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S.A.G. Solarstrom AG




                Dr Karl Kuhlmann
                     CEO
                  June 8, 2010
                    Munich
Agenda



   1. Facts and Data of the S.A.G. Solarstrom Group

   2. The Photovoltaics Market in Germany

   3. The Costs of Photovoltaics for the German Economy

   4. The Future of the Photovoltaics Market in Germany

   5. Future Strategy of the S.A.G. Solarstrom Group




                                                          2
1. Facts and Data of the S.A.G. Solarstrom Group




            Experience and strength

            Unique value chain

            Key figures




                                                                             © S.A.G.

 Ground-mounted system                   Location: Brindisi, Apulia, Italy
 Performance: 9.7 MWp                    Year of grid connection: 2010           3
1.1 Covering the entire value chain: A major advantage for S.A.G. customers



 S.A.G. Solarstrom AG: industry pioneers and international specialists in PV
 Founded in: 1998, around 160 employees, ten locations in Germany and Europe
 Cover the entire value-added chain and are thus uniquely positioned




 Extensive experience:
        Based on more than 2,700 installed systems and 70 own PV systems with a total output of
         11.8 MWp
 meteocontrol GmbH:
        Worldwide monitoring of around 12,500 PV systems in total over 1.4 GWp
        Experience in projects with an investment of over €5 billion

 The S.A.G. Group is uniquely positioned in photovoltaics
                                                                                                   4
1.2 Group key figures: Sales and EBIT



Sales (in million €)                                                                     EBIT (in million €)
     250                                                                                             25

                                                                €190 - €210 million
     200                                                                                             20        Sales
                                                                                                               EBIT

     150                                                                                             15
                                 BBV started                                      €8 - €11 million
                                   as main
     100                         shareholder                                                         10
                                 with approx.
                                 10 % share

      50                                                                                             5



       0                                                                                             0

                  2005   2006*        2007      2008     2009                   2010e

                                                                * 2006 corrected in line with IFRS



    Growth has been sustainably profitable since 2007
                                                                                                                 5
2. The Photovoltaics Market in Germany




           The Renewable Energy Act as support for photovoltaics

           Power production from renewables increased considerably

           Feed-in tariff boosted photovoltaic business in Germany

           Germany most important photovoltaic market




                                                                           © S.A.G.

 Rooftop system                          Location: Rain am Lech, Germany
 Performance: 4.6 MWp                    Year of grid connection: 2009         6
2.1 The Renewable Energy Act and its goals



 Full name: Act on Granting Priority to Renewable Energy Sources (EEG)
 Goals according to §1 of the EEG:
        To facilitate a sustainable development of energy supply
        To reduce the economic costs (in particular) by incorporating external factors
         (climate change, etc.)
        To further develop and promote technologies for renewable energies
        To distribute the costs fairly to all market participants by means of allocation
 The legal foundation of the Act and the allocation are legally protected by the European
   Court of Justice
 The EEG has been “exported” to 47 countries to date
   (such as China, France, Spain, Portugal, Brazil and the Czech Republic)




 The EEG is supporting renewable energies efficiently
                                                                                             7
2.2 Development of renewable energies in Germany up to 2009


Power production (in TWh)

  120
                              Gross power generation in 2009:        597 TWh
                              Portion provided by renewable energies: 15 %
  100
                                                                                                                                                       Wind energy
                                                                                                                                                       40.4 %
    80


    60                                                                                                                                                 Biomass
                                                                                                                                                       32.7 %
    40

                                                                                                                                                       Hydraulic power
    20                                                                                                                                                 20.3 %

                                                                                                          Photovoltaics
     0                                                                                                    6.6 %
      1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009


            1991:                                                          2000:                            2004:                            2009:
 Introduction of forerunner                                           Introduction of               1st   amendment                     2nd amendment
           to EEG                                                        the EEG                           of EEG                           of EEG



                               Sources: Agency for Renewable Energies, March 2010 and German Federal Association for Energy and Water, February 2010

