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Virgin Media
Digital Insights
Report 2016
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Contents
Executive Summary
Introduction
Digital Economy
Digital Lives
Digital Media
“I’m delighted to share with
you this third report from our
unique research which tracks
the uptake and impact of digital
technology in Ireland since 2012.
The findings underline the many
benefits of high speed broadband
as an enabler of life and living
in a rapidly moving society and
economy. The report highlights
significant opportunities and
some challenges for people and
businesses everywhere as we
continue towards an increasingly
connected future.
Tony Hanway, CEO,
Virgin Media
“
1
We’re at a fascinating juncture in Ireland’s
journey to the digital future where digital
technologies are having a pervasive
impact on almost every aspect of our lives.
 
The monetary value we place on our
broadband connections has tripled since
2014 – the average consumer would now
demand compensation of €390 per month
if their broadband service was removed.
 
This report focuses on three aspects of that
journey: the Digital Economy; Digital Lives;
and Digital Media. You can see more
detailed information online at
Virginmedia.ie/Insights
Digital Economy
In value terms, the digital economy is
now worth about 6% of Ireland’s GDP
and every indication is that its growth will
continue to outpace total GDP growth over
the rest of the decade.
 
Some 94% of Irish internet users now shop
online with average adult online spending
per month rising by 13% since 2014, from
€71 to €80 per month per person. Overall
consumer spending grew by just 9% over the
same period.
 
The share of Irish consumer spending
accounted for by the digital economy is
expected to grow from 7.7% in 2016 to 12.4%
by 2021.
 
We predict that the value of online
spending will almost double between now
and 2021, rising from an estimated €7.5bn
to €14.1bn. Unfortunately, about 60% of Irish
online shopping still goes abroad.
Digital Lives
The report reveals that consumers are still
adjusting to both the positive and
sometimes not so positive effects of
digital technologies on their personal
lives. Promoters of digital
solutions will in future need to focus on the
emotional and relational impact of those
solutions on their customers’ lives – creating
an overall wellbeing effect will be important
for the future.
Digital Media
Digital media is changing the relationship
between consumers and media, in how
they select their news and information and
form opinions. This study provides strong
evidence that consumers want more
control over their use of and exposure
to media.
This means that media owners and
advertisers must continue to provide more
choice to consumers while persuading them
to remain open to receiving their messages.
Executive Summary
Overall conclusions
Growth in the digital economy continues
to outpace that of the overall economy
while digital technologies are having an
increasingly widespread effect on our
working and personal lives.
 
There will be winners and losers
in the digital future. The goal of
all stakeholders should be to
ensure that citizens
and consumers are among the
winners and that the economic
growth necessary to underpin
sustainable national progress is
achieved.
2 3
As a nation, Ireland is at a critical juncture
in its digital development. We already
enjoy many of the benefits of a digital
economy and society with the vast majority
of consumers utilising advanced digital
technologies and services in their daily lives
at home and at work. But our digital journey
is just beginning when it comes to realising
the full potential for economic growth, job
creation and higher standards of living.
Compensation required every month if a
consumer's broadband was ‘removed’:
The report also highlights changes from
previous studies in this seriesÂč, giving an
indication of just how far we have come in
terms of our digital development.
The report also highlights in stark terms our
increased level of digital dependence – the
degree to which we have become dependent
on digital technologies in our everyday lives.
One simple measure of this dependence
is the ‘consumer surplus’ – the amount of
compensation an average consumer would
want if their broadband service was cut
off. That is the difference between the
monetary value we place on our broadband
connections and what we actually pay for
them. In 2014 this difference or ‘surplus’
stood at €130 per month; now just two years
later it has tripled to €390.
This offers proof, if any were needed,
of the extraordinary speed at which we
have adopted, and adapted to, digital
technologies.
We hope you find the Virgin Media Digital
Insights report helpful and informative as
we continue our shared journey towards
Ireland’s digital future.
Methodology
This study was commissioned by Virgin
Media Ireland. As in the previous studies
carried out in this series in 2012 and 2014,
AmĂĄrach conducted an online survey of
a representative sample of 1,000 adults
throughout the Republic of Ireland exploring
their experiences, behaviours and intentions
in relation to the digital future.
This latest survey, allows us to make direct
comparisons with previous studies, as
well as to look in detail at the different
experiences and attitudes of various
age groups, social classes and regions
throughout Ireland.
Introduction
2014 = €130
2016 = €390
1
See: The UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 2012  The
Second UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 2014
54
The Digital Economy
What is it?
Ireland’s economic growth has been among
the fastest in Europe in recent years.ÂČ But
this wasn’t always the case. When we
started this series back in 2012 Ireland’s
economic recovery was fragile and patchy
at best.
However, one part of the Irish economy has
consistently flourished and is set to continue
growing at a faster rate than the rest. This is
the element known as the digital economy.
The digital economy comprises those
products and services which are purchased
online, the businesses and employees who
deliver them, as well as those aspects of
wider business activity and government
spending conducted over the internet.
Our 2014 report predicted strong growth for
the digital economy and recent estimatesÂł
valued it at €12.3 billion in 2015 which was
broadly in line with our 2014 forecast. In
value terms, the digital economy is now
worth about 6% of Ireland’s GDP and every
indication is that its growth will continue to
outpace total GDP growth over the rest of
the decade.
Why does it
matter?
The digital economy has proven to be
remarkably resistant to the economic
volatility experienced in recent years and
it accounts for an increasing share of
consumer spending and business activity.
For businesses and government, the growth
in the digital economy will create new
opportunities as well as posing substantial
challenges in the years and decades ahead.
All available medium and long term
forecasts for the digital economy at a global
level and for Ireland point to strong and
sustained growth in both its value and the
number of jobs reliant on it.⁎
Ambitious companies and start-ups will
find their prospects for success and growth
enhanced as a result of the availability of
digital channels as a platform for selling
goods and services.
