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National Institute on Aging
National Institutes of Health
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Global Health and Aging
2 Global Health and AgingPhoto credits front cover, left to right
(Dreamstime.com): Djembe; Sergey Galushko; Laurin Rinder;
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Magomed Magomedagaev; and Antonella865.
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Preface
Overview
Humanity’s Aging
Living Longer
New Disease Patterns
Longer Lives and Disability
New Data on Aging and Health
Assessing the Cost of Aging and Health Care
Health and Work
Changing Role of the Family
Suggested Resources
Contents
Rose Maria Li
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4 Global Health and Aging
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Preface
The world is facing a situation without precedent: We soon will
have more older people than
children and more people at extreme old age than ever before.
As both the proportion of older
people and the length of life increase throughout the world, key
questions arise. Will population
aging be accompanied by a longer period of good health, a
sustained sense of well-being, and
extended periods of social engagement and productivity, or will
it be associated with more illness,
disability, and dependency? How will aging affect health care
and social costs? Are these futures
inevitable, or can we act to establish a physical and social
infrastructure that might foster better
health and wellbeing in older age? How will population aging
play out differently for low-income
countries that will age faster than their counterparts have, but
before they become industrialized
and wealthy?
This brief report attempts to address some of these questions.
Above all, it emphasizes the central
role that health will play moving forward. A better
understanding of the changing relationship
between health with age is crucial if we are to create a future
that takes full advantage of the
powerful resource inherent in older populations. To do so,
nations must develop appropriate
data systems and research capacity to monitor and understand
these patterns and relationships,
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well-being. And research needs to be better coordinated if we
are to discover the most cost-effective
ways to maintain healthful life styles and everyday functioning
in countries at different stages of
economic development and with varying resources. Global
efforts are required to understand and
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existing knowledge about the prevention and treatment of heart
disease, stroke, diabetes, and
cancer.
Managing population aging also requires building needed
infrastructure and institutions as soon as
possible. The longer we delay, the more costly and less
effective the solutions are likely to be.
Population aging is a powerful and transforming demographic
force. We are only just beginning
to comprehend its impacts at the national and global levels. As
we prepare for a new demographic
reality, we hope this report raises awareness not only about the
critical link between global health
and aging, but also about the importance of rigorous and
coordinated research to close gaps in our
knowledge and the need for action based on evidence-based
policies.
Richard Suzman, PhD
Director, Division of Behavioral and Social Research
National Institute on Aging
National Institutes of Health
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John Beard, MBBS, PhD
Director, Department of Ageing and Life Course
World Health Organization
Preface
2 Global Health and Aging
Figure 1.
Young Children and Older People as a Percentage of Global
Population: 1950-2050
Source: United Nations. World Population Prospects: The 2010
Revision.
Available at: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp.
Overview
The world is on the brink of a demographic
milestone. Since the beginning of recorded
history, young children have outnumbered
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the number of people aged 65 or older will
outnumber children under age 5. Driven by
falling fertility rates and remarkable increases in
life expectancy, population aging will continue,
even accelerate (Figure 1). The number of
people aged 65 or older is projected to grow
from an estimated 524 million in 2010 to nearly
1.5 billion in 2050, with most of the increase in
developing countries.
The remarkable improvements in life
expectancy over the past century were part
of a shift in the leading causes of disease
and death. At the dawn of the 20th century,
the major health threats were infectious and
parasitic diseases that most often claimed
the lives of infants and children. Currently,
noncommunicable diseases that more commonly
affect adults and older people impose the
greatest burden on global health.
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chronic noncommunicable diseases such as
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changes in lifestyle and diet, as well as aging.
The potential economic and societal costs of
noncommunicable diseases of this type rise
sharply with age and have the ability to affect
economic growth. A World Health Organization
analysis in 23 low- and middle-income countries
estimated the economic losses from three
noncommunicable diseases (heart disease,
3
stroke, and diabetes) in these countries would
total US$83 billion between 2006 and 2015.
Reducing severe disability from disease
and health conditions is one key to holding
down health and social costs. The health
and economic burden of disability also can
be reinforced or alleviated by environmental
characteristics that can determine whether
an older person can remain independent
despite physical limitations. The longer people
can remain mobile and care for themselves,
the lower are the costs for long-term care to
families and society.
Because many adult and older-age health
problems were rooted in early life experiences
and living conditions, ensuring good child
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In the meantime, generations of children
and young adults who grew up in poverty
and ill health in developing countries will be
entering old age in coming decades, potentially
increasing the health burden of older
populations in those countries.
With continuing declines in death rates among
older people, the proportion aged 80 or older
is rising quickly, and more people are living
past 100. The limits to life expectancy and
lifespan are not as obvious as once thought.
And there is mounting evidence from cross-
national data that—with appropriate policies
and programs—people can remain healthy
and independent well into old age and can
continue to contribute to their communities
and families.
The potential for an active, healthy old age
is tempered by one of the most daunting and
potentially costly consequences of ever-longer
life expectancies: the increase in people with
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dementia patients eventually need constant
care and help with the most basic activities
of daily living, creating a heavy economic and
social burden. Prevalence of dementia rises
sharply with age. An estimated 25-30 percent
of people aged 85 or older have dementia.
Unless new and more effective interventions
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disease, prevalence is expected to rise
dramatically with the aging of the population
in the United States and worldwide.
Aging is taking place alongside other broad
social trends that will affect the lives of older
people. Economies are globalizing, people are
more likely to live in cities, and technology
is evolving rapidly. Demographic and family
changes mean there will be fewer older people
with families to care for them. People today
have fewer children, are less likely to be
married, and are less likely to live with older
generations. With declining support from
families, society will need better information
and tools to ensure the well-being of the
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Overview
4 Global Health and Aging
Humanity’s Aging
In 2010, an estimated 524 million people were
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population. By 2050, this number is expected to
nearly triple to about 1.5 billion, representing
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more developed countries have the oldest
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older people—and the most rapidly aging
populations—are in less developed countries.
Between 2010 and 2050, the number of older
people in less developed countries is projected to
increase more than 250 percent, compared with
a 71 percent increase in developed countries.
This remarkable phenomenon is being driven
by declines in fertility and improvements in
longevity. With fewer children entering the
population and people living longer, older
people are making up an increasing share of the
total population. In more developed countries,
fertility fell below the replacement rate of two
live births per woman by the 1970s, down from
nearly three children per woman around 1950.
Even more crucial for population aging, fertility
fell with surprising speed in many less developed
countries from an average of six children in
1950 to an average of two or three children
in 2005. In 2006, fertility was at or below the
two-child replacement level in 44 less developed
countries.
Most developed nations have had decades to
adjust to their changing age structures. It took
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population aged 65 or older to rise from 7
percent to 14 percent. In contrast, many less
developed countries are experiencing a rapid
increase in the number and percentage of older
people, often within a single generation (Figure
2). For example, the same demographic aging
that unfolded over more than a century in
France will occur in just two decades in Brazil.
Developing countries will need to adapt quickly
to this new reality. Many less developed nations
Figure 2.
The Speed of Population Aging
Time required or expected for percentage of population aged 65
and over to
rise from 7 percent to 14 percent
Source: Kinsella K, He W. An Aging World: 2008. Washington,
DC: National Institute on Aging
and U.S. Census Bureau, 2009.
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security of older people, and that provide the
health and social care they need, without the
same extended period of economic growth
experienced by aging societies in the West.
In other words, some countries may grow old
before they grow rich.
In some countries, the sheer number of
people entering older ages will challenge
national infrastructures, particularly health
systems. This numeric surge in older people is
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populous countries: China and India (Figure 3).
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will likely swell to 330 million by 2050 from 110
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of 60 million is projected to exceed 227 million
in 2050, an increase of nearly 280 percent from
today. By the middle of this century, there
could be 100 million Chinese over the age of 80.
This is an amazing achievement considering
that there were fewer than 14 million people
this age on the entire planet just a century ago.
Figure 3.
Growth of the Population Aged 65 and Older in India and
China:
2010-2050
Source: United Nations. World Population Prospects: The 2010
Revision.
Available at: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp.
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Humanity’s Aging
6 Global Health and Aging
Living Longer
The dramatic increase in average life expectancy
during the 20th century ranks as one of
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babies born in 1900 did not live past age 50, life
expectancy at birth now exceeds 83 years in
Japan—the current leader—and is at least 81
years in several other countries. Less developed
regions of the world have experienced a steady
increase in life expectancy since World War
II, although not all regions have shared in
these improvements. (One notable exception
is the fall in life expectancy in many parts of
Africa because of deaths caused by the HIV/
AIDS epidemic.) The most dramatic and rapid
gains have occurred in East Asia, where life
expectancy at birth increased from less than 45
years in 1950 to more than 74 years today.
These improvements are part of a major
transition in human health spreading around
the globe at different rates and along different
pathways. This transition encompasses a
broad set of changes that include a decline
from high to low fertility; a steady increase
in life expectancy at birth and at older ages;
and a shift in the leading causes of death and
illness from infectious and parasitic diseases
to noncommunicable diseases and chronic
conditions. In early nonindustrial societies, the
risk of death was high at every age, and only a
small proportion of people reached old age. In
modern societies, most people live past middle
age, and deaths are highly concentrated at older
ages.
The victories against infectious and parasitic
diseases are a triumph for public health
projects of the 20th century, which immunized
millions of people against smallpox, polio,
and major childhood killers like measles. Even
earlier, better living standards, especially
more nutritious diets and cleaner drinking
water, began to reduce serious infections and
prevent deaths among children. More children
were surviving their vulnerable early years
and reaching adulthood. In fact, more than
60 percent of the improvement in female life
expectancy at birth in developed countries
between 1850 and 1900 occurred because more
children were living to age 15, not because more
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the 20th century that mortality rates began
to decline within the older ages. Research for
more recent periods shows a surprising and
continuing improvement in life expectancy
among those aged 80 or above.
The progressive increase in survival in these
oldest age groups was not anticipated by
demographers, and it raises questions about how
high the average life expectancy can realistically
rise and about the potential length of the human
lifespan. While some experts assume that life
expectancy must be approaching an upper limit, Be
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Figure 4.
Female Life Expectancy in Developed Countries: 1840-2009
Source: Highest reported life expectancy for the years 1840 to
2000 from online supplementary
material to Oeppen J, Vaupel JW. Broken limits to life
expectancy. Science 2002; 296:1029-
1031. All other data points from the Human Mortality Database
(http://www.mortality.org)
provided by Roland Rau (University of Rostock). Additional
discussion can be found in
Christensen K, Doblhammer G, Rau R, Vaupel JW. Aging
populations: The challenges ahead.
The Lancet 2009; 374/9696:1196-1208.
Living Longer
8 Global Health and Aging
data on life expectancies between 1840 and 2007
show a steady increase averaging about three
months of life per year. The country with the
highest average life expectancy has varied over
time (Figure 4). In 1840 it was Sweden and
today it is Japan—but the pattern is strikingly
similar. So far there is little evidence that life
expectancy has stopped rising even in Japan.
The rising life expectancy within the older
population itself is increasing the number and
proportion of people at very old ages. The
“oldest old” (people aged 85 or older) constitute
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12 percent in more developed countries and 6
percent in less developed countries. In many
countries, the oldest old are now the fastest
growing part of the total population. On a
Figure 5.
Percentage Change in the World’s Population by Age: 2010-
2050
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2010
Revision.
Available at: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp.
global level, the 85-and-over population is
projected to increase 351 percent between 2010
and 2050, compared to a 188 percent increase for
the population aged 65 or older and a 22 percent
increase for the population under age 65 (Figure 5).
The global number of centenarians is projected
to increase 10-fold between 2010 and 2050. In
the mid-1990s, some researchers estimated that,
over the course of human history, the odds of
living from birth to age 100 may have risen from
1 in 20,000,000 to 1 in 50 for females in low-
mortality nations such as Japan and Sweden.
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than current projections assume—previous
population projections often underestimated
decreases in mortality rates among the oldest
old.
9
The transition from high to low mortality
and fertility that accompanied socioeconomic
development has also meant a shift in
the leading causes of disease and death.
Demographers and epidemiologists describe this
shift as part of an “epidemiologic transition”
characterized by the waning of infectious and
acute diseases and the emerging importance of
chronic and degenerative diseases. High death
rates from infectious diseases are commonly
associated with the poverty, poor diets, and
limited infrastructure found in developing
countries. Although many developing countries
still experience high child mortality from
infectious and parasitic diseases, one of the
major epidemiologic trends of the current
century is the rise of chronic and degenerative
diseases in countries throughout the world—
regardless of income level.
Evidence from the multicountry Global Burden
of Disease project and other international
epidemiologic research shows that health
problems associated with wealthy and aged
populations affect a wide and expanding
swath of world population. Over the next
10 to 15 years, people in every world region
will suffer more death and disability from
such noncommunicable diseases as heart
disease, cancer, and diabetes than from
Figure 6.
The Increasing Burden of Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases:
2008 and 2030
Source: World Health Organization, Projections of Mortality
and Burden of Disease, 2004-2030.
Available at:
http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/projection
s/en/index.html.
New Disease Patterns
New Disease Patterns
10 Global Health and Aging
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health problems in adulthood and old age stem
from infections and health conditions early in life.
Some researchers argue that important aspects of
adult health are determined before birth, and that
nourishment in utero and during infancy has a
direct bearing on the development of risk factors for
adult diseases—especially cardiovascular diseases.
Early malnutrition in Latin America is highly
correlated with self-reported diabetes, for example,
and childhood rheumatic fever is a frequent cause of
adult heart disease in developing countries.
