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India’s Internet Broadband Industry
Analysis




                                      1
Agenda

1. Industry Understanding

2. Key Players




                            2
1. Industry Understanding




                            3
• The Indian internet wireless broadband industry - one industry
  that is definitely worth a watch. More like a James Bond pot-boiler (or
  Agent Vinod, in the Indian parlance?), this industry seems to have all the
  twists and turns to make the audience be at the edge of their seats. A’la
  the Home Alone series, this was the one child of the Telecom family that
  was terribly forgotten in the great Indian Telecom growth story. While the
  entire world watched the India Telecom industry bursting to its seams in
  terms of the lowest call costs in the world markets, exponential increase in
  customer base etc., images of farmers and sadhus boasting their cell-
  phones doing the rounds, the internet broadband market was the one
  playing a sideshow besides this entire extravaganza.
• “Modest” might be a modestly correct word that might be used to describe
  the growth of the internet broadband industry in India.



                                                                      February, 2011
                                                                                   4
Internet usage trends vis-à-vis wireless users




 Internet subscriber base (in million)   Wireless subscriber base (in million)

                                          Despite the fact that India adds 8-10 million
                                           cellular connections each month, the rate of
                                           growth for the internet services in India has
                                           been modest
                                          While the internet subscribers base has been
                                           growing at 25% from 2004 to 2007, the actual
                                           consumption of bandwidth has been a poor 87
                                           Gbps
                                          Sluggish broadband growth for both retail and
                                           small enterprises




                                                                        February, 2011
                                                                                     5
Broadband subscriber base (in million)      Source: TRAI
• The alarming thing to note is the sluggish growth of the internet
  consumption for the enterprise and retail segment. Applications of
  broadband in the fields of telemedicine, healthcare, video-on-demand are
  unheard of in India and even the localised online content ( a sound
  judging parameter) is negligible. All this might be the results of a legacy of
  permit policy and apathy of successive governments in the access of
  international bandwidth at the submarine landing points




                                                                        February, 2011
                                                                                     6
Key insights on the sluggish growth of
     Indian internet services market
     The pricing structure of broadband in India is arguably one of the highest in the world, making it an
      elite or luxury item, denying the common man the right to information
     The cost of bandwidth in India is high primarily due to the near monopolistic policies over the past
      decade exhibited at landing points of submarine links
     The usage based pricing model deters the retail users from using the latest internet multimedia
      services like VOIP , video sharing, streaming etc.
     Poor quality of service (QoS) leading to a weak demand for internet related services accounts for
      one of the main reasons of the sluggish growth of broadband in India



  Country     Price/MBPS       Country     Price/MBPS
              (USD)                        (USD)
  South       034              China       23.18
  Korea
  Sweden      0.65             Thailand    30.36
  Germany     5.33             Sri Lanka   40.90
  United      11.31            Slovakia    51.48
  Kingdom
  Poland      13.33            India*      88.61                                                February, 2011
                                                                                                             7
Source: White Paper “On the state and guiding principles of broadband in India, Ashwin Gumaste
• The internet broadband story started with the launch of the internet
  services by the Indian government in August of 1995. One Mr. Singh and
  Mr. Rao opened the gates to private operators via a liberal licensing
  regime in the November of 1998. The internet service in India was
  formally anointed with the launch of the Broadband Policy in 2004 which
  described Broadband as “an “always on” data connection that is able to
  support interactive service including Internet access and has the
  capability of the minimum download speed of 256 Kbps to an individual
  subscriber from the Point of Presence (POP) of the service provider”. As
  on March 2010 there were 16.18 million internet subscribers. Besides the
  numbers mentioned before, there are 117.87 million wireless data
  subscribers who are accessing the internet through wireless (CDMA and
  GSM) networks (TRAI)
• Though this child had long been forgotten with disastrous results, not for
  long, the focus seems to be back on this area. The big boys of the industry
  viz. the CII, Dept. Of IT and Dept. of telecom & IT have now formulated a
  utopian vision for the broadband industry as summarized below.


