China's central bank cut interest rates on Friday for the sixth time in less than a year, and it again lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves in a bid to jump start growth
in its stuttering economy
5. MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
MCX - WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW
✍ China's central bank cut interest rates on Friday for the sixth time in less than a year, and it
again lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves in a bid to jump start growth
in its stuttering economy.
✍ U.S. energy firms reduced oil rigs for an eighth week in a row this week but slowed the rate
of those cuts to just one rig, data showed on Friday, a sign some drillers may soon return to the
well pad with hopes of rising crude prices in the future.
PRECIOUS METAL
✍ GOLD
Gold was flat to slightly lower on Friday as the dollar soared to its highest level in more than
two months and U.S. equities raced higher after China eased monetary policy for the sixth time
in a year, reviving expectations of a U.S. rate hike. Bullion vaulted over 1 percent higher to an
intraday high of $1,180 per ounce in early New York trading immediately after Beijing
announced a surprise interest rate cut. Investors initially bet the Federal Reserve would be
compelled to delay raising rates given the fragility of the global economy, but buying soon
evaporated on the view that the Chinese stimulus and upbeat U.S. data made a U.S. rate hike
more likely this year. Gold has languished at 5-1/2-year lows in recent months on expectations
the Fed will raise rates this year, potentially lifting the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding
bullion. Concerns over the health of the global economy have recently pushed back
expectations into 2016. But further stimulus in China and upbeat U.S. data have increased the
likelihood of a rate rise in December. Better-than-expected manufacturing figures for October
supported the dollar. U.S. flash manufacturing PMI rose to its highest level since March,
beating expectations for a slight decline from the previous month. A stronger dollar weighs on
gold by making the metal more expensive for holders of other currencies.
✍ ENERGY
Crude oil prices continued its bearish trend for the second consecutive week, where WTI
suffered more losses than Brent crude.
As per Friday’s closing, WTI for the December month contract went down by 1.70%
registering at $44.60/ barrel, whereas Brent for the same month contract went down slightly by
just 0.20% registering at $47.99/ barrel , On weekly basis, WTI suffered losses more than
5.50%, whereas Brent crude’s losses restricted within 5%
Crude Oil fell on Friday, erasing early gains as traders dismissed a rate cut by China to focus on
a surging dollar and weaker spot prices for U.S. crude as a glut weighed on prompt supplies.
Earlier on Friday, oil prices rose about 1 percent on expectations the Chinese rate cut might
6. prompt the No. 1 energy consumer to import more oil. A stubborn global oil glut, partly due to
record pumping by the biggest producers in OPEC, has prevented crude prices from staging a
meaningful rebound despite a few sharp intermittent rallies since early September. U.S crude
inventories have risen for four straight weeks amid reduced refining activity during the autumn
maintenance season. U.S. oil drillers also slowed the pace of rig cuts this week, idling just one
rig, the smallest cut in eight weeks suggesting they may soon return to the well pad with hopes
of rising crude prices in the future.
Natural gas futures fell to a fresh three-year low on Friday as the market focused on warm
weather forecasts at the start of the winter heating season in November. March-April is usually
the widest month-to-month spread of the year since it marks the end of the winter heating
season and the start of spring, making it one of the most widely traded gas spreads. It is known
as the widow-maker because it can quickly turn against speculators with changing winter
forecasts. Both the U.S. and European weather models called for continued well above normal
temperatures over the next two weeks, expected to keep residential, commercial and industrial
heating demand lower than normal during that time, according to Thomson Reuters Analytics.
✍ COPPER
Copper fell on Friday, retreating from a one-week high after a strong dollar offset optimism
stemming from top metals consumer China cutting interest rates to boost its slowing economy.
Prices on the London Metal Exchange had surged after China's central bank cut interest rates
for the sixth time in less than a year and again lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold
as reserves. A continued decline in LME copper stocks, which are at their lowest levels since
February, helped support prices, as did news of more production cuts. copper output further as
it posted a bigger-than-expected quarterly loss.
