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THE TIPPING POINT OF THE
GLOBAL INTERNET ECONOMY
Paul Papadimitriou — Papaya Ventures Demo Day — Rio de Janeiro — June 2013
INNOVATION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
DISRUPTION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
INNOVATION
HOW
IS BORN
http://www.flickr.com/photos/theqspeaks/6240575050/sizes/l/
DISRUPTION
HOW
HAPPENS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/theqspeaks/6240575050/sizes/l/
1994
I DIDN’T SEE IT
http://www.flickr.com/photos/theqspeaks/6243039829/sizes/l/
1999
I DIDN’T SEE IT
http://www.flickr.com/photos/theqspeaks/6243039829/sizes/l/
2008
I STARTED TO SEE IT
http://www.flickr.com/photos/theqspeaks/6243039829/sizes/l/
2013
I SENSE THE TIPPING POINT
http://www.flickr.com/photos/theqspeaks/6243039829/sizes/l/
WHAT DRIVES
HUMANS?
HOPE & FEAR
http://www.flickr.com/photos/tamaar/419205093/sizes/l/
WHAT DRIVES
BUSINESSES?
HOPE & FEAR
(AT A SLOWER PACE)
http://www.flickr.com/photos/tamaar/419205093/sizes/l/
INNOVATION & DISRUPTION
ARE CREATED BY
HOPE & FEAR
http://www.flickr.com/photos/tamaar/419205093/sizes/l/
HOPE & FEAR
AUGMENTED BY
MASS NETWORKShttp://www.flickr.com/photos/tamaar/419205093/sizes/l/
MASS NETWORKS
ALLOW FOR VELOCITY & REACH
OF HOPE & FEAR
http://www.flickr.com/photos/tamaar/419205093/sizes/l/
DISRUPTION IS A
DELFATION GAME
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
DISRUPTION THROUGH
FALLING PRICES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
INCUMBENTS ARE ADDICTED
TO LARGE MARGINS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
NEW ENTRANTS ARE
DRAMATICALLY LOWERING
PRICE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
YOUTUBE
vs
TELEVISION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
NEW ENTRANTS ARE
DRAMATICALLY LOWERING
PRICE
AT MASS SCALE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
TIPPING POINT DRIVER #1:
THE MASS SCALE OF SOCIAL
NETWORKS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
PEOPLE ONLINE
1995 200 2005 2010 2012 2020
5000000000
2029000000
201900000101900000411000004400000
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gilest/78207447/sizes/l/
Source:World Bank
1/3
OF THE WORLDhttp://www.flickr.com/photos/gilest/78207447/sizes/l/
FACEBOOK
>1,000,000,000
USERS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gilest/78207447/sizes/l/
YOUTUBE
>1,000,000,000
UNIQUES/MONTH
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gilest/78207447/sizes/l/
GLOBALIZATION
Google
MS
FB
Yahoo
0 375 750 1125 1500
US World
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gilest/78207447/sizes/l/
Source: Comscore Global 2013
TIPPING POINT DRIVER #2:
THE MASS GLOBALIZATION OF
SOCIAL NETWORKS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
#REVOLUTIONS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
NETWORKS
ENABLE COMMUNITIES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
NETWORKS
ENABLE TRUST
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
NETWORKS
ENABLE TRANSPARENCY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
NETWORKS
ARE UTILITIES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
TIPPING POINT DRIVER #3:
THE MATURITY OF TRUST-
ENABLING SOCIAL NETWORKS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
MOBILE GROWTH
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
PCs Smartphones & tablets
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
Source: Benedict Evans, Mobile is Eating the World
MOBILE SALES
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Population Mobile Smartphone PC Tablets
2012 2017
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
Source: Benedict Evans, Mobile is Eating the World
71%
LITERATE PEOPLE WILL HAVE A
SMARTPHONE IN 2017http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
Source: Benedict Evans, Mobile is Eating the World
PLATFORM SHIFT
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2015
10000
1000
1001051
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
Source: Mary Meeker Internet Trends
TIPPING POINT DRIVER #4:
THE UNPRECEDENTED
EXPLOSION OF MOBILE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
JOBS #FAIL
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNDER-EMPLOYMENT
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
JOBS #FAIL
POST-CRISIS GDP RECOVERY
NOT JOBS RECOVERY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT
GREECE: 55%
SPAIN: 53%
EU: 22.7%
BRAZIL: 15.6%
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
Source: OECD, ILO
EMERGING MARKETS
ADVANTAGE
ECONOMIES BUILT AROUND LIMITED RESOURCES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
