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USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Community CC Adaptation Plan Development in the Lower
Mekong Basin: Process, Results, & Lessons
Paul Hartman, USAID Mekong ARCC
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Mekong	
  ARCC	
  
Geographic	
  	
  
Focus:	
  
Lower	
  Mekong	
  
Basin	
  
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
1.  Top down: Use modelled
projections to identify
climate change impacts
and vulnerable livelihoods
in Lower Mekong Basin
2.  Bottom up: Work with
communities across the
Basin on adaptation
planning that strengthens
their resilience to climate
change
Goal: Increase adaptation capacity & resilience of communities
to the impacts of climate change
Top Down: Climate Change Impact
and Adaptation Study for the Lower
Mekong Basin
•  Temperatures >35°C reduce
rainfed & irrigated rice yields
•  Rising temperatures stress
commercial livestock breeds
& amplify costs of production
•  Aquaculture more vulnerable
to disease from increased
temperature and rainfall
•  Loss of biodiversity and
species adapted to disturbance
& higher temperatures may
dominate natural community
composition
Basin Wide Impacts
Target Provinces for
Implementation
Five Sites w/28,073 Target Beneficiaries
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Approach to Strengthening
Community Resilience
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Adapta&on	
  Decision	
  Making	
  Vulnerability	
  
Analysis	
  
-­‐	
  Revisit	
  Priori&es	
  
-­‐	
  Shi>	
  OR	
  Validate	
  Priori&es	
  
-­‐	
  Capture	
  	
  change	
  	
  
-­‐	
  Translate	
  climate	
  profiles	
  
-­‐	
  Local	
  livelihood	
  examples	
  
-­‐	
  Joint	
  scenario	
  building	
  
-­‐	
  Self-­‐iden&fied	
  vulnerability	
  
-­‐	
  Local	
  Priori&es	
  
-­‐	
  Asset	
  Mapping	
  
Community	
  
Climate	
  Story	
  
(Bo$om-­‐Up)	
  
Scien&fic	
  	
  
Climate	
  Story	
  
(Top-­‐Down)	
  
Shared	
  
Understanding	
  
Planning	
  Adapta7on	
  
Ini7a7ves	
  
Ac&vity	
  Implementa&on	
  &	
  
Monitoring	
  
L
e
a
r
n
i
n
g	
  
Baseline	
  
Ac7vity	
  
Output	
  
Outcome	
  
I)	
  Overview	
  
	
  
-­‐	
  Projected	
  
community	
  
level	
  climate	
  
impacts	
  
	
  
II)	
  Thema7c	
  
Coverage	
  
	
  
-­‐	
  Livelihoods	
  
-­‐	
  Disaster	
  Risk	
  
-­‐	
  Ecosystems	
  
-­‐	
  Gender	
  
Cost	
  &	
  
Sustainability	
  
Analysis	
  
Adaptation Decision Making Template: A.K.A ‘The Bible’
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Bottom Up Community Vulnerability Assessment
Huai Kang Pla Village, Chiang Rai
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Huai Kang
Pla Village
Sub-village:
Lua Pattana
Sub-village:
Pa Bong Ngam
Lang
Sub-village:
Pa Bong Ngam
Bon
Forests
	

Main Road
	

Mae Chan
River	

Sub-village:
Huai Pu
Huai Kang Pla Community
Resource and Hazard Maps	

Sub-village:
Huai Ya No
Forests
	

Forests
	

Forests for
NTFP
collection
	

Forests
	

Big flood
Drought
Flood
Landslide
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Seasonal
Livelihood
& Hazard
Calendars
Crops	
   Jan	
   Feb	
   Mar	
   Apr	
   May	
   Jun	
   Jul	
   Aug	
   Sep	
   Oct	
   Nov	
   Dec	
   Remarks	
  
Maize	
  
 	
  
 	
    	
   land preparation and
weed elimination	
  
grow	
    	
   fertilizer
and
herbicide	
  
 	
   harvest	
    	
    	
   for sale (grown mostly in Huai Kang Pla
village)	
  
Upland rice	
  
 	
  
 	
    	
   land preparation and
weed elimination	
  
grow	
    	
   fertilizer
and
herbicide	
  
 	
    	
    	
   harvest	
    	
   for consumption but not enough for the
whole year (grown mostly in Pa Bong Ngam
Bon village) 	
  
