1. A newly developed Decision Support System for improved
Tsunami Early Warning in Indonesia
U. Raape1, Fauzi2, T. Riedlinger1, S. Teßmann1, M. Wnuk1, M. Hunold1,
T. Kukofka1, C. Strobl1, E. Mikusch1 and S. Dech1
1
German Remote Sensing Data Center (DFD), German Aerospace Center (DLR)
2
Badan Meteorologi dan Geofisika (BMG), Jakarta, Indonesia
2. GITEWS Tsunami Early Warning & Mitigation System
Sensor Systems
SeisComP3 CGPS Tide Gauges OBU / PACT GPS-Bouys
Sensor System Integration
Situation Assessment and Decision Support
Simulation System
BMG 5in1 / 6in1
System
Risk- & Vulnerability Geospatial
Modelling Data Repository
3. The Decision Support System (DSS)
The DSS
performs sensor and information fusion
generates situation awareness („common operational picture“)
generates regionalized decision proposals
what warn level in what part of the coastline?
when to warn? (wait for further sensor input?)
supports message generation and dissemination
by
aggregating all incoming sensor information
interacting with simulation and modelling systems
accessing huge databases
(geodata, risk modelling, vulnerability assessment, ...)
connecting to available dissemination systems
5. Core Decision Support Loop
DSS is designed for decision
making under uncertainty and
time pressure under
operational 24/7 conditions
Main DSS Tasks
Aggregate all available information
(information / sensor fusion)
Generate, update and visualize
Situation Awareness
Generate, update and visualize
Decision Proposals
Generate Products on request
and initiate their dissemination
6. Information Fusion / Sensor Fusion
Live Sensor Observations (processed by the resp. Sensor Systems)
Real-time Data
ad-hoc Information
pre-compiled Databases
Simulation System
a-priori Information
Tsunami Scenario Risk- & Vulnerability Geospatial
Repository Modelling Data Repository
Large database of pre- Based on tsunami scenarios Geo and Sensor Data
computed scenarios Infrastructure G(S)DI
US DOD Joint Directors of Laboratories Data Fusion Group (JDL) Data Fusion Model (Revised)
7.
8. Integration of Risk & Vulnerability Information
Results of Risk Modeling
and Vulnerability Analysis
are integrated into DSS
DSS user can access
information at any time
In case of tsunami threat,
specific case-dependent
information is displayed
Data per warning segment
(current status):
Exposed People
Critical Facilities
High Risk Facilities
Risk Index
9. DSS Product Generation and Dissemination Process
DSS can generate targeted products (messages)
regionalized (with specific information for the individual area)
target group specific (public, media, government, NTWCs, ...)
Different product types in different versions
Text messages (short/long), Reports, Maps, ...
plain text, image, PDF, <?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" ?>
- <cap:alert xmlns:cap="urn:oasis:names:tc:emergency:cap:1.1"
Common Alerting Protocol (CAP), ... xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance"
xsi:schemaLocation="urn:oasis:names:tc:emergency:cap:1.1 cap
<cap:identifier>BMG1111</cap:identifier>
<cap:sender>dss@bmg.go.id</cap:sender>
<cap:sent>2006-12-22T20:56:00+07:00</cap:sent>
DSS initiates dissemination process by <cap:status>Actual</cap:status>
<cap:msgType>Alert</cap:msgType>
pushing products to connected <cap:scope>Private</cap:scope>
<cap:addresses>1120 1121 1122</cap:addresses>
Dissemination Systems <cap:incidents>13970876</cap:incidents>
- <cap:info>
BMG dissemination system <cap:language>id</cap:language>
<cap:category>Geo</cap:category>
<cap:event>Tsunami</cap:event>
2wcom FM-RDS System <cap:urgency>immediate</cap:urgency>
<cap:severity>major warning</cap:severity>
(regionalized dissemination of <cap:certainty>likely</cap:certainty>
warning segment specific products) <cap:senderName>Badan Meteorologi dan Geofisika (BMG), Jakarta
<cap:headline>Tsunami W of Nias Island in Effect. EQ M8.4 @ 9:53 A
<cap:description>Diterbitkan oleh Badan Meteorologi dan Geofiska p
... Desember 2006. Earthquake with possible major tsunami in Nia
diharapkan waspada terhadap kemungkinan terburuk dan sela
Explanation: A major earthquake measuring 8.4 on the Richter
PM West Indonesian Time on Wednesday, December 22, 2006.
been caused. Expect tsunami to affect coast of Nias Selatan wa
minutes (expected time of arrival appprox. 10:18 AM)</cap:des
<cap:web>http://www.bmg.go.id/warnings/13970876.html</cap:
10. Open Architecture to support Integration of Additional Components
Sensors
Sensor Systems
Sensor System X SeisComP3 CGPS Tide Gauges OBU / PACT GPS-Bouys Earth Observation
Sensor System Integration
Simulation Situation Assessment and Decision Support
System
ITB
BMG 5in1 / 6in1
System 2wcom FM-RDS
System
Risk- & Vulnerability Geospatial
Modelling Data Repository
Additional Dissemination
Tsunami System Y
Scenarios
Additional Analysis / Processing Capabilities, additional Data Sources
11. GITEWS Decision Support System: Status and Outlook
Central Component for Tsunami Early Warning Systems to
provide situational awareness
generate decision proposals
automate targeted product (message) generation
Future Extensions for
additional hazard types (multi hazard approach)
additional sensor systems
integrated data, geodata and sensor infrastructure
additional analysis and processing functionality
Support for interoperability and reusability (use of open standards)
applicable in all phases of the Disaster Management Cycle
can be applied in a distributed / networked context (e.g. networked DSS)
exposed people critical facilities high loss facilities risk index Number of people exposed in warning segment Number of essential and supply facilities exposed in warning segment Number of high loss facilities exposed in warning segment Risk index (function of hazard, exposure and response components) in warning segment