But success will require a deep
understanding of the needs, wants and
preferences of online customers who for the
most part will be consumers but could also
be other businesses, at home or abroad.
The Virgin Media Digital Insights Report
offers just such insights for ambitious Irish
entrepreneurs, business leaders and policy
makers.
the Digital
Economy is now
worth about 6%
of Ireland’s GDP
2 Eurostat: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/national-accounts/statistics-illustrated
3Assessment of the Macro-Eonomic Impact of Internet Digital on the Irish Economy, Indecon report for Department of Communications, Energy
and Natural Resources, March 2016
4See, for example, Ovum forecast for 2025: http://www.ovum.com/press_releases/road-to-2025-digital- economy-to-hit-4-8trillion-during-
second-digital-revolution-analysts-predict/
6 7
Top four most frequently used apps or
functions on smartphone:
Another highly significant component of the
digital economy is Government services. Nearly
half – 45% – of Irish adults have interacted with
a Government Department or public authority
in the past 12 months and the overwhelming
majority of internet users have chosen digital
channels for that interaction.
There is also a clear appetite for even
greater use of online and digital channels for
this purpose. Some 62% of those who have
interacted with them in the past 12 months
agree that Government Departments and
authorities could make better use of the
internet and other digital tools to deliver
services to citizens.
Implications
In this section we step back from trends
and survey findings to explore some of the
implications for different stakeholders in the
successful development of Ireland’s digital
economy.
SMEs  Start-ups
What should Irish SMEs and start-ups do to
benefit from the trends/forecasts for the digital
economy?
We have seen that the share of Irish websites
in online sales has remained static. This may
mean that there is a ‘substitution’ opportunity
for those independent retailers and SMEs
offering their products online to better target
Irish consumers. It also, of course, provides
opportunities for the same SMEs and start-ups
to grow their sales overseas.
With online spending by Irish consumers set
to almost double in value in the next five
years, there will be even more opportunities
for digitally-savvy Irish SMEs and start-ups
to capture their share of the fastest-growing
sector in the economy.
Government
Just as SMEs can expect new opportunities
to emerge in the digital economy, so also can
the Government and its Departments and
agencies. Citizens have already demonstrated
an extremely strong preference for online
engagement with public service providers. That
preference is likely to grow further in the years
ahead.
Our research shows that Government is
pushing on an open door with regard to digital
channels and eCitizen engagement and that
it should move ahead to reap the rewards of
better public services and more efficient and
lower cost delivery.
Our study illustrates how quickly the Irish
economy is changing and how rapidly
consumer demand is shifting towards digital
platforms.
For example, the average adult online spend
per month has risen by 13% over the 2014
level. That’s considerably ahead of the overall
9% growth in total consumer spending over the
same period.
While rising incomes and improved connectivity
are undoubtedly playing a role in this trend it’s
clear that it is also driven by online spending
complementing offline consumption (e.g.
Netflix and Spotify subscriptions replacing the
purchase of DVDs/CDs).
In these circumstances, we expect a
continuation to at least the end of the decade
of the trend of digital spending rising faster
than total spending.
As a result, we believe that the value of online
spending by Irish consumers could almost
double between 2016 and 2021.
Frequency of purchasing goods online:
A particularly interesting finding from the
survey is the fact that the share of online
purchases accounted for by Irish websites is
almost unchanged from the 2014 survey – rising
just 1% to 41%. A lot of online shopping is still
going abroad.
There has been a notable shift in the reasons
for buying online rather than in a store,
however.
Price still dominates consumer motivations
for shopping online, but the lack of local
availability is now the second most important
influence, with convenience falling to third.
One intriguing finding from the study is that
nearly 6 in 10 online shoppers say they would
not buy a product online if they knew they
could buy it at the same price in a local shop.
This suggests that Irish retailers need to do a
better job of using digital channels to connect
with potential customers in order to attract
them to their stores.
There is evidence in our study of a new
dynamic driving online shopping; the impact
of web chat on customer experiences. Over
4 in 10 Irish internet shoppers have interacted
with customer service agents on a website
via web chat when shopping online and 92%
of them found it to be a helpful part of the
shopping experience.
This may reflect the growing familiarity and
comfort of Irish consumers with interactive
social media and messaging tools such as
WhatsApp and Twitter.
What do we
know?
Reasons to purchase a
product or service online
rather than in a store:
2014 2016
The product is not
available in local shops
41% 53%
I can get it online at
a lower price
59% 72%
More convenient to
purchase online
55% 48%
€71
€7.5
per person
per month
BILLION BILLION
€80
€14.1
2014
2016
2016
2021
per person
per month
Weekly Monthly
10%
60%
4 in 10use webchat
92%find it helpful.
Texting 			 58%
Talking 			 50%
Facebook 		 46%
Whatsapp 		 42%
% using internet to
interact with Government
Departments or public
authorities in the past 12
months:
Revenue Online
System (ROS)
87%
Property tax 82%
Car tax 83%
Water charge 67%
Income tax 61%
Forecast for Online Consumer
Spending in Ireland
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
€16bn
€14bn
€12bn
€10bn
€8bn
€6bn
€4bn
€2bn
€0bn
Value of online spend €Bn
Online % of all
consumer spending
8 9
Why does it
matter?
Many of the products and services we
take for granted nowadays – Facebook,
Hailo, and Netflix to name but a few –
have only emerged because of an existing
infrastructure of connectivity and technology
that made it easy and simple for consumers
to start using them.
The impact on Irish lifestyles is already quite
advanced: consumers claim that over a third
of TV viewing in Ireland is recorded or replay
TV. We expect to see a similar dynamic
shaping the next generation of digital
products and services as they build on a new
generation of technologies.