          The EEG is a success story that started 20 years ago
                                                                                                                                                                         8
2.3 Development of feed-in tariff from 2002 to 2010


          Feed-in tariff (in €Cent/kWh)
              60,00
               60
                                                                      PV-systems:
                                                                       Rooftops
              50,00
               50
                                                                                                                      Veto of Federal
                                                                                                                       Assembly on
              40,00
               40                                                                                                       04/06/2010
                                                                       Ground-
                                                                       mounted
               30
              30,00                                                                                                          ?
                                                                                                                             ?
                                                                                                                      Final decision in
              20,00
               20
                                                                                                                          07/2010

              10,00
               10


                 0,00
                  0
                     2002     2003        2004    2005       2006         2007          2008         2009         2010 1.7.2010

MWp installed:      290       432         1,053   1,961     2,773        4,017        5,950         9,800 14,300e
                                                          Sources: EEG and German Telecommunications Network Agency




 Installed PV capacity grew exponentially despite decreasing FIT
                                                                                                                                     9
2.4 Feed-in tariff for the different PV systems in €cent/kWh



                                                            2009                  January 1, 2010      July 1, 2010

Rooftop systems

up to 30 kWp                                                43.01                     39.14                32.88

  own consumption (up to 29.9 kWp)                          25.01                     22.76            16.48/20.88*
from 30 kWp                                                 40.91                     37.23                31.27

  own consumption (30 – 99.9 kWp)                             -                          -             14.87/19.27*
from 100 kWp                                                39.58                     35.23                29.59

  own consumption (100 – 500 kWp)                             -                          -             13.19/17.59*
from 1,000 kWp                                              33.00                     29.37                24.67

Ground-mounted systems

Arable land                                                 31.94                     28.43                   -

Conversion land                                             31.94                     28.43                 25.3

Other land                                                  31.94                     28.43                24.17

                  *Up to 30 % own consumption or more than 30 % own consumption                     Source: EEG
                  ?Veto of Federal Assembly on June 4th, 2010

  Germany will see a massive cut in July 2010
                                                                                                                      10
2.5 Size distribution of installed photovoltaic systems in Germany in 2009

 Number of installations
                      1.666 MWp
     140,000
      140.000                                New installations in 2009:
                                                   3,809 MWp
     120,000
      120.000


      100.000
     100,000


       80.000
      80,000


        60.000
      60,000


      40,000
        40.000
                                  869 MWp

        20.000
      20,000
                                                    445 MWp             192 MWp             637 MWp

          0 0
                     0…30         30...100        100…500           500…1000                  >1,000
                                                                                             >1.000

                                        Performance category (in kWp)
                                                              Sources: German Telecommunications Network Agency



 The German photovoltaics market is a rooftop installation market
                                                                                                                  11
2.6 Global photovoltaic power installed by end of 2009

Power (in GWp)

    25.000
      25



                                                                                                     3.1          20.6
    20.000
      20
                                                                                        1.7
                                                             0.6          15.8
                                                0.5
      15                     1.2      0.3
    15.000
                       3.4



      10
    10.000       9.8




       5
     5.000




       00
             Germany Spain   Italy   France    Czech Rest of EU Total                  USA         Rest of       Total
                                              Republic EU                                           world
                                                      Source. EPIA, Global market outlook forfor photovoltaics until 2014
                                                        Source: EPIA, Global Market Outlook photovoltaics up to 2014



 Germany is the largest photovoltaics market worldwide to date
                                                                                                                            12
3. The Costs of Photovoltaics for the German Economy




           Electricity tariffs for private consumers continue to rise

           FIT allocation less than 5 % of electricity tariff

           Decreasing FIT keeps cost for EEG within limits

           Economic costs of photovoltaics are low

           Photovoltaics are foreseeable an alternative




                                                                                   © S.A.G.

