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International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING 
AND TECHNOLOGY (IJCIET) 
ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print) 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online) 
Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 
© IAEME: www.iaeme.com/Ijciet.asp 
Journal Impact Factor (2014): 7.9290 (Calculated by GISI) 
www.jifactor.com 
114 
 
IJCIET 
©IAEME 
IMPROVEMENT OF THE MODEL OF MINIMIZATION OF THE COSTS IN 
A TIME-OVERRUN CONTEXT: CASE OF CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS 
Paul Louzolo-Kimbembe1, BenoîtRomaric Mampika-Bathy2 
1Department of the Exact Sciences, Ecole Normale Supérieure (ENS), 
Marien Ngouabi University, p.o. box 237, Brazzaville, Republic of Congo 
2Department of Civil Engineering, École Nationale Supérieure Polytechnique, 
Marien Ngouabi University, p.o. box 69, Brazzaville, Republic of Congo 
ABSTRACT 
In the field of construction time-overruns are recurring. The construction cost optimization 
model in time-overrun context (CCOMTOC) was developed to generate a new optimal schedule that 
could allow minimizing the total cost of a construction project subject to penalties for delay. The 
original CCOMTOC is based on the assumption that the delay on the whole project is envisaged 
before the beginning of the works. In practice, the delay can be noticed either before startup, or 
during the realization of a task. It is this reality that is reflected in the improvement of the original 
CCOMTOC. The comparison between the improved and the original model shows a greater 
reduction of the cost-overrun after skidding for the duration of the tasks. 
Keywords: Cost-Overrun, Time-Overrun, Delay Penalties, Optimization, Linear Programming, 
Construction Project. 
1. INTRODUCTION 
Companies working in the field of building and civil engineering frequently encounter 
difficulties in organizing construction projects, where from the recurring phenomenon of exceeding 
of costs and deadlines. 
Numerous studies have been conducted to explain the causes of delay in the construction 
industry, particularly in Developing countries [Koushki et al, 2005; Singh, 2009; Assaf et al, 2006; 
Aibinu et al, 2002; Chalabi et al, 1984; Al-Momani, 2000; Al-Khalil, 1999]. It appears from these 
studies that the fact of not complying with the performance criteria of construction projectsdo not 
contributes to the reduction of additional costs.Mansfield et al (1994) attribute the problems to a poor 
practice of the management of the projects, economic factors and the natural environmental
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
conditions. Frimpong et al (2003) think that the main causes of delay and cost-overrun of 
construction projects come from the difficulties of payment by agencies, bad management by the 
contractor, of the supply problem in materials and poor technical performance. 
115 
 
Several authors have proposed different methods to analyze the impact of the factors causing 
the delay in construction. In this connection, an interesting review of literature was made by Shebob 
et al (2012) in an article where they develop a new methodology to analyze and quantify the impact 
of the delay factors affecting construction projects. 
However, the purpose of this study is not to deal with the actual causes of delay, but to take 
place in a context where we admit that delays in the completion of a construction project would 
become inevitable. If the execution of the works continued with the current pace, without 
acceleration of the tasks, the consequences will be non-compliance of the provisional deadline of the 
construction project and the additional costs related to the penalties for delay and the other induced 
charges.The question that arises then is to know how best to limit the subsequent cost-overruns. 
Indeed, when a construction company is located in a time-overrun context in the execution of 
a project, very often, three immediate consequences ensue from it: 
 The change of the initial schedule, which entails ipso-facto an extension of the date of 
completion of the works or the injection of new resources to catch up at best the delay [Tse et 
al, 2003]; 
 The increase in the total cost of the works, on the one hand, due to the injection of new 
resources (or by the overtime work), and secondly by the weight of penalties and other 
charges that accumulate as the project is delayed within the new deadline; 
 The prolonged or definitive abandonmentof the project. This is a very remarkable situation in 
Developing countries. 
The optimal reduction of the additional costs incurred in this time-overrun context is a 
difficult problem to solve for most companies, because many of them use only empirical, generally 
ineffective and inadequate methods in such situations. Also it is noticed dysfunctionswithin these 
entities, especially from the managerial point of view. 
This is how Louzolo (2007) led to propose a model of minimization of the costs of 
construction projects responding to thecontext of exceeding the deadline. This is called CCOMTOC, 
acronym meaning construction cost optimization model in time overrun context. This model is 
based on the time-cost compression called Time-Cost Trade-off (TCT). The TCT aims to reduce the 
initial duration of a project planned following the method of critical path (CPM) in order to find a 
specific completion date corresponding to a lower cost. In other words, TCT focuses on minimizing 
the cost of the construction project by maintaining the desired duration. 
We note that in the specialized literature, very abundant, studies do focus on the compression 
of tasks in a project (project crashing),where the problem concerns especially the acceleration of 
anestablished program by advancing the initial date of completion of the project. We yet know that 
the biggest problem usually encountered in the conduct of construction projects lies just beyond the 
normal date of completion of the project. 
The CCOMTOC was developed to take account of the perspective of passing of the deadline 
for completion of the construction project in order to anticipate the reorganization of the schedule of 
the work with the cost as low as possible. However, it appears that the CCOMTOC applies only for 
tasks that have not yet begun as we anticipate a possible delay in their execution. In reality, it 
happens that tasks already know a beginning of execution before falling through a situation of delay. 
It is this aspect that should be considered to improve the original CCOMTOC.
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
The following methodology is adopted in this study: 
116 
2. METHODOLOGY 
 
 Brief presentation of the original CCOMTOC. 
 Development to the existing model in order to improve it. 
 The comparison between the original CCOMTOC and the improved CCOMTOC based on a 
concrete case study. The objective is to demonstrate that with the new model the additional 
costs engendered by the delay are lower than projected in the original model. 
3. PRESENTATION OF CCOMTOC 
It is known that the cost and time are closely related in cases of skid of deadline in the field of 
the construction. Where from it is required good coordination of tasks and regular monitoring of the 
project. 
The CCOMTOC allows us to adjust certain parameters to minimize the additional costs 
induced by the exceeding of deadlines. This mathematical model is essentially based on linear 
programming. The decsion-making variable is the time parameter. The CCOMTOC is a tool that 
facilitates the decision-making support in construction projects suffering from a problem of delay. 
Having anticipated the skid of the deadline for completion of the project and the additional 
cost that it will engender, we will have to reduce the foreseeable delay to lesser and reasonable 
proportions, with a fair knowledge of the possible lowest cost that this will bring. We will ensure that 
the operating time of the tasks (slabs, posts, beams, etc) that require special monitoring are not 
shortcuts despite the noticed skid. 
To process an optimization problem in a time-overrun context, we can glimpse two 
antagonistic evolutions of charges on the project [Louzolo et al., 2007]: 
 The penalties and the other charges that accumulate from the exceeding of deadlineplanned 
for the completion of the work. The corresponding expenses will be all thehigher as the delay 
will be important. We will therefore have an increasing curve of the cost of penalties. 
 The compression of tasks to minimize the delay which corresponds to an increase in their 
cost. 
We will have the corresponding graphical situation shown in figure 1.
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
Pij 
ij = accelerated duration of the activity Aijto catch up the delay at the best 
ij = skidded duration (maximum delay expected) 
C1ij = maximum additional cost of the activityAij due to the penalties. 
C2ij = additional costs expected in the absence of any acceleration of the activity Aij 
C2ij= maximum additional cost resulting from the acceleration of the activityAijto the catch up the 
delay. 
117 
Legend: 
Pij = cost of the activity Aij 
xij = duration of the activity Aij 
Dij = normal duration of the activity Aij 
 
The mathematical formulation of the CCOMTOC is given by the linear program below 
[Louzolo et al, 2007]: 
 
	 
C2 ij 
C 2 ij 
C1 ij 
0 Dijijijxij 
Figure (1): Curves representing the penalty costs (C1), and the costs resulting 
fromthe compression (C2), for the activity Aij.
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
t ij Minimize C C x C x 
 