'The Internet of Things’ and other aspects
of the next wave of digital innovation will
present all of us with exciting new outlooks
in terms of addressing emerging needs
(some of which we didn’t know we had!) and
sustainable growth prospects.
There is also an important requirement to
take stock of how digital technologies are
already impacting us. We forget sometimes
how quickly we have adopted digital
technologies – the smartphone is less than
ten years old and smartphones have only
been adopted by the majority of adults in
the past few years.
Add to that the rapid adoption of broadband
(fixed line as well as mobile) and it seems
appropriate to ask how we are doing as
a result of our enthusiastic embrace of
digital technologies.
What is it?
Digital technologies are now so embedded
in our daily lives that we are often not even
aware of how integral they have become to
how we work, relax, learn and socialise.
Even as the digital economy continues
to flourish and grow, the ways in which it
impacts on consumer lifestyles, spending
patterns and our overall wellbeing are set
to change dramatically due to these new
opportunities.
For example, by 2020 nearly half of all
entertainment viewing in the EU will be
time-shifted or non-linear, and the average
global viewer will spend 24 hours a week
watching online content.⁔
Another example is 'The Internet of Things’.
As digital intelligence becomes embedded in
many of the physical products and devices
that we use every day, so will our ‘offline’
lives become more integrated into the digital
world. The clear implication is that the
distinction between offline and online may
actually become redundant in the fairly near
future. The Internet of Things as we currently
describe it will be the digital catalyst for
our relationship or connectedness with
technology in all its guises.
In this section we look at just some of the
opportunities which are already evident
today and likely to become even more
prevalent by 2021.
Digital Lives
Our survey of 1,000 Irish adults took a deeper look at the behavioural and emotional impacts
of digital technologies on our lives and on our wellbeing, our relationships and moods.
Turning first to relationships, it is apparent that Irish consumers are still adjusting to both
the positive and sometimes not so positive consequences of digital lives. This was evident
in responses to our question about the extent to which digital technology helps or hinders
different aspects of our lives:
What do we know?
Do you feel your use of digital technology
(e.g., internet/smartphone) helps or hinders:
Studying/learning new skills
Your Work
Watching TV
‘Switching off’ from work
Relaxing in General
Relationships with partners (current or previous)
Reading Books
Relationships with kids
Being intimate with your partner (current or previous)
Going to sleep
62%
28%
10%
Real time
Replay TV
Recorded
% of time
viewing TV in
real-time vs
recorded:
39%
30%
24%
37%
33%
32%
53%
15%
42%
34%
50%
28%
50%
28%
71%
15%
55%
31%
15%
61%
5
See: The Value of Content Report from Liberty Global:
http://www.libertyglobal.com/pdf/public-policy/The- Val-
ue-of-Content-Digital.pdf
10 11
Nevertheless, our research suggests that the
impact of digital technologies on relationships
and lifestyles is broadly positive. This bodes
well for the future impact of new and emerging
digital products and services.
However, there is some evidence in our study of
potential barriers to realising the full potential
of technology in our digital lives. Indeed, the
percentage of Irish internet users who say
their broadband speed is sufficient for their
household needs has fallen significantly
since 2014.
We also need to be aware of the emotional
impact of technologies on our lives, especially
in terms of key positive emotions such as
happiness, control and connection. The results
from our study are encouraging in terms of
emotional impact:
% who say home broadband speed
sufficient for needs:
2014 2016
75% 69%
Happy 80% Sad 20%
Popular 80% Unpopular 20%
Calm 80% Stressed 20%
Modest 80% Vain 20%
Empowered 79% Enslaved 21%
Content 79% Frustrated 21%
In control 79% Out of control 21%
Connected 78% Disconnected 22%
Confident 77% Insecure 23%
Sociable 76% Anti-social 24%
Safe 73% Unsafe 27%
Energized 72% Drained 28%
How use of digital
technology makes you feel:
SMEs  Start-ups
Those seeking to catch the wave of the next
generation of digital trends would do well
to focus less on technology and more on
psychology. They should look at what has
worked already in technologies that make
us feel happier, more in control and more
connected than before; and maybe sleepier
as well (thinking of the 6 in 10 for whom
smartphones hinder going to sleep!)
Bringing new technologies to the marketplace
will demand an even greater understanding
of the needs and circumstances of Irish
consumers, especially their emotional drivers
and expectations.
Against the background of an improving
economy and rising online spending, there will
be opportunities for businesses to invent and
launch new products and even to create new
markets. Starting with the customer and
the emotional and relational impact you want
them to experience, when they use your new
product or service, will make you much
more likely to win in the next wave of the
digital economy.
Government
There are implications in our findings for
government too. So much of what government
does in our lives – through education, health,
social welfare and other services – is focused on
making us better, happier and more productive
citizens. But when it comes to our digital lives,
government remains relatively peripheral to our
needs and hopes for the future.
If government takes a leaf out of the play book
that entrepreneurs and businesses are adopting
for the digital future, there is no reason
why the next generation of public services
and eGovernment could not make a huge
contribution to our wellbeing - as citizens and
to the health of our families and communities.
Implications
We are at a fascinating point in the story of Ireland’s journey towards the digital future. The past
decade – even the past half-decade – has seen remarkable rates of adoption of digital technologies
by grateful Irish consumers. Whether in our homes, workplaces, schools, or on the move, we have
found benefits from the plethora of hardware, software and apps that are now so important to our
daily lives. So what are the implications for those who will shape our future lives?
% worried about
impact of digital
technology on
privacy: 49%
Control home security via smart phone
Monitor electricity use through smart phone
Use smart phone to make payments instead of cash
Control home heating through smart phone
Food ‘alerts’ from your fridge to your phone
Cars connected to internet
27%
25%
22%
20%
16%
13%
Most preferred services and solutions for the future:
Safety and saving money tend to dominate
consumer preferences for the next generation
of digital products and services, particularly the
Internet of Things, though not all such options
or innovations are equally welcome. This is not
to say that the majority of consumers reject the
innovations explored in our study. While only
a minority would ‘really value’ each solution,
likewise only a minority would place absolutely
no value on them.