 Ground-mounted system                 Location: Stribro, Pilsen, Czech Republic
 Performance: 13.6 MWp                 Year of grid connection: 2009                  13
3.1 The electricity tariff trend in Germany (private consumers)


Price (in €cent/kWh)
    30

    28

    26

    24

    22

    20

    18

    16

    14

    12
      1999   2000      2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007     2008      2009     2010 e 2011e 2012 e 2013 e
                                                                 Source: BDEW (German Federal Association for Energy and Water)



   The electricity tariff for private consumers will continue to rise
                                                                                                                                  14
3.2 Composition of electricity tariff (private consumers) in Germany 2009


                                         5%

                      8%
                                       3%
                                         3%                             Support of renewable energies
                                                                       Förderung EE durch das
                                                                        by EEG1
                                                                       EEG¹
                                                   1%
              9%                                                       Messung
                                                                        Measurement


                                                                       Vertrieb
                                                                        Sales


                                                                       KWK-Umlage² 2
                                                                        KWK allocation


                                                                       Erzeugung
                                                                        Generation
       16 %
                                                              29 %
                                                                       Netzentgelt
                                                                        Network charges

                                                                        Sales tax
                                                                       Mehrwertsteuer

                                                                       Stromsteuer
                                                                        Electricity tax


                                                                        License fee3
                                                                       Konzessionsabgabe³

                   26 %                  ¹ Renewable Energy Act
                                         ² Act on Combined Heat and Power Generation
                                         ³ Fee that a public utility company has to pay to a local authority for the use of the lines and cables located in
                                           public places


                                  Source: Agency for Renewable Energies, 2009



 The support for renewable energies has a share of less than 5 % of the electricity tariff
                                                                                                                                                       15
3.3 Feed-in tariff paid for solar electricity from 2002 to 2009



Support for solar electricity
       (in billion €)
  8

                                                                                                 2.48   6.79
  7

  6

  5
                                                                              1.67
  4

                                                              1.18
  3

  2
                                                   0.81
                                         0.44
  1
            0.01           0.05   0.15
  0
           2002            2003   2004   2005      2006       2007            2008               2009   Total

                                                                 Sources: EEG and own calculations



       Total economic cost of the PV success story less than 7 billion € up to 2009
                                                                                                                16
3.4 Economic costs of power production have to be taken into account



Total electricity costs in 2009
        (in €cent/kWh)
     50

     45

     40

     35
                                                                                                                  Economic costs
     30

     25

     20
                                                                                                                  Economic costs for coal
     15
                                                                                                                  and nuclear power:
     10                                                                                                           0.20 €/kWh & around
       5                                                                                                          100 billion EUR per year
       0
                   Solar electricity     Conventional electricity            European Energy Exchange
                                           private households                       trade prices
                                       Sources: German Federal Association for Energy and Water, German Federal
                                       Environmental Agency and Greenpeace as well as own calculations




            Today, photovoltaic electricity is less expensive than coal and nuclear power
                                                                                                                                         17
3.5 Grid-parity is determined by radiation intensity and manufacturing costs


Manufacturing costs/kWp (in thousand €)

                 7


                 6


                 5
                                          Specific yield: 1,100 kWh/kWp
                 4


                 3

                                                                 850 kWh/kWp
                 2


                 1

                                                                  0,23 € / kWh
                 0
                         0,10
                        0.10         0,15
                                     0.15         0,20
                                                  0.20          0,25
                                                                0.25          0,30
                                                                              0.30           0,35
                                                                                             0.35    0,40
                                                                                                     0.40             0,45
                                                                                                                      0.45

                                            Electricity tariff for private consumers (in €/kWh)
                                                                                                    Source: S.A.G. Solarstrom AG




        Grid parity in Germany can be achieved at system prices between 3,200 and 2,500 EUR
                                                                                                                                   18
4. The Future of the Photovoltaics Market in Germany




            Renewable energy’s share continues to increase

            Germany can remain the most significant PV market

            System prices need to decline in order to adapt to the market

            Cost for FIT payments will decrease




                                                                            © S.A.G.

