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Ecosystem-based Adaptation in Central Asia
An innovative approach to help people adapt to CC
Paul Schumacher
Central Asia Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop
Hosted by the Government of Kyrgyz Republic
Organized by FAO, GACSA, CAREC, ICARDA, CACAARI, CEU
12.07–14.07.2016
The EbA project is part of the International Climate Initiative (IKI). The German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature
Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety (BMUB) supports this initiative on the basis of a decision adopted by the German
Bundestag
Page 2
Project background
IUK CCA Conference
Project period: 06/2015 – 05/2019
Political project partners
• Kyrgyz Republic: State Agency of Environmental Protection and Forestry
• Republic of Kazakhstan: Ministry of Energy
• Republic of Tajikistan: Committee for Environmental Protection
Implementing Partners of GIZ
• Public Foundation CAMP Alatoo (KR) / CAMP Tabiat (RT)
• Mountain Society Research Institute (MSRI) of University of Central Asia
• Michael Succow Foundation for the Protection of Nature
• GFZ German Research Centre for Geoscience
• UNIQUE Forestry & Landuse GmbH
14.04.2016
Page 3
“ Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of
biodiversity and ecosystem services as part of
an overall strategy to help people adapt to the
adverse effects of climate change.”
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Definition of EbA
Convention on Biological Diversity 2009
Page 4
“ Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of
biodiversity and ecosystem services as part of
an overall strategy to help people adapt to the
adverse effects of climate change.”
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Definition of EbA
Convention on Biological Diversity 2009
Page 5
3 Key Messages
(1) Ecosystem-based Adaptation helps people to adapt to climate change
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 6
“ Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of
biodiversity and ecosystem services as part
of an overall strategy to help people adapt to
the adverse effects of climate change.”
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Definition of EbA
Convention on Biological Diversity 2009
Page 7
3 Key Messages
(2) Ecosystem-based Adaptation only succeeds when nature is able to adapt
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 8
Adaptation = Going with the flow,
embracing and facilitating change
Source:
Resistance = paddling upstream
Trying to maintain the status quo
OR return to a previous state
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 9
“ Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of
biodiversity and ecosystem services as part of
an overall strategy to help people adapt to the
adverse effects of climate change.”
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Definition of EbA
Convention on Biological Diversity 2009
Page 10
3 Key Messages
(3) Ecosystem-based Adaptation works best when combined with other
approaches
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 11Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 12
We need climate science!
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 13
© WWF US
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 14
Winter Spring Summer
Winter Spring Summer
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
We need climate science!
Page 15Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Seasonal projections based on Livelihood
Page 16
The problem with averages
© WWF US
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 17
Scenario planning
• Supports planning in situations with high levels of uncertainty and low level
of control
• Combines axes of possible changes
• Gives >>possible futures<< to support planning under uncertainty
Spring PrecipitationStays the same Gets more
Summer Temperaturedecrease increase
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 18
Spring PrecipitationStays the same Gets more
SummerTemperature
decrease
increase
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
Scenario 3Scenario 4
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 19
Start planning
• Choose the worst case scenario and plan activities
• Rank ideas according to criteria
• Most important criteria: Robustness in all four climate scenarios
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 20
Thank you for your attention!
Questions?
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 21
The new regional program
Sustainable and climate sensitive land use for
Economic Development in Central Asia
Module outcome: Land user groups, NGOs and the private sector in
Central Asia are promoting the implementation of integrative, climate-
sensitive and economically viable land-use approaches.
Output A: Elaboration of integrative land management regulations: In the
context of sector reform processes, key actors from different sectors
support the integration of diverse land-use forms on the basis of
international environmental conventions.
Output B: Implementation of integrative land management approaches: In
selected countries of Central Asia, the conditions for a broad-based
implementation of integrative land use approaches are improved.
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
Page 22
Output C: Networking and mainstreaming: The capacities of actors in
Central Asia in terms of integrative land-use forms have been
strengthened
Output D: Economic Valuation: Approaches for capturing economic value
of renewable natural resources are implemented on a pilot basis in
selected countries of Central Asia.