% who feel more
connected to family
through digital
communications: 65%
But this doesn’t mean they are open to
absolutely anything in the future. As they
seek to consolidate the gains from the digital
economy in terms of work, leisure, shopping
and their social lives, they may well become
more discriminating about which additional
products or services they let into their lives.
Perhaps one of the biggest challenges to
SMEs, start-ups and even to large companies
in the future will be that of persuading already
satisfied customers that they should try
the new products and services that digital
technology will make available in the
coming years.
The brands and designs that shape
digital technology may become even more
important influences on consumer choices.
There are some concerns, however, with
almost half of Irish consumers expressing worry
about the impact of digital technology on their
privacy – broadly unchanged since 2014.
The potential importance of the Internet
of Things was noted earlier. We asked how
appealing potential new digital services and
solutions might be in the future, and a fairly
clear hierarchy of preferences emerged:
12 13
6
Based on 2016 analysis: http://www.coremedia.ie/
outlook2016/
Digital Media
What is it?
We noted in the section on Digital Lives
that Irish consumers have enthusiastically
embraced social media as part of their daily
lives. As a result of this and other trends,
digital media is changing the relationship of
how consumers select their news, opinions
and information.
Why does it
matter?
This year’s report comes against a backdrop
of renewed concerns about the future of the
news industry, the rise of ad-blocking and
the role of social media.
The use of adblocking is already significant:
Aware of adblocking: 61%
Installed adblocking: 32%
Irish advertisers will spend more than
€1 billion in 20176 as consumer spending
continues to grow. Understanding the
sources of influences on consumers’
opinions and behaviours is therefore
extremely important.
But identifying how consumers consume
media is an increasingly difficult task as Irish
consumers adopt more complex and diverse
media consumption patterns.
Not only are consumers confronted with
a widening choice of media options, the
ways in which they consume old and new
media is changing as well. Moreover, there
is growing evidence from the Virgin Media
Digital Insights study and other studies⁷
that consumers want more control over
their exposure to media in general and to
advertising in particular: adding another level
of complexity to the task.
As new online content value-chains emerge,
the consumer will enjoy even greater choices
than today, but the content industry (from
creators to broadcasters) will have to navigate
a fast-changing and more fragmented media
landscape in the meantime.
7
See for example: http://www.digitalnewsreport.org/sur-
vey/2016/ireland-2016/
Digital media is
changing the
relationship between
consumers and media
Change is usually evolutionary rather than revolutionary. Television and online channels
remain the primary news sources for most people but the biggest change in digital media
has been the growth of news accessed through social media sites such as Facebook, Twitter,
LinkedIn and Instagram.
Main sources of news and current
affairs – ranked in order of
importance:
What do
we know?
TV 59%
News or current affairs web
sites/apps e.g. Irish Times or
Independent.ie
43%
Radio 41%
Newspapers or magazines (in
paper form)
38%
Social media e.g. Facebook or
twitter
36%
% who have posted comment or
dialogued on different media:
11%43%
8% 51%
Facebook
Instagram None
Twitter
14 15
The rise of ad-blocking is beginning to
resonate among consumers. As this software
is becoming more ubiquitous, even the current
relatively new revenue model for digital media
will have to change again.
One option might be to offer a subscription to
digital media content that is ‘advertising free’
for the user, alongside ‘free’ content but with
advertising as part of the package. About 12%
of adults would be interested in
the ‘advertising free’ option, but again this
suggests that the vast majority would rather be
exposed to advertising than pay for an online
media service.
Another important dynamic, evident in our
study, is the extent to which consumers of
digital content want to interact online. What
we are seeing is that a sizeable minority of
consumers are now active contributors to
social media. In the future, digital influencers
will comprise both media owners and
media consumers.
One example of the increasing complexity and
diversity of the digital media ecosystem is the
growth and consumption of video streaming
content. While most of this consumption is
entertainment oriented, some is also news and
current affairs related (e.g. documentaries etc).
However, not all video streaming services are
consumed in the same way, most users of the
RTE and TV3 players watch the streamed
content on their TV (as opposed to their laptop
or smartphone), but in the case of YouTube
content, only a minority view it on their TV:
At the moment, it’s too early to tell if the
expanding availability of video streaming
choices is complementing other TV viewing,
or simply increasing the overall amount of
time people spend watching TV. Our study
shows that those who spend more time viewing
streamed content also spend more time
viewing TV in general.
Nevertheless, all of these trends are driven by
the steady improvement in broadband access
and broadband speeds. As noted earlier, Irish
consumers have never faced a richer choice
of news and content sources, nor a greater
range of channels and devices to access such
content. But with choice comes challenges
both for incumbents and for new entrants, as
the speed of disruption⁞ in the digital news
space in particular appears to be accelerating.
As the digital economy continues to grow and
technology becomes more integral in
our lives, the development of new and existing
sources of digital media will become an even
more important part of how we keep ourselves
informed, and how we allow others to inform us.
So what are the implications for those in the
digital influence business?
The strategic role of Media
Owners  Advertisers in the
value chain
A key message coming through our research
is that consumers want to be in control of the
news and content they choose to access.
For some, control means the use of
ad-blocking while for others it means being
able to avoid subscription costs in return for
seeing advertisements.
The implication for media owners and for the
advertisers who communicate through them is
that they must continue to provide more choice
to consumers while persuading them to remain
open to receiving their messages.
Consumers
There are implications in our findings for
consumers too. While digital consumers have
enjoyed something of a ‘free lunch’ in recent
years thanks to the burgeoning availability
of digital content and devices for accessing
it, that may be coming to an end as more
viable economic models are sought by digital
influencers everywhere.
