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An overview of Methods for analysis of Identifiability and Observability in Nonlinear State and Parameter Estimation Steinar M. Elgsæter Trial Lecture - October 14 2008
Emphasis of this presentation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Presentation overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is Identifiability and Observability?
Example: An oil well Reservoir Oil,water and gas rates Choke Well Pipeline Pressures   and temperature Density Choke opening Unmeasured Measured
Internal system dynamics un-modeled  disturbances output(y) input(u) Map internal  states (x) System
An open-loop ”ballistic” state estimator internal  states (x) modeled  internal  states (x) Internal dynamics measured output (y) Map Modeled internal dynamics modeled output(y) input(u) Map Plant Model Fitted parameters ( θ )
Closing the loop improves estimates in the face of uncertainty or disturbances Plant Model State Estimator - input output state injection term fitted state Plant Model Parameter Estimator - input output parameter injection term fitted parameter Duality Feedback loop
Parameter estimation and identifiability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1. Ljung,(1999) System Identification: Theory for the user
State estimation and observability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Observability in linear systems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1. Ljung,(1999) System Identification: Theory for the user
Kalman Filter ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Flavors of nonlinear filters Type Constrained Solution Model considered Linearized Kalman Filter  Unconstrained Explicit 1.Order local approximation Extended Kalman Filter  Unconstrained Explicit 1. Order local approximation Unscented Kalman Filter Unconstrained Explicit 2.Order local approximation Moving Horizon Estimator Constrained Numerical Full model
Parameter estimation a special case of state estimation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why is observability and identifiability an issue? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Methods for testing identifiability
Different methods for different aspects of identifiability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Structural identifiability
Local Sensitivity Analysis 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1. Lund, B.F. (2005) ”Rigorous simulation models for improved process operation” (PhD thesis)
Local Sensitivity Analysis(2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Empirical Observability Gramians(1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1.  Singh, A. K. and Hahn, J. On the use of empirical gramians for controllability and observability analysis. In Proc. 2005 American Control Conference (ACC). Portland,OR, USA, 2005 pp. 140-141
Empirical Observability Gramians(2) 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],” Regional”  approximation  found from  simulated perturbations of nonlinear model
” Practical” identifiability
Asymptotic analysis 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1. Ljung,(1999) System Identification: Theory for the user
Shortcomings of asymptotic analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Parameter uncertainty estimates can assess how close to identifiability a model/dataset is ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Alternating Conditional Expectation Algorithm 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Methods for testing observability* * and identifiability as a special case
Observability tests in nonlinear systems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Differential algebra: algebraic observability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Differential algebra: algebraic observability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Local Algebraic Observability (3)... ,[object Object]
Computational algebraic observability analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Computational algebraic observability analysis(2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Determining observability  robustness through simulations 1   ,[object Object],[object Object],1. Dafis C.J, Nwankpa, C.O. (2005) Characteristics of Degree of Observability Measure for Nonlinear Power Systems, Proc. 38th Hawaii Int. Conf. on System Sciences
Discussion/Conclusions
” Observability in practice” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusion(2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you for your attention

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2008 "An overview of Methods for analysis of Identifiability and Observability in Nonlinear State and Parameter Estimation"Trial lecture, pHd-defence Steinar M. Elgsæter

  • 1. An overview of Methods for analysis of Identifiability and Observability in Nonlinear State and Parameter Estimation Steinar M. Elgsæter Trial Lecture - October 14 2008
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. What is Identifiability and Observability?
  • 5. Example: An oil well Reservoir Oil,water and gas rates Choke Well Pipeline Pressures and temperature Density Choke opening Unmeasured Measured
  • 6. Internal system dynamics un-modeled disturbances output(y) input(u) Map internal states (x) System
  • 7. An open-loop ”ballistic” state estimator internal states (x) modeled internal states (x) Internal dynamics measured output (y) Map Modeled internal dynamics modeled output(y) input(u) Map Plant Model Fitted parameters ( θ )
  • 8. Closing the loop improves estimates in the face of uncertainty or disturbances Plant Model State Estimator - input output state injection term fitted state Plant Model Parameter Estimator - input output parameter injection term fitted parameter Duality Feedback loop
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Flavors of nonlinear filters Type Constrained Solution Model considered Linearized Kalman Filter Unconstrained Explicit 1.Order local approximation Extended Kalman Filter Unconstrained Explicit 1. Order local approximation Unscented Kalman Filter Unconstrained Explicit 2.Order local approximation Moving Horizon Estimator Constrained Numerical Full model
  • 14.
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  • 16. Methods for testing identifiability
  • 17.
  • 19.
  • 20.
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  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Methods for testing observability* * and identifiability as a special case
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
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  • 35.
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  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Thank you for your attention