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Oh mygov gps13 final
1. Scripting your Data Story –
Taking Control of the NarrativeTM
Richard Hartman, Ph.D.
Co-Founder
11 Jun 13
2. Setting the Stage
GovExec Headlines (Jun 2013)
“Plan for 10 Percent Budget Cut in Fiscal
2014, Defense Official Says”
“White House Unveils First-Ever Inventory of
Federal Programs”
http://www.goals.performance.gov/federalprogrami
nventory
“Where are the Low Priority Programs?”
3. Setting the Stage
FedTimes Headlines (Jun 2013)
“Deeper Cuts are Threatened in 2014”
As agencies wrestle with the fallout from this year’s
sequester-related budget cuts, many face an even
steeper round of reductions starting in October under a
recently approved blueprint by the House
Appropriations Committee.
“Flying Blind: The Impacts of Sequesters”
In the public media, escaping furloughs has become a
proxy for a well-managed agency, able to avoid the
worst effects of this challenging budgetary year.
4. “For agency executives and program
managers, the one certainty is likely to be
continued uncertainty.”
GovExec Jun2013
5. Current playing field
Sequestration is particularly painful
Indiscriminant nature of the across-the-board cuts
Executives are loosing control without the
opportunity to defend
Integrity, impact and mission related
accomplishments
At some point executive need to regain
control of the process
Be prepared to defend their programs and
budgets to internal and external stakeholders
7. Navigating through Uncertainty
Understand your mission and the internal and
external forces
Identify and focus on your stakeholders (staff,
congress, public)
Make time to monitor and control operations on
a regular basis
Understand the significance of technology as the
prime drive in today’s digital world
8. Take Control of the NarrativeTM
Making Communication more quantitative and
data-driven
Establishing clear points to enhance your story
Tying your story to the organizational mission
Let the data drive decisions
Recognize and always be prepared for change
Predicative analytics
9. Embrace New technology
Elected leaders are/or want to be very attune
to their constituents (their concerns, deepest
desires, and what they support or do not
support)
Now federal leaders can take that message
to them directly using new technologies
That is, to take control of the narrative and
get ahead of the story, event, campaign or
issue
10. IRS turns over to Congress video of employees
line dancing
In a written statement, the IRS said the video was "unacceptable
and an inappropriate use of government funds." It said the agency
has new policies in place "to ensure that taxpayer funds are being
used appropriately.”
11. What is Digital Media?
More than just
sharing pics
of yourself
online...
12. What is Social Media?
More than
just pushing
information...
13. It’s the single LARGEST
data source
of public perception
EVER created
14. It’s the single LARGEST
data source
of public behavior
EVER created
15. “The dynamic manner of their future billion
dollar decisions will be based on the
massaging of masses of data that will decide
the winners and the losers of the future.”
Ginni Rometty, CEO of IBM
21. Case Study - Treasury
Hot on Twitter:
@BreakingNews: US blocks $30 billion in Libya assets, the
largest freeze ever, Treasury Dept. says
RT @zacharykarabell: Treasury Dept reports that China owns
even more US debt than we thought. That's a lot of debt
http://tinyurl.com/49nxwuz #china #economy
Treasury Dept. Analysis March 1, 2011
33. • 17.5% of comments came
from current VA employees.
• Almost all negative.
• VA missing opportunity to
create evangelists of staff
through better internal
communications.
VA Staff
Non-VA Staff
VA Employees
Non-VA
Employees
VA SENTIMENTANALYSIS
34. • Complaints were lodged
about services provide in:
1. Dallas, TX
2. Denver, CO
3. KC VAMC
4. Los Angeles, CA
5. Manchester, NH
6. West Haven, CT
7. San Diego, CA
• Compliments in service
improvements were noted in:
1. Hampton, VA
2. West Haven, CT
3. Houston, TX
4. Worcester, MA
Where will future
problems arise?
(+)(-)
VA SENTIMENTANALYSIS
36. Social media analytics provides instantaneous insight about an
agency in comparison to other agencies based on the perceptions
of the public, congress, and the agency's own staff.
40. …by shutting out the noise and only
listening to who you want to listen to e.g.,
politicians, public, and agency
…by shutting out the noise and only
listening to who you want to listen to e.g.,
politicians, public, and agency
41. LISTEN INFORM ACT
Achieve insight into
the real issues for
public, politicians,
and staff
Monitor agency
programs to see if
national dialogue
about agency issues
is becoming more
pervasive
Provide ongoing
data and analysis
without need for
survey instruments
Use data to inform
outreach, such as
assessing drugs to
target in educational
campaigns
Identify influential
sources and better
prevent the spread
of misinformation
about this
community
Use trending stories
among this group to
determine how
better to shape
communication
materials
43. Twitter Used to Predict Box Office Success
Huberman, Bernardo A. Asur, Sitaram
• 2010 Study
• Rate at which messages were
produced used to accurately
predict opening weekend box-
office takings before the film had
opened.
