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RINGING
TRUE
the scientific &
societal relevance
of dendrochronology
at the start of
its second century
Department of Geography
University of Nevada, Reno
December 2, 2020
Tree-ring display at elementary school
Photograph:Tom Swetnam
1929
Source: National Geographic (1929)
A.E. DOUGLASS
Source: Arizona State Museum
Source: National Geographic (1929)
DENDROARCHEOLOGY

DENDROCHEMISTRY
DENDROECOLOGY
DENDROENTOMOLOGY
DENDROGEOMORPHOLOGY
DENDROHYDROLOGY
DENDROPROVENANCING
DENDROPYROLOGY
DENDROSEISMOLOGY
DENDROSILVICULTURE
DENDROVULCANOLOGY
TREE RINGS + OTHER
NATURAL ARCHIVES EMPOWER
US TO EXTEND OUR
PERSPECTIVE ON
ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,
RESOURCES, AND HAZARDS.
NOVEL
GLOBAL SYNCRONY
STRANGE & RARE
SOLAR ACTIVITY
THE ECOLOGICAL LEGACIES
OF WAR
Tree-ring display at elementary school
Source: Tom Swetnam
RINGS
IN THE BRANCHES OF
SAWED TREES SHOW
THE NUMBER OF YEARS
AND, ACCORDING TO THEIR
THICKNESS,
THE YEARS WHICH WERE
MORE OR LESS
DRY.
“ ”
Leonardo da Vinci
SAN JOSÉ | COSTA RICA
TREE RINGS MAY BE SIMPLE
MEASURES OF A TREE’S BIOLOGICAL
ACTIVITY, BUT THEY ARE NOT EASY
TO INTERPRET AS DATING TOOLS,
ENVIRONMENTAL PROXIES, OR
INDICATORS OF FOREST HEALTH.
TOTAL RING-WIDTH
EARLYWOOD WIDTH LATEWOOD WIDTH
MAXIMUM LATEWOOD DENSITY
!13C
!180
!D
TRACHEID SIZE
HOW MANY
(COMPLETE) TREE RINGS
ARE VISIBLE IN THIS
MICROPHOTOGRAPH?
HOW MANY
(COMPLETE) TREE RINGS
ARE VISIBLE IN THIS
MICROPHOTOGRAPH?
1871 1872 1873 1874
Source: Dr. Dan Griffin, University of Minnesota
Source: Dr. Dan Griffin, University of Minnesota
NORTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO
CRATER LAKE NATIONAL PARK
1809 1811 181218081807
Source: Sarah Appleton, University of Minnesota
BARK
‘MISSING’ RING
±0
TREE RINGS + OTHER
NATURAL ARCHIVES ENABLE
US TO EXTEND OUR
PERSPECTIVE ON
ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,
RESOURCES, AND HAZARDS.
ALEXANDER VON HUMBOLDT
SEVERAL EXAMPLES… SEEM TO CONFIRM
THE IDEA THAT THERE ARE STILL
TREES ON THE GLOBE
OF A TREMENDOUS ANTIQUITY
AND PERHAPS WITNESSES
TO ITS MOST RECENT PHYSICAL REVOLUTIONS.
“ ”
Alexander von Humboldt
Views of Nature (1808)
NOVEL
GLOBAL SYNCRONY
STRANGE & RARE
SOLAR ACTIVITY
THE ECOLOGICAL LEGACIES
OF WAR
Source: David Mitchell
SNOWSHOE HARE
ELTON (1924) ARGUED THAT CLIMATE ‘CYCLES’ SERVED TO SYNCHRONIZE THE POPULATION DYNAMICS
OF SEVERAL ANIMAL SPECIES, INCLUDING SNOWSHOE HARE IN NORTHERN CANADA.
Source: Elton, Journal of Experimental Biology (1924)
19001850 1860 1870 1880 1890 191018401830
RABBIT
LYNX
A.E. DOUGLASS
Source: Arizona State Museum
Source: NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory
THE MORAN EFFECT
THE PHENOMENON WHEREBY SPATIAL SYNCHRONY IN POPULATION FLUCTUATIONS IS CAUSED
BY CORRESPONDING SYNCHRONY IN SOME ENVIRONMENTAL DRIVER .
BUT IF SPATIAL SYNCHRONY IS WEAK…
…WE NEED A HIGH NUMBER OF
OBSERVATIONS (THROUGH TIME)
TO IDENTIFY THE EFFECT.