 Rooftop system                         Location: Rain am Lech, Germany
 Performance: 4.6 MWp                   Year of grid connection: 2009          19
4.1 Share of renewable energies in energy generation up to 2020


                            6.6 %                14.4 %


                8.9 %




                                                                                 Photovoltaics
                              Gross power                                        Biomass
                          production renewable
                                                               16.2 %            Wind energy
                               energies:
                                278 TWh                                          Hydraulic power
                                                                                 Geothermal energy




              53.9 %



                                                  Source: Agency for Renewable Energies, March 2010


 In 2020, renewable energies will provide around 50 % of the total power consumption
                                                                                                      20
4.2 Forecast photovoltaic power installed by 2013


      Power (in GWp)

           90000
             90                                                                                             84.3
                                                                                                 19.9
             80
           80000

           70000
             70
                                                                                       14.6
             60
           60000
                                                        2.5        5.4      49.8
             50
           50000
                                               4.9
           40000                         7.8
             40
                                  5.9
           30000
             30        23.3
             20
           20000

             10
           10000
                              2009: 9.8 GWp
              00




                                                     Sources: own assumptions, EPIA, Photon Consulting, LBBW and EuPD




 According to estimates, Germany will remain the strongest PV market worldwide
                                                                                                                        21
4.3 Ratio of ground-mounted systems to rooftop systems in Germany


      Installed capacity
             (in %)
           100%
                      Ground-mounted systems



             80%
                      Rooftop systems


             60%



             40%



             20%



              0%
                2009             2010e         2011e   2012e                 2013e
                                                         Source: own calculations



 S.A.G. foresee a market-share of ground-mounted systems of less than 3 %
                                                                                     22
4.4 System prices have to decrease in line with FIT tariffs




Manufacturing costs (in %)
      100%


       90%
                                                              crystalline modules   2012e:
                                        thin-film modules                           Modules < 1,000 € / kWp
       80%                                                                                    < 800 € / kWp
                                                                                    Inverters < 160 € / kWp
                    Precondition:                                                             < 160 € / kWp
                     Reasonable
       70%
                    profitability for
                    investors and
                  system integrators
       60%


       50%
                         2009                         2010e            2011e             2012e
                                                                                        Source: own calculations




     Still a long way from reaching system prices which enable profitability
                                                                                                                   23
4.5 Forecast feed-in tariff paid for solar electricity (2010 to 2020)


Support for solar electricity (in billion €)


    70
                                               Economic costs of conventional energy production:                              Promotion for PV:
                                               around 100 billion € per year                                              57 billion € within 20 years
    60


    50


    40


    30


    20


    10


     0
            2009        2010e       2011e        2012e     2013e     2014e    2015e     2016e      2017e         2018e         2019e        2020e

                                                                                            Sources: EEG, Federal Government and own calculations




          Decreasing FIT will flatten cost growth curve for new installations
                                                                                                                                                    24
4.6 Conclusions



       IRRs of rooftop systems will be reduced significantly unless system costs will decline
        massively and/or changes to EEG are only moderate

       Ground-mounted systems on arable land in Germany are becoming economically
        unattractive. IRRs for systems on other land will be considerably reduced

       Only limited capacities for conversion land, “other” land (e.g. parallel to the German Autobahn
        or railway tracks)

       Germany can remain one of the leading photovoltaic markets depending on system cost +
        FIT development

       Grid-parity can be achieved in the coming 5 years, depending on system cost development
        and the cost of private consumer electricity tariff

       In our opinion, ground-mounted systems will decline to less than 3% of the market (installed
        capacity



 Politicians should reconsider planned reduction, suppliers should adapt pricing policy
                                                                                                          25
5. Future Strategy of the S.A.G. Solarstrom Group



      International footprint to allocate individual market risks

      Unique value chain offers opportunities in mature markets such as Germany:




      Full service value chain over the complete lifetime of PV systems guarantees a high
       profitability