EMERGING MARKETS
ADVANTAGE
PROVIDERS OF A GLOBAL WORKFORCE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
TIPPING POINT DRIVER #5:
THE NEW RULES OF GLOBAL
WORKFORCE ECONOMICS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
OLD GATE KEEPERS
GOVERNMENTS
UNIVERSITIES
LOBBIES, UNIONS
CORPORATIONS
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerandomdude/430135303/sizes/l/
UNSUSTAINABLE
PROTECTIONISM
http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerandomdude/430135303/sizes/l/
THE OLD GATEKEEPERS CAN’T
PROVIDE FOR THE PEOPLE
ANYMORE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerandomdude/430135303/sizes/l/
TOP DOWN ORGANIZATIONS
CAN’T KEEP UP
http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerandomdude/430135303/sizes/l/
THE PEOPLE SEE IT BLATANTLY
THROUGH NETWORKS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/somerandomdude/430135303/sizes/l/
TIPPING POINT DRIVER #6:
THE INADEQUACY OF TOP-
DOWN ORGANIZATIONS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
WE LEARNT HOW TO TRUST
THROUGH SOCIAL NETWORKS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/ishmaelo/38778306/sizes/l/
TRANSPARENCY
OPENNESS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/ishmaelo/38778306/sizes/l/
WE’RE NOW USING THIS TRUST
TO PROVIDE FOR OURSELVES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/ishmaelo/38778306/sizes/l/
THE INTERNET IS A GLOBAL
AND FREE AGORA
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mlee/965844752/sizes/o/
IT LIBERATES A NEW SUPPLY
OF IDEAS, PEOPLE, GOODS &
SERVICES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mlee/965844752/sizes/o/
GLOBAL COMMUNITIES
TWITTER
FACEBOOK
DEVIANTART
http://www.flickr.com/photos/12184548@N02/1428798524/sizes/l/
GLOBAL HUMAN CAPITAL
ODESK
ELANCE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/12184548@N02/1428798524/sizes/l/
GLOBAL P2P MARKETPLACES
AIRBNB
LYFT
LENDINGCLUB
ANGELIST
UDEMY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/12184548@N02/1428798524/sizes/l/
CONNECTED HUMAN CAPITAL
STAY LOCAL. WORK GLOBAL.
GLOCAL
http://www.flickr.com/photos/12184548@N02/1428798524/sizes/l/
NEW SELF
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
TRIBALISM
DIFFERENTIATED LIVING
NEW GROUPS DETERMINATION
SHARED ACTUALIZATION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
NOMADISM
MOBILITY
AUGMENTED LIVING
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
SINGULARISM
SELF-CONSTRUCT
NODAL LIVING
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
NEW IDENTITIES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
NEW CONSUMERS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
EMPOWERED
AWARE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
A GLOBAL, NODAL, FREE &
DEMOCRATIC AGORA
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mlee/965844752/sizes/o/
WITH REAL-TIME DATA
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mlee/965844752/sizes/o/
CONSTANTLY MAINTAINING
DEFLATION & SCALE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mlee/965844752/sizes/o/
A DISRUPTIVE AGORA
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mlee/965844752/sizes/o/
PAPAYA VENTURES
THE ACCELERATOR LEVERAGES:
MARKET SCALE, GLOBAL NETWORKS, EMERGING MARKETS CAPABILITIES,
INTERNATIONAL WORKFORCE & MOBILE TECHNOLOGIES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/groundzero/140526325/
BUUS
LEVERAGES:
MOBILE, MARKET SCALE, OPEN APIS, SELF-HELP LIFESTYLE & DATA
BUUS.COM.BR
http://www.flickr.com/photos/groundzero/140526325/
BOOSK
LEVERAGES:
MOBILE, NEW IDENTITIES, GLOBAL TRUST NETWORKS, MARKET SCALE,
BEHAVIORAL DATA
BOOSKAPP.COM
http://www.flickr.com/photos/groundzero/140526325/
DUJOUR
LEVERAGES:
MOBILE, GLOBAL TRUST NETWORKS, NEW IDENTITIES, BEHAVIORAL DATA
DUJOURAPP.COM
http://www.flickr.com/photos/groundzero/140526325/
U.SIT
LEVERAGES:
MOBILE WORKFORCE, SELF-HELP LIFESTYLE, MARKET SCALE & DATA
USITAPP.COM
http://www.flickr.com/photos/groundzero/140526325/
WHAT’S AFTER NEXT?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/atomicjeep/3386659481/sizes/l/
WHAT’S AFTER NEXT?
PROVIDING WAYS FOR
BUSINESSES TO TAP INTO P2P
http://www.flickr.com/photos/atomicjeep/3386659481/sizes/l/
TO PREPARE THEM FOR
A WORLD OF MAKERS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/atomicjeep/3386659481/sizes/l/
PAPAYA VENTURE’S NEXT 2013
THEME IS RIGHT ON TARGET:
MOBILE B2B
http://www.flickr.com/photos/groundzero/140526325/
THANK YOU
@papadimitriou
FB/LI: paulpapadimitriou
paulpapadimitriou.com
http://www.flickr.com/photos/casawood/2337512390/sizes/l/

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