2. The Global Nutrition Report
• Independent
• Global
• All Forms of Nutrition
• Data Driven
• Encourages Accountability
3. What’s New in 2016?
• New Era: Global shift to SDGs
• New Opportunities: UN Decade of
Action
• New Data: On Implementation,
Budgets
• New Analyses: Funding Gaps
• New Success Stories: Ghana,
Kenya, Chile
• New Calls to Action
7. Akin Adesina
President of the
African Development
Bank
“We need to
invest in gray
matter
infrastructure.”
“Neuronal
infrastructure is
quite possibly going
to be the most
important
infrastructure.”
Jim Kim
President, World Bank
We couldn’t have said it better
ourselves..
8. 2. The world is off track
to reach global
targets—but there is
hope.
9. Meeting Targets: Where are we now?
Source: Authors, based on data from Stevens et al. (2013), UNICEF (2016b), UNICEF, WHO, and World Bank (2015),
and WHO (2015a).
11. Nutrition feeds into 12 of the 17 SDGs — and
dozens of the indicators used to track the SDGs
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
3
7
7
12
12
Goal 12: Sustainable cons &…
Goal 17: Global Partnerships
Goal 8: Growth & Employment
Goal 16: Peace and Justice
Goal 4: Education
Goal 6: WASH
Goal 10: Reduce Inequality
Goal 11: Cities
Goal 1: Poverty
Goal 2: Hunger and Nutrition
Goal 3: Healthy Lives
Goal 5: Gender Equality
Number of indicators highly relevant to nutrition
Number of indicators not highly relelvant to nutrition
Source: Authors
12. 4. There is a gap between
current commitments and need
13. There are few SMART targets in country
plans
48 46
33
30
27
10
Stunting Exclusive
breastfeeding
Anemia in
women
Wasting Low birth
weight
Under 5
overweight
Percent of 122 Nutrition Plans with SMART Targets for..
Source: Authors, based on data from Chizuru Nishida and Kaia Engesveen.
14. Few Countries have Targets for Diet Related
NCDs
32 32
25
Obesity Diabetes Salt Reduction
Source: Unpublished self-reported data from the NCD Country Capacity Survey, provided by the WHO
Surveillance and Population-based Prevention Unit, Department for Prevention of NCDs. Printed with permission.
%
Percent of 174 countries with targets for…
16. • Countries: Nutrition targets & rate of stunting reduction
• Companies: Targets & performance
• Donors: Public commitment & spending on nutrition
Commitment and Impact go hand in
hand
17. • SMART? Only 29%
• Aligned to all forms of
malnutrition? No. NCDs and
obesity missing.
• Response rate in 2016?
o 55% overall
o 30% for businesses
• Financial commitments?
o 60% met – good
Nutrition 4 Growth Commitments
19. Coverage of nutrition-specific
interventions remains highly variable
across countries
0
20
40
60
80
100
Exclusive
breastfeeding<6
months
Minimum dietary
diversity (6-23
mo)
Zinc treatment for
diarrhoea (U5)
Vitamin A suppl.
(U5)
Iron suppl. (U5) Salt iodization
(household)
Iron-Folic acid
suppl. 90+ days
(pregnant
women)
Coverage%
20. Implementation of the International Code on
the Marketing of Breast Milk Substitutes is
weak
47 45
61
95
100
82
62
Africa Asia Latin
America
and the
Caribbean
Europe North
America
Oceania GLOBAL
Percent of countries with data (n=183) with no or few provisions of the Code in law
Source: WHO, UNICEF, IBFAN 2016. Marketing of Breast-milk Substitutes: National Implementation of the International Code,
Status Report 2016. Geneva: WHO
21. Data source: WHO, 2015,
Progress on Implementing Diet
Policies is Slow
25. • Number of people displaced by war has
risen
o 45 million in 2012, 60 million in 2014
• Too little data on nutrition of refugee
populations
o When they are measured (UNHCR),
they are vulnerable
• In the era of “Leave No One Behind” we
need
o Better monitoring of nutrition status
Leave no one behind—refugees
included.
29. The ingredients for
success are well
known… ...and can
lead
to rapid
improvement
s
in nutrition.