 
= + a − d d (3) 
ij x 
118 
 
  
= + 
Î Î 
i j U 
ij 
i j U 
( , ) 
2 
( , ) 
1 ( ) ( ) (1) 
( ) ( ) 1 ij ij ij C x = b W x − D (2) 
D 
( ) ( 1) ( ) 2 2 ij ij 
D 
ij 
C 
C x C ij 
ij 
−   
 
  
 
Subject to the constraints: 
j i ij i T −T − x ³ 0, j ÎS (4) 
ij ij ij D £ x £d (5) 
n 
ij x T 
i j 
Î 
= 
( , ) μ 
(6) 
= l n T (7) 
n n D £ l £ d (8) 
i ij n T + x p T (9) 
 
Legend: 
(i, j) = arc from the summit i (step Ei) to the summit j (step Ej); 
CDij = normal cost of the activity Aij 
Dn = initial deadline of the project 
n = maximum delay for the whole project 
 = new deadline fixed for the completion of the construction project 
μ = sub-setof the activities on the criticalpath 
Si = set of the successors of the stageEi 
Ti, Tj = the earliest dates of the start of the steps Ei and Ej respectively. 
Tn = total minimum duration imposed after skidding of the construction project; 
U = set of arcs constituting the graph of the program (set of activities). 
D 
D 
n 
C 
W n = : daily cost of the construction project. 
We define the following expressions: 
(1): minimum total cost; 
(2): cost of penalties in which  (attenuation factor) indicates a fraction fixed during the signature 
of the contract, with 0.01  0.75, [Al-Tabtabai et al, 1998; D'alpaos et al, 2009;Louzolo et al, 
2013]; 
(3): cost due to compression of tasks in which  (compression factor)designates a multiple of the 
initial resource reflecting the additional cost; 
(4): constraints expressing the dependency relationships in the program, i.e. the link between tasks;
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
(5): constraints indicating the limitation of the duration of each activity, in other words, they 
¢ = + a − d −s − d (11) 
¢ = + a − d −s − d (14) 
119 
 
indicate the deadlines of activities. 
(6): constraints indicating that the total duration of tasks being on the critical path must be equal to 
Tn; 
(7): constraints meaning that the date of completion of the project shall not exceed a clearly 
determined deadline. This date is imposed by the parameter ; 
(8): constraint meaning that the parameter  must be limited between the normal deadlineDn and the 
skidded duration n. 
(9): constraints indicating that the starting-up dates for tasks should not exceed the date of 
completion of the project. 
The decision variables are represented by xij and are non-negative (xij 0). 
The CCOMTOC assumes that the parameters CDij and  are constants. In reality, these are 
estimators based on predictions of future conditions. Therefore, the resulting calculations are 
generally used to starting point to support subsequent analyses of the problem [Djila, 2009]. 
4. IMPROVEMENT OF THE CCOMTOC: INITIATING OF A TASK BEFORE THE 
NORMAL DEADLINE 
If the delay in the progress of the work is envisaged after having realized a part of the task Aij 
in time ijDij (Figure 2), then this leads us to modify equation (2), which gives: 
ij ij ij C¢(x ) = C (x ) −b Ws 1 1 
That is: 
( ) ( ( )) 1 ij ij ij ij C¢ x = b W x − D +s (10) 
Also the equation (3) becomes: 
ij ij ij ij C ( x ) C ( x ) (a 1)W s 2¢ = 2 − − 
That is: 
( ) ( 1) (( ) ) 2 ij 2 ij ij ij ij C x C W x 
ij 
with: 
Dij 
ij D 
ij 
C 
W = : daily cost of theAij. (12) 
Note that ifsij = 0, this means that the task Aij has not been initiated before the prescribed 
deadline Dij. Then, we find the original model. 
The cost of the compression of a task is influenced by the coefficient , multiplicative factor 
of compression, which reflects the importance of the additional resource compared to the initial 
resource (see equation (3)). In reality, the coefficient  is not constant; it depends on the considered 
task. Also in the equation (3), we will replace  byij, corresponding to the task Aij. 
Similarly, in equation (2), the daily cost of the project W, which was considered to be uniform for all 
activities, will be replaced by Wij, meaning that the daily cost may be different for each activity Aij. 
So, we must have: 
( ) ( ( )) 1 ij i j ij ij ij C¢ x = b W x − D +s (13) 
( ) ( 1) (( ) ) 2 ij 2 ij ij ij ij ij C x C W x 
ij
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
 
Pij 

 
 
ij = duration already carried out for the execution of the activity Aij 
C’1(xij)= new penalties cost 
C’2(xij)= new cost resulting from the compression 
120 
Legend: 
 
The improvement of CCOMTOC concerns essentially the coefficient ij,the daily cost Wij and 
the introduction of the duration of initiating ij relative to the task Aij. 
Also the improved CCOMTOCcan be written: 

	 
C2 ij 
C 2 ij 
C1 ij 
0 DijDij+sijijij-sijijxij 
Figure (2): Consideration of the initiating of the task Aij before the exceeding 
of the deadline Dij
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
121
(1)
! (13) 
  
 	 #
$
#  !   (14) 
Subject to the constraints: 
j i ij i T −T − x ³ 0, jÎS (4) 
   ! %  % #  ! (15) 
 % ! %
#    (16) 
n 
ij x T 
i j 
Î 
= 
( , ) μ 
(6) 
= l n T (7) 
n n D £ l £ d (8) 
i ij n T + x p T (9) 
It should be noted that the original model (I) is replaced by the improved model (II). The 
modification of the original model concerns the equations (13) and (14), as well as the constraints 
(15) and (16). 
Thus, the reduction of the additional costs induced by the skid of the duration is possible with 
the CCOMTOC, starting from the following assumptions: 
 The delay on the whole construction project is foreseen before the launch of the works, 
causing a skid of the duration of the tasks, it is the original CCOMTOC (I). 
 The delay on the whole constructionproject is perceived after the completion and the 
initiating of certain tasks, which leads to the improved CCOMTOC (II). 
Now, we will compare the original model (I) to the improved model (II) by taking as 
illustration a project for the rehabilitation of thepremises of a site. 
5. COMPARATIVE STUDY OF THE IMPROVED CCOMTOC AND THE ORIGINAL 
CCOMTOC: APPLICATION TO THE CASE OF A PROJECT FOR THE 
REHABILITATION OF THE PREMISES OF A SITE 
The project which is the subject of our case study concerns the rehabilitation of the premises 
of a site on a ground of 18,000 m2, in which we find: 
 Six (06) buildings (3 buildings of 3 bedrooms, living room, kitchen, two bathrooms and 3 
buildings of 2 bedrooms, living room, kitchen and a bathroom). 
 A technical building (containing an electrical room, water room, and electric engineering 
local); 
 A multi-purpose hall under construction; 
 A basketball court; 
 Two tennis courts; 
 A playground of badminton; 
 Drilling in water; 
 Two sentry boxes.
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
The designation and allocation of cost by tasks are given in Appendix A. We determined the 
operating duration of each task with the aimof planning different activities by the PERT method. 
The initial duration plannedfor the whole works is 7.5 months that is 195 working days. 
The initial overall cost of the works is estimated to 1,614,449,750 F CFA1. 
Our goal is to minimize the overall cost of a construction project in the context of exceeding 
of initial deadline. We assumed exceeded the cost and the deadline of the works, after starting up of 
the project. This skid suggests us to proceed to theoptimization of the total cost of the project through 
the improved CCOMTOC. 
The normal work schedule (Figure 3: PERT chart) indicates the initial date of completion of 
122 
the project to the 195th day. 
Criticalpath 
 
Figure (3): PERT chart of construction project 
Let us suppose that for any causes, this deadline cannot be any more observed. A pessimistic 
estimation of the duration then allows us to assign to each operation a maximum delay that causes 
the skid of the normal operating duration of the activity Aij. This problem of skid will result ipso 
facto an additional cost of the activity Aij, for which we have to try to minimize. 
In our study, two cases are distinguished: the partial time-overrun context with tasks not initiated 
(original CCOMTOC) and the partial time-overrun contextwith tasks initiated (improved 
CCOMTOC). 
5.1. ORIGINAL CCOMTOC: THE PARTIAL TIME-OVERRUN CONTEXT WITH NOT 
INITIATED TASKS 
We assume our project to take lagging during the execution of the works, that is, a number of 
tasks are affected by the delay and that others have been totally executed within the time limits. All 
the delayed tasks do not yet know a start of execution. In this case the optimization will concern only
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
the tasks that will be performed after the whole construction project has fell overto a situation of 
delay. 
123 
 
