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Supply Chain Insights
What Does Good Look Like?



Supply
Chain
Insights
BRICKS                               Book
                                  Publishes




 Matter
                                  in August
                                     2012



 The Role of Supply Chains
      in Building Market-Driven
         Differentiation




     LORA M. CECERE
           CHARLES W. CHASE JR.
S&OP Challenge




                 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 4
Supply Chain Pain Points:
       All vs. Largest




                         Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 5
IT Systems:
  Quantity




              Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 6
Is it any wonder
?




                     Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 7
Year-over-Year Growth

  Years    1990-1994   1995-1999   2000-2004   2005-2009           2010-2012

 RETAIL
            17.05%      42.46%      12.89%      8.76%                  5.15%
AVERAGE

  CPG
            2.12%       0.84%       3.91%       7.26%                  2.32%
AVERAGE

FOOD CPG
            3.68%       2.97%       8.13%       2.59%                  4.27%
AVERAGE

BEVERAGE
   CPG      12.87%      2.00%       9.59%       11.53%                 4.92%
 AVERAGE




                                                  Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 8
Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 9
My Bias

      Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 10
What’s in
      a name?

 A rose by any other
name would smell as
       sweet.
      William Shakespeare
                            Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 11
What Is In A Name?

‱   Integrated business planning (IBP) refers to the technologies, applications and
    processes of connecting the planning function across the enterprise to improve
    organizational alignment and financial performance. IBP accurately represents a
    holistic model of the company in order to link strategic planning, and operational
    planning, with financial planning. By deploying a single model across the enterprise
    and leveraging the organization’s information assets, corporate executives, business
    unit heads and planning managers use IBP to evaluate plans and activities based on
    the true economic impact of each consideration.

‱   Sales and operations planning (S&OP) is an integrated business management
    process through which the executive/leadership team continually achieves focus,
    alignment and synchronization among all functions of the organization. The S&OP
    plan includes an updated sales plan, production plan, inventory plan, customer lead
    time (backlog) plan, new product development plan, strategic initiative plan and
    resulting financial plan. Plan frequency and planning horizon depend on the
    specifics of the industry. Short product life cycles and high demand volatility
    require a tighter S&OP planning as steadily consumed products. Done well, the
    S&OP process also enables effective supply chain management.


                                                                Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 12
Agenda



 What is the Goal?


  How do we make
    Decisions?


What do we Measure?




                     Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 13
Getting to Letter Perfect

     Common Practice                Market-driven Focus

                                    Focus on market drivers:
S    Ask sales
                                    How do we best shape demand?

                                    Design of the value chain to optimize
&    Direct integration to supply   trade-offs, minimize risk, balance
                                    cycles, and orchestrate demand

                                    Trade-offs between make, source and
OP   Manufacturing plan
                                    deliver




                                                              14
                                                    Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 14
S&OP Process
Existence, Goals & Processes




                         Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 15
S&OP Evolution
                                                                                          Greater Benefit
                                         Business-                                        ‱ Growth
Sales Driven
                                      planning Driven                                     ‱ Resilience
Match Demand
                                          Maximize                                        ‱ Efficiency
 with Supply
                                         Profitability




                                                                                             Market Driven
  Manufacturing-                                                  Demand Driven
       Driven                                                                                  Maximize
                                                                     Maximize
                                                                                            Opportunity and
 Deliver a Feasible                                                 Opportunity
                                                                                             Mitigate Risk.
 Plan for Operations                                                Sense and
                                                                                              Orchestrate
   Match Demand                                                       Shape
                                                                                               Demand
     with Supply       Source: Supply Chain Insights, LLC, 2012      Demand
                                                                                            Market to Market
                                                                                  Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 16
A Supply Chain is a Complex
   System with Complex
 Processes with Increasing
        Complexity



                    Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 17
The Effective Frontier


                                     Profitable Growth

                          Revenue                    Cost of Goods

                                      Working Capital

                          Corporate Social Responsibility

  R&D Strategy and Investment                      Asset Strategy and Investment

  Forecast Accuracy                 Customer Service                 Inventory

   Channel Strategy                   Product and              Supplier Strategy
                                     Service Portfolio
    Sales        Distribution      Manufacturing        Logistics       Procurement
   Policies       Policies           Policies           Policies          Policies

   Returns       Backorders       First Pass Yield     Empty Miles      Material Yield

Source: Supply Chain Insights, LLC, 2012




                                                                           Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 18
Value Network Strategy

                                                       Business Strategy
                           What are the right things to do to increase company value?

                                      Value-network Supply Chain Strategy
                    What are the right ways to support the business strategy?
            What are the right trade-offs between value drivers for each value network?