      Germany is a rooftop market – one of S.A.G.‟s strengths in project planning and development

      Strong exclusive sales partner system enables easier market access and market coverage



 The S.A.G. Solarstrom Group is very well equipped for a changing market environment
                                                                                                     26
Contact




                                     Public Relations / Investor Relations
                                                      S.A.G. Solarstrom AG
                                                      Sasbacher Straße 5
                                                      79111 Freiburg i. Br.
                                                      Germany
                                                      Telephone: +49 761 4770 - 311
                                                Fax: +49 761 4770 - 44 142
                                     pr@solarstromag.com / ir@solarstromag.com
This presentation contains statements concerning future developments (or “forward-looking statements“). They are based on current expectations and
forecasts of future events as made by the management body of S.A.G. Solarstrom AG, as well as on certain assumptions – many of which are beyond
the influence of said management body. These statements thus involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause the company„s actual results
to deviate significantly from those the statements indicate. The assumptions that could lead to such deviations due to unforeseeable developments
include, but are not limited to: demand for our products and services; the competitive environment; the development, propagation, and technical
performance of photovoltaic technology, as well as the price thereof; changes in legislation, price, and the timely availability of the products and advance
financing required; our ability to expand existing sales and marketing agreements and conclude new such agreements; our ability to secure further
financing; and the availability of sufficiently qualified technical personnel.

© S.A.G. Solarstrom AG. This presentation and the graphics it contains are – when no source is cited – protected by copyright. Any unauthorized
reproduction, whether electronically or by some other means, is forbidden. Both commercial and non-commercial use is subject to the prior written
consent of S.A.G. Solarstrom AG. All rights reserved.


                                                                                                                                                         27

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The Solar Future DE - Karl Kuhlman "Can solar PV compete with grid energy in Germany by 2013?"

