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South East Asia
low carbon energy
opportunities
0
Structure
• 1. Energy use in the region – current and
projected
• 2. Why energy approaches important for
inclusive green growth
• 3. Current regional policies - how green?
• 4. Future directions for regional energy policies –
opportunities?
1
1. ENERGY USE IN THE REGION –
CURRENT AND PROJECTED
2
ASEAN’s potential future demand for energy
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
3
ASEAN current energy fuel sources
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
4
ASEAN primary energy demand by source
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
5
ASEAN energy demand - by major economies
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
6
Region’s forecast energy investment to 2035
Source: ADB Energy Outlook for Asia-Pacific region
7
2. WHY ENERGY APPROACHES ARE
IMPORTANT FOR INCLUSIVE GREEN
GROWTH
8
The case for greener growth
IEA Tracking Clean Energy Progress, 2013
9
The case for greener energy
IEA Tracking Clean Energy Progress, 2013
10
CO2 emissions and energy intensity, 2011 and 2035
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
11
ASEAN electricity capacity
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
12
ASEAN electricity generation from renewables
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
13
3. CURRENT REGIONAL
POLICIES - HOW GREEN?
14
15
Scope to do more on energy efficiency
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
16
Fuel subsidies are regressive
Source: IEA South East Asia Energy Outlook, 2013
17
Cooking fuels in
Cambodia
Sources: UNDP, Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves
Cooking fuels also critical
• Almost 3 billion, half of the world’s population depend on
wood and charcoal to cook their daily meals
• 72% of those dependent on solid fuels are in Asia
• 3.5 million people die each year from diseases that could
be prevented by using clean cookstoves and fuels
18
4. FUTURE ENERGY POLICIES
– OPPORTUNITIES?
19
Global renewable electricity production
Renewable Energy Medium-Term Market Report 2013, IEA
20
Is renewable investment falling?
21
Falling in dollar terms, as prices drop, but Asia growing
22
China – renewables share of total installed capac
ity and investment
23
Solar panel prices since 1977
24
Levelised renewable technology costs
25
Markets saw the upside in 2013
26
US solar uptake soaring
27
The transformational impact of renewables
• “We can see the growth in renewables being
transformative against conventional expectation with r
enewables meeting the vast majority of
future power demand growth, weighing on
market clearing power prices in competitive
power markets, appreciably slowing the rate of dema
nd growth for natural gas from the power
sector, and requiring significant investment in
new renewables.”
– Credit Suisse, December 2013
28
Green growth
The Stern report noted the long-term costs
of continuing down a BAU path are greater
than the short-term costs of making more
sustainable economic choices.
Economic growth and environmental
sustainability are not merely compatible
objectives:
– their integration is essential for the future of hu
mankind.
29
GGGI programs
30
THANK YOU!

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