  Align demand Right product                              Design the            Build                 Align supply
 Supply chain strategy
  relationships       platforms                            supply           organizational            relationships
                                                          response           systems and
                                                                            manage talent
                                                                                                        Effective Supply
     Demand Networks                 Design Networks                             Continuous                 Networks
                                                                                Improvement
    Joint Value Creation              Innovation            Supply Chain                               Execution of buy-
         Strategies                  Methodologies         Network Design   Capabilities Required       side strategies


                                                       Business Process
                                             How do I do the right things right?
Source: Supply Chain Insights, LLC




                                                                                        Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 19
Center of Excellence
Importance vs. Performance




                        Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 20
Agenda



 What is the Goal?


  How do we make
    Decisions?


What do we Measure?




                     Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 21
Typical Organization


                                               CEO




          Chief Customer
                                                                                COO
              Officer




Chief Marketing                                      VP of Supply                                            VP of
                           Sales                                                           CFO
    Officer                                             Chain                                             Manufacturing




                                    Customer
                   Account Teams                     Procurement    Logistics               CIO               Quality
                                     Service



Growth                Volume                                          Cost




                                                                                      Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 22
S&OP Process Operations




                   Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 23
An Athlete Needs:




Source: Supply Chain Insights, LLC




                                     Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 24
Supply Chain Organization




                     Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 25
The Need for Balance


         &




        Goal




                  Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 26
S&OP Balance




               Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 27
What is Agility?




                   Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 28
Agility Importance vs. Performance




                          Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 29
Agility Today vs. Past




                    Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 30
Agility Scenario Planning




                     Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 31
Agenda



  What is the Goal?


  How do we make
    Decisions?


What do we Measure?




                      Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 32
Benefits Received from S&OP
          Processes
             â–Č 2%

             â–Č 5-7%

             ▌ 10-15%

             â–Č 3-7%




             â–Č 3-6%

             ▌ 2-8%




             â–Č 3-6%




                        Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 33
Measure


‱   Forecast accuracy
‱   Inventory
‱   Customer Service
‱   Profit
‱   Revenue




                           Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 34
S&OP Process
 Plan Execution




                  Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 35
Technology




             Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 36
Comparison of Revenue/Employee
                                         for the Period of 2000-2011
                                      Comparison of Revenue/Employee for the Period of 2000-2011

                                        P&G          Colgate          Unilever      Kimberly-Clark       Nestle           Kraft
                                700
Revenue/Thousands of Employee




                                600


                                500


                                400


                                300


                                200


                                100


                                 0
                                      2000    2001     2002    2003      2004    2005   2006   2007   2008     2009      2010       2011


                                                                                                       Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 37
Comparison of EBIT/Employee for
                            the Period of 2000-2011
                        Comparison of EBIT/Employee for the Period of 2000-2011
                               P&G     Colgate       Unilever       Kimberly-Clark          Nestle         Kraft
                140.0



                120.0



                100.0
EBIT/Employee




                 80.0



                 60.0



                 40.0



                 20.0



                  0.0
                        2000    2001   2002   2003    2004   2005    2006   2007     2008     2009       2010      2011



                                                                                      Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 38
Consumer Products:
                         Comparison of Days of Inventory

             Consumer Products: Comparison of Days of Inventory
            P&G             Colgate          Unilever          Nestle                Kraft
80



75



70



65



60



55



50
     2002         2003      2004      2005    2006      2007     2008         2009           2010



                                                                  Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 39
Consumer Products:
                                              Cost of Sales as a Percentage of Revenue
                                        Consumer Products: Cost of Sales as a Percentage of Revenue

                                       Unilever          Kellogg   Kraft   General Mills   Campbell          Hershey          P&G
                                 70%
Cost of Sales as a % of Revnue




                                 65%



                                 60%



                                 55%



                                 50%



                                 45%



                                 40%
                                       2002       2003      2004   2005    2006     2007   2008       2009       2010         2011



                                                                                                  Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 40
Historically, we have



‱ Tried to get precise on inaccurate data.
‱ Believed that the most efficient supply chain is
  the most effective supply chain.
‱ Built efficient chains, but not effective networks.
‱ Focused inside-out, not outside-in.
‱ Rewarded the urgent, not the important.




                                                 41
                                       Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 41
Ask the Right Questions



‱ What is the goal?
‱ How do we make decisions?
‱ What do we measure?




                                        42
                              Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 42
Who is Lora?

