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A newly developed Decision Support System for improved
Tsunami Early Warning in Indonesia

U. Raape1, Fauzi2, T. Riedlinger1, S. Teßmann1, M. Wnuk1, M. Hunold1,
T. Kukofka1, C. Strobl1, E. Mikusch1 and S. Dech1
1
 German Remote Sensing Data Center (DFD), German Aerospace Center (DLR)
2
 Badan Meteorologi dan Geofisika (BMG), Jakarta, Indonesia
GITEWS Tsunami Early Warning & Mitigation System
                                            Sensor Systems
        SeisComP3             CGPS          Tide Gauges      OBU / PACT     GPS-Bouys




                                     Sensor System Integration




                       Situation Assessment and Decision Support
Simulation System




                                                                            BMG 5in1 / 6in1
                                                                               System
                    Risk- & Vulnerability                      Geospatial
                              Modelling                        Data Repository
The Decision Support System (DSS)

  The DSS
       performs sensor and information fusion
       generates situation awareness („common operational picture“)
       generates regionalized decision proposals
             what warn level in what part of the coastline?
             when to warn? (wait for further sensor input?)
       supports message generation and dissemination
  by
       aggregating all incoming sensor information
       interacting with simulation and modelling systems
       accessing huge databases
       (geodata, risk modelling, vulnerability assessment, ...)
       connecting to available dissemination systems
Warning Segments and Warning Levels
Core Decision Support Loop

                               DSS is designed for decision
                               making under uncertainty and
                               time pressure under
                               operational 24/7 conditions


                             Main DSS Tasks
                               Aggregate all available information
                               (information / sensor fusion)
                               Generate, update and visualize
                               Situation Awareness
                               Generate, update and visualize
                               Decision Proposals
                               Generate Products on request
                               and initiate their dissemination
Information Fusion / Sensor Fusion
  Live Sensor Observations (processed by the resp. Sensor Systems)




                                                                                               Real-time Data
                                                                                            ad-hoc Information



                                                                                    pre-compiled Databases
       Simulation System
                                                                                         a-priori Information




  Tsunami Scenario            Risk- & Vulnerability                      Geospatial
  Repository                  Modelling                                  Data Repository
  Large database of pre-      Based on tsunami scenarios                 Geo and Sensor Data
  computed scenarios                                                     Infrastructure G(S)DI
                             US DOD Joint Directors of Laboratories Data Fusion Group (JDL) Data Fusion Model (Revised)
Integration of Risk & Vulnerability Information

  Results of Risk Modeling
  and Vulnerability Analysis
  are integrated into DSS


  DSS user can access
  information at any time
  In case of tsunami threat,
  specific case-dependent
  information is displayed


  Data per warning segment
  (current status):
        Exposed People
        Critical Facilities
        High Risk Facilities
        Risk Index
DSS Product Generation and Dissemination Process

  DSS can generate targeted products (messages)
        regionalized (with specific information for the individual area)
        target group specific (public, media, government, NTWCs, ...)
  Different product types in different versions
        Text messages (short/long), Reports, Maps, ...
        plain text, image, PDF,                    <?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" ?>
                                               - <cap:alert xmlns:cap="urn:oasis:names:tc:emergency:cap:1.1"

        Common Alerting Protocol (CAP), ... xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance"
                                                    xsi:schemaLocation="urn:oasis:names:tc:emergency:cap:1.1 cap
                                                              <cap:identifier>BMG1111</cap:identifier>
                                                              <cap:sender>dss@bmg.go.id</cap:sender>
                                                              <cap:sent>2006-12-22T20:56:00+07:00</cap:sent>
  DSS initiates dissemination process by                      <cap:status>Actual</cap:status>
                                                              <cap:msgType>Alert</cap:msgType>
  pushing products to connected                               <cap:scope>Private</cap:scope>
                                                              <cap:addresses>1120 1121 1122</cap:addresses>
  Dissemination Systems                                       <cap:incidents>13970876</cap:incidents>
                                                            - <cap:info>