Ginger	
   harvest
mature	
  
 	
   land
preparati
on	
  
grow	
    	
   fertilizer and
herbicide	
  
 	
   harvest
young
ginger	
  
 	
    	
    	
   harvest
mature	
  
for sale	
  
Rice (paddy)	
  
 	
  
 	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   sowing,
ploughing,
herbicide	
  
plant	
    	
   fertilizer	
    	
   harvest	
   for consumption and sale (for Huai Pu
village) 	
  
Soybean	
   grow	
    	
    	
   harvest	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   grow	
   for sale (grown after harvesting rice)	
  
Rambutan	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   harvest	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   for sale	
  
Litchi	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   harvest	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   for sale	
  
Passion fruit (sour)	
    	
   stand
preparati
on	
  
grow	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   harvest	
    	
    	
    	
   for sale to Doi Kham project	
  
Pineapple	
    	
    	
   grow	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   harvest	
   for sale	
  
Bitter rattan, galangal,
lemongrass, banana
flower	
  
harvest	
   for consumption and sale	
  
Bamboo shoot,
mushroom	
  
 	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   harvest	
    	
    	
    	
    	
  
 	
  
for sale	
  
Edible fern	
    	
    	
   harvest	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
  
Honey	
    	
    	
   harvest	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
    	
   only by men	
  
	
   Jan	
   Feb	
   Mar	
   Apr	
   May	
   Jun	
   Jul	
   Aug	
   Sep	
   Oct	
   Nov	
   Dec	
  
Erratic rainfall
during cultivation 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   **	
   **	
   ***	
   ***	
   ***	
   	
   	
   	
  
Forest fire	
   **	
   ***	
   ***	
   **	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Storm and hail 	
   	
   	
   	
   ***	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Landslide	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   *	
   **	
   **	
   *	
   	
   	
  
Illness	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
   *	
  
Hot season	
   	
   	
   	
   ***	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Cold season	
   ***	
   **	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   *	
   **	
  
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Adapta&on	
  Decision	
  Making	
  Vulnerability	
  
Analysis	
  
-­‐	
  Revisit	
  Priori&es	
  
-­‐	
  Shi>	
  OR	
  Validate	
  Priori&es	
  
-­‐	
  Capture	
  	
  change	
  	
  
-­‐	
  Translate	
  climate	
  profiles	
  
-­‐	
  Local	
  livelihood	
  examples	
  
-­‐	
  Joint	
  scenario	
  building	
  
-­‐	
  Self-­‐iden&fied	
  vulnerability	
  
-­‐	
  Local	
  Priori&es	
  
-­‐	
  Asset	
  Mapping	
  
Community	
  
Climate	
  Story	
  
(Bo$om-­‐Up)	
  
Scien&fic	
  	
  
Climate	
  Story	
  
(Top-­‐Down)	
  
Shared	
  
Understanding	
  
Planning	
  Adapta7on	
  
Ini7a7ves	
  
Ac&vity	
  Implementa&on	
  &	
  
Monitoring	
  
L
e
a
r
n
i
n
g	
  
Baseline	
  
Ac7vity	
  
Output	
  
Outcome	
  
I)	
  Overview	
  
	
  
-­‐	
  Projected	
  
community	
  
level	
  climate	
  
impacts	
  
	
  
II)	
  Thema7c	
  
Coverage	
  
	
  
-­‐	
  Livelihoods	
  
-­‐	
  Disaster	
  Risk	
  
-­‐	
  Ecosystems	
  
-­‐	
  Gender	
  
Cost	
  &	
  
Sustainability	
  
Analysis	
  
Scientific Climate Story and Shared Understanding
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Top Down: Scientific Climate Story
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
Activities
Form
Livestock
Group
Form Local
Vegetable
Producer
Group
	

