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Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology     Results    Conclusion




               The Network Centrality of In‡uential Bankers:
                   a new Capital Structure Determinant


               João Mergulhão (Universidade Nova de Lisboa)
                João Amaro de Matos (Universidade Nova de Lisboa)
           Miguel Ferreira (Universidade Nova de Lisboa, European Corporate
                                 Governance Institute)
                   Pedro Matos(University Southern California)




                                                January 16, 2010
RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results    Conclusion




The paper in one slide



               The presence of bankers-directors on the board and capital
               structure
               In‡uential bankers and capital structure
                      Social Network Analysis to measure in‡uence
               Role of Bankers in information transmission mechanism




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology       Results   Conclusion




Outline


               Introduction
                      Bankers and information asymmetry
                      Social Networks and information asymmetry
                              Social Networks and …nancial markets

               Hypothesys and Methodology
                      Network construction and centrality measures
                      Estimation
               Results
               Summary


RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results        Conclusion

Introduction


Bankers and Information Asymmetry

               Banks as delegated monitors [Schumpeter (1939) and
               Diamond (1984)]
                      More e¤ective monitoring mechanism then loan covenants
                      [Williamson (1998), Krozner and Strahan (2001)]
               Banker-directors provide …nancial expertise [Mace (1971),
               Lorsh and MacIver (1989)]
                      Lower costs of funds [James (1987), Berger and Udell (1995);
                      Fama (1985), Leland and Pyle (1997), Kracaw and Zenner
                      (1998), Kroszner and Strahan (2001)]
               Positive correlation between the …rm’ capital structure and
                                                    s
               the presence of banker-directors [Byrd and Myzruchi (2005),
               Ciammarra (2006)]

RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion

Network Centrality


Social Networks and Information Asymmetry


               Social relationships may prevent market failure
               [Podolny (1994)]
               Social networks screen and select relevant information
               [Burt (1997)]
               Social networks lower information-gathering costs
               [Nahapiet and Ghosal (1998)]
               Creation and maintenance of information ‡ows increases
               information set [Nohria (1992)]




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion

Network Centrality


Social Networks in Financial Markets



               Politically connected boards add value to …rms [Goldman,
               Rocholl and So (2009)]
               Social ties and venture capital [Shane and Cable (2002)]
               Similar corporate investment decisions [Fracassi (2008)]
               Fund managers portfolio decisions [Cohen, Frazzini and
               Malloy (2009)]




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion




Bankers in‡uence and capital structure



       Hypothesis 1 The presence of a banker on the board increases the
       leverage of a …rm
       Hypothesis 2 The more in‡uential a banker-director, the higher
       the leverage of a …rm
       Hypothesis 3 The higher the level of information asymmetry, the
       bigger the impact of the presence (or in‡uence) of a banker on the
       leverage of a …rm




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results    Conclusion

Constructing the network


Board of Directors Data




               BoardEx Reports
                      historical linkages between boards of di¤erent …rms
       Information ‡ows between individuals
       Construction of a new network




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion

Constructing the network




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion

Constructing the network




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion

Constructing the network




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion

Measuring In‡uence


Centrality Measures




               Degree
               Closeness
               Betweeness




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results           Conclusion

Measuring In‡uence


Measuring In‡uence: back to the …rm dimension


       Aggregate the centrality measures to the …rm level.
       Bankers-directors: for each …rm, the corresponding centrality
       measure is the maximum value of the banker-director in the board.
               If there is no banker-director, the centrality measure is 0.
                  1   Firm is covered by Boardex and has no banker seated on the
                      board
                  2   Firm is not covered by Boardex
               We will assume that if we have information on the board size,
               then that …rm is covered by Boardex.



RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology    Results   Conclusion

Financial Data


Merging …nancial and social network data



                 Financial data
                      Datastream, Compustat
                 Final sample
                      US …rms Listed in WorldScope
                      from 2001 to 2006
                      all variables are winsorized at 1% level.




