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Steve Dale
Collabor8now Ltd
Key themes for 2012
Let’s start with
some statistics….
201 billion videos viewed per month on Google sites	

          350 million Facebook users log-in via mobile phone	


2.1 billion Internet users	

                                                 555 million websites	


            1 trillion video playbacks on YouTube	

5.9 billion mobile subscriptions	

                                                                       100 billion photos on Flickr	

  71% of email traffic is spam	


 Apple’s iPad share of global tablet web traffic – 88%	

Source: http://royal.pingdom.com/2012/01/17/internet-2011-in-numbers/
1. Social Networks




                                        90 million users*, growing at 625k daily. Est. 293 million users by end 2012 	




                                         225 million accounts**, 120 million users, over 250 million tweets/day	



                                         132 million users (mainly B2B)	

*Source: http://edition.cnn.com/2012/01/19/tech/social-media/google-plus-users/index.html and	

   http://venturebeat.com/2012/01/20/google-skews-google-plus-statistics/	

**Some may be bots. Source: http://phill.co/social-media/social-media-statistics-dec-2011-video-infographic
Facebook
                                 •  800 million users	

                                 •  1 billion users by
                                    end 2012	

                                 •  30 million UK
                                    users (almost
                                    50% of pop.)	

                                 •  Avg time spent
                                    on site: 7.5hrs/
Recently added                      month, up from
Timeline feature	

                                    4.5hrs/month in
                                    2010
Social media continues to evolve, bringing new opportunities
  for multimedia social platforms. Sites that offer new and
personalised user experiences will have a major influence on
              social sharing and internet traffic.
2. Curation




“SocialCurators” use their insight into a
 particular audience to determine what
           might interest them
3. Collaborative Consumption
4. Big Data
                                                   to buy a disk drive that can store all the world s music	


                                     mobile phones in use by end
                                      2012	


                                                               items of content shared on Facebook every month	



                    projected growth of data per year vs.                 growth in global IT spending 	



                                                 billion potential value to Europe s public sector administration -
                                                            more than the GDP of Greece	



                                              data analysts and
            more data savvy managers needed to take advantage of big data (in US).	



                                                          potential annual consumer surplus from using
                                                    personal location data globally	

Source: McKinsey Global Institute, May 2011
Big Data - what is it   •    Datasets so large they
                              are difficult to work with
and where does is come        with using standard
                              database management
         from?                tools

                         •    Larger and larger
                              datasets allow analysts to
                              spot business trends and
                              opportunities.

                         •    Growing exponentially -
                              sources include mobile
                              devices, cameras, RFID,
                              medical, music, wireless
                              sensor networks, real-
                              time/geospatial tracking,
                              location-based services
                              ebooks etc.

                         •    More and more data
                              being stored in the
                              Cloud
5. Visualisation & Infographics
6. Game-ification




Connects and engages people in new ways
7. Mobile Platforms
Mobile will be bigger than
               desktop Internet within 5 years.	





Source: Morgan Stanley Internet Trends Report 4 Dec 2010
More people own mobile
phones than tooth-brushes!
8. Apps
2005 – 2010 Design for
 PC with consideration
      for Mobile	


 2011/12/? Design for
     Mobile with
 consideration for PC
9. Location-based Services
10. Augmented Reality




  New York Nearest Places: lets you explore              Golfscape GPS Rangefinder: an augmented
  New York like never before. And you have              reality range finder for Golf lovers. It covers       Panoramascope: gives you information about
              seen nothing yet.	

                       35K+ courses. It displays the distance from         your surroundings (mountains, their names).	

                                                               front, center, and back of green.	





  Cyclopedia: adds Wikipedia information to your           Theodolite: a little app that acts as your        Star Chart: gives you your very own virtual
reality. When you move your iPhone around, the app      compass, GPS, map, and two-axis inclinometer.         star chart on your iPhone. Just point your
 will automatically dig up information and display it    Great for hiking and active sports in general.	

   iPhone to the sky and this app will tell you
                   on your screen.	

                                                                                  what you are looking at.
To Summarise (1)
•  Social Media is ubiquitous. More businesses are adding social media links
  and information to their websites; consumers now look for these links.
  Visiting a company's Facebook page or Twitter profile has become as
  important as reading reviews on the business.

•  Facebook will have 1 billion users by end 2012 and will continue to dominate
  the social network space. More apps and integration with external services
  will encourage shift from conversations to sharing and engagement = users
  spend more time on site.

•  Rapid growth of companies/services offering new and interesting ways for
  people to share information (e.g. Tumblr, Pinterest)

•  Help with content overload. More apps and services providing knowledge
  and information curation, aggregation and filtering.

•  Apps will inherit the earth! Users more familiar (and trusting) of software
  distribution channels (app stores). Users happy to discard old/legacy apps
  and download new ones that meet changing needs and requirements.
To Summarise (2)
•  Gami-ificaton techniques will find their way into more social networks and
  corporate websites in order to engage and retain users/customers.