Research also shows that delayed physical growth in
childhood reduces physical and cognitive functioning
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rarely or never suffering from serious illnesses or
receiving adequate medical care during childhood
results in a much lower risk of suffering cognitive
impairments or physical limitations at ages 80 or
older.
Proving links between childhood health conditions
and adult development and health is a complicated
research challenge. Researchers rarely have the data
necessary to separate the health effects of changes
in living standards or environmental conditions
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to his or her birth or childhood diseases. However,
a Swedish study with excellent historical data
concluded that reduced early exposure to infectious
diseases was related to increases in life expectancy.
A cross-national investigation of data from two
surveys of older populations in Latin America
and the Caribbean also found links between early
conditions and later disability. The older people in
the studies were born and grew up during times
of generally poor nutrition and higher risk of
exposure to infectious diseases. In the Puerto Rican
survey, the probability of being disabled was more
than 64 percent higher for people growing up in
Lasting Importance of Childinfectious and parasitic diseases.
The myth
that noncommunicable diseases affect mainly
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the project, which combines information about
mortality and morbidity from every world region
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diseases. The burden is measured by estimating the
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based on detailed epidemiological information. In
2008, noncommunicable diseases accounted for an
estimated 86 percent of the burden of disease in
high-income countries, 65 percent in middle-income
countries, and a surprising 37 percent in low-income
countries.
By 2030, noncommunicable diseases are projected
to account for more than one-half of the disease
burden in low-income countries and more than
three-fourths in middle-income countries.
Infectious and parasitic diseases will account for
30 percent and 10 percent, respectively, in low- and
middle-income countries (Figure 6). Among the
60-and-over population, noncommunicable diseases
already account for more than 87 percent of the
burden in low-, middle-, and high-income countries.
But the continuing health threats from
communicable diseases for older people cannot
be dismissed, either. Older people account for a
growing share of the infectious disease burden in
low-income countries. Infectious disease programs,
including those for HIV/AIDS, often neglect
older people and ignore the potential effects of
population aging. Yet, antiretroviral therapy is
enabling more people with HIV/AIDS to survive
to older ages. And, there is growing evidence
that older people are particularly susceptible
to infectious diseases for a variety of reasons,
including immunosenescence (the progressive
deterioration of immune function with age)
and frailty. Older people already suffering from
one chronic or infectious disease are especially
vulnerable to additional infectious diseases. For
example, type 2 diabetes and tuberculosis are well-
known “comorbid risk factors” that have serious
health consequences for older people.
11
poor conditions than for people growing up in good
conditions. A survey of seven urban centers in Latin
America and the Caribbean found the probability
of disability was 43 percent higher for those from
disadvantaged backgrounds than for those from more
favorable ones (Figure 7).
If these links between early life and health at older
ages can be established more directly, they may have
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countries. People now growing old in low- and middle-
income countries are likely to have experienced more
hood Health
Figure 7.
Probability of Being Disabled among Elderly in Seven Cities of
Latin
America and the Caribbean (2000) and Puerto Rico (2002-2003)
by Early Life
Conditions
Source: Monteverde M, Norohna K, Palloni A. 2009. Effect of
early conditions on disability among the
elderly in Latin-America and the Caribbean. Population Studies
2009;63/1: 21-35.
distress and disadvantage as children than their
counterparts in the developed world, and studies
such as those described above suggest that they are
at much greater risk of health problems in older age,
often from multiple noncommunicable diseases.
Behavior and exposure to health risks during a
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Exposure to toxic substances at work or at home,
arduous physical work, smoking, alcohol consumption,
diet, and physical activity may have long-term health
implications.
New Disease Patterns
12 Global Health and Aging
Are we living healthier as well as longer lives, or
are our additional years spent in poor health?
There is considerable debate about this question
among researchers, and the answers have broad
implications for the growing number of older
people around the world. One way to examine
the question is to look at changes in rates of
disability, one measure of health and function.
Some researchers think there will be a decrease
in the prevalence of disability as life expectancy
increases, termed a “compression of morbidity.”
Others see an “expansion of morbidity”—an
increase in the prevalence of disability as life
expectancy increases. Yet others argue that, as
advances in medicine slow the progression from
chronic disease to disability, severe disability
will lessen, but milder chronic diseases will
increase. In the United States, between 1982
and 2001 severe disability fell about 25 percent
among those aged 65 or older even as life
expectancy increased. This very positive trend
suggests that we can affect not only how long
we live, but also how well we can function with
advancing age. Unfortunately, this trend may
not continue in part because of rising obesity
among those now entering older ages.
We have less information about disability in
middle- and lower-income countries. With the
rapid growth of older populations throughout
the world—and the high costs of managing
people with disabilities—continuing and better
assessment of trends in disability in different
countries will help researchers discover more
about why there are such differences across
countries.
Some new international, longitudinal research
designed to compare health across countries
promises to provide new insights, moving
forward. A 2006 analysis sponsored by the U.S.
National Institute on Aging (NIA), part of
the U.S. National Institutes of Health, found
surprising health differences, for example,
between non-Hispanic whites aged 55 to 64
in the United States and England. In general,
people in higher socioeconomic levels have better
health, but the study found that older adults in
the United States were less healthy than their
British counterparts at all socioeconomic levels.
The health differences among these “young”
older people were much greater than the gaps
in life expectancy between the two countries.
Because the analysis was limited to non-
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the generally lower health status of blacks or
Latinos. The analysis also found that differences
in education and behavioral risk factors (such as
smoking, obesity, and alcohol use) explained few
of the health differences.
This analysis subsequently included comparable
NIA-funded surveys in 10 other European
countries and was expanded to adults aged 50 to
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reported worse health than did European adults
as indicated by the presence of chronic diseases
and by measures of disability (Figure 8). At all
levels of wealth, Americans were less healthy
than their European counterparts. Analyses of
the same data sources also showed that cognitive
functioning declined further between ages 55 and
65 in countries where workers left the labor force
at early ages, suggesting that engagement in
work might help preserve cognitive functioning.
Subsequent analyses of these and other studies
should shed more light on these national
differences and similarities and should help guide
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Longer Lives and Disability
13
Source: Adapted from Avendano M, Glymour MM, Banks J,
Mackenbach JP. Health disadvan-
tage in US adults aged 50 to 74 years: A comparison of the
health of rich and poor Americans
with that of Europeans. American Journal of Public Health
2009; 99/3:540-548, using data from
the Health and Retirement Study, the English Longitudinal
Study of Ageing, and the Survey of
Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. Please see original
source for additional information.
Figure 8.
Prevalence of Chronic Disease and Disability among Men and
Women Aged 50-74 Years in the United States, England, and
Europe:
2004
Longer Lives and Disability
14 Global Health and Aging
The Burden of Dementia
The cause of most dementia is unknown, but the
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memory, reasoning, speech, and other cognitive
functions. The risk of dementia increases sharply
with age and, unless new strategies for prevention
and management are developed, this syndrome
is expected to place growing demands on health
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population ages. Dementia prevalence estimates
vary considerably internationally, in part
because diagnoses and reporting systems are not
standardized. The disease is not easy to diagnose,
especially in its early stages. The memory
problems, misunderstandings, and behavior
common in the early and intermediate stages
are often attributed to normal effects of aging,
accepted as personality traits, or simply ignored.
Many cases remain undiagnosed even in the
intermediate, more serious stages. A cross-national
assessment conducted by the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)
estimated that dementia affected about 10 million
people in OECD member countries around 2000,
just under 7 percent of people aged 65 or older.
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form of dementia and accounted for between
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cited in the OECD report. More recent analyses
have estimated the worldwide number of people
living with AD/dementia at between 27 million
and 36 million. The prevalence of AD and other
dementias is very low at younger ages, then nearly
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65. In the OECD review, for example, dementia
affected fewer than 3 percent of those aged 65 to
69, but almost 30 percent of those aged 85 to 89.
More than one-half of women aged 90 or older
had dementia in France and Germany, as did
about 40 percent in the United States, and just
under 30 percent in Spain.
The projected costs of caring for the growing
numbers of people with dementia are daunting.
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Disease International estimates that the total
worldwide cost of dementia exceeded US$600
billion in 2010, including informal care provided
by family and others, social care provided by
community care professionals, and direct costs of
medical care. Family members often play a key
caregiving role, especially in the initial stages of
what is typically a slow decline. Ten years ago,
U.S. researchers estimated that the annual cost
of informal caregiving for dementia in the United
States was US$18 billion.
The complexity of the disease and the wide
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people and families dealing with dementia, and
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and social impact. The challenge is even greater
in the less developed world, where an estimated
two-thirds or more of dementia sufferers live
but where few coping resources are available.
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suggest that 115 million people worldwide will
be living with AD/dementia in 2050, with a
markedly increasing proportion of this total in
less developed countries (Figure 9). Global efforts
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ways of preventing such age-related diseases as
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Source: Alzheimer’s Disease International, World Alzheimer
Report, 2010. Available at:
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Figure 9.
The Growth of Numbers of People with Dementia in High-
income
Countries and Low- and Middle-income Countries: 2010-2050
Longer Lives and Disability
16 Global Health and Aging
The transition from high to low mortality and
fertility—and the shift from communicable to
noncommunicable diseases—occurred fairly
recently in much of the world. Still, according
to the World Health Organization (WHO), most
countries have been slow to generate and use
evidence to develop an effective health response
to new disease patterns and aging populations.
In light of this, the organization mounted a
multicountry longitudinal study designed to
simultaneously generate data, raise awareness of
the health issues of older people, and inform public
policies.
The WHO Study on Global Ageing and Adult
Health (SAGE) involves nationally representative
cohorts of respondents aged 50 and over in six
countries (China, Ghana, India, Mexico, Russia,
and South Africa), who will be followed as they age.
A cohort of respondents aged 18 to 49 also will be
followed over time in each country for comparison.
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has been completed, with future waves planned for
2012 and 2014.
In addition to myriad demographic and
socioeconomic characteristics, the study collects
data on risk factors, health exams, and biomarkers.
Biomarkers such as blood pressure and pulse rate,
height and weight, hip and waist circumference,
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and objective measures that improve the precision
of self-reported health in the survey. SAGE also
collects data on grip strength and lung capacity
New Data on Aging and Health
Figure 10.
Overall Health Status Score in Six Countries for Males and
Females:
Circa 2009
Notes: Health score ranges from 0 (worst health) to 100 (best
health) and is a composite measure
derived from 16 functioning questions using item response
theory. National data collections con-
ducted during the period 2007-2010.
Source: Tabulations provided by the World Health Organization
Multi-Country Studies Unit,
Geneva, based on data from the Study on global AGEing and
adult health (SAGE).
17
Figure 11.
Percentage of Adults with Three or More Major Risk Factors:
Circa 2009
Notes: Major risk factors include physical inactivity, current
tobacco use, heavy alcohol consump-
tion, a high-risk waist-hip ratio, hypertension, and obesity.
National data collections conducted
during the period 2007-2010.
Source: Tabulations provided by the World Health Organization
Multi-Country Studies Unit,
Geneva, based on data from the Study on global AGEing and
adult health (SAGE).
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
18-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Age Group
and administers tests of cognition, vision, and
mobility to produce objective indicators of
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activities of daily living. As additional waves
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later years, the study will seek to monitor health
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well-being.
A primary objective of SAGE is to obtain reliable
and valid data that allow for international
comparisons. Researchers derive a composite
measure from responses to 16 questions about
health and physical limitations. This health score
ranges from 0 (worst health) to 100 (best health)
and is shown for men and women in each of the six
SAGE countries in Figure 10. In each country, the
health status score declines with age, as expected.
And at each age in each country, the score for males
is higher than for females. Women live longer than
men on average, but have poorer health status.
The number of disabled people in most developing
countries seems certain to increase as the number
of older people continues to rise. Health systems
need better data to understand the health risks
faced by older people and to target appropriate
prevention and intervention services. The
SAGE data show that the percentage of people
with at least three of six health risk factors
(physical inactivity, current tobacco use, heavy
alcohol consumption, a high-risk waist-hip
ratio, hypertension, or obesity) rises with
age, but the patterns and the percentages
vary by country (Figure 11). �
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important contributions will be to assess
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and future disability. Smaller family size and
declining prevalence of co-residence by multiple
generations likely will introduce further
challenges for families in developing countries in
caring for older relatives.
New Data on Aging and Health
18 Global Health and Aging
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of health care spending in both developed and
developing countries in the decades to come.
In developed countries, where acute care and
institutional long-term care services are widely
available, the use of medical care services by
adults rises with age, and per capita expenditures
on health care are relatively high among older age
groups. Accordingly, the rising proportion of older
people is placing upward pressure on overall health
care spending in the developed world, although
other factors such as income growth and advances
in the technological capabilities of medicine
generally play a much larger role.
Relatively little is known about aging and
health care costs in the developing world. Many
developing nations are just now establishing
baseline estimates of the prevalence and incidence
of various diseases and conditions. �
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from the WHO SAGE project, which provides data
on blood pressure among women in six developing
countries, show an upward trend by age in the
percentage of women with moderate or severe
hypertension (see Figure 12), although the patterns
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the countries. If rising hypertension rates in
those populations are not adequately addressed,
the resulting high rates of cerebrovascular and
Assessing the Costs of Aging
and Health Care
Figure 12.
Percentage of Women with Moderate or Severe Hypertension in
Six
Countries: Circa 2009
Note: National data collections conducted during the period
2007-2010.
