Vision 2020 for Indian Chemical Industry Growth

“ Vision 2020 for Indian Chemical Industry” 22 nd – 23 rd April, 2009

Petrochemical Industry Value Chain Feed stock Building Blocks Main Products End Use Electronics, Furniture Packaging, Pipes Propane Crude Oil & Natural Gas Olefins ( Ethylene, Propylene, Butadiene ) Aromatics ( Benzene, Xylene) Polymers Fiber Chemicals Detergents, Fertilizers Paints, Pharma Textiles Ethane Naphtha Automobiles Elastomers

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Global Ethylene Market - 2008 HPL Estimate Asia largest consumer and largest importer Million MT Demand Production Surplus / Deficit America Middle East / Africa Europe Asia

[object Object],PE Business: 08-09, KTA HPL Estimate

[object Object],PP Business: 08-09, KTA HPL Estimate

Positive growth, even in Recession … Indian PO Consumption - mmtpa CAGR – 10.8% 3.5 % HPL Estimate

Huge capacity additions in near future KT PO Capacity additions RIL RIL GAIL, RIL HPL RIL GAIL RIL, HPL IOC GAIL ONGC Projected HPL Estimate RIL

Capacity Additions – PO, KTA ,[object Object],Source – Company announcements HPL IOCL RIL ONGC GAIL

[object Object],[object Object],Impact of Global Meltdown Source – Industry Estimates KT Half Yearly PO Consumption since 2006-07 15 %

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Reason for the Speedy Recovery

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Growth drivers

GDP Growth rate over the years Consistent Growth………

Economy - Purchasing Price Parity, 2008 ,[object Object],Source – World Fact Book

[object Object],Demography – Household Income, USD Source – World Fact Book

Demography – Working Age Population Young India …Assured workforce for next 50 yrs Source – Goldman Sachs %

Changing Lifestyle Lifestyle shift - Growth @ 22 % CAGR … 2004 – $6.3 Billion 2015 – $55.8 Billion

Govt. of India’s Focus on Infrastructure billion USD High growth rate in Infrastructure Sector: Demand multiplier 456 bn $ Investment in 11 th Five Year plan (2007– 2012) Source:Planning Comm. 10 th Plan 11 th Plan Increase Impact on Polymer demand Power 61.52 128.22 108% Indirect Road & Railways 44.88 156.12 248% Indirect Ports and Airports 1.77 31.18 1767% Indirect Telecom 19.63 56.35 187% Direct Irrigation 24.89 44.67 79% Direct Water Supply & Sanitation 13.6 25.94 91% Direct Others 3.87 13.61 252% Total 170.55 456.09 168%

Overview of downstream polymer processing industry ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source : CPMA

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Perceived weakness of processing industry

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Emerging trend over the last few years

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Emerging trend over the last few years

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],High Growth Sector * Estimated FY 08-09 FY 13-14 Cement MMTPA 182 256* Polymer Req, KTA 250 360*

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],High Growth Sector

High Performing Sector : Projected growth in next 5 years % Last five years PO Industry Growth CAGR 10.8%

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],High potential sector at nascent stage Products of natural resource management …

Geotextile - Increased shelf-life … Without Geo-textile With Geo-textile Rural road in Birbhum district, West Bengal

Geotextile - Sea Embankment (Geo tube) Road construction Needs lot of promotional activity with Govt depts. amazing utilization …

Geotextile - protection against natural calamity … Without Geo-textile With Geo-textile Mayurakshi River Bank (West Bengal)

Supply Demand projection till 2015 KT Demand Growth at conservative CAGR of 10%

Growth Engine : PCPIR ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Growth Engine : National Policy on Petrochemicals ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Additional support required from Govt ,[object Object],[object Object]

Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],At point of influx …

Vision 2020 for Indian Chemical Industry Growth

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Vision 2020 for Indian Chemical Industry Growth