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Understanding Customer Needs
   Three Steps to Minimize Market Risk
   Th    S        Mi i i M k Ri k
Overview

• Customer needs are the source of economic value

• Product commercialization is the most expensive activity
  of the product development process

• Successful launches not only have clear financial
  benefits, but also support delivery of value to customers

• To minimize risk, there are three necessary steps:
   – Define strategic intent
   – Eli it market f db k
     Elicit    k t feedback
   – Assess market potential
STRATEGIC 
STRATEGIC
   INTENT
Questions to Answer

•   What needs does it satisfy?
•   How will it be created…and delivered?
•   Who do we expect will be willing buyers/users/recommenders?

•   What is our strategic intent in delivering this product/service?
     –   Maximize early revenues for early exit
     –   Maximize profits for investment into other new technologies
     –   Maximize market share to establish market familiarity
     –   Grow revenues gradually to focus on service delivery
     –   Improve internal efficiencies


•   What is this offer’s importance to the overall business strategy?
     –   Product defines the company
     –   Product is a significant new offering
     –   Offer enhancement (e.g., Total Cost of Ownership)
                              (e g
     –   Reduces internal costs
Market Information is Critical

• 80% of the new product successes g
                 p                 gathered and used
  more market information

• 75% of the failures knew less than average about the
  market at project inception and gathered/used less
  market information during the product development
  process.

      -Ottum and Moore, Journal of Product Innovation Management
                 Moore
UNDERSTAND
In‐depth Interviews
                      Good                        Better                       Best

                                           Telephone with online
How                 Telephone
                                               presentation
                                                                              On-site



              Conducted by company
                         y       y        Conducted by objective
                                                       y j             Objective third party
                                                                         j                 y
Interviewer      representative              third party alone         AND technical lead



                                                                        Multiple individuals
                                                                             p
              Individual with decision    Multiple individuals with
                                                                        including technical
Audience             influence            influence and authority
                                                                            champions



              Areas currently served     Areas currently served and
                                                                      Areas with the greatest
Scope         (i.e., people you know)      areas of interest to the       technical need
                                                 company


                                                                          Greater Insight
Discussion Areas

•   Technical needs in the area of interest

•   Needs they perceive the offer to satisfy

•   Perceived strengths and weakness of the offer
                   g

•   Role/importance of your offer in their workflow

•   Key buying factors for purchasing similar products/services

•   Competitors who are currently satisfying similar needs

•   Perceived strengths and weaknesses of competitors

•   Willingness to change to new methods (e.g., barriers)

•   Recommendations for launch (I.e., critical success factors)
New technology decisions require approval at 
      the business unit or corporate level
      the business unit or corporate level
Which of the following statements best describes how technology is brought into your company and used?


   All decisions about tools and processes are
            made at a corporate level.                 16%


       The company corporate level gives                             Management
    guidance about tools and p
    g                         processes but                          involvement
                                                           25%
  the final decision is made at a business unit                      and approval needed
                       level.

     The company gives guidance about tools
      and processes but the final decision is                 30%
             made at an asset level.

    The decision about tools and processes is
    made at the asset level without guidance            19%
                  from above.
                                                                      Decisions pushed down
   Each individual can use the tools they think
                                                     11%
    best to solve their day-to-day problems.
                          y      yp
                                                             Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating
                                                             Adoption of New Technology
Implications

•   In-depth interviews can provide meaningful qualitative input for
    product/service design

•   This insight also helps understand key buying factors
             g           p               y y g

•   However, it is necessary to assess the product’s appeal at various
    levels/areas of the organization for product launch (and success)

•   Therefore, a quantitative survey is needed to determine:
     –   Attractive
         Att ti market segments
                         k t          t
     –   Price sensitivity
     –   Utility of product attributes
     –   Competitive strengths (
         C        titi  t     th (e.g., b d)
                                        brand)
MARKET 
  MARKET
POTENTIAL
Trade‐Offs

•   Univariate techniques fail to recognize how users make decisions

•   Choice-based Conjoint Analysis is the “gold standard” of marketing
    research techniques for measuring:
                   q                 g
     – Price sensitivity
     – Elasticity of demand
     – Tradeoffs buyers make between features and cost


•   Trade-offs are important to avoid product launch mistakes such as:
     –   Over-engineering
     –   Under-pricing
     –   Targeting the wrong segments
     –   Failure to recognize competitors/alternatives
Simulating Purchase Decisions
If the solutions below were available today, which would you choose?
Click the option below.