Source: Tabulations provided by the World Health Organization
Multi-Country Studies Unit,
Geneva, based on data from the Study on global AGEing and
adult health (SAGE).
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
18-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Age Group
19
cardiovascular disease are likely to require costly
medical treatments that might have been avoided
with antihypertensive therapies costing just a
few cents per day per patient. Early detection
and effective management of risk factors such as
hypertension—and other important conditions
such as diabetes, which can greatly complicate the
treatment of cardiovascular disease—in developing
countries can be inexpensive and effective ways of
controlling future health care costs. An important
future payoff for data collection projects such as
SAGE will be the ability to link changes in health
status with health expenditures and other relevant
variables for individuals and households. This will
provide crucial evidence for policymakers designing
health interventions.
A large proportion of health care costs associated
with advancing age are incurred in the year or so
before death. As more people survive to increasingly
older ages, the high cost of prolonging life is shifted
to ever-older ages. In many societies, the nature
and extent of medical treatment at very old ages
is a contentious issue. However, data from the
United States suggest that health care spending at
the end of life is not increasing any more rapidly
than health care spending in general. At the same
time, governments and international organizations
are stressing the need for cost-of-illness studies on
age-related diseases, in part to anticipate the likely
burden of increasingly prevalent and expensive
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particular. Also needed are studies of comparative
performance or comparative effectiveness in
low-income countries of various treatments and
interventions.
The Costs of Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer
In high-income countries, heart disease, stroke,
and cancer have long been the leading contributors
to the overall disease burden. The burden from
these and other chronic and noncommunicable
diseases is increasing in middle- and low-income
countries as well (Figure 6).
To gauge the economic impact of shifting disease
���� ����
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Organization (WHO) estimated the loss of
economic output associated with chronic disease in
23 low- and middle-income nations, which together
account for about 80 percent of the total chronic
disease mortality in the developing world.
The WHO analysis focused on a subset of leading
chronic diseases: heart disease, stroke, and
diabetes. In 2006, this subset of diseases incurred
estimated economic losses ranging from US$20
million to US$30 million in Vietnam and Ethiopia,
and up to nearly US$1 billion in China and India.
Short-term projections (to 2015) indicate that
losses will nearly double in most of the countries
if no preventive actions are taken. The potential
estimated loss in economic output for the 23
nations as a whole between 2006 and 2015 totaled
US$84 billion.
A recent analysis of global cancer trends by the
Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) estimated that
there were 13 million new cancer cases in 2009. The
cost associated with these new cases was at least
US$286 billion. These costs could escalate because
of the silent epidemic of cancer in less well-off,
resource-scarce regions as people live longer and
adopt Western diets and lifestyles. The EIU
analysis estimated that less developed countries
accounted for 61 percent of the new cases in 2009.
Largely because of global aging, the incidence
of cancer is expected to accelerate in coming
decades. The annual number of new cancer cases
is projected to rise to 17 million by 2020, and reach
27 million by 2030. A growing proportion of the
global total will be found in the less developed
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cases will occur in Asia.
Assessing the Costs of Aging and Health Care
20 Global Health and Aging
Health and Work
In the developed world, older people often
leave the formal workforce in their later years,
although they may continue to contribute to
society in many ways, including participating
in the informal workforce, volunteering, or
providing crucial help for their families. There
is no physiologic reason that many older people
cannot participate in the formal workforce, but
the expectation that people will cease working
when they reach a certain age has gained
credence over the past century. Rising incomes,
along with public and private pension systems,
have allowed people to retire based on their age
rather than any health-related problem.
It is ironic that the age at retirement from the
workforce has been dropping at the same time
that life expectancy has been increasing. Older
people today spend many years in retirement.
In OECD countries, in 2007, the average man
left the labor force before age 64 and could
expect 18 years of retirement (Figure 13). The
average woman stopped working at age 63
and looked forward to more than 22 years of
retirement if they adopt similar concepts of
retirement.
Many high-income countries now want people
to work for more years to slow escalating
costs of pensions and health care for retirees,
especially given smaller cohorts entering the
labor force. Most middle- and low-income
countries will face similar challenges.
Other than the economic incentives of
pensions, what would make people stay in the
workforce longer? To start, misconceptions
about older workers abound and perceptions
may need to change. In addition to having
acquired more knowledge and job skills
through experience than younger workers,
most older adults show intact learning and
thinking, although there are some declines in
cognitive function, most notably in the speed
of information processing. Moreover, there is
some evidence that staying in the labor force
after age 55 is associated with slower loss of
cognitive function, perhaps because of the
stimulation of the workplace and related social
engagement.
Even physical abilities may not deteriorate
as quickly as commonly assumed. Although
relatively little is known about the relationship
between age and productivity (which takes
wages into account), one study of German
assembly line workers in an automotive plant
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of workers increased until age 65.
Whether older people spend more years in
the labor market also will depend on the
types of jobs available to them. Many jobs in
industrialized countries do not require physical
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worker, but they may necessitate acquiring
new skills and retraining to adjust to changing
work environments. Evidence is needed on the
capacity of older workers, especially those with
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Older people with limited mobility or other
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schedules or adapted work environments.
Considerations may need to be given to the
value of building new approaches at work or
institutions that will increase the ease with
which older people can contribute outside of
their families.Jos
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Figure 13.
Expected Years of Retirement for Men in Selected OECD
Countries: 2007
Note: OECD average is for 30 OECD member nations.
Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development. OECD Society at a Glance
2009. Available at:
http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/Retirement/LFEA.
Health and Work
22 Global Health and Aging
Familial support and caregiving among
generations typically run in both directions.
Older people often provide care for a variety
of others (spouses, older parents, children,
grandchildren, and nonfamily members), while
families, and especially adult children, are the
primary source of support and care for their
older relatives. Most older people today have
children, and many have grandchildren and
living siblings. However, in countries with very
low birth rates, future generations will have few
if any siblings. The global trend toward having
fewer children assures that there will be less
potential care and support for older people from
their families in the future.
As life expectancy increases in most nations, so
do the odds that several generations are alive at
the same time. In more developed countries, this
is manifested as a “beanpole family,” a vertical
extension of family structure characterized
by more but smaller generations. As mortality
rates continue to improve, more people in their
50s and 60s are likely to have surviving parents,
aunts, and uncles. Consequently, more children
will know their grandparents and even their
great-grandparents, especially their great-
grandmothers. There is no historical precedent
for a majority of middle-aged and older adults
having living parents.
However, while the number of surviving
generations in a family may have increased,
today these generations are more likely to live
separately. In many countries, the shape of
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economic security; rising rates of migration,
divorce, and remarriage; and blended and
stepfamily relations. In addition, more adults
are choosing not to marry or have children at
all. In parts of sub-Saharan Africa, the skipped-
generation family household—in which an
older person or couple resides with at least one
grandchild but no middle-generation family
members—has become increasingly common
because of high mortality from HIV/AIDS.
In Zambia, for example, 30 percent of older
women head such households. In developed
countries, couples and single mothers often
delay childbearing until their 30s and 40s,
households increasingly have both adults
working, and more children are being raised in
single-parent households.
The number, and often the percentage, of older
people living alone is rising in most countries.
In some European countries, more than 40
percent of women aged 65 or older live alone.
Even in societies with strong traditions of older
parents living with children, such as in Japan,
traditional living arrangements are becoming
less common (Figure 14).
In the past, living alone in older age often
was equated with social isolation or family
abandonment. However, research in many
cultural settings shows that older people prefer
to be in their own homes and communities,
even if that means living alone. This preference
is reinforced by greater longevity, expanded
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friendly housing, and an emphasis in many
nations on community care.
The ultimate impact of these changing family
patterns on health is unknown. Older people
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sharing goods that might be available in a larger
family, and the risk of falling into poverty in
older age may increase as family size falls. On
the other hand, older people are also a resource
for younger generations, and their absence may
create an additional burden for younger family
members.
Changing Role of the Family
23
Long-Term Care
Many of the oldest-old lose their ability to live
independently because of limited mobility,
frailty, or other declines in physical or cognitive
functioning. Many require some form of long-
term care, which can include home nursing,
community care and assisted living, residential
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costs associated with providing this support
may need to be borne by families and society.
In less developed countries that do not have
an established and affordable long-term care
infrastructure, this cost may take the form
of other family members withdrawing from
employment or school to care for older relatives.
And, as more developing country residents seek
jobs in cities or other areas, their older relatives
back home will have less access to informal
family care.
The future need for long-term care services
(both formal and informal) will largely be
determined by changes in the absolute number
of people in the oldest age groups coupled with
trends in disability rates. Given the increases in
life expectancy and the sheer numeric growth
of older populations, demographic momentum
will likely raise the demand for care. This
growth could, however, be alleviated by declines
in disability among older people. Further, the
narrowing gap between female and male life
expectancy reduces widowhood and could mean
a higher potential supply of informal care by
older spouses. The great opportunity for public
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century is to keep older people healthy longer,
delaying or avoiding disability and dependence.
Figure 14.
Living Arrangements of People Aged 65 and Over in Japan:
1960 to 2005
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arrangements.
Sources: Japan National Institute of Population and Social
Security Research. Population
Statistics of Japan 2008.
Available at: http://www.ipss.go.jp/p-info/e/psj2008/PSJ2008-
07.xls.
Changing Role of the Family
24 Global Health and Aging
Q����
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booklet underscore the value of cross-national
data for research and policy. International
and multi-country data help governments and
policymakers better understand the broader
implications and consequences of aging,
learn from the experiences in other countries,
including those with different health care
systems and at a different point along the aging
and development continuum, and facilitate the
crafting of appropriate policies, especially in the
developing world.
Valuable new information is coming from
nationally representative surveys, often panel
studies that follow the same group of people
as they age. The U.S. Health and Retirement
Study (HRS), begun in 1990, has painted a
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retirement, income and wealth, and family
characteristics and intergenerational transfers.
In recent years, other nations have used the
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similar large-scale, longitudinal studies
of their own populations. Several parallel
studies have been established throughout the
world, including in China, England, India,
Ireland, Japan, Korea, and Mexico, with more
planned in other countries such as Thailand
and Brazil. In addition, coordinated multi-
country panel studies are effectively building
an infrastructure of comprehensive and
comparable data on households and individuals
to understand individual and societal aging.
The Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement
�
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as of 2010 (Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic,
Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland,
Israel, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain,
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Organization (WHO) Study on global AGEing
and adult health (SAGE) in six countries
(China, Ghana, India, Mexico, Russian
Federation, and South Africa) greatly expand
the number of countries by which informative
comparisons can be made of the impact of
policies and interventions on trends in aging,
health, and retirement. A key aspect of this
new international community of researchers is
that data are shared very soon after collected
with all researchers in all countries.
Many other cross-national aging-related
datasets and initiatives offer comparable
demographic indicators that reveal historical
trends and offer projections to help
international organizations and governments,
planners, and businesses make informed
decisions. These sources include, for example,
the International Database on Aging, involving
227 countries; the International Network for
the Demographic Evaluation of Populations
and Their Health (INDEPTH), involving 19
developing nations; the Human Mortality
Database, involving 28 countries; and the
2006 Global Burden of Disease and Risk
Factors initiative, which is strengthening
the methodological and empirical basis for
undertaking comparative assessments of
health problems and their determinants and
consequences in aging population worldwide.
A Note About the Data Behind This Report
25
Suggested Resources
Readings
Abegunde DO, Mathers CD, Adam T, Ortegon M, Strong K. The
burden and costs of chronic
diseases in low-income and middle-income countries. The
Lancet 2007 (December 8); 370:1929-1938.
Avendano M, Glymour MM, Banks J, Mackenbach JP. Health
disadvantage in US adults aged 50 to
74 years: A comparison of the health of rich and poor
Americans with that of Europeans. American
Journal of Public Health 2009: 99/3:540-548.
��
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���������
������
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���
�
England. JAMA 2006 (May 3); 295/17:2037-2045.
Chatterji S, Kowal P, Mathers C, Naidoo N, Verdes E, Smith JP,
Suzman R. The health of aging
populations in China and India. Health Affairs 2008; 27/4:1052-
1063.
Christensen K, Doblhammer G, Rau R, Vaupel JW. Ageing
populations: The challenges ahead.
The Lancet 2009; 374/9696:1196-1208.
Crimmins EM, Preston SH, Cohen B., eds. International
Differences in Mortality at Older Ages.
Dimensions and Sources. Washington, DC: The National
Academies Press, 2010.
European Commission. 2009 Ageing Report: Economic and
Budgetary Projections for the
EU-27 Member States (2008-2060). Brussels: European
Communities, 2009.
Available at:
http://www.da.dk/bilag/publication14992_ageing_report.pdf.
Kinsella K, He W. An Aging World: 2008. Washington, DC:
National Institute on Aging and U.S.
Census Bureau, 2009.
Lafortune G, Balestat G. Trends in Severe Disability Among
Elderly People. Assessing the Evidence
in 12 OECD Countries and the Future Implications. OECD
Health Working Papers 26. Paris:
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,
2007.
Lopez AD, Mathers CD, Ezzati M, Jamison DT, Murray CJL,
eds. Global Burden of Disease and Risk
Factors. Washington, DC: The World Bank Group, 2006.
National Institute on Aging. Growing Older in America: The
Health and Retirement Study.
Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Health and Human
Services, 2007.
Oxley, H. Policies for Healthy Ageing: An. Overview. OECD
Health Working Papers 42. Paris:
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,
2009.
