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An Introduction to
EnergyEfficiency
Amit Bando & Thibaud Voïta, IPEEC
October 2012
HEC, Paris
1.

The World Today

1
of World Temperature (18892009)

Source: NASA
Worldwide Final Energy
Consumption
1990-2008
9.0

Mining and
construction
Agriculture, forestr
y, fishing
Commercial and
public services
Energy sector

8.0

Energy consumption (Gtoe)

7.0

6.0

5.0

Residential

4.0

Transport sector

3.0

Industry sector

2.0

1.0

0.0
1990

Source: IEA 2010c.

1995

2000

2005
Developing Countries‟ Final
Energy Consumption
1990-2008
5.0

Mining and
construction
Agriculture, forestr
y, fishing
Commercial and
public services
Energy sector

Energy consumption (Gtoe)

4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0

Residential

2.5
2.0

Transport sector

1.5

Industry sector

1.0
0.5
0.0
1990

Source: IEA 2010

1995

2000

2005

4
OtherWorrying Trends
 Population growth:

9.2 billion by 2050,
 2 billion new consumers in emergingeconomies by 2050;
 Natural resourcesdepletion:
 1.1 billion people lackaccess to safedrinking water in 2012,
 Deforestation: 80,000 square km everyyear,
 Food security:
 Food prices x 2 by 2030,
 1.5 bilion people with no access to electricty in 2012,


5
Geopolitical Changes in the
Energy Sector
 80% of the current oil reserves have been discovered before 1979,
 75% of these oil reserves will need to be replaced by 2035, it

represents:
 50 million barrels of oil per day,
 4 time Saudi Arabia‟s current production.
 But shale gas can flood the market, thanks to fields located in:
 The USA,
 Argentina,
 China,
 Canada,
 France,
 Israel.
 Today, Europe pays USD 14/1000 cubic feet of gas from Russia, the
USA produces shale gas at USD 2/ 1000 cubic feet.

6
2.

WhatisEnergyEffici
ency?

7
“Something is more energy
efficient if it delivers more
services for the same
energy input, or the same
services for less energy
input.”
8
WhatEnergyEfficiency (EE)
Relates to
Agriculture

Industry

Utilities
Buildings
&Appliance
s

Transportation

Cities
9
Definitions of
EnergyEfficiencyPotential

Technical
Potential
Technical
feasibility

Economical
Potential

Achievable
Potential

Program
Potential

Cost
Effectiveness

Market &
Adoption
Barriers

Program
design, budget,
staffing& time
constraints

 National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency (2007). Guide to

Resource Planning with Energy Efficiency. Prepared by Snuller,
Price et al., Energy and Environmental Economics, Inc. p. 2-2.
<www.epa.gov/eeactionplan>

10
3.

Whatis IPEEC?

11
IPEEC is a high level
international forum
 Provides global leadership on energy efficiency by

identifying and facilitating government implementation of
policies and programs that yield high energy-efficiency
gains.
 Aims to promote information exchange on best practices

and facilitate initiatives to improve energy efficiency.
 Formally established in 2009 at the G8 summit in

L'Aquila, Italy and resulting from the Heiligendamm
Dialogue Process.

12
13
IPEEC is an
Autonomous Entity
Members account for over 75% of world GDP and energy
use.
EU

Germany

United
Kingdom
France

Italy
Russia

Canada
Japan

USA

Republic of
Korea
China

Mexico

India
Brazil
Australia

The IPEEC Secretariatis located in
Paris, France
14
IPEEC - guiding principles
 Improving energy saving and energy efficiency is one of the quickest,
greenest, and most cost-effective ways to address energy security and
climate change as well as to ensure sustainable economic growth
 All countries, both developed and developing, share common interests in

improving their energy efficiency performance
 There is abundant potential for international cooperation among them
 Will contribute to improvement of energy efficiency at the global level
 Developed countries need to play an important role in cooperation with

developing countries
 Accelerating dissemination and transfer of best practices, efficient
technologies and capacity building in developing countries

15
and Services
FollowParallelJourneys
Basic research

Applied research

Individual innovators

Demonstration
& sample distribution

General regulation

Early demonstration

Full demonstration

Marketed product

Warranted product

Small group: start-up/
unit in a company

Medium-size operation

Large scale operation

Early adopters & niches

Rational economic purchase

Technology
& market evaluation

General regulation

Specific regulation

General regulation

General regulation

16
Case
studie
s

Examples of
EnergyEfficiencyP
olicies

17
USA‟sRefrigerator
Program
• Standards, labels & incentives led to EE improvement without
interrupting long-term decline in real purchase price: from
$1,000 to $600 (2009$)
• Government action has led to savings of about $20
billion/year in 2010 and $300 billion cumulative since 1978
AnnualEnergyU
sed a by a
refrigerator X 4
1945

Introduction of
refrigerators
standards

AnnualEnergyU
seddeclines:
reaches 1945
levels by 2010

1978

2010

Promoting a lowcarboneconomy
18
China 11th - Five-Year Plan
(2006 – 2011)
Results:
Government
sets
policies&
objectives to
promote a
lowcarbonec
onomy

2006

Top 1000
enterprises

Energyintensi - 19.1%
Closure of ty
inefficient Chemicaloxyg - 12.45%
plants
endemand
SO2
- 14.29%
Tenkeyproje emissions
cts
2011
Japan‟s Top Runner Program
 EE standards for appliances/vehicles
 Standards - set higher than the best performance value of
each product currently on sale in the market
 Standard takes into account technological development
 21 products are included, low technology products are
phased out
Passenger vehicle
Air conditioners
standards
In 1999, target: By
2010, fuel economy
improvement would be
22.8%
Target reached in 2005

EE improvement of 67.4% (1999-2004)
Companies used technologies that they may
otherwise have waited to commercialize
Improved consumer and retailer awareness
accelerated pace of market penetration
20
4.

What Can
EnergyEfficiencyBring?