Source: Danny Margoles
THE OLDEST DATED TREE IN MINNESOTA (AN EASTERN WHITE CEDAR) HAS AN INNERMOST RING OF
CE 1452 (WHICH HAPPENS TO BE LEONARDO’S BIRTH YEAR).
41
Source: Delgado Manzanedo et al., Nature Ecology & Evolution (2020)
DURING THE PAST 50 YEARS, TREE GROWTH HAS BEEN MORE SYNCHRONOUS THAN AT ANY TIME IN
THE PAST MILLENNIUM, AND THAT PATTERN IS CONSISTENT ACROSS MAJOR GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS.
NOTABLY, MANZANEDO ET AL. FIND
THE OBSERVED RECENT
INCREASE IN TREE GROWTH
IS BEST EXPLAINED BY
TEMPERATURE,
WHICH SHOWS A RECENT RAPID RISE IN
GLOBAL SYNCHRONY AS WELL.
“ ”
Lara Kueppers
Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2020
THE ABERRANT
GLOBAL SYNCHRONY
OF PRESENT-DAY
WARMING
UNUSUALLY WARM WEATHER BETWEEN THE TENTH AND THIRTEENTH CENTURIES IS OFTEN CITED AS
ONE FACTOR THAT ENABLED THE SHORT-LIVED NORSE COLONIZATION OF THE AMERICAS.
Source: Neukom et al., Nature (2019)
EVEN WHEN WE PUSH BACK TO THE EARLIEST DAYS OF THE ROMAN EMPIRE, WE CANNOT DISCERN
ANY EVENT THAT IS REMOTELY EQUIVALENT TO THE WARMING OVER THE PAST FEW DECADES.
Source: Neukom et al., Nature (2019)
Source: Empire, Trees, and Climate in the North Atlantic
NOVEL
GLOBAL SYNCRONY
STRANGE & RARE
SOLAR ACTIVITY
THE ECOLOGICAL LEGACIES
OF WAR
1859SEPTEMBER 1-2
Source: Rich Hoeg
AURORAS WERE SEEN WORLDWIDE, LATER DESCRIBED AS “A SIGHT NEVER TO BE FORGOTTEN, AND
WAS CONSIDERED AT THE TIME TO BE THE GREATEST AURORA RECORDED..."
PITCH-BLACK STORM-CLOUDS
FURROWED BY BLAZES OF STRANGE RESPLENDENCE;
IMMENSE FLAMING TONGUES AND
BLINDING IGNEOUS GLOBULES
THAT DISAPPEARED ONLY TO LIGHT BACK SECONDS AFTER,
GIVING THE IMPRESSION OF
A HUNDRED ERUPTING VOLCANOES.
“ ”
José Inés Ruiz
Montería, Colombia (1859)
TELEGRAPH SYSTEMS ALL OVER EUROPE AND NORTH AMERICA FAILED, AND SOME OPERATORS
COULD CONTINUE TO TRANSMIT MESSAGES EVEN AFTER DISCONNECTING THE POWER.
Source: John Schanlaub
Source: Carrington, Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society (1859)
THE CARRINGTON EVENT OF 1859
THE TOTAL U.S. POPULATION
AT RISK OF EXTENDED POWER OUTAGE FROM
A CARRINGTON-LEVEL STORM
IS BETWEEN 20-40 MILLION,
WITH DURATIONS OF 16 DAYS TO 1-2 YEARS.
“ ”
Lloyd's of London and Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc.
Solar Storm Risk to the North American Electric Grid (2013)
HOW OFTEN
IS EARTH AFFECTED BY
CARRINGTON-TYPE
GEOMAGNETIC
STORMS?
14C
DR. FUSA MIYAKE
Source: Miyake et al., Nature (2012)
DR. MIYAKE DISCOVERED A RAPID 14C INCREASE FROM CE 774 TO 775 IN TWO JAPANESE CEDAR TREES,
WHICH WAS NOT APPARENT IN THE STANDARD (10-YEAR AVERAGED) RADIOCARBON CURVE (RIGHT).
WE’D EXPECT THESE
[SUPERNOVAE AND SUPERFLARES]
TO BE GLOBAL EVENTS
THAT WOULD APPEAR IN THE RADIOCARBON OF
ANY LONG TREE-RING CHRONOLOGY
AROUND THE WORLD.
