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Challenges of the economic crisis
EBC Seminar
24.05.2011

Reinhard Schmidbauer




             Development cooperation
           in times of the financial crisis
                    Dawn of a new era?
Agenda

   I. Official Development Assistance (ODA)
      i. Net disbursements by biggest donor countries
      ii. Allocation of ODA among regions
      iii. Criticism

   II. Remittances
        i. Top 20 remittance-recipient countries

   III.The Private Sector
        i. MNC’s and FDI
        ii. Business at the BoP
        iii. Social Business

   IV. Conclusion: Partnership for Development          2
Official Development Assistance
Definition

Official Development Assistance
is defined as financial flows to developing countries, which…
(1) promote economic development and welfare of developing c.
(2) are concessional with at least 25% grant element
(3) may be bilateral or multilateral


Millennium Development Declaration
time bound targets to address developing worlds most pressing issues
 2010 target: 0.51% of GNI
 2015 target: 0.70% of GNI
                                                                       3
Official Development Assistance
 ODA net disbursements

    Almost all rich nations fail to reach the obligated target!

                                     Total ODA                          ODA
                                 (millions of dollar)                (% of GNI)
                          2008         2010   2008 vs. 2010   2008    2010   2008 vs. 2010
Total DAC countries      119,781      128,728    8,947        0.30    0.32       0.02
Total EU                   70,974      70,150          -824   0.43    0.46        0.03
Australia                   2,954        3,849          895   0.32    0.32         0
Canada                      4,795        5,132          337   0.33    0.33         0
Japan                       9,601      11,045         1,444   0.19    0.20        0.01
Norway                      4,006        4,582          576   0.89    1.10        0.21
United States              26,437      30,154         3,717   0.19    0.21        0.02
Source: OECD (2011): International Development Statistics
Note: data for 2010 are preliminary                                                      4
Official Development Assistance
 Allocation among regions
     “ODA is allocated in some strange and arbitrary ways.”
                                                 UN, 1994
   politically motivated
   does not reflect poor countries needs
   primarily serves donor countries economic interests
                                     ODA per capita GNI per capita GNI per capita ODA as share
Region
                                       (in U.S. $)   (in U.S. $)      ($ PPP)      of GNI (%)
Middle East and North Africa                41              3,597       7,911         1.1
Sub-Saharan Africa                          53              1,125       2,051         4.9
Latin America and Caribbean                 16              7,007      10,286         0.2
East Asia and Pacific                        5              3,163       6,026         0.2
South Asia                                   9              1,107       2,972         0.8
Europe and Central Asia                     20              6,793      12,609         0.3
Source: World Bank (2011): World Development Indicators                                      5
Official Development Assistance
Criticism

            Inflated vs. genuine aid
               Military support
               Refugee costs (incl. repatriation)
               Foreign students costs
               Debt cancellation
               Conditional (“tied”) aid
            Effects of aid:
               added about 1 percentage point to annual growth
               subject to diminishing returns
               causes “Dutch disease”
               may strengthen autocratic regimes
               often subject to embezzlement
                                                                  6
Remittances
   Top 10 recipient countries (2009/10)
        Top 10 Remittance-Receiving                       Top 10 Remittance-Receiving
         Countries, 2009 (% of GDP)                      Countries, 2010e (US $ billions)

   Tajikistan                                     35         India                        55
       Tonga                                 28             China                        51
     Lesotho                             25                Mexico                22.6
    Moldova                             23              Phillipines              21.3
       Nepal                           23                  France           15.9
    Lebanon                            22                Germany          11.6
      Samoa                             22             Bangladesh         11.1
   Honduras                           19                  Belgium         10.4
     Guyana                       17                         Spain        10.2
      Jordan                     16                        Nigeria        10

                0      10        20      30       40                  0   20        40   60
Source: World Bank (2011): WDI                                                                 7
The Private Sector
MNC and FDI

“MNCs present a unique opportunity but may pose serious
problems for the developing countries in which they operate
(Todaro and Smith 2009).”
               MNC characteristics:
                large size
                worldwide operations
                centrally controlled by parent companies

Pros:                                    Cons:
 fill savings- and investment-gaps       repatriation of profits
 reduce balance of payment deficits      tax concessions by host countries
 government tax revenues                 crowding-out of local industries
 knowledge and technology spill-overs    widening wage gap
                                                                               8
Finance for Development
       Resource Flows to Developing Countries

                          Resource flows to developing countries declined
                          during the financial crisis
                   700
                   600
                   500
Billions of US $




                   400
                                                                       FDI
                   300
                                                                       Portfolio Investment
                   200
                                                                       Remittances
                   100
                                                                       ODA
                     0
                   -100                                             Source: World Bank (2011): WDI


                                                                                                9
The Private Sector
Business at the Bottom of the Pyramid
“The real source of market promise is […] the billions of aspiring
poor who are joining the market economy for the first time
(Prahalad 2002)”.




*based on purchasing power parity in US$
Source: Prahalad (2002)                                              10
The Private Sector
 Social Entrepreneurship

   Doing good by making profits?
 Social Enterprise characteristics:
                                                     Muhammad Yunus
  is primarily driven by a social mission
  generates a profit as a by-product allowing for
   financial sustainability
  creates new models, products and services that
   cater directly to social needs

Proof of concept:


                                                     ….and many more
                                                                       11
Partnership for Development
Concluding remarks
   Aid alone is unlikely to be able to address the problems of the
    bottom billion and is highly overemphasised.

   Remittances are an important source of finance for development
    due to its large size and continuity.

   MNCs can play a key role in economic development by marketing
    the 4 billion people at the bottom of the economic pyramid.