21
EnergySavings: Less
GHG Emissions
 Mitigation potential of energy efficiency can be
substantial since:






Building account 40% of energy use, 25% of water use & 1/3 of
all GHG emissions (UN estimates)
industry accounts for 25% of all GHG emissions
manufacturing and construction directly and indirectly account for
37% of CO2 emissions (developing countries 47%)

 Industrial energy efficiency can help reach CO2

reductions of around 1.3 Gtoe equivalent to global
emissions reductions of 4% from 2006 levels
 Chemical and petrochemical, aluminum, iron and steel,
cement and paper and pulp alone would reduce 12%
of CO2 emissions
22
Financial Savings
McKinsey estimates:

 USD 250 – 325 billion annualfinancialsavings or
avoidedenergycosts (2009 – 2030)

 USD 900 billion annualsavings: investing USD 170
billion annually in EE worldwidecouldgenerate an
average rate of return of 17% and produceenergysavings
up to USD 900 billion per year.
ACEEE estimates:
 In the US alone,

USD 12 - 16 trillion of possible

energysavings (2012 – 2050)
23
Green Jobs
 General estimates: EUR 1 million spent in EE

generates 17 to 19 jobs (as compared to 9 jobs in the
renewableindustry)
 The leverage of public & private funding varies from 5 to
1 to sometimes 10 to 1, meaning EUR 1 million of public
money can lead to investments of between EUR 5 and
10 million. That means between 85 to 190 jobs for
EUR 1 million of public money.
 According to ACEEE, if the US chooses to cut energy
consumption, it can create 2 million jobs in 2012 - 2050
24
Enhanced Distribution:
Energy Access
 About 1.5 billion people

worldwide, more than one in
five, lack electricity,
 The UN Secretary-General Ban
Ki-Moon has called to double the
global rate of improvement in EE
by 2030 in order to provide
energy for all.

25
EnhancedEnergy Use:
Energy Security
 Enhancedenergysecurity in order to:

Relyless on foreign supplies fromunstableregions of the
world
 Decrease the influence of energyprices on the economy
 Address national security issues (embargo, war, etc.)
 By reducing the energy use, EE helpsimprovingenergysecurity


26
Water &EnergyEfficiency
According to the UN:
 By 2030: almost 50% of the population willbe living in
regionswithhigh water-stress,
Water and EE:
 Between 2 & 3 % of the world's energy consumption is
used to pump and treat water for urban residents &
industry.
 Energy consumption in most water systems worldwide
could be reduced by at least 25 percent through costeffective efficiency actions.

27
OtherBenefits

Source: IEA
28
5.

Opportunities in Key
Sectors

29
Global CO2 Emissions by
Sector (MtCO2)

Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab

30
Industry: Global Energy
Intensity Trends
1990-2008
Energy
200

MVA

EI
Manufacturing valued added, 2008
7.35 trillion $

180

Index (1990=100%)

160
140
120

Industrial energy
consumption, 2008
2.54 gigatonnes of
oil equivalent

100
80

Industrial energy intensity, 2008
0.35 tonnes of oil equivalent per US$1,000

60
40
20
0
1990

1995

Note: Industrial energy intensity in 2000 US dollars.

2000

2005

Source: UNIDO 2010; IEA 2010.
31
CombinedHeat& Power
(CHP)
•Thermal power emits heat that can be recycled,
•CHP consists the use of a heat engine or a power station to generate
both electricity & useful heat.
• These applications produce energy where it is needed, avoid wasted
heat, and reduce T&D network and other energy losses. Other benefits
cited by policy makers and industry include:
• Cost savings for the energy consumer;
• Lower CO2 emissions;
• Reduced reliance on imported fossil fuels;
• Reduced investment in energy system infrastructure;
• Enhanced electricity network stability through reduction in
congestion and „peak-shaving‟; and
• Beneficial use of local & surplus energy resources (particularly
through the use of waste, biomass, & geothermal resources in
district heating/cooling systems).
•CHP is one of the most cost-efficient EE measures
32
Motors
 Account for 60% of industrial electricity consumption and about 15% of final
energy use in industry worldwide (IEA 2007).
 By 2030, if BAU, energy consumption will rise to 13 360 TWh per year and
CO2 emissions to 8 570 Mt per year.

 End‐users now spend USD 565 billion per year on electricity used in motors;
by 2030, that could rise to almost USD 900 billion.*
 Electronic motor controls that allow for variable speed drives (VSD) have good
market potential.
 Using the best available motors will typically save about 4% to 5% of all electric

motor energy consumption. Linking these motors with electromechanical
solutions that are cost‐optimised for the end‐user will typically save another
15% to 25%.
 The potential exists to cost‐effectively improve energy efficiency of motor
systems by roughly 20% to 30%, which would reduce total global electricity
demand by about 10%.
Smart Meters
 In 2008, less than 4% of the global installed base of 1.5

billion electricity meters could be considered “smart” but
4 years later this penetration has grown to over 18%, and
is expected to exceed 55% by 2020.
 The North American market has already peaked
 European market has begun its growth period.
 The Asia Pacific region will continue to outpace all other
regions driven by major deployments in China, utilizing a
different breed of smart meter technology.
EnhancedEnergy Use:
Buildings
 Energy use in « buildings » meansenergy use of the

building themselves and of the electricappliances.
Togethertheyaccount for 40% of the world GHG
emissions,
 Measures to enhance EE in buildings canmean:
 Improving EE of appliances,
 Refurbishing:



Commercial buildings, or
Residential buildings;

Building new EE houses.
 Buildings situation change depending on the climate
zone,
 EE in buildings is a sensitive topicwith social implications.35

Zero Energy Building
 Zero energy buildings market remains a small fraction of the

overall building construction industry.
 Technologies required to make zero energy buildings possible,
add significant upfront cost.
 Worldwide revenue from zero energy buildings will grow
rapidly over the next two decades, reaching almost $690
billion by 2020 and nearly $1.3 trillion by 2035 (Annual growth
rate of 43% - mostly in the EU).
EU‟s Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) will
require nearly zero energy construction in public buildings by
2019 and in all new construction by 2021.
EnergyConsumption in the
US

Source: DOE (2008)/Center for Climate&Energy Solutions

37
Energy End Use in the US
(2006)

Source: DOE (2008)/Center for Climate&Energy Solutions

38
Buildings Energy End Use in
the US (2006)

Source: DOE (2008)/Center for Climate&Energy Solutions

39
Improving EE in
Buildings: Cool Roofs
A cool roof has a white or special cool color that absorbs less
sunlight, staying cooler in the sun and transmitting less heat
into a building.
Substituting a cool roof for a conventional roof can:
• Reduce the annual air-conditioning energy use of a singlestory building by up to 15%
• Cool interior spaces in buildings that do not have air
conditioning,
• Reduce carbon emissions,
• Reduce peak demand for electricity,
• Potentially slow global warming.
(Source: DOE)
40
Enhanced Energy Use:
At Home
Whatcanenhancedenergyefficienc
ybring to households?
 Reducedenergy bill,
 Enhancedcomfort

An example of energysavings:
Compact Fluorescent Lamps (CFL) consume
1/5 to 1/3 lesselectricitythan the traditional
incandescent lamp&lasts 8 to 15 times longer.