The start of works took place on the scheduled date. After the normal execution of the tasks 
A, B, C, D, E, F and J, and for any reasons (delay due to funding, the unavailability of materials, loss 
of the workforce or change of supervision, etc.), the remaining tasks of the project undergo a delay at 
the starting up causing a lengthening of their deadlines. In the present case, the optimization of the 
cost of the construction project is required to avoid significant cost-overrun due to the delay penalties 
and other charges (including rental charges). 
In our analysis, we consider firstly the tasks situatedon the critical path (Figure 3), those 
which are directly concerned by the delay and on which penalties are applied. 
The new deadline for the completion of the project passes now from 195 to 255 days. Anticipated 
skid is thus of 60 days over the initial deadline, that is an exceeding of time of 31%. The cost of the 
construction project, without penalties, passes from 1,614,449,750 F CFA to 1,967,142,970 F CFA 
(Appendix B). 
On the other hand, in time-overrun context, the optimized total cost due to the compression of 
tasks amounts to 2,086,980,000 F CFA, while the optimized total cost of delay penalties is 
102,301,000 F CFA (Appendix C,  = 0.70). The optimized total cost of the whole construction 
project amounts now to 2,189,280,000 F CFA after 255 days, an increase of the total cost of 35.6%. 
According to our estimations, to complete this project in the 255th day may result in enormous 
financial losses within the company, because this has not been first expected in the planning of the 
project management structure in charge of the realization of the works. Under these conditions, it 
should be advisable to readjust this skid so that the total duration of the works is reduced to 215 days, 
while remaining rigorous in the performance of the works and the compliance with technical 
standards, as well as measures and safety instructions in the building and public works industry 
(construction). 
The simulation is performed thanks to the specialized language of linear programming 
software Visual Xpress-MP. An illustration of this simulation is presented in Appendix B, for a 
planned deadline of completion of 215 days. 
If the skid of the deadline for completion of the project is reduced from 255 to 215 days, the 
optimized total cost will then be 2,177,780,000F CFA (Appendix B,  = 0.70). It now represents a 
little lower overrun of the initial total cost, equal to 34.9%. This shortening of the deadline of 
completion, decided to minimize the total cost, led to a reduction of the additional cost of 0.7%, and 
therefore an apparent gain of 11,500,000 F CFA. 
This deadline fixed in 215 days gives us a new work schedule (Appendix B) fixing the 
optimal duration of each activity, as well as the corresponding optimal cost. We can notice that in the 
optimized schedule, the optimal duration of an activity is generally always chosen so as to impose 
the initial normal duration, except for the activities D1 and E1where the skidded duration is 
necessary, and especially the activity B1which takes a random duration generated by the calculation 
program and contained between D9,10 and 9,10. 
The extension of the simulation to various deadlinesof completion of the construction project 
gave the results reported in Appendix C. The different values of costs, in relation to the deadlines of 
completion, allowed us to plot cost-time curves (TCT: Time-Cost-Trade-off) illustrated in figure 4.
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME
!# $%	 

 
 !'(!  )*+# $(# ,( -+#'!. 
/	 
/ 
Figure (4): Curves TCT ( = 0.60 and  = 0.70) for the whole construction project, 
in a partial time-overrun context with tasks not initiated; original CCOMTOC 
 
The two curves of figure 4 have the same shape. They are characteristic of the TCT curves in 
a time-overrun context [Louzolo, 2005; Louzolo, 2014]. These curves are symmetrical to the TCT 
curves obtained in the usual context where the construction project must be delivered before the 
initial date of completion [Leu et al., 1999; Beasley, 2003]. Under normal circumstances, delay 
penalties are not taken into account. 
The TCT curve with  = 0.70 is above that with  = 0.60 (Figure 4). This shows that the 
penalties attenuation coefficient  significantly influences the total cost of the project in a time-overrun 
context, which confirms the results already found by Louzolo (2007). 
5.2. IMPROVED CCOMTOC: THE PARTIAL TIME-OVERRUN CONTEXT WITH 
124 
INITIATED TASKS 
We consider that our project is in situation of delay. Some tasks are already completed, while 
some of those that are initiated are delayed. In this case the delay will concern the begun tasks and 
those whose execution has not yet started. 
The starting up of the works took place on the scheduled date. But, for the same reasons as 
those pointed out in the first case, some tasks undergo an extension of the duration of execution. 
Note that tasks A, B, C, D, E, F and J were realized in due time, and that there was initiating of tasks 
G, K, L, U, W and H1. Apart from the completed tasks, all other tasks are subject to delay. 
Consequently, the optimization of the cost of the construction project is needed for tasks not 
completed to avoid significant financial losses. 
We illustrate in Appendix D (l= 215 days,  = 0.70) the results of the simulation of a 
minimization of construction project cost in a partial time-overrun context with initiatedtasks. 
The optimal solution wishedfor  = 215 days indicates a minimum cost of 2,128,180,000 F CFA 
(Appendix D,  = 0.70). This represents more than an exceedingof the initial total cost of 31.82%, 
while for  = 255 days the cost-overrun is 32.35%. Thus the reduction of the cost-overrun will be 
0.53% if we shorten the deadline of completion from 255 to 215 days that is a gain of about 
8,560,000 F CFA.
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 
The calculation program generated values of operating durations other than Dij or ij for the 
tasks G, K, L, U, W and H1, thus offering a new optimized schedule for  = 215 days. Note that these 
tasks are other than those who have been initiated. 
The optimal solutions of construction costs resulting from the simulation, with values of 
coefficients ofattenuationof penalties  fixed to 0.6 and 0.7 are given in Appendix E. 
Curves TCT (Figure 5) show a more gradual change cost between 215 and 230 days for  = 0.60, 
while for  = 0.70 the cost varies slowly between 215 and 225 days. Beyond these deadlines, the cost 
varies very quickly that the delay increases.
Figure (5):Curves TCT ( = 0.60 and  = 0.70) for the wholeconstruction project, 
in a partial time-overrun context with initiated tasks; improvedCCOMTOC 
5.3. COMPARISON OF THE IMPROVED CCOMTOCWITH THE ORIGINAL CCOMTOC 
We place two-two on the same graphic the curves TCT of figure 4 (original CCOMTOC) and 
those of figure 5 (improved CCOMTOC), respectively for  = 0.60 and  = 0.70. 
125 
 

  
  
  
 
 

 
 !# $%	 

 
 !'(!  )*+# $(# ,( -+#'!. 
0/	 
0/
/	 
0/	 
Figure (6): Comparison of curves Ct (original CCOMTOC) and C’t(improved CCOMTOC), for  = 0.60
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), 
ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME

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Improvement of the model of minimization of the costs in a time overrun context case of construction projects

