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Lecture 3
BOP
The BOP is a
statistical record of
the flow of all of the
payments between
the residents of a
country and the rest
of the world in a
given year.
Current Account (CA)
  This is record of a country’s trade in goods and
   services in the current period.
            CA = Exports (X) – Imports (M)

  It is divided into 4 sub-categories:
      Goods trade
      Services trade
      Income
      Current transfers


  The sum of the four sub-categories = CA balance

                                                      3
Capital Account (KA)
  This includes all short- and long-term transactions
    pertaining to financial assets.
     KA = Capital Inflow (cr) – Capital outflow (dr)
  The two main components:
     Capital account.
     Financial account (direct, portfolio, other).


  KA balance = Sum of capital account and financial
    account.




                                                         4
Official Reserves
  Records the purchase or sale of official reserve assets by
    the central bank. These assets include
       Commercial paper, Treasury bills and bonds
       Foreign currency
       Money deposited with the IMF

  This account shows the change in foreign exchange
   reserves held by the central bank.
                                                      The Balance of
  Since the BOP must balance                        Payments Identity
                       CA + KA + RFX = 0
                       CA + KA = – RFX

   For floating rate regime countries, such as the
    U.S., official reserves are relatively unimportant.
                                                                         5
Accounting Principles
 1.   Any transaction resulting in a payment to foreigners is
      entered in the BOP accounts as a debit and is given a
      negative sign.
 2.   Any transaction resulting in a receipt from foreigners is
      entered as a credit and given a positive sign.
 3.   Current Account records transactions involving exports
      and imports of goods and services
 4.   Capital Account records transactions involving the
      purchase and sale of assets.
 5.   Double-Entry book keeping: Every international
      transaction automatically enters twice, once as a credit
      and once as a debit.

                                                                  6
Examples of Transactions
     An Australian company exports goods worth US$1 million
      to the United States:
         Export of goods is credit for the current account.
         Increase in foreign asset (US$1 million) is debit for capital
          account.
     Australian company then coverts US$ into A$ and buys
      government bonds back in Australia:
         Decrease in foreign asset is credit for the capital account.
         Increase in government liability is debit for official reserves
          account.
     Australian individual imports a sports car from Europe:
         Increase in foreign liabilities is credit for the capital account.
         Import of goods is debit for current account.


                                                                               7
BOP & Exchange Rates

  (X – M) + (CI – CO) + (FI – FO) + FXB = BOP

Where:
 X = exports of goods and services
                                   Current
 M = imports of goods and services Account
 CI = capital inflows     Capital
                                   Balance
 CO = capital outflows Account
 FI = financial inflows   Balance
                           Financial
 FO = financial outflows Account Balance
 FXB = official monetary reserves



                                                8
Deficit and Surplus --BOP
 Sub divided into components accounts
 (Credit- debit ) net balance is positive --- BOP Surplus
  “                     “      Negative --- BOP Deficit
Transaction--- 2 types
1. Autonomous
2. Accommodating/ Compensatory
Trade Balance
Balance on goods and services(exclude pvt. investment
    income)
Current account balance
Balance on CA and long term KA
BOP & Macroeconomic Variables

A nation’s balance of payments interacts with
 nearly all of its key macroeconomic variables.
Interacts means that the BOP affects and is affected
 by such key macroeconomic factors as:
   Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
   Exchange rate
   Interest rates
   Inflation rates




                                                        10

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Imf 3balance of payment arp

  • 2. BOP The BOP is a statistical record of the flow of all of the payments between the residents of a country and the rest of the world in a given year.
  • 3. Current Account (CA)  This is record of a country’s trade in goods and services in the current period. CA = Exports (X) – Imports (M)  It is divided into 4 sub-categories:  Goods trade  Services trade  Income  Current transfers  The sum of the four sub-categories = CA balance 3
  • 4. Capital Account (KA)  This includes all short- and long-term transactions pertaining to financial assets. KA = Capital Inflow (cr) – Capital outflow (dr)  The two main components:  Capital account.  Financial account (direct, portfolio, other).  KA balance = Sum of capital account and financial account. 4
  • 5. Official Reserves  Records the purchase or sale of official reserve assets by the central bank. These assets include  Commercial paper, Treasury bills and bonds  Foreign currency  Money deposited with the IMF  This account shows the change in foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank. The Balance of  Since the BOP must balance Payments Identity CA + KA + RFX = 0  CA + KA = – RFX  For floating rate regime countries, such as the U.S., official reserves are relatively unimportant. 5
  • 6. Accounting Principles 1. Any transaction resulting in a payment to foreigners is entered in the BOP accounts as a debit and is given a negative sign. 2. Any transaction resulting in a receipt from foreigners is entered as a credit and given a positive sign. 3. Current Account records transactions involving exports and imports of goods and services 4. Capital Account records transactions involving the purchase and sale of assets. 5. Double-Entry book keeping: Every international transaction automatically enters twice, once as a credit and once as a debit. 6
  • 7. Examples of Transactions  An Australian company exports goods worth US$1 million to the United States:  Export of goods is credit for the current account.  Increase in foreign asset (US$1 million) is debit for capital account.  Australian company then coverts US$ into A$ and buys government bonds back in Australia:  Decrease in foreign asset is credit for the capital account.  Increase in government liability is debit for official reserves account.  Australian individual imports a sports car from Europe:  Increase in foreign liabilities is credit for the capital account.  Import of goods is debit for current account. 7
  • 8. BOP & Exchange Rates (X – M) + (CI – CO) + (FI – FO) + FXB = BOP Where: X = exports of goods and services Current M = imports of goods and services Account CI = capital inflows Capital Balance CO = capital outflows Account FI = financial inflows Balance Financial FO = financial outflows Account Balance FXB = official monetary reserves 8
  • 9. Deficit and Surplus --BOP  Sub divided into components accounts  (Credit- debit ) net balance is positive --- BOP Surplus “ “ Negative --- BOP Deficit Transaction--- 2 types 1. Autonomous 2. Accommodating/ Compensatory Trade Balance Balance on goods and services(exclude pvt. investment income) Current account balance Balance on CA and long term KA
  • 10. BOP & Macroeconomic Variables A nation’s balance of payments interacts with nearly all of its key macroeconomic variables. Interacts means that the BOP affects and is affected by such key macroeconomic factors as:  Gross Domestic Product (GDP)  Exchange rate  Interest rates  Inflation rates 10