‱ Founder of Supply Chain Insights
‱ Partner at Altimeter Group (leader in open
  research)
‱ 7 years of Management Experience leading
  Analyst Teams at Gartner and AMR Research
‱ 8 years Experience in Marketing and Selling
  Supply Chain Software at Descartes Systems
  Group and Manugistics (now JDA)
‱ 15 Years Leading teams in Manufacturing and
  Distribution operations for Clorox, Kraft/General
  Foods, Nestle/Dreyers Grand Ice Cream and
  Procter & Gamble.


                                Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 43
Where do you find Lora?

 Contact Information: loracecere@gmail.com
 Blog: www.supplychainshaman.com
 (3500 pageviews/month)
 Twitter: lcecere 2900 followers. Rated as the
 top rated supply chain social network user.
 Linkedin: linkedin.com/pub/lora-
 cecere/0/196/573 (2300 in the network)




                             Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 44

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Presentation in chicago s&opie event version4

  • 1. Supply Chain Insights What Does Good Look Like? Supply Chain Insights
  • 2. BRICKS Book Publishes Matter in August 2012 The Role of Supply Chains in Building Market-Driven Differentiation LORA M. CECERE CHARLES W. CHASE JR.
  • 3.
  • 4. S&OP Challenge Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 4
  • 5. Supply Chain Pain Points: All vs. Largest Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 5
  • 6. IT Systems: Quantity Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 6
  • 7. Is it any wonder
? Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 7
  • 8. Year-over-Year Growth Years 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 2010-2012 RETAIL 17.05% 42.46% 12.89% 8.76% 5.15% AVERAGE CPG 2.12% 0.84% 3.91% 7.26% 2.32% AVERAGE FOOD CPG 3.68% 2.97% 8.13% 2.59% 4.27% AVERAGE BEVERAGE CPG 12.87% 2.00% 9.59% 11.53% 4.92% AVERAGE Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 8
  • 9. Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 9
  • 10. My Bias Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 10
  • 11. What’s in a name? A rose by any other name would smell as sweet. William Shakespeare Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 11
  • 12. What Is In A Name? ‱ Integrated business planning (IBP) refers to the technologies, applications and processes of connecting the planning function across the enterprise to improve organizational alignment and financial performance. IBP accurately represents a holistic model of the company in order to link strategic planning, and operational planning, with financial planning. By deploying a single model across the enterprise and leveraging the organization’s information assets, corporate executives, business unit heads and planning managers use IBP to evaluate plans and activities based on the true economic impact of each consideration. ‱ Sales and operations planning (S&OP) is an integrated business management process through which the executive/leadership team continually achieves focus, alignment and synchronization among all functions of the organization. The S&OP plan includes an updated sales plan, production plan, inventory plan, customer lead time (backlog) plan, new product development plan, strategic initiative plan and resulting financial plan. Plan frequency and planning horizon depend on the specifics of the industry. Short product life cycles and high demand volatility require a tighter S&OP planning as steadily consumed products. Done well, the S&OP process also enables effective supply chain management. Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 12
  • 13. Agenda What is the Goal? How do we make Decisions? What do we Measure? Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 13
  • 14. Getting to Letter Perfect Common Practice Market-driven Focus Focus on market drivers: S Ask sales How do we best shape demand? Design of the value chain to optimize & Direct integration to supply trade-offs, minimize risk, balance cycles, and orchestrate demand Trade-offs between make, source and OP Manufacturing plan deliver 14 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 14
  • 15. S&OP Process Existence, Goals & Processes Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 15
  • 16. S&OP Evolution Greater Benefit Business- ‱ Growth Sales Driven planning Driven ‱ Resilience Match Demand Maximize ‱ Efficiency with Supply Profitability Market Driven Manufacturing- Demand Driven Driven Maximize Maximize Opportunity and Deliver a Feasible Opportunity Mitigate Risk. Plan for Operations Sense and Orchestrate Match Demand Shape Demand with Supply Source: Supply Chain Insights, LLC, 2012 Demand Market to Market Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 16
  • 17. A Supply Chain is a Complex System with Complex Processes with Increasing Complexity Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 17
  • 18. The Effective Frontier Profitable Growth Revenue Cost of Goods Working Capital Corporate Social Responsibility R&D Strategy and Investment Asset Strategy and Investment Forecast Accuracy Customer Service Inventory Channel Strategy Product and Supplier Strategy Service Portfolio Sales Distribution Manufacturing Logistics Procurement Policies Policies Policies Policies Policies Returns Backorders First Pass Yield Empty Miles Material Yield Source: Supply Chain Insights, LLC, 2012 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 18