  • 1. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY (IJCIET) ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print) ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online) Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME: www.iaeme.com/Ijciet.asp Journal Impact Factor (2014): 7.9290 (Calculated by GISI) www.jifactor.com 114 IJCIET ©IAEME IMPROVEMENT OF THE MODEL OF MINIMIZATION OF THE COSTS IN A TIME-OVERRUN CONTEXT: CASE OF CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS Paul Louzolo-Kimbembe1, BenoîtRomaric Mampika-Bathy2 1Department of the Exact Sciences, Ecole Normale Supérieure (ENS), Marien Ngouabi University, p.o. box 237, Brazzaville, Republic of Congo 2Department of Civil Engineering, École Nationale Supérieure Polytechnique, Marien Ngouabi University, p.o. box 69, Brazzaville, Republic of Congo ABSTRACT In the field of construction time-overruns are recurring. The construction cost optimization model in time-overrun context (CCOMTOC) was developed to generate a new optimal schedule that could allow minimizing the total cost of a construction project subject to penalties for delay. The original CCOMTOC is based on the assumption that the delay on the whole project is envisaged before the beginning of the works. In practice, the delay can be noticed either before startup, or during the realization of a task. It is this reality that is reflected in the improvement of the original CCOMTOC. The comparison between the improved and the original model shows a greater reduction of the cost-overrun after skidding for the duration of the tasks. Keywords: Cost-Overrun, Time-Overrun, Delay Penalties, Optimization, Linear Programming, Construction Project. 1. INTRODUCTION Companies working in the field of building and civil engineering frequently encounter difficulties in organizing construction projects, where from the recurring phenomenon of exceeding of costs and deadlines. Numerous studies have been conducted to explain the causes of delay in the construction industry, particularly in Developing countries [Koushki et al, 2005; Singh, 2009; Assaf et al, 2006; Aibinu et al, 2002; Chalabi et al, 1984; Al-Momani, 2000; Al-Khalil, 1999]. It appears from these studies that the fact of not complying with the performance criteria of construction projectsdo not contributes to the reduction of additional costs.Mansfield et al (1994) attribute the problems to a poor practice of the management of the projects, economic factors and the natural environmental
  • 2. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME conditions. Frimpong et al (2003) think that the main causes of delay and cost-overrun of construction projects come from the difficulties of payment by agencies, bad management by the contractor, of the supply problem in materials and poor technical performance. 115 Several authors have proposed different methods to analyze the impact of the factors causing the delay in construction. In this connection, an interesting review of literature was made by Shebob et al (2012) in an article where they develop a new methodology to analyze and quantify the impact of the delay factors affecting construction projects. However, the purpose of this study is not to deal with the actual causes of delay, but to take place in a context where we admit that delays in the completion of a construction project would become inevitable. If the execution of the works continued with the current pace, without acceleration of the tasks, the consequences will be non-compliance of the provisional deadline of the construction project and the additional costs related to the penalties for delay and the other induced charges.The question that arises then is to know how best to limit the subsequent cost-overruns. Indeed, when a construction company is located in a time-overrun context in the execution of a project, very often, three immediate consequences ensue from it: The change of the initial schedule, which entails ipso-facto an extension of the date of completion of the works or the injection of new resources to catch up at best the delay [Tse et al, 2003]; The increase in the total cost of the works, on the one hand, due to the injection of new resources (or by the overtime work), and secondly by the weight of penalties and other charges that accumulate as the project is delayed within the new deadline; The prolonged or definitive abandonmentof the project. This is a very remarkable situation in Developing countries. The optimal reduction of the additional costs incurred in this time-overrun context is a difficult problem to solve for most companies, because many of them use only empirical, generally ineffective and inadequate methods in such situations. Also it is noticed dysfunctionswithin these entities, especially from the managerial point of view. This is how Louzolo (2007) led to propose a model of minimization of the costs of construction projects responding to thecontext of exceeding the deadline. This is called CCOMTOC, acronym meaning construction cost optimization model in time overrun context. This model is based on the time-cost compression called Time-Cost Trade-off (TCT). The TCT aims to reduce the initial duration of a project planned following the method of critical path (CPM) in order to find a specific completion date corresponding to a lower cost. In other words, TCT focuses on minimizing the cost of the construction project by maintaining the desired duration. We note that in the specialized literature, very abundant, studies do focus on the compression of tasks in a project (project crashing),where the problem concerns especially the acceleration of anestablished program by advancing the initial date of completion of the project. We yet know that the biggest problem usually encountered in the conduct of construction projects lies just beyond the normal date of completion of the project. The CCOMTOC was developed to take account of the perspective of passing of the deadline for completion of the construction project in order to anticipate the reorganization of the schedule of the work with the cost as low as possible. However, it appears that the CCOMTOC applies only for tasks that have not yet begun as we anticipate a possible delay in their execution. In reality, it happens that tasks already know a beginning of execution before falling through a situation of delay. It is this aspect that should be considered to improve the original CCOMTOC.
  • 3. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME The following methodology is adopted in this study: 116 2. METHODOLOGY Brief presentation of the original CCOMTOC. Development to the existing model in order to improve it. The comparison between the original CCOMTOC and the improved CCOMTOC based on a concrete case study. The objective is to demonstrate that with the new model the additional costs engendered by the delay are lower than projected in the original model. 3. PRESENTATION OF CCOMTOC It is known that the cost and time are closely related in cases of skid of deadline in the field of the construction. Where from it is required good coordination of tasks and regular monitoring of the project. The CCOMTOC allows us to adjust certain parameters to minimize the additional costs induced by the exceeding of deadlines. This mathematical model is essentially based on linear programming. The decsion-making variable is the time parameter. The CCOMTOC is a tool that facilitates the decision-making support in construction projects suffering from a problem of delay. Having anticipated the skid of the deadline for completion of the project and the additional cost that it will engender, we will have to reduce the foreseeable delay to lesser and reasonable proportions, with a fair knowledge of the possible lowest cost that this will bring. We will ensure that the operating time of the tasks (slabs, posts, beams, etc) that require special monitoring are not shortcuts despite the noticed skid. To process an optimization problem in a time-overrun context, we can glimpse two antagonistic evolutions of charges on the project [Louzolo et al., 2007]: The penalties and the other charges that accumulate from the exceeding of deadlineplanned for the completion of the work. The corresponding expenses will be all thehigher as the delay will be important. We will therefore have an increasing curve of the cost of penalties. The compression of tasks to minimize the delay which corresponds to an increase in their cost. We will have the corresponding graphical situation shown in figure 1.