Consumers already enjoy a substantial ‘surplus
value’ from the digital services they consume
(in terms of the difference between what they
pay as opposed to what they would demand
in ‘compensation’ if the same services were
removed). Don’t be surprised if some of the
creators of that surplus seek new ways to keep
more of it for themselves.
What else?
Find out more about
the Virgin Media Digital
Insights study at:
Virginmedia.ie/Insights
?
?
%
%
%
%
% who watch video streaming mainly on
mobiles/tablets/laptops: Implications
61
41
37
19
% spending up
to 4 hours a
week watching
video streaming
content
61%
8
See The Value of Content Report from Liberty Global referenced earlier
16 17
© 2016 Virgin Media and Amårach Research, the content of this
report may be used and republished freely once The Virgin Media
Digital Insights Report is credited.

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Digital insights report 2016 Ireland by Virgin Media

  • 2. 2 5 6 10 14 Contents Executive Summary Introduction Digital Economy Digital Lives Digital Media “I’m delighted to share with you this third report from our unique research which tracks the uptake and impact of digital technology in Ireland since 2012. The findings underline the many benefits of high speed broadband as an enabler of life and living in a rapidly moving society and economy. The report highlights significant opportunities and some challenges for people and businesses everywhere as we continue towards an increasingly connected future. Tony Hanway, CEO, Virgin Media “ 1
  • 3. We’re at a fascinating juncture in Ireland’s journey to the digital future where digital technologies are having a pervasive impact on almost every aspect of our lives.   The monetary value we place on our broadband connections has tripled since 2014 – the average consumer would now demand compensation of €390 per month if their broadband service was removed.   This report focuses on three aspects of that journey: the Digital Economy; Digital Lives; and Digital Media. You can see more detailed information online at Virginmedia.ie/Insights Digital Economy In value terms, the digital economy is now worth about 6% of Ireland’s GDP and every indication is that its growth will continue to outpace total GDP growth over the rest of the decade.   Some 94% of Irish internet users now shop online with average adult online spending per month rising by 13% since 2014, from €71 to €80 per month per person. Overall consumer spending grew by just 9% over the same period.   The share of Irish consumer spending accounted for by the digital economy is expected to grow from 7.7% in 2016 to 12.4% by 2021.   We predict that the value of online spending will almost double between now and 2021, rising from an estimated €7.5bn to €14.1bn. Unfortunately, about 60% of Irish online shopping still goes abroad. Digital Lives The report reveals that consumers are still adjusting to both the positive and sometimes not so positive effects of digital technologies on their personal lives. Promoters of digital solutions will in future need to focus on the emotional and relational impact of those solutions on their customers’ lives – creating an overall wellbeing effect will be important for the future. Digital Media Digital media is changing the relationship between consumers and media, in how they select their news and information and form opinions. This study provides strong evidence that consumers want more control over their use of and exposure to media. This means that media owners and advertisers must continue to provide more choice to consumers while persuading them to remain open to receiving their messages. Executive Summary Overall conclusions Growth in the digital economy continues to outpace that of the overall economy while digital technologies are having an increasingly widespread effect on our working and personal lives.   There will be winners and losers in the digital future. The goal of all stakeholders should be to ensure that citizens and consumers are among the winners and that the economic growth necessary to underpin sustainable national progress is achieved. 2 3
  • 4. As a nation, Ireland is at a critical juncture in its digital development. We already enjoy many of the benefits of a digital economy and society with the vast majority of consumers utilising advanced digital technologies and services in their daily lives at home and at work. But our digital journey is just beginning when it comes to realising the full potential for economic growth, job creation and higher standards of living. Compensation required every month if a consumer's broadband was ‘removed’: The report also highlights changes from previous studies in this seriesÂč, giving an indication of just how far we have come in terms of our digital development. The report also highlights in stark terms our increased level of digital dependence – the degree to which we have become dependent on digital technologies in our everyday lives. One simple measure of this dependence is the ‘consumer surplus’ – the amount of compensation an average consumer would want if their broadband service was cut off. That is the difference between the monetary value we place on our broadband connections and what we actually pay for them. In 2014 this difference or ‘surplus’ stood at €130 per month; now just two years later it has tripled to €390. This offers proof, if any were needed, of the extraordinary speed at which we have adopted, and adapted to, digital technologies. We hope you find the Virgin Media Digital Insights report helpful and informative as we continue our shared journey towards Ireland’s digital future. Methodology This study was commissioned by Virgin Media Ireland. As in the previous studies carried out in this series in 2012 and 2014, AmĂĄrach conducted an online survey of a representative sample of 1,000 adults throughout the Republic of Ireland exploring their experiences, behaviours and intentions in relation to the digital future. This latest survey, allows us to make direct comparisons with previous studies, as well as to look in detail at the different experiences and attitudes of various age groups, social classes and regions throughout Ireland. Introduction 2014 = €130 2016 = €390 1 See: The UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 2012 The Second UPC Report on Ireland’s Digital Future 2014 54
  • 5. The Digital Economy What is it? Ireland’s economic growth has been among the fastest in Europe in recent years.ÂČ But this wasn’t always the case. When we started this series back in 2012 Ireland’s economic recovery was fragile and patchy at best. However, one part of the Irish economy has consistently flourished and is set to continue growing at a faster rate than the rest. This is the element known as the digital economy. The digital economy comprises those products and services which are purchased online, the businesses and employees who deliver them, as well as those aspects of wider business activity and government spending conducted over the internet. Our 2014 report predicted strong growth for the digital economy and recent estimatesÂł valued it at €12.3 billion in 2015 which was broadly in line with our 2014 forecast. In value terms, the digital economy is now worth about 6% of Ireland’s GDP and every indication is that its growth will continue to outpace total GDP growth over the rest of the decade. Why does it matter? The digital economy has proven to be remarkably resistant to the economic volatility experienced in recent years and it accounts for an increasing share of consumer spending and business activity. For businesses and government, the growth in the digital economy will create new opportunities as well as posing substantial challenges in the years and decades ahead. All available medium and long term forecasts for the digital economy at a global level and for Ireland point to strong and sustained growth in both its value and the number of jobs reliant on it.