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Sampling
Dr.K.Prabhakar
Professor
28-02-2020 Sampling 1
First things first
‱ There is no mathematical background is required
for participants. I will assume that you wish to use
quantitative ,qualitative or mixed methods research
design.
‱ Basics are dealt with required rigour and you
have self learning material given according to
the norms in second quadrant of four quadrant
learning.
28-02-2020 Sampling 2
‱ Opensource software such as R will be highly helpful to
you. Before using those software please do understand
the theory.
‱ There will be discussion on common mistakes in
statistics. Please use Discussion Forum for posting your
questions, all your questions will either be answered or
find a reference or a person will answer the questions.
‱ This is the first module followed by other lectures.
Activities by you
28-02-2020 Sampling 3
Observations
Variables
Identification
Measure Variables
Fit a Model
Research Questions
Generate Theory based
on published papers
Generate premises,
Hypotheses
Collect Data and test
Analyse Data
28-02-2020 Sampling 4
Introduction of topics and broad questions
answered in the lecture
In the first part we will describe
methods that are used for selecting
the samples.
There is practice sessions on
selecting samples using
Randomizer software.
28-02-2020 Sampling 5
In the second part we will discuss how
information gained from sample is likely to vary
from the corresponding information for the
population and what is the relationship between
population parameter and sample statistic?
This will form the foundation for statistical
inference which we will discuss in the next
lecture.
Introduction of topics and broad questions
answered in the lecture
Remember
Known
Population to
Sample!
28-02-2020 Sampling 6
If you are planning to study television viewers of New Delhi
whose numbers may be in millions and you wish to pick up
1000 users to make a decision about all the viewers in New
Delhi, you are using two concepts- population and sample.
The basic unit of a population is called an element of the
population. Each television viewer is an element of viewer
population. A population is a theoretically specified aggregation
of elements. Collecting information from all the elements is
known as Census or making a complete enumeration
Definitions
28-02-2020 Sampling 7
A sampling frame is the list, index, or records from which the
sample will be drawn, which might not be totally inclusive of
the study population. It includes all the active elements of the
population.
Sampling is a procedure to select elements from a population.
A sample is a subset of the population elements that results
from a sampling strategy.
Definitions
28-02-2020 Sampling 8
Random sampling is not haphazard or absence of the procedure. It is a
selection procedure that guarantees a known, nonzero, chance of
selection for each and every element of population.
Random sample or a probability sample is a sample selected in a way
such that every element of the population has a known chance (non
zero and need not be equal in all cases) of being included in the
sample.
Statistical sampling theory provides methods used for solving applied
problems and the theory is based on random samples.
Random Samples-Meaning
28-02-2020 Sampling 9
Random sampling eliminates systematic biases by giving all elements in a
population a given chance to be chosen. We will discuss more about
biases in a separate lecture.
It is better to understand it as “ randomly chosen sample”, than as a
random sample as the dictionary defines it as "Having no specific pattern
or objective; haphazard" (The American Heritage Dictionary, Second
College Edition, Houghton Mifflin, 1985).
Why random sample is so important?
(https://web.ma.utexas.edu/users/mks/statmistakes/randomsample.html)
Common mistakes in statistics
28-02-2020 Sampling 10
If you want to study the attitude of Delhi University students
on climate change and you visit university on a random day
and meet 100 students randomly, it is not a random sample.
You have excluded many who may be absent or gone on
vacation. The right way is to take the list of all students in
different years and use it as a frame and number them and
use random numbers to select the calculated sample size.
This step is important as it will help us to quantify errors
and minimize them. If it is not random sample, we may
not be confident about our results.
28-02-2020 Sampling 11
A simple random sample is a sample selected in such a way that it satisfies
two conditions
Every element in the population has the same chance of being selected and
Every sample size of n has the same chance of being chosen.
Simple random samples (SRS)
Example: Binod, Charan, Dipesh and Ekanth are the scholars. All four
want leave on vacation and only two can be away. You may put B,C,D and
E in a paper and put it in a container and request another scholar to take
two papers. Thus each of the scholar has a equal chance of being
selected.
28-02-2020 Sampling 12
The possible samples of size two that are
selected will be;
BC, BD,BE,CD,CE,DE. If you observe B is
chosen in three of the six samples. Thus
P(B)= 3/6=1/2. Similarly for P(C)=P(D)= P(E).