  • 1. S.A.G. Solarstrom AG Dr Karl Kuhlmann CEO June 8, 2010 Munich
  • 2. Agenda 1. Facts and Data of the S.A.G. Solarstrom Group 2. The Photovoltaics Market in Germany 3. The Costs of Photovoltaics for the German Economy 4. The Future of the Photovoltaics Market in Germany 5. Future Strategy of the S.A.G. Solarstrom Group 2
  • 3. 1. Facts and Data of the S.A.G. Solarstrom Group Experience and strength Unique value chain Key figures © S.A.G. Ground-mounted system Location: Brindisi, Apulia, Italy Performance: 9.7 MWp Year of grid connection: 2010 3
  • 4. 1.1 Covering the entire value chain: A major advantage for S.A.G. customers  S.A.G. Solarstrom AG: industry pioneers and international specialists in PV  Founded in: 1998, around 160 employees, ten locations in Germany and Europe  Cover the entire value-added chain and are thus uniquely positioned  Extensive experience:  Based on more than 2,700 installed systems and 70 own PV systems with a total output of 11.8 MWp  meteocontrol GmbH:  Worldwide monitoring of around 12,500 PV systems in total over 1.4 GWp  Experience in projects with an investment of over €5 billion  The S.A.G. Group is uniquely positioned in photovoltaics 4
  • 5. 1.2 Group key figures: Sales and EBIT Sales (in million €) EBIT (in million €) 250 25 €190 - €210 million 200 20 Sales EBIT 150 15 BBV started €8 - €11 million as main 100 shareholder 10 with approx. 10 % share 50 5 0 0 2005 2006* 2007 2008 2009 2010e * 2006 corrected in line with IFRS  Growth has been sustainably profitable since 2007 5
  • 6. 2. The Photovoltaics Market in Germany The Renewable Energy Act as support for photovoltaics Power production from renewables increased considerably Feed-in tariff boosted photovoltaic business in Germany Germany most important photovoltaic market © S.A.G. Rooftop system Location: Rain am Lech, Germany Performance: 4.6 MWp Year of grid connection: 2009 6
  • 7. 2.1 The Renewable Energy Act and its goals  Full name: Act on Granting Priority to Renewable Energy Sources (EEG)  Goals according to §1 of the EEG:  To facilitate a sustainable development of energy supply  To reduce the economic costs (in particular) by incorporating external factors (climate change, etc.)  To further develop and promote technologies for renewable energies  To distribute the costs fairly to all market participants by means of allocation  The legal foundation of the Act and the allocation are legally protected by the European Court of Justice  The EEG has been “exported” to 47 countries to date (such as China, France, Spain, Portugal, Brazil and the Czech Republic)  The EEG is supporting renewable energies efficiently 7
  • 8. 2.2 Development of renewable energies in Germany up to 2009 Power production (in TWh) 120 Gross power generation in 2009: 597 TWh Portion provided by renewable energies: 15 % 100 Wind energy 40.4 % 80 60 Biomass 32.7 % 40 Hydraulic power 20 20.3 % Photovoltaics 0 6.6 % 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1991: 2000: 2004: 2009: Introduction of forerunner Introduction of 1st amendment 2nd amendment to EEG the EEG of EEG of EEG Sources: Agency for Renewable Energies, March 2010 and German Federal Association for Energy and Water, February 2010  The EEG is a success story that started 20 years ago 8
  • 9. 2.3 Development of feed-in tariff from 2002 to 2010 Feed-in tariff (in €Cent/kWh) 60,00 60 PV-systems: Rooftops 50,00 50 Veto of Federal Assembly on 40,00 40 04/06/2010 Ground- mounted 30 30,00 ? ? Final decision in 20,00 20 07/2010 10,00 10 0,00 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1.7.2010 MWp installed: 290 432 1,053 1,961 2,773 4,017 5,950 9,800 14,300e Sources: EEG and German Telecommunications Network Agency  Installed PV capacity grew exponentially despite decreasing FIT 9
  • 10. 2.4 Feed-in tariff for the different PV systems in €cent/kWh 2009 January 1, 2010 July 1, 2010 Rooftop systems up to 30 kWp 43.01 39.14 32.88 own consumption (up to 29.9 kWp) 25.01 22.76 16.48/20.88* from 30 kWp 40.91 37.23 31.27 own consumption (30 – 99.9 kWp) - - 14.87/19.27* from 100 kWp 39.58 35.23 29.59 own consumption (100 – 500 kWp) - - 13.19/17.59* from 1,000 kWp 33.00 29.37 24.67 Ground-mounted systems Arable land 31.94 28.43 - Conversion land 31.94 28.43 25.3 Other land 31.94 28.43 24.17 *Up to 30 % own consumption or more than 30 % own consumption Source: EEG ?Veto of Federal Assembly on June 4th, 2010  Germany will see a massive cut in July 2010 10