⁎ Ambitious companies and start-ups will find their prospects for success and growth enhanced as a result of the availability of digital channels as a platform for selling goods and services. But success will require a deep understanding of the needs, wants and preferences of online customers who for the most part will be consumers but could also be other businesses, at home or abroad. The Virgin Media Digital Insights Report offers just such insights for ambitious Irish entrepreneurs, business leaders and policy makers. the Digital Economy is now worth about 6% of Ireland’s GDP 2 Eurostat: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/national-accounts/statistics-illustrated 3Assessment of the Macro-Eonomic Impact of Internet Digital on the Irish Economy, Indecon report for Department of Communications, Energy and Natural Resources, March 2016 4See, for example, Ovum forecast for 2025: http://www.ovum.com/press_releases/road-to-2025-digital- economy-to-hit-4-8trillion-during- second-digital-revolution-analysts-predict/ 6 7
  • 6. Top four most frequently used apps or functions on smartphone: Another highly significant component of the digital economy is Government services. Nearly half – 45% – of Irish adults have interacted with a Government Department or public authority in the past 12 months and the overwhelming majority of internet users have chosen digital channels for that interaction. There is also a clear appetite for even greater use of online and digital channels for this purpose. Some 62% of those who have interacted with them in the past 12 months agree that Government Departments and authorities could make better use of the internet and other digital tools to deliver services to citizens. Implications In this section we step back from trends and survey findings to explore some of the implications for different stakeholders in the successful development of Ireland’s digital economy. SMEs Start-ups What should Irish SMEs and start-ups do to benefit from the trends/forecasts for the digital economy? We have seen that the share of Irish websites in online sales has remained static. This may mean that there is a ‘substitution’ opportunity for those independent retailers and SMEs offering their products online to better target Irish consumers. It also, of course, provides opportunities for the same SMEs and start-ups to grow their sales overseas. With online spending by Irish consumers set to almost double in value in the next five years, there will be even more opportunities for digitally-savvy Irish SMEs and start-ups to capture their share of the fastest-growing sector in the economy. Government Just as SMEs can expect new opportunities to emerge in the digital economy, so also can the Government and its Departments and agencies. Citizens have already demonstrated an extremely strong preference for online engagement with public service providers. That preference is likely to grow further in the years ahead. Our research shows that Government is pushing on an open door with regard to digital channels and eCitizen engagement and that it should move ahead to reap the rewards of better public services and more efficient and lower cost delivery. Our study illustrates how quickly the Irish economy is changing and how rapidly consumer demand is shifting towards digital platforms. For example, the average adult online spend per month has risen by 13% over the 2014 level. That’s considerably ahead of the overall 9% growth in total consumer spending over the same period. While rising incomes and improved connectivity are undoubtedly playing a role in this trend it’s clear that it is also driven by online spending complementing offline consumption (e.g. Netflix and Spotify subscriptions replacing the purchase of DVDs/CDs). In these circumstances, we expect a continuation to at least the end of the decade of the trend of digital spending rising faster than total spending. As a result, we believe that the value of online spending by Irish consumers could almost double between 2016 and 2021. Frequency of purchasing goods online: A particularly interesting finding from the survey is the fact that the share of online purchases accounted for by Irish websites is almost unchanged from the 2014 survey – rising just 1% to 41%. A lot of online shopping is still going abroad. There has been a notable shift in the reasons for buying online rather than in a store, however. Price still dominates consumer motivations for shopping online, but the lack of local availability is now the second most important influence, with convenience falling to third. One intriguing finding from the study is that nearly 6 in 10 online shoppers say they would not buy a product online if they knew they could buy it at the same price in a local shop. This suggests that Irish retailers need to do a better job of using digital channels to connect with potential customers in order to attract them to their stores. There is evidence in our study of a new dynamic driving online shopping; the impact of web chat on customer experiences. Over 4 in 10 Irish internet shoppers have interacted with customer service agents on a website via web chat when shopping online and 92% of them found it to be a helpful part of the shopping experience. This may reflect the growing familiarity and comfort of Irish consumers with interactive social media and messaging tools such as WhatsApp and Twitter. What do we know? Reasons to purchase a product or service online rather than in a store: 2014 2016 The product is not available in local shops 41% 53% I can get it online at a lower price 59% 72% More convenient to purchase online 55% 48% €71 €7.5 per person per month BILLION BILLION €80 €14.1 2014 2016 2016 2021 per person per month Weekly Monthly 10% 60% 4 in 10use webchat 92%find it helpful. Texting 58% Talking 50% Facebook 46% Whatsapp 42% % using internet to interact with Government Departments or public authorities in the past 12 months: Revenue Online System (ROS) 87% Property tax 82% Car tax 83% Water charge 67% Income tax 61% Forecast for Online Consumer Spending in Ireland 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% €16bn €14bn €12bn €10bn €8bn €6bn €4bn €2bn €0bn Value of online spend €Bn Online % of all consumer spending 8 9
