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VDC Research Webcast:
Position Sensor Market
‘Positioned’ for Recovery

           Market Demand Analysis, 9th Edition
Global Automation & Control Practice
Industrial
Chris J. Rezendes – Executive Vice President
David A. B. Laing – Senior Analyst
Recording Available



              These slides are from a webcast presented on 03/28/10

                    A f ll audio recording is available for download at:
                      full di         di i       il bl f d      l d t

   http://www.vdcresearch.com/market_research/industrial_automation/freeresearch.aspx




1 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
VDC Research Group




                                   Complimentary marketing data on the
                       Industrial Automation & Control Markets
                                          is available on our website at:
                                                www.vdcresearch.com




2 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
     Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Today’s Speaker


• VDC Research Group
     Founded in 1971, continuous, profitable operation for nearly 40 years
     Focus on a number of embedded and niche network market segments
     1,000 clients annually …90% technology suppliers, tech investors
• Ch i Rezendes – E
  Chris R   d     Executive Vice President
                       ti Vi P id t
     19 years experience in embedded, industrial, defense and other mission critical
        and high available technology industries
     14 years experience in senior management and leadership positions at a
        number of technology solutions and professional services organizations
     2 years DARPA contracting
     Chris has advised many of the largest and most respected technology
        companies in a number of technology segments worldwide
     Chris is a graduate of Harvard University




3 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
     Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Agenda


Introduction

2009 Position Sensor Report: Definition & Segmentation

General Economic Profile and Forecast, for the Position Sensor Market

Product & Technology and Market Trends

Competitive Overview
C    titi O      i

Closing Remarks

Q&A




4 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
     Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Position Sensor Market Remains a Collection of Segments
Multiple technical,
M lti l t h i l vertical, regional and application segments – and subsegments
                    ti l     i   l d      li ti          t      d b        t



                                                 Vertical & Application Markets




                                                                                        Asia-Pacific
                                                                                                       Regional
                                                                                                       Markets




                                                                                   EA

                                                                                        A
                                                                                 EME
                                                                      Americas
                                         Proximity Sensors
                                           Photo Sensors
       Product                             Limit Switches
          Type
                                 Linear Displacement Sensors


                          Rotary (Non-Modular) Position Sensors



5 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
     Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Position Commercial Value Chain Changing With Market
The i
Th rise of the A i markets, and th ECM/ODM community, may b elevating A i ECM/ ODM
         f th Asia    k t     d the              it       be l   ti Asian      ODMs



                                                                                 •   There are many layers
                            Materials & Components                                   and possible paths between
                                                                                       d      ibl    th b t
                                                                                     position sensor suppliers and
                                                                                     the users of their products
                              Manufacturers of Position                          •   The VDC report tracks suppliers
                              Sensors & Limit Switches
                                                                                     shipments to the FIRST
                                                                                     customer or level of distribution
                                                                                 •   Hard line arrows represent the
         Vendor Sales
          Personnel
                                                              Manufacturers’         channels making up the majority
                                                             Representatives /
           (Field and
                                                                 Agents
                                                                                     of shipments
             Inside)
                                                                                 •   Dotted lines indicate secondary
                                                                                     product channels, but also
                                                                                     important communication
                                           OEMs                                      and feedback channels
                                                                Systems
         Distributors               ----------------------     Integrators
                                     -Contract Mfg.   g                          •   Within the OEM Segment, there
                                                                                                        g
                                                                                     is a growing contract
                                                                                     manufacturing element

                        End Users/ Enterprise Deployers




6 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
     Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Position Market Growth Will Require Agility to Manage...
P iti sensing products will experience a strong, b t uneven, th
Position  i      d t ill         i        t      but         through 2013
                                                                   h



                       Overall Position Sensor Market
                                                                 10,000
                                        ($ M)
                                                                 9,000       VDC model overall
                                                                              may show ‘smoother’
                                                                 8,000
                                                                              growth generally,
                                                                 7,000        but …
                                                                 6,000       Position sensor
                                                                              market segment
                                                                 5,000        performance will vary
                                                                 4,000        widely along a
                                                                              number of
                                                                 3,000        dimensions
                                                                 2,000       Mil/Aero market is
                                                                              expected to continue
                                                                 1,000
                                                                              to be more stable than
                                                                 0            most despite changes
                                                                              in DoD and
                                                                              international MoD
                                                                              priorities