Political leadership
& SMART
commitment
Brazil
Ethiopia
Kenya
Maharashtra
Nutrition-
oriented
development
Bangladesh
Colombia
Ghana
Tanzania
Data
Systems
Guatemala
Indonesia
Peru
Strong
implementation
Argentina
Burkina Faso
Chile
31. To meet WHA targets by 2025 funding will
have to multiply:
Governments x 2
Donors x 3.5
Total x 3
World Bank/R4D
Shekar et al. 2016
Funding gaps: Substantial but
bridgeable
32. Mismatch of donor funding and
disease burden for diet-related NCDs
10%0.04%
0.04% of donor aid
spending to diet
related NCDs
($50m)
Source: GNR 2016
10% % of disease burden
in sub-Saharan Africa from
diet related NCDs
Source: GBD Update 2015
35. Look outside nutrition to affect
nutrition status
Source: Authors, based on data and analysis by Monica Kothari, Demographic and Health (DHS)
surveys, 2005–2014.
Source: Authors, based on data and analysis by Monica Kothari, Demographic and Health (DHS) surveys, 2005–2014.
36. agriculture and food
systems
social protection
women’s
empowerment
WASH
education
There are many ways to
support nutrition
GNR analysis shows all 5
areas need strengthening
38. Under 5 Stunting
Women’s Anemia
Adult Overweight
Ethiopia, Rwanda
Ghana, Japan, Senegal, Sri Lanka, Thailand
Argentina,
Australia, Brazil,
Chile, Colombia,
Costa Rica,
Germany,
Mexico,
Paraguay, Peru,
FYR Macedonia,
Tonga, USA,
Uruguay
Afghanistan,
Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan,
Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia,
Cameroon, Central African Republic,
Chad, Comoros, Congo, Côte d’Ivoire,
Democratic People’s Republic of
Korea, Democratic Republic of the
Congo, Djibouti, Eritrea, Gambia,
Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, India,
Indonesia, Kenya, Lao People’s
Democratic Republic, Liberia,
Madagascar, Malawi, Maldives, Mali,
Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar,
Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan,
Philippines, Sao Tome and Principe,
Sierra Leone, Somalia, Sudan, Timor-
Leste, Togo, Uganda, Tanzania,
Zambia, Zimbabwe
Honduras,
Nicaragua
Algeria, Azerbaijan,
Barbados, Belarus, Belize,
Bolivia, Bosnia and
Herzegovina, Brunei
Darussalam, Dominican
republic, El Salvador,
Gabon, Georgia, Guyana,
Iran, Jamaica, Jordan,
Kazakhstan, Kuwait,
Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia,
Mongolia, Montenegro,
Morocco, Oman, Panama,
Republic of Moldova, Saint
Lucia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia,
Seychelles, Suriname,
Tunisia, Turkey,
Uzbekistan, Venezuela
Albania,
Armenia,
Botswana,
Ecuador, Egypt,
Equatorial
Guinea,
Guatemala,
Haiti, Iraq,
Lesotho, Libya,
Namibia, Papua
New Guinea,
Solomon Islands,
South Africa,
Swaziland, Syria,
Tajikistan,
Vanuatu, Yemen
57 countries—Serious
Problems
39. Malnutrition is not destiny. Ending it is a
political choice—supported by SMART
commitments for accountability.
Many countries are on course to meet targe
Many more are on the verge of doing so.
Coexistence of multiple forms of
malnutrition is the new normal. Nutrition
stakeholders need to unite and then
grow the nutrition constituency.
Three takeaways
40. Three things you can do
• Challenge decision makers with evidence
on the slow pace of malnutrition reduction
• Make those essential but challenging
alliances for nutrition with those outside
your immediate circle
• Make SMART commitments for nutrition
and ask others to do the same
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This is the third GNR
Produced by an independent expert group
It covers all countries
it covers all forms of nutrition
It is data driven
The GNR was called for at the N4G summit in London in 2013 to strengthen accountability of nutrition stakeholders to citizens. The first one was in 2014.
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We just had a GNR 9 months ago--what’s new in this one?
We are in a new Era: SDGs
New opportunity: The Decade of Action was passed by the UN General Assembly in April 2016 – new opportunity to mobilise action
Lots of new data – some examples:
on implementation of BMS code
on implementation of diet recommendations
on which countries have targets for nutrition
on nutrition spending for 24 countries
New analyses:
e.g. World bank/R4D on funding gap to scale up nutrition
New stories of success: Brazil, Ghana
New set of calls to action
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This is the outline of the talk
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Malnutrition leads to:
Human suffering, obviously
Health related consequences. e.g. the 45% of under 5 mortality linked to malnutrition
But also economic consequences
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Here are
Two quotes from leaders of development banks—quite extraordinary—is this the beginning of a sea change in the way financial institutions think about nutrition?