  • 4. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME Pij ij = accelerated duration of the activity Aijto catch up the delay at the best ij = skidded duration (maximum delay expected) C1ij = maximum additional cost of the activityAij due to the penalties. C2ij = additional costs expected in the absence of any acceleration of the activity Aij C2ij= maximum additional cost resulting from the acceleration of the activityAijto the catch up the delay. 117 Legend: Pij = cost of the activity Aij xij = duration of the activity Aij Dij = normal duration of the activity Aij The mathematical formulation of the CCOMTOC is given by the linear program below [Louzolo et al, 2007]: C2 ij C 2 ij C1 ij 0 Dijijijxij Figure (1): Curves representing the penalty costs (C1), and the costs resulting fromthe compression (C2), for the activity Aij.
  • 5. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME t ij Minimize C C x C x = + a − d d (3) ij x 118 = + Î Î i j U ij i j U ( , ) 2 ( , ) 1 ( ) ( ) (1) ( ) ( ) 1 ij ij ij C x = b W x − D (2) D ( ) ( 1) ( ) 2 2 ij ij D ij C C x C ij ij − Subject to the constraints: j i ij i T −T − x ³ 0, j ÎS (4) ij ij ij D £ x £d (5) n ij x T i j Î = ( , ) μ (6) = l n T (7) n n D £ l £ d (8) i ij n T + x p T (9) Legend: (i, j) = arc from the summit i (step Ei) to the summit j (step Ej); CDij = normal cost of the activity Aij Dn = initial deadline of the project n = maximum delay for the whole project = new deadline fixed for the completion of the construction project μ = sub-setof the activities on the criticalpath Si = set of the successors of the stageEi Ti, Tj = the earliest dates of the start of the steps Ei and Ej respectively. Tn = total minimum duration imposed after skidding of the construction project; U = set of arcs constituting the graph of the program (set of activities). D D n C W n = : daily cost of the construction project. We define the following expressions: (1): minimum total cost; (2): cost of penalties in which (attenuation factor) indicates a fraction fixed during the signature of the contract, with 0.01 0.75, [Al-Tabtabai et al, 1998; D'alpaos et al, 2009;Louzolo et al, 2013]; (3): cost due to compression of tasks in which (compression factor)designates a multiple of the initial resource reflecting the additional cost; (4): constraints expressing the dependency relationships in the program, i.e. the link between tasks;
  • 6. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME (5): constraints indicating the limitation of the duration of each activity, in other words, they ¢ = + a − d −s − d (11) ¢ = + a − d −s − d (14) 119 indicate the deadlines of activities. (6): constraints indicating that the total duration of tasks being on the critical path must be equal to Tn; (7): constraints meaning that the date of completion of the project shall not exceed a clearly determined deadline. This date is imposed by the parameter ; (8): constraint meaning that the parameter must be limited between the normal deadlineDn and the skidded duration n. (9): constraints indicating that the starting-up dates for tasks should not exceed the date of completion of the project. The decision variables are represented by xij and are non-negative (xij 0). The CCOMTOC assumes that the parameters CDij and are constants. In reality, these are estimators based on predictions of future conditions. Therefore, the resulting calculations are generally used to starting point to support subsequent analyses of the problem [Djila, 2009]. 4. IMPROVEMENT OF THE CCOMTOC: INITIATING OF A TASK BEFORE THE NORMAL DEADLINE If the delay in the progress of the work is envisaged after having realized a part of the task Aij in time ijDij (Figure 2), then this leads us to modify equation (2), which gives: ij ij ij C¢(x ) = C (x ) −b Ws 1 1 That is: ( ) ( ( )) 1 ij ij ij ij C¢ x = b W x − D +s (10) Also the equation (3) becomes: ij ij ij ij C ( x ) C ( x ) (a 1)W s 2¢ = 2 − − That is: ( ) ( 1) (( ) ) 2 ij 2 ij ij ij ij C x C W x ij with: Dij ij D ij C W = : daily cost of theAij. (12) Note that ifsij = 0, this means that the task Aij has not been initiated before the prescribed deadline Dij. Then, we find the original model. The cost of the compression of a task is influenced by the coefficient , multiplicative factor of compression, which reflects the importance of the additional resource compared to the initial resource (see equation (3)). In reality, the coefficient is not constant; it depends on the considered task. Also in the equation (3), we will replace byij, corresponding to the task Aij. Similarly, in equation (2), the daily cost of the project W, which was considered to be uniform for all activities, will be replaced by Wij, meaning that the daily cost may be different for each activity Aij. So, we must have: ( ) ( ( )) 1 ij i j ij ij ij C¢ x = b W x − D +s (13) ( ) ( 1) (( ) ) 2 ij 2 ij ij ij ij ij C x C W x ij
  • 7. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME Pij ij = duration already carried out for the execution of the activity Aij C’1(xij)= new penalties cost C’2(xij)= new cost resulting from the compression 120 Legend: The improvement of CCOMTOC concerns essentially the coefficient ij,the daily cost Wij and the introduction of the duration of initiating ij relative to the task Aij. Also the improved CCOMTOCcan be written: C2 ij C 2 ij C1 ij 0 DijDij+sijijij-sijijxij Figure (2): Consideration of the initiating of the task Aij before the exceeding of the deadline Dij
  • 8. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 121
  • 9. (1)
  • 10. ! (13) #
  • 11. $
  • 12. # ! (14) Subject to the constraints: j i ij i T −T − x ³ 0, jÎS (4) ! % % # ! (15) % ! %
  • 13. # (16) n ij x T i j Î = ( , ) μ (6) = l n T (7) n n D £ l £ d (8) i ij n T + x p T (9) It should be noted that the original model (I) is replaced by the improved model (II). The modification of the original model concerns the equations (13) and (14), as well as the constraints (15) and (16). Thus, the reduction of the additional costs induced by the skid of the duration is possible with the CCOMTOC, starting from the following assumptions: The delay on the whole construction project is foreseen before the launch of the works, causing a skid of the duration of the tasks, it is the original CCOMTOC (I). The delay on the whole constructionproject is perceived after the completion and the initiating of certain tasks, which leads to the improved CCOMTOC (II). Now, we will compare the original model (I) to the improved model (II) by taking as illustration a project for the rehabilitation of thepremises of a site. 5. COMPARATIVE STUDY OF THE IMPROVED CCOMTOC AND THE ORIGINAL CCOMTOC: APPLICATION TO THE CASE OF A PROJECT FOR THE REHABILITATION OF THE PREMISES OF A SITE The project which is the subject of our case study concerns the rehabilitation of the premises of a site on a ground of 18,000 m2, in which we find: Six (06) buildings (3 buildings of 3 bedrooms, living room, kitchen, two bathrooms and 3 buildings of 2 bedrooms, living room, kitchen and a bathroom). A technical building (containing an electrical room, water room, and electric engineering local); A multi-purpose hall under construction; A basketball court; Two tennis courts; A playground of badminton; Drilling in water; Two sentry boxes.
  • 14. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME The designation and allocation of cost by tasks are given in Appendix A. We determined the operating duration of each task with the aimof planning different activities by the PERT method. The initial duration plannedfor the whole works is 7.5 months that is 195 working days. The initial overall cost of the works is estimated to 1,614,449,750 F CFA1. Our goal is to minimize the overall cost of a construction project in the context of exceeding of initial deadline. We assumed exceeded the cost and the deadline of the works, after starting up of the project. This skid suggests us to proceed to theoptimization of the total cost of the project through the improved CCOMTOC. The normal work schedule (Figure 3: PERT chart) indicates the initial date of completion of 122 the project to the 195th day. Criticalpath Figure (3): PERT chart of construction project Let us suppose that for any causes, this deadline cannot be any more observed. A pessimistic estimation of the duration then allows us to assign to each operation a maximum delay that causes the skid of the normal operating duration of the activity Aij. This problem of skid will result ipso facto an additional cost of the activity Aij, for which we have to try to minimize. In our study, two cases are distinguished: the partial time-overrun context with tasks not initiated (original CCOMTOC) and the partial time-overrun contextwith tasks initiated (improved CCOMTOC). 5.1. ORIGINAL CCOMTOC: THE PARTIAL TIME-OVERRUN CONTEXT WITH NOT INITIATED TASKS We assume our project to take lagging during the execution of the works, that is, a number of tasks are affected by the delay and that others have been totally executed within the time limits. All the delayed tasks do not yet know a start of execution. In this case the optimization will concern only