                                                                                8
Indian Internet Broadband Industry: An overview
As per the Broadband Policy 2004,Broadband is defined as an “always on” data connection that is able
to support interactive service including Internet access and has the capability of the minimum
download speed of 256 Kbps to an individual subscriber from the Point of Presence (POP) of the
service provider


                                                                                 Opening of access
                      Market opened for                                          network to wireless
 Launch of            private operators                                          access technologies
 internet services                                  Broadband policy
                      via a liberal                                              (3G, Wimax)
 ( August 1995)                                     launched (2004)
                      licensing regime
                      (November 1998)                                            BWA auction
                                                                                 (January, 2010)


   There were 16.18 million Internet subscribers on 31st March 2010 as compared to 13.54 million on 31st
    March 2009*
   Besides the internet subscribers mentioned above, there are 117.87 million wireless data subscribers who
    are accessing internet through wireless (GSM and CDMA) networks *
   The number of Broadband connections on 31st March 2010 was 8.77 million compared to 6.22 million as on
    31st March 2009 *
   The focus is on sustenance of fixed networks & TRAI has proposed support to the tune of Rs. 2000 crores
    every year for three years. Broadband connections on copper has increased from 5.36 mn. in March 2009 to
    7.6 mn. in March 2010 (41.7% of overall increase) *

                                                                                               February, 2011
                                                                                                            9
India’s Broadband vision
  “ Drive ubiquitous broadband for every Indian, accelerating India’s economic development and
  improvement in quality of life ; in the process of making India one of the top five broadband countries
  in the World by 2010” – CII and DOIT & DOTMCIT,GOI

                                                 Targets


  10million subscribers by 2010 and 35 million subscribers by 2020 in urban India across homes,
 enterprises and public kiosks
  Broadband coverage for at least 50% of the rural population by 2010 and 100% by 2020 through rural
 broadband kiosks
  Appropriate and locally relevant e-education, e-health, e-governance, entertainment and e-commerce
 to be made available via broadband connectivity to all cities, towns and villages in India

          Projected Investments                                     Demand Targets for Urban Market




                                                                                              February, 2011
                                                                                                          10
Source: CII and DOIT & DOTMCIT,GOI
Broadband technology options for urban market
 Parameters                                                       Technology Options
                  xDSL on Copper          HFC-Cable               Fiber- Ethernet         Wireless                  Satellite
 Bandwidth        Downstream- From        In principle same       Practically no limits   Wide range possible       High bandwidth
 possible –       1.5 Mbps to 12 Mbps     as DSL                  – Japan and Korea       based on technology       possible for
 Downstream/U     Upstream - From 256     QoS in cable            plan up to 40 Mbps      option                    downstream. Very
 pstream          Kbps (on ADSL) to       architecture may        to home on fiber        Wi-Fi used for            limited use of two
                  12Mbps (on SHDSL)       be an issue. During     systems                 typically 200+ kbps       way transmission in
                                          upstream                                        connectivity . With       satellite systems
                                          symmetric high                                  WiMAX/MMDS, up to
                                          bandwidth could be                              10 Mbps connectivity
                                          costly                                          is possible
 Leverage on      Leverages existing      Leverage existing       Fresh access            While it is possible      Reusable satellite
 existing         twisted pair reducing   Digital TV class        networks will be        that wireless solutions   systems and
 infrastructure   incremental costs       HFC systems             required in most        can draw on the           communication
                                          reducing                places . However        existing hard             spectrum for
                                          incremental costs       over time , when        infrastructure used in    satellites. New CPE
                                                                  prices decline, fiber   mobile phone, the         would be required
                                                                  might be used to        technology
                                                                  replace the existing    infrastructure
                                                                  copper cables           spectrum
                                                                                          requirements and
                                                                                          even OSS/BSS would
                                                                                          totally be new
 Maturity of      Fairly stable – over    355 of the global       Prima facie mature      Some technologies are     2 way satellite is
 solution         60% of the global       broadband               and established .       mature but no             not yet mature
                  broadband services      subscriber based on     However compared        standards exist
                  are on DSL              cable – fairly stable   to DSL /Cable , has a   (LMDS/MMDS)
                                          and mature              low installed base      Standards evolving (
                                          solution                                        Wi-Fi, WiMAX) likely to
                                                                                          mature in future              February, 2011
                                                                                                                                    11
Source: CII and DOIT & DOTMCIT,GOI
Broadband technology options (contd.)
 Parameters                                                         Technology Options
                     xDSL on Copper          HFC-Cable               Fiber- Ethernet       Wireless                  Satellite
 Long term           No long term            Might be replaced by    Fully optical         Depends primarily on      Less likely as high
 prospects           prospects due to        FTTH as fiber costs     systems will remain   spectrum availability     costs involved
                     imminent fiber          go down over time       the “key” wired       & costs but will have
                     replacement                                     networks              place for mobile usage
 Global              Exists                  Exists                  Exists                Standards evolving        Not clear
 Standards
 Equipment           Relatively low          Cable costs are the     Fiber costs are       Right now costlier        Costs high
 Costs                                       lowest in absolute      coming down           than DSL/Cable/Fiber
                                             terms
 Capability of       Major players will be   Fragmented industry,    Only strong players   Mostly strong players –   Solution providers
 players likely to   strong                  not savvy on            as commitments        wireless voice            the likely players
 take up this                                technology or           required serious      telephony players,
 technology                                  professional                                  ISP’s



