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Humans over Hardware:
Posturing SOF for the Future
Dr. Lydia Kostopoulos
J5, USSOCOM
Disruptive Talk Series
Sofwerx, March 3rd, 2019
“Our focus is not to become a
slightly better version of
ourselves today…
…but
become something
completely different
tomorrow for which our
adversaries are unprepared.”
• Direct Actions
• Special Reconnaissance
• Unconventional Warfare
• Foreign Internal Defense
• Civil Affairs Operations
• Counterterrorism
• Military Information Support Operations / PSYOP
• Counter-proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction
• Security Force Assistance
• Counterinsurgency
• Hostage Rescue and Recovery
• Foreign Humanitarian Assistance
Special Operations Core Activities:
• Operational Horizon
• Talent Needed
• New Technology = New Modus Operandi
Posturing the SOF Enterprise for the Future
• Mindset is the Catalyst for Change
New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution
Climactic Factors Durable Disorder
Operational Horizon
New Spaces
4th Industrial
Revolution
Climactic Factors Durable Disorder
Operational Horizon
New Spaces
4th Industrial
Revolution
Climactic Factors
Operational Horizon
Digital Terrain
- Direct Action
- PSYOPS
- Civil Affairs
Virtual
Durable Disorder
New Spaces
4th Industrial
Revolution
Climactic Factors
Operational Horizon
Surveillance State
COTS ISR
Durable Disorder
New Spaces
4th Industrial
Revolution
Climactic Factors
Operational Horizon
Satellite Internet Technology
Durable Disorder
New Spaces
4th Industrial Revolution
Operational Horizon
Climactic Factors
"AI is the new
electricity.
Everything
that has been
electrified, will
be cognified.”
-Andrew Ng
Durable Disorder
Climactic Factors
Operational Horizon
4th Industrial
Revolution
New Spaces
"The Arctic is the new
frontline of our
homeland defense"
- Gen. Terrence O’Shaughnessy
Commander USNORTHCOM
Speaking at the Senate Armed
Services Committee on
February 14, 2020
Durable Disorder
Climactic Factors
Operational Horizon
4th Industrial
Revolution
New Spaces
• Hydration Challenges in Contested Environment
• Lack of adequate preparation and coherence in
doctrine, training, and capabilities development
to support effective Arctic operations.
• Lack of Climate Change-Oriented Campaign
Planning and Preparation
• Foreign Humanitarian Assistance
• Civil Affairs Operations
• Security Force Assistance
• Unconventional Warfare
• Direct Action
Durable Disorder
SOF ACTIVITIES
Resource Scarcity
Climactic Factors
Operational Horizon
4th Industrial
Revolution
New Spaces Durable Disorder
• Food Security
• Water security
• Mass migration
• Illness
Durable Disorder
Operational Horizon
4th Industrial
Revolution
Climactic FactorsNew Spaces
Characteristics
• Rules based order in decline
• Conflict below threshold of war
• Proxies and surrogates
• Super empowered actors
• Loss of trust in government institutions
• Economic interdependence
– cost of war too high
Durable Disorder
Operational Horizon
4th Industrial
Revolution
Climactic FactorsNew Spaces
4 key drivers that will change the
character of warfare
1. Blur between peace time and war time.
2. Terrorists and other groups will be capable
of greater destruction.
3. Warfare will shift to more stand-off and
remote operations.
4. Technology and the evolving strategies of
regional states will lend themselves in a
proliferation of WMDs and new
applications.
New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution
Climactic Factors Durable Disorder
Operational Horizon
Pandemic Threats
This is an operating environment that requires moonshots
SOF Moonshots to:
• Make operators invisible
• Boost cognitive learning by 100%
• Allow operators to communicate with each
other with their thoughts
• Halt and reverse operators from aging
…… among other things…..
SOF TRUTH
Most special
operations require
non-SOF assistance
What kind of talent is needed?
• Nanotechnology (batteries, etc)
• Biotechnology
• Robotics (unmanned X)
• Cyber, EM
• Artificial intelligence
• Additive manufacturing
• Neurotechnology
Where is the talent?
What that means for
the Labor Market:
- Competitive market
for young talent
- Growing percentage of
competent older talent
retiring
Demographics
• Job change and
Professional
‘freedom of maneuver’
• Gig economy
Great Talent Competition
• Dual-use Technologies
Admiral Michael Rogers
FMR Commander USCYBERCOM and NSA Director
Proposed industry
sabbaticals to bring
fresh ideas in
SOF TRUTH
Quality is better
than quantity
What if you could have both?
COMMAND TALENT
Primes, subs and big contracting defense
DISRUPTIVE IDEA:
Rapid Talent Resourcing in a
Modular Distributed way
World is faster, networked, modular and distributed –
acquiring talent, knowledge and know-how
should be the same
RECRUITMENT
New Technology = New Modus Operandi
New paradigms for work
Spatial Computing & Co-Presence
Full Body Surrogacy for Collaborative
Communication
With robotic hands and VR
Hyper-Enabled
SME Support
Ethical and legal
considerations
SOF Activities
• Foreign Humanitarian
Assistance
• Unconventional Warfare
• Special Reconnaissance
Talent at Home:
An opportunity for spouses to be part of the fight
Use case:• Training that endures across
duty stations.
• Multi-use skills
• Sensitive data labeling for AI
• Graphic design for 3D printing
• Abundance Mindset
• Technological Situational Awareness
• Clarity in Vision
Mindset is the Catalyst for Change
Thank you
for your attention!