41
Lighting
 Energy-efficient products are still for Asia Pacific customers
 Sales of LED lighting systems will increase rapidly over the next 10

years, accelerating sharply after 2015.
 Unit shipments (lamps, luminaires) will rise from 66 million in 2011 to
542 million in 2021 – a 700% increase.
 Translating into cumulative revenues of $11 billion from 2011 through
2021 for LED lighting in Asia Pacific

Japan‟s 21st Century Light Project;
China‟s commitment to LED is enormous – ex: Shenzhen plans to
install LED‟s in more than 90% of public lighting applications, street
lighting, and commercial spaces in the next decade
Other Areas
 Energyefficiency in transportation;

Fuel efficiency,
Urban planning.
 Energyefficiency in agriculture:
 Equipment,
 Water use.


43
6.

Government, the
Motivator

44
Organisation Need to
Coordinate EE Policies
 Governmentsneed to exchange:

Theirresources (technologies, know-how, finance),
 Theirexperiences& best practices,
Theyneed to establish:
 Standards (see the International Standard Organisation),
 EE Indicators,
 Monitoring &VerificationProcess…
Multilateral institutions implementvarious type of projects (training,
capacity building, technical support): World Bank, regionalbanks, UN
organisations;
IPEEC promotes international cooperation;
NGOsimplementsimilarkind of projects on a largerscale
(ClimateWorks network, International Copper Association, Alliance to
Save Energy).









45
GovernmentsNeed to
PromoteEnergyEfficiency
EE investments are costly and involve long-paybackperiods.

Government
EE policies:
- subsidies,
-incentives,
- standards,
-outreach…

Banks,
Households,
Industry,
Local
governments.

•Loans to
promote EE
•Investments in
EE equipment,
• Adoption of
best practices,
• New projects.

46
… but a Top-Down
Processis not Enough
To be effective, EE measuresneed to bewidelyadopted.

Households,
Industries

Investments in
EE products

Market
Transformation

EE measuressucceedwhengovernment action
iscombinedwithmarketincentives

47
Case
Study

SustainableHousin
g
Policies in Mexico

48
SustainableHousing in
Mexico
Sustaina
bility

Social
Sustainability

REGIONAL PLANNING

URBAN
DEVELOPMENT
Environment

Economic
Sustainability

Strategydirected at strengthening Municipal
and Statelegislation in ordertopromote
“Smartcitygrowth”.
•
Optimum use of
existinginfrastructure
•
Reclaiming of urbanvoids
•
Densityincrease

URBAN DESIGN

SUSTAINABLE
HOUSING

Source: CONAVI
49
Climate Finance Strategy
POA

DUIS
8 certified , 18 in
process:
800,000 new units
in 15 states

GenerateCER’s
from Green
Mortages

Housing
NAMA
PenetrationFoviss
ste, SHF and
upscale

DURBAN /
COP 17
Negotiation with Annex
I countries and
multilateral organisms

“Ésta es
tu casa”
258,329
subsidies

Urban
NAMA
(midterm)
Investment in
efficientinfrastructu
re

Green
Mortgage
725,740
greencredits

Source: CONAVI
50
Penetration&Scaling-Up
Housing
NAMA
Penetration and
Scaling up

PENETRATI
ON

&

Green Mortgage
FOVISSSTE
• Pilot 2012 in hand Green MortgagePenetration

Aguascalientes Pilot Project

SCALING
UP

Source: CONAVI
51
The Role of Local
Governments
Local governmentscan:
 Implementinnovative EE measures,
 Reach people at the local level,
 Generatecompetition in terms of EE
policieswithotherregions.

52
7.

PrivateSector, the Key
Innovator

53
Utility Companies& EE: an
Ambiguious Relation

 Utility &energydeliverycompanies are the

best-positioned in the energymarketplace,
 Contact with power
generationindustry&customers
(individual& industries)
 Key actors in EE
 But: theyearn money by
deliveringenergy: by promoting EE, they
are beingasked to sellless of theirproduct!
54
EnergyEfficiency Obligations
(EEO) for Energy Providers
 All EEOs exhibit three core elements:

A multi-year energy savings target, shared between the parties;
2.
Penalties for noncompliance; and
3.
A measurement, verification and quality assurance system.
 The popularity of EEOs stems from their flexibility.
 Tradable EEOs are usually called White Certificates
1.

EEO in Europe
Country
Belgium Flanders
France
Italy
Great Britain
Denmark

ObligatedEntities
Electricity
distributors
Retailers
incl.transport
Electricity & gas
distributors
Electricity & gas
retailers
Electricity, gas &
heat distributors

Eligible Sectors
Residential,non energyintensive industry

Administrator

2011 Spending
(€ millions)
26

Flemish Government
300

All except large industry

Government
200

All incl. transport

Regulator (AEEG)

1,200
Residential only
All except transport

Regulator (Ofgem)
Danish Energy
Authority

40
55
Appliance Manufacturers
 Residentialenergy use: 14% of world

deliveredenergyconsumption (2008),
 Likely to increase middle classes
grow&adopt new types of consumption
in emerging countries
 Appliance manufacturers are
nowexpected to produce EE products
 Standards & labelling is a keytool to
reduceappliancesenergyconsumption

56
Financial Institutions
 The role of financial institutions iscritical to promoteloans

for EE investments.
 Some international &bilateral organisations organise
training on EE loans for banks: International Finance Corp.,
Agence France Developpement,
 Some countries have
developedspecificschemesthatfacilitate EE investments:
 KfW in Germany on EE in buildings,
 SIDBI in India for SMEs.

