Future Challenges of Clinical Development; a View from the CRO - Hani Zaki
1. 12 January 2011 Hani Zaki, MPH, MBA Senior Vice President, Late Phase Services PRA International Future Challenges of Clinical Development: A View from the CRO
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3. Clinical Trials By The Numbers 100,838 trials registered on ClinTrial.gov as of January 3, 2011 40,998 trials are Pharma based 10,192 are “enrolling” 8,824 Interventional 4,633 Safety Outcome 20,982 are US based
23. Some Trends and Needs Trends Needs Significant decrease in NME approvals (revenue) at 40x the expense Development efficiencies Increasing cost of late phase (II, III, IV) development New processes, technology & Innovation Global trials with increasing needs in CEE, Asia, MENA, Africa Global resources, training, standardization Fierce competition for study patients Medical informatics and utilization of emerging new data resources Pharma and Biotech relaying on outsourcing to re-structure expense from fixed to variable CROs leading change in processes, logistics, metrics, delivery and quality
25. Challenge: New Efficiencies Lead Innovation Lead Efficiency Lead Delivery Metrics Lead Quality Metrics Active Approach: Suppliers Setting New Standards Balanced Collaboration Global Bio-Pharmaceutical Industry Discovery Innovation Licensing Supply competitiveness, savings, flexibility, global reach, insight ….
26. Clinical Trial Costs Is this the most efficient process? Can we do better to reduce burden? Are we building effective partnerships?
27. Challenge: Technology & Innovation Must be a joint effort between industry, suppliers and regulators Break from 1970’s thinking and processes and re-draw the mechanics of conducting clinical research based on today’s realities, resources and capabilities
30. Challenge: Broader Geographies Accelerating the rate of enrollment in clinical trials toward reduced costs and quicker results Finding the right patients and navigating narrow inclusion and exclusion criteria Greater competition for patients and the need for larger sample sizes to detect slight differences Ethical considerations Regulatory Oversight
32. Challenge: Access to Patients Vast cultural differences on healthcare “privacy.” Nordic countries have a tradition of health registries. Every citizen is provided with an identifier from birth and enrolled into registries to elucidate epidemiological trends. Data are used for public health research and improvement of medical care. Can we guarantee healthcare privacy as we break new ground to accelerate research? Can we generalize across countries?
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Hinweis der Redaktion
Cannot speak about future challenges without a solid understanding of where we are today, and the market forces that will effects us into the future
I like to first set the stage of where we are today and talk about the drivers, market dynamics and trends Then I’ll talk about what I see as some future challanges
Size (1) Consider the clinical development space today Here is a picture Over 100,000 trials registered in CT.Gov ~ 40% are Pharma based; the others are Gov institutions, academia, hospitals, research institutes, and individual researchers 20K of the Pharma 40K are US based 10K of the 40K are now open for enrollment 8K of the 10K are “Interventional” 50% of the interventional studies have some safety-outcome component So, let’s focus on the Pharma segment. How is this work being done?
Economic Drivers (1) Pharma traditionally has acted as innovator/discoverer, formulator, developer, manufacturer, and marketer This model began to slowly change beginning in the 1970’s. At every step post-innovation you can now effectively outsource your needs. From initial pre-clinical testing, to first-in-man, to development, to manufacturing, to marketing and to selling. We’ve come a long way in the past 30 years. The frustration is that we also stood still in many aspects for the past 30 years. And in focusing on clinical development, we are still one of the few industries in the world that still manage to use “NCR paper” on occasion. (Ask what NCR paper is). And although we outsource more than ever in our industry, the standards, process, logistics, efficiencies, and quality metrics are held more or les by the folks that outsource – this is not the norm in other industries The constant that we’ve seen is a palpable shift in where resources reside; and as Pharma outsourcing increases so does the shift in professional resources What does this shift look like? Take a look at the next graph …
Size (2)
Economic Drivers (2)
Economic Drivers (3) If you have ANY doubt about the relationship that I just described take a look at this graph – the clinical research stock index. We established that Pharma development activity and needs have shaped the CRO industry and will continue to shape the CRO industry in the future. Therefore it makes sense to consider what forces are now effecting the global Pharma space since these market pressures will likely shape future Pharmaceutical demands
Market Dynamics (1)
Market Dynamics (2) One of the biggest challenges facing the drug industry today is the cost of development We are spending 40 times more today for an equal level of productivity This is a picture of an industry in a tail spin
Market Dynamics (3)
Market Dynamics (4)
Market Dynamics (5) Now that we’ve established the drivers of the CRO business let’s look at some of the market dynamics that are now effecting the space, and will continue to do so into the future Recent article in the Wall Street Journal indicating some relief in sight for some industries following adjustments in their businesses as well as positive accumulation of cash But look closely at the Pharma industry
Trends (1) The global economy, shrinking pipelines, lower NME approvals, pricing pressures, and loss of patents has effected development and Pharma’s ability to support development. This is reflected in the number of study starts with a trend beginning in 2008