  • 11. 2.5 Size distribution of installed photovoltaic systems in Germany in 2009 Number of installations 1.666 MWp 140,000 140.000 New installations in 2009: 3,809 MWp 120,000 120.000 100.000 100,000 80.000 80,000 60.000 60,000 40,000 40.000 869 MWp 20.000 20,000 445 MWp 192 MWp 637 MWp 0 0 0…30 30...100 100…500 500…1000 >1,000 >1.000 Performance category (in kWp) Sources: German Telecommunications Network Agency  The German photovoltaics market is a rooftop installation market 11
  • 12. 2.6 Global photovoltaic power installed by end of 2009 Power (in GWp) 25.000 25 3.1 20.6 20.000 20 1.7 0.6 15.8 0.5 15 1.2 0.3 15.000 3.4 10 10.000 9.8 5 5.000 00 Germany Spain Italy France Czech Rest of EU Total USA Rest of Total Republic EU world Source. EPIA, Global market outlook forfor photovoltaics until 2014 Source: EPIA, Global Market Outlook photovoltaics up to 2014  Germany is the largest photovoltaics market worldwide to date 12
  • 13. 3. The Costs of Photovoltaics for the German Economy Electricity tariffs for private consumers continue to rise FIT allocation less than 5 % of electricity tariff Decreasing FIT keeps cost for EEG within limits Economic costs of photovoltaics are low Photovoltaics are foreseeable an alternative © S.A.G. Ground-mounted system Location: Stribro, Pilsen, Czech Republic Performance: 13.6 MWp Year of grid connection: 2009 13
  • 14. 3.1 The electricity tariff trend in Germany (private consumers) Price (in €cent/kWh) 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 e 2011e 2012 e 2013 e Source: BDEW (German Federal Association for Energy and Water)  The electricity tariff for private consumers will continue to rise 14
  • 15. 3.2 Composition of electricity tariff (private consumers) in Germany 2009 5% 8% 3% 3% Support of renewable energies Förderung EE durch das by EEG1 EEG¹ 1% 9% Messung Measurement Vertrieb Sales KWK-Umlage² 2 KWK allocation Erzeugung Generation 16 % 29 % Netzentgelt Network charges Sales tax Mehrwertsteuer Stromsteuer Electricity tax License fee3 Konzessionsabgabe³ 26 % ¹ Renewable Energy Act ² Act on Combined Heat and Power Generation ³ Fee that a public utility company has to pay to a local authority for the use of the lines and cables located in public places Source: Agency for Renewable Energies, 2009  The support for renewable energies has a share of less than 5 % of the electricity tariff 15
  • 16. 3.3 Feed-in tariff paid for solar electricity from 2002 to 2009 Support for solar electricity (in billion €) 8 2.48 6.79 7 6 5 1.67 4 1.18 3 2 0.81 0.44 1 0.01 0.05 0.15 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total Sources: EEG and own calculations  Total economic cost of the PV success story less than 7 billion € up to 2009 16
  • 17. 3.4 Economic costs of power production have to be taken into account Total electricity costs in 2009 (in €cent/kWh) 50 45 40 35 Economic costs 30 25 20 Economic costs for coal 15 and nuclear power: 10 0.20 €/kWh & around 5 100 billion EUR per year 0 Solar electricity Conventional electricity European Energy Exchange private households trade prices Sources: German Federal Association for Energy and Water, German Federal Environmental Agency and Greenpeace as well as own calculations  Today, photovoltaic electricity is less expensive than coal and nuclear power 17
  • 18. 3.5 Grid-parity is determined by radiation intensity and manufacturing costs Manufacturing costs/kWp (in thousand €) 7 6 5 Specific yield: 1,100 kWh/kWp 4 3 850 kWh/kWp 2 1 0,23 € / kWh 0 0,10 0.10 0,15 0.15 0,20 0.20 0,25 0.25 0,30 0.30 0,35 0.35 0,40 0.40 0,45 0.45 Electricity tariff for private consumers (in €/kWh) Source: S.A.G. Solarstrom AG  Grid parity in Germany can be achieved at system prices between 3,200 and 2,500 EUR 18
  • 19. 4. The Future of the Photovoltaics Market in Germany Renewable energy’s share continues to increase Germany can remain the most significant PV market System prices need to decline in order to adapt to the market Cost for FIT payments will decrease © S.A.G. Rooftop system Location: Rain am Lech, Germany Performance: 4.6 MWp Year of grid connection: 2009 19
  • 20. 4.1 Share of renewable energies in energy generation up to 2020 6.6 % 14.4 % 8.9 % Photovoltaics Gross power Biomass production renewable 16.2 % Wind energy energies: 278 TWh Hydraulic power Geothermal energy 53.9 % Source: Agency for Renewable Energies, March 2010  In 2020, renewable energies will provide around 50 % of the total power consumption 20