 Key Insights from the analysis
  Wireless broadband connectivity services are likely to be used in rural networks where density of
 usage is much lower or for hotspots kind of niche locations
  Unlikely that true broadband connectivity to home on wireless would be rolled out on a city-wide
 basis in a major way in the next 2-3 years


                                                                                                                         February, 2011
                                                                                                                                     12
Source: CII and DOIT & DOTMCIT,GOI
• Now we know that there is actually a vision. If so then what is going on
  the ground for achieving this grand vision. As true to our nature as pot is
  to soot, there surely lots happening; in terms of spectrum scams (2G) and
  hence a huge ensuing hullabaloo that has somehow helped the attention
  right back to where it should ideally have been from the beginning.
• Finally the long awaited opening of access network to wireless access
  technologies happened via the Broadband wireless auction (BWA)
  conducted in the month of January 2010 and hence a new era of high
  speed data accessibility was introduced to the Indians. Auction happened
  for the 22 circles and went to different players while Reliance Infotel
  emerged as the singled Pan India licensee to this access.
• This auction holds huge potential in terms of possible future growth and is
  all set to spawn an entire ecosystem of services associated with a typical
  high broadband connection. More so, due to pathetic state of internet
  broadband penetration (fibre/wireline networks) in India, adding to ease
  of reaching an end user without a wire.



                                                                     February, 2011
                                                                                 13
Growth prospects of the wireless broadband market
                             Growth drivers: Consumer
                                 base & enterprise
                                    penetration
          Consumer centric                         Potential to grow at
        wireless devices will                     CAGR 74% & comprise
         lead to increase in                     of 86% BB user base by
        market penetration                                2015
                               Share of non-voice
                           revenues to reach 30% of
                          operator revenues by 2015




                                                                          February, 2011
                                                                                      14
                Source: Analysys Mason, TRAI
Growth in the service delivery ecosystem
     (wireless broadband)
               • Telecom operators and ISPs have made total investment of ~ INR 1,000 bn (USD 23 bn) for 3G and BWA
  Service        spectrum, and are entering into ecosystem partnerships for delivery of data-intensive services
 Providers



               • Device vendors are launching mass market access devices such as INR 7,000 (USD 150) smart-phones and INR
  Device         14,000 (USD 300) net books, and partnering with operators to bundle video capable handsets
  OEMs