                                                 Total Mkt



 7 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
      Industrial Automation & Control Practice
…and Exposure to a Number of Technologies
Vi t ll every t h i l segment i growing … and APAC share of each also
Virtually     technical     t is    i       d       h     f    h l



                   $1,600


                   $1,400


                   $1,200


                   $1,000

                                                                                                            APAC
                     $800
                                                                                                            EMEA
                                                                                                            Americas
                     $600


                     $400


                     $200


                        $0
                                   Photo        Proximity   Limit Switch      Linear      Rotary Position
                                                                           Displacement




8 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
     Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Overall, Users Expect 2010 to be a Strong Buy Year
However, we expect shipment l
H                t hi     t levels t l b 1 3 quarters from this chart
                                l to lag by 1-3  t    f    thi h t



                 When will your company’s purchase levels of these products return to previous levels?

 My Company’s purchase level will not return to the previous level.            3.1%

   My Company’s purchase level of these items did not decrease.                                                                   31.9%

            My Company did not previously purchase these items.                         6.0%

                                                  In 2015 or Later            2.3%

                                                           In 2014     0.0%

                                                           In 2013         1.6%

                                                    2nd Half 2012             2.3%

                                                     1st Half 2012             3.1%

                                                        Late 2011                      5.2%

                                                         Mid 2011                       6.0%

                                                        Early 2011                             8.3%

                                                        Late 2010                                     12.2%

                                                         Mid 2010                                       13.5%

                                                        Early 2010                   4.4%

                                                                      0%          5%           10%      15%     20%   25%   30%      35%




9 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
     Industrial Automation & Control Practice
The Tension Between Cost and Performance?
Expected to go away over time as new products offer increased capability and l
E    t dt                ti             d t ff i            d     bilit    d lower cost
                                                                                      t



                                                                             New or
                                                                            “high end”
                        Legacy                                               Products
                   Position Sensing
                      Products
                                                             Customer’s
                                                               Future                    Cost
                                                              Sensor
                                                               Needs




                                                 Capability / Reliability


10 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
      Industrial Automation & Control Practice
One Potential Example: Vision / 3D / Imaging
Sensor users are open to new technologies, such as machine vision, with adoption 3X over rejection
S                     t      t h l i          h       hi    i i     ith d ti               j ti



          Are you using or have you considered using                        •   VDC estimates that the potential market for new
        different technologies (e.g., machine vision, 3D,
        and / or Confocal Chromatic) instead of the linear
                                                                                t h l i remains virtually untapped with 36%
                                                                                technologies       i    i t ll   t    d ith
          displacement sensing products specifically                            actively considering and 44% others that could
                    mentioned in this section?                                  be upside targets for expansion
                                                                            •   VDC estimates that the one significant barrier to
                                                                                new technology entrance to the linear
          Yes we are using them.          15.0%                                 displacement is either the cost of the actual
                                                                                product compared to the incumbent or the
                                                                                adoption / learning curve costs involved in
                                                                                implementation
  No, but we are considering their
                                                        36.4%
               use.                                                         •   Response to this question which was posed only
                                                                                to users of linear displacement sensors was
                                                                                optional and the results reflect the 107 (57 End
                                                                                Users and 50 OEM, Int. and Others) that made a
No, we are not using them and are
                                                              43.9%             selection
  not yet considering their use.




 After evaluation, we chose not to
                                           4.7%
             use them.



                                     0%    10%    20%   30%     40%   50%




 11 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
       Industrial Automation & Control Practice
The Persistence of Multiple Technologies?
For
F most every application there are several product t
     t          li ti th                 l    d t types/categories to consider
                                                       / t     i t        id




                                                                 •   Other Product
                                                                     Considerations Include:
                      Operating                     Target              •   Very High Accuracy

                    Environment                  Shape,
                                                 Shape Surface          •   Long Range
                                                                               g    g
                                                                        •   High Resolution
                                                     and                •   Small Size
                                                      Color             •   Durability / Reliability
                                                                        •   Low Power Requirements
                                                                                        q
                                            Cost                        •   High Speed / RPM Capability
                                                                        •   Wireless Connectivity
                                           Target
                                                                 •   QC Functions:
                                           Material                    • Surface, shape, color
                                                                       • Process correction
                                                                          data/feedback

                                                                 •   Debug Functions




12 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
      Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Position Sensor Industry: Competitive Overview