Plassman BL, Langa KM, Fisher GG, Heeringa SG, Weir DR,
Ofstedal MB, Burke JR, Hurd MD,
Potter GG, Rodgers WL, Steffens DC, Willis RJ, and Wallace
RB. Prevalence of dementia in the
United States: The aging, demographics, and memory study.
Neuroepidemiology 2007; 29:125-132.
Rohwedder S, Willis RJ. Mental retirement. Journal of
Economic Perspectives 2010 Winter; 24/1:
119-138.
Zeng Y, G Danan, Land KC. The association of childhood
socioeconomic conditions with healthy
longevity at the oldest old ages in China. Demography, 2007;
44/3:497-518.
Suggested Resources
26 Global Health and Aging
Web Resources
English Longitudinal Study of Ageing
http://www.ifs.org.uk/elsa/
European Statistical System (EUROSTAT)
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu
Health and Retirement Study
http://hrsonline.isr.umich.edu/
Human Mortality Database
http://www.mortality.org/
International Network on Health Expectancy and the Disability
Process
http://reves.site.ined.fr/en
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
Health Data 2010: Statistics and Indicators
http://www.oecd.org/health/healthdata (may require a fee)
Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe
http://www.share-project.org/
United Nations. World Population Prospects: The 2010
Revision.
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp
U.S. Census Bureau International Data Base
http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/
U.S. National Institute on Aging
http://www.nia.nih.gov/
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http://www.alz.co.uk/research/worldreport/
World Health Organization. Projections of Mortality and
Burden of Disease, 2004-2030.
http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/projection
s/en/index.html.
World Health Organization Study on global AGEing and adult
health (SAGE)
http://www.who.int/healthinfo/systems/sage/en/
27
Funding for the development of this publication was provided
by the National Institute on Aging (NIA), National
Institutes of Health (NIH) (HHSN263200700991P).
Participation by the NIA in support of this publication does not
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The designations employed and the presentation of the material
in this publication do not imply the expression of any
opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health
Organization concerning the legal status of any country,
territory, city
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recommended by the World Health Organization in preference
to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned.
Errors and omissions excepted, the names of proprietary
products are distinguished by initial capital letters.
All reasonable precautions have been taken by the World Health
Organization to verify the information contained in
this publication. However, the published material is being
distributed without warranty of any kind, either expressed or
implied. The responsibility for the interpretation and use of the
material lies with the reader. In no event shall the World
Health Organization be liable for damages arising from its use.
National Institute on Aging
National Institutes of Health
NIH Publication no. 11-7737
October 2011
Discussion: Leadership Map
The Reeves reading contains several useful resources for
school leaders as appendices. Create your own leadership map
using Appendix B (see also Chapter 8). After you’re done, write
a discussion post that responds to the questions below:
· Which quadrant of the Leadership for Learning Framework
contains most of your plotted points?
· What are the specific points that are in this most populated
quadrant?
· What adjustments can you make to get more of your plotted
points into the leading quadrant?
Instructions: Life Review Paper
(250 points Total: Proposal/ Script 30 points + Final Paper 220
points)
A Life review is a naturally occurring, universal process
consisting of reminiscence, thinking about
oneself, and a reconsideration of previous life experiences and
their meaning. You will be doing a Life
Review on an older adult (65 years or older), by interviewing
them. This Life Review assignment can
be done with a family member, a loved one, a friend etc. DO
NOT ASK SOMEONE YOU DO NOT
TRUST, I DO NOT WANT YOU UNCOMFORTABLE OR IN A
COMPRIMISING SITUATION.
Ultimately, I would love for you to interview someone you have
a connection with and someone you
would like to know more about (as long as they are 62+). If
finding an older adult is an issue for you,
please email me by 12/31/19 ([email protected]) so we may
figure something out for you. If
you do not let me know by 12/31/19, I will assume you have
someone you can interview and are moving
along with the assignment.
The “Life Review Paper” will have two submissions:
1. Proposal / Script (Due by 11pm, on 1/3/20)
2. Final Life Review Paper (Due by 11pm, on 1/17/20)
Format and Submission:
Submissions will be made via Dropbox on BeachBoard. The
Final Life Review Paper should
be 6-9 pages long (do not exceed 9 pages) and are due on the
dates stated above. These submissions
must be typed in Times New Roman, size 12 font, double
spaced, and in APA (6th ed.) format with in-text
citations and include a Title Page, Abstract, and Reference Page
(Title, Abstract and Reference pages are
not included in total page count). I will accept late papers;
however, you will be penalized 7 points for
each day it is late (unless you have an excused absence and
provide documentation of the situation (such
as doctors note, family issue, jury duty etc.), in which case,
keep me in the loop.
Grading:
Use the assignment guidelines below to compose an A+ paper,
if you include the necessary
components of this paper in APA format, you will do just fine �
The Point Scale is as follows:
Proposal / Script (2-3 pages): 30 points
Final Life Review Paper (6-9 pages): 220 overall points
distributed as following:
Interview: 100 points
Application of Theory: 60 points
Reflection: 40 points
Paper organization, grammar, spelling, APA, etc.: 20 points
Background Information for our Life Review Paper – Why this
paper is important for our class?
Life review, as described by Robert Butler, is a naturally
occurring, universal mental process
prompted by the realization of a foreshortened life expectancy.
It potentially proceeds toward a
reorganization of the self, including the achievement of such
characteristics as wisdom and serenity in the
aged. The process consists of reminiscence, thinking about
oneself, and a reconsideration of previous life
experiences and their meaning. The task of a life review is to
evaluate one’s life and accomplishments
and to accept the whole, both the good and the difficulties, as
all necessarily a part of one’s own
individual life. This sense of embracing life confirms that one’s
story has been “a meaningful adventure
in history.”
The life review process takes place gradually over a period of
years for the older person and an
interested other person usually assist the older adult by taking
an oral history. The history can be taken
over a period of several sessions and may be tape recorded
(when consented to). The results are life long-
lasting memories, which may be given to the older adult or their
family members and kept as a keepsake
and shared with younger family members.
Reference: "Life Review." Encyclopedia of Aging. Retrieved
March 15, 2018 from
Encyclopedia.com:
http://www.encyclopedia.com/education/encyclopedias-
almanacs-transcripts-
and-maps/life-review
Instructions on how to conceptualize / write your Life Review
Paper:
Proposal/ Script (30 points, Due 1/3/20, by 11pm):
Prior to writing your Final Life Review Paper, you will need to
complete and submit (via
Dropbox) the “Proposal / Script”. This submission will be
graded, and feedback will be provided shortly
after submission. Only after this submission is graded and you
receive feedback, should you start working
on your interview/ paper.
Proposal (1 page): First you are required to submit a proposal of
how you will complete this
assignment. Compose 1 page on what you know about this
person and what you hope to know or
understand about this person. In addition, the Proposal should
answer the following questions:
any other
demographic information you would like to include).
ill this interview take place? (Describe the setting,
date and time if you
have that information)
ncerns and what are you looking forward to
in completing this
assignment?
experiencing and why?
(acquaint yourself with the theories prior to the actual interview
so you are
prepared to assimilate the theory with the older adult. The
theories are listed
below.)
The Script: After your proposal, you will need to come up with
a series of questions (script) that
you will want to ask the older adult you are interviewing. These
questions should cover the history of the
person’s life and capture the essence of who they are. These
questions should also help you assess the
older adult using a theory model (possible theories below).
While developing the questions, please have
in mind the theoretical approach you will use to assess the older
adult.
There is not a specific number of questions you should come up
with, however, a good set of
questions for a paper of this caliber will round to an average
about 15 questions. The questions should be
derived from our course concepts such as chronic disease,
biology of aging, love and intimacy, social
interactions, living arrangements, economic security, productive
aging, retirement, death and dying, etc.
Please stay respectful of any topic your interviewee does not
want to discuss. In writing this paper,
think of yourself as a qualitative researcher. Meaning, in this
process you have the chance to
design your research study, conduct your own case study, and
later discuss its results. Your
Proposal / Script is the first step to designing your case research
study!
http://www.encyclopedia.com/education/encyclopedias-
almanacs-transcripts-and-maps/life-review
http://www.encyclopedia.com/education/encyclopedias-
almanacs-transcripts-and-maps/life-review
Final Life Review Paper (220 points, Due 1/17/20, by 11pm):
This is the final submission of this paper and must include The
Interview (including the setting
portion of your proposal), Theory Application, and Reflection.
The Interview (4-6 pages): Please include the highlights from
the “setting” portion of your
Proposal with this portion of the paper, as you are telling the
story of the life of an older adult, you want
to give the reader a good amount of detail of their background.
This section is written in paragraph format
in descriptive writing form (example is provided on page below,
along with recommendations for the
interview).
Application of Theory (1-2 pages): This portion allows you to
coin learned course material to
your interview. In this section, incorporate what you learned in
class, into this interview. Please state and
define the theoretical approach(s) you are using to analyze the
interviewee. It is a good idea to describe
the older adult’s wellness and capabilities at the time of
interview. Show your understanding of course
concepts’ in your application to the interviewee. Three citations
necessary (any material presented in
this course can be used), don’t forget: whenever you cite a
source you need to give the appropriate
APA reference.
Reflection (1 page): Reflect on what you learned from this
assignment. Address elements not
only learned from the older adult, but also the interview
processes and application of course concepts.
Moreover, state what you learned from this writing process.
Describe what you would have done different
through this process and explain why. Also, briefly describe
your own personal reactions associated with
one’s own aging process.
Possible Theories of Aging to use for your paper, please refer to
your text and outside sources for more
theories and or detailed information on these theories (pick at
least 1):
-Clock Theory
eory
-and-Tear Theory
-we-have-lost Syndrome
Recommendations on how to conduct your interview
Begin by briefly expressing your interest in learning about the
life of the older adult’s life and set
an appointment for a convenient time and place where the
interview will take place. Explain that you will
use this interview as a class assignment and ask for permission
from the older adult at this time to share
the interview with your professor/class (you do not need to
mention real names in your paper if you do
not want to). Interview your subject in a quiet location. With
permission, you can use a recorder device to
register the interview process and your subject’s answers. By
recording the interview rather than taking
notes, it will give you the chance to focus on other types of
communication, such as body language, facial
expression, etc. which will help with your descriptive skills
while writing your paper. Make sure the older
adult is comfortable and is seated in a position to be heard (you
could also maintain eye contact if in the
elder’s cultural background eye contact is a form of being
polite.) Allow adequate time for the interview
but do not prolong more than two sessions.
After conducting the interview, you will then write up the
questions and answers to the interview
in paragraph format. When writing up the interview be as
descriptive as possible. You must use critical
thinking skills to make the experience flow and you want to
allow the reader to feel as if they experienced
the interview for themselves. Thus, do not just simply state I
asked her if she was married and she replied
her husband died 7 years ago. Instead describe the reactions and
report in descriptive detail.
>Example of Descriptive Detail Writing:
As we sat near the window a cool breeze came in the room, she
grabbed her blanket around her
shoulder and pulled it tightly to warm herself. I asked Mrs.
Hudson if she had ever been married, adding
a smile to soften the question. She replied: “I was married for
42 years to the love of my life, Charles”.
She paused, it seemed for an eternity, and then continued, “…
he passed away 7 years ago, and I think of
him each day. Be sure to use descriptive words and transitions
to make this portion of the paper flow.
A final note:
This is not only a writing assignment. It is also designed to give
you experience with
interviewing, work and learn from an older adult and expand on
your writing skills. Give it your best
effort, and you will learn something valuable by listening to a
real-life story. The Life Review Interview
should present a full picture of your subject’s life. Details help.
To accomplish this, you will need to be an
engaged listener, involving yourself in the person’s story, and
not just completing a class assignment.
You may need to interview the person twice, going back for
more detailed answers in areas that interest
you. At times, you may need to rephrase some of the questions
to make them better understood.
You may need to prompt the older adult, using such phrases as
“tell me more,” “I think I understand, you
were…” etc. Do not force the person to go into detail on a
particular topic if he/she is really
uncomfortable! Allow the interviewee to talk about what
interests him/her but, move him/her along so
you can have a story that covers the whole life. You can get the
interview moving along by saying things
like, “I would like to hear more on that later if we have time.
Now, I’d like to ask you about…”
I am here to help, so please do not hesitate to reach out to me if
you have any questions.
Final Life Review Paper (6-8 pages): 220 overall points:
s, 4-6 pages): Highlights from the
“setting” portion of your
Proposal, detail of their background, Descriptive paragraph
form interview.
-2 pages): Displayed
leaned course material, Stated
and defined the theoretical approach(s) you used to analyze the
interviewee. At least three
citations in APA format.
from this assignment.
Described what you would have done different through this
process with explanation.
Brief description of your own personal reactions associated with
one’s own aging
process.