  • 7. Why does it matter? Many of the products and services we take for granted nowadays – Facebook, Hailo, and Netflix to name but a few – have only emerged because of an existing infrastructure of connectivity and technology that made it easy and simple for consumers to start using them. The impact on Irish lifestyles is already quite advanced: consumers claim that over a third of TV viewing in Ireland is recorded or replay TV. We expect to see a similar dynamic shaping the next generation of digital products and services as they build on a new generation of technologies. 'The Internet of Things’ and other aspects of the next wave of digital innovation will present all of us with exciting new outlooks in terms of addressing emerging needs (some of which we didn’t know we had!) and sustainable growth prospects. There is also an important requirement to take stock of how digital technologies are already impacting us. We forget sometimes how quickly we have adopted digital technologies – the smartphone is less than ten years old and smartphones have only been adopted by the majority of adults in the past few years. Add to that the rapid adoption of broadband (fixed line as well as mobile) and it seems appropriate to ask how we are doing as a result of our enthusiastic embrace of digital technologies. What is it? Digital technologies are now so embedded in our daily lives that we are often not even aware of how integral they have become to how we work, relax, learn and socialise. Even as the digital economy continues to flourish and grow, the ways in which it impacts on consumer lifestyles, spending patterns and our overall wellbeing are set to change dramatically due to these new opportunities. For example, by 2020 nearly half of all entertainment viewing in the EU will be time-shifted or non-linear, and the average global viewer will spend 24 hours a week watching online content.⁔ Another example is 'The Internet of Things’. As digital intelligence becomes embedded in many of the physical products and devices that we use every day, so will our ‘offline’ lives become more integrated into the digital world. The clear implication is that the distinction between offline and online may actually become redundant in the fairly near future. The Internet of Things as we currently describe it will be the digital catalyst for our relationship or connectedness with technology in all its guises. In this section we look at just some of the opportunities which are already evident today and likely to become even more prevalent by 2021. Digital Lives Our survey of 1,000 Irish adults took a deeper look at the behavioural and emotional impacts of digital technologies on our lives and on our wellbeing, our relationships and moods. Turning first to relationships, it is apparent that Irish consumers are still adjusting to both the positive and sometimes not so positive consequences of digital lives. This was evident in responses to our question about the extent to which digital technology helps or hinders different aspects of our lives: What do we know? Do you feel your use of digital technology (e.g., internet/smartphone) helps or hinders: Studying/learning new skills Your Work Watching TV ‘Switching off’ from work Relaxing in General Relationships with partners (current or previous) Reading Books Relationships with kids Being intimate with your partner (current or previous) Going to sleep 62% 28% 10% Real time Replay TV Recorded % of time viewing TV in real-time vs recorded: 39% 30% 24% 37% 33% 32% 53% 15% 42% 34% 50% 28% 50% 28% 71% 15% 55% 31% 15% 61% 5 See: The Value of Content Report from Liberty Global: http://www.libertyglobal.com/pdf/public-policy/The- Val- ue-of-Content-Digital.pdf 10 11
  • 8. Nevertheless, our research suggests that the impact of digital technologies on relationships and lifestyles is broadly positive. This bodes well for the future impact of new and emerging digital products and services. However, there is some evidence in our study of potential barriers to realising the full potential of technology in our digital lives. Indeed, the percentage of Irish internet users who say their broadband speed is sufficient for their household needs has fallen significantly since 2014. We also need to be aware of the emotional impact of technologies on our lives, especially in terms of key positive emotions such as happiness, control and connection. The results from our study are encouraging in terms of emotional impact: % who say home broadband speed sufficient for needs: 2014 2016 75% 69% Happy 80% Sad 20% Popular 80% Unpopular 20% Calm 80% Stressed 20% Modest 80% Vain 20% Empowered 79% Enslaved 21% Content 79% Frustrated 21% In control 79% Out of control 21% Connected 78% Disconnected 22% Confident 77% Insecure 23% Sociable 76% Anti-social 24% Safe 73% Unsafe 27% Energized 72% Drained 28% How use of digital technology makes you feel: SMEs Start-ups Those seeking to catch the wave of the next generation of digital trends would do well to focus less on technology and more on psychology. They should look at what has worked already in technologies that make us feel happier, more in control and more connected than before; and maybe sleepier as well (thinking of the 6 in 10 for whom smartphones hinder going to sleep!) Bringing new technologies to the marketplace will demand an even greater understanding of the needs and circumstances of Irish consumers, especially their emotional drivers and expectations. Against the background of an improving economy and rising online spending, there will be opportunities for businesses to invent and launch new products and even to create new markets. Starting with the customer and the emotional and relational impact you want them to experience, when they use your new product or service, will make you much more likely to win in the next wave of the digital economy. Government There are implications in our findings for government too. So much of what government does in our lives – through education, health, social welfare and other services – is focused on making us better, happier and more productive citizens. But when it comes to our digital lives, government remains relatively peripheral to our needs and hopes for the future. If government takes a leaf out of the play book that entrepreneurs and businesses are adopting for the digital future, there is no reason why the next generation of public services and eGovernment could not make a huge contribution to our wellbeing - as citizens and to the health of our families and communities. Implications We are at a fascinating point in the story of Ireland’s journey towards the digital future. The past decade – even the past half-decade – has seen remarkable rates of adoption of digital technologies by grateful Irish consumers. Whether in our homes, workplaces, schools, or on the move, we have found benefits from the plethora of hardware, software and apps that are now so important to our daily lives. So what are the implications for those who will shape our future lives? % worried about impact of digital technology on privacy: 49% Control home security via smart phone Monitor electricity use through smart phone Use smart phone to make payments instead of cash Control home heating through smart phone Food ‘alerts’ from your fridge to your phone Cars connected to internet 27% 25% 22% 20% 16% 13% Most preferred services and solutions for the future: Safety and saving money tend to dominate consumer preferences for the next generation of digital products and services, particularly the Internet of Things, though not all such options or innovations are equally welcome. This is not to say that the majority of consumers reject the innovations explored in our study. While only a minority would ‘really value’ each solution, likewise only a minority would place absolutely no value on them. % who feel more connected to family through digital communications: 65% But this doesn’t mean they are open to absolutely anything in the future. As they seek to consolidate the gains from the digital economy in terms of work, leisure, shopping and their social lives, they may well become more discriminating about which additional products or services they let into their lives. Perhaps one of the biggest challenges to SMEs, start-ups and even to large companies in the future will be that of persuading already satisfied customers that they should try the new products and services that digital technology will make available in the coming years. The brands and designs that shape digital technology may become even more important influences on consumer choices. There are some concerns, however, with almost half of Irish consumers expressing worry about the impact of digital technology on their privacy – broadly unchanged since 2014. The potential importance of the Internet of Things was noted earlier. We asked how appealing potential new digital services and solutions might be in the future, and a fairly clear hierarchy of preferences emerged: 12 13
