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Pre-Salt: Challenges and Opportunities for
the Brazilian Industry




                                    May -2011
The presentation may contain forecasts about future events. Such forecasts merely reflect the
expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect",
"forecast", "intend", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with similar or analogous
expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and
uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of
operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations
exclusively on the information presented herein. The Company is not obliged to update the
presentation/such forecasts in light of new information or future developments.
All projects forecasted herein are subject to approval by the appropriate stakeholders.

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR US INVESTORS
The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings
with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production
or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and
operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil and gas resources,
that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC.
Summary


•   History
•   Development Strategy
•   Material Results
•   Technological Challenges
•   Opportunities
Summary


•   History
•   Development Strategy
•   Material Results
•   Technological Challenges
•   Opportunities
Pre‐Salt Province

Total area: 149.000 km²
  Area already under concession: 41.750 km² (28%)
        Area with Petrobras interest: 35.750 km² (24% of the total area)
          Area without Petrobras interest: 6.000 km² (4% of the total area)
  Area not under concession : 107.228 km² (72%)

Petrobras Exploratory Sucess Rate in Presalt Province => 85% (until 2009, 41 drilled wells)
Industry Benchmark => 30%
Blocks          Consortium
BMS-8     BR (66%), SH (20%) e PTG (14%)
BMS-9     BR (45%), BG (30%) e RPS (25%)
BMS-10    BR (65%), BG (25%) e PAX (10%)
BMS-11    BR (65%), BG (25%) e PTG (10%)
BMS-21    BR (80%), PTG (20%)
BMS-22    EXX (40%), HES (40%) e BR (20%)
BMS-24    BR (80%), PTG (20%)

    Shore Distance = 300 km
    Total Area = 15.000 km2
Largest seismic acquisition in the world




1999
2000
2001
2001
2002
2002
2003
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Parati: First Wildcat Well 




1999
2000
2001
2002
2002
2003
2003
2004
2004
2005
2005
2006
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Outstanding Exploratory Success




1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
2011
Transfer of Rights with Compensation areas




1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2009
2010
2010
2011
Summary


•   History
•   Development Strategy
•   Material Results
•   Technological Challenges
•   Opportunities
Integrated Planning Opportunity



        Several blocks     Operational      Similar geological
        acquired at the    Partnership        characteristics
         same period
                                                                    Challenging
                                                                   water depth, 
                                                                  shore distance, 
                                                                    salt layer...

                           Petrobras  as
            Massive                           High risk and
                            operator in 
          exploratory                      high potential areas
                          several blocks
            efforts




             Huge           Significant
                                            High investment
          discoveries     technological
                                                  need
                            challenges
PLANSAL Structure




                                                         FPUs             Critical        Critical
                          Oil           Regulatory    Technology        Resources -     Resources -
      Exploration    Transference        Aspects      Development       Engineering        E&P




                                                                                           CO2
         Oil                             Gas           Production
                         HSSE                                         Infrastructure   Technology
    Transportation                    Technology     Development                      Development



                                                                         Well
        Gas                            Human              Gas         Technology
    Transference     Joint Ventures   Resources      Transportation   Development

                                                                                             ?
PLANSAL Structure
Development Strategy



           Phase 0                   Phase 1a                     Phase 1b
   Information Gathering   Operated Production > 1 MM bbl   Innovation and Production

         2008/2018                 2013/2016                       After 2017

 • Appraisal wells            • Guará Pilot                 • Innovation acceleration
 • Extended Well Tests        • Lula NE Pilot               • Massive use of new
 • Lula Pilot                 • Guará N                     technologies specially
                                                            tailored for Pre-Salt
                              • Cernambi S                  conditions
                              • 8 definitive production
                              systems (replicants)
                              • 4 Transfer of Rights
                              production units
Production increase – new technology
Offshore Transference
                  Terminal (UOTE)     Conventional
                                        Shuttle
                                        Tanker




             DP Shuttle Tanker




DP Shuttle
 Tanker                              DP Shuttle
                                      Tanker
Route 2

          Route 3                 FLNG
          (3 options)
Route 1
Petrobras Estimated Production

                                                                                                                      5,382



                                                                                        7.6% p.y.

