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Climate Leadership Council ry
Caverion│Fortum│Kone│Neste Oil│Outotec │Sitra│ St1 │Gasum │Kemira │Nokia │Finnair
Ilmarinen │ Lappeenranta University of Technology │ Nordea │ Porvoon energia │ Vaisala │VVO
ILMASTONMUUTOS –
MAAILMAN SUURIN
BUSINESS
Climate Leadership Council;
Members 17.3.2015 and board for 6/2014-6/2016
J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council
© Outotec – All rights reserved
Nykymenolla tulemme ylittämään maapallon kestokyvyn 2.5 – 4 kertaisesti
Cleantecistä kasvuhammas? - Pertti Korhonen, CLC, Outotec3
Source: Global Footprint Network
• Käytämme nyt maapallon
resursseja 1.5 kertaisesti sen
mitä se kestää
• Nykymenolla rasitus nousee 2.5-
4 kertaiseksi
• On välttämätöntä laskea rasitus
maapallon kestämälle tasolle
• Tämä on mahdollista vain
innovaatioiden ja uuden
teknologian kautta
1/30/2015
4
Climate performance off track: next 15 years critical
Source: IPCC
The New Climate Economy for Finland, 3.3.2015, Helsinki
Jeremy Oppenheim, Programme Director, Global Commission on the Economy and Climate
© Outotec – All rights reserved
Talouskasvun ja ympäristövaikutusten kytkeminen irti toisistaan on
välttämätöntä
1/30/2015 Cleantecistä kasvuhammas? - Pertti Korhonen, CLC, Outotec5
Ekotehokkuus
RESURSSITEHOKKAAT
TEKNOLOGIAT
© Outotec – All rights reserved
6
Supersykli muuttumassa?
Lähde: Markku Wilenius, 3.10.2012. Sitran Kestävä talous –foorumin
luento “Kuudes aalto ja talouspolitiikan haasteet”
7
J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council 19.9.2014
Carbon Tracker;
<”60$/barrel oil” is burnable
Climate Summit: >120 Heads of States
74 countries, > 1,000 companies with more
than $24 trillion in assets expressed their
support for carbon pricing; responsible for
54% of global GHG emissions and 52% of
global GDP and almost half the world’s
population, including China, Russia . (Source:
World Bank)
Ilmastonmuutos- ja hiilisijoitusriskit kasvavat
Muutos aiheuttaa valtavat liiketoimintamahdollisuudet
- Global infrastructure investment
requirements 2015-2030
about $90 trillion (total $300-400 trillion)
(The New Climate Economy report 2014)
- Global energy investments 2015-2035
about $50 trillion (48 NP, 53 450 scen.)
(IEA World Energy Investment Outlook 2014)
Source: IEA World Investment Outlook 2014
J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council Helsingin ilmastoseminaari 12.2.2015
WHERE?
The sectors in the middle need to be electrified.
10
“If a petrochemical
firm can do this,
anybody can ”
CEO Ray Anderson,
2009
Yritysten pitää muuttaa toimintaansa usein hyvinkin perustellisesti; Case Interface
J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council Helsingin ilmastoseminaari 12.2.2015
11
Cities driving decarbonized economy
– and growth, jobs and investment
Copenhagen
GVA per capita
GHG emissions
per capita
”The world’s first carbon-neutral
capital by 2025” -plan targets:
• Carbon-neutral district heating
• Electricity production based on wind
and biomass
• Separating plastic from waste to
increase recycling
• 20% more passengers in public
transport and new fuels in vehicles
• Increasing bicycling and walking
• Improved energy efficiency in
buildings
Copenhagen cleantech cluster:
• 610 cleantech companies
• 78,000 employees (34,000 in cleantech jobs)
• Combined turnover ca. €30 billion (€12 billion directly
related to cleantech)
• From 2004 to 2009 turnover in the cleantech sector
increased by 55% and exports by 77%
Sources: New Climate Economy, OECD, Copenhagen Cleantech Cluster
The New Climate Economy for Finland, 3.3.2015, Helsinki
Jeremy Oppenheim, Programme Director, Global Commission on the Economy and Climate
12
Leading country strategies combine emissions reductions,
energy transformation and green growth
Denmark: Energy Strategy 2050:
Independence of fossil fuels by 2050
• Outlines the energy policy instruments to
transform Denmark into a green sustainable
society with stable energy supply
• Independence from fossil fuels, radical
improvements in energy efficiency
• Bolsters Danish growth and wealth,
strengthens opportunities for innovation and
demonstration of new green solutions.