       BMG dissemination system                               <cap:language>id</cap:language>
                                                              <cap:category>Geo</cap:category>
                                                              <cap:event>Tsunami</cap:event>
       2wcom FM-RDS System                                    <cap:urgency>immediate</cap:urgency>
                                                              <cap:severity>major warning</cap:severity>
       (regionalized dissemination of                         <cap:certainty>likely</cap:certainty>

       warning segment specific products)                     <cap:senderName>Badan Meteorologi dan Geofisika (BMG), Jakarta
                                                              <cap:headline>Tsunami W of Nias Island in Effect. EQ M8.4 @ 9:53 A
                                                              <cap:description>Diterbitkan oleh Badan Meteorologi dan Geofiska p
       ...                                                       Desember 2006. Earthquake with possible major tsunami in Nia
                                                                 diharapkan waspada terhadap kemungkinan terburuk dan sela
                                                                 Explanation: A major earthquake measuring 8.4 on the Richter
                                                                 PM West Indonesian Time on Wednesday, December 22, 2006.
                                                                 been caused. Expect tsunami to affect coast of Nias Selatan wa
                                                                 minutes (expected time of arrival appprox. 10:18 AM)</cap:des
                                                              <cap:web>http://www.bmg.go.id/warnings/13970876.html</cap:
Open Architecture to support Integration of Additional Components
                                                               Sensors



                                                          Sensor Systems
Sensor System X       SeisComP3           CGPS              Tide Gauges              OBU / PACT             GPS-Bouys           Earth Observation




                                                 Sensor System Integration



                  Simulation       Situation Assessment and Decision Support
                   System
 ITB


                                                                                                              BMG 5in1 / 6in1
                                                                                                                System          2wcom FM-RDS
                                                                                                                                   System
                                  Risk- & Vulnerability                                 Geospatial
                                            Modelling                                   Data Repository
  Additional                                                                                                                    Dissemination
   Tsunami                                                                                                                        System Y
  Scenarios

                                   Additional Analysis / Processing Capabilities, additional Data Sources
GITEWS Decision Support System: Status and Outlook

  Central Component for Tsunami Early Warning Systems to
       provide situational awareness
       generate decision proposals
       automate targeted product (message) generation
  Future Extensions for
       additional hazard types (multi hazard approach)
       additional sensor systems
       integrated data, geodata and sensor infrastructure
       additional analysis and processing functionality
  Support for interoperability and reusability (use of open standards)
  applicable in all phases of the Disaster Management Cycle
  can be applied in a distributed / networked context (e.g. networked DSS)
Thank you!

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Gitews dlr-ulrich raape-nov_2008