  • 15. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME the tasks that will be performed after the whole construction project has fell overto a situation of delay. 123 The start of works took place on the scheduled date. After the normal execution of the tasks A, B, C, D, E, F and J, and for any reasons (delay due to funding, the unavailability of materials, loss of the workforce or change of supervision, etc.), the remaining tasks of the project undergo a delay at the starting up causing a lengthening of their deadlines. In the present case, the optimization of the cost of the construction project is required to avoid significant cost-overrun due to the delay penalties and other charges (including rental charges). In our analysis, we consider firstly the tasks situatedon the critical path (Figure 3), those which are directly concerned by the delay and on which penalties are applied. The new deadline for the completion of the project passes now from 195 to 255 days. Anticipated skid is thus of 60 days over the initial deadline, that is an exceeding of time of 31%. The cost of the construction project, without penalties, passes from 1,614,449,750 F CFA to 1,967,142,970 F CFA (Appendix B). On the other hand, in time-overrun context, the optimized total cost due to the compression of tasks amounts to 2,086,980,000 F CFA, while the optimized total cost of delay penalties is 102,301,000 F CFA (Appendix C, = 0.70). The optimized total cost of the whole construction project amounts now to 2,189,280,000 F CFA after 255 days, an increase of the total cost of 35.6%. According to our estimations, to complete this project in the 255th day may result in enormous financial losses within the company, because this has not been first expected in the planning of the project management structure in charge of the realization of the works. Under these conditions, it should be advisable to readjust this skid so that the total duration of the works is reduced to 215 days, while remaining rigorous in the performance of the works and the compliance with technical standards, as well as measures and safety instructions in the building and public works industry (construction). The simulation is performed thanks to the specialized language of linear programming software Visual Xpress-MP. An illustration of this simulation is presented in Appendix B, for a planned deadline of completion of 215 days. If the skid of the deadline for completion of the project is reduced from 255 to 215 days, the optimized total cost will then be 2,177,780,000F CFA (Appendix B, = 0.70). It now represents a little lower overrun of the initial total cost, equal to 34.9%. This shortening of the deadline of completion, decided to minimize the total cost, led to a reduction of the additional cost of 0.7%, and therefore an apparent gain of 11,500,000 F CFA. This deadline fixed in 215 days gives us a new work schedule (Appendix B) fixing the optimal duration of each activity, as well as the corresponding optimal cost. We can notice that in the optimized schedule, the optimal duration of an activity is generally always chosen so as to impose the initial normal duration, except for the activities D1 and E1where the skidded duration is necessary, and especially the activity B1which takes a random duration generated by the calculation program and contained between D9,10 and 9,10. The extension of the simulation to various deadlinesof completion of the construction project gave the results reported in Appendix C. The different values of costs, in relation to the deadlines of completion, allowed us to plot cost-time curves (TCT: Time-Cost-Trade-off) illustrated in figure 4.
  • 16. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME
  • 17. !# $% !'(! )*+# $(# ,( -+#'!. / / Figure (4): Curves TCT ( = 0.60 and = 0.70) for the whole construction project, in a partial time-overrun context with tasks not initiated; original CCOMTOC The two curves of figure 4 have the same shape. They are characteristic of the TCT curves in a time-overrun context [Louzolo, 2005; Louzolo, 2014]. These curves are symmetrical to the TCT curves obtained in the usual context where the construction project must be delivered before the initial date of completion [Leu et al., 1999; Beasley, 2003]. Under normal circumstances, delay penalties are not taken into account. The TCT curve with = 0.70 is above that with = 0.60 (Figure 4). This shows that the penalties attenuation coefficient significantly influences the total cost of the project in a time-overrun context, which confirms the results already found by Louzolo (2007). 5.2. IMPROVED CCOMTOC: THE PARTIAL TIME-OVERRUN CONTEXT WITH 124 INITIATED TASKS We consider that our project is in situation of delay. Some tasks are already completed, while some of those that are initiated are delayed. In this case the delay will concern the begun tasks and those whose execution has not yet started. The starting up of the works took place on the scheduled date. But, for the same reasons as those pointed out in the first case, some tasks undergo an extension of the duration of execution. Note that tasks A, B, C, D, E, F and J were realized in due time, and that there was initiating of tasks G, K, L, U, W and H1. Apart from the completed tasks, all other tasks are subject to delay. Consequently, the optimization of the cost of the construction project is needed for tasks not completed to avoid significant financial losses. We illustrate in Appendix D (l= 215 days, = 0.70) the results of the simulation of a minimization of construction project cost in a partial time-overrun context with initiatedtasks. The optimal solution wishedfor = 215 days indicates a minimum cost of 2,128,180,000 F CFA (Appendix D, = 0.70). This represents more than an exceedingof the initial total cost of 31.82%, while for = 255 days the cost-overrun is 32.35%. Thus the reduction of the cost-overrun will be 0.53% if we shorten the deadline of completion from 255 to 215 days that is a gain of about 8,560,000 F CFA.
  • 18. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME The calculation program generated values of operating durations other than Dij or ij for the tasks G, K, L, U, W and H1, thus offering a new optimized schedule for = 215 days. Note that these tasks are other than those who have been initiated. The optimal solutions of construction costs resulting from the simulation, with values of coefficients ofattenuationof penalties fixed to 0.6 and 0.7 are given in Appendix E. Curves TCT (Figure 5) show a more gradual change cost between 215 and 230 days for = 0.60, while for = 0.70 the cost varies slowly between 215 and 225 days. Beyond these deadlines, the cost varies very quickly that the delay increases.
  • 19. Figure (5):Curves TCT ( = 0.60 and = 0.70) for the wholeconstruction project, in a partial time-overrun context with initiated tasks; improvedCCOMTOC 5.3. COMPARISON OF THE IMPROVED CCOMTOCWITH THE ORIGINAL CCOMTOC We place two-two on the same graphic the curves TCT of figure 4 (original CCOMTOC) and those of figure 5 (improved CCOMTOC), respectively for = 0.60 and = 0.70. 125 !# $% !'(! )*+# $(# ,( -+#'!. 0/ 0/
  • 20. / 0/ Figure (6): Comparison of curves Ct (original CCOMTOC) and C’t(improved CCOMTOC), for = 0.60
  • 21. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME
  • 22. / 0/ Figure (7): Comparison of curves Ct (original CCOMTOC) and C’t (improved CCOMTOC), for = 0.70 We note that in both cases, = 0.60 and = 0.70, the curve corresponding to the improved CCOMTOC is below the curve Ctof the original CCOMTOC (Figures 6 and 7). This means that the cost-overrun caused by the delay is actually lower than planned by the original model. The results of the comparison between the two models are contained in table 1. Table (1): Comparison between the improved CCOMTOC and the original CCOMTOC ( = 0.70) : Total cost of the construction project calculated with the original CCOMTOC : Total cost of the construction project calculated with the improved CCOMTOC The difference of the total cost of the construction project calculated by using, respectively, the original CCOMTOC and the improvedCCOMTOC seems enough significant. It increases when we pass from 215 to 255 days. On figure 8 we represent the rate of variation of the cost, calculated 126 l (day) 215 220 225 230 235 240 245 250 255 Ct (106 F CFA) 2,177.78 2,178.14 2,178.99 2,180.03 2,181.22 2,182.43 2,184.37 2,186.31 2,189.28 (106 F CFA) 2,128.18 2,128.21 2,128.58 2,129.43 2,130.47 2,131.66 2,132.87 2,134.81 2,136.74 Ct (106 F CFA) 49.6 49.93 50.41 50.6 50.75 50.77 51.5 51.5 52.54 (%) 2.28 2.29 2.31 2.32 2.33 2.33 2.36 2.36 2.40
  • 23. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME with two models, according to the duration of the construction project. We note that this rate increase strongly for a rising delay. !'(! )# $(# ,( -+#'!. Figure (8): Rate of variation of the construction cost , with , depending on the duration of the construction project ( = 0.70) 127
  • 24. 1!+ )2!(! )*+# $(# # $3 6. CONCLUSION 453 The problem of time-overrun is a scourge that several companies knowall around the world. They are regularly victims by lack of effective managerialpractice, since the design phase of the project up to its implementation. For this purpose, the recourse of an optimal organization of projects becomes an essential factor for the success of the construction companies confronted with a situation of time-overrun. The improvement of the original CCOMTOC aims to approachat best of the practical realities for the treatment of this type of problem. The illustration through a case study allowed showing that the improved CCOMTOC provides a more significant reduction of the total cost of a construction project in situation of delay than does the original CCOMTOC. The difference is even greater that the delay becomes more important. The time-overrun context is actually only a consequence resulting from a violation of certain parameters of the project by the actors who are involved there. The improved CCOMTOCtries to give the best possible answers on how projects suffering from an exceeding of provisional deadline of execution must be planned and managed optimally to minimize the cost-overruns induced by the delay. Note, however, that the improved CCOMTOC is limited by the restriction placed upon the value of the duration of initiating of a task (sij), which may not exceed half of the difference betweenskidded duration and normal duration for a task, that is the quantity (ij - Dij) / 2.Thus, this model remains to perfect in order to take into account most important durations of initiating.
  • 25. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 128 7. REFERENCES [1] A. A. Aibinu, G. O. Jagboro, The effects of construction delays on project delivery in Nigeria construction industry , International Journal of Project Management, vol. 20, no. 8, pp. 593-599, 2002. [2] M. I. Al-Khalil, M. A. Al-Ghafly, Delay in public utility projects in Saudi Arabia, International Journal of Project Management, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 101-106, 1999. [3] A. H. Al-Momami, Construction delay: a quantitative analysis, International Journal of Project Management, vol. 18, pp. 51-59, 2000. [4] H. Al-Tabtabai, N. Quadumi, H. Al-Khaiat, A. P. Alex, Delay penalty formulation for housing projects in Kuwait, International Journal of Housing Science and its Applications, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 109-124, 1998. [5] S. A. Assaf, S. Al-Hejji, “Causes of delay in large construction projects”, International Journal of Project Management, vol. 24, pp. 349-357, 2006. [6] J. E. Beasley, Operation Research Notes, Imperial College, 2003. Available on: http://mscmga.ms.ic.ac.uk/jeb/or/netcpm.html. (Accessed at April 2004). [7] F. A. Chalabi, D. Camp, Causes of delays and overruns os construction projects in Developing Countries, CIB Proceedings, W-65, vol. 2, pp. 723-734, 1984. [8] C. D'Alpaos, M. Moretto, P. Valbonesi, S. Vergalli, It is never too late: Optimal penalty for investment delay in Italian public procurement contracts, Nota di Lavoro 78.2009 dellaFodazioneEni Enrico Mattei, Institutions and markets series. Available on: http://www.feem.it/Feem/Pub/Publications/WPapersdefault.htm. (Accessed at 19 October 2010). [9] R. Djila, Analyse de sensibilité dans le modèle d'optimisation du coût de la construction dans un contexte hors délai (MO3CHD), Mémoire d'Ingénieur de conception en Génie civil, Ecole Nationale Supérieure Polytechnique de Brazzaville, Université Marien Ngouabi, 80 p., 2009. [10] Y. Frimpong, J. Oluwoye, L. Crawford, Causes of delay and cost overruns in construction of groundwater projects in Developing Countries; Ghana as case study, International Journal of Project Management, vol. 21, no. 5, pp. 321-326, 2003. [11] P. A. Koushki, K. Al-Rashid, N. Kartam, “Delays and cost increases in construction of private residential projects in Kuwait”, Construction Management and Economics, vol. 23, pp. 285-294, March 2005. [12] S.-S. Leu, C.-H. Yang, GA-based multcriteria optimal model for construction scheduling, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, ASCE, vol. 125, no. 6, pp. 420-427, 1999. [13] P. Louzolo-Kimbembé, Contribution aux méthodes de maîtrise du coût de la construction dans les pays en développement: estimation du coût et optimisation dans un contexte hors délai, thèse Ph. D, Ecole Nationale Supérieure Polytechnique de Yaoundé, Cameroun, 304 p., 2005. [14] P. Louzolo-Kimbembé, C. Pettang, T. TamoTatiétsé, Minimisation des surcoûts dans un contexte hors délai: cas des projets de construction dans les Pays en Développement, Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, vol. 34, no. 9, pp. 1180-1191, 2007. [15] P. Louzolo-Kimbembé, E. Mbani, New approach of delay penalties formulation: Application to the case of construction projects in the Republic of Congo, Journal of Civil Engineering and Construction Technology, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 6-22, 2013. [16] P. Louzolo-Kimbembé, Maîtrise du coût de la Construction dans les Pays en développement: Estimation du Coût et Optimisation dans un Contexte Hors Délai, Editeur:
  • 26. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 129 Presses Académiques Francophones (paf), imprimé par Schaltungsdienst Lange o.H.G., Berlin (Allemagne), 438 p., 2014. [17] N. R. Mansfield, O. O. Ugwu, T. Dora, Causes of delay and cost overruns in Nigeria construction projects, International Journal of Project Management, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 254- 260, 1994. [18] A. Shebob, N. Dawood, R. K. Shah, Development of a methodology for analyzing and quantiying the impact of delay factors affecting construction projects, Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 17-29, 2012. [19] Singh R., “Delays and cost overruns in infrastructure projects: an enquiry into extents, causes and remedies”, Working paper no. 181, Centre for Development Economics, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, 27 p., 2009. Available on: http://www.econdse.org/faculty/ram/ram.htm (Accessed at October 2013). [20] R. Y. Tse, P. E. D. Love, An economic analysis of the effect of delays on project costs, Journal of Construction Research, vol. 4, no 2, pp. 155-160, 2003. APPENDIX Appendix - A: Designation and allocation of costs and durations by task Share Code of tasks Overview of tasks Task durations Dij (day) Costs of tasksCDij (F CFA) N°1: Path and Various networks – Civilengineerig A Installation construction site 06 4,220,000 B Removal of the openings of the ducts 08 100,000 C Trenchand the openings of the ducts 20 13,346,500 D Laying pipe 10 70,710,000 E Network adduction and networks 15 10,380,000 F Heavy work 25 22,745,250 G Roof 10 1,680,000 H Metalwork and painting 15 5,780,000 I Tiles 30 5,085,000 N°2: Revamping-Kitchen J Removal and modification kitchens 10 28,210,000 K Manufacturing 70 48,000,000 L Plumbing and electricity 35 90,792,000 M Tiles 30 36,960,000 N Laying and partition 45 23,400,000 O Painting/Coating 22 19,550,000 N°3: Carpentery P Carpenterywood and aluminium 30 156,900,000 Q Glaziery and mosquito nets 30 13,575,000 N°4: Plumbing R Removal 15 9,000,000 S Network and equipment 35 20,400,000 T Suppressor 15 37,050,000
