SEMPL17: Phil Shaw, Head of Digital and Innovation, Ipsos Connect, UK
1. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
phil.shaw@ipsos.com
The Attention Deficit
@phshaw
2. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
The problem…
I know that half
the money I spend on
advertising is wasted.
My only problem is
that I don’t know
which half.
John Wanamaker
US department store owner (1838 - 1922)
3. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
There is a consensus that marketing spend must be
directed to into more targeted, less wasteful activity and
that consumer messages need to become
100 years later…
MediaSense 2020 study (conducted 2015)
more targeted less wasteful
more timely, relevant and dynamic.
4. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Getting attention is getting harder
Ipsos tracking data
500
TRPs
750
TRPs
1000
TRPs
% change in average branded TV ad recognition 2009-2014
-11% -11%
-13%
5. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Getting attention is getting harder
Ipsos tracking data
750
TRPs
1000
TRPs
% change in average branded TV ad recognition 2010-2014
-3%
-5%
-9%
-11%
1500
TRPs
2000
TRPs
6. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Getting attention is getting harder
Ipsos tracking data
500
TRPs
750
TRPs
1000
TRPs
% change in average branded TV ad recognition 2009-2013
-8%
-21%
-26%
7. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Multi-screening causes a 72% drop in TV ad recall
Source: AOL
8. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
80% of YouTube Trueview ads are skipped
9. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
If it looks like an ad, it’s more likely to be skipped
‘The First 5 Seconds: Creating YouTube Ads That Break Through in a Skippable World’, Google-Ipsos study, 2015
Humour
Suspense
Emotion
Celebrities
Branding
10. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Ad-blocking goes viral
Jan 2010 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015
July 2009 July 2010 July 2011 July 2012 July 2013 July 2014
Global monthly active ad
blocking software users (desktop)
181M
121M
54M
39M
30M
21M
11. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Will technology be the answer?
89
74
72
70
61
51
39
39
29
10
17
25
29
29
60
72
MediaSense 2020 study (conducted 2015)
Mobile
Social Media
Programmatic
VoD
Digital OOH
Search
Addressable TV
Native advertising
Online display
Out of home
Broadcast TV
Regional newsbrands
Cinema
Radio
Magazines
Newspapers
Media investment
intentions 2015-2020
(net more-less)
12. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Programmatic landscape
197 digital metrics from the ARF
30 engagement metrics from the IAB
13. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
x
=
Right people
@ right time
Right content
Positive effect on attitudes & behaviours
in the short & long-term
14. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Make the first 5 seconds count
Evaluate the metrics that matter
Reach the right audience
15. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Make the first 5 seconds count
1
16. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
You’re 5 seconds from irrelevance
It’s no longer what’s the greatest idea you’ve got
but what’s the greatest idea you’ve got in 5 seconds?
Keith Weed, Global CMO, Unilever
17. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Right time, right place, right context
18. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Engage consumer motivations and biases
19. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
It’s not enough to just ‘be emotional’ – the
insight must resonate in meaningful ways
20. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Simplicity & consistency
21. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Reach the right audience
2
22. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Reach the right people, at the right time
3xDifference in desire to
“eat fish fingers now”
Hungry:
exposed to ad
33%
Not hungry:
exposed to ad
12%
23. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
But who are the right people?
1 in 4 (UK) beer drinkers are women
24. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Reach is is still important…light users matter
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Light HeavyFrequency of usage/purchase
Many light users Few heavy users
25. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Evaluate the metrics that matter
3
26. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Not everything that
counts can be counted.
Not everything that can
be counted counts.
27. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
What attitudes or behaviours
do you wish to influence?
Over what
timeframe?
Which metrics demonstrate
their success?
28. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
The minute we choose to measure something,
we are essentially choosing to aspire to it.
Youngme Moon, Harvard Business School
Beware perverse incentives
29. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Ad clicks or sales?
Under 18
18 - 24
25 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
65+
‘Display ad clickers are not your customers’, Quantcast
Online Retailer - Clickers
Internet Average
Under 18
18 - 24
25 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
65+
Online Retailer - Converters
Internet Average
30. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
impact, not click through
Optimising live campaigns in real-time…based on brand
Person exposed to ad
in their newsfeed
Later, we retarget
them with a survey ad
3 questions to
measure brand impact
31. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
Ad engagement is not the same as brand impact
Ad B
Ad A 49%
39%
% views among those reached
(viewed 3 seconds or more)
Ad B achieved 150%
greater brand
consideration among
all those reached
32. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
x
Right content
Positive effect on attitudes & behaviours
=
Right people
@ right time
Make the first 5 seconds count
Evaluate the metrics that matter
Reach the right audience
33. Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
#ipsosconnect
Thank you
Ipsos Connect - Uniting Media and Creativity in a Connected World | October 2015 | Version 1
@phshaw
Hinweis der Redaktion
One of the most famous quotes in marketing.
Today’s media world would be unrecognisable to Wanamaker.
Despite….or more accurately, because of the enormous changes we’ve experienced in technology, communications and media….the same problem remains:
Too much waste, too many messages that aren’t relevant or timely.
In today’s media environment, getting attention is getting harder.
Ad recognition is falling over-time, especially at higher frequencies.
It appears that multi-screening and ad skipping are taking their toll and people are paying less attention to ads…especially ones they’ve seen before.