  • 1. A newly developed Decision Support System for improved Tsunami Early Warning in Indonesia U. Raape1, Fauzi2, T. Riedlinger1, S. Teßmann1, M. Wnuk1, M. Hunold1, T. Kukofka1, C. Strobl1, E. Mikusch1 and S. Dech1 1 German Remote Sensing Data Center (DFD), German Aerospace Center (DLR) 2 Badan Meteorologi dan Geofisika (BMG), Jakarta, Indonesia
  • 2. GITEWS Tsunami Early Warning & Mitigation System Sensor Systems SeisComP3 CGPS Tide Gauges OBU / PACT GPS-Bouys Sensor System Integration Situation Assessment and Decision Support Simulation System BMG 5in1 / 6in1 System Risk- & Vulnerability Geospatial Modelling Data Repository
  • 3. The Decision Support System (DSS) The DSS performs sensor and information fusion generates situation awareness („common operational picture“) generates regionalized decision proposals what warn level in what part of the coastline? when to warn? (wait for further sensor input?) supports message generation and dissemination by aggregating all incoming sensor information interacting with simulation and modelling systems accessing huge databases (geodata, risk modelling, vulnerability assessment, ...) connecting to available dissemination systems
  • 4. Warning Segments and Warning Levels
  • 5. Core Decision Support Loop DSS is designed for decision making under uncertainty and time pressure under operational 24/7 conditions Main DSS Tasks Aggregate all available information (information / sensor fusion) Generate, update and visualize Situation Awareness Generate, update and visualize Decision Proposals Generate Products on request and initiate their dissemination
  • 6. Information Fusion / Sensor Fusion Live Sensor Observations (processed by the resp. Sensor Systems) Real-time Data ad-hoc Information pre-compiled Databases Simulation System a-priori Information Tsunami Scenario Risk- & Vulnerability Geospatial Repository Modelling Data Repository Large database of pre- Based on tsunami scenarios Geo and Sensor Data computed scenarios Infrastructure G(S)DI US DOD Joint Directors of Laboratories Data Fusion Group (JDL) Data Fusion Model (Revised)
  • 7.
  • 8. Integration of Risk & Vulnerability Information Results of Risk Modeling and Vulnerability Analysis are integrated into DSS DSS user can access information at any time In case of tsunami threat, specific case-dependent information is displayed Data per warning segment (current status): Exposed People Critical Facilities High Risk Facilities Risk Index
  • 9. DSS Product Generation and Dissemination Process DSS can generate targeted products (messages) regionalized (with specific information for the individual area) target group specific (public, media, government, NTWCs, ...) Different product types in different versions Text messages (short/long), Reports, Maps, ... plain text, image, PDF, <?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" ?> - <cap:alert xmlns:cap="urn:oasis:names:tc:emergency:cap:1.1" Common Alerting Protocol (CAP), ... xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="urn:oasis:names:tc:emergency:cap:1.1 cap <cap:identifier>BMG1111</cap:identifier> <cap:sender>dss@bmg.go.id</cap:sender> <cap:sent>2006-12-22T20:56:00+07:00</cap:sent> DSS initiates dissemination process by <cap:status>Actual</cap:status> <cap:msgType>Alert</cap:msgType> pushing products to connected <cap:scope>Private</cap:scope> <cap:addresses>1120 1121 1122</cap:addresses> Dissemination Systems <cap:incidents>13970876</cap:incidents> - <cap:info> BMG dissemination system <cap:language>id</cap:language> <cap:category>Geo</cap:category> <cap:event>Tsunami</cap:event> 2wcom FM-RDS System <cap:urgency>immediate</cap:urgency> <cap:severity>major warning</cap:severity> (regionalized dissemination of <cap:certainty>likely</cap:certainty> warning segment specific products) <cap:senderName>Badan Meteorologi dan Geofisika (BMG), Jakarta <cap:headline>Tsunami W of Nias Island in Effect. EQ M8.4 @ 9:53 A <cap:description>Diterbitkan oleh Badan Meteorologi dan Geofiska p ... Desember 2006. Earthquake with possible major tsunami in Nia diharapkan waspada terhadap kemungkinan terburuk dan sela Explanation: A major earthquake measuring 8.4 on the Richter PM West Indonesian Time on Wednesday, December 22, 2006. been caused. Expect tsunami to affect coast of Nias Selatan wa minutes (expected time of arrival appprox. 10:18 AM)</cap:des <cap:web>http://www.bmg.go.id/warnings/13970876.html</cap:
  • 10. Open Architecture to support Integration of Additional Components Sensors Sensor Systems Sensor System X SeisComP3 CGPS Tide Gauges OBU / PACT GPS-Bouys Earth Observation Sensor System Integration Simulation Situation Assessment and Decision Support System ITB BMG 5in1 / 6in1 System 2wcom FM-RDS System Risk- & Vulnerability Geospatial Modelling Data Repository Additional Dissemination Tsunami System Y Scenarios Additional Analysis / Processing Capabilities, additional Data Sources
  • 11. GITEWS Decision Support System: Status and Outlook Central Component for Tsunami Early Warning Systems to provide situational awareness generate decision proposals automate targeted product (message) generation Future Extensions for additional hazard types (multi hazard approach) additional sensor systems integrated data, geodata and sensor infrastructure additional analysis and processing functionality Support for interoperability and reusability (use of open standards) applicable in all phases of the Disaster Management Cycle can be applied in a distributed / networked context (e.g. networked DSS)

Hinweis der Redaktion

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  3. exposed people critical facilities high loss facilities risk index Number of people exposed in warning segment Number of essential and supply facilities exposed in warning segment Number of high loss facilities exposed in warning segment Risk index (function of hazard, exposure and response components) in warning segment