Form Rice
Producer
Group
Short Medium Long
Cattle Group, Fish
Group, Chicken
Groups Formed
Vegetables
grow in Home
Garden or
interspersed in
fields
Livestock Group Formed Community produces
more food, variety of
food, and is able to sell or
use manure
Pioneer local veg group
formed to change from
mono to multi culture
Cooperative to work with
study centers
Sharing knowledge and
techniques
Agriculture group expands
Knowledge on
diversity of native
race collected
Training program on
native rice and
conservation
Native rice for selling
developed
Rice strains suitable for
changing climate grown with
sugarcane and cassava
Adequate food for
consumption.
Land cultivated better
Reduce use of chemicals
Safe food provided
Sustained system of
management
Adequate supply of good
quality rice developed
Reduce mono cropping
Reduce high use of
chemicals
Increase rice yield
Increase income
Kok Klang Village
Vision:
“A harmonious
community with
clean and adequate
water for
consumption and
agriculture, adequate
rice and food for
domestic
consumption, a
variety of beautiful
natural assets,
reduced agricultural
chemicals uses, and
restored ecosystems
and biodiversity”.
CommunityVisioning Sakon Nakon,Thailand
How do these
solutions address the
threats?
Climate Change Threat Adaptation Solution
Increased
temperature
Ag diversification/integration
Climate smart pig rearing
Improved forest
management & Water
filtration
Diversified risk
Increased
tolerance to
heat
Maintaining
water table
(lowlands) &
disease
prevention
from turbid
H2O
(highlands)
Floods and
storms
Irregular Rain/
Lack of Rain
Result: Adaptation Plans
Developed and Initiated
USAID Mekong Adaptation and
Resilience to Climate Change
•  Need to reconcile differences between scientific
and community lens to find common language
•  Relevant timescales, threats, benefits must
serve as starting point for plan development
•  Education level and power structures need to be
addressed to assist communities to
•  CC education should focus on weather vs.
climate (1st), directionality vs. absolutes (2nd)
•  Identify systems, context & solutions that allow
for replication from pilots
•  Keep solutions simple!
•  Good preparation sometimes allows for good
luck
The Road Ahead
Lessons Learned from Adaptation
Decision Making Process

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ARCC Community Climate Change Adaptation

