Presentation by Carin Smaller (IISD) 6 July 2021. Sustainable Financing of Research and Innovation to Improve the Performance of Africa’s Food System by FARA

2. CGE modelling
Highest scientific standards
Endinghungerby2030
1. What are the most effective ways to end hunger (SDG 2.1) and double
the incomes of smallholders (SDG 2.3), while protecting the climate
(SDG 2.4)?
2. What would it cost donors?
Artificial intelligence

3. Ceres2030-Naturecollection
http://ceres2030.org
8
evidence
syntheses
14
modellable
interventions
10
recommendations

4. Aportfolioofinterventionstoachievemultipleoutcomes
ON THE FARM
Interventions provided directly
to farmers, including farm
inputs, R&D, improved
livestock feed, and irrigation
infrastructure.
EMPOWER THE
EXCLUDED
Interventions related to social
protection, institutions such as
farmers' organizations, and education
through vocational training.
FOOD ON THE MOVE
Interventions to reduce post-harvest
losses, including storage, to improve
returns from sales, and to support the mix
of services provided by SMEs, such as
cooperatives, traders, and processors.

5. Domestic Resources,
19 billions, 58%
External Resources,
14 billions, 42%
In addition to national efforts,
We need to mobilize
Of external public or
philanthropic resources
33
more, per year
B
$
What is the financing gap?

6. …that means DOUBLING current donor spending
X2
Food on the Move
On the Farm
Empower the Excluded
ODA (Actual)
ODA (Target)
On the Farm
Empower the
Excluded

7. How much more needs to come to Africa?
ODA (Actual)
Empower the Excluded
On the Farm
Food on the Move
NOTE: Excludes global CGIAR R&D

8. How much
more needs to
be spent on
farm
productivity?
$9
bn
$3
bn
$2
bn

9. Category Policy Instrument Donor Share (%)
EMPOWER THE
EXCLUDED Social protection (Food subsidy) 15%
EMPOWER THE
EXCLUDED Vocational training 4%
ON THE FARM Investment subsidy 4%
ON THE FARM Fertilizer subsidy 2%
ON THE FARM Production subsidy 1%
ON THE FARM Capital endowment 12%
ON THE FARM
R&D National Agricultural Systems
(NARS) 5%
ON THE FARM R&D CGIAR 7%
ON THE FARM Extension Services 12%
ON THE FARM Rural infrastructure (Irrigation) 12%
ON THE FARM Livestock subsidy – agroforestry 7%
ON THE FARM Livestock subsidy – improved forage 2%
FOOD ON THE MOVE Storage-Post Harvest losses 8%
FOOD ON THE MOVE Rural Infrastructure (roads) 8%
HowmuchadditionalaidforagR&D+extension?

10. Necessaryconditionsforsuccess
Need access to capital in all its forms
Human capital (education & training)
Knowledge capital (R&D)
Social capital (networks and farmer’s
organisations)
Financial capital (finance and credit)
…while protecting natural capital

11. Priority countries for donor investment based on their dependency on external resources until 2030
Where should we prioritize spending? A focus on Africa
High Priority Medium Priority Low Priority On Target Not Included in Assessment

12. If we mobilize
500
million out of
Hunger
545
million farmers
incomes
doubled
Paris
climate
agreement
still respected
for ag