57
Heavy Industry &Others
 Industrialprocesses are most of the time energy intensive

(iron&steel, cement, aluminium, petrochemical, textile,
paper&pulp),
 Most of the companies are committed to
significantlyreducetheirenergy Lafarge as a WWF ClimateSavers
An example of a succesful EE plan: use.
Lafarge’s objectives:
• Reduce its GHG emissions to 33 % per t. of cement below 1990 levels by
2020,
• Develop sustainable construction initiatives by 2015 to achieve a lower
carbon footprint and greater EE,
• Contribute to the design of 500 sustainable buildings (2015),
• Advocate for ambitious climate change policies, through trade associations
and international organisations as well as for post-2020 climate policies.
Between 1990 & 2010, reduction of:
• 21.7% of its net CO2 emissions/t of cement,
• 36.5% of its absolute CO2 gross emissions in industrialized countries.
58
Energy Service
Companies (ESCOs)
Energy Performance Contracting
Loan&interestp
ayments

Financial
Institution

Remuneration

Customer

Contractor
Loan(s)

Service:
-financing,
- planning & installation of
energysavingmeasures
-energysavingsguarantee

Source: Berlin EnergyAgency

59
Case
Study

The en.lighten
initiative

60
Light Bulb &Energy Use
 Electricity for lighting accounts for almost 20% of global

power consumption and close to 6% of worldwide GHG
emissions.
 If a global transition to efficient lighting occurred, these
emissions could be reduced by half.
 Few actions could reduce carbon emissions as cheaply
and easily as the phase-out of inefficient lighting, making
it one of the most effective and economically
advantageous ways to combat climate change.

61
The En.lighten Initiative
 The en.lighten initiative has been established by Philips, Osram,

the China National Lighting Test Center, UNEP & the Global
Environment Facility
 en.lighten assists countries in accelerating market transformation
with environmentally sustainable, efficient lighting technologies by:
 Promoting high performance, efficient technologies in
developing countries.
 Developing a global policy strategy to phase-out inefficient and
obsolete lighting products.
 Substituting traditional fuel-based lighting with modern, efficient
alternatives.

62
8.

Challenges for
EnergyEfficiency

63
Assessment of Potential
Strengths

Weaknesses

•
•
•
•

• Cost of investments
• Lack of skilled people
• Lack of awareness of need of
EE amongst consumers
• Weak in-country R & D

Increased sustainability
Increased energy security
Creation of market leader
Increased energy access

Opportunities

Threats

•
•
•
•
•

• Rebound effect (effort does
not reduce energy
consumption as planned)
• Fall in energy prices leading
to “expensive” conservation

Increased value and lifespan
Investment relief (tax)
Market for new innovations
Socio-economic influence
Competitive advantage
Moving Forward
Governments need to commit and also provide the following:
 Overarching policy framework combining mandatory and voluntary
policies and strengthening enforcement;
 Promote greater awareness of EE
 Play an essential role as integrator of the value chain
 Establish funding mechanisms to jump-start EE financing,
particularly in the short term.
 Institutionalize standard-selling and enhance professionalism within
the industry by creating proper accreditation and certification
standards,
 Publicizing more accurate information about EE product suppliers
and ESCOs.
 Remove other barriers that distort markets such as energy subsidies
65
Moving Forward - 2
And Business needs to
 Move towards an integrated value chain approach where suppliers
extend their service portfolio to offer complete solutions (auditing,
installation, maintenance and financing solutions).
 Develop innovative financing vehicles for EE projects by
collaborating with financial institutions and by developing expertise in
EE project financing.
 Increase awareness of EE and enhance professionalism of the
industry from within.
 EE suppliers and ESCOs should adopt a more active role in
promoting EE and in professionalizing the industry from within by
setting standards and benchmarks.
 Multinationals should act as catalysts by bringing in the best
practices from their experiences in other countries.
66
The Political Challenge
 EE

needsstronggovernment
support,
 EE requires a long-term
vision: how governments
in place for only 4–5
yearscan impose it?
 In a time of
economicslowdown, how
to enhance the EE
position in the political
agenda?
67
Technical&Know-How
Challenges
 To beimplemented, EE measuresrequire:

Access to technology,
 Know-how.
 How canemerging and developingeconomies have
access to thisknowledge?


Example: the massive need for energyauditors in
countries such as China &Russia
• How to select them?
• How to train new auditors?
•Whichtechnologyshouldthey use?

68
The Finance Challenge
 EE requires long-terminvestmentswithuncertainpayback
 How to finance energyefficiency in the context of global

crisis?
 How to limit the social impact of enhanced EE standards?

69
The International
Cooperation Challenge
 Differentresources in different parts of the world :
TechnicalKnowledge

Money to implementit

Developed Economies

Yes

No (crisis!)

Emergingcrisis

Not yet

Yes

Developingeconomies

No

No

 Lack of standard measures for energyefficiency


e.g.: EE indicators, standards.

Need for enhanced international cooperation in order to:
•Address global issues,
•Sharelessonslearnt, best practices & technologies,
•Enhance the measurement of EE.
70
The Social Challenge
 Implementing EE measurescanbecostly,
 Whendesigningpolicies, governmentsneed to

takeintoaccount the potential social impact of:
 Refurbishingrequirements in the building sector,
 New equipment standards,
 The price of energy.

71
The Communication
Challenge
 EE is not trendy:

It requires long-terminvestment,
 It istechnical,
 It does not result in visible results (as compared
to windmills in the renewablesector).
 At the same time, climate change &energy issues
are not priorities on the political agenda
anymorebecause of the economiccrisis.