                                                                                                      3,907



                                                                                2,583
                                               4.6% p.y.




      1,810



                                                                                                                alt
                                                                                                          Pre‐s


                                                                                                                      1078
                                                                                                    241



* Production curve does not currently assume any contribution from Transfer of Rights
Petrobras Estimated Total Recoverable Volumes in Brazil



                     Santos Pre‐Salt announced recoverable volumes including the transfer of 
                     rights, can more than double Petrobras Brazilian reserves.
     billion boe                                                                              ~ 28-30 bn boe
30
                                                                                    5
25
                                                            Higher estimates

20
                                14                                10
                                                            Lower estimates
                                                                   8
15              29
10
                                               15
 5

 0

           Proved            Cumulative       Proved           Potential
                                                                                Transfer of     Proved Reserves
         Recoverable         Production     Reserves BR   Recoverable (Lula,
                                                                                  Rights                 +
         Volume BR              from        (SPE 2010)     Cernambi, Iara,
                                                                                              Potential Recoverable
         1953 - 2010          Petrobras                   Guará and Whales
                                                                                                         +
                             1953 - 2010                  Park), ranging from
                                                                                               Transfer of Rights
                                                              8.1 to 9.6

*SPE Criteria
Summary


•   History
•   Development Strategy
•   Material Results
•   Technological Challenges
•   Opportunities
Extended Well Tests
Lula Pilot
Declaration of Commerciality
Summary


•   History
•   Development Strategy
•   Material Results
•   Technological Challenges
•   Opportunities
Reservoir Characterization




                                          Recent Stromatolite
                                           Lagoa Salgada, RJ 




  Stromatolites – Shark Bay ‐ Australia
Reservoir
Wells
Subsea
FPUs
Investing in Technological Leadership

Expansion of CENPES makes it one of the 
  largest research center in the world     Petrobras´s partnerships with 120 universities and
                                           research centers has created one of the greatest
                                           concentrations of energy research in the world


                                           In the Technological Park of the Rio de Janeiro Federal 
                                           University, four R&D centers for major equipment and 
                                           services suppliers is currently under construction :

                                              • Schlumberger               • FMC Technologies
                                              • Baker Hughes               • Usiminas

                                            Others  companies  are  schedule  to  come  to  Brazil  to 
                                            develop technological centers:
                                              • Cameron
      Petrobras Investments                                              •TenarisConfab
                                              • General Electric
          R&D (2010‐14)                                                  • Vallourec & Mannesman
                                              • Halliburton 
                                                                         • Weatherford
          US$ 5.3 Billion                     • IBM
                                              • Technip                  • Wellstream
Summary


•   History
•   Development Strategy
•   Material Results
•   Technological Challenges
•   Opportunities
Pre‐Salt Opportunities

  Scenario
             Exploration and Production Development in several blocks;
             Several operator partnerships in each block;
             Several projects to be implemented in each block;
             Each project will demand:
                    Sub-surface studies
                    Well drilling/completion
                    Subsea equipments Instalation
                    Subsea lines handling
                    Floating Production Units
                    Oil and gas flow
                    Future operation/maintanance for long time period

             Strong local content orientation.
Petrobras E&P equipment and services demand
                                       Installed   Business Plan
            Equipment
                                        Dec/10      (2010‐2014)


           Subsea Trees                  803           500


         Subsea Manifolds                 25            30


          Subsea Flexible
                                        4,364          4000
          Flowlines (km)


          Umbilicals (km)               3,303          2200


        Rigid Pipelines (km)            1,773          500


                                                                                                                                Delivery Plan 
                                                                                                           Current           (to be contracted)
                                                                           Critical Resources             Situation          Accumulated Value
                                                                                                           Dec/10
                                                                                                                      2013          2015          2020