YES
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globally we are off course to meet the targets set by the World health Assembly, but there is hope because many countries are actually on track...
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This is a dashboard that shows, for the 8 indicators we track, how well countries are doing in terms of on/off track
Don’t pay attention to the detail in the chart—the key things are
there is quite a bit of green (on track)
But
there is way too much red (off track)
Much of the red is in anemia and overweight, obesity and diabetes rows
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We are now in the SDG era.
The SDGs are great for malnutrition reduction because they
challenge us to end malnutrition, by 2030
cover all forms of malnutrition
stress that we should leave no one behind
highlight the indivisibility of SDGs
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This chart from the report
Reviews all 242 indicators that the UN have designated to track the 17 SGDs and concludes that 56 are highly relevant for nutrition (as determinants and outcomes)
Of course we could choose more if we relaxed the definition of highly relevant, but we wanted to be cautious. Even so, 56 indicators!
Key point: more indicators outside Goal 2 than inside it
Key point: at least 12 SDGs provide indicators that we need to track for nutrition
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There are gaps between current commitments and need
These commitments are of a political, technical & financial nature
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Setting SMART (specific, measurable, relevant, achievable and time-bound) targets is one indicator of commitment
This analysis is from the WHO team.
Unfortunately looking at 122 country nutrition plans, less than half have set SMART targets for the 6 WHA maternal and child nutrition indicators.
Stunting and EBF fare the best. Wasting, perhaps surprisingly, is given lower priority when it comes to setting SMART targets.
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On the NCD side of things, less than a third of 174 countries surveys by WHO had targets (SMART or not) for obesity, diabetes and reduction of salt intake
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Why are we worried about SMART targets?
Because
they lend themselves to stronger accountability
but also
they go hand in hand with performance (see next slide)
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In the report we give lots of qualitative examples of how commitment improved performance in reducing malnutrition
But we also provide some suggestive quantitative evidence
countries that set nutrition targets have higher rates of stunting reduction
companies that set targets for key aspects of their performance, tend to perform better on those aspects (ATNI data)
donors that make lots of public declarations about nutrition in their various documents tend to spend more on nutrition as a % of their overall spending
Causality is difficult to establish here. Determined stakeholders make commitments and back them up.
But the qualitative work in the report suggests that the making of commitments makes it harder to back out of action.
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One of the key things that the GNR does is to track Nutrition 4 Growth commitments made in 2013
We find
few of the original commitments in 2013 to be SMART (29%)
original commitments not aligned to malnutrition in all its forms
High non response rate in 2016 – despite us asking for self responses starting in January
On donor financial commitments the donors are doing really well (60% of 2014-2020 pledges met including US and WB (who made pledges for 2014-16) and 33% if they are excluded—still ahead of schedule)
We now look to the World Bank and the USG to make new commitments (their run out in 2016 while all the others run out in 2020) and we look to Canada, given its importance to international nutrition, to make an N4G commitment (they did not the first time around, in 2013).
We can’t have results without good implementation.
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This slide shows that when it comes to nutrition specific interventions there is a wide range of coverage achieved by different countries.
This is good and bad news.
Bad news because we want more countries with high coverage.
Good news in the sense that some countries have achieved high coverage but they are not obviously wealthier than the countries that have not.
We need to understand more about why some countries are near the top of the lines and some are near the bottom
Again, we know that implementing the Code is important, but implementation is not so strong.
Of 183 countries with info, 113 (or 62%) have few or none of the Code provisions in law.
Worst in the Americas and Europe!
Country self reported progress (to WHO) on implementing diet policies is also lagging.
Two thirds of all countries (n=193) report no progress.
Source: WHO 2015. Noncommunicable Diseases Progress Monitor 2015. Accessed March 2016. www.who.int/nmh/publications/ ncd-progress-monitor-2015/en/.
We need more data to guide action and promote accountability, especially at the subnational level.
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Here are some DHS data and we show stunting rates for the administrative units with the highest and lowest stunting rates (ordered by gap).
There are wide disparities. At more disaggregated levels these may be equally large.