-8
pages), grammar, spelling,
APA (title page, abstract, in text citations and reference page):
20 points

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National Institute on AgingNational Institutes of HealthU..docx

  • 1. National Institute on Aging National Institutes of Health U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Global Health and Aging 2 Global Health and AgingPhoto credits front cover, left to right (Dreamstime.com): Djembe; Sergey Galushko; Laurin Rinder; Indianeye; Magomed Magomedagaev; and Antonella865. 3 Preface Overview Humanity’s Aging Living Longer New Disease Patterns Longer Lives and Disability New Data on Aging and Health Assessing the Cost of Aging and Health Care
  • 2. Health and Work Changing Role of the Family Suggested Resources Contents Rose Maria Li 1 2 4 6 9 12 16 18 20 22 25
  • 3. 4 Global Health and Aging 5 Preface The world is facing a situation without precedent: We soon will have more older people than children and more people at extreme old age than ever before. As both the proportion of older people and the length of life increase throughout the world, key questions arise. Will population aging be accompanied by a longer period of good health, a sustained sense of well-being, and extended periods of social engagement and productivity, or will it be associated with more illness, disability, and dependency? How will aging affect health care and social costs? Are these futures inevitable, or can we act to establish a physical and social infrastructure that might foster better health and wellbeing in older age? How will population aging play out differently for low-income countries that will age faster than their counterparts have, but before they become industrialized and wealthy? This brief report attempts to address some of these questions. Above all, it emphasizes the central role that health will play moving forward. A better understanding of the changing relationship between health with age is crucial if we are to create a future that takes full advantage of the powerful resource inherent in older populations. To do so, nations must develop appropriate
  • 4. data systems and research capacity to monitor and understand these patterns and relationships, �������� � � ������ � ��������������� ��������������������� ����������� ����������������� ��� �� well-being. And research needs to be better coordinated if we are to discover the most cost-effective ways to maintain healthful life styles and everyday functioning in countries at different stages of economic development and with varying resources. Global efforts are required to understand and � ������������� ���������� ������������� ������������������ ����������� ������ � �� �������� ��� �� existing knowledge about the prevention and treatment of heart disease, stroke, diabetes, and cancer. Managing population aging also requires building needed infrastructure and institutions as soon as possible. The longer we delay, the more costly and less effective the solutions are likely to be. Population aging is a powerful and transforming demographic force. We are only just beginning
  • 5. to comprehend its impacts at the national and global levels. As we prepare for a new demographic reality, we hope this report raises awareness not only about the critical link between global health and aging, but also about the importance of rigorous and coordinated research to close gaps in our knowledge and the need for action based on evidence-based policies. Richard Suzman, PhD Director, Division of Behavioral and Social Research National Institute on Aging National Institutes of Health 1 John Beard, MBBS, PhD Director, Department of Ageing and Life Course World Health Organization Preface 2 Global Health and Aging Figure 1. Young Children and Older People as a Percentage of Global Population: 1950-2050 Source: United Nations. World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. Available at: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp. Overview The world is on the brink of a demographic
  • 6. milestone. Since the beginning of recorded history, young children have outnumbered ������� ������� ����������� ��������������������� the number of people aged 65 or older will outnumber children under age 5. Driven by falling fertility rates and remarkable increases in life expectancy, population aging will continue, even accelerate (Figure 1). The number of people aged 65 or older is projected to grow from an estimated 524 million in 2010 to nearly 1.5 billion in 2050, with most of the increase in developing countries. The remarkable improvements in life expectancy over the past century were part of a shift in the leading causes of disease and death. At the dawn of the 20th century, the major health threats were infectious and parasitic diseases that most often claimed the lives of infants and children. Currently, noncommunicable diseases that more commonly affect adults and older people impose the greatest burden on global health. � ����� ������� ��� ����� ������������������ � chronic noncommunicable diseases such as ����������������� ������ �������������!�����
  • 7. changes in lifestyle and diet, as well as aging. The potential economic and societal costs of noncommunicable diseases of this type rise sharply with age and have the ability to affect economic growth. A World Health Organization analysis in 23 low- and middle-income countries estimated the economic losses from three noncommunicable diseases (heart disease, 3 stroke, and diabetes) in these countries would total US$83 billion between 2006 and 2015. Reducing severe disability from disease and health conditions is one key to holding down health and social costs. The health and economic burden of disability also can be reinforced or alleviated by environmental characteristics that can determine whether an older person can remain independent despite physical limitations. The longer people can remain mobile and care for themselves, the lower are the costs for long-term care to families and society. Because many adult and older-age health problems were rooted in early life experiences and living conditions, ensuring good child ��� ����� � �� ���� ���������� �������� ��� In the meantime, generations of children
  • 8. and young adults who grew up in poverty and ill health in developing countries will be entering old age in coming decades, potentially increasing the health burden of older populations in those countries. With continuing declines in death rates among older people, the proportion aged 80 or older is rising quickly, and more people are living past 100. The limits to life expectancy and lifespan are not as obvious as once thought. And there is mounting evidence from cross- national data that—with appropriate policies and programs—people can remain healthy and independent well into old age and can continue to contribute to their communities and families. The potential for an active, healthy old age is tempered by one of the most daunting and potentially costly consequences of ever-longer life expectancies: the increase in people with ���� ������������ �� �������������������"���� dementia patients eventually need constant care and help with the most basic activities of daily living, creating a heavy economic and social burden. Prevalence of dementia rises sharply with age. An estimated 25-30 percent of people aged 85 or older have dementia. Unless new and more effective interventions ������� ������������������� ��� ���������� disease, prevalence is expected to rise
  • 9. dramatically with the aging of the population in the United States and worldwide. Aging is taking place alongside other broad social trends that will affect the lives of older people. Economies are globalizing, people are more likely to live in cities, and technology is evolving rapidly. Demographic and family changes mean there will be fewer older people with families to care for them. People today have fewer children, are less likely to be married, and are less likely to live with older generations. With declining support from families, society will need better information and tools to ensure the well-being of the ��� ��������� �� �������� �� ���������� �� D un da ni m | D re am st im
  • 10. e. co m Overview 4 Global Health and Aging Humanity’s Aging In 2010, an estimated 524 million people were �����#%����� ���&'������ ���� �������� ���� population. By 2050, this number is expected to nearly triple to about 1.5 billion, representing *#������ ���� �������� �������� ���� ��� ������� more developed countries have the oldest ���� ���� ����� ���������������+���� ��� � older people—and the most rapidly aging populations—are in less developed countries. Between 2010 and 2050, the number of older people in less developed countries is projected to increase more than 250 percent, compared with a 71 percent increase in developed countries. This remarkable phenomenon is being driven by declines in fertility and improvements in longevity. With fewer children entering the population and people living longer, older people are making up an increasing share of the
  • 11. total population. In more developed countries, fertility fell below the replacement rate of two live births per woman by the 1970s, down from nearly three children per woman around 1950. Even more crucial for population aging, fertility fell with surprising speed in many less developed countries from an average of six children in 1950 to an average of two or three children in 2005. In 2006, fertility was at or below the two-child replacement level in 44 less developed countries. Most developed nations have had decades to adjust to their changing age structures. It took �������� �*//� ��������������������� �;�� ����� population aged 65 or older to rise from 7 percent to 14 percent. In contrast, many less developed countries are experiencing a rapid increase in the number and percentage of older people, often within a single generation (Figure 2). For example, the same demographic aging that unfolded over more than a century in France will occur in just two decades in Brazil. Developing countries will need to adapt quickly to this new reality. Many less developed nations Figure 2. The Speed of Population Aging Time required or expected for percentage of population aged 65 and over to rise from 7 percent to 14 percent
  • 12. Source: Kinsella K, He W. An Aging World: 2008. Washington, DC: National Institute on Aging and U.S. Census Bureau, 2009. 5 �� � ���� ����� ������������ ���������� � ��� � security of older people, and that provide the health and social care they need, without the same extended period of economic growth experienced by aging societies in the West. In other words, some countries may grow old before they grow rich. In some countries, the sheer number of people entering older ages will challenge national infrastructures, particularly health systems. This numeric surge in older people is ��������� �� ���������� �������� ������������� populous countries: China and India (Figure 3). <�� ����� �������� ���� �=����������������#%�=� will likely swell to 330 million by 2050 from 110 �� �� ����� ���
  • 13. ����������� ��� �������� ���� � of 60 million is projected to exceed 227 million in 2050, an increase of nearly 280 percent from today. By the middle of this century, there could be 100 million Chinese over the age of 80. This is an amazing achievement considering that there were fewer than 14 million people this age on the entire planet just a century ago. Figure 3. Growth of the Population Aged 65 and Older in India and China: 2010-2050 Source: United Nations. World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. Available at: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp. C ry st al C ra ig | D re am
  • 14. st im e. co m Humanity’s Aging 6 Global Health and Aging Living Longer The dramatic increase in average life expectancy during the 20th century ranks as one of ������ ��������������������� ����� ������������ babies born in 1900 did not live past age 50, life expectancy at birth now exceeds 83 years in Japan—the current leader—and is at least 81 years in several other countries. Less developed regions of the world have experienced a steady increase in life expectancy since World War II, although not all regions have shared in these improvements. (One notable exception is the fall in life expectancy in many parts of Africa because of deaths caused by the HIV/ AIDS epidemic.) The most dramatic and rapid gains have occurred in East Asia, where life expectancy at birth increased from less than 45 years in 1950 to more than 74 years today.
  • 15. These improvements are part of a major transition in human health spreading around the globe at different rates and along different pathways. This transition encompasses a broad set of changes that include a decline from high to low fertility; a steady increase in life expectancy at birth and at older ages; and a shift in the leading causes of death and illness from infectious and parasitic diseases to noncommunicable diseases and chronic conditions. In early nonindustrial societies, the risk of death was high at every age, and only a small proportion of people reached old age. In modern societies, most people live past middle age, and deaths are highly concentrated at older ages. The victories against infectious and parasitic diseases are a triumph for public health projects of the 20th century, which immunized millions of people against smallpox, polio, and major childhood killers like measles. Even earlier, better living standards, especially more nutritious diets and cleaner drinking water, began to reduce serious infections and prevent deaths among children. More children were surviving their vulnerable early years and reaching adulthood. In fact, more than 60 percent of the improvement in female life expectancy at birth in developed countries between 1850 and 1900 occurred because more children were living to age 15, not because more ��� �������������� ��� ������������� ����
  • 16. �� � the 20th century that mortality rates began to decline within the older ages. Research for more recent periods shows a surprising and continuing improvement in life expectancy among those aged 80 or above. The progressive increase in survival in these oldest age groups was not anticipated by demographers, and it raises questions about how high the average life expectancy can realistically rise and about the potential length of the human lifespan. While some experts assume that life expectancy must be approaching an upper limit, Be rn a N am og lu | D re am st im e. co
  • 17. m 7 Figure 4. Female Life Expectancy in Developed Countries: 1840-2009 Source: Highest reported life expectancy for the years 1840 to 2000 from online supplementary material to Oeppen J, Vaupel JW. Broken limits to life expectancy. Science 2002; 296:1029- 1031. All other data points from the Human Mortality Database (http://www.mortality.org) provided by Roland Rau (University of Rostock). Additional discussion can be found in Christensen K, Doblhammer G, Rau R, Vaupel JW. Aging populations: The challenges ahead. The Lancet 2009; 374/9696:1196-1208. Living Longer 8 Global Health and Aging data on life expectancies between 1840 and 2007 show a steady increase averaging about three months of life per year. The country with the highest average life expectancy has varied over time (Figure 4). In 1840 it was Sweden and today it is Japan—but the pattern is strikingly similar. So far there is little evidence that life expectancy has stopped rising even in Japan.
  • 18. The rising life expectancy within the older population itself is increasing the number and proportion of people at very old ages. The “oldest old” (people aged 85 or older) constitute '������ ���� �������� ����#%�� ����������� ���� K� 12 percent in more developed countries and 6 percent in less developed countries. In many countries, the oldest old are now the fastest growing part of the total population. On a Figure 5. Percentage Change in the World’s Population by Age: 2010- 2050 Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. Available at: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp. global level, the 85-and-over population is projected to increase 351 percent between 2010 and 2050, compared to a 188 percent increase for the population aged 65 or older and a 22 percent increase for the population under age 65 (Figure 5). The global number of centenarians is projected to increase 10-fold between 2010 and 2050. In the mid-1990s, some researchers estimated that, over the course of human history, the odds of living from birth to age 100 may have risen from 1 in 20,000,000 to 1 in 50 for females in low- mortality nations such as Japan and Sweden. Q������������ � �����
  • 19. ��� �� ���������� �������� than current projections assume—previous population projections often underestimated decreases in mortality rates among the oldest old. 9 The transition from high to low mortality and fertility that accompanied socioeconomic development has also meant a shift in the leading causes of disease and death. Demographers and epidemiologists describe this shift as part of an “epidemiologic transition” characterized by the waning of infectious and acute diseases and the emerging importance of chronic and degenerative diseases. High death rates from infectious diseases are commonly associated with the poverty, poor diets, and limited infrastructure found in developing countries. Although many developing countries still experience high child mortality from infectious and parasitic diseases, one of the major epidemiologic trends of the current century is the rise of chronic and degenerative diseases in countries throughout the world— regardless of income level. Evidence from the multicountry Global Burden of Disease project and other international
  • 20. epidemiologic research shows that health problems associated with wealthy and aged populations affect a wide and expanding swath of world population. Over the next 10 to 15 years, people in every world region will suffer more death and disability from such noncommunicable diseases as heart disease, cancer, and diabetes than from Figure 6. The Increasing Burden of Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases: 2008 and 2030 Source: World Health Organization, Projections of Mortality and Burden of Disease, 2004-2030. Available at: http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/projection s/en/index.html. New Disease Patterns New Disease Patterns 10 Global Health and Aging ������� ����� ��� ����������� ���������� � health problems in adulthood and old age stem from infections and health conditions early in life. Some researchers argue that important aspects of
  • 21. adult health are determined before birth, and that nourishment in utero and during infancy has a direct bearing on the development of risk factors for adult diseases—especially cardiovascular diseases. Early malnutrition in Latin America is highly correlated with self-reported diabetes, for example, and childhood rheumatic fever is a frequent cause of adult heart disease in developing countries. Research also shows that delayed physical growth in childhood reduces physical and cognitive functioning � � ����� ������X����� �<�� ����� ������ ������������ rarely or never suffering from serious illnesses or receiving adequate medical care during childhood results in a much lower risk of suffering cognitive impairments or physical limitations at ages 80 or older. Proving links between childhood health conditions and adult development and health is a complicated research challenge. Researchers rarely have the data necessary to separate the health effects of changes in living standards or environmental conditions ���� ��������� ��� ������������ ������������� ����� to his or her birth or childhood diseases. However, a Swedish study with excellent historical data concluded that reduced early exposure to infectious diseases was related to increases in life expectancy. A cross-national investigation of data from two
  • 22. surveys of older populations in Latin America and the Caribbean also found links between early conditions and later disability. The older people in the studies were born and grew up during times of generally poor nutrition and higher risk of exposure to infectious diseases. In the Puerto Rican survey, the probability of being disabled was more than 64 percent higher for people growing up in Lasting Importance of Childinfectious and parasitic diseases. The myth that noncommunicable diseases affect mainly ��!�� ��� ����������� ���� ����������� ���� � the project, which combines information about mortality and morbidity from every world region ������������������ ���� �������� �������������� diseases. The burden is measured by estimating the ������ ���� �� � ������� ���������������������������� based on detailed epidemiological information. In 2008, noncommunicable diseases accounted for an estimated 86 percent of the burden of disease in high-income countries, 65 percent in middle-income countries, and a surprising 37 percent in low-income countries. By 2030, noncommunicable diseases are projected to account for more than one-half of the disease burden in low-income countries and more than three-fourths in middle-income countries.
