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2012 Subscriber Projects

USING GRAPHICAL INFORMATION TO HELP
      MYSELF FEEL BETTER ABOUT
         WILD SPECULATION
Realtors vs. Population




               Total Realtors in Oregon
               Total Population of Oregon
Realtors vs. Population



Around 2004, the number of Realtors started to increase
more rapidly than the population growth of Oregon. The
net result was an increasing ratio of Realtor to consumer
with a peak saturation rate of .51% in 2006 . Since that time
the saturation rate has diminished and come back in line
with a more traditional ratio of Realtor to consumer.




                                      Total Realtors in Oregon
                                      Total Population of Oregon
Realtors vs. Population

 This is the ONLY indication that the number of
 Realtors should hold steady
Realtor vs. Profit
Realtor vs. Profit



• Since 2006, dollar volume has dropped to roughly the same level
  as we saw in 2002.
• Conversely, the number of Realtors in RMLS have only fallen to
  2004 numbers.
• In order to get to the same profitability ratio that we had in
  2002, we would have to lose 2,152 Realtors, leaving us 8,344
  Realtors.
Realtor vs. Unemployment
Realtors vs. Population

• Normal : Juxtaposed to Unemployment. As people lose
 their jobs, a percentage of them enter the Real estate
 world.

• Boom: Unemployment rate was falling and the number
 of Realtors rose as well.

• Bust: unemployment rose and the number of Realtors
 fell.

• We have now returned to a normally functioning market.
 As you can see, unemployment is high, but dropping
 which indicates that our Realtor Subscribers will also
 drop.

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2012 subscriber projections

  • 1. 2012 Subscriber Projects USING GRAPHICAL INFORMATION TO HELP MYSELF FEEL BETTER ABOUT WILD SPECULATION
  • 2. Realtors vs. Population Total Realtors in Oregon Total Population of Oregon
  • 3. Realtors vs. Population Around 2004, the number of Realtors started to increase more rapidly than the population growth of Oregon. The net result was an increasing ratio of Realtor to consumer with a peak saturation rate of .51% in 2006 . Since that time the saturation rate has diminished and come back in line with a more traditional ratio of Realtor to consumer. Total Realtors in Oregon Total Population of Oregon
  • 4. Realtors vs. Population  This is the ONLY indication that the number of Realtors should hold steady
  • 6. Realtor vs. Profit • Since 2006, dollar volume has dropped to roughly the same level as we saw in 2002. • Conversely, the number of Realtors in RMLS have only fallen to 2004 numbers. • In order to get to the same profitability ratio that we had in 2002, we would have to lose 2,152 Realtors, leaving us 8,344 Realtors.
  • 8. Realtors vs. Population • Normal : Juxtaposed to Unemployment. As people lose their jobs, a percentage of them enter the Real estate world. • Boom: Unemployment rate was falling and the number of Realtors rose as well. • Bust: unemployment rose and the number of Realtors fell. • We have now returned to a normally functioning market. As you can see, unemployment is high, but dropping which indicates that our Realtor Subscribers will also drop.