  • 9. 6 Based on 2016 analysis: http://www.coremedia.ie/ outlook2016/ Digital Media What is it? We noted in the section on Digital Lives that Irish consumers have enthusiastically embraced social media as part of their daily lives. As a result of this and other trends, digital media is changing the relationship of how consumers select their news, opinions and information. Why does it matter? This year’s report comes against a backdrop of renewed concerns about the future of the news industry, the rise of ad-blocking and the role of social media. The use of adblocking is already significant: Aware of adblocking: 61% Installed adblocking: 32% Irish advertisers will spend more than €1 billion in 20176 as consumer spending continues to grow. Understanding the sources of influences on consumers’ opinions and behaviours is therefore extremely important. But identifying how consumers consume media is an increasingly difficult task as Irish consumers adopt more complex and diverse media consumption patterns. Not only are consumers confronted with a widening choice of media options, the ways in which they consume old and new media is changing as well. Moreover, there is growing evidence from the Virgin Media Digital Insights study and other studies⁷ that consumers want more control over their exposure to media in general and to advertising in particular: adding another level of complexity to the task. As new online content value-chains emerge, the consumer will enjoy even greater choices than today, but the content industry (from creators to broadcasters) will have to navigate a fast-changing and more fragmented media landscape in the meantime. 7 See for example: http://www.digitalnewsreport.org/sur- vey/2016/ireland-2016/ Digital media is changing the relationship between consumers and media Change is usually evolutionary rather than revolutionary. Television and online channels remain the primary news sources for most people but the biggest change in digital media has been the growth of news accessed through social media sites such as Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn and Instagram. Main sources of news and current affairs – ranked in order of importance: What do we know? TV 59% News or current affairs web sites/apps e.g. Irish Times or Independent.ie 43% Radio 41% Newspapers or magazines (in paper form) 38% Social media e.g. Facebook or twitter 36% % who have posted comment or dialogued on different media: 11%43% 8% 51% Facebook Instagram None Twitter 14 15
  • 10. The rise of ad-blocking is beginning to resonate among consumers. As this software is becoming more ubiquitous, even the current relatively new revenue model for digital media will have to change again. One option might be to offer a subscription to digital media content that is ‘advertising free’ for the user, alongside ‘free’ content but with advertising as part of the package. About 12% of adults would be interested in the ‘advertising free’ option, but again this suggests that the vast majority would rather be exposed to advertising than pay for an online media service. Another important dynamic, evident in our study, is the extent to which consumers of digital content want to interact online. What we are seeing is that a sizeable minority of consumers are now active contributors to social media. In the future, digital influencers will comprise both media owners and media consumers. One example of the increasing complexity and diversity of the digital media ecosystem is the growth and consumption of video streaming content. While most of this consumption is entertainment oriented, some is also news and current affairs related (e.g. documentaries etc). However, not all video streaming services are consumed in the same way, most users of the RTE and TV3 players watch the streamed content on their TV (as opposed to their laptop or smartphone), but in the case of YouTube content, only a minority view it on their TV: At the moment, it’s too early to tell if the expanding availability of video streaming choices is complementing other TV viewing, or simply increasing the overall amount of time people spend watching TV. Our study shows that those who spend more time viewing streamed content also spend more time viewing TV in general. Nevertheless, all of these trends are driven by the steady improvement in broadband access and broadband speeds. As noted earlier, Irish consumers have never faced a richer choice of news and content sources, nor a greater range of channels and devices to access such content. But with choice comes challenges both for incumbents and for new entrants, as the speed of disruption⁞ in the digital news space in particular appears to be accelerating. As the digital economy continues to grow and technology becomes more integral in our lives, the development of new and existing sources of digital media will become an even more important part of how we keep ourselves informed, and how we allow others to inform us. So what are the implications for those in the digital influence business? The strategic role of Media Owners Advertisers in the value chain A key message coming through our research is that consumers want to be in control of the news and content they choose to access. For some, control means the use of ad-blocking while for others it means being able to avoid subscription costs in return for seeing advertisements. The implication for media owners and for the advertisers who communicate through them is that they must continue to provide more choice to consumers while persuading them to remain open to receiving their messages. Consumers There are implications in our findings for consumers too. While digital consumers have enjoyed something of a ‘free lunch’ in recent years thanks to the burgeoning availability of digital content and devices for accessing it, that may be coming to an end as more viable economic models are sought by digital influencers everywhere. Consumers already enjoy a substantial ‘surplus value’ from the digital services they consume (in terms of the difference between what they pay as opposed to what they would demand in ‘compensation’ if the same services were removed). Don’t be surprised if some of the creators of that surplus seek new ways to keep more of it for themselves. What else? Find out more about the Virgin Media Digital Insights study at: Virginmedia.ie/Insights ? ? % % % % % who watch video streaming mainly on mobiles/tablets/laptops: Implications 61 41 37 19 % spending up to 4 hours a week watching video streaming content 61% 8 See The Value of Content Report from Liberty Global referenced earlier 16 17
  • 11. © 2016 Virgin Media and AmĂĄrach Research, the content of this report may be used and republished freely once The Virgin Media Digital Insights Report is credited.