Consumption of coal, oil and natural gas 1990-2050
Sources: Denmark Energy Strategy 2050, Danish Energy
Agency
Denmark cleantech exports have
outperformed EU averageSweden’s transition plan to fossil-free
transport: “Fossilfrihet på väg”
Detailed economic and technical plan including
the most effective guidance mechanisms:
• Fuel selection (bio&electricity),
• Vehicle development
• Electrification of transport
• City development and infrastructure
• Traffic legislation
Sources: Fossilfrihet på väg-report (2013), Government
Offices of Sweden
Control points
Reference scenario
Goal
Action potential
History
Guidance effect
Shift effect
Jeremy Oppenheim 5.3.2015
13
1. Taloudellinen kasvu, ilmastonmuutos, resurssitehokkuus
Clean tech innovaatioiden kehityksen suhteen Suomen tilanne hyvä,
soveltamisessa parantamisen varaa
Index
The Global
Cleantech
Innovation Index
2014
The Global Green
Economy Index
2014
Environmental
Performance Index
The Climate
Change
Performance Index
2015
EY Renewable
energy country
attractiveness
index (9/2014)
Index
provider
Cleantech Group,
WWF, Tillväxtverket
Dual Citizen LLC Yale University
Germanwatch &
Climate Action
Network Europe
EY
Index
description
Assessment of
countries’ potential
and conditions for
developing
cleantech
innovations.
Assessment of
countries'
performance in Green
Economy.
Country assessment
based on 20 national
environmental
indicators.
Assessment of
countries’ climate
policy and success in
tackling climate
issues.
Assessment of the
attractiveness of
countries’ renewable
energy investment
and deployment
opportunities.
Finland’s
ranking
2./40 8./60 18./178
32./61
(Grade: Poor)
37./40
Top3 –
countries
1. Israel
2. Finland
3. USA
1. Sweden
2. Norway
3. Costa Rica
1. Switzerland
2. Luxembourg
3. Australia
1. Denmark (4.)
2. Sweden (5.)
3. UK (6.)*
1. China
2. USA
3. Germany
Countries
ranked next
to Finland
Sweden (4.),
Denmark (5.),
UK (6.),
Canada (7.),
Switzerland (8.),
Germany (9.)
Switzerland (6.),
Austria (7.),
Iceland (9.),
Spain (10.),
Ireland (11.),
New Zealand (12.)
New Zealand (16.)
Portugal (17.)
Ireland (19.)
Estonia (20.)
Slovakia (21.)
Italy (22.)
Ukraine (30.),
India (31.),
Latvia (33.),
Croatia(34.),
Greece (35.),
Austria (36.)
Philippines (34.),
Saudi Arabia (35.),
Kenya (36.),
Russia (38.),
Indonesia (39.),
Ukraine (40.)
*None of the countries achieved positions one to three.
Tuottavuuden kehitys
(Indeksi, 1975=100)
90
140
190
240
290
340
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0 Toimialat yhteensä
ALKUT Alkutuotanto
JALOS
PALV Palvelut
Lähde: Tilastokeskus
Climate Leadership Council: Focus areas in 2015
Key project:
• Development of the capital area into a global cleantech reference area
Theme areas to be launched during spring 2015
• Carbon price: Development of global carbon pricing mechanisms
• Investors: Development climate and carbon and climate risk methods
• Carbon footprint: Reducing organizations’ carbon foot print
• Transport: Developing low-carbon strategies and solutions
• Construction and living: Developing low-carbon strategies and solutions
• Renewable energy system: Developing renewable energy, energy storage and
demand-side management solutions
Other theme areas could be established based on member proposals.
J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council
EI JÄTETTÄ
Fossiilisten polttoaineiden käyttö lopetettava
ilmastonmuutoksen hillitsemiseksiEI CO2-PÄÄSTÖJÄ
Kiertotaloutta edistämällä materiaalit
takaisin kiertoon
Uusiutuvien materiaalien kulutus
globaalisti kestävälle tasolle
YHDEN MAAPALLON
ELÄMÄ
Tarvitsemme resurssiviisasta ja hiilineutraalia yhteiskuntaa
Sitra • Tiina Kähö • 2.10.2014 •
Kiitos!
