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1. Š 2009 South-Western, a part of Cengage Learning, all rights reserved
C H A P T E
R
The Monetary SystemThe Monetary System
Economics
P R I N C I P L E S O FP R I N C I P L E S O F
N. Gregory MankiwN. Gregory Mankiw
A.G.
29
2. In this chapter,In this chapter,
look for the answers to these questions:look for the answers to these questions:
ď§ What assets are considered âmoneyâ? What are
the functions of money? The types of money?
ď§ What is the Federal Reserve?
ď§ What role do banks play in the monetary system?
How do banks âcreate moneyâ?
ď§ How does the Federal Reserve control the money
supply?
2
3. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 3
What Money Is and Why Itâs Important
ď§ Without money, trade would require barter,
the exchange of one good or service for another.
ď§ Every transaction would require a double
coincidence of wants â the unlikely occurrence
that two people each have a good the other wants.
ď§ Most people would have to spend time searching for
others to trade with â a huge waste of resources.
ď§ This searching is unnecessary with money,
the set of assets that people regularly use to buy
g&s from other people.
4. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 4
The 3 Functions of Money
ď§ Medium of exchange: an item buyers give to
sellers when they want to purchase g&s
ď§ Unit of account: the yardstick people use to
post prices and record debts
ď§ Store of value: an item people can use to
transfer purchasing power from the present to
the future
5. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 5
The 2 Kinds of Money
Commodity money:
takes the form of a commodity
with intrinsic value
Examples: gold coins,
cigarettes in POW camps
Fiat money:
money without intrinsic value,
used as money because of
govt decree
Example: the U.S. dollar
6. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 6
The Money Supply
ď§ The money supply (or money stock):
the quantity of money available in the economy
ď§ What assets should be considered part of the
money supply? Two candidates:
ď§ Currency: the paper bills and coins in the
hands of the (non-bank) public
ď§ Demand deposits: balances in bank accounts
that depositors can access on demand by
writing a check
7. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 7
Measures of the U.S. Money Supply
ď§ M1: currency, demand deposits,
travelerâs checks, and other checkable deposits.
M1 = $1.4 trillion (June 2008)
ď§ M2: everything in M1 plus savings deposits,
small time deposits, money market mutual funds,
and a few minor categories.
M2 = $7.7 trillion (June 2008)
The distinction between M1 and M2The distinction between M1 and M2
will usually not matter when we talk aboutwill usually not matter when we talk about
âthe money supplyâ in this course.âthe money supplyâ in this course.
8. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 8
Central Banks & Monetary Policy
ď§ Central bank: an institution that oversees the
banking system and regulates the money supply
ď§ Monetary policy: the setting of the money
supply by policymakers in the central bank
ď§ Federal Reserve (Fed): the central bank of the
U.S.
9. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 9
The Structure of the Fed
The Federal Reserve System
consists of:
ď§ Board of Governors
(7 members),
located in Washington, DC
ď§ 12 regional Fed banks,
located around the U.S.
ď§ Federal Open Market
Committee (FOMC),
includes the Bd of Govs and
presidents of some of the regional Fed banks
The FOMC decides monetary policy.
Ben S. Bernanke
Chair of FOMC,
Feb 2006 â present
10. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 10
Bank Reserves
ď§ In a fractional reserve banking system,
banks keep a fraction of deposits as reserves
and use the rest to make loans.
ď§ The Fed establishes reserve requirements,
regulations on the minimum amount of reserves
that banks must hold against deposits.
ď§ Banks may hold more than this minimum amount
if they choose.
ď§ The reserve ratio, R
= fraction of deposits that banks hold as reserves
= total reserves as a percentage of total deposits
11. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 11
Bank T-account
ď§ T-account: a simplified accounting statement
that shows a bankâs assets & liabilities.
ď§ Example: FIRST NATIONAL BANK
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ 10
Loans $ 90
Deposits $100
ď§ Banksâ liabilities include deposits,
assets include loans & reserves.
ď§ In this example, notice that R = $10/$100 = 10%.
12. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 12
Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
Suppose $100 of currency is in circulation.
To determine banksâ impact on money supply,
we calculate the money supply in 3 different cases:
1. No banking system
2. 100% reserve banking system:
banks hold 100% of deposits as reserves,
make no loans
3. Fractional reserve banking system
13. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 13
Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 1: No banking system
Public holds the $100 as currency.
Money supply = $100.
14. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 14
Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 2: 100% reserve banking system
Public deposits the $100 at First National Bank (FNB).
FIRST NATIONAL BANK
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $100
Loans $ 0
Deposits $100
FNB holds
100% of
deposit
as reserves:
Money supply
= currency + deposits = $0 + $100 = $100
In a 100% reserve banking system,
banks do not affect size of money supply.
15. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 15
Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 3: Fractional reserve banking system
Money supply = $190 (!!!)
Depositors have $100 in deposits,
Borrowers have $90 in currency.
FIRST NATIONAL BANK
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $100
Loans $ 0
Deposits $100
Suppose R = 10%. FNB loans all but 10%
of the deposit:
10
90
16. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 16
Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
How did the money supply suddenly grow?
When banks make loans, they create money.
The borrower gets
ď§ $90 in currency (an asset counted in the
money supply)
ď§ $90 in new debt (a liability)
CASE 3: Fractional reserve banking system
A fractional reserve banking system
creates money, but not wealth.
17. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 17
Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 3: Fractional reserve banking system
If R = 10% for SNB, it will loan all but 10% of the
deposit.
SECOND NATIONAL BANK
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ 90
Loans $ 0
Deposits $ 90
Suppose borrower deposits the $90 at Second
National Bank (SNB).
Initially, SNBâs
T-account
looks like this:
9
81
18. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 18
Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 3: Fractional reserve banking system
If R = 10% for TNB, it will loan all but 10% of the
deposit.
THIRD NATIONAL BANK
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ 81
Loans $ 0
Deposits $ 81
The borrower deposits the $81 at Third National
Bank (TNB).
Initially, TNBâs
T-account
looks like this:
$ 8.10
$72.90
19. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 19
Banks and the Money Supply: An Example
CASE 3: Fractional reserve banking system
The process continues, and money is created with
each new loan.
Original deposit =
FNB lending =
SNB lending =
TNB lending =...
$ 100.00
$ 90.00
$ 81.00
$ 72.90...
Total money supply = $1000.00
In this
example,
$100 of
reserves
generates
$1000 of
money.
In this
example,
$100 of
reserves
generates
$1000 of
money.
20. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 20
The Money Multiplier
ď§ Money multiplier: the amount of money the
banking system generates with each dollar of
reserves
ď§ The money multiplier equals 1/R.
ď§ In our example,
R = 10%
money multiplier = 1/R = 10
$100 of reserves creates $1000 of money
21. A C T I V E L E A R N I N GA C T I V E L E A R N I N G 11
Banks and the money supplyBanks and the money supply
21
While cleaning your apartment, you look under the
sofa cushion find a $50 bill (and a half-eaten taco).
You deposit the bill in your checking account.
The Fedâs reserve requirement is 20% of deposits.
A. What is the maximum amount that the
money supply could increase?
B. What is the minimum amount that the
money supply could increase?
22. A C T I V E L E A R N I N GA C T I V E L E A R N I N G 11
AnswersAnswers
22
If banks hold no excess reserves, then
money multiplier = 1/R = 1/0.2 = 5
The maximum possible increase in deposits is
5 x $50 = $250
But money supply also includes currency,
which falls by $50.
Hence, max increase in money supply = $200.
You deposit $50 in your checking account.
A. What is the maximum amount that the
money supply could increase?
23. A C T I V E L E A R N I N GA C T I V E L E A R N I N G 11
AnswersAnswers
23
Answer: $0
If your bank makes no loans from your deposit,
currency falls by $50, deposits increase by $50,
money supply does not change.
You deposit $50 in your checking account.
A. What is the maximum amount that the
money supply could increase?
Answer: $200
B. What is the minimum amount that the
money supply could increase?
24. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 24
The Fedâs 3 Tools of Monetary Control
1. Open-Market Operations (OMOs): the purchase
and sale of U.S. government bonds by the Fed.
ď§ To increase money supply, Fed buys govt bonds,
paying with new dollars.
âŚwhich are deposited in banks, increasing reserves
âŚwhich banks use to make loans, causing the
money supply to expand.
ď§ To reduce money supply, Fed sells govt bonds,
taking dollars out of circulation, and the process
works in reverse.
25. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 25
The Fedâs 3 Tools of Monetary Control
1. Open-Market Operations (OMOs): the purchase
and sale of U.S. government bonds by the Fed.
ď§ OMOs are easy to conduct, and are the Fedâs
monetary policy tool of choice.
26. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 26
The Fedâs 3 Tools of Monetary Control
2. Reserve Requirements (RR):
affect how much money banks can create by
making loans.
ď§ To increase money supply, Fed reduces RR.
Banks make more loans from each dollar of reserves,
which increases money multiplier and money supply.
ď§ To reduce money supply, Fed raises RR,
and the process works in reverse.
ď§ Fed rarely uses reserve requirements to control
money supply: Frequent changes would disrupt
banking.
27. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 27
The Fedâs 3 Tools of Monetary Control
3. The Discount Rate:
the interest rate on loans the Fed makes to banks
ď§ When banks are running low on reserves,
they may borrow reserves from the Fed.
ď§ To increase money supply,
Fed can lower discount rate, which encourages
banks to borrow more reserves from Fed.
ď§ Banks can then make more loans, which increases
the money supply.
ď§ To reduce money supply, Fed can raise discount rate.
28. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 28
The Fedâs 3 Tools of Monetary Control
3. The Discount Rate:
the interest rate on loans the Fed makes to banks
ď§ The Fed uses discount lending to provide extra
liquidity when financial institutions are in trouble,
e.g. after the Oct. 1987 stock market crash.
ď§ If no crisis, Fed rarely uses discount lending â
Fed is a âlender of last resort.â
29. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 29
The Federal Funds Rate
ď§ On any given day, banks with insufficient reserves
can borrow from banks with excess reserves.
ď§ The interest rate on these loans is the federal
funds rate.
ď§ The FOMC uses OMOs to target the fed funds
rate.
ď§ Many interest rates are highly correlated,
so changes in the fed funds rate cause changes in
other rates and have a big impact in the economy.
30. The Fed Funds Rate and Other Rates, 1970-2008(%)
0
5
10
15
20
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Fed funds
prime
3-month Tbill
mortgage
31. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 31
Monetary Policy and the Fed Funds Rate
To raise fed funds
rate, Fed sells
govt bonds (OMO).
This removes
reserves from the
banking system,
reduces supply of
federal funds,
causes rf to rise.
rf
F
D1
S2
3.75%
F2
S1
F1
3.50%
The Federal
Funds marketFederal
funds rate
Quantity of
federal funds
32. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 32
Problems Controlling the Money Supply
ď§ If households hold more of their money as
currency, banks have fewer reserves,
make fewer loans, and money supply falls.
ď§ If banks hold more reserves than required,
they make fewer loans, and money supply falls.
ď§ Yet, Fed can compensate for household
and bank behavior to retain fairly precise control
over the money supply.
33. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 33
Bank Runs and the Money Supply
ď§ A run on banks:
When people suspect their banks are in trouble,
they may ârunâ to the bank to withdraw their funds,
holding more currency and less deposits.
ď§ Under fractional-reserve banking, banks donât
have enough reserves to pay off ALL depositors,
hence banks may have to close.
ď§ Also, banks may make fewer loans and hold more
reserves to satisfy depositors.
ď§ These events increase R, reverse the process of
money creation, cause money supply to fall.
34. THE MONETARY SYSTEM 34
Bank Runs and the Money Supply
ď§ During 1929-1933, a wave of bank runs and
bank closings caused money supply to fall 28%.
ď§ Many economists believe this contributed to the
severity of the Great Depression.
ď§ Since then, federal deposit insurance has helped
prevent bank runs in the U.S.
ď§ In the U.K., though, Northern Rock bank
experienced a classic bank run in 2007 and was
eventually taken over by the British government.
35. CHAPTER SUMMARYCHAPTER SUMMARY
ď§ Money includes currency and various types of
bank deposits.
ď§ The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the
U.S., is responsible for regulating the monetary
system.
ď§ The Fed controls the money supply mainly
through open-market operations. Purchasing
govt bonds increases the money supply, selling
govt bonds decreases it.
35
36. CHAPTER SUMMARYCHAPTER SUMMARY
ď§ In a fractional reserve banking system, banks
create money when they make loans. Bank
reserves have a multiplier effect on the money
supply.
36
Hinweis der Redaktion
This chapter is shorter and less difficult than average. Students find most of the material very straightforward. It contains one analytically challenging topic: the process of money creation in the banking system. A good idea might be to proceed somewhat quickly through most of the chapter, spending more time on money creation in the banking system, t-accounts, and the money multiplier. The fifth edition contains more discussion of the Federal Funds rate. Iâve added some slides near the end of this PowerPoint file on the Federal Funds rate: The first covers the material in the textbook. The second slide shows time-series data on the Fed Funds rate and other key rates, to establish the importance of the Fed Funds rate. The third slide uses a supply-demand diagram of the federal funds market to show how the Fed can raise the federal funds rate using open market operations.
As in previous chapters, âg&sâ = goods & services. â Double coincidence of wantsâ simply means that two people have to want each otherâs stuff. Students find the following example amusing: Iâm an economics professor, but Iâm a consumer, too. Suppose I want to go out for a beer. Under a barter system, I would have to search for a bartender that was willing to give me a beer in exchange for a lecture on economics. As you might imagine, I would have to spend a LOT of time searching. (On the plus side, this would prevent me from becoming an alcoholic.) But thanks to money, I can go directly to my favorite pub and get a cold beer; the bartender doesnât have to want to hear my lecture, he only has to want my money.