We see the same pattern across Europe
Research from AOL has shown our ability to recall TV ads drops by three-quarters if we’re multi-screening.
(Source: http://www.tubefilter.com/2014/12/05/aol-nielsen-video-ad-attention-index-multiple-devices/)
And it’s not just a challenge for TV.
When people are online, they’re impatient for content.
That’s why 80% of YouTube Trueview ads are skipped.
Our work with Google revealed which factors drive views and skipping behaviour.
And people are actively trying to avoid ads. They feel bombarded.
http://downloads.pagefair.com/reports/2015_report-the_cost_of_ad_blocking.pdf
The consensus in the industry is that new media, technology and platforms will solve the problem.
Advertisers are focusing spend on more personal, addressable and digital channels.
To provide more relevant and targeted communications.
But this doesn’t mean solving the problem is going to be easy. New technology and means of communication bring new challenges.
The speed of change and variety of media and creative choices, as well as the metrics by which to measure them, can be bewildering:
Programmatic landscape….197 digital metrics from ARF….30 engagement metrics from IAB…
So perhaps it’s time to take a step back and remind ourselves what the goal of brand communications is….
And that means…
(Let’s begin with reaching the right audience).
And that means…
(Let’s begin with reaching the right audience).
Big ideas still hold vital importance….people want to spend time with ideas and content that truly engages them…
But you need to get their attention quickly…and hold it.
Programmatic ad buying can help achieve this by delivering ads to specific audiences on specific platforms and based on deducing their interests and behaviours. It’s much more useful to serve an ad for burgers to hungry person at meal time than deliver an ad for cars to someone who doesn’t drive.
Great creativity will always help you cut through the clutter….and data is increasingly helping to provide creative fuel as in this example from BA.
People are much more likely to attend to something that really matters to them and that they really care about.
This is the reduce speed dial. It’s from a campaign by Volkswagen in New Zealand.
VW partnered on this with the govt road safety body and used behavioural psychology to encourage people to drive more safely by getting their kids to design a new speedometer for them.
They couldn’t do it at scale, but the qual feedback from those who took part was that it revolutionised their habits and made them much safer drivers.
Much more effective than warnings or fines from the govt.
(Source: http://www.volkswagen.co.nz/speeddial)
We’ve known for a long-time that emotions drive decisions and ads that use emotion can be very effective.
It’s not enough to just be emotional: For every Dove or Always campaign, there are emotional campaigns with no obvious or meaningful connection to the brand.
When we help clients develop the big ideas behind their campaigns, those ideas that resonate with people in personally meaningful and relevant ways achieve double the amount of sales as those that don’t.
These kind of insights that connect with people at meaningful levels that engage attention and drive great campaigns.
Apple = fairly obvious example, but a good one.
In a world where people are bombarded and overwhelmed with communications and content, simplicity and consistency are more important than ever.
Simplicity: We know from experience that people won’t work hard to understand your ads and comms with multiple messages or product benefits risk confusion and tend to underperform.
Consistency: in creative style and use of brand iconography over-time also helps because it means people immediately know which brand its for.
50% of the reason why TV ads fail to achieve brand impact is due to weak brand attribution (Source: Ipsos)
It doesn’t matter if you capture attention, if people don’t know who the ad’s from.
Programmatic promises to do this….to eliminate waste by reaching the right people and doing so at the time when they’re most receptive
There are clear benefits to doing this well:
Birds Eye fish fingers example (using Ipsos mobile research).
But we also need to consider who the “right people” are:
Most brands grow by increasing penetration
Quarter of beer drinkers are women (19% women drink beer every week vs. 62% men) but how many beer ads target women? http://www.hscic.gov.uk/catalogue/PUB14184/alc-eng-2014-rep.pdf
…and brand growth comes from increasing usage among light users and drawing in new ones.
So it’s vital to reach as wide an audience as possible.
Programmatic tends to target based on people who have shown signals of prior interest in a category:
Tendency is to focus on “timely” messages that prompt people to buy now
Nothing wrong with that but brands also need to build strength in the long-term
E.g. car buyers
E.g. person who buys Whiskas for first cat based on years of advertising
Will smartest programmatic target people who haven’t seen/searched?
Programmatic is the future of all ad buying across online, mobile and TV…but if it’s to be used to build successful brands in the long-term, then it requires optimisation to brand building goals not just as a short-term sales driver.
The availability of digital metrics for proven behaviours are very enticing because they provide instant and real-time feedback as Einstein said ___________
Too often, digital and programmatic campaigns focus on optimisation to click through rate or other short term behavioural metrics.
So we need to start with core principles….
This is important because the metrics we set to judge success determine our approach to achieving it.
“The minute we choose to measure something, we are essentially choosing to aspire to it.” – Youngme Moon, ‘Different’
See VW, who made cars built to achieve (or cheat) the emissions metrics they were set.
Also…the Cobra Effect – the Raj tried to get rid of cobras in Indian cities by incentivising people to kill snakes for a reward…so people bred more of them.
Short-term metrics make sense if your goal is to drive short-term immediate sales but even then care must be taken.
This data from Quantcast shows that the people who click on ads the most tend to be younger and older and not the people who go on to purchase.
Optimising to click through doesn’t mean optimising to brand impact.
We developed an approach to help advertisers void these pitfalls and optimise to brand impact.
Technology has transformed how people, brands and media owners approach communication
But the goal remains the same: to reach and move audiences in the short term and build desire in the long-term
So…