              Top 3 Proximity Sensor                          Top 3 Linear Displacement                Top 3 Rotary (Non-Modular)
                  Manufacturers                                 Sensor Manufacturers                  Position Sensor Manufacturers
                         (W/W $M)                                          (W/W $M)                                  (W/W $M)




             Turck Inc                                     Dr. Johannes                         Dr. Johannes Heidenhain
                                                         Heidenhain GMBH                                 GMBH




           iFM Efector                                 Schneider Electric SA                       Schneider Electric SA




                                                             KEYENCE
OMRON Electronics, Inc                                                                                         SICK AG
                                                           CORPORATION




                         0                   500                               0          500                              0          500




      13 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
            Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Position Sensor Industry: Competitive Overview


           Top 3 Photoelectric Sensor Manufacturers                          Top 3 Limit Switch Manufacturers
                             (W/W $M)                                                         (W/W $M)
                                                                                              (      )




             KEYENCE                                          OMRON Electronics, Inc




               OMRON                                             Schneider Electric SA




              SICK AG                                       Siemens Industrial Division




                        0                             500                                 0                     500




14 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
      Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Closing Remarks
The l b l
Th global position sensor market is still a multi-billion opportunity, and it will grow again
             iti             k t i till       lti billi        t it      d     ill         i



• Virtually all of the vertical markets have declined significantly from the peaks seen in
   mid-2008 with the sole exception of the military / aerospace market, which is generally
   governed by long term contracts
• China and Brazil are seen as having some of the best growing markets in the near term, but
   expansion generally requires placing manufacturing facilities inside them. There are
   multiple reasons for this including economic (labor costs), government-imposed trade
   restrictions, as well as concerns that today’s business partner could become a future
   competitor
• The military / aero markets – the best performing markets in 2008 and 2009 – are likely to
   tighten as competing interests for tax revenue will likely be reflected in the kind of stimulus
   legislation that we are seeing in many regions of the world
• In VDC’s estimate, the most realistic picture for economic recovery was seen when users
   were asked about % increase or decrease of future (next 3 years) sensor purchases
     5% thought that purchases would be within +/- 1% of current levels and 25% predicted a modest
       2 – 5% increase
      Therefore it is best for suppliers to plan for and expect 4% year to year growth from 2011 onward
       after a modest recovery of 7 – 8% in 2010




 15 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
       Industrial Automation & Control Practice
How will VDC coverage help clients stay on top of the market?



Position Sensor Market, 2009 Global Market Demand Analysis
                      ,                               y
• VOLUME 1: Proximity and Photoelectric Sensors and Limit Switches
• VOLUME 2: Linear Displacement Sensors
• VOLUME 3 R t (Non-Modular) P iti S
         3: Rotary (N M d l ) Position Sensors



                                                 ACTUAL MARKET SIZE/SUPPLIER
   STUDY PUBLICATION DATE                                                      FORECAST MARKET SIZE
                                                           SHARE


          Service Year 2010                               2008/2009                  2010-2013




16 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
      Industrial Automation & Control Practice
Q&A Session


Thank You for Attending this VDC Webcast
                      g
For more information about VDC Research coverage of the global markets
for industrial networking solutions – including the 2009 Position Sensor Market,
Global Market Demand Analysis, or the recently p
                              y                  y published Touch Screen Sensors
and Displays Global Market Demand and Customer Requirements Analysis study,
please contact:
Christopher Rezendes – Executive Vice President
       p
cjr@vdcresearch.com | 508.653.9000 x120

David Laing – Senior Analyst/ Program Manager
dlaing@vdcresearch.com | 508.653.9000 x146

Tim Shea – Senior Account Executive
tims@vdcresearch.com | 508.653.9000 x132




17 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
      Industrial Automation & Control Practice

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Position Sensor Market 'Positioned' For Recovery