               • Technology vendors, both Indian and global, are developing platforms such as SDPs for integrated and seamless
 Delivery &      multi-screen experience, ODPs for easy discovery and activation, and enabling platforms (such as advertising,
 Enabling        elevance, content management and commerce) for enhanced experience and ease of use
 Platform
 Providers


               • Data-focused as well as mass market product and application platforms offering services such as mobile /
  Product        broadband TV, online gaming and rural VAS are being developed by various local vendors
/Application
 Providers



               • Content providers are aggregating and developing both popular entertainment content such as music / videos,
  Content        and mass market content such as utility applications and educational content, customized for the small screen
Aggregators
/Developers



                                                                                                                 February, 2011
                                                                                                                             15
 Source: Analysys Mason, TRAI
Scope of WiMAX in India



                                                                Low
                                                                penetration in
                                              India can be      emerging
                                              world’s lowest    markets like
                                              end to end cost   India provide
                                              for WiMAX         tremendous
                            India predicted                     growth
                            to have 27 mn.    service market
                                                                opportunities
                            users by 2012 (                     for WiMAX
                            20% of world
     India slated to        WiMAX market)
     become largest
     WiMAX market in
     Asia Pacific by 2013
     (projected annual
     growth of 130%)




                                                                                 February, 2011
                                                                                             16
The future of wireless broadband: Wimax or LTE?

      • Reliance Infotel , the      • Samsung demonstrates
      sole pan India license        Wimax 2 as counter to
      holder for 2.3GHz             LTE
      spectrum opts for LTE         • Wimax is a stable
      • Aircel goes for LTE with    technology with cheap
      Nokia-Siemens                 equipment , adoption by
      • Qualcomm supports           players while LTE is a
      LTE by supporting 3G          new technology and will
      India Forum                   take a few years to
      • LTE is touted as the so     stabilize
      called future of wireless
      broadband offering more
      bandwidth in same
      spectrum




                                                       February, 2011
                                                                   17
Source: WiMAX Forum
2. Key Players




                 18
BWA Auction, 2010
   Telecom Circle      Successful Operator       Winning Price ( Rs. crore)
        Delhi         Infotel and Qualcomm               2,241.02
       Mumbai         Infotel and Qualcomm               2,292.95
  Maharashtra- Goa   Bharti Airtel and Infotel            915.64
       Gujarat          Infotel and Tikona                613.85
   Andhra Pradesh        Aircel and Infotel              1,059.12
      Karnataka      Infotel and Bharti Airtel           1,543.25
     Tamil Nadu          Infotel and Aircel              2,069.45
       Kolkata       Infotel and Bharti Airtel            523.20
        Kerala        Infotel and Qualcomm                258.67
       Punjab         Bhari Airtel and Infotel            332.27
       Haryana        Infotel and Qualcomm                119.90
       UP East          Tikona and Infotel                142.50
       UP West          Tikona and Infotel                183.87
      Rajasthan         Tikona and Infotel                97.32
       Madhya           Augere and Infotel                124.66
       Pradesh
    West Bengal        Infotel and Aircel                  70.97
  Himachal Pradesh     Tikona and Infotel                  20.66
        Bihar          Infotel and Aircel                  99.28
        Orissa         Aircel and Infotel                  63.63
        Assam          Aircel and Infotel                  33.02
     North East        Infotel and Aircel                  21.27
 Jammu and Kashmir     Aircel and Infotel                  21.27
                                                                    February, 2011
                                                                                19
Internet Subscriber Base & Market
    Share of ISP’s
                      ISP               Service Area   Subscriber base   Share (%)

         Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd.        All India       10172299        56.84
       Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd.     Delhi &         2362245         13.20
                                          Mumbai
          Reliance Communications         All India       1829707         10.22
              Infrastructure Ltd.
               Bharti Airtel Ltd.         All India       1381921          7.72
         Hathway Cable & Datacom          All India        333717          1.87
                Pvt. Ltd.
           You Broadband & Cable          All India        251702          1.41
            India Private Limited
            Tata Communications           All India        231610          1.29
          Internet Services Limited
         Tikona Digital Networks Pvt      All India        174950          0.98
                     Ltd
           Sify Technologies Ltd.*        All India        162808          0.91
               Data Infosys Ltd.          All India        104586          0.59
                                                                              February, 2011
                                                                                          20
Source: TRAI
Growth achieved by the top 10 ISP’s in
the last Quarter