J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council www.clc.fi

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Ilmastonmuutos, maailman suurin business

  • 1. Climate Leadership Council ry Caverion│Fortum│Kone│Neste Oil│Outotec │Sitra│ St1 │Gasum │Kemira │Nokia │Finnair Ilmarinen │ Lappeenranta University of Technology │ Nordea │ Porvoon energia │ Vaisala │VVO ILMASTONMUUTOS – MAAILMAN SUURIN BUSINESS
  • 2. Climate Leadership Council; Members 17.3.2015 and board for 6/2014-6/2016 J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council
  • 3. © Outotec – All rights reserved Nykymenolla tulemme ylittämään maapallon kestokyvyn 2.5 – 4 kertaisesti Cleantecistä kasvuhammas? - Pertti Korhonen, CLC, Outotec3 Source: Global Footprint Network • Käytämme nyt maapallon resursseja 1.5 kertaisesti sen mitä se kestää • Nykymenolla rasitus nousee 2.5- 4 kertaiseksi • On välttämätöntä laskea rasitus maapallon kestämälle tasolle • Tämä on mahdollista vain innovaatioiden ja uuden teknologian kautta 1/30/2015
  • 4. 4 Climate performance off track: next 15 years critical Source: IPCC The New Climate Economy for Finland, 3.3.2015, Helsinki Jeremy Oppenheim, Programme Director, Global Commission on the Economy and Climate
  • 5. © Outotec – All rights reserved Talouskasvun ja ympäristövaikutusten kytkeminen irti toisistaan on välttämätöntä 1/30/2015 Cleantecistä kasvuhammas? - Pertti Korhonen, CLC, Outotec5 Ekotehokkuus RESURSSITEHOKKAAT TEKNOLOGIAT
  • 6. © Outotec – All rights reserved 6 Supersykli muuttumassa? Lähde: Markku Wilenius, 3.10.2012. Sitran Kestävä talous –foorumin luento “Kuudes aalto ja talouspolitiikan haasteet”
  • 7. 7 J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council 19.9.2014 Carbon Tracker; <”60$/barrel oil” is burnable Climate Summit: >120 Heads of States 74 countries, > 1,000 companies with more than $24 trillion in assets expressed their support for carbon pricing; responsible for 54% of global GHG emissions and 52% of global GDP and almost half the world’s population, including China, Russia . (Source: World Bank) Ilmastonmuutos- ja hiilisijoitusriskit kasvavat
  • 8. Muutos aiheuttaa valtavat liiketoimintamahdollisuudet - Global infrastructure investment requirements 2015-2030 about $90 trillion (total $300-400 trillion) (The New Climate Economy report 2014) - Global energy investments 2015-2035 about $50 trillion (48 NP, 53 450 scen.) (IEA World Energy Investment Outlook 2014) Source: IEA World Investment Outlook 2014 J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council Helsingin ilmastoseminaari 12.2.2015
  • 9. WHERE? The sectors in the middle need to be electrified.