  • 1. VDC Research Webcast: Position Sensor Market ‘Positioned’ for Recovery Market Demand Analysis, 9th Edition Global Automation & Control Practice Industrial Chris J. Rezendes – Executive Vice President David A. B. Laing – Senior Analyst
  • 2. Recording Available These slides are from a webcast presented on 03/28/10 A f ll audio recording is available for download at: full di di i il bl f d l d t http://www.vdcresearch.com/market_research/industrial_automation/freeresearch.aspx 1 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc.
  • 3. VDC Research Group Complimentary marketing data on the Industrial Automation & Control Markets is available on our website at: www.vdcresearch.com 2 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 4. Today’s Speaker • VDC Research Group  Founded in 1971, continuous, profitable operation for nearly 40 years  Focus on a number of embedded and niche network market segments  1,000 clients annually …90% technology suppliers, tech investors • Ch i Rezendes – E Chris R d Executive Vice President ti Vi P id t  19 years experience in embedded, industrial, defense and other mission critical and high available technology industries  14 years experience in senior management and leadership positions at a number of technology solutions and professional services organizations  2 years DARPA contracting  Chris has advised many of the largest and most respected technology companies in a number of technology segments worldwide  Chris is a graduate of Harvard University 3 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 5. Agenda Introduction 2009 Position Sensor Report: Definition & Segmentation General Economic Profile and Forecast, for the Position Sensor Market Product & Technology and Market Trends Competitive Overview C titi O i Closing Remarks Q&A 4 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 6. Position Sensor Market Remains a Collection of Segments Multiple technical, M lti l t h i l vertical, regional and application segments – and subsegments ti l i l d li ti t d b t Vertical & Application Markets Asia-Pacific Regional Markets EA A EME Americas Proximity Sensors Photo Sensors Product Limit Switches Type Linear Displacement Sensors Rotary (Non-Modular) Position Sensors 5 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 7. Position Commercial Value Chain Changing With Market The i Th rise of the A i markets, and th ECM/ODM community, may b elevating A i ECM/ ODM f th Asia k t d the it be l ti Asian ODMs • There are many layers Materials & Components and possible paths between d ibl th b t position sensor suppliers and the users of their products Manufacturers of Position • The VDC report tracks suppliers Sensors & Limit Switches shipments to the FIRST customer or level of distribution • Hard line arrows represent the Vendor Sales Personnel Manufacturers’ channels making up the majority Representatives / (Field and Agents of shipments Inside) • Dotted lines indicate secondary product channels, but also important communication OEMs and feedback channels Systems Distributors ---------------------- Integrators -Contract Mfg. g • Within the OEM Segment, there g is a growing contract manufacturing element End Users/ Enterprise Deployers 6 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 8. Position Market Growth Will Require Agility to Manage... P iti sensing products will experience a strong, b t uneven, th Position i d t ill i t but through 2013 h Overall Position Sensor Market 10,000 ($ M) 9,000  VDC model overall may show ‘smoother’ 8,000 growth generally, 7,000 but … 6,000  Position sensor market segment 5,000 performance will vary 4,000 widely along a number of 3,000 dimensions 2,000  Mil/Aero market is expected to continue 1,000 to be more stable than 0 most despite changes in DoD and international MoD priorities Total Mkt 7 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 9. …and Exposure to a Number of Technologies Vi t ll every t h i l segment i growing … and APAC share of each also Virtually technical t is i d h f h l $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 APAC $800 EMEA Americas $600 $400 $200 $0 Photo Proximity Limit Switch Linear Rotary Position Displacement 8 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 10. Overall, Users Expect 2010 to be a Strong Buy Year However, we expect shipment l H t hi t levels t l b 1 3 quarters from this chart l to lag by 1-3 t f thi h t When will your company’s purchase levels of these products return to previous levels? My Company’s purchase level will not return to the previous level. 3.1% My Company’s purchase level of these items did not decrease. 31.9% My Company did not previously purchase these items. 