By John Ulimwengu

1. Tracking Key CAADP Indicators
and Implementation
John Ulimwengu, Africa-wide ReSAKSS Coordinator
Senior Research Fellow, Africa Region, IFPRI, USA

2. TRACKING CAADP INDICATORS
• Track progress on CAADP indicators
• CAADP RF, +40 indicators
• Including CAADP expenditure & growth targets
• Interactive website www.resakss.org
• Publish flagship Annual Trends & Outlook
Reports (ATORs)
• Africawide ATOR is the official CAADP M&E Report
• In-depth analysis of a feature topic
• Next ATORs on Social Protection (2018) & Gender
(2019)
• Chapter on CAADP RF

3. SHARE OF GOVERNMENT
AGRICULTURE
EXPENDITURE IN TOTAL
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE (%),
2008–2014 AND 2014–
2018
• Annual average growth in Africa’s government
agricultural expenditure has significantly declined
in recent years.
• It grew at 0.5 percent in 2008–2014 and at 0.9
percent in 2014–2018 compared with 7.2 percent
in 2003–2008 and 10.5 percent in 1995–2003.
• share of agricultural expenditure increased on
average 3.6 percent per year between 2003 and
2008, but then decelerated to only grow at 3.2
percent between 2014 and 2018
Malawi
SierraLeone
Mali
Senegal
Niger
Rwanda
Cameroon
CaboVerde
Zimbabwe
Gambia
Uganda
Mozambique
Cent.Af.Rep.
Guinea
Nigeria
Guinea-Bissau
Burundi
Seychelles
Botswana
Congo,Rep.
Sudan
Comoros
EquatorialGuinea
Percent
Annual avg. level (2008-2014) Annual avg. level (2014-2018)
CAADP 10% target

4. AGRICULTURE
PRODUCTION INDEX
NUMBER (2004-2006
= 100) (INT. $)
• During the review period, API
increased consistently for
Africa
• For Africa as a whole, it grew
by 2.8 percent in 1995–2003,
3.2 percent in 2003–2008,
and 3.6 percent in 2014–
2016.
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
Africa SSA Central Eastern Northern Southern Western
Annual avg. level (1995-2003) Annual avg. level (2003-2008)
Annual avg. level (2008-2014) Annual avg. level (2014-2016)

5. AGRICULTURE VALUE
ADDED ANNUAL
AVERAGE GROWTH
(%), 2014-2018
• Only 15 countries
either met or
surpassed the 6
percent target in
2014–2018
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Annual avg. change (2014-2018) CAADP 6% Target

6. AGRICULTURE VALUE
ADDED PER WORKER
(CONSTANT 2010
USS)
• Agriculture labor productivity for
Africa as a whole, measured by
agriculture value added per
agricultural worker, decelerated
from an annual average growth of
2.2 percent in the period 1995–
2003 to 1.5 percent in 2008–2014
before increasing to a 2.0 percent
growth rate over the 2014–2018
period
-8.00
-6.00
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
Africa SSA Central Eastern Northern Southern Western
Annual avg. change (1995-2003) Annual avg. change (2008-2014)
Annual avg. change (2014-2018)

7. AGRICULTURE VALUE
ADDED PER HECTARE
OF AGRICULTURAL
LAND (CONSTANT
2010 USS)
• For Africa as a whole,
annual average growth in
land productivity,
measured by agricultural
value added per hectare
of arable land, declined
from 3.3 percent in 1995–
2003 to 1.7 percent in
2008–2014 and rose to
6.2 percent in 2014–2018
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
Africa SSA Central Eastern Northern Southern Western
Annual avg. change (1995-2003) Annual avg. change (2008-2014)
Annual avg. change (2014-2018)

8. CAADP STATUS
MATTERS
Note:
• CL1=group of countries that have signed
a CAADP compact;
• CL2=group of countries that have signed
a compact and formulated a NAIP;
• CL3=group of countries that have signed
a compact, formulated a NAIP, and
secured one external funding sources;
• CL4=group of countries that have signed
a compact, formulated a NAIP, and
secured more than one external funding
source.
0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1000.00
1200.00
1400.00
1600.00
CAADP Level 1 CAADP Level 2 CAADP Level 3 CAADP Level 4
AgVAperworker
Annual avg. level (1995-2003) Annual avg. level (2003-2008)
Annual avg. level (2008-2014) Annual avg. level (2014-2018)
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
CAADP Level 1 CAADP Level 2 CAADP Level 3 CAADP Level 4
AgVAperha
Annual avg. level (1995-2003) Annual avg. level (2003-2008)
Annual avg. level (2008-2014) Annual avg. level (2014-2018)
Labor productivity
Land productivity

9. INTRA-AFRICAN
AGRICULTURAL
TRADE, EXPORTS
(CONSTANT 2010
US$, MILLION)
• Growth in intra-African agricultural
exports has been particularly strong,
with Africa’s intra-African agricultural
exports more than quadrupling
between 2003–2008 and 2014–2018.
• The progressive elimination of tariff
and nontariff barriers as envisioned
under the African Continental Free
Trade Area is expected to significantly
improve Africa’s trade performance.
0.00
500.00
1000.00
1500.00
2000.00
2500.00
3000.00
3500.00
4000.00
Africa SSA Central Eastern Northern Southern Western
Annual avg. level (1995-2003) Annual avg. level (2003-2008)
Annual avg. level (2008-2014) Annual avg. level (2014-2018)

10. UNDERNOURISHMENT
• For Africa as a whole, the
prevalence of undernourishment
declined slowly;
• from an annual average of 20.6
percent in 2003–2008 to 18.2
percent in 2008–2014 and
remained at 18.2 percent in the
more recent period of 2014–
2016, the latest period for which
data are available
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
Africa SSA Central Eastern Northern Southern Western
Annual avg. level (1995-2003) Annual avg. level (2003-2008)
Annual avg. level (2008-2014) Annual avg. level (2014-2016)

11. PREVALENCE OF
UNDERWEIGHT,
WEIGHT FOR AGE (% OF
CHILDREN UNDER 5)
• Throughout the review period
(1995–2018), Africa as a whole and
most countries have consistently
experienced a decline in the
prevalence of child malnutrition—
that is, stunting (low height-for-
age), underweight (low weight-for-
age), and wasting (low weight-for-
height)—among children under the
age of five years.
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
Africa SSA Central Eastern Northern Southern Western
Annual avg. level (1995-2003) Annual avg. level (2003-2008)
Annual avg. level (2008-2014) Annual avg. level (2014-2018)

12. POVERTY
REDUCTION
• Africa has managed to consistently
reduce poverty over the past two
decades.
• The proportion of Africa’s
population living below the
poverty line (US$1.90 a day),
measured by the poverty
headcount ratio, declined by 6
percentage points from 41.8
percent in 2003–2008 to 35.6
percent in 2014–2018
-16.00
-14.00
-12.00
-10.00
-8.00
-6.00
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
Africa SSA Central Eastern Northern Southern Western
Annual avg. change (1995-2003) Annual avg. change (2003-2008)
Annual avg. change (2008-2014) Annual avg. change (2014-2018)

13. CONCLUDING REMARKS
• Progress in CAADP implementation is commendable and most
CAADP indicators have trended in the expected direction since
2003.
• However, significant deceleration in the reduction of inequality,
poverty, and undernourishment, and child malnutrition still
relatively high.
• Location matters and should be properly accounted for when
designing interventions.
• Need to accelerate efforts to transform Africa’s agriculture sector
by substantially raising agricultural productivity growth.

14. THANK YOU