
    sector.
   Taxing would discourage addition the cultivable land


                         Syed Karim Bux Shah                26
Taxation- Economic and Political
              Perspective
   National Commission on Agriculture (NCA) 1988
    Report arguments against Agri-tax
       Lack of sustainability in agri-income
       Majority of the small landholders unable to produce
        taxable surplus.
       Nature-dependent income, highly unpredictable to
        rely.
       Uninsurable income due to greater uncertainty.
       Farmer act as their own insurer.
       Incidence of indirect taxation on agri-population.

                         Syed Karim Bux Shah                  27
Taxation- Economic and Political
              Perspective

   National Taxation Reforms Commission
    (NTRSC) (1986) favor agri-tax on the following
    grounds:
       The presence of large landholders which can be brought
        under the tax net.
       Increase in agri-income resulting from green revolution.
       Encourages and a loophole to tax evasion: Nonagri-
        income is claimed as agri-income and taxes are evaded.
       Creates feeling of jealousy/injustice among non-agri
        sectors.

                           Syed Karim Bux Shah                     28
5.6: Water Crisis
   Of 22.15mh cultivable land, 18.04 mh (81%)
    land depends on irrigation through canals and
    tube wells.

   During 1960’s Govt. main focus was on
    investment on irrigation system.

   Later no serious effort made in that direction,
    which resulted in water crisis in 1980’s onwards.

                      Syed Karim Bux Shah           29
Main Problems
   Poor maintenance.
   Lack of regular desilting.
   Crumbling canal banks.
    High seepage and water losses. (35-40% delivery from
    head to tail. (WB study 1994).
   Tail-enders sufferings
   Water logging.
   Salinity (Sindh the main victim)
   Inadequate reservoir capacity.
   Uneven water flow pattern (85% water flow in summer).
   Inadequate drainage system.
   Loss of land due to water logging and salinity.
   Corruption in water distribution.
                       Syed Karim Bux Shah                  30

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Agriculture pricing policy and agriculture credit