6.0% In 2015 or Later 2.3% In 2014 0.0% In 2013 1.6% 2nd Half 2012 2.3% 1st Half 2012 3.1% Late 2011 5.2% Mid 2011 6.0% Early 2011 8.3% Late 2010 12.2% Mid 2010 13.5% Early 2010 4.4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 9 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 11. The Tension Between Cost and Performance? Expected to go away over time as new products offer increased capability and l E t dt ti d t ff i d bilit d lower cost t New or “high end” Legacy Products Position Sensing Products Customer’s Future Cost Sensor Needs Capability / Reliability 10 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 12. One Potential Example: Vision / 3D / Imaging Sensor users are open to new technologies, such as machine vision, with adoption 3X over rejection S t t h l i h hi i i ith d ti j ti Are you using or have you considered using • VDC estimates that the potential market for new different technologies (e.g., machine vision, 3D, and / or Confocal Chromatic) instead of the linear t h l i remains virtually untapped with 36% technologies i i t ll t d ith displacement sensing products specifically actively considering and 44% others that could mentioned in this section? be upside targets for expansion • VDC estimates that the one significant barrier to new technology entrance to the linear Yes we are using them. 15.0% displacement is either the cost of the actual product compared to the incumbent or the adoption / learning curve costs involved in implementation No, but we are considering their 36.4% use. • Response to this question which was posed only to users of linear displacement sensors was optional and the results reflect the 107 (57 End Users and 50 OEM, Int. and Others) that made a No, we are not using them and are 43.9% selection not yet considering their use. After evaluation, we chose not to 4.7% use them. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 11 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 13. The Persistence of Multiple Technologies? For F most every application there are several product t t li ti th l d t types/categories to consider / t i t id • Other Product Considerations Include: Operating Target • Very High Accuracy Environment Shape, Shape Surface • Long Range g g • High Resolution and • Small Size Color • Durability / Reliability • Low Power Requirements q Cost • High Speed / RPM Capability • Wireless Connectivity Target • QC Functions: Material • Surface, shape, color • Process correction data/feedback • Debug Functions 12 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 14. Position Sensor Industry: Competitive Overview Top 3 Proximity Sensor Top 3 Linear Displacement Top 3 Rotary (Non-Modular) Manufacturers Sensor Manufacturers Position Sensor Manufacturers (W/W $M) (W/W $M) (W/W $M) Turck Inc Dr. Johannes Dr. Johannes Heidenhain Heidenhain GMBH GMBH iFM Efector Schneider Electric SA Schneider Electric SA KEYENCE OMRON Electronics, Inc SICK AG CORPORATION 0 500 0 500 0 500 13 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 15. Position Sensor Industry: Competitive Overview Top 3 Photoelectric Sensor Manufacturers Top 3 Limit Switch Manufacturers (W/W $M) (W/W $M) ( ) KEYENCE OMRON Electronics, Inc OMRON Schneider Electric SA SICK AG Siemens Industrial Division 0 500 0 500 14 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 16. Closing Remarks The l b l Th global position sensor market is still a multi-billion opportunity, and it will grow again iti k t i till lti billi t it d ill i • Virtually all of the vertical markets have declined significantly from the peaks seen in mid-2008 with the sole exception of the military / aerospace market, which is generally governed by long term contracts • China and Brazil are seen as having some of the best growing markets in the near term, but expansion generally requires placing manufacturing facilities inside them. There are multiple reasons for this including economic (labor costs), government-imposed trade restrictions, as well as concerns that today’s business partner could become a future competitor • The military / aero markets – the best performing markets in 2008 and 2009 – are likely to tighten as competing interests for tax revenue will likely be reflected in the kind of stimulus legislation that we are seeing in many regions of the world • In VDC’s estimate, the most realistic picture for economic recovery was seen when users were asked about % increase or decrease of future (next 3 years) sensor purchases  5% thought that purchases would be within +/- 1% of current levels and 25% predicted a modest 2 – 5% increase  Therefore it is best for suppliers to plan for and expect 4% year to year growth from 2011 onward after a modest recovery of 7 – 8% in 2010 15 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 17. How will VDC coverage help clients stay on top of the market? Position Sensor Market, 2009 Global Market Demand Analysis , y • VOLUME 1: Proximity and Photoelectric Sensors and Limit Switches • VOLUME 2: Linear Displacement Sensors • VOLUME 3 R t (Non-Modular) P iti S 3: Rotary (N M d l ) Position Sensors ACTUAL MARKET SIZE/SUPPLIER STUDY PUBLICATION DATE FORECAST MARKET SIZE SHARE Service Year 2010 2008/2009 2010-2013 16 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice
  • 18. Q&A Session Thank You for Attending this VDC Webcast g For more information about VDC Research coverage of the global markets for industrial networking solutions – including the 2009 Position Sensor Market, Global Market Demand Analysis, or the recently p y y published Touch Screen Sensors and Displays Global Market Demand and Customer Requirements Analysis study, please contact: Christopher Rezendes – Executive Vice President p cjr@vdcresearch.com | 508.653.9000 x120 David Laing – Senior Analyst/ Program Manager dlaing@vdcresearch.com | 508.653.9000 x146 Tim Shea – Senior Account Executive tims@vdcresearch.com | 508.653.9000 x132 17 –  2010 VDC Research Group, Inc. Industrial Automation & Control Practice