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology               Results   Conclusion

Financial Data


Estimation


       LRt +1,i       = β0 + β1 Sizet,i + β2 Pro…tabilityt,i + β3 Asset Tangibilityt,i
                        + β4 Asset Speci…cityt,i + β5 Growth Opportunitiest,i
                        +δBankert,i
                        +γ1 Industry Dummiest,i + γ2 Year Dummiest

                                                          Total debt
                 LRt +1 : Leverage ratio=             Maket capitalization
                 Size : log (sales)
                                            Tangible Assets
                 Asset Tangibility :         Total Assets
                                           R&D expenses
                 Asset Speci…city:          Total Sales
                 Pro…tability: Return on Assets
RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results       Conclusion

Financial Data


Estimation



       LRt +1,i       = β0 + β1 Sizet,i + β2 Pro…tabilityt,i + β3 Asset_Tangibilityt,i
                        + β4 Asset_Speci…cityt,i + β5 Growth_Opportunitiest,i
                        +δBankert,i
                        +γ1 Industry_Dummiest,i + γ2 Year_Dummiest

                 Banker
                      the presence of banker on the board (hypothesis 1)
                      centrality measures (hypothesis 2)



RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results       Conclusion

Financial Data


Estimation


       LRt +1,i       = β0 + β1 Sizet,i + β2 Pro…tabilityt,i + β3 Asset_Tangibilityt,i
                        + β4 Asset_Speci…cityt,i + β5 Growth_Opportunitiest,i
                        +δ1 Bankert,i + δ2 Bankert,i Opacityt,i
                        +γ1 Industry_Dummiest,i + γ2 Year_Dummiest

                 Opacity (hypothesys 3) :
                      Size
                      Tangibility
                      Rating
                      S&P500
                      Illiquidity: Amihud’ (2002)Illiquidity measure
                                         s
                      Accruals quality: Dechow and Dichev (2002)
RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results          Conclusion

Financial Data


Endogeneity



                 Board composition and capital structure are simultaneously
                 chosen
                      OLS fails with endogenous regressors.
                      IV is not a solution for endogenous binary regressors (Imbens
                      and Angrist 1994, Angrist, Imbens and Rubens 1996)
       Solution: Average Treatment E¤ects
       Instruments: Board size, Size, Leverage, Market to Book, Asset
       Tangibility




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion




Results




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion




Results




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results   Conclusion




Results




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Introduction                        Hypothesys and Methodology   Results           Conclusion




Conclusion



               We study relation between the presence of bankers on boards
               and capital structure.
               Presence of bankers in the board increases the leverage ratio
               E¤ect is magni…ed by the in‡uence of the banker
               E¤ect of banker’ social infuence on the leverage ratio
                                s
               increases with …rm’ opacity
                                  s
                      role of bankers on the information transmission mechanism.




RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting
Universidade Nova de Lisboa

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Presentation influential bankers and capital structure5