  • 10. 10 “If a petrochemical firm can do this, anybody can ” CEO Ray Anderson, 2009 Yritysten pitää muuttaa toimintaansa usein hyvinkin perustellisesti; Case Interface J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council Helsingin ilmastoseminaari 12.2.2015
  • 11. 11 Cities driving decarbonized economy – and growth, jobs and investment Copenhagen GVA per capita GHG emissions per capita ”The world’s first carbon-neutral capital by 2025” -plan targets: • Carbon-neutral district heating • Electricity production based on wind and biomass • Separating plastic from waste to increase recycling • 20% more passengers in public transport and new fuels in vehicles • Increasing bicycling and walking • Improved energy efficiency in buildings Copenhagen cleantech cluster: • 610 cleantech companies • 78,000 employees (34,000 in cleantech jobs) • Combined turnover ca. €30 billion (€12 billion directly related to cleantech) • From 2004 to 2009 turnover in the cleantech sector increased by 55% and exports by 77% Sources: New Climate Economy, OECD, Copenhagen Cleantech Cluster The New Climate Economy for Finland, 3.3.2015, Helsinki Jeremy Oppenheim, Programme Director, Global Commission on the Economy and Climate
  • 12. 12 Leading country strategies combine emissions reductions, energy transformation and green growth Denmark: Energy Strategy 2050: Independence of fossil fuels by 2050 • Outlines the energy policy instruments to transform Denmark into a green sustainable society with stable energy supply • Independence from fossil fuels, radical improvements in energy efficiency • Bolsters Danish growth and wealth, strengthens opportunities for innovation and demonstration of new green solutions. Consumption of coal, oil and natural gas 1990-2050 Sources: Denmark Energy Strategy 2050, Danish Energy Agency Denmark cleantech exports have outperformed EU averageSweden’s transition plan to fossil-free transport: “Fossilfrihet på väg” Detailed economic and technical plan including the most effective guidance mechanisms: • Fuel selection (bio&electricity), • Vehicle development • Electrification of transport • City development and infrastructure • Traffic legislation Sources: Fossilfrihet på väg-report (2013), Government Offices of Sweden Control points Reference scenario Goal Action potential History Guidance effect Shift effect Jeremy Oppenheim 5.3.2015
  • 13. 13 1. Taloudellinen kasvu, ilmastonmuutos, resurssitehokkuus Clean tech innovaatioiden kehityksen suhteen Suomen tilanne hyvä, soveltamisessa parantamisen varaa Index The Global Cleantech Innovation Index 2014 The Global Green Economy Index 2014 Environmental Performance Index The Climate Change Performance Index 2015 EY Renewable energy country attractiveness index (9/2014) Index provider Cleantech Group, WWF, Tillväxtverket Dual Citizen LLC Yale University Germanwatch & Climate Action Network Europe EY Index description Assessment of countries’ potential and conditions for developing cleantech innovations. Assessment of countries' performance in Green Economy. Country assessment based on 20 national environmental indicators. Assessment of countries’ climate policy and success in tackling climate issues. Assessment of the attractiveness of countries’ renewable energy investment and deployment opportunities. Finland’s ranking 2./40 8./60 18./178 32./61 (Grade: Poor) 37./40 Top3 – countries 1. Israel 2. Finland 3. USA 1. Sweden 2. Norway 3. Costa Rica 1. Switzerland 2. Luxembourg 3. Australia 1. Denmark (4.) 2. Sweden (5.) 3. UK (6.)* 1. China 2. USA 3. Germany Countries ranked next to Finland Sweden (4.), Denmark (5.), UK (6.), Canada (7.), Switzerland (8.), Germany (9.) Switzerland (6.), Austria (7.), Iceland (9.), Spain (10.), Ireland (11.), New Zealand (12.) New Zealand (16.) Portugal (17.) Ireland (19.) Estonia (20.) Slovakia (21.) Italy (22.) Ukraine (30.), India (31.), Latvia (33.), Croatia(34.), Greece (35.), Austria (36.) Philippines (34.), Saudi Arabia (35.), Kenya (36.), Russia (38.), Indonesia (39.), Ukraine (40.) *None of the countries achieved positions one to three.
  • 15. Climate Leadership Council: Focus areas in 2015 Key project: • Development of the capital area into a global cleantech reference area Theme areas to be launched during spring 2015 • Carbon price: Development of global carbon pricing mechanisms • Investors: Development climate and carbon and climate risk methods • Carbon footprint: Reducing organizations’ carbon foot print • Transport: Developing low-carbon strategies and solutions • Construction and living: Developing low-carbon strategies and solutions • Renewable energy system: Developing renewable energy, energy storage and demand-side management solutions Other theme areas could be established based on member proposals. J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council
  • 16. EI JÄTETTÄ Fossiilisten polttoaineiden käyttö lopetettava ilmastonmuutoksen hillitsemiseksiEI CO2-PÄÄSTÖJÄ Kiertotaloutta edistämällä materiaalit takaisin kiertoon Uusiutuvien materiaalien kulutus globaalisti kestävälle tasolle YHDEN MAAPALLON ELÄMÄ Tarvitsemme resurssiviisasta ja hiilineutraalia yhteiskuntaa Sitra • Tiina Kähö • 2.10.2014 •
  • 17. Kiitos! J Keronen, Climate Leadership Council www.clc.fi