   Social Entrepreneurs simultaneously create social and economic
    value which allows them to sustainably solve social problems.

   Alleviation of poverty requires partnerships between public
    private and civil society organization.                           12
Development Cooperation
The dawn of a new era




      Thank you for your attention!

          Any comments or questions?



                                       13

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Development cooperation in times of the financial crisis

  • 1. Challenges of the economic crisis EBC Seminar 24.05.2011 Reinhard Schmidbauer Development cooperation in times of the financial crisis Dawn of a new era?
  • 2. Agenda I. Official Development Assistance (ODA) i. Net disbursements by biggest donor countries ii. Allocation of ODA among regions iii. Criticism II. Remittances i. Top 20 remittance-recipient countries III.The Private Sector i. MNC’s and FDI ii. Business at the BoP iii. Social Business IV. Conclusion: Partnership for Development 2
  • 3. Official Development Assistance Definition Official Development Assistance is defined as financial flows to developing countries, which… (1) promote economic development and welfare of developing c. (2) are concessional with at least 25% grant element (3) may be bilateral or multilateral Millennium Development Declaration time bound targets to address developing worlds most pressing issues  2010 target: 0.51% of GNI  2015 target: 0.70% of GNI 3
  • 4. Official Development Assistance ODA net disbursements Almost all rich nations fail to reach the obligated target! Total ODA ODA (millions of dollar) (% of GNI) 2008 2010 2008 vs. 2010 2008 2010 2008 vs. 2010 Total DAC countries 119,781 128,728 8,947 0.30 0.32 0.02 Total EU 70,974 70,150 -824 0.43 0.46 0.03 Australia 2,954 3,849 895 0.32 0.32 0 Canada 4,795 5,132 337 0.33 0.33 0 Japan 9,601 11,045 1,444 0.19 0.20 0.01 Norway 4,006 4,582 576 0.89 1.10 0.21 United States 26,437 30,154 3,717 0.19 0.21 0.02 Source: OECD (2011): International Development Statistics Note: data for 2010 are preliminary 4
  • 5. Official Development Assistance Allocation among regions “ODA is allocated in some strange and arbitrary ways.” UN, 1994  politically motivated  does not reflect poor countries needs  primarily serves donor countries economic interests ODA per capita GNI per capita GNI per capita ODA as share Region (in U.S. $) (in U.S. $) ($ PPP) of GNI (%) Middle East and North Africa 41 3,597 7,911 1.1 Sub-Saharan Africa 53 1,125 2,051 4.9 Latin America and Caribbean 16 7,007 10,286 0.2 East Asia and Pacific 5 3,163 6,026 0.2 South Asia 9 1,107 2,972 0.8 Europe and Central Asia 20 6,793 12,609 0.3 Source: World Bank (2011): World Development Indicators 5
  • 6. Official Development Assistance Criticism Inflated vs. genuine aid  Military support  Refugee costs (incl. repatriation)  Foreign students costs  Debt cancellation  Conditional (“tied”) aid Effects of aid:  added about 1 percentage point to annual growth  subject to diminishing returns  causes “Dutch disease”  may strengthen autocratic regimes  often subject to embezzlement 6
  • 7. Remittances Top 10 recipient countries (2009/10) Top 10 Remittance-Receiving Top 10 Remittance-Receiving Countries, 2009 (% of GDP) Countries, 2010e (US $ billions) Tajikistan 35 India 55 Tonga 28 China 51 Lesotho 25 Mexico 22.6 Moldova 23 Phillipines 21.3 Nepal 23 France 15.9 Lebanon 22 Germany 11.6 Samoa 22 Bangladesh 11.1 Honduras 19 Belgium 10.4 Guyana 17 Spain 10.2 Jordan 16 Nigeria 10 0 10 20 30 40 0 20 40 60 Source: World Bank (2011): WDI 7
  • 8. The Private Sector MNC and FDI “MNCs present a unique opportunity but may pose serious problems for the developing countries in which they operate (Todaro and Smith 2009).” MNC characteristics:  large size  worldwide operations  centrally controlled by parent companies Pros: Cons:  fill savings- and investment-gaps  repatriation of profits  reduce balance of payment deficits  tax concessions by host countries  government tax revenues  crowding-out of local industries  knowledge and technology spill-overs  widening wage gap 8
  • 9. Finance for Development Resource Flows to Developing Countries Resource flows to developing countries declined during the financial crisis 700 600 500 Billions of US $ 400 FDI 300 Portfolio Investment 200 Remittances 100 ODA 0 -100 Source: World Bank (2011): WDI 9
  • 10. The Private Sector Business at the Bottom of the Pyramid “The real source of market promise is […] the billions of aspiring poor who are joining the market economy for the first time (Prahalad 2002)”. *based on purchasing power parity in US$ Source: Prahalad (2002) 10
  • 11. The Private Sector Social Entrepreneurship Doing good by making profits? Social Enterprise characteristics: Muhammad Yunus  is primarily driven by a social mission  generates a profit as a by-product allowing for financial sustainability  creates new models, products and services that cater directly to social needs Proof of concept: ….and many more 11
  • 12. Partnership for Development Concluding remarks  Aid alone is unlikely to be able to address the problems of the bottom billion and is highly overemphasised.  Remittances are an important source of finance for development due to its large size and continuity.  MNCs can play a key role in economic development by marketing the 4 billion people at the bottom of the economic pyramid.  Social Entrepreneurs simultaneously create social and economic value which allows them to sustainably solve social problems.  Alleviation of poverty requires partnerships between public private and civil society organization. 12
  • 13. Development Cooperation The dawn of a new era Thank you for your attention! Any comments or questions? 13