  • 1. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion The Network Centrality of In‡uential Bankers: a new Capital Structure Determinant João Mergulhão (Universidade Nova de Lisboa) João Amaro de Matos (Universidade Nova de Lisboa) Miguel Ferreira (Universidade Nova de Lisboa, European Corporate Governance Institute) Pedro Matos(University Southern California) January 16, 2010 RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 2. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion The paper in one slide The presence of bankers-directors on the board and capital structure In‡uential bankers and capital structure Social Network Analysis to measure in‡uence Role of Bankers in information transmission mechanism RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 3. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Outline Introduction Bankers and information asymmetry Social Networks and information asymmetry Social Networks and …nancial markets Hypothesys and Methodology Network construction and centrality measures Estimation Results Summary RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 4. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Introduction Bankers and Information Asymmetry Banks as delegated monitors [Schumpeter (1939) and Diamond (1984)] More e¤ective monitoring mechanism then loan covenants [Williamson (1998), Krozner and Strahan (2001)] Banker-directors provide …nancial expertise [Mace (1971), Lorsh and MacIver (1989)] Lower costs of funds [James (1987), Berger and Udell (1995); Fama (1985), Leland and Pyle (1997), Kracaw and Zenner (1998), Kroszner and Strahan (2001)] Positive correlation between the …rm’ capital structure and s the presence of banker-directors [Byrd and Myzruchi (2005), Ciammarra (2006)] RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 5. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Network Centrality Social Networks and Information Asymmetry Social relationships may prevent market failure [Podolny (1994)] Social networks screen and select relevant information [Burt (1997)] Social networks lower information-gathering costs [Nahapiet and Ghosal (1998)] Creation and maintenance of information ‡ows increases information set [Nohria (1992)] RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 6. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Network Centrality Social Networks in Financial Markets Politically connected boards add value to …rms [Goldman, Rocholl and So (2009)] Social ties and venture capital [Shane and Cable (2002)] Similar corporate investment decisions [Fracassi (2008)] Fund managers portfolio decisions [Cohen, Frazzini and Malloy (2009)] RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 7. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Bankers in‡uence and capital structure Hypothesis 1 The presence of a banker on the board increases the leverage of a …rm Hypothesis 2 The more in‡uential a banker-director, the higher the leverage of a …rm Hypothesis 3 The higher the level of information asymmetry, the bigger the impact of the presence (or in‡uence) of a banker on the leverage of a …rm RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 8. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Constructing the network Board of Directors Data BoardEx Reports historical linkages between boards of di¤erent …rms Information ‡ows between individuals Construction of a new network RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 9. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Constructing the network RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 10. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Constructing the network RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 11. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Constructing the network RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 12. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Measuring In‡uence Centrality Measures Degree Closeness Betweeness RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 13. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Measuring In‡uence Measuring In‡uence: back to the …rm dimension Aggregate the centrality measures to the …rm level. Bankers-directors: for each …rm, the corresponding centrality measure is the maximum value of the banker-director in the board. If there is no banker-director, the centrality measure is 0. 1 Firm is covered by Boardex and has no banker seated on the board 2 Firm is not covered by Boardex We will assume that if we have information on the board size, then that …rm is covered by Boardex. RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 14. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Financial Data Merging …nancial and social network data Financial data Datastream, Compustat Final sample US …rms Listed in WorldScope from 2001 to 2006 all variables are winsorized at 1% level. RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 15. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Financial Data Estimation LRt +1,i = β0 + β1 Sizet,i + β2 Pro…tabilityt,i + β3 Asset Tangibilityt,i + β4 Asset Speci…cityt,i + β5 Growth Opportunitiest,i +δBankert,i +γ1 Industry Dummiest,i + γ2 Year Dummiest Total debt LRt +1 : Leverage ratio= Maket capitalization Size : log (sales) Tangible Assets Asset Tangibility : Total Assets R&D expenses Asset Speci…city: Total Sales Pro…tability: Return on Assets RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 16. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Financial Data Estimation LRt +1,i = β0 + β1 Sizet,i + β2 Pro…tabilityt,i + β3 Asset_Tangibilityt,i + β4 Asset_Speci…cityt,i + β5 Growth_Opportunitiest,i +δBankert,i +γ1 Industry_Dummiest,i + γ2 Year_Dummiest Banker the presence of banker on the board (hypothesis 1) centrality measures (hypothesis 2) RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 17. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Financial Data Estimation LRt +1,i = β0 + β1 Sizet,i + β2 Pro…tabilityt,i + β3 Asset_Tangibilityt,i + β4 Asset_Speci…cityt,i + β5 Growth_Opportunitiest,i +δ1 Bankert,i + δ2 Bankert,i Opacityt,i +γ1 Industry_Dummiest,i + γ2 Year_Dummiest Opacity (hypothesys 3) : Size Tangibility Rating S&P500 Illiquidity: Amihud’ (2002)Illiquidity measure s Accruals quality: Dechow and Dichev (2002) RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 18. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Financial Data Endogeneity Board composition and capital structure are simultaneously chosen OLS fails with endogenous regressors. IV is not a solution for endogenous binary regressors (Imbens and Angrist 1994, Angrist, Imbens and Rubens 1996) Solution: Average Treatment E¤ects Instruments: Board size, Size, Leverage, Market to Book, Asset Tangibility RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 19. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Results RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 20. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Results RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 21. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Results RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • 22. Introduction Hypothesys and Methodology Results Conclusion Conclusion We study relation between the presence of bankers on boards and capital structure. Presence of bankers in the board increases the leverage ratio E¤ect is magni…ed by the in‡uence of the banker E¤ect of banker’ social infuence on the leverage ratio s increases with …rm’ opacity s role of bankers on the information transmission mechanism. RES 5 th PhD Presentation Meeting Universidade Nova de Lisboa