                                  February, 2011
                                              21
Consumer feedback on existing BB
providers in Madhya Pradesh (TRAI)
 Most of the broadband users are not happy with the maintainability of the broadband service being
  provided to them and a significant number of the customers stated their dissatisfaction with the
  broadband connection and modem provided by the service provider
 Service providers should improve their processes for resolution of billing complaints
 Network performance will play a critical role in acquiring broadband market share in the future with
  high uptimes and higher speeds to customers




                                                                                         February, 2011
                                                                                                     22
Possible growth areas
                                         Assessing
                                          LTE for
                                       future growth
                                        perspective



                                         Value Added
                                          Service s



                               Tie-ups with      Tie-ups for
Mobile
                               financial orgs.   online         Online      Enterprise      Tech-enabled
handsets for    Utilities in
                               for online        healthcare     education   mobility        government
increasing BB   vernacular
                               transaction       services to    facility    applications    services
penetration
                               utilities         remote areas



                                            Last Mile                Content
                                         Infrastructure
                                          development




                                         Improvement
                                            in QoS
                                                                                           February, 2011
                                                                                                       23

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Industry analysis wireless broadband

  • 1. India’s Internet Broadband Industry Analysis 1
  • 4. • The Indian internet wireless broadband industry - one industry that is definitely worth a watch. More like a James Bond pot-boiler (or Agent Vinod, in the Indian parlance?), this industry seems to have all the twists and turns to make the audience be at the edge of their seats. A’la the Home Alone series, this was the one child of the Telecom family that was terribly forgotten in the great Indian Telecom growth story. While the entire world watched the India Telecom industry bursting to its seams in terms of the lowest call costs in the world markets, exponential increase in customer base etc., images of farmers and sadhus boasting their cell- phones doing the rounds, the internet broadband market was the one playing a sideshow besides this entire extravaganza. • “Modest” might be a modestly correct word that might be used to describe the growth of the internet broadband industry in India. February, 2011 4
  • 5. Internet usage trends vis-à-vis wireless users Internet subscriber base (in million) Wireless subscriber base (in million)  Despite the fact that India adds 8-10 million cellular connections each month, the rate of growth for the internet services in India has been modest  While the internet subscribers base has been growing at 25% from 2004 to 2007, the actual consumption of bandwidth has been a poor 87 Gbps  Sluggish broadband growth for both retail and small enterprises February, 2011 5 Broadband subscriber base (in million) Source: TRAI
  • 6. • The alarming thing to note is the sluggish growth of the internet consumption for the enterprise and retail segment. Applications of broadband in the fields of telemedicine, healthcare, video-on-demand are unheard of in India and even the localised online content ( a sound judging parameter) is negligible. All this might be the results of a legacy of permit policy and apathy of successive governments in the access of international bandwidth at the submarine landing points February, 2011 6