72
The ReboundEffect
Challenge (?)
 Whatis the reboundeffect?

When an energy-usingtechnology or processbecomes
more efficient, the user cantakeadvantage of the
increased service delivered, ratherthanaccepting the
same service at a lowerenergy or financialcost.
 Is the reboundeffect an issue?
 Not an issue in the long term?
 It exists but seems to belimited,
 Reinvestment of energysavingscan
act as a driver for achievements of
Otherpolicy goals
(source: IEA)


73
Questions?

74

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HEC Presentation about IPEEC and EE

  • 1. An Introduction to EnergyEfficiency Amit Bando & Thibaud Voïta, IPEEC October 2012 HEC, Paris
  • 3. of World Temperature (18892009) Source: NASA
  • 4. Worldwide Final Energy Consumption 1990-2008 9.0 Mining and construction Agriculture, forestr y, fishing Commercial and public services Energy sector 8.0 Energy consumption (Gtoe) 7.0 6.0 5.0 Residential 4.0 Transport sector 3.0 Industry sector 2.0 1.0 0.0 1990 Source: IEA 2010c. 1995 2000 2005
  • 5. Developing Countries‟ Final Energy Consumption 1990-2008 5.0 Mining and construction Agriculture, forestr y, fishing Commercial and public services Energy sector Energy consumption (Gtoe) 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 Residential 2.5 2.0 Transport sector 1.5 Industry sector 1.0 0.5 0.0 1990 Source: IEA 2010 1995 2000 2005 4
  • 6. OtherWorrying Trends  Population growth: 9.2 billion by 2050,  2 billion new consumers in emergingeconomies by 2050;  Natural resourcesdepletion:  1.1 billion people lackaccess to safedrinking water in 2012,  Deforestation: 80,000 square km everyyear,  Food security:  Food prices x 2 by 2030,  1.5 bilion people with no access to electricty in 2012,  5
  • 7. Geopolitical Changes in the Energy Sector  80% of the current oil reserves have been discovered before 1979,  75% of these oil reserves will need to be replaced by 2035, it represents:  50 million barrels of oil per day,  4 time Saudi Arabia‟s current production.  But shale gas can flood the market, thanks to fields located in:  The USA,  Argentina,  China,  Canada,  France,  Israel.  Today, Europe pays USD 14/1000 cubic feet of gas from Russia, the USA produces shale gas at USD 2/ 1000 cubic feet. 6
  • 9. “Something is more energy efficient if it delivers more services for the same energy input, or the same services for less energy input.” 8
  • 11. Definitions of EnergyEfficiencyPotential Technical Potential Technical feasibility Economical Potential Achievable Potential Program Potential Cost Effectiveness Market & Adoption Barriers Program design, budget, staffing& time constraints  National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency (2007). Guide to Resource Planning with Energy Efficiency. Prepared by Snuller, Price et al., Energy and Environmental Economics, Inc. p. 2-2. <www.epa.gov/eeactionplan> 10
  • 13. IPEEC is a high level international forum  Provides global leadership on energy efficiency by identifying and facilitating government implementation of policies and programs that yield high energy-efficiency gains.  Aims to promote information exchange on best practices and facilitate initiatives to improve energy efficiency.  Formally established in 2009 at the G8 summit in L'Aquila, Italy and resulting from the Heiligendamm Dialogue Process. 12
  • 14. 13
  • 15. IPEEC is an Autonomous Entity Members account for over 75% of world GDP and energy use. EU Germany United Kingdom France Italy Russia Canada Japan USA Republic of Korea China Mexico India Brazil Australia The IPEEC Secretariatis located in Paris, France 14
  • 16. IPEEC - guiding principles  Improving energy saving and energy efficiency is one of the quickest, greenest, and most cost-effective ways to address energy security and climate change as well as to ensure sustainable economic growth  All countries, both developed and developing, share common interests in improving their energy efficiency performance  There is abundant potential for international cooperation among them  Will contribute to improvement of energy efficiency at the global level  Developed countries need to play an important role in cooperation with developing countries  Accelerating dissemination and transfer of best practices, efficient technologies and capacity building in developing countries 15
  • 17. and Services FollowParallelJourneys Basic research Applied research Individual innovators Demonstration & sample distribution General regulation Early demonstration Full demonstration Marketed product Warranted product Small group: start-up/ unit in a company Medium-size operation Large scale operation Early adopters & niches Rational economic purchase Technology & market evaluation General regulation Specific regulation General regulation General regulation 16
  • 19. USA‟sRefrigerator Program • Standards, labels & incentives led to EE improvement without interrupting long-term decline in real purchase price: from $1,000 to $600 (2009$) • Government action has led to savings of about $20 billion/year in 2010 and $300 billion cumulative since 1978 AnnualEnergyU sed a by a refrigerator X 4 1945 Introduction of refrigerators standards AnnualEnergyU seddeclines: reaches 1945 levels by 2010 1978 2010 Promoting a lowcarboneconomy 18
  • 20. China 11th - Five-Year Plan (2006 – 2011) Results: Government sets policies& objectives to promote a lowcarbonec onomy 2006 Top 1000 enterprises Energyintensi - 19.1% Closure of ty inefficient Chemicaloxyg - 12.45% plants endemand SO2 - 14.29% Tenkeyproje emissions cts 2011
  • 21. Japan‟s Top Runner Program  EE standards for appliances/vehicles  Standards - set higher than the best performance value of each product currently on sale in the market  Standard takes into account technological development  21 products are included, low technology products are phased out Passenger vehicle Air conditioners standards In 1999, target: By 2010, fuel economy improvement would be 22.8% Target reached in 2005 EE improvement of 67.4% (1999-2004) Companies used technologies that they may otherwise have waited to commercialize Improved consumer and retailer awareness accelerated pace of market penetration 20
  • 23. EnergySavings: Less GHG Emissions  Mitigation potential of energy efficiency can be substantial since:    Building account 40% of energy use, 25% of water use & 1/3 of all GHG emissions (UN estimates) industry accounts for 25% of all GHG emissions manufacturing and construction directly and indirectly account for 37% of CO2 emissions (developing countries 47%)  Industrial energy efficiency can help reach CO2 reductions of around 1.3 Gtoe equivalent to global emissions reductions of 4% from 2006 levels  Chemical and petrochemical, aluminum, iron and steel, cement and paper and pulp alone would reduce 12% of CO2 emissions 22
  • 24. Financial Savings McKinsey estimates:  USD 250 – 325 billion annualfinancialsavings or avoidedenergycosts (2009 – 2030)  USD 900 billion annualsavings: investing USD 170 billion annually in EE worldwidecouldgenerate an average rate of return of 17% and produceenergysavings up to USD 900 billion per year. ACEEE estimates:  In the US alone, USD 12 - 16 trillion of possible energysavings (2012 – 2050) 23
  • 25. Green Jobs  General estimates: EUR 1 million spent in EE generates 17 to 19 jobs (as compared to 9 jobs in the renewableindustry)  The leverage of public & private funding varies from 5 to 1 to sometimes 10 to 1, meaning EUR 1 million of public money can lead to investments of between EUR 5 and 10 million. That means between 85 to 190 jobs for EUR 1 million of public money.  According to ACEEE, if the US chooses to cut energy consumption, it can create 2 million jobs in 2012 - 2050 24
  • 26. Enhanced Distribution: Energy Access  About 1.5 billion people worldwide, more than one in five, lack electricity,  The UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon has called to double the global rate of improvement in EE by 2030 in order to provide energy for all. 25
  • 27. EnhancedEnergy Use: Energy Security  Enhancedenergysecurity in order to: Relyless on foreign supplies fromunstableregions of the world  Decrease the influence of energyprices on the economy  Address national security issues (embargo, war, etc.)  By reducing the energy use, EE helpsimprovingenergysecurity  26