Movie Prediction Reality
The Crazies $16.8M $16.06M
Dear John $30.7M $30.46M
44. • Percent Change in
Facebook Fans by
Political Affiliation Over
Time (US House)
+61
Seats
Facebook Used to Predict 2010 Election Outcomes
Einhorn, Hartman, Nelson
47. Imagine heading to a meeting with a congressional
authorizing committee or the Office of Management and
Budget to explain the impact budget cuts will have on
services and staffing. Your insights are based on limited
data regarding critical programmatic outcomes and
insufficient staffing and workload projections. On top of
that, you cannot explain how the cuts will affect the
economy and the welfare of constituencies within specific
regions, states, counties, and cities.
This is a recipe for disaster that would not serve you or
your organization well.
48. Now imagine that you prepare for this meeting by arming
yourself with insights from a variety of sources, including
FedView Survey results, program performance and
workload data, targeted public opinion research, specific
media reports, statements from the Congressional
Record and thoughts from constituents and stakeholders
collected through social media, including Facebook and
Twitter.
Having access to this level of information will shift the
dynamics of the conversation and allow agency leaders
to influence the budget process through targeted
messaging and solutions.
49. “By collectively using information from
surveys, digital media, the Web and internal
data mining you will be able to not only defend
decisions for targeted cuts, but make the
business case for sustaining programs that
work and ensure they are properly staffed and
resourced.”
Hartman and Salamone, NextGov Dec 2012
50. How are you going to address?
Furloughs
Sequestration
Program Cuts
Staffing
The survival of your Agency
51. “Taking Control of the Narrative” TM
Using Big Data to Prepare for Budget Cuts and Beyond
http://www.nextgov.com/big-data/2012/12/commentary-
using-big-data-prepare-fiscal-cliff-and-beyond/60300/?
oref=ng-HPriver
Using Social Media Monitoring for Government
Operations
http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/technology/212007-
social-media-monitoring-is-critical-for-government-
operations
Catching the Social Media Wave: Using Data To Drive
Decisions
https://www.seniorexecs.org/action_newsletter/catching_the
_social_media_wave_using_data_to_drive_decisions/
52. Scripting your Data Story –
Taking Control of the NarrativeTM
Richard Hartman, Ph.D.
Co-Founder
11 Jun 13
Hinweis der Redaktion
He ordered Defense managers to prepare several fiscal scenarios in fiscal 2014: one with a 10 percent across-the-board budget cut, and another with a 10 percent cut that allowed managers flexibility to move funds to different accounts. As called for in the 2010 Government Performance and Results Modernization Act, the inventory of some 1,600 programs was prepared by departments using a Government Accountability Office definition that deemed a program an “organized set of activities directed toward a common purpose or goal that an agency undertakes or proposes to carry out its responsibilities.” Each program listed includes a title, description and link to the strategic goals and objectives of the agency. The GPRA Modernization Act of 2010 requires agencies to annually “identify low-priority program activities based on an analysis of their contribution to the mission and goals of the agency and include an evidence-based justification for designating a program activity as low priority. ” Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., also welcomed the release, saying, “We are finally getting the data we need to make a careful review of the structure of federal programs across the government to help inform decision-making in Congress. As agencies wrestle with the fallout from this year’s sequester-related budget cuts, many face an even steeper round of reductions starting in October under a recently approved blueprint by the House Appropriations Committee. increasing defense funding next year by 5 percent and imposing severe cuts on many non-Defense Department agencies, especially the Health and Human Services, Labor, Education and State departments.
As agencies wrestle with the fallout from this year’s sequester-related budget cuts, many face an even steeper round of reductions starting in October under a recently approved blueprint by the House Appropriations Committee. increasing defense funding next year by 5 percent and imposing severe cuts on many non-Defense Department agencies, especially the Health and Human Services, Labor, Education and State departments. Furloughs have become the most visible and painful manifestation of the sequester, but agencies that steer clear of this strategy have not escaped the effects of the sequester. Doing the math, agencies avoiding furloughs will have to make up the cuts by cutting elsewhere. While these other cuts may not be as visible as furloughs, they can be equally draining on an agency, particularly over the longer term While future sequesters will take a form different from the current one, policymakers should be armed with comparable information across agencies so they can make more informed decisions about whether and how to allocate fiscal sacrifice in the coming years.