  • 21. 4.2 Forecast photovoltaic power installed by 2013 Power (in GWp) 90000 90 84.3 19.9 80 80000 70000 70 14.6 60 60000 2.5 5.4 49.8 50 50000 4.9 40000 7.8 40 5.9 30000 30 23.3 20 20000 10 10000 2009: 9.8 GWp 00 Sources: own assumptions, EPIA, Photon Consulting, LBBW and EuPD  According to estimates, Germany will remain the strongest PV market worldwide 21
  • 22. 4.3 Ratio of ground-mounted systems to rooftop systems in Germany Installed capacity (in %) 100% Ground-mounted systems 80% Rooftop systems 60% 40% 20% 0% 2009 2010e 2011e 2012e 2013e Source: own calculations  S.A.G. foresee a market-share of ground-mounted systems of less than 3 % 22
  • 23. 4.4 System prices have to decrease in line with FIT tariffs Manufacturing costs (in %) 100% 90% crystalline modules 2012e: thin-film modules Modules < 1,000 € / kWp 80% < 800 € / kWp Inverters < 160 € / kWp Precondition: < 160 € / kWp Reasonable 70% profitability for investors and system integrators 60% 50% 2009 2010e 2011e 2012e Source: own calculations  Still a long way from reaching system prices which enable profitability 23
  • 24. 4.5 Forecast feed-in tariff paid for solar electricity (2010 to 2020) Support for solar electricity (in billion €) 70 Economic costs of conventional energy production: Promotion for PV: around 100 billion € per year 57 billion € within 20 years 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2009 2010e 2011e 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e Sources: EEG, Federal Government and own calculations  Decreasing FIT will flatten cost growth curve for new installations 24
  • 25. 4.6 Conclusions  IRRs of rooftop systems will be reduced significantly unless system costs will decline massively and/or changes to EEG are only moderate  Ground-mounted systems on arable land in Germany are becoming economically unattractive. IRRs for systems on other land will be considerably reduced  Only limited capacities for conversion land, “other” land (e.g. parallel to the German Autobahn or railway tracks)  Germany can remain one of the leading photovoltaic markets depending on system cost + FIT development  Grid-parity can be achieved in the coming 5 years, depending on system cost development and the cost of private consumer electricity tariff  In our opinion, ground-mounted systems will decline to less than 3% of the market (installed capacity  Politicians should reconsider planned reduction, suppliers should adapt pricing policy 25
  • 26. 5. Future Strategy of the S.A.G. Solarstrom Group  International footprint to allocate individual market risks  Unique value chain offers opportunities in mature markets such as Germany:  Full service value chain over the complete lifetime of PV systems guarantees a high profitability  Germany is a rooftop market – one of S.A.G.‟s strengths in project planning and development  Strong exclusive sales partner system enables easier market access and market coverage  The S.A.G. Solarstrom Group is very well equipped for a changing market environment 26
  • 27. Contact Public Relations / Investor Relations S.A.G. Solarstrom AG Sasbacher Straße 5 79111 Freiburg i. Br. Germany Telephone: +49 761 4770 - 311 Fax: +49 761 4770 - 44 142 pr@solarstromag.com / ir@solarstromag.com This presentation contains statements concerning future developments (or “forward-looking statements“). They are based on current expectations and forecasts of future events as made by the management body of S.A.G. Solarstrom AG, as well as on certain assumptions – many of which are beyond the influence of said management body. These statements thus involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause the company„s actual results to deviate significantly from those the statements indicate. The assumptions that could lead to such deviations due to unforeseeable developments include, but are not limited to: demand for our products and services; the competitive environment; the development, propagation, and technical performance of photovoltaic technology, as well as the price thereof; changes in legislation, price, and the timely availability of the products and advance financing required; our ability to expand existing sales and marketing agreements and conclude new such agreements; our ability to secure further financing; and the availability of sufficiently qualified technical personnel. © S.A.G. Solarstrom AG. This presentation and the graphics it contains are – when no source is cited – protected by copyright. Any unauthorized reproduction, whether electronically or by some other means, is forbidden. Both commercial and non-commercial use is subject to the prior written consent of S.A.G. Solarstrom AG. All rights reserved. 27