  • 27. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 130 Share Code of tasks Overview of tasks Task duration s Dij (day) Costs of tasksCDij (F CFA) N°5: Electrical compliance U Removalelectrical installation 20 4,700,000 V Équipotential 20 1,900,000 W High-voltage transformer and celles 26 67,050,000 X Circuit breaker connectionand electrical 16 19,480,000 cupboards Y Pathways 20 10,360,000 Z Local equipments 17 17,890,000 A1 Connections and building equipments 20 38,740,000 B1 Électricity–Lowcurrents 15 600,000 C1 Firedetection 10 830,000 N°6: Electrical engineering – Tank diesel fuel D1 Electrical engineering material removal and equipotential 08 8,530,000 E1 Generators 10 111,500,000 F1 Tank diesel fuel and elctricity 22 34,425,000 N°7: Telecom network and household electrical appliances G1 Telecom network and television 35 162,560,500 H1 Household electrical appliances purchase and imported furnishingspurchase 79 420,000,500 I1 Localfurnishingspurchase 60 98,000,000 Total 1,614,449,750 Dn: Initial deadline; dn: Skidded total duration; Tn: Imposed total duration Note that the compression factor of tasks is found by calculating the ratio' ()*+,)*.
  • 28. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 131 Appendix -B:Simulation of reduction of cost-overruns and reorganization of the schedule of the works in a partial time-overrun context with not initiated tasks (l = 215 days; = 0.70); original CCOMTOC Tasks Previous stages Subsequent stages Normal duration (day) Skidded duration (day) Normal cost (103 F CFA) Skidded costs without penalties (103 F CFA) Compressio n factor Optimal solution Earliest new starting up date Optimal duration (day) Optimal cost (103 F CFA) i j Dij ij CDij C2ij ij xij C(xij) A 1 2 6 6 4,220 4,220.00 1.00 0 6 4,220 B 2 13 8 8 100 100.00 1.00 6e 8 100 C 2 3 20 20 13,346.5 13,346.50 1.00 6e 20 13,346.5 D 13 4 10 10 70,710 70,710.00 1.00 26e 10 91,923 E 3 4 15 15 10,380 10,380.00 1.00 26e 15 10,380 F 3 17 25 25 22,745.25 22,745.25 1.00 26e 25 22,745.3 G 17 18 10 13 1,680 2,184.00 1.30 51e 10 2,335.2 H 18 19 15 21 5,780 8,092.00 1.40 61e 15 9,016.8 I 19 20 30 38 5,085 6,441.00 1.28 76e 30 6,820.68 J 2 21 10 10 28,210 28,210.00 1.00 6e 10 28,210 K 21 23 70 75 48,000 51 ,428.57 1.07 16e 70 51,668.6 L 21 22 35 40 90,792 103,762.29 1.15 16e 35 105,708 M 22 23 30 40 36,960 49,280.00 1.34 51e 30 53,468.8 N 22 9 45 55 23,400 28,600.00 1.23 51e 45 29,796 O 23 20 22 27 19,550 23,993.18 1.23 86e 22 25,015.1 P 14 15 30 35 156,900 183,050.00 1.17 46e 30 187,496 Q 15 16 30 40 13,575 18,100.00 1.34 175e 30 19,638.5 R 8 24 15 19 9,000 11,400.00 1.27 120e 15 12,048 S 24 25 35 40 20,400 23,314.29 1.15 135e 35 23,751.4 T 25 27 15 20 37,050 49,400.00 1.34 170e 15 53,599 U 13 14 20 33 4,700 7,755.00 1.65 26e 20 47,470 V 14 5 20 33 1,900 3,135.00 1.65 46e 20 3,937.75 W 4 5 26 35 67,050 90,259.62 1.35 41e 26 98,383 X 5 6 16 25 19,480 30,437.50 1.56 67e 16 36,573.7 Y 6 7 20 25 10,360 12,950.00 1.25 83e 20 13,597.5 Z 7 8 17 25 17,890 26,308.82 1.47 103e 17 30,265.7 A1 8 9 20 30 38,740 58,110.00 1.50 120e 20 67,795 B1 9 10 15 23 600 920.00 1.53 140e 20 1,123.6 C1 16 27 10 11 830 913.00 1.10 205e 10 921.3 D1 10 11 8 15 8,530 15,993.75 1.88 160e 15 21,218.4 E1 11 12 10 18 111,500 200,700.00 1.80 175e 18 263,140 F1 12 27 22 29 34,425 45,378.41 1.32 193e 22 48,883.5 G1 22 27 35 38 162,560.5 176,494.26 1.10 51e 35 177,888 H1 1 26 79 90 420,000.5 478 ,481.58 1.14 0 79 486,669 I1 26 27 60 75 98,000 122,500.00 1.25 79e 60 128,625 Dn (day) dn (day) Total (103 F CFA) Total (103 F CFA) Tn Imposed total duration (day) Minimum total cost (103 FCFA) 195 255 1,614,449.75 1,967,142.97 215 2,177,780
  • 29. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 132 Appendix - C: Synthetic results of the simulation for values of attenuationcoefficient of penaltiesfixed to = 0.60 and = 0.70, case of the time-overrun context with not initiated tasks; original CCOMTOC Value of the attenuation coefficient Project initial deadline (day) Dn Optimal solution Imposed deadline after skidding (day) l = Tn Optimized total cost of penalties Ct1 (103 F CFA) Optimized total cost from compression Ct2(103 F CFA) Optimized total cost of the Ct(103 F CFA) project 0.60 195 215 60,938.3 2,106,920 2,167,860 220 62,471.3 2,105,490 2,167,960 225 66,123.8 2,102,080 2,168,210 230 69,479 2,099,230 2,168,710 235 72,636 2,096,760 2,169,400 240 74,190 2,096,110 2,170,300 245 80,001 2,091,270 2,171,270 250 85,812 2,086,430 2,172,240 255 107,649 2,066,640 2,174,290 0.70 195 215 67,804.6 2,109,970 2,177,780 220 69,593.1 2,108,550 2,178,140 225 73,854.4 2,105,140 2,178,990 230 76,646.7 2,103,380 2,180,030 235 79,581.8 2,101,640 2,181,220 240 83,265.1 2,099,170 2,182,430 245 90,044.6 2,094,330 2,184,370 250 96,824.1 2,089,480 2,186,310 255 102,301 2,086,980 2,189,280
  • 30. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME Appendix -D: Simulation of reduction of cost-overruns and reorganization of the schedule of the works in a partial time-overrun context with initiated tasks (l = 215 days; = 0.70); improved CCOMTOC i j Dij ij sij CDij C2ij ij xij C'(xij) A 1 2 6 6 0 4,220 4,220.00 1.00 0 6 4,220 B 2 13 8 8 0 100 100.00 1.00 6e 8 100 C 2 3 20 20 0 13,346.5 13,346.50 1.00 6e 20 13,346.5 D 13 4 10 10 0 70,710 70,710.00 1.00 26e 10 91,923 E 3 4 15 15 0 10,380 10,380.00 1.00 26e 15 10,380 F 3 17 25 25 0 22,745.25 22,745.25 1.00 26e 25 22,745.3 G 17 18 10 13 1 1,680 2,184.00 1.30 51e 11 2,234.4 H 18 19 15 21 0 5,780 8,092.00 1.40 62e 15 9,016.8 I 19 20 30 38 0 5,085 6,441.00 1.28 77e 30 6,820.68 J 2 21 10 10 0 28,210 28,210.00 1.00 6e 10 28,210 K 21 23 70 75 2 48,000 51,428.57 1.07 16e 72 51,476.6 L 21 22 35 40 2 90,792 103,762.29 1.15 16e 37 104,151 M 22 23 30 40 0 36,960 49,280.00 1.34 53e 30 53,468.8 N 22 9 45 55 0 23,400 28,600.00 1.23 53e 45 29,796 O 23 20 22 27 0 19,550 23,993.18 1.23 88e 22 25,015.1 P 14 15 30 35 0 156,900 183,050.00 1.17 52e 30 187,496 Q 15 16 30 40 0 13,575 18,100.00 1.34 175e 30 19,638.6 R 8 24 15 19 0 9,000 11,400.00 1.27 125e 15 12,048 S 24 25 35 40 0 20,400 23,314.29 1.15 140e 35 23,751.4 T 25 27 15 20 0 37,050 49,400.00 1.34 175e 15 53,599 U 13 14 20 33 6 4,700 7,755.00 1.65 26e 26 10,810 V 14 5 20 33 0 1,900 3,135.00 1.65 52e 20 3,937.75 W 4 5 26 35 3 67,050 90,259.62 1.35 41e 31 94,772.6 X 5 6 16 25 0 19,480 30,437.50 1.56 72e 16 36,573.7 Y 6 7 20 25 0 10,360 12,950.00 1.25 88e 20 13,597.5 Z 7 8 17 25 0 17,890 26,308.82 1.47 108e 17 30,265.7 A1 8 9 20 30 0 38,740 58,110.00 1.50 125e 20 67,795 B1 9 10 15 23 0 600 920.00 1.53 145e 15 1,089.6 C1 16 27 10 11 0 830 913.00 1.10 205e 10 921.3 D1 10 11 8 15 0 8,530 15,993.75 1.88 160e 15 21,218.4 E1 11 12 10 18 0 111,500 200,700.00 1.80 175e 18 263,140 F1 12 27 22 29 0 34,425 45,378.41 1.32 193e 22 48,883.5 G1 22 27 35 38 0 162,560.5 176,494.26 1.10 53e 35 177,888 H1 1 26 79 90 5 420,000.5 478,481.58 1.14 0 84 479,226 I1 26 27 60 75 0 98,000 122,500.00 1.25 84e 60 128,625 (103 F CFA) 195 255 1,614,449.75 1,967,142.97 215 2,128,180 133 Tasks Previous stages Subsequent stages Normal duration (day) Skidded duration (day) Duration of initiating (day) Normal cost (103 F CFA) Skidded costs without penalties (103 F CFA) Compression factor Optimal solution Earliest new starting up date Optimal duration (day) Optimal cost (103 F CFA) Dn (jour) dn (jour) Total (103 F CFA) Total Tn Imposed total duration (day) Minimum total cost (103 FCFA) Dn: Initial deadline; dn: Skidded total duration; Tn: Imposed total duration; ' ()*+,)*
  • 31. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 – 6308 (Print), ISSN 0976 – 6316(Online), Volume 5, Issue 9, September (2014), pp. 114-134 © IAEME 134 Appendix - E: Synthetic results of the simulation for values of penalties coefficient of attenuation fixed to = 0.60 and = 0.70, case of the time-overrun context with initiated tasks; improvedCCOMTOC Value of the attenuation coefficient Project initial deadline (day) Dn Optimal solution Imposed deadline after skidding (day) l = Tn Optimized total cost of Ct1 (103 F CFA) penalties Optimized total cost from compression Ct2(103 F CFA) Optimized total cost of the project Ct(103 F CFA) 0.60 195 215 61,092.9 2,056,910 2,118,000 220 61,212.9 2,056,800 2,118,010 225 62,745.9 2,055,370 2,118,120 230 66,398.4 2,051,960 2,118,360 235 69,753.6 2,049,120 2,118,870 240 72,910.7 2,046,640 2,119,550 245 74,464.7 2,046,000 2,120,460 250 80,275.7 2,041,150 2,121,430 255 86,086.7 2,036,310 2,122,400 0.70 195 215 71,275 2,056,910 2,128,180 220 71,415 2,056,800 2,128,210 225 73,203.5 2,055,370 2,128,580 230 77,464.8 2,051,960 2,129,430 235 80,257.1 2,050,210 2,130,470 240 83,192.2 2,048,470 2,131,660 245 86,875.4 2,046,000 2,132,870 250 93,654.9 2,041,150 2,134,810 255 100,434 2,036,310 2,136,740