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{Core Analysis}

BREAK

THE SURFACE

MANAGING AND MONETISING VIDEO ON A 5G
NETWORK
Patrick Lopez
{Core Analysis}

Broadband World Forum

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

1
COMPANY BACKGROUND
Company History
Founder and CEO of {Core Analysis}, I
provide advisory services to technology
vendors, board of directors, carriers
and venture capital firms on OTT
video. As an analyst, I present at
influential industry forums and
conferences and publish an acclaimed
blog, industry articles and reports.
In 2013, {Core Analysis} was
exclusive advisor to Opera
Software in its acquisition of
Skyfire for $150m.
Prior to {Core Analysis}, I have 15
years of international progressive
experience in marketing, strategy and
product management in the United
States, Canada, Switzerland, Ireland
and France.

{Core Analysis}
Specialities
Expertise:
• Technical and strategic due diligence
• Market Analysis
• Companies evaluation and selection
• Value proposition creation
• Market category creation
• Business case and forecast
• New product introduction
• Competitive analysis and market share protection /
increase strategies
• Product positioning and pricing
• Board, investors, press and industry analysts relations t
Publications and Interviews
Over 100 interviews with The Wall Street Journal, Wireless
Week, CNNmoney, Washington Times, In-Stat Group,
Telephony, Fast Track Wireless, Wireless Week, Wireless
News, NetsEdge Research, Telecom Trends, RCR Wireless
News , CNN, Wireless developer network, Total Telecoms, La
tribune, Global Wireless, Telecommunications International
Edition, Global Mobile, CNBC Europe, Broadcast News
Analyst Reports:
Various analyst reports I have collaborated to or written
include Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley Credit
Suisse First Boston, IDC, Frost & Sullivan, Mobilestream,
Stylus Communications, Yankee group, Ovum, Visiongain,
Informa, Forrester Research...

I hold a MBA in Corporate
Management and a Bachelor Degree in
Marketing Strategy.
{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

2
MISSION AND EXPERIENCE

{Core Analysis}

{Core Analysis} provides consultancy services on OTT
video.
EXPERTISE

EXPERIENCE

Technical and strategic due
diligence
RFx support
Market Analysis
Vendor evaluation and selection
Technology evaluation
Business cases and forecasts
Product strategy
Pricing strategy
Competitive attack plan

Due Diligence
Acquisitions
Turn around
Financing
Product, technology design &
launches
World's first dedicated video
optimization engine
World's first commercial MMSC
Sent world's first MMS on CDMA
World's first content, service and
subscriber management for mobile
TV
World's first messaging tiered
architecture
Philips first WAP phone

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

3
THE MORE BANDWIDTH, THE MORE CONSUMPTION

{Core Analysis}

Source: Mobidia SK Telecom, LTE Asia 2013 2013

3G vs. 4G data consumption patterns

Users exposed to more
bandwidth consume more.
Video and multimedia drive
the growth.

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

4
FROM VALUE CHAIN TO VALUE CIRC LE
Global television industry value chain 2010

{Core Analysis}

Traditional mobile content value chain
Content
Owners

Content
Aggregators

Operators

Source: David Mercer, VP, Principal Analyst, Strategy Analytics, June 2011

Devices
Consumers

Global OTT video value chain 2013

OTT Value circles

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

5
VIDEO IS BIG IN MOBILE

{Core Analysis}

But mobile is small in video

Mobile networks
Video

Video delivery

Other
6%

Fixed
4%

WiFi

Cellular

45%
55%
Source: Ooyala 2013 Video Index

90%

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

6
MARKET TRENDS: OTT DISRUPTION

{Core Analysis}

“…mobile data will be free…”
John Chambers, CEO, Cisco, June 2013,
All things D conference

“YouTube will offer premium
channels at .99$”

“Google intends to finance, build and help
operate wireless networks from sub-Saharan
Africa to Southeast Asia”

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

Wall Street Journal, June 2013

7
FROM PRICING TO SERVICE DIFFERENTIATION

{Core Analysis}

Opportunities in video management

More efficient codecs, adaptive streaming for premium content, and new
bandwidth hungry formats (4K, super HD…) increase opportunities to offer
differentiated video services.
Best effort
Actively managing subscribers’ video experience is key:
Setting expectations baseline in term of speed, price, quality
Create quality/speed/encoding based class of service
Actively upsell classes based on location, time of day, congestion
Manage and enforce SLAs with premium content providers
Manage quality / speed / cost with free content providers
Formats,
codecs

