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PROJEKTRISIKEN Jon Sprenger
AGENDA / Ziele DES REFERATS PRAXISBSP.
Risiko: Definition des Begriffs Risiko ist …  eine Eigenschaft einer zukünftigenSituation, erfasst als: ,[object Object]
welches mit dem im Eintrittsfall zu erwartenden Schadenbewertet wird.Quelle: Patzak/Rattay (2004): Projektmanagement, S. 42.
Risikomanagement: Umfeld, Notwendigkeit & Ziele NOTWENIGKEIT UMFELD ZIELE Quelle: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 149 f.
Projekt: OHNE UND MIT RISIKOMANAGEMENT ..ohne Risikomanagement ..mit Risikomanagement
Risikomanagement: Definition & Risikoarten Risikomanagement in Projekten Risikoanalyse und -bewältigung als systematischer und formaler Prozessansatz, welcher alle Phasen des Projekts begleitet. Proaktiv, d. h. es wird auf Risiken planend und steuernd eingegangen. Risikoarten im Projekt: Quelle: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 151.
Risikomanagement als Prozess Start-Phase Ausführungs- und Koordinations-Phase Abschluss-Phase Quelle: Patzak/Rattay (2004): Projektmanagement, S. 45 f.
Risikoidentifikation  Checklisten Anpassbare Rahmenprüflisten (z. B. VDMA-Checkliste) Aus Projekterfahrungen zusammenstellen (vgl. bspw. Patzak, S. 48 ff.) Risiko-Workshop Projektvorstellung (PSP, Meilensteine etc.) Brainstorming: Teilnehmer notieren, was schief gehen kann Je Risiko Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit, monetäre Konsequenzen und Maßnahmen ermitteln (Risikoanalyse und -bewertung)  Ergebnis sind umfangreiche Risikolisten Quellen: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 153 f.; Füting (2003), Troubleshooting im Projektmanagement, S. 119 ff.
RisikoBewertung & -SELEKTION  Risikobewertung Monetäre Bewertung (Schadensmaß) Schätzen der Wahrscheinlichkeit Einfach Ansätze aus der Praxis Risikoselektion ABC-Analyse    Einfache Ansätze(Hoch, Mittel, Gering) Riskowert = Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit (%) x Tragweite (€) Quelle: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 154 ff.
PRAXISBSP.: RISIKO-WORKSHOP Vorstellung des Projekts Projekt: Transfernnachweis PM Level D ,[object Object]
Projekttermine,

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Projektrisiken

  • 2. AGENDA / Ziele DES REFERATS PRAXISBSP.
  • 3.
  • 4. welches mit dem im Eintrittsfall zu erwartenden Schadenbewertet wird.Quelle: Patzak/Rattay (2004): Projektmanagement, S. 42.
  • 5. Risikomanagement: Umfeld, Notwendigkeit & Ziele NOTWENIGKEIT UMFELD ZIELE Quelle: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 149 f.
  • 6. Projekt: OHNE UND MIT RISIKOMANAGEMENT ..ohne Risikomanagement ..mit Risikomanagement
  • 7. Risikomanagement: Definition & Risikoarten Risikomanagement in Projekten Risikoanalyse und -bewältigung als systematischer und formaler Prozessansatz, welcher alle Phasen des Projekts begleitet. Proaktiv, d. h. es wird auf Risiken planend und steuernd eingegangen. Risikoarten im Projekt: Quelle: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 151.
  • 8. Risikomanagement als Prozess Start-Phase Ausführungs- und Koordinations-Phase Abschluss-Phase Quelle: Patzak/Rattay (2004): Projektmanagement, S. 45 f.
  • 9. Risikoidentifikation Checklisten Anpassbare Rahmenprüflisten (z. B. VDMA-Checkliste) Aus Projekterfahrungen zusammenstellen (vgl. bspw. Patzak, S. 48 ff.) Risiko-Workshop Projektvorstellung (PSP, Meilensteine etc.) Brainstorming: Teilnehmer notieren, was schief gehen kann Je Risiko Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit, monetäre Konsequenzen und Maßnahmen ermitteln (Risikoanalyse und -bewertung)  Ergebnis sind umfangreiche Risikolisten Quellen: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 153 f.; Füting (2003), Troubleshooting im Projektmanagement, S. 119 ff.
  • 10. RisikoBewertung & -SELEKTION Risikobewertung Monetäre Bewertung (Schadensmaß) Schätzen der Wahrscheinlichkeit Einfach Ansätze aus der Praxis Risikoselektion ABC-Analyse    Einfache Ansätze(Hoch, Mittel, Gering) Riskowert = Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit (%) x Tragweite (€) Quelle: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 154 ff.
  • 11.
  • 17. …Identifizierung der Risiken (Brainstorming) Bewertung der identifizierten Risiken
  • 18. RISIKOÜBERWACHUNG & -VORSORGESTRATEGIEN Risikoüberwachung Mindestens zu den Hauptmeilensteinen des Projekts Z. B. mittels Prioritätskennziffern für aktuellen und Vormonat Risikovorsorgestrategien vermeiden vermindern begrenzen verlagern akzeptieren Quelle: Schelle/Ottmann/Pfeiffer (2005): Projektmanagement, S. 158 f.
  • 19. Vielen Dank für Eure Aufmerksamkeit Kontakt: Jon Sprenger Institut für Wirtschaftsinformatik Leibniz Universität Hannover Königsworther Platz 1 30167 Hannover Tel: 0511/762-4979 E-Mail: sprenger@iwi.uni-hannover.de