•  Augmented reality apps will offer an awesome user experience. Location-
  based services will thrive and provide new, more compelling, more efficient
  services with lower B2C transaction costs. Privacy issues will deter some
  users.

•  More opportunities for micro-entrepreneurs. Peer to peer on the rise; more
  lending, sharing, bartering and recycling opportunities offered via
  ‘Collaborative Consumption”.

•  We re going to continue to generate data faster than it can be consumed or
  understood. Most of it will not be held inside the enterprise. Information
  visualisation techniques and intelligent analytics will aid user s
  interpretation and understanding. Opportunities and challenges for
  knowledge & information professionals.

•  Mobile platforms will soon overtake the desktop PC as the preferred
  interface to the Internet and www. Software being designed for mobile, with
  consideration for PC, not the other way around.
And finally….

           “The world is changing very fast. Big will not
           beat small anymore. It will be the fast
           beating the slow.” Rupert Murdoch	




“It is not the strongest of the species that
survives, nor the most intelligent that
survives. It is the one that is most
adaptable to change.” Charles Darwin
Never make predictions, especially
       about the future.	

       Casey Stengel, baseball player and manager, 1891 - 1975	


                                 	





           Email: Steve.dale@collabor8now.com	

           Twitter: @stephendale	

           Profile: http://about.me/stephendale
Sources/References
•  Morgan Stanley Internet Trends:
   http://www.morganstanley.com/institutional/techresearch/pdfs/Internet_Trends_041210.pdf	

•  Internet World Stats: http://www.internetworldstats.com	

•  Royal Pingdom: http://royal.pingdom.com/2012/01/17/internet-2011-in-numbers/	

•  McKinsey, Big Data: The Next Frontier For Innovation....
   http://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/publications/big_data/pdfs/MGI_big_data_full_report.pdf	

•  Emerging Transition to Social Business Models - Dion Hincliffe, Dachis Group:
   http://www.dachisgroup.com/author/dion-hinchcliffe/	

•  Edition:http://edition.cnn.com/2012/01/19/tech/social-media/google-plus-users/index.html 	

•  Venturebeat: http://venturebeat.com/2012/01/20/google-skews-google-plus-statistics/	

•  Phil.co: http://phill.co/social-media/social-media-statistics-dec-2011-video-infographic	

•  ComScore:
   http://www.comscore.com/Products_Services/Product_Index/Media_Metrix_Suite/
   Media_Metrix_Core_Reports	

•  Go-Gulf.com (60 seconds) http://www.go-gulf.com/blog/60-seconds	

•  Dilbert: www.dilbert.com/	

•  Collaborative Consumption: http://collaborativeconsumption.com/	


	

	

Other photos and images sourced from Google images and iStock Photos.