  • 7. Key insights on the sluggish growth of Indian internet services market  The pricing structure of broadband in India is arguably one of the highest in the world, making it an elite or luxury item, denying the common man the right to information  The cost of bandwidth in India is high primarily due to the near monopolistic policies over the past decade exhibited at landing points of submarine links  The usage based pricing model deters the retail users from using the latest internet multimedia services like VOIP , video sharing, streaming etc.  Poor quality of service (QoS) leading to a weak demand for internet related services accounts for one of the main reasons of the sluggish growth of broadband in India Country Price/MBPS Country Price/MBPS (USD) (USD) South 034 China 23.18 Korea Sweden 0.65 Thailand 30.36 Germany 5.33 Sri Lanka 40.90 United 11.31 Slovakia 51.48 Kingdom Poland 13.33 India* 88.61 February, 2011 7 Source: White Paper “On the state and guiding principles of broadband in India, Ashwin Gumaste
  • 8. • The internet broadband story started with the launch of the internet services by the Indian government in August of 1995. One Mr. Singh and Mr. Rao opened the gates to private operators via a liberal licensing regime in the November of 1998. The internet service in India was formally anointed with the launch of the Broadband Policy in 2004 which described Broadband as “an “always on” data connection that is able to support interactive service including Internet access and has the capability of the minimum download speed of 256 Kbps to an individual subscriber from the Point of Presence (POP) of the service provider”. As on March 2010 there were 16.18 million internet subscribers. Besides the numbers mentioned before, there are 117.87 million wireless data subscribers who are accessing the internet through wireless (CDMA and GSM) networks (TRAI) • Though this child had long been forgotten with disastrous results, not for long, the focus seems to be back on this area. The big boys of the industry viz. the CII, Dept. Of IT and Dept. of telecom & IT have now formulated a utopian vision for the broadband industry as summarized below. 8
  • 9. Indian Internet Broadband Industry: An overview As per the Broadband Policy 2004,Broadband is defined as an “always on” data connection that is able to support interactive service including Internet access and has the capability of the minimum download speed of 256 Kbps to an individual subscriber from the Point of Presence (POP) of the service provider Opening of access Market opened for network to wireless Launch of private operators access technologies internet services Broadband policy via a liberal (3G, Wimax) ( August 1995) launched (2004) licensing regime (November 1998) BWA auction (January, 2010)  There were 16.18 million Internet subscribers on 31st March 2010 as compared to 13.54 million on 31st March 2009*  Besides the internet subscribers mentioned above, there are 117.87 million wireless data subscribers who are accessing internet through wireless (GSM and CDMA) networks *  The number of Broadband connections on 31st March 2010 was 8.77 million compared to 6.22 million as on 31st March 2009 *  The focus is on sustenance of fixed networks & TRAI has proposed support to the tune of Rs. 2000 crores every year for three years. Broadband connections on copper has increased from 5.36 mn. in March 2009 to 7.6 mn. in March 2010 (41.7% of overall increase) * February, 2011 9
  • 10. India’s Broadband vision “ Drive ubiquitous broadband for every Indian, accelerating India’s economic development and improvement in quality of life ; in the process of making India one of the top five broadband countries in the World by 2010” – CII and DOIT & DOTMCIT,GOI Targets  10million subscribers by 2010 and 35 million subscribers by 2020 in urban India across homes, enterprises and public kiosks  Broadband coverage for at least 50% of the rural population by 2010 and 100% by 2020 through rural broadband kiosks  Appropriate and locally relevant e-education, e-health, e-governance, entertainment and e-commerce to be made available via broadband connectivity to all cities, towns and villages in India Projected Investments Demand Targets for Urban Market February, 2011 10 Source: CII and DOIT & DOTMCIT,GOI