  • 28. Water &EnergyEfficiency According to the UN:  By 2030: almost 50% of the population willbe living in regionswithhigh water-stress, Water and EE:  Between 2 & 3 % of the world's energy consumption is used to pump and treat water for urban residents & industry.  Energy consumption in most water systems worldwide could be reduced by at least 25 percent through costeffective efficiency actions. 27
  • 31. Global CO2 Emissions by Sector (MtCO2) Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab 30
  • 32. Industry: Global Energy Intensity Trends 1990-2008 Energy 200 MVA EI Manufacturing valued added, 2008 7.35 trillion $ 180 Index (1990=100%) 160 140 120 Industrial energy consumption, 2008 2.54 gigatonnes of oil equivalent 100 80 Industrial energy intensity, 2008 0.35 tonnes of oil equivalent per US$1,000 60 40 20 0 1990 1995 Note: Industrial energy intensity in 2000 US dollars. 2000 2005 Source: UNIDO 2010; IEA 2010. 31
  • 33. CombinedHeat& Power (CHP) •Thermal power emits heat that can be recycled, •CHP consists the use of a heat engine or a power station to generate both electricity & useful heat. • These applications produce energy where it is needed, avoid wasted heat, and reduce T&D network and other energy losses. Other benefits cited by policy makers and industry include: • Cost savings for the energy consumer; • Lower CO2 emissions; • Reduced reliance on imported fossil fuels; • Reduced investment in energy system infrastructure; • Enhanced electricity network stability through reduction in congestion and „peak-shaving‟; and • Beneficial use of local & surplus energy resources (particularly through the use of waste, biomass, & geothermal resources in district heating/cooling systems). •CHP is one of the most cost-efficient EE measures 32
  • 34. Motors  Account for 60% of industrial electricity consumption and about 15% of final energy use in industry worldwide (IEA 2007).  By 2030, if BAU, energy consumption will rise to 13 360 TWh per year and CO2 emissions to 8 570 Mt per year.  End‐users now spend USD 565 billion per year on electricity used in motors; by 2030, that could rise to almost USD 900 billion.*  Electronic motor controls that allow for variable speed drives (VSD) have good market potential.  Using the best available motors will typically save about 4% to 5% of all electric motor energy consumption. Linking these motors with electromechanical solutions that are cost‐optimised for the end‐user will typically save another 15% to 25%.  The potential exists to cost‐effectively improve energy efficiency of motor systems by roughly 20% to 30%, which would reduce total global electricity demand by about 10%.
  • 35. Smart Meters  In 2008, less than 4% of the global installed base of 1.5 billion electricity meters could be considered “smart” but 4 years later this penetration has grown to over 18%, and is expected to exceed 55% by 2020.  The North American market has already peaked  European market has begun its growth period.  The Asia Pacific region will continue to outpace all other regions driven by major deployments in China, utilizing a different breed of smart meter technology.
  • 36. EnhancedEnergy Use: Buildings  Energy use in « buildings » meansenergy use of the building themselves and of the electricappliances. Togethertheyaccount for 40% of the world GHG emissions,  Measures to enhance EE in buildings canmean:  Improving EE of appliances,  Refurbishing:   Commercial buildings, or Residential buildings; Building new EE houses.  Buildings situation change depending on the climate zone,  EE in buildings is a sensitive topicwith social implications.35 
  • 37. Zero Energy Building  Zero energy buildings market remains a small fraction of the overall building construction industry.  Technologies required to make zero energy buildings possible, add significant upfront cost.  Worldwide revenue from zero energy buildings will grow rapidly over the next two decades, reaching almost $690 billion by 2020 and nearly $1.3 trillion by 2035 (Annual growth rate of 43% - mostly in the EU). EU‟s Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) will require nearly zero energy construction in public buildings by 2019 and in all new construction by 2021.
  • 38. EnergyConsumption in the US Source: DOE (2008)/Center for Climate&Energy Solutions 37
  • 39. Energy End Use in the US (2006) Source: DOE (2008)/Center for Climate&Energy Solutions 38
  • 40. Buildings Energy End Use in the US (2006) Source: DOE (2008)/Center for Climate&Energy Solutions 39
  • 41. Improving EE in Buildings: Cool Roofs A cool roof has a white or special cool color that absorbs less sunlight, staying cooler in the sun and transmitting less heat into a building. Substituting a cool roof for a conventional roof can: • Reduce the annual air-conditioning energy use of a singlestory building by up to 15% • Cool interior spaces in buildings that do not have air conditioning, • Reduce carbon emissions, • Reduce peak demand for electricity, • Potentially slow global warming. (Source: DOE) 40
  • 42. Enhanced Energy Use: At Home Whatcanenhancedenergyefficienc ybring to households?  Reducedenergy bill,  Enhancedcomfort An example of energysavings: Compact Fluorescent Lamps (CFL) consume 1/5 to 1/3 lesselectricitythan the traditional incandescent lamp&lasts 8 to 15 times longer. 41
  • 43. Lighting  Energy-efficient products are still for Asia Pacific customers  Sales of LED lighting systems will increase rapidly over the next 10 years, accelerating sharply after 2015.  Unit shipments (lamps, luminaires) will rise from 66 million in 2011 to 542 million in 2021 – a 700% increase.  Translating into cumulative revenues of $11 billion from 2011 through 2021 for LED lighting in Asia Pacific Japan‟s 21st Century Light Project; China‟s commitment to LED is enormous – ex: Shenzhen plans to install LED‟s in more than 90% of public lighting applications, street lighting, and commercial spaces in the next decade
  • 44. Other Areas  Energyefficiency in transportation; Fuel efficiency, Urban planning.  Energyefficiency in agriculture:  Equipment,  Water use.  43
  • 46. Organisation Need to Coordinate EE Policies  Governmentsneed to exchange: Theirresources (technologies, know-how, finance),  Theirexperiences& best practices, Theyneed to establish:  Standards (see the International Standard Organisation),  EE Indicators,  Monitoring &VerificationProcess… Multilateral institutions implementvarious type of projects (training, capacity building, technical support): World Bank, regionalbanks, UN organisations; IPEEC promotes international cooperation; NGOsimplementsimilarkind of projects on a largerscale (ClimateWorks network, International Copper Association, Alliance to Save Energy).      45
  • 47. GovernmentsNeed to PromoteEnergyEfficiency EE investments are costly and involve long-paybackperiods. Government EE policies: - subsidies, -incentives, - standards, -outreach… Banks, Households, Industry, Local governments. •Loans to promote EE •Investments in EE equipment, • Adoption of best practices, • New projects. 46
  • 48. … but a Top-Down Processis not Enough To be effective, EE measuresneed to bewidelyadopted. Households, Industries Investments in EE products Market Transformation EE measuressucceedwhengovernment action iscombinedwithmarketincentives 47
  • 50. SustainableHousing in Mexico Sustaina bility Social Sustainability REGIONAL PLANNING URBAN DEVELOPMENT Environment Economic Sustainability Strategydirected at strengthening Municipal and Statelegislation in ordertopromote “Smartcitygrowth”. • Optimum use of existinginfrastructure • Reclaiming of urbanvoids • Densityincrease URBAN DESIGN SUSTAINABLE HOUSING Source: CONAVI 49
  • 51. Climate Finance Strategy POA DUIS 8 certified , 18 in process: 800,000 new units in 15 states GenerateCER’s from Green Mortages Housing NAMA PenetrationFoviss ste, SHF and upscale DURBAN / COP 17 Negotiation with Annex I countries and multilateral organisms “Ésta es tu casa” 258,329 subsidies Urban NAMA (midterm) Investment in efficientinfrastructu re Green Mortgage 725,740 greencredits Source: CONAVI 50
  • 52. Penetration&Scaling-Up Housing NAMA Penetration and Scaling up PENETRATI ON & Green Mortgage FOVISSSTE • Pilot 2012 in hand Green MortgagePenetration Aguascalientes Pilot Project SCALING UP Source: CONAVI 51
  • 53. The Role of Local Governments Local governmentscan:  Implementinnovative EE measures,  Reach people at the local level,  Generatecompetition in terms of EE policieswithotherregions. 52