But we don’t have very disaggregated pictures of nutrition outcomes (or coverage rates of programmes)
Any solutions? (next slide)
Source: Authors, based on data and analysis by Monica Kothari, Demographic and Health Surveys (DHSs), 2005–2014. Note: There may be discrepancies from data reported in the DHS reports because of subsequent transformations by the DHS team. All categories of preva-
lence have n > 50. DRC = Democratic Republic of the Congo.
One contribution could be from small area estimation maps. They combine survey and census data to give highly disaggregated nutrition maps.
They are common in poverty analyses and programming, less so in nutrition.
WFP is a leader in this area and we recommend more of these maps now be produced.
Source: Haslet et al (2013)
Unfortunately more people world wide are of no fixed location. They have been displaced by war.
45m in 2014, 60 m in 2015.
These people are very vulnerable & they are also vulnerable to malnutrition
We don’t have much nutrition status data about them.
When they are measured (e.g. by UNHCR) they show high levels of malnutrition
The SDGs is the era of leave no one behind—we must not forget this highly vulnerable group, a large proportion of which are children.
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We have outlined the 7 key findings
Now we do the same for the 5 calls to action.
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First of all, make nutrition more of a political issue. Technical issues are of course vital, but so too is political action.
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Don’t accept current situation.
For example, look at this very simple extrapolation.
For women’s anemia if we continue the current rate of progress as reported in Stevens 2013 Lancet paper, we will reach the Anemia target for women (prevalence of 15%) in 2084, not 2025.
Clearly this is unacceptable, but this is a potentially powerful political message that is not being made strongly enough.
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And political leadership is vital for progress in nutrition
In the past 3 GNRs we have highlighted several countries experiences on moving nutrition indicators. They are listed.
Many factors are responsible and we have listed 4 sets.
Central to these is political commitment.
Remember: Ghana & Maharashtra halved their stunting rates 12 years. When forces are aligned properly rapid change can happen.
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Implementation takes financial resources.
Some of it needs to be new.
Some of it needs to be allocated differently.
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Here are the estimates from the recent World Bank/R4D analysis.
They ask the question: how much extra money would it take to scale up nutrition specific interventions for all countries to meet WHA targets on stunting, EBF, women’s anemia and to make significant progress on SAM (for various reasons they could not model the wasting WHA target).
They find that
Governments will need to at least double their spend 2016-2025
Donors will need to increase spend by a multiple of 3.5
Total spend will need to triple
Is this achievable?
Government funding to nutrition specific programmes would need to double. But it is very low currently (0.3% of current government expenditures for 24 countries) so this is surely achievable.
Donor funding would have to go up by a factor of 3.5. Encouragingly though, donor funding to nutrition specific interventions has double over the past 3-4 years.
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For the first time we estimate the amount of ODA going to diet related NCDs
We find that only $50m is. This is 0.04% of overall aid spending.
Compare that to 10% of the disease burden in SSA coming from diet related NCDs
Clearly a mismatch
Donors need to do better
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What are the data needed to maximise the impacts of investments in nutrition?
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To really make development work for nutrition, nutrition champions have to grow the circle of commitment for nutrition
This means getting out of our comfort zones and forging alliances with other sectors.
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For example, the data we present shows a strong association between age of mother at birth and stunting rates of her children. (countries on left of graph)
How important for nutrition status might be a law that sets a floor for the minimum age of marriage that is consistent with health outcomes for the mother and child?
We don’t know, but we should find out.
We need to find partners in these other sectors.
Some of the changes in them (to make them more nutrition oriented) might be very powerful for nutrition.
44% of all countries are facing multiple forms of under nutrition and NCD related nutrition outcomes
this % is likely to grow -- the latter are increasing faster than the former are declining
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Here we can see that 57 countries for which data exist (44% of countries for which data exist) have serious public health problems with stunting/anemia AND overweight/obesity. (countries labeled in white).
India currently in the ’stunting and anemia’ category, but could easily slide across.
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There is a lot of detail in the report and the slides.
But really there are 3 overarching messages that we would like you to leave with
politics matters. Malnutrition is not destiny. We can choose to end it.
even though the world is off track to meet WHA targets, many countries are on course to meet these targets and many others are close to being so. There are many successes out there.
Nutrition champions need to come together to raise nutrition on the political agenda
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But nutrition is not just about what governments and donors and businesses and CSOs can do, it is about what each of us in this room can do
Here are three things you can do
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