  • 11. Broadband technology options for urban market Parameters Technology Options xDSL on Copper HFC-Cable Fiber- Ethernet Wireless Satellite Bandwidth Downstream- From In principle same Practically no limits Wide range possible High bandwidth possible – 1.5 Mbps to 12 Mbps as DSL – Japan and Korea based on technology possible for Downstream/U Upstream - From 256 QoS in cable plan up to 40 Mbps option downstream. Very pstream Kbps (on ADSL) to architecture may to home on fiber Wi-Fi used for limited use of two 12Mbps (on SHDSL) be an issue. During systems typically 200+ kbps way transmission in upstream connectivity . With satellite systems symmetric high WiMAX/MMDS, up to bandwidth could be 10 Mbps connectivity costly is possible Leverage on Leverages existing Leverage existing Fresh access While it is possible Reusable satellite existing twisted pair reducing Digital TV class networks will be that wireless solutions systems and infrastructure incremental costs HFC systems required in most can draw on the communication reducing places . However existing hard spectrum for incremental costs over time , when infrastructure used in satellites. New CPE prices decline, fiber mobile phone, the would be required might be used to technology replace the existing infrastructure copper cables spectrum requirements and even OSS/BSS would totally be new Maturity of Fairly stable – over 355 of the global Prima facie mature Some technologies are 2 way satellite is solution 60% of the global broadband and established . mature but no not yet mature broadband services subscriber based on However compared standards exist are on DSL cable – fairly stable to DSL /Cable , has a (LMDS/MMDS) and mature low installed base Standards evolving ( solution Wi-Fi, WiMAX) likely to mature in future February, 2011 11 Source: CII and DOIT & DOTMCIT,GOI
  • 12. Broadband technology options (contd.) Parameters Technology Options xDSL on Copper HFC-Cable Fiber- Ethernet Wireless Satellite Long term No long term Might be replaced by Fully optical Depends primarily on Less likely as high prospects prospects due to FTTH as fiber costs systems will remain spectrum availability costs involved imminent fiber go down over time the “key” wired & costs but will have replacement networks place for mobile usage Global Exists Exists Exists Standards evolving Not clear Standards Equipment Relatively low Cable costs are the Fiber costs are Right now costlier Costs high Costs lowest in absolute coming down than DSL/Cable/Fiber terms Capability of Major players will be Fragmented industry, Only strong players Mostly strong players – Solution providers players likely to strong not savvy on as commitments wireless voice the likely players take up this technology or required serious telephony players, technology professional ISP’s Key Insights from the analysis  Wireless broadband connectivity services are likely to be used in rural networks where density of usage is much lower or for hotspots kind of niche locations  Unlikely that true broadband connectivity to home on wireless would be rolled out on a city-wide basis in a major way in the next 2-3 years February, 2011 12 Source: CII and DOIT & DOTMCIT,GOI
  • 13. • Now we know that there is actually a vision. If so then what is going on the ground for achieving this grand vision. As true to our nature as pot is to soot, there surely lots happening; in terms of spectrum scams (2G) and hence a huge ensuing hullabaloo that has somehow helped the attention right back to where it should ideally have been from the beginning. • Finally the long awaited opening of access network to wireless access technologies happened via the Broadband wireless auction (BWA) conducted in the month of January 2010 and hence a new era of high speed data accessibility was introduced to the Indians. Auction happened for the 22 circles and went to different players while Reliance Infotel emerged as the singled Pan India licensee to this access. • This auction holds huge potential in terms of possible future growth and is all set to spawn an entire ecosystem of services associated with a typical high broadband connection. More so, due to pathetic state of internet broadband penetration (fibre/wireline networks) in India, adding to ease of reaching an end user without a wire. February, 2011 13
  • 14. Growth prospects of the wireless broadband market Growth drivers: Consumer base & enterprise penetration Consumer centric Potential to grow at wireless devices will CAGR 74% & comprise lead to increase in of 86% BB user base by market penetration 2015 Share of non-voice revenues to reach 30% of operator revenues by 2015 February, 2011 14 Source: Analysys Mason, TRAI