  • 1. Chapter 05 Agriculture: Critical Issues Syed Karim Bux Shah 1
  • 2. APP refers to pricing of inputs i.e. seeds, water, fertilizers, technologies, and credit etc- and outputs i.e. agricultural produce.  APP has important impacts on: 1. Income distribution (specially small farmers) 2. Industrial productivity. 3. Urban sector wages. 4. Exports. 5. Cost of living. 6. Linkage between agriculture and non-agriculture sectors.
  • 3. A good pricing policy works as an incentive to produce certain goods (crops) at required quantities during a certain period.  Main objectives of APP: 1. Balanced growth of agriculture sector. 2. Meeting domestic consumption requirements. 3. Forex earning sources (exports). 4. Forex saving sources (avoid food items import). 5. Equitable income distribution. 6 Stability in food prices for consumers. 7. Maintain industrial competitiveness. 8. Encourage investment in agriculture sector. 9. Reduce production costs by switching over to cost effective technologies. Syed Karim Bux Shah 3
  • 4. Managerial and governance issues are also important in uplifting agriculture sector. For example: 1. Timely equitable/fair availability of seeds, fertilizers, pesticides etc. 2. Lesser reliance on subsidies. 3. Enhancing managerial efficiency of agriculture of agriculture sector to minimize costs. 4. Accessible institutional/formal/bank credit. Syed Karim Bux Shah 4
  • 5. TWO METHODS ARE COMMON: 1. COST OF PRODUCTION METHOD. 2. PARITY APPROACH/METHOD. Syed Karim Bux Shah 5
  • 6. 1.COST OF PRODUCTION METHOD: This approach guarantees fair return of certain crops to farmers /producers , with maintaining balance b/w competing crops.  This method serves as a better option when the objective is to provide productive incentives for particular crops and crop combination. Syed Karim Bux Shah 6
  • 7. Disadvantages of cost of production approach: 1. Problem of valuation of certain inputs whose market is not well developed –such as labor ,management, and land rent. 2. Problem of using different technologies by farmers. Farmers using older (expensive) technologies loses, whereas those using new (cheaper) technologies are benefited. 3. large/big landlords are more benefited , due to economies of scale. Syed Karim Bux Shah 7
  • 8. 2.Parity pricing approach: “focuses on correcting imbalance in terms of trade b/w agriculture and non agriculture sectors”  Attempt is made to bring balance b/w the pricing of commodities sold by farmers and the commodities which they purchase.  Calculated through comparative index of agriculture and non agriculture products for a selected year and a base year . Inflation is taken into account.  Works to serve objective of long run equity b/w urban (industrial) and rural (agriculture) sectors. Syed Karim Bux Shah 8
  • 9. 1.Open market prices: demand–supply forces 2.World prices/international prices. Syed Karim Bux Shah 9
  • 10. (D) ISSUESS IN PRICING POLICY(50’s & 60’s) SOURCE: National Commission A 1988 REPORT  THE NCA IDENTIFIES THE MAIN CONCERN IN APP OF 50’s & 60’s:  To Keep cost of food low  TO KEEP INDUSTRIAL RAW MATERIAL CHEAPER,  To KEEP URBAN WAGES LOW IN INDUSTRIAL SECTOR. Syed Karim Bux Shah 10
  • 11. MAIN FEATURES OF APP IN 50’S AND 60’S: 1. Fixing of low retail prices of food grains even below international parity prices. 2. Heavy export duties on cotton in favor of local textile industry. 3. Ban on inter-district and inter-province movement which resulted in depressed prices in areas of surplus production. 4. Over-valued exchange rate (rupee) caused losses to agriculture sector and agri exports proceed were converted at over-valued rupee which reduced agriculture sector earnings. Syed Karim Bux Shah 11
  • 12. MAIN FEATURES OF APP IN 50’S AND 60’S: 5. Over valued exchange rate benefited industrial sector in terms of cheaper imports of industrial machinery. 6. Losses from industrial exports due to over valued rupee, were offset by bonuses and subsidies given to industrial sector. 7. Barter deals in which agriculture products exchanged for industrial machinery and inputs to the advantages of industrial sector. 8. Overall, Agriculture remained a neglected sector. Syed Karim Bux Shah 12
  • 13. (E)MEASURES TO UPLIFT AGRICULTURE 1. SUBSIDIES GIVEN TO AGRICULTURE INPUTS- FERTILIZERS ,SEEDS, TUBEWELLS. 2. IN 1981, AGRICULTURE PRICES COMMISION WAS ESTABLISHED. 3. MINIMIUM SUPPORT PRICE PROGRAM INITIATED TO SAVE FARMERS FROM MARKET STOCKS AND EXCHANGE INVESTMENT ,AND REDUCE RISK. Syed Karim Bux Shah 13