                                  Option 1           Option 2            Option 3          None

              Price per image      $5,000             $70,000            $20,000

                                                 Resistivity; Elastic
                                Absolute and        Properties;
                                  Relative         Absolute and         Resistivity;
      Measurements provided     Permeability;        Relative            Elastic
                                  Capillary        Permeability;        Properties
                                                                                       None of These
                                 Pressure            Capillary
                                                                                         Options
                                                     Pressure

             Turnaround time      24 hours            1 Week             48 hours


                                                  Houston-based
Location of imaging equipment   In-country lab                          Rig site lab
                                                       lab

                                     O                   O                  O               O
Utilities
Decision   50%                                         Decision     27%
Weights:   45%                                         Weights:     25%




Decision   16%                                         Decision     8%
Weights:   17%                                         Weights:     13%




                    Values graphed represent relative ‘utilities’
                           g
Price Sensitivity Analysis
                                                                                          Segment 1

               100%
                                                        Config 1                            Config 2
               80%
                                                        Config 3                            Config 4
% Preference




               60%

               40%

               20%

                0%
                      $5 per ft   $12 per ft   $15 per ft                  $17 per ft      $20 per ft
                                                                                                                                                    Segment 2
                                                                            100%
                                                                                                                              Config 1          Config 2
                                                                             80%
                                                                                                                              Config 3          Config 4
                                                            % Preference




                                                                             60%


                                                                             40%

                                                                             20%


                                                                              0%
                                                                                        $5 per ft       $12 per ft   $15 per ft   $17 per ft   $20 per ft
ACTIONS
"The essence of
  The
strategy is choosing
   what not t do."
    h t t to d "



 Michael Porter
Actionable Research 

•   Use data resulting from market survey to guide
    your team in making decisions to prioritize
    market segments

•   Review th strategic objectives, i t
    R i     the t t i bj ti         integrate
                                           t
    guidance from the interviews, and examine
    trade-offs from the market survey

•   Simulations from your quantitative market
    survey can guide decisions regarding:
     –   Pricingg
     –   Distribution
     –   Priority in the product portfolio
     –   Product feature optimization
     –   Positioning and targeted marketing
     –   Acquisitions/alliances
John McKeever
President, Gelb Consulting Group

jmckeever@gelbconsulting.com
j k      @ lb      lti

281‐759‐3600
1011 Highway 6 South, Suite 120
       g    y       ,
Houston, TX 77077

www.gelbconsulting.com

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Three Steps to Minimize Market Risk in the Oilfield