  • 15. Growth in the service delivery ecosystem (wireless broadband) • Telecom operators and ISPs have made total investment of ~ INR 1,000 bn (USD 23 bn) for 3G and BWA Service spectrum, and are entering into ecosystem partnerships for delivery of data-intensive services Providers • Device vendors are launching mass market access devices such as INR 7,000 (USD 150) smart-phones and INR Device 14,000 (USD 300) net books, and partnering with operators to bundle video capable handsets OEMs • Technology vendors, both Indian and global, are developing platforms such as SDPs for integrated and seamless Delivery & multi-screen experience, ODPs for easy discovery and activation, and enabling platforms (such as advertising, Enabling elevance, content management and commerce) for enhanced experience and ease of use Platform Providers • Data-focused as well as mass market product and application platforms offering services such as mobile / Product broadband TV, online gaming and rural VAS are being developed by various local vendors /Application Providers • Content providers are aggregating and developing both popular entertainment content such as music / videos, Content and mass market content such as utility applications and educational content, customized for the small screen Aggregators /Developers February, 2011 15 Source: Analysys Mason, TRAI
  • 16. Scope of WiMAX in India Low penetration in India can be emerging world’s lowest markets like end to end cost India provide for WiMAX tremendous India predicted growth to have 27 mn. service market opportunities users by 2012 ( for WiMAX 20% of world India slated to WiMAX market) become largest WiMAX market in Asia Pacific by 2013 (projected annual growth of 130%) February, 2011 16
  • 17. The future of wireless broadband: Wimax or LTE? • Reliance Infotel , the • Samsung demonstrates sole pan India license Wimax 2 as counter to holder for 2.3GHz LTE spectrum opts for LTE • Wimax is a stable • Aircel goes for LTE with technology with cheap Nokia-Siemens equipment , adoption by • Qualcomm supports players while LTE is a LTE by supporting 3G new technology and will India Forum take a few years to • LTE is touted as the so stabilize called future of wireless broadband offering more bandwidth in same spectrum February, 2011 17 Source: WiMAX Forum
  • 19. BWA Auction, 2010 Telecom Circle Successful Operator Winning Price ( Rs. crore) Delhi Infotel and Qualcomm 2,241.02 Mumbai Infotel and Qualcomm 2,292.95 Maharashtra- Goa Bharti Airtel and Infotel 915.64 Gujarat Infotel and Tikona 613.85 Andhra Pradesh Aircel and Infotel 1,059.12 Karnataka Infotel and Bharti Airtel 1,543.25 Tamil Nadu Infotel and Aircel 2,069.45 Kolkata Infotel and Bharti Airtel 523.20 Kerala Infotel and Qualcomm 258.67 Punjab Bhari Airtel and Infotel 332.27 Haryana Infotel and Qualcomm 119.90 UP East Tikona and Infotel 142.50 UP West Tikona and Infotel 183.87 Rajasthan Tikona and Infotel 97.32 Madhya Augere and Infotel 124.66 Pradesh West Bengal Infotel and Aircel 70.97 Himachal Pradesh Tikona and Infotel 20.66 Bihar Infotel and Aircel 99.28 Orissa Aircel and Infotel 63.63 Assam Aircel and Infotel 33.02 North East Infotel and Aircel 21.27 Jammu and Kashmir Aircel and Infotel 21.27 February, 2011 19
  • 20. Internet Subscriber Base & Market Share of ISP’s ISP Service Area Subscriber base Share (%) Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd. All India 10172299 56.84 Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. Delhi & 2362245 13.20 Mumbai Reliance Communications All India 1829707 10.22 Infrastructure Ltd. Bharti Airtel Ltd. All India 1381921 7.72 Hathway Cable & Datacom All India 333717 1.87 Pvt. Ltd. You Broadband & Cable All India 251702 1.41 India Private Limited Tata Communications All India 231610 1.29 Internet Services Limited Tikona Digital Networks Pvt All India 174950 0.98 Ltd Sify Technologies Ltd.* All India 162808 0.91 Data Infosys Ltd. All India 104586 0.59 February, 2011 20 Source: TRAI
  • 21. Growth achieved by the top 10 ISP’s in the last Quarter February, 2011 21
  • 22. Consumer feedback on existing BB providers in Madhya Pradesh (TRAI)  Most of the broadband users are not happy with the maintainability of the broadband service being provided to them and a significant number of the customers stated their dissatisfaction with the broadband connection and modem provided by the service provider  Service providers should improve their processes for resolution of billing complaints  Network performance will play a critical role in acquiring broadband market share in the future with high uptimes and higher speeds to customers February, 2011 22
  • 23. Possible growth areas Assessing LTE for future growth perspective Value Added Service s Tie-ups with Tie-ups for Mobile financial orgs. online Online Enterprise Tech-enabled handsets for Utilities in for online healthcare education mobility government increasing BB vernacular transaction services to facility applications services penetration utilities remote areas Last Mile Content Infrastructure development Improvement in QoS February, 2011 23