  • 55. Utility Companies& EE: an Ambiguious Relation  Utility &energydeliverycompanies are the best-positioned in the energymarketplace,  Contact with power generationindustry&customers (individual& industries)  Key actors in EE  But: theyearn money by deliveringenergy: by promoting EE, they are beingasked to sellless of theirproduct! 54
  • 56. EnergyEfficiency Obligations (EEO) for Energy Providers  All EEOs exhibit three core elements: A multi-year energy savings target, shared between the parties; 2. Penalties for noncompliance; and 3. A measurement, verification and quality assurance system.  The popularity of EEOs stems from their flexibility.  Tradable EEOs are usually called White Certificates 1. EEO in Europe Country Belgium Flanders France Italy Great Britain Denmark ObligatedEntities Electricity distributors Retailers incl.transport Electricity & gas distributors Electricity & gas retailers Electricity, gas & heat distributors Eligible Sectors Residential,non energyintensive industry Administrator 2011 Spending (€ millions) 26 Flemish Government 300 All except large industry Government 200 All incl. transport Regulator (AEEG) 1,200 Residential only All except transport Regulator (Ofgem) Danish Energy Authority 40 55
  • 57. Appliance Manufacturers  Residentialenergy use: 14% of world deliveredenergyconsumption (2008),  Likely to increase middle classes grow&adopt new types of consumption in emerging countries  Appliance manufacturers are nowexpected to produce EE products  Standards & labelling is a keytool to reduceappliancesenergyconsumption 56
  • 58. Financial Institutions  The role of financial institutions iscritical to promoteloans for EE investments.  Some international &bilateral organisations organise training on EE loans for banks: International Finance Corp., Agence France Developpement,  Some countries have developedspecificschemesthatfacilitate EE investments:  KfW in Germany on EE in buildings,  SIDBI in India for SMEs. 57
  • 59. Heavy Industry &Others  Industrialprocesses are most of the time energy intensive (iron&steel, cement, aluminium, petrochemical, textile, paper&pulp),  Most of the companies are committed to significantlyreducetheirenergy Lafarge as a WWF ClimateSavers An example of a succesful EE plan: use. Lafarge’s objectives: • Reduce its GHG emissions to 33 % per t. of cement below 1990 levels by 2020, • Develop sustainable construction initiatives by 2015 to achieve a lower carbon footprint and greater EE, • Contribute to the design of 500 sustainable buildings (2015), • Advocate for ambitious climate change policies, through trade associations and international organisations as well as for post-2020 climate policies. Between 1990 & 2010, reduction of: • 21.7% of its net CO2 emissions/t of cement, • 36.5% of its absolute CO2 gross emissions in industrialized countries. 58
  • 60. Energy Service Companies (ESCOs) Energy Performance Contracting Loan&interestp ayments Financial Institution Remuneration Customer Contractor Loan(s) Service: -financing, - planning & installation of energysavingmeasures -energysavingsguarantee Source: Berlin EnergyAgency 59
  • 62. Light Bulb &Energy Use  Electricity for lighting accounts for almost 20% of global power consumption and close to 6% of worldwide GHG emissions.  If a global transition to efficient lighting occurred, these emissions could be reduced by half.  Few actions could reduce carbon emissions as cheaply and easily as the phase-out of inefficient lighting, making it one of the most effective and economically advantageous ways to combat climate change. 61
  • 63. The En.lighten Initiative  The en.lighten initiative has been established by Philips, Osram, the China National Lighting Test Center, UNEP & the Global Environment Facility  en.lighten assists countries in accelerating market transformation with environmentally sustainable, efficient lighting technologies by:  Promoting high performance, efficient technologies in developing countries.  Developing a global policy strategy to phase-out inefficient and obsolete lighting products.  Substituting traditional fuel-based lighting with modern, efficient alternatives. 62
  • 65. Assessment of Potential Strengths Weaknesses • • • • • Cost of investments • Lack of skilled people • Lack of awareness of need of EE amongst consumers • Weak in-country R & D Increased sustainability Increased energy security Creation of market leader Increased energy access Opportunities Threats • • • • • • Rebound effect (effort does not reduce energy consumption as planned) • Fall in energy prices leading to “expensive” conservation Increased value and lifespan Investment relief (tax) Market for new innovations Socio-economic influence Competitive advantage
  • 66. Moving Forward Governments need to commit and also provide the following:  Overarching policy framework combining mandatory and voluntary policies and strengthening enforcement;  Promote greater awareness of EE  Play an essential role as integrator of the value chain  Establish funding mechanisms to jump-start EE financing, particularly in the short term.  Institutionalize standard-selling and enhance professionalism within the industry by creating proper accreditation and certification standards,  Publicizing more accurate information about EE product suppliers and ESCOs.  Remove other barriers that distort markets such as energy subsidies 65
  • 67. Moving Forward - 2 And Business needs to  Move towards an integrated value chain approach where suppliers extend their service portfolio to offer complete solutions (auditing, installation, maintenance and financing solutions).  Develop innovative financing vehicles for EE projects by collaborating with financial institutions and by developing expertise in EE project financing.  Increase awareness of EE and enhance professionalism of the industry from within.  EE suppliers and ESCOs should adopt a more active role in promoting EE and in professionalizing the industry from within by setting standards and benchmarks.  Multinationals should act as catalysts by bringing in the best practices from their experiences in other countries. 66
  • 68. The Political Challenge  EE needsstronggovernment support,  EE requires a long-term vision: how governments in place for only 4–5 yearscan impose it?  In a time of economicslowdown, how to enhance the EE position in the political agenda? 67
  • 69. Technical&Know-How Challenges  To beimplemented, EE measuresrequire: Access to technology,  Know-how.  How canemerging and developingeconomies have access to thisknowledge?  Example: the massive need for energyauditors in countries such as China &Russia • How to select them? • How to train new auditors? •Whichtechnologyshouldthey use? 68
  • 70. The Finance Challenge  EE requires long-terminvestmentswithuncertainpayback  How to finance energyefficiency in the context of global crisis?  How to limit the social impact of enhanced EE standards? 69
  • 71. The International Cooperation Challenge  Differentresources in different parts of the world : TechnicalKnowledge Money to implementit Developed Economies Yes No (crisis!) Emergingcrisis Not yet Yes Developingeconomies No No  Lack of standard measures for energyefficiency  e.g.: EE indicators, standards. Need for enhanced international cooperation in order to: •Address global issues, •Sharelessonslearnt, best practices & technologies, •Enhance the measurement of EE. 70
  • 72. The Social Challenge  Implementing EE measurescanbecostly,  Whendesigningpolicies, governmentsneed to takeintoaccount the potential social impact of:  Refurbishingrequirements in the building sector,  New equipment standards,  The price of energy. 71
  • 73. The Communication Challenge  EE is not trendy: It requires long-terminvestment,  It istechnical,  It does not result in visible results (as compared to windmills in the renewablesector).  At the same time, climate change &energy issues are not priorities on the political agenda anymorebecause of the economiccrisis.  72
  • 74. The ReboundEffect Challenge (?)  Whatis the reboundeffect? When an energy-usingtechnology or processbecomes more efficient, the user cantakeadvantage of the increased service delivered, ratherthanaccepting the same service at a lowerenergy or financialcost.  Is the reboundeffect an issue?  Not an issue in the long term?  It exists but seems to belimited,  Reinvestment of energysavingscan act as a driver for achievements of Otherpolicy goals (source: IEA)  73