How do you take control of the narrative?
Social media didn ’t start with computers, it was born on “line” – on the phone . Introduced in workplace to keep in touch Potential misuse brought skepticism Widespread adoption created alternative uses Like the phone Social media isn ’t really “new,” but the tools, speed, and reach are... Enhance Mission with new technologies Don't fear the phone...
Social media didn ’t start with computers, it was born on “line” – on the phone . Introduced in workplace to keep in touch Potential misuse brought skepticism Widespread adoption created alternative uses Like the phone Social media isn ’t really “new,” but the tools, speed, and reach are... Enhance Mission with new technologies Don't fear the phone...
- Drives Productivity Builds businesses Creates infinite amount of products Must be harvested and refined
- Drives Productivity Builds businesses Creates infinite amount of products Must be harvested and refined
Now more than ever, federal leaders have the ability to connect, communicate, and listen to advisors, subject matter experts, and constituencies in real-time. Big data and digital media allow decision makers to view the entire landscape, ensuring a more thoughtful and balanced approach to measuring program performance, outcomes, and impacts. In short, the current and projected budget realities require new ways of gathering information related to program performance and results to better position agencies during these dire times.
Now more than ever, federal leaders have the ability to connect, communicate, and listen to advisors, subject matter experts, and constituencies in real-time. Big data and digital media allow decision makers to view the entire landscape, ensuring a more thoughtful and balanced approach to measuring program performance, outcomes, and impacts. In short, the current and projected budget realities require new ways of gathering information related to program performance and results to better position agencies during these dire times.
While everyone talking about China and Libya, Treasury is addressing other issues.
When I type in Obamacare, I come to an easy to use screen which I’ve expanded by clicking “select groups” so I can refine my search. In this particular search I only want to know what the presidential candidates are saying about Obamacare and what other people on the web are saying about Obamacare in relation to the presidential candidates.
When I do that we see that there are over 16K mentions of Obamacare for this search over facebook, digital news and Twitter. Notice, a majority of mentions are from Twitter, so this may be indicator of an outreach platform you may want to use for a particular strategy. To make this more interesting I did the same search but using the proper reference to Obamacare…the “ aforadable care act ” ….let ’ s see what we find. .
Interestingly we find a significant decrease in mentions…less than a percent…In fact we notice zero re-tweets. So if your running a messaging campaign this information is invaluable for outreach…that is using the Act does not afford the same impact as Obamacare MORE IMPORTANTLY, we see that language matters…Think about all the terms you use… by using a tool like ours you would plug those in terms to see what is sticking… Looking even deeper at obamacare I’ll click graphs.
As you can see there are a variety of ways to slice and dice this information… Here you can view by a party breakdown. As you would expect, GOP would be using Obamacare and you can see who is mentioning Obama care and where are those mentions coming from. Tools like this allow organizations to better understand and “Learn” from the SM data so you have more effective outreach for your eAdvocacy. For the more advanced user there’s our “Engagement” platform which focuses more on the ability to “ACT”
Agencies can look at what other agencies are saying and issue their own statements without stepping on each others toes Politics: who's taking credit; who's giving credit? Bump in public support? To Who? Obama? Navy Seals? What is public saying?
To get meta-data, need to do individual analysis of each politician We Provide communications performance measurement, situational intelligence, and data visualization technologies for gov ’t & politicians. Why : Large underserved market with deep pockets & unique needs/pains
VA can use comments from staff and determine best way to communicate information internally.
Additionally, researchers are finding that new media data correlates well with other performance measures. Just recently, NASA was awarded the number one ranking in the 2012 version of the Partnership for Public Service's Best Places to Work in the Federal Government. Therefore, combining the number one ranking in social media with the Best Places to Work rankings provide an abundance of additional measures of success for the agency to examine and explore.
OhMyGov Media Monitoring is able to listen to military members and their families exclusively …
Facebook mirrors reality
Facebook mirrors reality
Facebook mirrors reality
By becoming aware and utilizing these new technologies, federal executives can defend their decisions for targeted cuts to congress, the public and their employees and also make the case for sustaining effective programs while investing in emerging programs.
By collectively using information from surveys, digital media, the Web and internal data mining you will be able to not only defend decisions for targeted cuts, but make the business case for sustaining programs that work and ensure they are properly staffed and resourced. You’ll also be better positioned to identify emerging opportunities and redirect savings to invest in new technologies and jobs of the future. The era of big data is here. It’s time to start embracing it.