  • 23. Infectious and parasitic diseases will account for 30 percent and 10 percent, respectively, in low- and middle-income countries (Figure 6). Among the 60-and-over population, noncommunicable diseases already account for more than 87 percent of the burden in low-, middle-, and high-income countries. But the continuing health threats from communicable diseases for older people cannot be dismissed, either. Older people account for a growing share of the infectious disease burden in low-income countries. Infectious disease programs, including those for HIV/AIDS, often neglect older people and ignore the potential effects of population aging. Yet, antiretroviral therapy is enabling more people with HIV/AIDS to survive to older ages. And, there is growing evidence that older people are particularly susceptible to infectious diseases for a variety of reasons, including immunosenescence (the progressive deterioration of immune function with age) and frailty. Older people already suffering from one chronic or infectious disease are especially vulnerable to additional infectious diseases. For example, type 2 diabetes and tuberculosis are well- known “comorbid risk factors” that have serious health consequences for older people. 11 poor conditions than for people growing up in good conditions. A survey of seven urban centers in Latin America and the Caribbean found the probability of disability was 43 percent higher for those from
  • 24. disadvantaged backgrounds than for those from more favorable ones (Figure 7). If these links between early life and health at older ages can be established more directly, they may have ������� ���� ���� ����� ������ ������ �������� ����� countries. People now growing old in low- and middle- income countries are likely to have experienced more hood Health Figure 7. Probability of Being Disabled among Elderly in Seven Cities of Latin America and the Caribbean (2000) and Puerto Rico (2002-2003) by Early Life Conditions Source: Monteverde M, Norohna K, Palloni A. 2009. Effect of early conditions on disability among the elderly in Latin-America and the Caribbean. Population Studies 2009;63/1: 21-35. distress and disadvantage as children than their counterparts in the developed world, and studies such as those described above suggest that they are at much greater risk of health problems in older age, often from multiple noncommunicable diseases. Behavior and exposure to health risks during a ����� ������ �� ����� ����
  • 25. !�� ������ ���� �� ��������� Exposure to toxic substances at work or at home, arduous physical work, smoking, alcohol consumption, diet, and physical activity may have long-term health implications. New Disease Patterns 12 Global Health and Aging Are we living healthier as well as longer lives, or are our additional years spent in poor health? There is considerable debate about this question among researchers, and the answers have broad implications for the growing number of older people around the world. One way to examine the question is to look at changes in rates of disability, one measure of health and function. Some researchers think there will be a decrease in the prevalence of disability as life expectancy increases, termed a “compression of morbidity.” Others see an “expansion of morbidity”—an increase in the prevalence of disability as life expectancy increases. Yet others argue that, as advances in medicine slow the progression from chronic disease to disability, severe disability will lessen, but milder chronic diseases will increase. In the United States, between 1982 and 2001 severe disability fell about 25 percent among those aged 65 or older even as life expectancy increased. This very positive trend suggests that we can affect not only how long
  • 26. we live, but also how well we can function with advancing age. Unfortunately, this trend may not continue in part because of rising obesity among those now entering older ages. We have less information about disability in middle- and lower-income countries. With the rapid growth of older populations throughout the world—and the high costs of managing people with disabilities—continuing and better assessment of trends in disability in different countries will help researchers discover more about why there are such differences across countries. Some new international, longitudinal research designed to compare health across countries promises to provide new insights, moving forward. A 2006 analysis sponsored by the U.S. National Institute on Aging (NIA), part of the U.S. National Institutes of Health, found surprising health differences, for example, between non-Hispanic whites aged 55 to 64 in the United States and England. In general, people in higher socioeconomic levels have better health, but the study found that older adults in the United States were less healthy than their British counterparts at all socioeconomic levels. The health differences among these “young” older people were much greater than the gaps in life expectancy between the two countries. Because the analysis was limited to non- Z���� ���������������������� �������� �����!����
  • 27. the generally lower health status of blacks or Latinos. The analysis also found that differences in education and behavioral risk factors (such as smoking, obesity, and alcohol use) explained few of the health differences. This analysis subsequently included comparable NIA-funded surveys in 10 other European countries and was expanded to adults aged 50 to [��Q���� �� ������������ ��K�������� ���� ��� reported worse health than did European adults as indicated by the presence of chronic diseases and by measures of disability (Figure 8). At all levels of wealth, Americans were less healthy than their European counterparts. Analyses of the same data sources also showed that cognitive functioning declined further between ages 55 and 65 in countries where workers left the labor force at early ages, suggesting that engagement in work might help preserve cognitive functioning. Subsequent analyses of these and other studies should shed more light on these national differences and similarities and should help guide �� ������������������������� ������� ������� Longer Lives and Disability 13 Source: Adapted from Avendano M, Glymour MM, Banks J,
  • 28. Mackenbach JP. Health disadvan- tage in US adults aged 50 to 74 years: A comparison of the health of rich and poor Americans with that of Europeans. American Journal of Public Health 2009; 99/3:540-548, using data from the Health and Retirement Study, the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, and the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. Please see original source for additional information. Figure 8. Prevalence of Chronic Disease and Disability among Men and Women Aged 50-74 Years in the United States, England, and Europe: 2004 Longer Lives and Disability 14 Global Health and Aging The Burden of Dementia The cause of most dementia is unknown, but the � � ���������� ������������������ ���� ���� ������ � memory, reasoning, speech, and other cognitive functions. The risk of dementia increases sharply with age and, unless new strategies for prevention and management are developed, this syndrome is expected to place growing demands on health � �� � ��������������������������������
  • 29. ���� population ages. Dementia prevalence estimates vary considerably internationally, in part because diagnoses and reporting systems are not standardized. The disease is not easy to diagnose, especially in its early stages. The memory problems, misunderstandings, and behavior common in the early and intermediate stages are often attributed to normal effects of aging, accepted as personality traits, or simply ignored. Many cases remain undiagnosed even in the intermediate, more serious stages. A cross-national assessment conducted by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) estimated that dementia affected about 10 million people in OECD member countries around 2000, just under 7 percent of people aged 65 or older. � ������������������]�X^����������� ������� ���� form of dementia and accounted for between ����������� ��������������� �� ����� ���������� cited in the OECD report. More recent analyses have estimated the worldwide number of people living with AD/dementia at between 27 million and 36 million. The prevalence of AD and other dementias is very low at younger ages, then nearly ���� ������������ ����� ������� ��������������� 65. In the OECD review, for example, dementia affected fewer than 3 percent of those aged 65 to
  • 30. 69, but almost 30 percent of those aged 85 to 89. More than one-half of women aged 90 or older had dementia in France and Germany, as did about 40 percent in the United States, and just under 30 percent in Spain. The projected costs of caring for the growing numbers of people with dementia are daunting. Q���_/*/� �̀� ��� ��������{������� �� ���������� Disease International estimates that the total worldwide cost of dementia exceeded US$600 billion in 2010, including informal care provided by family and others, social care provided by community care professionals, and direct costs of medical care. Family members often play a key caregiving role, especially in the initial stages of what is typically a slow decline. Ten years ago, U.S. researchers estimated that the annual cost of informal caregiving for dementia in the United States was US$18 billion. The complexity of the disease and the wide ������ ��� � ��� ������ ���� ����� ���������� ������ people and families dealing with dementia, and ��� ���������������������������� �� ��� �
  • 31. ��� � and social impact. The challenge is even greater in the less developed world, where an estimated two-thirds or more of dementia sufferers live but where few coping resources are available. |��+����� ��� �� ����������X�������� ��� ���� � � suggest that 115 million people worldwide will be living with AD/dementia in 2050, with a markedly increasing proportion of this total in less developed countries (Figure 9). Global efforts ����� ����� ����� ������ ��� ��� ����������� ways of preventing such age-related diseases as � ���������� V ie st ur s K al va
  • 32. ns | D re am st im e. co m 15 Source: Alzheimer’s Disease International, World Alzheimer Report, 2010. Available at: ����������� ��� �������� ����� ���� � �� ���������� ����������� Figure 9. The Growth of Numbers of People with Dementia in High- income Countries and Low- and Middle-income Countries: 2010-2050
  • 33. Longer Lives and Disability 16 Global Health and Aging The transition from high to low mortality and fertility—and the shift from communicable to noncommunicable diseases—occurred fairly recently in much of the world. Still, according to the World Health Organization (WHO), most countries have been slow to generate and use evidence to develop an effective health response to new disease patterns and aging populations. In light of this, the organization mounted a multicountry longitudinal study designed to simultaneously generate data, raise awareness of the health issues of older people, and inform public policies. The WHO Study on Global Ageing and Adult Health (SAGE) involves nationally representative cohorts of respondents aged 50 and over in six countries (China, Ghana, India, Mexico, Russia, and South Africa), who will be followed as they age. A cohort of respondents aged 18 to 49 also will be followed over time in each country for comparison. Q��������������� �}�~��������� ����� �]_//[�_/*/^� has been completed, with future waves planned for 2012 and 2014. In addition to myriad demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, the study collects
  • 34. data on risk factors, health exams, and biomarkers. Biomarkers such as blood pressure and pulse rate, height and weight, hip and waist circumference, � ��� ���������������� ������������������ ��� �� and objective measures that improve the precision of self-reported health in the survey. SAGE also collects data on grip strength and lung capacity New Data on Aging and Health Figure 10. Overall Health Status Score in Six Countries for Males and Females: Circa 2009 Notes: Health score ranges from 0 (worst health) to 100 (best health) and is a composite measure derived from 16 functioning questions using item response theory. National data collections con- ducted during the period 2007-2010. Source: Tabulations provided by the World Health Organization Multi-Country Studies Unit, Geneva, based on data from the Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE). 17 Figure 11. Percentage of Adults with Three or More Major Risk Factors: Circa 2009 Notes: Major risk factors include physical inactivity, current
  • 35. tobacco use, heavy alcohol consump- tion, a high-risk waist-hip ratio, hypertension, and obesity. National data collections conducted during the period 2007-2010. Source: Tabulations provided by the World Health Organization Multi-Country Studies Unit, Geneva, based on data from the Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE). 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Age Group and administers tests of cognition, vision, and mobility to produce objective indicators of ����� �� ������� ���� ����� �� �������� ����������� activities of daily living. As additional waves �� ������������ ����������
  • 36. ������������� �� ���� later years, the study will seek to monitor health � ����� ��� ��� ������������� ����� ������ �� ���� well-being. A primary objective of SAGE is to obtain reliable and valid data that allow for international comparisons. Researchers derive a composite measure from responses to 16 questions about health and physical limitations. This health score ranges from 0 (worst health) to 100 (best health) and is shown for men and women in each of the six SAGE countries in Figure 10. In each country, the health status score declines with age, as expected. And at each age in each country, the score for males is higher than for females. Women live longer than men on average, but have poorer health status. The number of disabled people in most developing countries seems certain to increase as the number of older people continues to rise. Health systems need better data to understand the health risks faced by older people and to target appropriate prevention and intervention services. The SAGE data show that the percentage of people with at least three of six health risk factors
  • 37. (physical inactivity, current tobacco use, heavy alcohol consumption, a high-risk waist-hip ratio, hypertension, or obesity) rises with age, but the patterns and the percentages vary by country (Figure 11). � ���� �}�~���� important contributions will be to assess �������������������������� ��������������� �� and future disability. Smaller family size and declining prevalence of co-residence by multiple generations likely will introduce further challenges for families in developing countries in caring for older relatives. New Data on Aging and Health 18 Global Health and Aging |��� ���� ���� ����� ��� ����� !�� ��������� �� of health care spending in both developed and developing countries in the decades to come. In developed countries, where acute care and institutional long-term care services are widely available, the use of medical care services by adults rises with age, and per capita expenditures on health care are relatively high among older age
  • 38. groups. Accordingly, the rising proportion of older people is placing upward pressure on overall health care spending in the developed world, although other factors such as income growth and advances in the technological capabilities of medicine generally play a much larger role. Relatively little is known about aging and health care costs in the developing world. Many developing nations are just now establishing baseline estimates of the prevalence and incidence of various diseases and conditions. � ���� �� �� ��� from the WHO SAGE project, which provides data on blood pressure among women in six developing countries, show an upward trend by age in the percentage of women with moderate or severe hypertension (see Figure 12), although the patterns � ����������������� ���� �� ����� ��� ���� ���� �� the countries. If rising hypertension rates in those populations are not adequately addressed, the resulting high rates of cerebrovascular and Assessing the Costs of Aging and Health Care Figure 12. Percentage of Women with Moderate or Severe Hypertension in
  • 39. Six Countries: Circa 2009 Note: National data collections conducted during the period 2007-2010. Source: Tabulations provided by the World Health Organization Multi-Country Studies Unit, Geneva, based on data from the Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE). 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Age Group 19 cardiovascular disease are likely to require costly medical treatments that might have been avoided with antihypertensive therapies costing just a few cents per day per patient. Early detection and effective management of risk factors such as hypertension—and other important conditions such as diabetes, which can greatly complicate the