Each of the six possible samples has the
same chance 1/6 of being selected. Thus
both the conditions are satisfied.
Simple random samples (SRS)
28-02-2020 Sampling 13
Example
28-02-2020 Sampling 14
In a medical study you wanted to study population of all hospitals that are
performing heart surgery.
Find all hospitals that are performing renal surgery and ensure that they
performed at least given number of heart surgeries for the past two months .
Number them 1 to k, and this list is known as the sample frame as it includes
active elements of population.
Determine the sample size scientifically as discussed in the lectures.
You may use the randomizer software to obtain random samples.
28-02-2020 Sampling 15
How many sets of numbers do you want to
generate?
Number range (e.g., 1-50)
Do you wish to sort the numbers that are
generated?
How do you wish to view your random
numbers?
Software help You may use research randomizer
(https://www.randomizer.org/)
You may generate the needed random
samples from the numbered frame you have
created
You have to plug-in the following
requirements decided by you.
Number range (e.g., 1-50)
How many numbers per set?
28-02-2020 Sampling 16
I have generated 2 sets of 30
unique numbers per set.
I assumed that you want to
experiment with one set and
another set is control.
The range is sorted from
least to greatest.
Please do try for different
values.
Results
28-02-2020 Sampling 17
Systematic Random Samples
A systematic random sample is a sample
which contains every ith element of a
population. Let us consider 20 element
population as given here.
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T
and every fifth (i=5) element is to be in the
sample. We need to start with one of the
five elements A,B,C,D,E. Let us number
them as 1,2,3,4,5 respectively. We try to
obtain a random starting point from a table
of random digits.
28-02-2020 Sampling 18
Systematic Random Samples
I took a snap shot of random
number table available at
internet. We need to decide
before hand that we will
choose first digit that may be
useable for us ( from 1 to 5)
from the number starting in
the fourth row and eight
column (without looking at
the table) it is 47200 (after
looking at the table).
28-02-2020 Sampling 19
Selection
Out of the digits 47200, the first digit is useful. That is with in
1,2,3,4,5. Thus every 4 th element will be a sample. In this case it
is D,H so on.
In the discussion we have seen that every element has a known,
non zero chance ( 1-5) of being selected as the starting point of
selection is random. Therefore we have a random sample.
The samples we get from Simple Random Sampling are not the
same in the systematic random sampling. They are different
methods.
28-02-2020 Sampling 20
Practice Randomizer
28-02-2020 Sampling 21
Dividing population into non overlapping groups is called
stratification.
If the population is stratified and random sample is selected from each of the
stratum and this process is called stratified random sampling.
This process is to ensure that samples of adequate size are obtained from each
stratum. Let us assume that we want to study education levels of persons between
18-28 years. If you take India’s total population some of the smaller states may be
missing from being represented. Therefore, it is better to create strata such as
states of India and then use random numbers to generate the given sample.
Stratified random samples
28-02-2020 Sampling 22
Stratified random sampling in practice
If we find the differences between stratas is high and within the strata are
low, it is better to use stratified random sampling. Let us assume the
following data which is extreme (with small and large values combined)
2,4,6,6,2,100,102,100,104,104
The population total sum is 530. We will plan to estimate the population
sum by random samples of two and multiply it by 5.
Now a simple random sample may yield poor results. For example 5(2+4)
will yield only 30. Then we stratify into two groups. The two groups are,
now a single random sample from each strata may give one pair 2,100 or
5(2+100) will give you 510, which is a better estimate.
2,4,6,6,2 100,102,100,104,10428-02-2020 Sampling 23
Non random samples are judgemental samples. The term judgement
implies that instead of chance, judgement of the researcher plays a
role and elements of the sample has unknown probability of being
chosen.
Convenient samples are selected just because it is convenient for
the researcher. For example the frequently used sampling technique
in market research is the quota controlled judgement sampling and
the sampling is done based on the population percentages. For
example the total population has 20% high income, 30% middle
income and 50% lower income then by using judgement an
organization may choose sample units.
Non random samples
28-02-2020 Sampling 24
Availability sampling
Availability sampling is a technique in which elements are selected
Because these samples are accessible to the researcher. This may
introduce bias in the sample. Volunteers are used for research and
they may not be representative of the population.
