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News Without Paper?
New Opportunities
for Print Brands in Digital Media




                    WAN-IFRA America Latina
                    JACK GRIFFIN
                    SANTIAGO DE CHILE
                    APRIL 25 - 26, 2012
My Journey




             2
Our Agenda Today


1.    North American Newspapers: A Cautionary Tale
2.    Digital Transformation
3.    Newspaper Industry Reinvention: Ten Ways Ahead
4.    Five Questions for Innovators




                                                       3
Circulation Declines in U.S. and Europe




Source: NAA                                             4
U.S. Newspaper Ad Revenues Down by Half

                      U.S. NEWSPAPER ADVERTISING REVENUE
                                   (US$ MILLIONS)

                                 2005 - 2011




Source: NAA                                                5
A Shrinking Industry




                       6
Cost Cutting – Catching a Falling Knife




U.S. newsrooms are more than 25% smaller than they were in 2007.
                                                                   7
Equity Value Destruction




                           $3.5 Billion

                           $200 Million

                                          8
“   A new medium is never
    an addition to an old
    one, nor does it leave
    the old one in peace. It
    never ceases to
    oppress the older
    media until it finds
    new shapes and
    positions
    for them.
    – Marshall McLuhan,


                       ”
      Understanding Media, 1964



                                  9
Digital Transformation


    1961                 2011




                                10
A Connected, Mobile World



                           7 Billion People
                            as of November 2011
                               (and growing!)


                            77% Connected
                                by mobile devices



5.3 Billion at the end of 2010; U.N. Telecommunications Agency, http://www.itu.int   11
U.S. Smart Mobile Devices Will Top 200 Million in Use in 2013
                                                          MORE THAN 250% INCREASE 2010-2015
                               300.0

                                                                                                                          253.7
                               250.0
                                                                                                                 228.1
                                                                                                   201.4
                               200.0
           Millions of Units




                                                                                    167.4                                 148.6
                                                                                                                 133.0
                               150.0
                                                          123.8                                    119.9
                                                                                                                                    SmartPhone
                                                                                   106.7
                               100.0                                                                                                Tablet
                                       71.0
                                                           90.1
                                50.0                                                                             95.1     105.1
                                       60.2                                                        81.5
                                                                                    60.7
                                                           33.7
                                 0.0   10.8
                                       2010                 2011                    2012 e         2013 e        2014 e    2015 e

                                                                             U.S. Ownership of Devices by Year



Source: Forrester Research 2-12 for Tablets; eMarketer 12-11 for SmartPhones e = estimate                                                        12
Newspaper Industry Disrupters




                                13
Four Centers of Digital Gravity



                               Facebook   Google




                               Amazon     Apple




Source: CoRise, October 2011                       14
68% of All Online Advertising in 2011




                                        15
Search — “You Find It”




                         16
Social — “It Finds You”
                # REGISTERED USERS




   2 BILLION                         150 MILLION




  500 MILLION                        10 MILLION



                                                   17
•  133 million Americans are active users; 750 million worldwide
•  Latin America is the fastest-growing region
•  U.S. users average 26 minutes/session vs. 3.5 minutes for
   newspaper sites
•  $4 billion in 2011 ad revenue
•  By 2015, will account for 20% of all digital display ads (Source: PewCenter)
•  Moving aggressively into local – zip codes – and mobile



                                                                                  18
Social=Search as Source of Traffic




Source: Hitwise                                        19
News Without Paper




•  First for-profit online news organization to win a
   Pulitzer Prize for reporting
•  #2 news site on the web (Source: Comscore)
•  Aggressive use of facebook connect: 7 of the top 20
   political stories shared on facebook in 2011 came from
   the Huffington Post (Source: facebook)



                                                            20
News Without Paper




•  Non-profit devoted to reporting and publishing
   investigative journalism “with moral force”
•  Winner of two Pulitzer Prizes in two years,
   including first for an online news organization
•  90+ media partners who publish particular stories
   exclusively
•  Twitter=118,000; facebook=30,000

                                                       21
Social Changes News




                      22
Social Changes the World




                           23
24
1.  Paid Digital Content
2.  Mastering Mobile
3.  User-generated Content
4.  Social Media & Aggregation
5.  Targeted Digital Advertising
6.  E-commerce
7.  Marketing Services
8.  Online & Mobile Video
9.  Deals & Digital Coupons
10. Events


                                   25
                                        25
1. Paid Digital Content




                          26
2. Mastering Mobile




                      27
3. User-generated Content




                            28
4. Social Media & Aggregation




                                29
5. Targeted Digital Advertising




                                  30
6. E-commerce




                31
7. Marketing Services




                        32
8. Online & Mobile Video




                           33
9. Deals & Digital Coupons




                             34
10. Events




             35
Empirical Questions

1.  Culture: Have I established a culture of innovation?
2.  Capital: Am I investing enough in the digital future
    of my company?
3.  Capabilities: Do I have the right people in the right jobs?
4.  Costs: Is my cost structure sustainable?
5.  Competition: Who is my REAL competition?