                                                               Drilling Rigs Water Depth Above  2.000 m      14       26             31           53



                                                                      Supply and Special Vessel             298       465           491           504


                                                                   Production Platforms SS e FPSO            47       53             63           84


                                                                      Others (Jacket and TLWP)               79       81             83           85
Source: Petrobras Investor Relations
Business Plan 2010‐14:  Increased Investment 
  for Integrated Operations in Brazil
                                                             Total Capital Investment Plan ‐ 2010‐2014: US$ 224.1 bi
  Petrobras’ Corporate Strategy to 2020                                2%1%2% 1%
                                                                  8%                                                             International
                                                                                                                                      5%
     Integrated Growth, Profitability and 
                Sustainability

    Oil & gas production growth in a sustainable manner
    that will approximately double our production in the                                                    53%

    next 10 years                                           33%

                                                                                                                             E&P                                        Brazil
    Focus in oil, oil products, petrochemicals, gas &                                                                                                                   95%
                                                                                                             Distribution
    energy, biofuels, refining and distribution with an                                                                      RTM
                                                                                                             Biofuels
    integrated and sustainable business model                                                                                G&P
                                                                                                             Corporate
                                                                                                                             Petrochemicals
    Consolidate leadership in the Brazilian market of
                                                                         Pre‐Salt: US$ 33.0 billion         Post‐Salt: US$ 75.2 billion
    natural gas, electricity generation and gas chemicals                                                    15%
                                                                                                             15%
                                                                                   3%
                                                                           13%




                                                                                                                                           Production (million boe/d)
                                                                                                      18%
Be recognized as a benchmark among integrated 
               energy companies
                                                                                            84%                                      67%




                                                                                  Exploration         Development         Infrastructure
Local Content Policies and Strategies
                                       Brazil has a determination to maximize value for 
                                       their own country and population, using  the 
                                       same approach as Norway did in the 70’s. 




  • A stronger bargaining position caused policy                           •Creation of the local content program  ‐ 2003
  changes in 1972                                                          •Petrobras recognizes opportunities to improve 
  • Application in 1973 licensing round                                    cost
  • Initial emphasis on procurement and human                              •effectiveness and quality standards in the local 
  capital                                                                  supplying market
  • “Local Content” through bidders lists and                              •Local suppliers usually provide After Sales faster 
  procurement reviews                                                      and friendlier when compared with foreign 
  • Transfer of managerial and operational skills                          companies
  • Cooperation in research and development                                •Financing Agent (BNDES – Brazilian development 
  • Procurement: preference to domestic goods and                          bank)  requires minimum local content for financing 
  services, to build up supply industries, 1972‐94                         concession
  • Transfer of knowledge, priority to human capital                       •The Petrobras Local Content policy is connected 
  to enhance research and development, 1972‐94                             and contributes to the Petrobras Social 
  • Petroleum Fund, setting revenues aside to spend                        Responsibility Policy
  proceeds only, since 1992
Antonio Carlos Pinto - "Pre-Salt: Challenges and Opportunities for the Brazilian Industry" - Presentation to the Citi (Energy Day) Congress

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Antonio Carlos Pinto - "Pre-Salt: Challenges and Opportunities for the Brazilian Industry" - Presentation to the Citi (Energy Day) Congress

