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Cargo Movements on Austria„s
Road Network (iMOVE)
EUROSTAT, Oct 11, 2012
Austria„s traffic model (current & future)

    Used by the national & state
     authorities to plan infrastructure
     projects
    Passenger & cargo induced road
     and rail traffic considering public
     as well as private transport
    Forecast of volumes based on
     demographic projections, trade        Network characteristics
     and production forecasts
    A series of connected sub-models       Overall 243.000 km (o. w.
     with a detailed network at its          109.000 road, 84.000 rail)
     core to map actual and                 Austria 32.300 km (o. w. 26.000
                                             road, 6.300 rail)
     forecasted O/D flows                   2412 counties/municipalities in
                                             Austria; 216 NUTS3 / NUTS0
    Actual O/D data essentially             regions in Europe
     recompiled periodically (current
     version 2009)
Page  2
Perceived weaknesses of the current approach

The model‘s empirical foundation
   Insufficient accuracy of total transportation volume
            Output of transportation sector 2004 estimates range between
             363,5 and 415,8 mio. t/km depending on source
            Underestimation by the European Road Freight Statistics ?

   Inhomogeneous data collections
            Spatial differences (NUTS3, highway sections, counties)
            Methodological differences between countries in collecting
             national road traffic data
            Periodical differences (quarterly, yearly (t+1), every four
             years) between surveys

   Laborious, expensive production process of base data
Page  3
Main objectives of the iMOVE project

Improve the production process and the quality of
             the O/D flow matrices
  Combine & harmonize different surveys
  Incorporate highway toll data into the O/D flows
   trips / between counties per truck category per day
  Calibrate the O/D flows, using traffic count numbers of
   permanent counting stations
  [Verify and consider the hypothesized growth in
   multimodal movements]
  Prototype a repeatable data production process
Major data sources used to compile the O/D matrix

              Austrian Road Freight Transport Statistics (SGVS)
               Sampling based on Austria‘s Vehicle Registry
               Political District Level
               Assumed underestimation (foreign (non EU) trucks/non-response)


              European Road Traffic Statistics (D-Tables)
               Only trucks registered nationally are surveyed, combined at EU level
               Movements at NUTS3 level
               Assumed underestimation (foreign (non EU) trucks/non-response)


              Cross Alpine Freight Data (CAFT)
               All trucks, irrespective of nationality are surveyed
               Survey performed by Alpine nations every 4 years (O/D, cargo)
               Performed at border crossings and major mountain passes


              Toll data records & Traffic counts
               Complete set of records collected at gantries for 2009 (highways)
               Traffic count data using automatic permanently installed systems
                (primary & secondary roads)
Page  5
Planned production process

                Traffic survey‘s                            Traffic counts

           Cross Alpine        European                  Toll Data     Traffic Count
             Freight          Road Freight               Records           Data


Austrian Road
                       Combine &
   Freight
  Statistics          disaggregate                   Map flows onto
                                                     network graph




                             Calibration using the Network Model

                                Analyze and correct deviations
Experiences, Status

   Combining different survey„s and traffic count information
            Reconciling different value sets used in surveys to describe the same
             properties: Truck sizes, cargo types, goods classifications
            Harmonizing, separating the use of different NUTS3 levels for origin
             and destination

   Measuring the number of movements between two “traffic
    cells”
            Derivation of journey’s from data collected at toll bridges
            Disaggregating journeys from reported levels to „traffic cells“, using
             ecological inference approach.

   Calibrating the route allocation of movements to road links
            Minimizing deviations between calculated and counted traffic per link
             observing O/D movement bounds using non-linear optimization.

Page  7

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Austria's Cargo Traffic Model iMOVE Improves Transport Forecasting

  • 1. Cargo Movements on Austria„s Road Network (iMOVE) EUROSTAT, Oct 11, 2012
  • 2. Austria„s traffic model (current & future)  Used by the national & state authorities to plan infrastructure projects  Passenger & cargo induced road and rail traffic considering public as well as private transport  Forecast of volumes based on demographic projections, trade Network characteristics and production forecasts  A series of connected sub-models  Overall 243.000 km (o. w. with a detailed network at its 109.000 road, 84.000 rail) core to map actual and  Austria 32.300 km (o. w. 26.000 road, 6.300 rail) forecasted O/D flows  2412 counties/municipalities in Austria; 216 NUTS3 / NUTS0  Actual O/D data essentially regions in Europe recompiled periodically (current version 2009) Page  2
  • 3. Perceived weaknesses of the current approach The model‘s empirical foundation  Insufficient accuracy of total transportation volume  Output of transportation sector 2004 estimates range between 363,5 and 415,8 mio. t/km depending on source  Underestimation by the European Road Freight Statistics ?  Inhomogeneous data collections  Spatial differences (NUTS3, highway sections, counties)  Methodological differences between countries in collecting national road traffic data  Periodical differences (quarterly, yearly (t+1), every four years) between surveys  Laborious, expensive production process of base data Page  3
  • 4. Main objectives of the iMOVE project Improve the production process and the quality of the O/D flow matrices  Combine & harmonize different surveys  Incorporate highway toll data into the O/D flows  trips / between counties per truck category per day  Calibrate the O/D flows, using traffic count numbers of permanent counting stations  [Verify and consider the hypothesized growth in multimodal movements]  Prototype a repeatable data production process
  • 5. Major data sources used to compile the O/D matrix Austrian Road Freight Transport Statistics (SGVS)  Sampling based on Austria‘s Vehicle Registry  Political District Level  Assumed underestimation (foreign (non EU) trucks/non-response) European Road Traffic Statistics (D-Tables)  Only trucks registered nationally are surveyed, combined at EU level  Movements at NUTS3 level  Assumed underestimation (foreign (non EU) trucks/non-response) Cross Alpine Freight Data (CAFT)  All trucks, irrespective of nationality are surveyed  Survey performed by Alpine nations every 4 years (O/D, cargo)  Performed at border crossings and major mountain passes Toll data records & Traffic counts  Complete set of records collected at gantries for 2009 (highways)  Traffic count data using automatic permanently installed systems (primary & secondary roads) Page  5
  • 6. Planned production process Traffic survey‘s Traffic counts Cross Alpine European Toll Data Traffic Count Freight Road Freight Records Data Austrian Road Combine & Freight Statistics disaggregate Map flows onto network graph Calibration using the Network Model Analyze and correct deviations
  • 7. Experiences, Status  Combining different survey„s and traffic count information  Reconciling different value sets used in surveys to describe the same properties: Truck sizes, cargo types, goods classifications  Harmonizing, separating the use of different NUTS3 levels for origin and destination  Measuring the number of movements between two “traffic cells”  Derivation of journey’s from data collected at toll bridges  Disaggregating journeys from reported levels to „traffic cells“, using ecological inference approach.  Calibrating the route allocation of movements to road links  Minimizing deviations between calculated and counted traffic per link observing O/D movement bounds using non-linear optimization. Page  7