✍ NICKEL
Nickel too managed to stay afloat yesterday and settled at $10515 MT, up marginally by around
.8% from its previous close. The inventories dropped by 4512 MT while the canceled warrants
declined by 5232 MT, giving a mixed cue for the metal. However, the contango steadied at $27
MT, the number too high to lure the investors. As per the recent updates, Nickel pig iron
production in China continued to decline for the previous month by 2% m/m to 31,600 MT,
raising hopes for the consumption of Nickel to rise in the near term.
✍ ZINC
LME 3M Zinc moved higher yesterday and settled at $1755 MT, up marginally by around
0.30% from its previous close. While, Lead showed weakness and settled at $1754 MT, down
by around .40% from its previous close. In case of lead, inventories and cancelled warrants
dropped by 400 MT, giving mixed cues for the metal. The contango for the metal at LME
remained at 17, overall showing negative signs. While in case of zinc, inventories and
7. canceled warrants dropped by 1875 MT, giving a mixed cue for the metal. While, the contango
for the metal remained came a bit lower at $23 MT, giving poor cues for the metal.
✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
Agri markets bounced back moderately on Tuesday after the fall seen the earlier day as good
demand amidst low stocks supported the prices even as Govt takes steps to check hoarding
amids impositions of stocks limits for Pulses and Oilseeds in states.
Govt initiatives may keep prices under check in the short term but medium term sentiments
look firm as low production and low stocks could support the prices as demand remains strong.
Spices look firm as exports slowly start picking up with low stocks reported as other counters
are expected to recover after some short term corrections.
✍ CHANA
Chana prices moved down by 2.03 per cent to Rs 4,815 per quintal in futures trade on Friday as
traders reduced exposure amid increased supplies at the spot market after the government took
steps to curb soaring prices.At the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, chana for
delivery in November fell Rs 100, or 2.03 per cent, to Rs 4,815 per quintal with an open
interest of 55,180 lots.
Similarly, the commodity for delivery in December contracts eased Rs 96, or 1.93 per cent, to
Rs 4,874 per quintal in 50,410 lots.Trimming of exposure by traders triggered by pick-up in
supplies in the physical market after the raids by authorities on hoarders mainly kept pressure
on chana prices.
The government's decision to import more pulses too helped prices decline
Meanwhile, over 35,000 tonnes of pulses have been seized form 10 states in two days after
state governments intensified crackdown against hoarding and black marketing of the
commodity.
✍ REFINED SOYA OIL
Refined soya oil prices were up by 1.09 per cent to Rs 642.75 per 10 kg in futures trade on
Wednesday as speculators enlarged their bets, driven by pick up in demand in the spot
market.At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, refined soya oil for delivery in
November month went up by Rs 6.95, or 1.09 per cent to Rs 642.75 per 10 kg with an open
interest of 72,855 lots.
The December contract gained Rs 6.40, or 1.01 per cent, to Rs 640 per 10 kg in 1,06,005
lots.The rise in refined soya oil futures to pick up demand in the spot market amid restricted
supplies from producing regions.
8. ✍ MUSTARDSEED
Mustardseed prices were down by Rs 88 to Rs 4,920 per quintal in future trading on monday
after traders trimmed positions, taking weak cues from spot market.At the National Commodity
and Derivatives Exchange, mustard seed for delivery in November contract fell Rs 88, or 1.76
per cent to Rs 4,920 per quintal, with an open interest of 59,300 lots.Mustardseed for delivery
in the current month lost Rs 57, or 1.16 per cent to Rs 4,851 per quintal, having an open interest
of 570 lots.Apart from pickup in arrivals from growing regions, slackened demand from oil
mills and vanaspati units at higher levels in physical markets mainly led to the fall in mustard
seed prices at futures trading.
✍ JEERA
Jeera prices closed lower by 1.54 per cent on Wednesday at the National Commodity &
Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) on account of a surge in the supply from the
producing regions in the midst of a decline in the export demand. At the NCDEX, jeera futures
for November 2015 contract closed at Rs. 16,005 per quintal, down by 1.54 per cent, after
opening at Rs. 16,290 against the previous closing price of Rs. 16,255. It touched the intraday
low of Rs. 15,820.
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