  • 40. treatment of cardiovascular disease—in developing countries can be inexpensive and effective ways of controlling future health care costs. An important future payoff for data collection projects such as SAGE will be the ability to link changes in health status with health expenditures and other relevant variables for individuals and households. This will provide crucial evidence for policymakers designing health interventions. A large proportion of health care costs associated with advancing age are incurred in the year or so before death. As more people survive to increasingly older ages, the high cost of prolonging life is shifted to ever-older ages. In many societies, the nature and extent of medical treatment at very old ages is a contentious issue. However, data from the United States suggest that health care spending at the end of life is not increasing any more rapidly than health care spending in general. At the same time, governments and international organizations are stressing the need for cost-of-illness studies on age-related diseases, in part to anticipate the likely burden of increasingly prevalent and expensive ���� ����� ����� �&� ������������������� � particular. Also needed are studies of comparative performance or comparative effectiveness in low-income countries of various treatments and interventions. The Costs of Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer In high-income countries, heart disease, stroke,
  • 41. and cancer have long been the leading contributors to the overall disease burden. The burden from these and other chronic and noncommunicable diseases is increasing in middle- and low-income countries as well (Figure 6). To gauge the economic impact of shifting disease ���� ���� ����� ��� ����� ����������� �̀� ��Z�� ��� Organization (WHO) estimated the loss of economic output associated with chronic disease in 23 low- and middle-income nations, which together account for about 80 percent of the total chronic disease mortality in the developing world. The WHO analysis focused on a subset of leading chronic diseases: heart disease, stroke, and diabetes. In 2006, this subset of diseases incurred estimated economic losses ranging from US$20 million to US$30 million in Vietnam and Ethiopia, and up to nearly US$1 billion in China and India. Short-term projections (to 2015) indicate that losses will nearly double in most of the countries if no preventive actions are taken. The potential estimated loss in economic output for the 23 nations as a whole between 2006 and 2015 totaled US$84 billion. A recent analysis of global cancer trends by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) estimated that there were 13 million new cancer cases in 2009. The cost associated with these new cases was at least US$286 billion. These costs could escalate because
  • 42. of the silent epidemic of cancer in less well-off, resource-scarce regions as people live longer and adopt Western diets and lifestyles. The EIU analysis estimated that less developed countries accounted for 61 percent of the new cases in 2009. Largely because of global aging, the incidence of cancer is expected to accelerate in coming decades. The annual number of new cancer cases is projected to rise to 17 million by 2020, and reach 27 million by 2030. A growing proportion of the global total will be found in the less developed ��� ���� ��� �_/_/��� ������� � ��� �������� ���� ��� cases will occur in Asia. Assessing the Costs of Aging and Health Care 20 Global Health and Aging Health and Work In the developed world, older people often leave the formal workforce in their later years, although they may continue to contribute to society in many ways, including participating in the informal workforce, volunteering, or providing crucial help for their families. There is no physiologic reason that many older people cannot participate in the formal workforce, but the expectation that people will cease working when they reach a certain age has gained credence over the past century. Rising incomes,
  • 43. along with public and private pension systems, have allowed people to retire based on their age rather than any health-related problem. It is ironic that the age at retirement from the workforce has been dropping at the same time that life expectancy has been increasing. Older people today spend many years in retirement. In OECD countries, in 2007, the average man left the labor force before age 64 and could expect 18 years of retirement (Figure 13). The average woman stopped working at age 63 and looked forward to more than 22 years of retirement if they adopt similar concepts of retirement. Many high-income countries now want people to work for more years to slow escalating costs of pensions and health care for retirees, especially given smaller cohorts entering the labor force. Most middle- and low-income countries will face similar challenges. Other than the economic incentives of pensions, what would make people stay in the workforce longer? To start, misconceptions about older workers abound and perceptions may need to change. In addition to having acquired more knowledge and job skills through experience than younger workers, most older adults show intact learning and thinking, although there are some declines in cognitive function, most notably in the speed of information processing. Moreover, there is some evidence that staying in the labor force after age 55 is associated with slower loss of
  • 44. cognitive function, perhaps because of the stimulation of the workplace and related social engagement. Even physical abilities may not deteriorate as quickly as commonly assumed. Although relatively little is known about the relationship between age and productivity (which takes wages into account), one study of German assembly line workers in an automotive plant ��� ���������������������������������� ����� �� of workers increased until age 65. Whether older people spend more years in the labor market also will depend on the types of jobs available to them. Many jobs in industrialized countries do not require physical ������� ��������������������� ������� �� ���� worker, but they may necessitate acquiring new skills and retraining to adjust to changing work environments. Evidence is needed on the capacity of older workers, especially those with ����������� � ��� ����������������������� � ��� Older people with limited mobility or other ��� ������� ������ ��������������!���� �� schedules or adapted work environments. Considerations may need to be given to the value of building new approaches at work or
  • 45. institutions that will increase the ease with which older people can contribute outside of their families.Jos ef M ue lle k | D re am st im e. co m 21 Figure 13. Expected Years of Retirement for Men in Selected OECD Countries: 2007 Note: OECD average is for 30 OECD member nations. Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. OECD Society at a Glance 2009. Available at:
  • 46. http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/Retirement/LFEA. Health and Work 22 Global Health and Aging Familial support and caregiving among generations typically run in both directions. Older people often provide care for a variety of others (spouses, older parents, children, grandchildren, and nonfamily members), while families, and especially adult children, are the primary source of support and care for their older relatives. Most older people today have children, and many have grandchildren and living siblings. However, in countries with very low birth rates, future generations will have few if any siblings. The global trend toward having fewer children assures that there will be less potential care and support for older people from their families in the future. As life expectancy increases in most nations, so do the odds that several generations are alive at the same time. In more developed countries, this is manifested as a “beanpole family,” a vertical extension of family structure characterized by more but smaller generations. As mortality rates continue to improve, more people in their 50s and 60s are likely to have surviving parents, aunts, and uncles. Consequently, more children will know their grandparents and even their great-grandparents, especially their great- grandmothers. There is no historical precedent
  • 47. for a majority of middle-aged and older adults having living parents. However, while the number of surviving generations in a family may have increased, today these generations are more likely to live separately. In many countries, the shape of �������� �� �����!�������� �� ������� � ������ economic security; rising rates of migration, divorce, and remarriage; and blended and stepfamily relations. In addition, more adults are choosing not to marry or have children at all. In parts of sub-Saharan Africa, the skipped- generation family household—in which an older person or couple resides with at least one grandchild but no middle-generation family members—has become increasingly common because of high mortality from HIV/AIDS. In Zambia, for example, 30 percent of older women head such households. In developed countries, couples and single mothers often delay childbearing until their 30s and 40s, households increasingly have both adults working, and more children are being raised in single-parent households. The number, and often the percentage, of older people living alone is rising in most countries. In some European countries, more than 40 percent of women aged 65 or older live alone.
  • 48. Even in societies with strong traditions of older parents living with children, such as in Japan, traditional living arrangements are becoming less common (Figure 14). In the past, living alone in older age often was equated with social isolation or family abandonment. However, research in many cultural settings shows that older people prefer to be in their own homes and communities, even if that means living alone. This preference is reinforced by greater longevity, expanded ����� ��� ������� ��������������� ��������� ���� friendly housing, and an emphasis in many nations on community care. The ultimate impact of these changing family patterns on health is unknown. Older people ���� ����� � ������ ���� ��� ������ ��������� sharing goods that might be available in a larger family, and the risk of falling into poverty in older age may increase as family size falls. On the other hand, older people are also a resource for younger generations, and their absence may create an additional burden for younger family members. Changing Role of the Family
  • 49. 23 Long-Term Care Many of the oldest-old lose their ability to live independently because of limited mobility, frailty, or other declines in physical or cognitive functioning. Many require some form of long- term care, which can include home nursing, community care and assisted living, residential ������� �� � ����� �������� ���Q������ ���� �� costs associated with providing this support may need to be borne by families and society. In less developed countries that do not have an established and affordable long-term care infrastructure, this cost may take the form of other family members withdrawing from employment or school to care for older relatives. And, as more developing country residents seek jobs in cities or other areas, their older relatives back home will have less access to informal family care. The future need for long-term care services (both formal and informal) will largely be determined by changes in the absolute number of people in the oldest age groups coupled with trends in disability rates. Given the increases in life expectancy and the sheer numeric growth of older populations, demographic momentum
  • 50. will likely raise the demand for care. This growth could, however, be alleviated by declines in disability among older people. Further, the narrowing gap between female and male life expectancy reduces widowhood and could mean a higher potential supply of informal care by older spouses. The great opportunity for public ��� ������������� ������������ � ��� �����_*��� century is to keep older people healthy longer, delaying or avoiding disability and dependence. Figure 14. Living Arrangements of People Aged 65 and Over in Japan: 1960 to 2005 � ����!����"� #��� �$�"#��������� �%��"&��"� ������ �"��'���� ���� � �� �$�"#��"��"��������� arrangements. Sources: Japan National Institute of Population and Social Security Research. Population Statistics of Japan 2008. Available at: http://www.ipss.go.jp/p-info/e/psj2008/PSJ2008- 07.xls. Changing Role of the Family
  • 51. 24 Global Health and Aging Q���� �� ������� ����������������������� booklet underscore the value of cross-national data for research and policy. International and multi-country data help governments and policymakers better understand the broader implications and consequences of aging, learn from the experiences in other countries, including those with different health care systems and at a different point along the aging and development continuum, and facilitate the crafting of appropriate policies, especially in the developing world. Valuable new information is coming from nationally representative surveys, often panel studies that follow the same group of people as they age. The U.S. Health and Retirement Study (HRS), begun in 1990, has painted a ����� ������������� �� ������� ������� ���������� retirement, income and wealth, and family characteristics and intergenerational transfers. In recent years, other nations have used the Z{}�=������ �� ������ ��� ��������� �_/�///� ������� �����������%/�=���������� ������ �
  • 52. � �� similar large-scale, longitudinal studies of their own populations. Several parallel studies have been established throughout the world, including in China, England, India, Ireland, Japan, Korea, and Mexico, with more planned in other countries such as Thailand and Brazil. In addition, coordinated multi- country panel studies are effectively building an infrastructure of comprehensive and comparable data on households and individuals to understand individual and societal aging. The Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement � ��������]}Z�{�^�=�� �� �� ��*%���� ������ as of 2010 (Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Israel, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, }���� ��}������ � �^�=�� ������ �̀���Z�� ��� Organization (WHO) Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE) in six countries (China, Ghana, India, Mexico, Russian Federation, and South Africa) greatly expand the number of countries by which informative comparisons can be made of the impact of policies and interventions on trends in aging, health, and retirement. A key aspect of this
  • 53. new international community of researchers is that data are shared very soon after collected with all researchers in all countries. Many other cross-national aging-related datasets and initiatives offer comparable demographic indicators that reveal historical trends and offer projections to help international organizations and governments, planners, and businesses make informed decisions. These sources include, for example, the International Database on Aging, involving 227 countries; the International Network for the Demographic Evaluation of Populations and Their Health (INDEPTH), involving 19 developing nations; the Human Mortality Database, involving 28 countries; and the 2006 Global Burden of Disease and Risk Factors initiative, which is strengthening the methodological and empirical basis for undertaking comparative assessments of health problems and their determinants and consequences in aging population worldwide. A Note About the Data Behind This Report 25 Suggested Resources Readings Abegunde DO, Mathers CD, Adam T, Ortegon M, Strong K. The burden and costs of chronic diseases in low-income and middle-income countries. The Lancet 2007 (December 8); 370:1929-1938.
  • 54. Avendano M, Glymour MM, Banks J, Mackenbach JP. Health disadvantage in US adults aged 50 to 74 years: A comparison of the health of rich and poor Americans with that of Europeans. American Journal of Public Health 2009: 99/3:540-548. �� ������"������"��� ��� �����}������|��X�������� ��������� ������ ������ �����}������� ��� � England. JAMA 2006 (May 3); 295/17:2037-2045. Chatterji S, Kowal P, Mathers C, Naidoo N, Verdes E, Smith JP, Suzman R. The health of aging populations in China and India. Health Affairs 2008; 27/4:1052- 1063. Christensen K, Doblhammer G, Rau R, Vaupel JW. Ageing populations: The challenges ahead. The Lancet 2009; 374/9696:1196-1208. Crimmins EM, Preston SH, Cohen B., eds. International Differences in Mortality at Older Ages. Dimensions and Sources. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010. European Commission. 2009 Ageing Report: Economic and Budgetary Projections for the EU-27 Member States (2008-2060). Brussels: European Communities, 2009.