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Future trends jan12 final

  • 3. Let’s start with some statistics….
  • 4. 201 billion videos viewed per month on Google sites 350 million Facebook users log-in via mobile phone 2.1 billion Internet users 555 million websites 1 trillion video playbacks on YouTube 5.9 billion mobile subscriptions 100 billion photos on Flickr 71% of email traffic is spam Apple’s iPad share of global tablet web traffic – 88% Source: http://royal.pingdom.com/2012/01/17/internet-2011-in-numbers/
  • 5. 1. Social Networks 90 million users*, growing at 625k daily. Est. 293 million users by end 2012 225 million accounts**, 120 million users, over 250 million tweets/day 132 million users (mainly B2B) *Source: http://edition.cnn.com/2012/01/19/tech/social-media/google-plus-users/index.html and http://venturebeat.com/2012/01/20/google-skews-google-plus-statistics/ **Some may be bots. Source: http://phill.co/social-media/social-media-statistics-dec-2011-video-infographic
  • 6. Facebook •  800 million users •  1 billion users by end 2012 •  30 million UK users (almost 50% of pop.) •  Avg time spent on site: 7.5hrs/ Recently added month, up from Timeline feature 4.5hrs/month in 2010
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Social media continues to evolve, bringing new opportunities for multimedia social platforms. Sites that offer new and personalised user experiences will have a major influence on social sharing and internet traffic.
  • 10. 2. Curation “SocialCurators” use their insight into a particular audience to determine what might interest them
  • 12. 4. Big Data to buy a disk drive that can store all the world s music mobile phones in use by end 2012 items of content shared on Facebook every month projected growth of data per year vs. growth in global IT spending billion potential value to Europe s public sector administration - more than the GDP of Greece data analysts and more data savvy managers needed to take advantage of big data (in US). potential annual consumer surplus from using personal location data globally Source: McKinsey Global Institute, May 2011
  • 13. Big Data - what is it •  Datasets so large they are difficult to work with and where does is come with using standard database management from? tools •  Larger and larger datasets allow analysts to spot business trends and opportunities. •  Growing exponentially - sources include mobile devices, cameras, RFID, medical, music, wireless sensor networks, real- time/geospatial tracking, location-based services ebooks etc. •  More and more data being stored in the Cloud
  • 14. 5. Visualisation & Infographics
  • 15. 6. Game-ification Connects and engages people in new ways
  • 17.
  • 18. Mobile will be bigger than desktop Internet within 5 years. Source: Morgan Stanley Internet Trends Report 4 Dec 2010
  • 19. More people own mobile phones than tooth-brushes!
  • 21. 2005 – 2010 Design for PC with consideration for Mobile 2011/12/? Design for Mobile with consideration for PC
  • 22.
  • 24. 10. Augmented Reality New York Nearest Places: lets you explore Golfscape GPS Rangefinder: an augmented New York like never before. And you have reality range finder for Golf lovers. It covers Panoramascope: gives you information about seen nothing yet. 35K+ courses. It displays the distance from your surroundings (mountains, their names). front, center, and back of green. Cyclopedia: adds Wikipedia information to your Theodolite: a little app that acts as your Star Chart: gives you your very own virtual reality. When you move your iPhone around, the app compass, GPS, map, and two-axis inclinometer. star chart on your iPhone. Just point your will automatically dig up information and display it Great for hiking and active sports in general. iPhone to the sky and this app will tell you on your screen. what you are looking at.
  • 25. To Summarise (1) •  Social Media is ubiquitous. More businesses are adding social media links and information to their websites; consumers now look for these links. Visiting a company's Facebook page or Twitter profile has become as important as reading reviews on the business. •  Facebook will have 1 billion users by end 2012 and will continue to dominate the social network space. More apps and integration with external services will encourage shift from conversations to sharing and engagement = users spend more time on site. •  Rapid growth of companies/services offering new and interesting ways for people to share information (e.g. Tumblr, Pinterest) •  Help with content overload. More apps and services providing knowledge and information curation, aggregation and filtering. •  Apps will inherit the earth! Users more familiar (and trusting) of software distribution channels (app stores). Users happy to discard old/legacy apps and download new ones that meet changing needs and requirements.
  • 26. To Summarise (2) •  Gami-ificaton techniques will find their way into more social networks and corporate websites in order to engage and retain users/customers. •  Augmented reality apps will offer an awesome user experience. Location- based services will thrive and provide new, more compelling, more efficient services with lower B2C transaction costs. Privacy issues will deter some users. •  More opportunities for micro-entrepreneurs. Peer to peer on the rise; more lending, sharing, bartering and recycling opportunities offered via ‘Collaborative Consumption”. •  We re going to continue to generate data faster than it can be consumed or understood. Most of it will not be held inside the enterprise. Information visualisation techniques and intelligent analytics will aid user s interpretation and understanding. Opportunities and challenges for knowledge & information professionals. •  Mobile platforms will soon overtake the desktop PC as the preferred interface to the Internet and www. Software being designed for mobile, with consideration for PC, not the other way around.
  • 27. And finally…. “The world is changing very fast. Big will not beat small anymore. It will be the fast beating the slow.” Rupert Murdoch “It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is most adaptable to change.” Charles Darwin
  • 28. Never make predictions, especially about the future. Casey Stengel, baseball player and manager, 1891 - 1975 Email: Steve.dale@collabor8now.com Twitter: @stephendale Profile: http://about.me/stephendale
  • 29. Sources/References •  Morgan Stanley Internet Trends: http://www.morganstanley.com/institutional/techresearch/pdfs/Internet_Trends_041210.pdf •  Internet World Stats: http://www.internetworldstats.com •  Royal Pingdom: http://royal.pingdom.com/2012/01/17/internet-2011-in-numbers/ •  McKinsey, Big Data: The Next Frontier For Innovation.... http://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/publications/big_data/pdfs/MGI_big_data_full_report.pdf •  Emerging Transition to Social Business Models - Dion Hincliffe, Dachis Group: http://www.dachisgroup.com/author/dion-hinchcliffe/ •  Edition:http://edition.cnn.com/2012/01/19/tech/social-media/google-plus-users/index.html •  Venturebeat: http://venturebeat.com/2012/01/20/google-skews-google-plus-statistics/ •  Phil.co: http://phill.co/social-media/social-media-statistics-dec-2011-video-infographic •  ComScore: http://www.comscore.com/Products_Services/Product_Index/Media_Metrix_Suite/ Media_Metrix_Core_Reports •  Go-Gulf.com (60 seconds) http://www.go-gulf.com/blog/60-seconds •  Dilbert: www.dilbert.com/ •  Collaborative Consumption: http://collaborativeconsumption.com/ Other photos and images sourced from Google images and iStock Photos.