  • 19. Value Network Strategy Business Strategy What are the right things to do to increase company value? Value-network Supply Chain Strategy What are the right ways to support the business strategy? What are the right trade-offs between value drivers for each value network? Align demand Right product Design the Build Align supply Supply chain strategy relationships platforms supply organizational relationships response systems and manage talent Effective Supply Demand Networks Design Networks Continuous Networks Improvement Joint Value Creation Innovation Supply Chain Execution of buy- Strategies Methodologies Network Design Capabilities Required side strategies Business Process How do I do the right things right? Source: Supply Chain Insights, LLC Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 19
  • 20. Center of Excellence Importance vs. Performance Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 20
  • 21. Agenda What is the Goal? How do we make Decisions? What do we Measure? Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 21
  • 22. Typical Organization CEO Chief Customer COO Officer Chief Marketing VP of Supply VP of Sales CFO Officer Chain Manufacturing Customer Account Teams Procurement Logistics CIO Quality Service Growth Volume Cost Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 22
  • 23. S&OP Process Operations Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 23
  • 24. An Athlete Needs: Source: Supply Chain Insights, LLC Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 24
  • 25. Supply Chain Organization Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 25
  • 26. The Need for Balance & Goal Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 26
  • 27. S&OP Balance Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 27
  • 28. What is Agility? Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 28
  • 29. Agility Importance vs. Performance Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 29
  • 30. Agility Today vs. Past Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 30
  • 31. Agility Scenario Planning Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 31
  • 32. Agenda What is the Goal? How do we make Decisions? What do we Measure? Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 32
  • 33. Benefits Received from S&OP Processes â–Č 2% â–Č 5-7% â–Œ 10-15% â–Č 3-7% â–Č 3-6% â–Œ 2-8% â–Č 3-6% Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 33
  • 34. Measure ‱ Forecast accuracy ‱ Inventory ‱ Customer Service ‱ Profit ‱ Revenue Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 34
  • 35. S&OP Process Plan Execution Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 35
  • 36. Technology Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 36
  • 37. Comparison of Revenue/Employee for the Period of 2000-2011 Comparison of Revenue/Employee for the Period of 2000-2011 P&G Colgate Unilever Kimberly-Clark Nestle Kraft 700 Revenue/Thousands of Employee 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 37
  • 38. Comparison of EBIT/Employee for the Period of 2000-2011 Comparison of EBIT/Employee for the Period of 2000-2011 P&G Colgate Unilever Kimberly-Clark Nestle Kraft 140.0 120.0 100.0 EBIT/Employee 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 38
  • 39. Consumer Products: Comparison of Days of Inventory Consumer Products: Comparison of Days of Inventory P&G Colgate Unilever Nestle Kraft 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 39
  • 40. Consumer Products: Cost of Sales as a Percentage of Revenue Consumer Products: Cost of Sales as a Percentage of Revenue Unilever Kellogg Kraft General Mills Campbell Hershey P&G 70% Cost of Sales as a % of Revnue 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 40
  • 41. Historically, we have
 ‱ Tried to get precise on inaccurate data. ‱ Believed that the most efficient supply chain is the most effective supply chain. ‱ Built efficient chains, but not effective networks. ‱ Focused inside-out, not outside-in. ‱ Rewarded the urgent, not the important. 41 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 41
  • 42. Ask the Right Questions ‱ What is the goal? ‱ How do we make decisions? ‱ What do we measure? 42 Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 42
  • 43. Who is Lora? ‱ Founder of Supply Chain Insights ‱ Partner at Altimeter Group (leader in open research) ‱ 7 years of Management Experience leading Analyst Teams at Gartner and AMR Research ‱ 8 years Experience in Marketing and Selling Supply Chain Software at Descartes Systems Group and Manugistics (now JDA) ‱ 15 Years Leading teams in Manufacturing and Distribution operations for Clorox, Kraft/General Foods, Nestle/Dreyers Grand Ice Cream and Procter & Gamble. Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 43
  • 44. Where do you find Lora? Contact Information: loracecere@gmail.com Blog: www.supplychainshaman.com (3500 pageviews/month) Twitter: lcecere 2900 followers. Rated as the top rated supply chain social network user. Linkedin: linkedin.com/pub/lora- cecere/0/196/573 (2300 in the network) Supply Chain Insights, LLC © 2012, p. 44

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. AGILITY STUDY OVERVIEW:Objective: To assess the importance of supply chain agility and tactics used to improve agilityand to understand the role of S&OP in driving agility in organizations.Hypothesis: The greater the complexity of the supply chain, the more important it is to have a mature S&OP process.Dates: Online interviews were conducted between March 22 – April 9, 2012; Recruited via email SteelwedgeRespondents:117 business leaders, primarily Managers and above; Across over 50 companies in 13+ industry groups (primarily Food & Beverage, Make to Order Discrete,Consumer Packaged Goods, and High Tech & Electronics); 62% from Process industries, 34% from Discrete