“ ”
Kevin Anchukaitis
National Geographic (2012)
Source: Iris & B. Gerald Cantor Center for Visual Arts at Stanford University
Source: Büntgen et al., Nature Communications (2018)
IN 2018, ULF BÜNTGEN AND COLLEAGUES TESTED WHETHER THE CE 774 EVENT (AND A SECOND 14C
SPIKE IN CE 993) COULD BE FOUND IN THE WORLD’S LONGEST TREE-RING CHRONOLOGIES…
Source: Büntgen et al., Nature Communications (2018)
… AND TO EVERYONE’S GREAT RELIEF, EACH AND EVERY TREE-RING CHRONOLOGY TESTED IN THE
NORTHERN (BLUE) AND SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE (RED) HAD THE SAME 14C JUMPS IN THE SAME YEAR!
Source: NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory
NOVEL
GLOBAL SYNCRONY
STRANGE & RARE
SOLAR ACTIVITY
THE ECOLOGICAL LEGACIES
OF WAR
ALEXANDER VON HUMBOLDT
DR. CLAUDIA HARTL
KÅFJORD, NORWAY
LOCALLY
ABSENT
RINGS
BARK
‘MISSING’ RING
LOCALLY ABSENT RINGS
ARE EXTREMELY RARE
IN TREE-RING RECORDS
FROM HIGH LATITUDES
AND HIGH ELEVATIONS.
“ ”
St. George et al.
Geophysical Research Le ers, 2013
WHY DID THESE HARDY
NORWEGIAN TREES
SHUT DOWN CAMBIAL
ACTIVITY FOR ONE OR
MORE YEARS?
Source: Hartl et al., Anthropocene (2019)
1945
GERMAN TROOPS ENTER OSLO, 1940
THE SUPER BATTLESHIP TIRPITZ
THE SHORTEST MEMORANDUM WRITTEN BY SIR WINSTON CHURCHILL
DURING THE SECOND WORLD WAR CONSISTS OF ONLY THREE WORDS:
WHERE IS
TIRPITZ?
“ ”
Memorandum to the First Sea Lord, Sir Dudley Pound
December 14, 1942
FEBRUARY MARCH APRIL MAY
April 3
Operation Tungsten
February 10-11
Soviet air raid 1
Source: Hartl et al., Anthropocene (2019)
Operation
TUNGSTEN
Apr 3rd 1944
ARTIFICIAL SMOKE TO PROTECT TIRPITZ
WHEN POURED INTO THE WATER,
THE LIQUID TAKES THE PAINT
OFF THE SIDES OF THE BOADS
AND CAUSES THE PUTTY
AROUND THEIR PORTHOLES
TO FLAKE AND DROP OFF.
“ ”
Tactical and Technical Trends
U.S. Military Intelligence Service, May 6 1943
1945
TREE RINGS + OTHER
NATURAL ARCHIVES ENABLE
US TO EXTEND OUR
PERSPECTIVE ON
ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,
RESOURCES, AND HAZARDS.
Source: Christian Gries
PASSAU, GERMANY
Source: Christian Gries
Source: Vivid Maps
SETTLER POPULATION
THROUGH TIME
106
Source: J Hazard
WINNIPEG | CANADA
RED RIVER SETTLEMENT
1812
MAY 161826
THE WHOLE FACE OF THE COUNTRY,
BOTH BELOW AND ABOVE OUR ENCAMPMENT
IS COVERED WITH WATER,
AND IN THIS WINDY WEATHER, LOOKS LIKE
AN IMMENSE LAKE IN A STORM.
“ ”
Red River Journal
May 1826
1950
1997
Source: Dr. Greg Brooks, Geological Survey of Canada
THE WINNIPEG FLOODWAY ($665M CDN)
115
WINNIPEG | 750K
SELKIRK | 10K
30KM/18MI
Source: The Canadian Press
ORAL TRADITION AND ARCHEOLOGICAL EVIDENCE HOLD THE FORKS OF THE RED AND ASSINIBOINE
RIVERS AS A KEY TRANSCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE POINT FOR FIRST NATIONS PEOPLES.
THE INTEGRITY OF THE UPPER LAYERS
OF THE EXCAVATION SITE
WERE DESTROYED BY RAILWAY DEVELOPMENT,
MOSTLY OBLITERATING ANY
RECORD OF THE FUR TRADE ERA.
“ ”
Thousands Of Artifacts Found At Canadian Museum Of Human Rights Site
Winipeg Free Press, August 29 2013
Many contemporary applications
of paleoclimatology and paleohydrology
are useful because of the lasting disruption
to our collective environmental memory
caused by colonization.
Source: Ruth Bonneville / Winnipeg Free Press
Source: National Geographic (1929)
Source: Smithsonian Institution Archives
NEIL JUDD, NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC
@sco stgeorge

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