  • 1. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Community CC Adaptation Plan Development in the Lower Mekong Basin: Process, Results, & Lessons Paul Hartman, USAID Mekong ARCC
  • 2. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Mekong  ARCC   Geographic     Focus:   Lower  Mekong   Basin  
  • 3. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change 1.  Top down: Use modelled projections to identify climate change impacts and vulnerable livelihoods in Lower Mekong Basin 2.  Bottom up: Work with communities across the Basin on adaptation planning that strengthens their resilience to climate change Goal: Increase adaptation capacity & resilience of communities to the impacts of climate change
  • 4. Top Down: Climate Change Impact and Adaptation Study for the Lower Mekong Basin •  Temperatures >35°C reduce rainfed & irrigated rice yields •  Rising temperatures stress commercial livestock breeds & amplify costs of production •  Aquaculture more vulnerable to disease from increased temperature and rainfall •  Loss of biodiversity and species adapted to disturbance & higher temperatures may dominate natural community composition Basin Wide Impacts
  • 5. Target Provinces for Implementation Five Sites w/28,073 Target Beneficiaries
  • 6. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Approach to Strengthening Community Resilience
  • 7. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Adapta&on  Decision  Making  Vulnerability   Analysis   -­‐  Revisit  Priori&es   -­‐  Shi>  OR  Validate  Priori&es   -­‐  Capture    change     -­‐  Translate  climate  profiles   -­‐  Local  livelihood  examples   -­‐  Joint  scenario  building   -­‐  Self-­‐iden&fied  vulnerability   -­‐  Local  Priori&es   -­‐  Asset  Mapping   Community   Climate  Story   (Bo$om-­‐Up)   Scien&fic     Climate  Story   (Top-­‐Down)   Shared   Understanding   Planning  Adapta7on   Ini7a7ves   Ac&vity  Implementa&on  &   Monitoring   L e a r n i n g   Baseline   Ac7vity   Output   Outcome   I)  Overview     -­‐  Projected   community   level  climate   impacts     II)  Thema7c   Coverage     -­‐  Livelihoods   -­‐  Disaster  Risk   -­‐  Ecosystems   -­‐  Gender   Cost  &   Sustainability   Analysis   Adaptation Decision Making Template: A.K.A ‘The Bible’
  • 8. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Bottom Up Community Vulnerability Assessment Huai Kang Pla Village, Chiang Rai
  • 9. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Huai Kang Pla Village Sub-village: Lua Pattana Sub-village: Pa Bong Ngam Lang Sub-village: Pa Bong Ngam Bon Forests Main Road Mae Chan River Sub-village: Huai Pu Huai Kang Pla Community Resource and Hazard Maps Sub-village: Huai Ya No Forests Forests Forests for NTFP collection Forests Big flood Drought Flood Landslide
  • 10. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Seasonal Livelihood & Hazard Calendars Crops   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   Remarks   Maize               land preparation and weed elimination   grow       fertilizer and herbicide       harvest           for sale (grown mostly in Huai Kang Pla village)   Upland rice               land preparation and weed elimination   grow       fertilizer and herbicide               harvest       for consumption but not enough for the whole year (grown mostly in Pa Bong Ngam Bon village)   Ginger   harvest mature       land preparati on   grow       fertilizer and herbicide       harvest young ginger               harvest mature   for sale   Rice (paddy)                           sowing, ploughing, herbicide   plant       fertilizer       harvest   for consumption and sale (for Huai Pu village)   Soybean   grow           harvest                               grow   for sale (grown after harvesting rice)   Rambutan                           harvest                   for sale   Litchi                   harvest                       for sale   Passion fruit (sour)       stand preparati on   grow                   harvest               for sale to Doi Kham project   Pineapple           grow                           harvest   for sale   Bitter rattan, galangal, lemongrass, banana flower   harvest   for consumption and sale   Bamboo shoot, mushroom                           harvest                       for sale   Edible fern           harvest                                       Honey           harvest                                   only by men     Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   Erratic rainfall during cultivation           **   **   ***   ***   ***         Forest fire   **   ***   ***   **                   Storm and hail         ***                   Landslide               *   **   **   *       Illness   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   Hot season         ***                   Cold season   ***   **                   *   **  
  • 11. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Adapta&on  Decision  Making  Vulnerability   Analysis   -­‐  Revisit  Priori&es   -­‐  Shi>  OR  Validate  Priori&es   -­‐  Capture    change     -­‐  Translate  climate  profiles   -­‐  Local  livelihood  examples   -­‐  Joint  scenario  building   -­‐  Self-­‐iden&fied  vulnerability   -­‐  Local  Priori&es   -­‐  Asset  Mapping   Community   Climate  Story   (Bo$om-­‐Up)   Scien&fic     Climate  Story   (Top-­‐Down)   Shared   Understanding   Planning  Adapta7on   Ini7a7ves   Ac&vity  Implementa&on  &   Monitoring   L e a r n i n g   Baseline   Ac7vity   Output   Outcome   I)  Overview     -­‐  Projected   community   level  climate   impacts     II)  Thema7c   Coverage     -­‐  Livelihoods   -­‐  Disaster  Risk   -­‐  Ecosystems   -­‐  Gender   Cost  &   Sustainability   Analysis   Scientific Climate Story and Shared Understanding
  • 12. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Top Down: Scientific Climate Story
  • 13. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change Activities Form Livestock Group Form Local Vegetable Producer Group Form Rice Producer Group Short Medium Long Cattle Group, Fish Group, Chicken Groups Formed Vegetables grow in Home Garden or interspersed in fields Livestock Group Formed Community produces more food, variety of food, and is able to sell or use manure Pioneer local veg group formed to change from mono to multi culture Cooperative to work with study centers Sharing knowledge and techniques Agriculture group expands Knowledge on diversity of native race collected Training program on native rice and conservation Native rice for selling developed Rice strains suitable for changing climate grown with sugarcane and cassava Adequate food for consumption. Land cultivated better Reduce use of chemicals Safe food provided Sustained system of management Adequate supply of good quality rice developed Reduce mono cropping Reduce high use of chemicals Increase rice yield Increase income Kok Klang Village Vision: “A harmonious community with clean and adequate water for consumption and agriculture, adequate rice and food for domestic consumption, a variety of beautiful natural assets, reduced agricultural chemicals uses, and restored ecosystems and biodiversity”. CommunityVisioning Sakon Nakon,Thailand
  • 14. How do these solutions address the threats? Climate Change Threat Adaptation Solution Increased temperature Ag diversification/integration Climate smart pig rearing Improved forest management & Water filtration Diversified risk Increased tolerance to heat Maintaining water table (lowlands) & disease prevention from turbid H2O (highlands) Floods and storms Irregular Rain/ Lack of Rain Result: Adaptation Plans Developed and Initiated
  • 15. USAID Mekong Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change •  Need to reconcile differences between scientific and community lens to find common language •  Relevant timescales, threats, benefits must serve as starting point for plan development •  Education level and power structures need to be addressed to assist communities to •  CC education should focus on weather vs. climate (1st), directionality vs. absolutes (2nd) •  Identify systems, context & solutions that allow for replication from pilots •  Keep solutions simple! •  Good preparation sometimes allows for good luck The Road Ahead Lessons Learned from Adaptation Decision Making Process