Purposive sampling is based on researcher’s knowledge of the
population elements in terms of research goals. It is used when there
is good knowledge about who will be able to provide information on
the domain.
Snowball sampling is used to identify participants when population
units are difficult to locate. To study drug addicts, it may be difficult to
locate the population. In such cases the researcher may choose
snowball sampling to locate one or two addicts and get their
confidence and in turn may increase the respondents numbers.
28-02-2020 Sampling 25
I will discuss here some of the key concepts you
should understand while performing your research.
The first concept is the estimation of population
parameter by random sampling. This concept we
will understand by using a small population and get
random samples from it and try to understand
intuitively the sampling.
Concepts in sampling
28-02-2020 Sampling 26
Parameters and Statistics- Relation between
population mean and sample mean
Let us discuss. The population of students of Delhi University in a
given year for commerce course may be 20,000 students. We wish to
estimate their marks in Financial Accounting. We will chose a random
sample of 150 and found their average marks are 65. If you reflect on
the result you may say “How it is possible to get data from 150 and
estimate for 20,000?”. Let us do some problems and definitions. A lay
person may suspect the results. But not you!
A parameter is a characteristic of population.
28-02-2020 Sampling 27
Parameters and Statistics- Relation between
population mean and sample mean
A statistic is a characteristic of sample.
The mean of the population is a population parameter.
If a sample is drawn from population, the mean of the
sample is statistic. The mean of sample is denoted by x
bar and ” is used to denote population mean.
28-02-2020 Sampling 28
Example
28-02-2020 Sampling 29
Let me assume that there are five numbers in a population.
0,6,12,6,36
The mean of population is ” 𝒙 = 𝟎 + 𝟔 + 𝟏𝟐 + 𝟔 + 𝟑𝟔 / 5 is given as 12.
The population parameter is a single value 12.
Let us assume that we draw a sample of three units and they are 12,6,36,
then their mean will be 12+6+36 /3 which is equal to 18. There are ten
different samples may be drawn from 5 population units random samples.
Our question is what will be the Mean of Means of all samples?
28-02-2020 Sampling 30
Generating sample means from the Population-Ten
samples are generated and their mean is calculated
Sample values Sample Mean
0,6,12 6
0,6,6 4
0,6,36 14
0,12,6 6
0,12,36 16
0,6,36 14
6,12,6 8
6,12,36 18
6,6,36 16
12,6,18 18
Mean of Means of all samples 120/10 = 1228-02-2020 Sampling 31
The Mean of all sample means that is ten in
this case is 12. That is, it is equal to the mean
of population.
I have given the frequency table of the
sample mean. You will see the sample mean
occurs twice and the frequency is 2.
We refer this as sampling distribution of the
mean (or) probability distribution for the
means of all the samples of a given size that
can be drawn from the population.
Sample mean
x
Frequency (f) Probability of
x
4 1 0.1
6 2 0.2
8 1 0.1
14 2 0.2
16 2 0.2
18 2 0.2
Total 10 1
What we observe?
28-02-2020 Sampling 32
We will use the following symbols
N = population size
”x = population mean
σx = population standard deviation
n = sample size
” 𝒙 = mean distribution of 𝒙
σ 𝒙 = standard deviation of the distribution of 𝒙
Relationship between the population and the sample distribution of the mean
28-02-2020 Sampling 33
The standard deviation of the sample means σxbar is called
the Standard Error of the Mean or by some authors as SEM.
However, the relationship is not intuitive like the sample
means and the population mean. The formula for σxbar to
σx is as follows
σ 𝒙 = σx / 𝒏
We will take the same population what you have taken in
the example (0,6,12,6,36) and compute the σxbar.
Population and sampling distribution
standard deviation
28-02-2020 Sampling 34
đœŽđ‘„ =
đœŽđ‘„
𝑛
𝑁 − 𝑛
𝑁 − 1
The relation between the standard error of mean and the
population standard deviation are given by the formula here.
We will ignore the
đ‘”âˆ’đ’
đ‘”âˆ’đŸ
small sample multiplier if the sample
size is more than 100 as it may not make much difference.