                  EmpiricalMedia.com

                                                                  36
WAN-IFRA America Latina




         THANK YOU




Text FOLLOW JackGriffinEMA to 40404
                                      37

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News Without Paper? New Opportunities for Print Brands in Digital Media

  • 1. News Without Paper? New Opportunities for Print Brands in Digital Media WAN-IFRA America Latina JACK GRIFFIN SANTIAGO DE CHILE APRIL 25 - 26, 2012
  • 3. Our Agenda Today 1.  North American Newspapers: A Cautionary Tale 2.  Digital Transformation 3.  Newspaper Industry Reinvention: Ten Ways Ahead 4.  Five Questions for Innovators 3
  • 4. Circulation Declines in U.S. and Europe Source: NAA 4
  • 5. U.S. Newspaper Ad Revenues Down by Half U.S. NEWSPAPER ADVERTISING REVENUE (US$ MILLIONS) 2005 - 2011 Source: NAA 5
  • 7. Cost Cutting – Catching a Falling Knife U.S. newsrooms are more than 25% smaller than they were in 2007. 7
  • 8. Equity Value Destruction $3.5 Billion $200 Million 8
  • 9. A new medium is never an addition to an old one, nor does it leave the old one in peace. It never ceases to oppress the older media until it finds new shapes and positions for them. – Marshall McLuhan, ” Understanding Media, 1964 9
  • 10. Digital Transformation 1961 2011 10
  • 11. A Connected, Mobile World 7 Billion People as of November 2011 (and growing!) 77% Connected by mobile devices 5.3 Billion at the end of 2010; U.N. Telecommunications Agency, http://www.itu.int 11
  • 12. U.S. Smart Mobile Devices Will Top 200 Million in Use in 2013 MORE THAN 250% INCREASE 2010-2015 300.0 253.7 250.0 228.1 201.4 200.0 Millions of Units 167.4 148.6 133.0 150.0 123.8 119.9 SmartPhone 106.7 100.0 Tablet 71.0 90.1 50.0 95.1 105.1 60.2 81.5 60.7 33.7 0.0 10.8 2010 2011 2012 e 2013 e 2014 e 2015 e U.S. Ownership of Devices by Year Source: Forrester Research 2-12 for Tablets; eMarketer 12-11 for SmartPhones e = estimate 12
  • 14. Four Centers of Digital Gravity Facebook Google Amazon Apple Source: CoRise, October 2011 14
  • 15. 68% of All Online Advertising in 2011 15
  • 16. Search — “You Find It” 16
  • 17. Social — “It Finds You” # REGISTERED USERS 2 BILLION 150 MILLION 500 MILLION 10 MILLION 17
  • 18. •  133 million Americans are active users; 750 million worldwide •  Latin America is the fastest-growing region •  U.S. users average 26 minutes/session vs. 3.5 minutes for newspaper sites •  $4 billion in 2011 ad revenue •  By 2015, will account for 20% of all digital display ads (Source: PewCenter) •  Moving aggressively into local – zip codes – and mobile 18
  • 19. Social=Search as Source of Traffic Source: Hitwise 19
  • 20. News Without Paper •  First for-profit online news organization to win a Pulitzer Prize for reporting •  #2 news site on the web (Source: Comscore) •  Aggressive use of facebook connect: 7 of the top 20 political stories shared on facebook in 2011 came from the Huffington Post (Source: facebook) 20
  • 21. News Without Paper •  Non-profit devoted to reporting and publishing investigative journalism “with moral force” •  Winner of two Pulitzer Prizes in two years, including first for an online news organization •  90+ media partners who publish particular stories exclusively •  Twitter=118,000; facebook=30,000 21
  • 23. Social Changes the World 23
  • 24. 24
  • 25. 1.  Paid Digital Content 2.  Mastering Mobile 3.  User-generated Content 4.  Social Media & Aggregation 5.  Targeted Digital Advertising 6.  E-commerce 7.  Marketing Services 8.  Online & Mobile Video 9.  Deals & Digital Coupons 10. Events 25 25
  • 26. 1. Paid Digital Content 26
  • 29. 4. Social Media & Aggregation 29
  • 30. 5. Targeted Digital Advertising 30
  • 33. 8. Online & Mobile Video 33
  • 34. 9. Deals & Digital Coupons 34
  • 36. Empirical Questions 1.  Culture: Have I established a culture of innovation? 2.  Capital: Am I investing enough in the digital future of my company? 3.  Capabilities: Do I have the right people in the right jobs? 4.  Costs: Is my cost structure sustainable? 5.  Competition: Who is my REAL competition? EmpiricalMedia.com 36
  • 37. WAN-IFRA America Latina THANK YOU Text FOLLOW JackGriffinEMA to 40404 37