Money is a medium of exchange. That just means you use money to buy stuff. Money is a unit of account. The price or monetary value of virtually everything is measured in the same units â dollars (in the U.S., or substitute your countryâs currency if youâre located outside the U.S.). Imagine how hard it would be to plan your budget or comparison shop if sellers each used their own system of measuring prices. Money is a store of value. Money holds its value over time, so you donât have to spend it immediately upon receiving it.
Intrinsic value means the commodity would have value even if it werenât being used as money. In the film âThe Shawshank Redemption,â prisoners use cigarettes as money. Fiat money is worthless â except as money. Yet, people are happy to accept your dollars (or euros or yen or whatever) because they know that they will be able to spend them elsewhere.
The definition of currency in the textbook does not include â(non-bank)â. I added it to avoid confusion later, when students are asked to think about what happens to the money supply when a consumer decides to deposit a $50 bill into his or her checking account.
Source: Federal Reserve, Board of Governors, Statistical Release H.6. The latest H.6 release can be found at: http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/Current/
In subsequent chapters (including the chapter immediately following this one), students will learn that the Federal Reserveâs monetary policy can have huge effects on many macroeconomic variables, like inflation, interest rates, unemployment, and even stock price indexes and exchange rates. As chair of the FOMC, Ben Bernanke is in the news quite frequently.
Segue from last slide: The Fed controls the money supply and regulates banks. Banks clearly play an important role in the money supply because bank deposits are part of the money supply (recall that M1 includes checking account deposits, and M2 also includes savings account deposits). In the interests of parsimony, I have combined the definitions of âfractional reserve banking systemâ and âreserves,â as shown in the first bullet point. I believe it is sufficient to convey the meaning of both terms.
Deposits are liabilities to the bank because they represent the depositorsâ claims on the bank. Loans are an asset for the bank because they represent the banksâ claims on its borrowers. Reserves are an asset because they are funds available to the bank.
The notion that banks create money by making loans is a new and perhaps awkward idea for students. The following slide may help.
Students more easily accept the idea that banks create money when they see that banks do not create wealth.
Reserve requirements were introduced & defined on the slide titled âBank Reserves,â immediately following âThe Structure of the Fed.â Reserve requirements are not a good tool for monetary policy: To make the money supply grow over time, the Fed would have to continually reduce reserve requirements. This is neither possible â they cannot be reduced below 0 â nor desirable â if reserves are too low, then banks will have liquidity problems, and bank runs (discussed later in the chapter) might become fashionable again. To reduce the money supply using reserve requirements, banks wouldnât be able to make as many loans, which would make the banking industry less profitable and could cause it to contract.
Why might banks run low on reserves? On any given day, it might turn out that depositors make higher-than-expected withdrawals, or the bank makes more loans than expected.
Indeed, the Fed is a âlender of last resortâ and usually doesnât make discount loans to banks on demand. The Fed is not in the business of giving banks cheap money to subsidize their profits.
The prime rate (the rate banks charge on loans to their best customers) and the 3-month Treasury Bill rate are very highly correlated with the Fed Funds rate. The mortgage rate shown is the 30-year fixed rate. It is less correlated with the Federal Funds rate, but this is to be expected: Fed Funds are overnight loans between banks, while mortgages are 30-year loans to consumers. source: FRED database http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
This graph is not in the textbook, so it is not supported with material in the study guide or test bank. Therefore, you may wish to omit this slide from your presentation. But I hope you will consider keeping it. It is uses a simple supply-demand diagram to illustrate something described verbally in the text: how the Federal Reserve targets the federal funds rate. The demand for federal funds comes from banks that find themselves with insufficient reserves, perhaps because they made too many loans or had higher-than-expected withdrawals. The supply of federal funds comes from banks that find themselves with more reserves than they want, perhaps because they had lower-than-expected withdrawals or because few customers took out loans. The federal funds rate adjusts to balance the supply of and demand for federal funds. The Federal Reserve can use OMOs to target the fed funds rate. Whenever the rate starts to fall below the Fedâs target, the Fed sells government bonds in the open market in order to pull reserves out of the banking system, which raises the rate as shown in this diagram. If the rate rises above the Fedâs target, the Fed buys govt bonds in the open market, injecting reserves into the banking system, and pushing the rate down. For the Fed, OMOs are quick, easy, and effective, so the Fed can keep the fed funds rate very close to the target.