Ireland's Energy Futures

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This document summarizes an analysis of future energy scenarios for Ireland. It finds that transport and residential sectors currently demand the most energy. Business as usual would rely heavily on imported fossil fuels, posing security risks. Demand side management could reduce energy demand by 10% by 2040 through peak load management and efficiency improvements. The 202020+offshore scenario, involving renewable energy targets for 2020 and 2030, efficiency measures, and offshore wind and ocean energy, could reduce emissions 25% below business as usual levels by 2040. Key strategies include renewable feed-in tariffs, electric vehicles, biofuels, public sector efficiency targets, and offshore renewable development.

Technologie Business

Course MJ 2413 – Energy and Environment
Division of Energy Systems Analysis Department of
Energy Technology Winter Semester 2012/2013
ENERGY FUTURES IN IRELAND
Group Members:
Estrella Piechulek
Sahana Naganathan
Dharshana Siriwardhana
Caroline Saul
Andrea Ranzanici

1. Business as Usual
Transport and Residential the two most demanding sectors

1. Business as Usual
• 87.7% of the demand met by oil and natural gas (2010)
• Most of the fossil fuels imported
 Serious problem with ENERGY SECURITY

2. Demand Side Management
1. Peak Load Management
2. Efficiency Improvements

2. Demand Side Management
-10 % Energy Demand by 2040

3. 20/20/20 and Beyond
1. REFIT 2 and REFIT 3:
Feed-in Tariff: Wind, Hydro, Landfill gas and Biomass
1. TRANSPORTATION:
Electric cars: 10% by 2020
Biofuel mix: 10% by 2020, 19% by 2040
3. EFFICIENCY MEASURES
Efficiency: +20 % in 2020
Public Sector: -33% consumption by 2020 (from ‘00 values)
4. OFFSHORE ENERGY (envision)
1500 MW of ocean energy by 2020
4500 MW of offshore wind by 2030

3. 20/20/20 and Beyond
202020 + offshore Scenario in 2040: -25% compared to BAU

3. 20/20/20 and Beyond
2020 2040
BAU
202020+offshore

4. GHG Mitigation
• Transport scenario not reducing GHGs since no RES defined
• The lower values of GHG Emissions for the 202020+offshore

5. References
Statistics:
– SEAI
– EuroStat
– C.S.O
– S.E.I.
Projections:
– SEAI
– I.E.A.
– Forfas
– S.E.I.

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