Dr. Lydia Kostopoulos
Strategy & Innovation Advisor
J5, USSOCOM
@LKCYBER

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Humans over Hardware: Posturing SOF for the Future

  • 1. Humans over Hardware: Posturing SOF for the Future Dr. Lydia Kostopoulos J5, USSOCOM Disruptive Talk Series Sofwerx, March 3rd, 2019
  • 2. “Our focus is not to become a slightly better version of ourselves today… …but become something completely different tomorrow for which our adversaries are unprepared.”
  • 3. • Direct Actions • Special Reconnaissance • Unconventional Warfare • Foreign Internal Defense • Civil Affairs Operations • Counterterrorism • Military Information Support Operations / PSYOP • Counter-proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction • Security Force Assistance • Counterinsurgency • Hostage Rescue and Recovery • Foreign Humanitarian Assistance Special Operations Core Activities:
  • 4. • Operational Horizon • Talent Needed • New Technology = New Modus Operandi Posturing the SOF Enterprise for the Future • Mindset is the Catalyst for Change
  • 5. New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution Climactic Factors Durable Disorder Operational Horizon
  • 6. New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution Climactic Factors Durable Disorder Operational Horizon
  • 7. New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution Climactic Factors Operational Horizon Digital Terrain - Direct Action - PSYOPS - Civil Affairs Virtual Durable Disorder
  • 8. New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution Climactic Factors Operational Horizon Surveillance State COTS ISR Durable Disorder
  • 9. New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution Climactic Factors Operational Horizon Satellite Internet Technology Durable Disorder
  • 10. New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution Operational Horizon Climactic Factors "AI is the new electricity. Everything that has been electrified, will be cognified.” -Andrew Ng Durable Disorder
  • 11. Climactic Factors Operational Horizon 4th Industrial Revolution New Spaces "The Arctic is the new frontline of our homeland defense" - Gen. Terrence O’Shaughnessy Commander USNORTHCOM Speaking at the Senate Armed Services Committee on February 14, 2020 Durable Disorder
  • 12. Climactic Factors Operational Horizon 4th Industrial Revolution New Spaces • Hydration Challenges in Contested Environment • Lack of adequate preparation and coherence in doctrine, training, and capabilities development to support effective Arctic operations. • Lack of Climate Change-Oriented Campaign Planning and Preparation • Foreign Humanitarian Assistance • Civil Affairs Operations • Security Force Assistance • Unconventional Warfare • Direct Action Durable Disorder SOF ACTIVITIES
  • 13. Resource Scarcity Climactic Factors Operational Horizon 4th Industrial Revolution New Spaces Durable Disorder • Food Security • Water security • Mass migration • Illness
  • 14. Durable Disorder Operational Horizon 4th Industrial Revolution Climactic FactorsNew Spaces Characteristics • Rules based order in decline • Conflict below threshold of war • Proxies and surrogates • Super empowered actors • Loss of trust in government institutions • Economic interdependence – cost of war too high
  • 15. Durable Disorder Operational Horizon 4th Industrial Revolution Climactic FactorsNew Spaces 4 key drivers that will change the character of warfare 1. Blur between peace time and war time. 2. Terrorists and other groups will be capable of greater destruction. 3. Warfare will shift to more stand-off and remote operations. 4. Technology and the evolving strategies of regional states will lend themselves in a proliferation of WMDs and new applications.
  • 16. New Spaces 4th Industrial Revolution Climactic Factors Durable Disorder Operational Horizon Pandemic Threats
  • 17. This is an operating environment that requires moonshots SOF Moonshots to: • Make operators invisible • Boost cognitive learning by 100% • Allow operators to communicate with each other with their thoughts • Halt and reverse operators from aging …… among other things…..
  • 18. SOF TRUTH Most special operations require non-SOF assistance
  • 19. What kind of talent is needed? • Nanotechnology (batteries, etc) • Biotechnology • Robotics (unmanned X) • Cyber, EM • Artificial intelligence • Additive manufacturing • Neurotechnology
  • 20. Where is the talent?
  • 21. What that means for the Labor Market: - Competitive market for young talent - Growing percentage of competent older talent retiring Demographics
  • 22. • Job change and Professional ‘freedom of maneuver’ • Gig economy Great Talent Competition • Dual-use Technologies
  • 23. Admiral Michael Rogers FMR Commander USCYBERCOM and NSA Director Proposed industry sabbaticals to bring fresh ideas in
  • 24.
  • 25. SOF TRUTH Quality is better than quantity What if you could have both?
  • 26. COMMAND TALENT Primes, subs and big contracting defense DISRUPTIVE IDEA: Rapid Talent Resourcing in a Modular Distributed way World is faster, networked, modular and distributed – acquiring talent, knowledge and know-how should be the same RECRUITMENT
  • 27. New Technology = New Modus Operandi New paradigms for work
  • 28. Spatial Computing & Co-Presence
  • 29. Full Body Surrogacy for Collaborative Communication With robotic hands and VR
  • 30. Hyper-Enabled SME Support Ethical and legal considerations SOF Activities • Foreign Humanitarian Assistance • Unconventional Warfare • Special Reconnaissance
  • 31. Talent at Home: An opportunity for spouses to be part of the fight Use case:• Training that endures across duty stations. • Multi-use skills • Sensitive data labeling for AI • Graphic design for 3D printing
  • 32. • Abundance Mindset • Technological Situational Awareness • Clarity in Vision Mindset is the Catalyst for Change
  • 33. Thank you for your attention! Dr. Lydia Kostopoulos Strategy & Innovation Advisor J5, USSOCOM @LKCYBER