Apple

Smartphones

4K

Adaptive
streaming

Tablets

3D

DASH

Guaranteed
highest
quality

Devices

h.265
HEVC
LTE

Content
providers

Guaranteed
fair quality

Fablets

Super HD
8K

TVs

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

8

Guaranteed
SD high
quality
FROM PRICING TO SERVICE DIFFERENTIATION

{Core Analysis}

Video necessitates management of speed, volume and quality
Fair usage

Unlimited

Volume class

QoE class

Volume
throttling

Tariffs

Speed cap
Soft cap +
throttling

Location

Congestion

Hard cap

Soft cap

Content /
App

Service class

Metered
Time

DPI (conditional access, volume, service type…)
+ PCRF (delivery speed, rating, application)
Technology

+ optimization (encoding)
+ smart
optimization
(QoE)

Video class of service management with:
Gold, silver, bronze
Enterprise
Congestion… scenarios

Differentiated by QoE tiers
{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

9
ADVERTISING IS UNDER-EXPLOITED IN MOBILE

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

{Core Analysis}

10
{Core Analysis}

Source: Interactive Advertizing Bureau 2013

ADVERTISING IS UNDER-EXPLOITED IN MOBILE

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

11
NEW BUSINESS MODELS START TO APPEAR
C Spire (USA) video duration charging

{Core Analysis}

Vodafone 2 sided model

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

12
{Core Analysis}

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

13
CONTACTS
{Core Analysis}
Patrick Lopez
CEO
+1 514 823 0314

{Core Analysis}
Blog: coreanalysis1.blogspot.com
Web: coreanalysis.ca
News: scoop.it/t/mobile-videoott-and-paytv
Twitter: @coreanalysis

patrick.lopez@coreanalysis.ca

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

14
{Core Analysis}

BREAK

THE SURFACE

VIDEO OPTIMIZATION MARKET OVERVIEW
Patrick Lopez
{Core Analysis}

Q4 2013

{Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public

15

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{Ca} managing and monetizing video in a 5G network