  • 14. (F) STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT PRIGRAM(SAP) BY IMF AND WB IN1988 1. ELIMINATE FERTILIZER SUBSUIDIES. 2. REDUCE WHEAT SUBSIDIES. 3. ABANDON EDIBLE OIL SUBSIDIES. 4. MANY OTHER SUBSIDIES ELIMINTED GRADUALLY. Syed Karim Bux Shah 14
  • 15. TYPED BY: RAJA (BBA HONS P 2 ROLL NO:120 2K9) Syed Karim Bux Shah 15
  • 16. Agriculture Credit  Main Findings of some surveys: Year % of Informal Credit to Agri Sector 1985 68% 72-73 90% 85 85% Syed Karim Bux Shah 16
  • 17. 1995 WB Report Conclusions on Agri Credit:  Key to Productivity  Only 32% of rural take loans  10% borrow from former sources  ZTBL 76% Commercial Banks 17%, Cooperatives 6%  90% of farmers rely on informal sources  Informal sources dominate rural credit  Both Sources are short run  94% of formal credit is for production and investment  Rich Get cheaper credit, poor get expensive credit  Formal sources are complex and lengthy Syed Karim Bux Shah 17
  • 18. Informal Credit Sources  According to surveys in Punjab only 15% of small farmers and in Sindh only 8% have access to formal credit  Problem of getting credit in time is also there  Farmers prefer informal credit due to 1. Easy access 2. No red-tapism 3. Timely Availability 4. Consumptions & Emergency loans 5. Deferment of Payment Options 6. No or nominal Collateral 7. High transaction cost of formal credit Syed Karim Bux Shah 18
  • 19. Arguments Against For Exploitative Suitable to Small borrowers High rates More Efficient Accessibility Perpetual In-debtness Emergency Loans Imperfect & Monopoly Consumptions Loans Markets Syed Karim Bux Shah 19
  • 20. Statistics of Formal & Informal Sources  Figure 5.5 (Disbursement of Agriculture Credit by formal Institutions 1955-2000)  Table 5.8 (Sources of Loans by Asset quintile)  Table 5.10 (Agriculture Credit disbursed in Pakistan by Agencies)  Table 5.11 (Agriculture Credit Advanced by ZTBL Syed Karim Bux Shah 20
  • 21. Syed Karim Bux Shah 21
  • 22. Syed Karim Bux Shah 22
  • 23. Syed Karim Bux Shah 23
  • 24. Syed Karim Bux Shah 24
  • 25. Agriculture Taxation  Arguments against  Arguments in favor  Collection Problems due to:  Justice, Equity and  Lack of standard Equitability accounting records  Illogical  Difficult to assess actual income  Exemption to small farmers  Scattered and Large  Encourage ax evasion number of farmers.  Income elasticity  Costly to collect taxes  Uncertainty in agri income  Difficult for record keeping Syed Karim Bux Shah 25
  • 26. Others Issues: Is Agriculture sector over-taxed  Lion’s share of indirect taxes in Govt’s tax revenue is paid by the  Lower procurement prices for agri. Produce (Hidden Taxes)  Export duties on agriculture commodities  Increase in agricultural income offset by increase in population  And higher expenditure on inputs and equipments  Taxing agri-sector barrier to saving and investment in the sector.  Taxing would discourage addition the cultivable land Syed Karim Bux Shah 26
  • 27. Taxation- Economic and Political Perspective  National Commission on Agriculture (NCA) 1988 Report arguments against Agri-tax  Lack of sustainability in agri-income  Majority of the small landholders unable to produce taxable surplus.  Nature-dependent income, highly unpredictable to rely.  Uninsurable income due to greater uncertainty.  Farmer act as their own insurer.  Incidence of indirect taxation on agri-population. Syed Karim Bux Shah 27
  • 28. Taxation- Economic and Political Perspective  National Taxation Reforms Commission (NTRSC) (1986) favor agri-tax on the following grounds:  The presence of large landholders which can be brought under the tax net.  Increase in agri-income resulting from green revolution.  Encourages and a loophole to tax evasion: Nonagri- income is claimed as agri-income and taxes are evaded.  Creates feeling of jealousy/injustice among non-agri sectors. Syed Karim Bux Shah 28
  • 29. 5.6: Water Crisis  Of 22.15mh cultivable land, 18.04 mh (81%) land depends on irrigation through canals and tube wells.  During 1960’s Govt. main focus was on investment on irrigation system.  Later no serious effort made in that direction, which resulted in water crisis in 1980’s onwards. Syed Karim Bux Shah 29
  • 30. Main Problems  Poor maintenance.  Lack of regular desilting.  Crumbling canal banks.  High seepage and water losses. (35-40% delivery from head to tail. (WB study 1994).  Tail-enders sufferings  Water logging.  Salinity (Sindh the main victim)  Inadequate reservoir capacity.  Uneven water flow pattern (85% water flow in summer).  Inadequate drainage system.  Loss of land due to water logging and salinity.  Corruption in water distribution. Syed Karim Bux Shah 30