  • 1. Pre-Salt: Challenges and Opportunities for the Brazilian Industry May -2011
  • 2. The presentation may contain forecasts about future events. Such forecasts merely reflect the expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein. The Company is not obliged to update the presentation/such forecasts in light of new information or future developments. All projects forecasted herein are subject to approval by the appropriate stakeholders. CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR US INVESTORS The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil and gas resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC.
  • 3. Summary • History • Development Strategy • Material Results • Technological Challenges • Opportunities
  • 4. Summary • History • Development Strategy • Material Results • Technological Challenges • Opportunities
  • 5. Pre‐Salt Province Total area: 149.000 km² Area already under concession: 41.750 km² (28%) Area with Petrobras interest: 35.750 km² (24% of the total area) Area without Petrobras interest: 6.000 km² (4% of the total area) Area not under concession : 107.228 km² (72%) Petrobras Exploratory Sucess Rate in Presalt Province => 85% (until 2009, 41 drilled wells) Industry Benchmark => 30%
  • 6. Blocks Consortium BMS-8 BR (66%), SH (20%) e PTG (14%) BMS-9 BR (45%), BG (30%) e RPS (25%) BMS-10 BR (65%), BG (25%) e PAX (10%) BMS-11 BR (65%), BG (25%) e PTG (10%) BMS-21 BR (80%), PTG (20%) BMS-22 EXX (40%), HES (40%) e BR (20%) BMS-24 BR (80%), PTG (20%) Shore Distance = 300 km Total Area = 15.000 km2
  • 10. Transfer of Rights with Compensation areas 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011
  • 11. Summary • History • Development Strategy • Material Results • Technological Challenges • Opportunities
  • 12. Integrated Planning Opportunity Several blocks Operational Similar geological acquired at the Partnership characteristics same period Challenging water depth,  shore distance,  salt layer... Petrobras  as Massive High risk and operator in  exploratory high potential areas several blocks efforts Huge Significant High investment discoveries technological need challenges
  • 13. PLANSAL Structure FPUs Critical Critical Oil Regulatory Technology Resources - Resources - Exploration Transference Aspects Development Engineering E&P CO2 Oil Gas Production HSSE Infrastructure Technology Transportation Technology Development Development Well Gas Human Gas Technology Transference Joint Ventures Resources Transportation Development ?
  • 15. Development Strategy Phase 0 Phase 1a Phase 1b Information Gathering Operated Production > 1 MM bbl Innovation and Production 2008/2018 2013/2016 After 2017 • Appraisal wells • Guará Pilot • Innovation acceleration • Extended Well Tests • Lula NE Pilot • Massive use of new • Lula Pilot • Guará N technologies specially tailored for Pre-Salt • Cernambi S conditions • 8 definitive production systems (replicants) • 4 Transfer of Rights production units
  • 16. Production increase – new technology
  • 17. Offshore Transference Terminal (UOTE) Conventional Shuttle Tanker DP Shuttle Tanker DP Shuttle Tanker DP Shuttle Tanker
  • 18. Route 2 Route 3 FLNG (3 options) Route 1
  • 19. Petrobras Estimated Production 5,382 7.6% p.y. 3,907 2,583 4.6% p.y. 1,810 alt Pre‐s 1078 241 * Production curve does not currently assume any contribution from Transfer of Rights
  • 20. Petrobras Estimated Total Recoverable Volumes in Brazil Santos Pre‐Salt announced recoverable volumes including the transfer of  rights, can more than double Petrobras Brazilian reserves. billion boe ~ 28-30 bn boe 30 5 25 Higher estimates 20 14 10 Lower estimates 8 15 29 10 15 5 0 Proved Cumulative Proved Potential Transfer of Proved Reserves Recoverable Production Reserves BR Recoverable (Lula, Rights + Volume BR from (SPE 2010) Cernambi, Iara, Potential Recoverable 1953 - 2010 Petrobras Guará and Whales + 1953 - 2010 Park), ranging from Transfer of Rights 8.1 to 9.6 *SPE Criteria
  • 21. Summary • History • Development Strategy • Material Results • Technological Challenges • Opportunities
  • 25. Summary • History • Development Strategy • Material Results • Technological Challenges • Opportunities
