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This project is co-funded by Erasmus + Programm of the European Union
under Grant Agreement No 2022-1-DE02-KA220-VET-000089366 © Copyright 2023 The MegaStrat Consortium
Defining Scenario
This project is co-funded by Erasmus + Programm of the European Union
under Grant Agreement No 2022-1-DE02-KA220-VET-000089366 © Copyright 2023 The MegaStrat Consortium
Szenarien zu definieren ist essentiell um wirklich Szenarien zu erstellen,
und nicht Kausalketten oder einfache Ideen.
Im normalen Sprachgebrauch ist ein Szenario oder eine Szene oft
gebraucht. In der Literatur gibt es so viele verschiedene Definitionen wie
es verschiedene Ansätze zum erstellen gibt. Diese Definitionen
unterscheiden sich dann noch von den eigentlichen Ergebnissen wenn
Szenariotechniken angewendet werden.
Hier folgend eine Auswahl an Definitionen
Defining Scenarios
This project is co-funded by Erasmus + Programm of the European Union
under Grant Agreement No 2022-1-DE02-KA220-VET-000089366 © Copyright 2023 The MegaStrat Consortium
Defining Scenarios
Scenarios: “narratives of alternative environments in which
today’s decisions may be played out. They are not predictions.
Nor are they strategies. Instead they are more like hypotheses
of different futures specifically designed to highlight the risks
and opportunities involved in specific strategic issues” (Ogilvy &
Schwartz, 1998: 1)
Spaniol, Rowland (2019) define the following criteria
to qualify as a scenario:
Future oriented, External context, Plausibly possible,
Narrative description, Systematized set but
Comparatively differentiated, Scenario purview,
Normative qualities

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Megastrat Longterm Futurue Scenarios Defining Scenario.pptx

  • 1. This project is co-funded by Erasmus + Programm of the European Union under Grant Agreement No 2022-1-DE02-KA220-VET-000089366 © Copyright 2023 The MegaStrat Consortium Defining Scenario
  • 2. This project is co-funded by Erasmus + Programm of the European Union under Grant Agreement No 2022-1-DE02-KA220-VET-000089366 © Copyright 2023 The MegaStrat Consortium Szenarien zu definieren ist essentiell um wirklich Szenarien zu erstellen, und nicht Kausalketten oder einfache Ideen. Im normalen Sprachgebrauch ist ein Szenario oder eine Szene oft gebraucht. In der Literatur gibt es so viele verschiedene Definitionen wie es verschiedene Ansätze zum erstellen gibt. Diese Definitionen unterscheiden sich dann noch von den eigentlichen Ergebnissen wenn Szenariotechniken angewendet werden. Hier folgend eine Auswahl an Definitionen Defining Scenarios
  • 3. This project is co-funded by Erasmus + Programm of the European Union under Grant Agreement No 2022-1-DE02-KA220-VET-000089366 © Copyright 2023 The MegaStrat Consortium Defining Scenarios Scenarios: “narratives of alternative environments in which today’s decisions may be played out. They are not predictions. Nor are they strategies. Instead they are more like hypotheses of different futures specifically designed to highlight the risks and opportunities involved in specific strategic issues” (Ogilvy & Schwartz, 1998: 1) Spaniol, Rowland (2019) define the following criteria to qualify as a scenario: Future oriented, External context, Plausibly possible, Narrative description, Systematized set but Comparatively differentiated, Scenario purview, Normative qualities

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Depending on the other modules, explain what is a sceanrio/ foresight, what kind of form (text?) does it take, what makes a scenario a scenario
  2. ergänzen mit spaniols def als checkliste evtl, def auf Deutsch haben