28-02-2020 Sampling 35
Computation of σxbar
Mean (Mean-12) (Mean-12)^2
6 -6 36
4 -8 64
14 2 4
6 -6 36
16 4 16
14 2 4
8 -4 16
18 6 36
16 4 16
18 6 36
28-02-2020 Sampling 36
Thank You
28-02-2020 Sampling 37

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Sampling

  • 2. First things first ‱ There is no mathematical background is required for participants. I will assume that you wish to use quantitative ,qualitative or mixed methods research design. ‱ Basics are dealt with required rigour and you have self learning material given according to the norms in second quadrant of four quadrant learning. 28-02-2020 Sampling 2
  • 3. ‱ Opensource software such as R will be highly helpful to you. Before using those software please do understand the theory. ‱ There will be discussion on common mistakes in statistics. Please use Discussion Forum for posting your questions, all your questions will either be answered or find a reference or a person will answer the questions. ‱ This is the first module followed by other lectures. Activities by you 28-02-2020 Sampling 3
  • 4. Observations Variables Identification Measure Variables Fit a Model Research Questions Generate Theory based on published papers Generate premises, Hypotheses Collect Data and test Analyse Data 28-02-2020 Sampling 4
  • 5. Introduction of topics and broad questions answered in the lecture In the first part we will describe methods that are used for selecting the samples. There is practice sessions on selecting samples using Randomizer software. 28-02-2020 Sampling 5
  • 6. In the second part we will discuss how information gained from sample is likely to vary from the corresponding information for the population and what is the relationship between population parameter and sample statistic? This will form the foundation for statistical inference which we will discuss in the next lecture. Introduction of topics and broad questions answered in the lecture Remember Known Population to Sample! 28-02-2020 Sampling 6
  • 7. If you are planning to study television viewers of New Delhi whose numbers may be in millions and you wish to pick up 1000 users to make a decision about all the viewers in New Delhi, you are using two concepts- population and sample. The basic unit of a population is called an element of the population. Each television viewer is an element of viewer population. A population is a theoretically specified aggregation of elements. Collecting information from all the elements is known as Census or making a complete enumeration Definitions 28-02-2020 Sampling 7
  • 8. A sampling frame is the list, index, or records from which the sample will be drawn, which might not be totally inclusive of the study population. It includes all the active elements of the population. Sampling is a procedure to select elements from a population. A sample is a subset of the population elements that results from a sampling strategy. Definitions 28-02-2020 Sampling 8
  • 9. Random sampling is not haphazard or absence of the procedure. It is a selection procedure that guarantees a known, nonzero, chance of selection for each and every element of population. Random sample or a probability sample is a sample selected in a way such that every element of the population has a known chance (non zero and need not be equal in all cases) of being included in the sample. Statistical sampling theory provides methods used for solving applied problems and the theory is based on random samples. Random Samples-Meaning 28-02-2020 Sampling 9
  • 10. Random sampling eliminates systematic biases by giving all elements in a population a given chance to be chosen. We will discuss more about biases in a separate lecture. It is better to understand it as “ randomly chosen sample”, than as a random sample as the dictionary defines it as "Having no specific pattern or objective; haphazard" (The American Heritage Dictionary, Second College Edition, Houghton Mifflin, 1985). Why random sample is so important? (https://web.ma.utexas.edu/users/mks/statmistakes/randomsample.html) Common mistakes in statistics 28-02-2020 Sampling 10
  • 11. If you want to study the attitude of Delhi University students on climate change and you visit university on a random day and meet 100 students randomly, it is not a random sample. You have excluded many who may be absent or gone on vacation. The right way is to take the list of all students in different years and use it as a frame and number them and use random numbers to select the calculated sample size. This step is important as it will help us to quantify errors and minimize them. If it is not random sample, we may not be confident about our results. 28-02-2020 Sampling 11
  • 12. A simple random sample is a sample selected in such a way that it satisfies two conditions Every element in the population has the same chance of being selected and Every sample size of n has the same chance of being chosen. Simple random samples (SRS) Example: Binod, Charan, Dipesh and Ekanth are the scholars. All four want leave on vacation and only two can be away. You may put B,C,D and E in a paper and put it in a container and request another scholar to take two papers. Thus each of the scholar has a equal chance of being selected. 28-02-2020 Sampling 12