  • 55. Available at: http://www.da.dk/bilag/publication14992_ageing_report.pdf. Kinsella K, He W. An Aging World: 2008. Washington, DC: National Institute on Aging and U.S. Census Bureau, 2009. Lafortune G, Balestat G. Trends in Severe Disability Among Elderly People. Assessing the Evidence in 12 OECD Countries and the Future Implications. OECD Health Working Papers 26. Paris: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2007. Lopez AD, Mathers CD, Ezzati M, Jamison DT, Murray CJL, eds. Global Burden of Disease and Risk Factors. Washington, DC: The World Bank Group, 2006. National Institute on Aging. Growing Older in America: The Health and Retirement Study. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 2007. Oxley, H. Policies for Healthy Ageing: An. Overview. OECD Health Working Papers 42. Paris: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2009. Plassman BL, Langa KM, Fisher GG, Heeringa SG, Weir DR, Ofstedal MB, Burke JR, Hurd MD, Potter GG, Rodgers WL, Steffens DC, Willis RJ, and Wallace RB. Prevalence of dementia in the United States: The aging, demographics, and memory study. Neuroepidemiology 2007; 29:125-132. Rohwedder S, Willis RJ. Mental retirement. Journal of
  • 56. Economic Perspectives 2010 Winter; 24/1: 119-138. Zeng Y, G Danan, Land KC. The association of childhood socioeconomic conditions with healthy longevity at the oldest old ages in China. Demography, 2007; 44/3:497-518. Suggested Resources 26 Global Health and Aging Web Resources English Longitudinal Study of Ageing http://www.ifs.org.uk/elsa/ European Statistical System (EUROSTAT) http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu Health and Retirement Study http://hrsonline.isr.umich.edu/ Human Mortality Database http://www.mortality.org/ International Network on Health Expectancy and the Disability Process http://reves.site.ined.fr/en Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Health Data 2010: Statistics and Indicators http://www.oecd.org/health/healthdata (may require a fee) Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe
  • 57. http://www.share-project.org/ United Nations. World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp U.S. Census Bureau International Data Base http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/ U.S. National Institute on Aging http://www.nia.nih.gov/ �̀� ��� ����������{����� http://www.alz.co.uk/research/worldreport/ World Health Organization. Projections of Mortality and Burden of Disease, 2004-2030. http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/projection s/en/index.html. World Health Organization Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE) http://www.who.int/healthinfo/systems/sage/en/ 27 Funding for the development of this publication was provided by the National Institute on Aging (NIA), National Institutes of Health (NIH) (HHSN263200700991P). Participation by the NIA in support of this publication does not "������� *���+����$����� ���
  • 58. ������ �������<�=��<>=� ��?�@��Q�� ����"�� ��>� ��� "��>�� "�@��$����� The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city �� �� � �� ������ ��� ������=� ��� "���"�"#������� ���� �� "� �������� "������ ��' �"�������Q ����� �"��� "������������"�� approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement. X�����"�� "� ����������� �� "���� �� ������ �"�� "���������Y���
  • 59. ������� ���" ����� *��� �����*� ����"� ����� �� recommended by the World Health Organization in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. Errors and omissions excepted, the names of proprietary products are distinguished by initial capital letters. All reasonable precautions have been taken by the World Health Organization to verify the information contained in this publication. However, the published material is being distributed without warranty of any kind, either expressed or implied. The responsibility for the interpretation and use of the material lies with the reader. In no event shall the World Health Organization be liable for damages arising from its use. National Institute on Aging National Institutes of Health NIH Publication no. 11-7737 October 2011 Discussion: Leadership Map The Reeves reading contains several useful resources for school leaders as appendices. Create your own leadership map using Appendix B (see also Chapter 8). After you’re done, write a discussion post that responds to the questions below: · Which quadrant of the Leadership for Learning Framework contains most of your plotted points?
  • 60. · What are the specific points that are in this most populated quadrant? · What adjustments can you make to get more of your plotted points into the leading quadrant? Instructions: Life Review Paper (250 points Total: Proposal/ Script 30 points + Final Paper 220 points) A Life review is a naturally occurring, universal process consisting of reminiscence, thinking about oneself, and a reconsideration of previous life experiences and their meaning. You will be doing a Life Review on an older adult (65 years or older), by interviewing them. This Life Review assignment can be done with a family member, a loved one, a friend etc. DO NOT ASK SOMEONE YOU DO NOT TRUST, I DO NOT WANT YOU UNCOMFORTABLE OR IN A COMPRIMISING SITUATION. Ultimately, I would love for you to interview someone you have a connection with and someone you would like to know more about (as long as they are 62+). If finding an older adult is an issue for you, please email me by 12/31/19 ([email protected]) so we may figure something out for you. If you do not let me know by 12/31/19, I will assume you have someone you can interview and are moving along with the assignment. The “Life Review Paper” will have two submissions: 1. Proposal / Script (Due by 11pm, on 1/3/20)
  • 61. 2. Final Life Review Paper (Due by 11pm, on 1/17/20) Format and Submission: Submissions will be made via Dropbox on BeachBoard. The Final Life Review Paper should be 6-9 pages long (do not exceed 9 pages) and are due on the dates stated above. These submissions must be typed in Times New Roman, size 12 font, double spaced, and in APA (6th ed.) format with in-text citations and include a Title Page, Abstract, and Reference Page (Title, Abstract and Reference pages are not included in total page count). I will accept late papers; however, you will be penalized 7 points for each day it is late (unless you have an excused absence and provide documentation of the situation (such as doctors note, family issue, jury duty etc.), in which case, keep me in the loop. Grading: Use the assignment guidelines below to compose an A+ paper, if you include the necessary components of this paper in APA format, you will do just fine � The Point Scale is as follows: Proposal / Script (2-3 pages): 30 points Final Life Review Paper (6-9 pages): 220 overall points distributed as following: Interview: 100 points Application of Theory: 60 points
  • 62. Reflection: 40 points Paper organization, grammar, spelling, APA, etc.: 20 points Background Information for our Life Review Paper – Why this paper is important for our class? Life review, as described by Robert Butler, is a naturally occurring, universal mental process prompted by the realization of a foreshortened life expectancy. It potentially proceeds toward a reorganization of the self, including the achievement of such characteristics as wisdom and serenity in the aged. The process consists of reminiscence, thinking about oneself, and a reconsideration of previous life experiences and their meaning. The task of a life review is to evaluate one’s life and accomplishments and to accept the whole, both the good and the difficulties, as all necessarily a part of one’s own individual life. This sense of embracing life confirms that one’s story has been “a meaningful adventure in history.” The life review process takes place gradually over a period of years for the older person and an interested other person usually assist the older adult by taking an oral history. The history can be taken over a period of several sessions and may be tape recorded (when consented to). The results are life long- lasting memories, which may be given to the older adult or their family members and kept as a keepsake and shared with younger family members.
  • 63. Reference: "Life Review." Encyclopedia of Aging. Retrieved March 15, 2018 from Encyclopedia.com: http://www.encyclopedia.com/education/encyclopedias- almanacs-transcripts- and-maps/life-review Instructions on how to conceptualize / write your Life Review Paper: Proposal/ Script (30 points, Due 1/3/20, by 11pm): Prior to writing your Final Life Review Paper, you will need to complete and submit (via Dropbox) the “Proposal / Script”. This submission will be graded, and feedback will be provided shortly after submission. Only after this submission is graded and you receive feedback, should you start working on your interview/ paper. Proposal (1 page): First you are required to submit a proposal of how you will complete this assignment. Compose 1 page on what you know about this person and what you hope to know or understand about this person. In addition, the Proposal should answer the following questions: any other demographic information you would like to include). ill this interview take place? (Describe the setting, date and time if you have that information)
  • 64. ncerns and what are you looking forward to in completing this assignment? experiencing and why? (acquaint yourself with the theories prior to the actual interview so you are prepared to assimilate the theory with the older adult. The theories are listed below.) The Script: After your proposal, you will need to come up with a series of questions (script) that you will want to ask the older adult you are interviewing. These questions should cover the history of the person’s life and capture the essence of who they are. These questions should also help you assess the older adult using a theory model (possible theories below). While developing the questions, please have in mind the theoretical approach you will use to assess the older adult. There is not a specific number of questions you should come up with, however, a good set of questions for a paper of this caliber will round to an average about 15 questions. The questions should be derived from our course concepts such as chronic disease, biology of aging, love and intimacy, social interactions, living arrangements, economic security, productive aging, retirement, death and dying, etc.
  • 65. Please stay respectful of any topic your interviewee does not want to discuss. In writing this paper, think of yourself as a qualitative researcher. Meaning, in this process you have the chance to design your research study, conduct your own case study, and later discuss its results. Your Proposal / Script is the first step to designing your case research study! http://www.encyclopedia.com/education/encyclopedias- almanacs-transcripts-and-maps/life-review http://www.encyclopedia.com/education/encyclopedias- almanacs-transcripts-and-maps/life-review Final Life Review Paper (220 points, Due 1/17/20, by 11pm): This is the final submission of this paper and must include The Interview (including the setting portion of your proposal), Theory Application, and Reflection. The Interview (4-6 pages): Please include the highlights from the “setting” portion of your Proposal with this portion of the paper, as you are telling the story of the life of an older adult, you want to give the reader a good amount of detail of their background. This section is written in paragraph format in descriptive writing form (example is provided on page below, along with recommendations for the interview). Application of Theory (1-2 pages): This portion allows you to coin learned course material to your interview. In this section, incorporate what you learned in class, into this interview. Please state and define the theoretical approach(s) you are using to analyze the
  • 66. interviewee. It is a good idea to describe the older adult’s wellness and capabilities at the time of interview. Show your understanding of course concepts’ in your application to the interviewee. Three citations necessary (any material presented in this course can be used), don’t forget: whenever you cite a source you need to give the appropriate APA reference. Reflection (1 page): Reflect on what you learned from this assignment. Address elements not only learned from the older adult, but also the interview processes and application of course concepts. Moreover, state what you learned from this writing process. Describe what you would have done different through this process and explain why. Also, briefly describe your own personal reactions associated with one’s own aging process. Possible Theories of Aging to use for your paper, please refer to your text and outside sources for more theories and or detailed information on these theories (pick at least 1): -Clock Theory eory -and-Tear Theory -we-have-lost Syndrome
  • 67. Recommendations on how to conduct your interview Begin by briefly expressing your interest in learning about the life of the older adult’s life and set an appointment for a convenient time and place where the interview will take place. Explain that you will use this interview as a class assignment and ask for permission from the older adult at this time to share the interview with your professor/class (you do not need to mention real names in your paper if you do not want to). Interview your subject in a quiet location. With permission, you can use a recorder device to register the interview process and your subject’s answers. By recording the interview rather than taking notes, it will give you the chance to focus on other types of communication, such as body language, facial expression, etc. which will help with your descriptive skills while writing your paper. Make sure the older adult is comfortable and is seated in a position to be heard (you could also maintain eye contact if in the elder’s cultural background eye contact is a form of being polite.) Allow adequate time for the interview but do not prolong more than two sessions. After conducting the interview, you will then write up the questions and answers to the interview in paragraph format. When writing up the interview be as descriptive as possible. You must use critical thinking skills to make the experience flow and you want to allow the reader to feel as if they experienced the interview for themselves. Thus, do not just simply state I asked her if she was married and she replied her husband died 7 years ago. Instead describe the reactions and
  • 68. report in descriptive detail. >Example of Descriptive Detail Writing: As we sat near the window a cool breeze came in the room, she grabbed her blanket around her shoulder and pulled it tightly to warm herself. I asked Mrs. Hudson if she had ever been married, adding a smile to soften the question. She replied: “I was married for 42 years to the love of my life, Charles”. She paused, it seemed for an eternity, and then continued, “… he passed away 7 years ago, and I think of him each day. Be sure to use descriptive words and transitions to make this portion of the paper flow. A final note: This is not only a writing assignment. It is also designed to give you experience with interviewing, work and learn from an older adult and expand on your writing skills. Give it your best effort, and you will learn something valuable by listening to a real-life story. The Life Review Interview should present a full picture of your subject’s life. Details help. To accomplish this, you will need to be an engaged listener, involving yourself in the person’s story, and not just completing a class assignment. You may need to interview the person twice, going back for more detailed answers in areas that interest you. At times, you may need to rephrase some of the questions to make them better understood. You may need to prompt the older adult, using such phrases as “tell me more,” “I think I understand, you
  • 69. were…” etc. Do not force the person to go into detail on a particular topic if he/she is really uncomfortable! Allow the interviewee to talk about what interests him/her but, move him/her along so you can have a story that covers the whole life. You can get the interview moving along by saying things like, “I would like to hear more on that later if we have time. Now, I’d like to ask you about…” I am here to help, so please do not hesitate to reach out to me if you have any questions. Final Life Review Paper (6-8 pages): 220 overall points: s, 4-6 pages): Highlights from the “setting” portion of your Proposal, detail of their background, Descriptive paragraph form interview. -2 pages): Displayed leaned course material, Stated and defined the theoretical approach(s) you used to analyze the interviewee. At least three citations in APA format. from this assignment. Described what you would have done different through this process with explanation. Brief description of your own personal reactions associated with one’s own aging process. -8 pages), grammar, spelling,
  • 70. APA (title page, abstract, in text citations and reference page): 20 points