The new regional program
Sustainable and climate sensitive land use for
Economic Development in Central Asia
Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016

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Ecosystem-based adaptation in Central Asia. An innovative approach to help people adapt to climate change

  • 1. Page 1 Ecosystem-based Adaptation in Central Asia An innovative approach to help people adapt to CC Paul Schumacher Central Asia Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop Hosted by the Government of Kyrgyz Republic Organized by FAO, GACSA, CAREC, ICARDA, CACAARI, CEU 12.07–14.07.2016 The EbA project is part of the International Climate Initiative (IKI). The German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety (BMUB) supports this initiative on the basis of a decision adopted by the German Bundestag
  • 2. Page 2 Project background IUK CCA Conference Project period: 06/2015 – 05/2019 Political project partners • Kyrgyz Republic: State Agency of Environmental Protection and Forestry • Republic of Kazakhstan: Ministry of Energy • Republic of Tajikistan: Committee for Environmental Protection Implementing Partners of GIZ • Public Foundation CAMP Alatoo (KR) / CAMP Tabiat (RT) • Mountain Society Research Institute (MSRI) of University of Central Asia • Michael Succow Foundation for the Protection of Nature • GFZ German Research Centre for Geoscience • UNIQUE Forestry & Landuse GmbH 14.04.2016
  • 3. Page 3 “ Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of biodiversity and ecosystem services as part of an overall strategy to help people adapt to the adverse effects of climate change.” Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016 Definition of EbA Convention on Biological Diversity 2009
  • 4. Page 4 “ Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of biodiversity and ecosystem services as part of an overall strategy to help people adapt to the adverse effects of climate change.” Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016 Definition of EbA Convention on Biological Diversity 2009
  • 5. Page 5 3 Key Messages (1) Ecosystem-based Adaptation helps people to adapt to climate change Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 6. Page 6 “ Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of biodiversity and ecosystem services as part of an overall strategy to help people adapt to the adverse effects of climate change.” Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016 Definition of EbA Convention on Biological Diversity 2009
  • 7. Page 7 3 Key Messages (2) Ecosystem-based Adaptation only succeeds when nature is able to adapt Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 8. Page 8 Adaptation = Going with the flow, embracing and facilitating change Source: Resistance = paddling upstream Trying to maintain the status quo OR return to a previous state Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 9. Page 9 “ Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of biodiversity and ecosystem services as part of an overall strategy to help people adapt to the adverse effects of climate change.” Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016 Definition of EbA Convention on Biological Diversity 2009
  • 10. Page 10 3 Key Messages (3) Ecosystem-based Adaptation works best when combined with other approaches Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 11. Page 11Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 12. Page 12 We need climate science! Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 13. Page 13 © WWF US Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 14. Page 14 Winter Spring Summer Winter Spring Summer Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016 We need climate science!
  • 15. Page 15Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016 Seasonal projections based on Livelihood
  • 16. Page 16 The problem with averages © WWF US Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 17. Page 17 Scenario planning • Supports planning in situations with high levels of uncertainty and low level of control • Combines axes of possible changes • Gives >>possible futures<< to support planning under uncertainty Spring PrecipitationStays the same Gets more Summer Temperaturedecrease increase Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 18. Page 18 Spring PrecipitationStays the same Gets more SummerTemperature decrease increase Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3Scenario 4 Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 19. Page 19 Start planning • Choose the worst case scenario and plan activities • Rank ideas according to criteria • Most important criteria: Robustness in all four climate scenarios Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 20. Page 20 Thank you for your attention! Questions? Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 21. Page 21 The new regional program Sustainable and climate sensitive land use for Economic Development in Central Asia Module outcome: Land user groups, NGOs and the private sector in Central Asia are promoting the implementation of integrative, climate- sensitive and economically viable land-use approaches. Output A: Elaboration of integrative land management regulations: In the context of sector reform processes, key actors from different sectors support the integration of diverse land-use forms on the basis of international environmental conventions. Output B: Implementation of integrative land management approaches: In selected countries of Central Asia, the conditions for a broad-based implementation of integrative land use approaches are improved. Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016
  • 22. Page 22 Output C: Networking and mainstreaming: The capacities of actors in Central Asia in terms of integrative land-use forms have been strengthened Output D: Economic Valuation: Approaches for capturing economic value of renewable natural resources are implemented on a pilot basis in selected countries of Central Asia. The new regional program Sustainable and climate sensitive land use for Economic Development in Central Asia Climate Smart Agriculture Workshop13.07.2016