  • 13. The possible samples of size two that are selected will be; BC, BD,BE,CD,CE,DE. If you observe B is chosen in three of the six samples. Thus P(B)= 3/6=1/2. Similarly for P(C)=P(D)= P(E). Each of the six possible samples has the same chance 1/6 of being selected. Thus both the conditions are satisfied. Simple random samples (SRS) 28-02-2020 Sampling 13
  • 15. In a medical study you wanted to study population of all hospitals that are performing heart surgery. Find all hospitals that are performing renal surgery and ensure that they performed at least given number of heart surgeries for the past two months . Number them 1 to k, and this list is known as the sample frame as it includes active elements of population. Determine the sample size scientifically as discussed in the lectures. You may use the randomizer software to obtain random samples. 28-02-2020 Sampling 15
  • 16. How many sets of numbers do you want to generate? Number range (e.g., 1-50) Do you wish to sort the numbers that are generated? How do you wish to view your random numbers? Software help You may use research randomizer (https://www.randomizer.org/) You may generate the needed random samples from the numbered frame you have created You have to plug-in the following requirements decided by you. Number range (e.g., 1-50) How many numbers per set? 28-02-2020 Sampling 16
  • 17. I have generated 2 sets of 30 unique numbers per set. I assumed that you want to experiment with one set and another set is control. The range is sorted from least to greatest. Please do try for different values. Results 28-02-2020 Sampling 17
  • 18. Systematic Random Samples A systematic random sample is a sample which contains every ith element of a population. Let us consider 20 element population as given here. A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T and every fifth (i=5) element is to be in the sample. We need to start with one of the five elements A,B,C,D,E. Let us number them as 1,2,3,4,5 respectively. We try to obtain a random starting point from a table of random digits. 28-02-2020 Sampling 18
  • 19. Systematic Random Samples I took a snap shot of random number table available at internet. We need to decide before hand that we will choose first digit that may be useable for us ( from 1 to 5) from the number starting in the fourth row and eight column (without looking at the table) it is 47200 (after looking at the table). 28-02-2020 Sampling 19
  • 20. Selection Out of the digits 47200, the first digit is useful. That is with in 1,2,3,4,5. Thus every 4 th element will be a sample. In this case it is D,H so on. In the discussion we have seen that every element has a known, non zero chance ( 1-5) of being selected as the starting point of selection is random. Therefore we have a random sample. The samples we get from Simple Random Sampling are not the same in the systematic random sampling. They are different methods. 28-02-2020 Sampling 20
  • 22. Dividing population into non overlapping groups is called stratification. If the population is stratified and random sample is selected from each of the stratum and this process is called stratified random sampling. This process is to ensure that samples of adequate size are obtained from each stratum. Let us assume that we want to study education levels of persons between 18-28 years. If you take India’s total population some of the smaller states may be missing from being represented. Therefore, it is better to create strata such as states of India and then use random numbers to generate the given sample. Stratified random samples 28-02-2020 Sampling 22
  • 23. Stratified random sampling in practice If we find the differences between stratas is high and within the strata are low, it is better to use stratified random sampling. Let us assume the following data which is extreme (with small and large values combined) 2,4,6,6,2,100,102,100,104,104 The population total sum is 530. We will plan to estimate the population sum by random samples of two and multiply it by 5. Now a simple random sample may yield poor results. For example 5(2+4) will yield only 30. Then we stratify into two groups. The two groups are, now a single random sample from each strata may give one pair 2,100 or 5(2+100) will give you 510, which is a better estimate. 2,4,6,6,2 100,102,100,104,10428-02-2020 Sampling 23
  • 24. Non random samples are judgemental samples. The term judgement implies that instead of chance, judgement of the researcher plays a role and elements of the sample has unknown probability of being chosen. Convenient samples are selected just because it is convenient for the researcher. For example the frequently used sampling technique in market research is the quota controlled judgement sampling and the sampling is done based on the population percentages. For example the total population has 20% high income, 30% middle income and 50% lower income then by using judgement an organization may choose sample units. Non random samples 28-02-2020 Sampling 24