  • 1. {Core Analysis} BREAK THE SURFACE MANAGING AND MONETISING VIDEO ON A 5G NETWORK Patrick Lopez {Core Analysis} Broadband World Forum {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 1
  • 2. COMPANY BACKGROUND Company History Founder and CEO of {Core Analysis}, I provide advisory services to technology vendors, board of directors, carriers and venture capital firms on OTT video. As an analyst, I present at influential industry forums and conferences and publish an acclaimed blog, industry articles and reports. In 2013, {Core Analysis} was exclusive advisor to Opera Software in its acquisition of Skyfire for $150m. Prior to {Core Analysis}, I have 15 years of international progressive experience in marketing, strategy and product management in the United States, Canada, Switzerland, Ireland and France. {Core Analysis} Specialities Expertise: • Technical and strategic due diligence • Market Analysis • Companies evaluation and selection • Value proposition creation • Market category creation • Business case and forecast • New product introduction • Competitive analysis and market share protection / increase strategies • Product positioning and pricing • Board, investors, press and industry analysts relations t Publications and Interviews Over 100 interviews with The Wall Street Journal, Wireless Week, CNNmoney, Washington Times, In-Stat Group, Telephony, Fast Track Wireless, Wireless Week, Wireless News, NetsEdge Research, Telecom Trends, RCR Wireless News , CNN, Wireless developer network, Total Telecoms, La tribune, Global Wireless, Telecommunications International Edition, Global Mobile, CNBC Europe, Broadcast News Analyst Reports: Various analyst reports I have collaborated to or written include Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse First Boston, IDC, Frost & Sullivan, Mobilestream, Stylus Communications, Yankee group, Ovum, Visiongain, Informa, Forrester Research... I hold a MBA in Corporate Management and a Bachelor Degree in Marketing Strategy. {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 2
  • 3. MISSION AND EXPERIENCE {Core Analysis} {Core Analysis} provides consultancy services on OTT video. EXPERTISE EXPERIENCE Technical and strategic due diligence RFx support Market Analysis Vendor evaluation and selection Technology evaluation Business cases and forecasts Product strategy Pricing strategy Competitive attack plan Due Diligence Acquisitions Turn around Financing Product, technology design & launches World's first dedicated video optimization engine World's first commercial MMSC Sent world's first MMS on CDMA World's first content, service and subscriber management for mobile TV World's first messaging tiered architecture Philips first WAP phone {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 3
  • 4. THE MORE BANDWIDTH, THE MORE CONSUMPTION {Core Analysis} Source: Mobidia SK Telecom, LTE Asia 2013 2013 3G vs. 4G data consumption patterns Users exposed to more bandwidth consume more. Video and multimedia drive the growth. {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 4
  • 5. FROM VALUE CHAIN TO VALUE CIRC LE Global television industry value chain 2010 {Core Analysis} Traditional mobile content value chain Content Owners Content Aggregators Operators Source: David Mercer, VP, Principal Analyst, Strategy Analytics, June 2011 Devices Consumers Global OTT video value chain 2013 OTT Value circles {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 5
  • 6. VIDEO IS BIG IN MOBILE {Core Analysis} But mobile is small in video Mobile networks Video Video delivery Other 6% Fixed 4% WiFi Cellular 45% 55% Source: Ooyala 2013 Video Index 90% {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 6
  • 7. MARKET TRENDS: OTT DISRUPTION {Core Analysis} “…mobile data will be free…” John Chambers, CEO, Cisco, June 2013, All things D conference “YouTube will offer premium channels at .99$” “Google intends to finance, build and help operate wireless networks from sub-Saharan Africa to Southeast Asia” {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public Wall Street Journal, June 2013 7
  • 8. FROM PRICING TO SERVICE DIFFERENTIATION {Core Analysis} Opportunities in video management More efficient codecs, adaptive streaming for premium content, and new bandwidth hungry formats (4K, super HD…) increase opportunities to offer differentiated video services. Best effort Actively managing subscribers’ video experience is key: Setting expectations baseline in term of speed, price, quality Create quality/speed/encoding based class of service Actively upsell classes based on location, time of day, congestion Manage and enforce SLAs with premium content providers Manage quality / speed / cost with free content providers Formats, codecs Apple Smartphones 4K Adaptive streaming Tablets 3D DASH Guaranteed highest quality Devices h.265 HEVC LTE Content providers Guaranteed fair quality Fablets Super HD 8K TVs {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 8 Guaranteed SD high quality
  • 9. FROM PRICING TO SERVICE DIFFERENTIATION {Core Analysis} Video necessitates management of speed, volume and quality Fair usage Unlimited Volume class QoE class Volume throttling Tariffs Speed cap Soft cap + throttling Location Congestion Hard cap Soft cap Content / App Service class Metered Time DPI (conditional access, volume, service type…) + PCRF (delivery speed, rating, application) Technology + optimization (encoding) + smart optimization (QoE) Video class of service management with: Gold, silver, bronze Enterprise Congestion… scenarios Differentiated by QoE tiers {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 9
  • 10. ADVERTISING IS UNDER-EXPLOITED IN MOBILE {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public {Core Analysis} 10
  • 11. {Core Analysis} Source: Interactive Advertizing Bureau 2013 ADVERTISING IS UNDER-EXPLOITED IN MOBILE {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 11
  • 12. NEW BUSINESS MODELS START TO APPEAR C Spire (USA) video duration charging {Core Analysis} Vodafone 2 sided model {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 12
  • 13. {Core Analysis} {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 13
  • 14. CONTACTS {Core Analysis} Patrick Lopez CEO +1 514 823 0314 {Core Analysis} Blog: coreanalysis1.blogspot.com Web: coreanalysis.ca News: scoop.it/t/mobile-videoott-and-paytv Twitter: @coreanalysis patrick.lopez@coreanalysis.ca {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 14
  • 15. {Core Analysis} BREAK THE SURFACE VIDEO OPTIMIZATION MARKET OVERVIEW Patrick Lopez {Core Analysis} Q4 2013 {Core Analysis} All rights reserved © 2013 – Public 15