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Global energy consumption grew by 36% or 1.7% annual average between 1990-2008, from 6 gigatonnes of oil equivalent to 8.2 Gtoe.The residential, transport and industrial sectors ¾ of total consumption, with manufacturing industry accounting for 31% of total use.Definitional note: Total Final Consumption (TFC) is essentially total primary energy less the quantities of energy required to transform primary sources such as crude oil into forms suitable for end use consumers such as refined oils, electricity, patent fuels etc (Transformation, processing or other losses entailed in delivery to final consumers are known as “energy overhead”).
  2. Global energy consumption grew by 36% or 1.7% annual average between 1990-2008, from 6 gigatonnes of oil equivalent to 8.2 Gtoe.The residential, transport and industrial sectors ¾ of total consumption, with manufacturing industry accounting for 31% of total use.Definitional note: Total Final Consumption (TFC) is essentially total primary energy less the quantities of energy required to transform primary sources such as crude oil into forms suitable for end use consumers such as refined oils, electricity, patent fuels etc (Transformation, processing or other losses entailed in delivery to final consumers are known as “energy overhead”).
  3. 10.30
  4. 10.45
  5. 11.10 10 min break
  6. 11.45
  7. Source: RodJanssen &amp; ACEEE
  8. Sources: UN &amp; USAID – ASE (oldproject, 2005)
  9. Industrial energy intensity, the ratio of energy to manufacturing value added, dropped by around 25% since 1990, although the reduction was mainly achieved during the 1990s. By 2008 industrial; energy intensity had reached 0.35toe per US$ 1000 of manufacturing value added, or one kilo of energy equivalent for each US$ 3 dollars of value added in manufacturing.MVA has been growing more rapidly than energy consumption implying a gradual decoupling of industrial growth from energy use.
  10. Source: IEA
  11. * http://www.iea.org/papers/2011/EE_for_ElectricSystems.pdf
  12. Traditional dark-colored roofing materials strongly absorb sunlight, making them warm in the sun, which in turn adds heat to a building.
  13. Information Source: Pike Research, 2011
  14. lunch
  15. Energy Efficiency &amp; Renewable EnergymeasuresBioclimatic architectureThermal insulationHigh efficiency illuminationHigh efficiency appliancesHigh efficiency water heatersSolar photovoltaic cellsSolar water heatingExisting housingHigh efficiency illuminationHigh efficiency appliancesHigh efficiency water heatersSolar water heating
  16. Illustration:largestutiliycompanies in the world
  17. It aims to accelerate global market transformation to environmentally sustainable lighting technologies by developing a coordinated global strategy and providing technical support for the phase-out of inefficient lighting.