  • 1. Understanding Customer Needs Three Steps to Minimize Market Risk Th S Mi i i M k Ri k
  • 2. Overview • Customer needs are the source of economic value • Product commercialization is the most expensive activity of the product development process • Successful launches not only have clear financial benefits, but also support delivery of value to customers • To minimize risk, there are three necessary steps: – Define strategic intent – Eli it market f db k Elicit k t feedback – Assess market potential
  • 4. Questions to Answer • What needs does it satisfy? • How will it be created…and delivered? • Who do we expect will be willing buyers/users/recommenders? • What is our strategic intent in delivering this product/service? – Maximize early revenues for early exit – Maximize profits for investment into other new technologies – Maximize market share to establish market familiarity – Grow revenues gradually to focus on service delivery – Improve internal efficiencies • What is this offer’s importance to the overall business strategy? – Product defines the company – Product is a significant new offering – Offer enhancement (e.g., Total Cost of Ownership) (e g – Reduces internal costs
  • 5. Market Information is Critical • 80% of the new product successes g p gathered and used more market information • 75% of the failures knew less than average about the market at project inception and gathered/used less market information during the product development process. -Ottum and Moore, Journal of Product Innovation Management Moore
  • 7. In‐depth Interviews Good Better Best Telephone with online How Telephone presentation On-site Conducted by company y y Conducted by objective y j Objective third party j y Interviewer representative third party alone AND technical lead Multiple individuals p Individual with decision Multiple individuals with including technical Audience influence influence and authority champions Areas currently served Areas currently served and Areas with the greatest Scope (i.e., people you know) areas of interest to the technical need company Greater Insight
  • 8. Discussion Areas • Technical needs in the area of interest • Needs they perceive the offer to satisfy • Perceived strengths and weakness of the offer g • Role/importance of your offer in their workflow • Key buying factors for purchasing similar products/services • Competitors who are currently satisfying similar needs • Perceived strengths and weaknesses of competitors • Willingness to change to new methods (e.g., barriers) • Recommendations for launch (I.e., critical success factors)
  • 9. New technology decisions require approval at  the business unit or corporate level the business unit or corporate level Which of the following statements best describes how technology is brought into your company and used? All decisions about tools and processes are made at a corporate level. 16% The company corporate level gives Management guidance about tools and p g processes but involvement 25% the final decision is made at a business unit and approval needed level. The company gives guidance about tools and processes but the final decision is 30% made at an asset level. The decision about tools and processes is made at the asset level without guidance 19% from above. Decisions pushed down Each individual can use the tools they think 11% best to solve their day-to-day problems. y yp Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology
  • 10. Implications • In-depth interviews can provide meaningful qualitative input for product/service design • This insight also helps understand key buying factors g p y y g • However, it is necessary to assess the product’s appeal at various levels/areas of the organization for product launch (and success) • Therefore, a quantitative survey is needed to determine: – Attractive Att ti market segments k t t – Price sensitivity – Utility of product attributes – Competitive strengths ( C titi t th (e.g., b d) brand)
  • 12. Trade‐Offs • Univariate techniques fail to recognize how users make decisions • Choice-based Conjoint Analysis is the “gold standard” of marketing research techniques for measuring: q g – Price sensitivity – Elasticity of demand – Tradeoffs buyers make between features and cost • Trade-offs are important to avoid product launch mistakes such as: – Over-engineering – Under-pricing – Targeting the wrong segments – Failure to recognize competitors/alternatives
  • 13. Simulating Purchase Decisions If the solutions below were available today, which would you choose? Click the option below. Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 None Price per image $5,000 $70,000 $20,000 Resistivity; Elastic Absolute and Properties; Relative Absolute and Resistivity; Measurements provided Permeability; Relative Elastic Capillary Permeability; Properties None of These Pressure Capillary Options Pressure Turnaround time 24 hours 1 Week 48 hours Houston-based Location of imaging equipment In-country lab Rig site lab lab O O O O
  • 14. Utilities Decision 50% Decision 27% Weights: 45% Weights: 25% Decision 16% Decision 8% Weights: 17% Weights: 13% Values graphed represent relative ‘utilities’ g
  • 15. Price Sensitivity Analysis Segment 1 100% Config 1 Config 2 80% Config 3 Config 4 % Preference 60% 40% 20% 0% $5 per ft $12 per ft $15 per ft $17 per ft $20 per ft Segment 2 100% Config 1 Config 2 80% Config 3 Config 4 % Preference 60% 40% 20% 0% $5 per ft $12 per ft $15 per ft $17 per ft $20 per ft
  • 17. "The essence of The strategy is choosing what not t do." h t t to d " Michael Porter
  • 18. Actionable Research  • Use data resulting from market survey to guide your team in making decisions to prioritize market segments • Review th strategic objectives, i t R i the t t i bj ti integrate t guidance from the interviews, and examine trade-offs from the market survey • Simulations from your quantitative market survey can guide decisions regarding: – Pricingg – Distribution – Priority in the product portfolio – Product feature optimization – Positioning and targeted marketing – Acquisitions/alliances
  • 19. John McKeever President, Gelb Consulting Group jmckeever@gelbconsulting.com j k @ lb lti 281‐759‐3600 1011 Highway 6 South, Suite 120 g y , Houston, TX 77077 www.gelbconsulting.com