  • 25. Availability sampling Availability sampling is a technique in which elements are selected Because these samples are accessible to the researcher. This may introduce bias in the sample. Volunteers are used for research and they may not be representative of the population. Purposive sampling is based on researcher’s knowledge of the population elements in terms of research goals. It is used when there is good knowledge about who will be able to provide information on the domain. Snowball sampling is used to identify participants when population units are difficult to locate. To study drug addicts, it may be difficult to locate the population. In such cases the researcher may choose snowball sampling to locate one or two addicts and get their confidence and in turn may increase the respondents numbers. 28-02-2020 Sampling 25
  • 26. I will discuss here some of the key concepts you should understand while performing your research. The first concept is the estimation of population parameter by random sampling. This concept we will understand by using a small population and get random samples from it and try to understand intuitively the sampling. Concepts in sampling 28-02-2020 Sampling 26
  • 27. Parameters and Statistics- Relation between population mean and sample mean Let us discuss. The population of students of Delhi University in a given year for commerce course may be 20,000 students. We wish to estimate their marks in Financial Accounting. We will chose a random sample of 150 and found their average marks are 65. If you reflect on the result you may say “How it is possible to get data from 150 and estimate for 20,000?”. Let us do some problems and definitions. A lay person may suspect the results. But not you! A parameter is a characteristic of population. 28-02-2020 Sampling 27
  • 28. Parameters and Statistics- Relation between population mean and sample mean A statistic is a characteristic of sample. The mean of the population is a population parameter. If a sample is drawn from population, the mean of the sample is statistic. The mean of sample is denoted by x bar and ” is used to denote population mean. 28-02-2020 Sampling 28
  • 30. Let me assume that there are five numbers in a population. 0,6,12,6,36 The mean of population is ” 𝒙 = 𝟎 + 𝟔 + 𝟏𝟐 + 𝟔 + 𝟑𝟔 / 5 is given as 12. The population parameter is a single value 12. Let us assume that we draw a sample of three units and they are 12,6,36, then their mean will be 12+6+36 /3 which is equal to 18. There are ten different samples may be drawn from 5 population units random samples. Our question is what will be the Mean of Means of all samples? 28-02-2020 Sampling 30
  • 31. Generating sample means from the Population-Ten samples are generated and their mean is calculated Sample values Sample Mean 0,6,12 6 0,6,6 4 0,6,36 14 0,12,6 6 0,12,36 16 0,6,36 14 6,12,6 8 6,12,36 18 6,6,36 16 12,6,18 18 Mean of Means of all samples 120/10 = 1228-02-2020 Sampling 31
  • 32. The Mean of all sample means that is ten in this case is 12. That is, it is equal to the mean of population. I have given the frequency table of the sample mean. You will see the sample mean occurs twice and the frequency is 2. We refer this as sampling distribution of the mean (or) probability distribution for the means of all the samples of a given size that can be drawn from the population. Sample mean x Frequency (f) Probability of x 4 1 0.1 6 2 0.2 8 1 0.1 14 2 0.2 16 2 0.2 18 2 0.2 Total 10 1 What we observe? 28-02-2020 Sampling 32
  • 33. We will use the following symbols N = population size ”x = population mean σx = population standard deviation n = sample size ” 𝒙 = mean distribution of 𝒙 σ 𝒙 = standard deviation of the distribution of 𝒙 Relationship between the population and the sample distribution of the mean 28-02-2020 Sampling 33
  • 34. The standard deviation of the sample means σxbar is called the Standard Error of the Mean or by some authors as SEM. However, the relationship is not intuitive like the sample means and the population mean. The formula for σxbar to σx is as follows σ 𝒙 = σx / 𝒏 We will take the same population what you have taken in the example (0,6,12,6,36) and compute the σxbar. Population and sampling distribution standard deviation 28-02-2020 Sampling 34
  • 35. đœŽđ‘„ = đœŽđ‘„ 𝑛 𝑁 − 𝑛 𝑁 − 1 The relation between the standard error of mean and the population standard deviation are given by the formula here. We will ignore the đ‘”âˆ’đ’ đ‘”âˆ’đŸ small sample multiplier if the sample size is more than 100 as it may not make much difference. 28-02-2020 Sampling 35
  • 36. Computation of σxbar Mean (Mean-12) (Mean-12)^2 6 -6 36 4 -8 64 14 2 4 6 -6 36 16 4 16 14 2 4 8 -4 16 18 6 36 16 4 16 18 6 36 28-02-2020 Sampling 36