  • 26. Reservoir Characterization Recent Stromatolite Lagoa Salgada, RJ  Stromatolites – Shark Bay ‐ Australia
  • 28. Wells
  • 30. FPUs
  • 31. Investing in Technological Leadership Expansion of CENPES makes it one of the  largest research center in the world Petrobras´s partnerships with 120 universities and research centers has created one of the greatest concentrations of energy research in the world In the Technological Park of the Rio de Janeiro Federal  University, four R&D centers for major equipment and  services suppliers is currently under construction : • Schlumberger • FMC Technologies • Baker Hughes • Usiminas Others  companies  are  schedule  to  come  to  Brazil  to  develop technological centers: • Cameron Petrobras Investments  •TenarisConfab • General Electric R&D (2010‐14) • Vallourec & Mannesman • Halliburton  • Weatherford US$ 5.3 Billion • IBM • Technip • Wellstream
  • 32. Summary • History • Development Strategy • Material Results • Technological Challenges • Opportunities
  • 33. Pre‐Salt Opportunities Scenario Exploration and Production Development in several blocks; Several operator partnerships in each block; Several projects to be implemented in each block; Each project will demand: Sub-surface studies Well drilling/completion Subsea equipments Instalation Subsea lines handling Floating Production Units Oil and gas flow Future operation/maintanance for long time period Strong local content orientation.
  • 34. Petrobras E&P equipment and services demand Installed Business Plan Equipment Dec/10 (2010‐2014) Subsea Trees 803 500 Subsea Manifolds 25 30 Subsea Flexible 4,364 4000 Flowlines (km) Umbilicals (km) 3,303 2200 Rigid Pipelines (km) 1,773 500 Delivery Plan  Current  (to be contracted) Critical Resources Situation Accumulated Value Dec/10 2013 2015 2020 Drilling Rigs Water Depth Above  2.000 m 14 26 31 53 Supply and Special Vessel 298 465 491 504 Production Platforms SS e FPSO 47 53 63 84 Others (Jacket and TLWP) 79 81 83 85 Source: Petrobras Investor Relations
  • 35. Business Plan 2010‐14:  Increased Investment  for Integrated Operations in Brazil Total Capital Investment Plan ‐ 2010‐2014: US$ 224.1 bi Petrobras’ Corporate Strategy to 2020 2%1%2% 1% 8% International 5% Integrated Growth, Profitability and  Sustainability Oil & gas production growth in a sustainable manner that will approximately double our production in the 53% next 10 years 33% E&P Brazil Focus in oil, oil products, petrochemicals, gas & 95% Distribution energy, biofuels, refining and distribution with an RTM Biofuels integrated and sustainable business model G&P Corporate Petrochemicals Consolidate leadership in the Brazilian market of Pre‐Salt: US$ 33.0 billion Post‐Salt: US$ 75.2 billion natural gas, electricity generation and gas chemicals 15% 15% 3% 13% Production (million boe/d) 18% Be recognized as a benchmark among integrated  energy companies 84% 67% Exploration Development Infrastructure
  • 36. Local Content Policies and Strategies Brazil has a determination to maximize value for  their own country and population, using  the  same approach as Norway did in the 70’s.  • A stronger bargaining position caused policy  •Creation of the local content program  ‐ 2003 changes in 1972 •Petrobras recognizes opportunities to improve  • Application in 1973 licensing round cost • Initial emphasis on procurement and human  •effectiveness and quality standards in the local  capital supplying market • “Local Content” through bidders lists and  •Local suppliers usually provide After Sales faster  procurement reviews and friendlier when compared with foreign  • Transfer of managerial and operational skills companies • Cooperation in research and development •Financing Agent (BNDES – Brazilian development  • Procurement: preference to domestic goods and  bank)  requires minimum local content for financing  services, to build up supply industries, 1972‐94 concession • Transfer of knowledge, priority to human capital  •The Petrobras Local Content policy is connected  to enhance research and development, 1972‐94 and contributes to the Petrobras Social  • Petroleum Fund, setting revenues aside to spend  Responsibility Policy proceeds only, since 1992